NZD/USD | In the breaker zone (READ THE CAPTION)After reaching 0.6092 last week, NZDUSD dropped over 100 pips and now is being traded at 0.5985, having hit the Bullish Breaker and after piercing through the Breaker once, it dropped in the zone again. I expect NZD to eventually make it out of the Breaker zone, and go for today's NDOG at 0.6002. If it makes it out of the breaker zone to go higher, targets are: 0.5993, 0.6000, 0.6007 and 0.6013.
If it fails and goes lower: 0.5976, 0.5970, 0.5964 and 0.5958.
Forex
GBPUSD H4: Correction Before the Next Bullish ExpansionHi!
GBPUSD is currently transitioning into a short-term corrective phase after showing signs of trend exhaustion near the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Following the strong impulsive rally, price failed to sustain momentum at the channel top and has since reacted lower, signaling that buyers are stepping back temporarily.
The recent decline has brought price back below the internal trendline and short-term structure, with prior support now acting as near-term resistance. This shift suggests that any rebound toward the 1.3650–1.3700 area is more likely to be sold into, rather than developing into a fresh impulsive move higher.
From a structural perspective, the broader trend remains bullish, but the current price action favors further downside testing first. I expect GBPUSD to continue correcting toward the 1.3550–1.3600 demand zone, where previous accumulation and channel support converge. This area is key to watch for signs of stabilization or bullish reaction.
As long as price holds above the lower boundary of the ascending channel, this pullback should be viewed as a healthy retracement within a broader uptrend, not a reversal. A successful defense of support could open the door for the next bullish leg, targeting 1.3750 initially, and potentially extending higher as momentum rebuilds.
In summary, short-term bias is corrective to bearish, while medium-term structure remains constructive. I’m treating rallies as corrective until price reclaims broken structure — patience around support will be critical for the next directional move.
XAUUSD (Gold) – 15M | Support Reaction & FVG Target📈 XAUUSD (Gold) – 15M | Support Reaction & FVG Target
Gold is reacting from a well-defined support / demand zone on the 15-minute timeframe. Price previously showed strong bearish momentum, but the recent rejection from the buying zone suggests short-term bullish potential if support continues to hold.
A move higher could first aim to fill the nearby Fair Value Gap (FVG), followed by a retest of the upper resistance area marked on the chart. This zone may act as a decision point for continuation or rejection.
Bias remains neutral-to-bullish while price holds above support. A clean break below the demand area would invalidate the idea.
📌 Levels are marked on the chart
⚠️ Wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly
🧠 This is a technical analysis, not financial advice
CHFJPY Is Going Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 202.071.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 200.439 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NZDJPY Will Fall! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 93.929.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 93.618 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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US100 Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for US100.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 25,520.8.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 24,920.4 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SILVER Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 9,147.7.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 8,217.3.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.870.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.864 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EUR/USD | Consolidation (READ THE CAPTION)After hitting the FVG Consequent Encroachment on Monday, EURUSD has been moving in the same range and has been somewhat consolidating. Currently it's being traded at 1.18020. I expect EURUSD to go for the BSLs above it and eventually retest the Jan 26th's NWOG.
Targets for EURUSD: 1.18070, 1.18150, 1.18230 and 1.18310.
If it fails to go higher and drop from here, the targets are: 1.1796, 1.1790, 1.1784 and 1.1778.
XAUUSD Gold — Smart Money Buying the Dip | Bullish Continuation Description:
Gold is showing strong bullish recovery after a sharp liquidity grab and market correction. Price is now holding above a key demand zone where institutional buyers are stepping back into the market.
A higher-low structure is forming, indicating potential bullish continuation if support remains intact. As long as price holds the buy zone, we expect momentum to build toward higher resistance and liquidity targets above.
📍 Key Focus: Buy-side pressure from demand zone
📈 Bias: Bullish continuation
🎯 Targets: Upside liquidity levels above recent highs
This chart highlights structure, trend direction, and projected movement based on smart money concepts and price action behavior. Always manage risk and wait for confirmation before entries.
CAD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the CAD/JPY with the target of 113.961 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP/USD | NWOG retest (READ THE CAPTION)Good morning folks, Amirali here.
Starting the day with GBPUSD hourly chart; we can see that GBPUSD has pierced through the Jan 26th's NWOG Low and also swept the SSL, now being traded at 1.36230. I would like to see it reach the old FVG High below it, and then move upwards, but it may not go that way and make its upwards move now as it has already swept the SSL. Then afterwards, I expect GBP to go and retest the Jan 26th NWOG.
For now, the targets for GBPUSD are: 1.36400, 1.36480 and 1.36560.
USD/CAD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
USD/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 1.363
Target Level: 1.367
Stop Loss: 1.361
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 5,028.84
Target Level: 4,836.67
Stop Loss: 5,157.38
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EUR/CAD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
EUR/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 1.611
Target Level: 1.614
Stop Loss: 1.609
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD 05/02 – SMC H2 MAP | FILL LIQUIDITY 47XX NOW!Gold had a strong drop to the Fib 0.382 area and then quickly rebounded. Gold prices are reacting at the Fib 0.5 H2 + FVG confluence area. The next direction will depend on whether the price is accepted or rejected at these key areas.
BRIEF CONTEXT
The market remains sensitive to USD and interest rate expectations, so intraday liquidity sweeps occur frequently. Macroeconomic instability helps gold avoid a direct collapse, but it's not strong enough to reverse the short-term structure.
➡️ This explains why there are quick drops – quick rebounds – but the range remains locked.
TECHNICAL STRUCTURE H2
The larger structure is still bearish after CHoCH from the peak. The current upward movement is considered a pullback in the downtrend. Fib 0.5 H2 is acting as a balance area, not a trend confirmation area.
ROUTE MAP – PRICE AREAS TO WATCH
🔴 UPPER AREA
👉 5000 – 5050
Fib 0.5 → 0.618 H2
FVG H2
Technical retracement area in the downtrend structure
➡️ If the price retraces here but is not accepted, the upward movement is just a retracement to continue the decline.
👉 5200 – 5250
Fib 0.786 H2
FVG above
Only if the price breaks and holds above this area will the intraday downtrend structure be invalidated.
🟢 LOWER AREA
👉 4920 – 4950
Fib 0.5 H2 + FVG
Balance area, prone to two-way tug-of-war
👉 4800 – 4820
Fib 0.382 H2
Area where the drop and rebound just occurred
👉 4650 – 4700
FVG + demand H2
Next support area if bearish returns
👉 4550 – 4600
Liquidity low
Only activated when the downward momentum expands strongly
HOW WE READ & TRADE ON 05/02
Scalp: according to price reaction at 0.382 – 0.5 – FVG H2, especially during the European session.
Do not FOMO with the rebound – strong reaction does not mean reversal.
Swing: only follow structure acceptance, do not predict emotions.
Let the market speak the truth when it hits important areas. LucasGrayTrading will continue to update when the price gives clearer signals during the day.
— LucasGrayTrading
XAUUSD – H4 OutlookXAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Technical Rebound as Precious Metals Stabilise | Lana ✨
Precious metals are showing early signs of stabilisation after a period of heavy volatility. As silver rebounds sharply from intraday lows, gold is also attempting to rebuild structure following a strong corrective sell-off.
This move appears to be a technical recovery, not yet a full trend reversal, but it provides important clues about the next directional phase.
📈 Market Structure & Price Action
After failing to hold above the upper supply zone near 5,500, gold experienced a sharp bearish displacement, breaking previous structure and accelerating lower. However, price found strong demand around the 4,600–4,650 support zone, where selling pressure was absorbed.
From this base, gold is now forming higher lows, indicating a short-term recovery within a broader corrective structure. The descending trendline remains intact, keeping the market in a decision-making phase.
🔍 Key Technical Zones
Strong Support / Demand: 4,600 – 4,650
This area acted as a clear liquidity base and remains critical for any recovery scenario.
Near-Term Resistance / Reaction Zone: ~4,900 – 4,920
Price is currently reacting here. Acceptance above this level would strengthen bullish momentum.
Mid Resistance: ~5,050 – 5,100
A key zone aligned with prior structure and imbalance.
Major Supply Zone: ~5,500
This remains the upper boundary where sellers previously regained control.
🎯 Possible Scenarios
Base Case:
Gold continues to consolidate above 4,600–4,650, building structure before attempting a push toward 4,900–5,050.
Bullish Extension:
Acceptance above 5,050 could open the door for a broader recovery toward higher supply zones.
Failure Scenario:
A breakdown below 4,600 would invalidate the rebound and shift focus back to lower liquidity.
🌍 Intermarket Context
Silver’s sharp rebound after a deep sell-off suggests panic-driven liquidation is easing across metals. Historically, such moves often support short-term recoveries in gold, even if volatility remains elevated.
🧠 Lana’s View
This is a recovery-in-progress, not a market to chase. The focus should remain on how price behaves at key resistance zones, especially near 4,900–5,050.
Patience is key while the market decides whether this rebound develops into a broader trend shift or remains corrective.
✨ Respect the structure, trade the levels, and let the market confirm the next move.
Silver Recovery — Support Holds, Targets DefinedSilver experienced a sharp sell-off that decisively broke below the EMA and accelerated into the highlighted support zone. The decline was impulsive in nature, signaling liquidation rather than a healthy pullback. However, once price reached the support zone, selling pressure clearly weakened, and the market began to stabilize instead of continuing lower. This reaction suggests that demand is actively defending this area.
Following the support reaction, price has started to form a short-term recovery structure. The rebound from support is orderly, with higher lows developing, but upside momentum remains moderate rather than explosive. This tells us that the current move is best classified as a corrective recovery within a broader bearish context, not yet a confirmed trend reversal.
The key technical test now lies ahead. The zone around the EMA and prior structure resistance defines the boundary between correction and trend shift. If price can continue higher, break above this resistance, and show acceptance not just a wick the recovery could extend toward the first upside objective (TP1), followed by a deeper pullback and a potential continuation toward the full target zone. This scenario would signal that buyers are gradually regaining control.
Alternatively, if price fails to reclaim resistance and starts showing rejection or increasing overlap, the current move would remain a corrective bounce. In that case, a pullback back into the support zone would be likely. As long as this support holds, any downside should still be viewed as corrective rather than the start of a new bearish expansion.
In summary, Silver is stabilizing after a liquidation-driven sell-off, with buyers defending a clear support zone. However, the market has not yet done enough to confirm a bullish reversal. The structure remains corrective until resistance is reclaimed with strength.
Let the market confirm. Trade the structure not the emotion.
EURJPY: Bullish Continuation 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY completed a bullish accumulation
after a test of a significant rising trend line.
A formation of a buying imbalance candle yesterday
is a strong sign of strength of the buyers.
The price will likely rise to 186.1 level after a pullback.
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NZDUSD H1 | Bearish BreakoutThe price is rising towards our sell entry level at 0.5993, which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 0.6024, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.5928, whichis a pullback support.
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DXY TO THE MOON ! Q1 | D5 | W5 | Y26 FRGNT DAILY FORECAST📅 Q1 | D5 | W5 | Y26
📊 DXY — FRGNT DAILY FORECAST
🔍 Analysis Approach
I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on:
• Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐
• Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅
This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price.
💡 My Motto
“Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.”
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ On Losses
Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed.
We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section.
Stay sharp 🧠
Stay consistent 🎯
Protect your capital 🔐
— FRGNT 🚀📈
TVC:DXY






















