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Ethereum at Make-or-Break: Resistance vs Support..ETH/USD Support Zone: 4300 – 4350 (Highlighted in Beige) This is where buyers previously stepped in, providing a strong cushion for price. If ETH holds above this level, short-term relief bounces are possible. Resistance Zone: 4480 – 4500 (Highlighted in Blue) This is the critical supply area where sellers are active. Each time the price tested this zone, rejection followed, confirming strong resistance. Trade Setup (Bearish Bias) Entry Zone: 4484 – 4488 (Near Resistance Rejection) Stop Loss: Above 4520 (to protect against breakout risk) Target 1: 4200 (first minor support zone) Target 2: 4000 (major support zone + psychological level) This chart clearly shows ETH stuck between heavy resistance (4480–4500) and strong support (4000–4300). As long as ETH trades below resistance, sellers control the market. A rejection from 4484–4488 favors short entries, with potential downside continuation towards 4000. Only a clean breakout and daily close above 4520 will shift the momentum back in favor of bulls.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDShort
by FX_AGENCY
5
XAU/USD | Gold Prints New ATH at $3,685 – Rate Cut Rally Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price broke the key $3,657 level, just as expected, and today it even printed a new ATH at an impressive $3,685! As you know, this week is the interest rate decision week, and markets are preparing for a rate cut — either 0.25% or 0.5%. Each scenario can have a different level of impact: a 0.5% cut could easily push gold above $3,700–$3,740. Right now, gold is trading around $3,679. As long as it does not break and close below $3,674, we can expect some sideways movement followed by more upside, with the first target at $3,700. However, there’s also an important FVG (Fair Value Gap) between $3,664 and $3,674. If the first scenario fails, gold could sharply drop to fill this gap. I hope this analysis was helpful for you — stay tuned for more setups based on this outlook!
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
69
GBPCHF: A Lesson in Money Management Over Perfect SetupsCame across a textbook short setup on GBPCHF on the 1H recently. The price action was within a defined range, structure was bearish, and it was signaling a potential entry. However, the trade was a pass. Why? The stop loss was simply too wide for my account size, creating a sub-optimal risk-to-reward ratio that fell below my personal 1:2 minimum rule. This is a reminder that a good technical setup is only one part of the equation. The real discipline is in the money management—calculating the position size and risk before ever entering a trade. Sometimes, the best trade is the one you don't take.
Education
by TheInvestor_Diary
XAUUSD Short: Awaiting Rejection from the Supply LineHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been defined by a broadening wedge pattern, signaling a period of expanding volatility. This structure has been formed by a series of higher highs and lower lows, with key pivot points establishing the diverging supply and demand lines. This indicates a fierce but structured battle between buyers and sellers within a clear range. Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point at the top of this wedge. Following a strong rally from the demand line, the price is now directly testing the descending supply line. This is a high-liquidity area where seller initiative has previously overwhelmed buyers, making it a key decision point for the market. The primary scenario anticipates a rejection from this supply line, continuing the rotational pattern within the wedge. The expectation is that sellers will defend this upper boundary and initiate a new downward swing back towards support. A failure to break out higher would confirm the short-term corrective scenario. The take-profit is therefore set at 3595, targeting the upper part of the first major demand zone. Manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by heniitrading
2
USD/JPY 4H chart..USD/JPY 4H chart: Current price: ~147.29 Support zone: ~146.70 – 147.00 (price recently bounced here) Breakout structure: Price broke above a descending trendline and is consolidating near volume support. 📌 Upside targets: Target 1 (TP1) → ~148.20 – 148.30 (next resistance cluster + high-volume node) Target 2 (TP2) → ~149.00 – 149.10 (major resistance + prior rejection zone) So trade plan could be: ✅ Entry: Around ~147.20 – 147.30 (after breakout retest) 🎯 TP1: 148.20 – 148.30 🎯 TP2: 149.00 – 149.10
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
3
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD, 30M timeframe): XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD, 30M timeframe): Price recently touched a resistance zone (highlighted in blue at the top around 3695 – 3700) and is now pulling back. my drawn two yellow target zones below: 1. First target zone: around 3670 – 3660 2. Second deeper target zone: around 3635 – 3630 So, if price continues rejecting from the resistance and follows the bearish projection you’ve marked, the first target is ~3660–3670, and the second target is ~3630–3635. 📌 Important: Keep an eye on the Ichimoku cloud support (blue shaded area). If price bounces there, it may not reach the lower target.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by RSI_Trading_point
14
EUR/USD: Bullish Breakout to 1.20 Amid Fed Rate Cut Hype EUR/USD: Bullish Breakout to 1.20 Amid Fed Rate Cut Hype and #Fed Trends Buzz? 1.1920 Target in Sight? EUR/USD is trading at 1.1878 today, up 0.3% amid surging to a fresh four-year high as markets brace for the Fed's interest rate decision later, with expectations of a 50bps cut to 4.00-4.25% fueling dollar weakness. This comes as South Africa's Treasury eyes new Eurobonds post-$2B redemption, potentially bolstering Euro demand amid broader EM inflows. Just as #Fed racks up 12K mentions on X with rate cut speculation exploding, and #business trends highlight global bond stability (e.g., SA's move), EUR/USD's rally ties into ECB hawkishness versus Fed easing—positioning it as a high-conviction pair for September volatility. But with RSI overbought, is EUR/USD poised for a breakout to 1.20, or will a hawkish Fed surprise trigger a pullback? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 17, 2025. Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD's strength stems from diverging monetary policies, with the ECB holding rates steady at 3.50% while Fed cut bets hit 65% for 50bps today, pressuring the dollar index to 98.50 lows. Analysts forecast a potential climb to 1.1920 if cuts confirm, with 2025 averages eyed at 1.15 amid Eurozone recovery data like 0.3% Q2 GDP growth. With #Fed trends going viral on X, the pair's sensitivity to dot plot signals undervalues its upside if projections show three more cuts by year-end; however, sticky US inflation (core PCE at 2.6%) could cap gains if the Fed pauses. - **Positive:** - Fed easing expectations weaken USD, amplified by #Fed hype and SA Eurobond plans signaling global Euro appetite. - Eurozone resilience with PMI at 51.2 supports hawkish ECB, projecting 1.5% 2025 GDP growth versus US slowdown risks. - Broader trends in #business (e.g., EM bond inflows) position EUR/USD for 2%+ monthly gains if cuts deliver. - **Negative:** - Overbought conditions risk correction to 1.1762 if Fed signals fewer cuts, clashing with #Fed optimism. - Geopolitical tensions and US election uncertainty could strengthen USD as safe-haven if volatility spikes. SWOT Analysis **Strengths:** Policy divergence favors Euro with ECB's steady rates versus Fed cuts, amplified by #Fed relevance in weakening USD sentiment. **Weaknesses:** High sensitivity to US data; overbought momentum vulnerable in a #business-shifting market post-Fed. **Opportunities:** SA Eurobond tap boosts Euro liquidity; #Fed cut confirmation could narrow discount, with undervalued upside at current levels amid 1.5% projected 2025 appreciation. **Threats:** Hawkish Fed pivot eroding gains; competition from yen or pound if global easing synchronizes amid viral #Fed discussions. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, EUR/USD shows a bullish ascending channel breakout to four-year highs at 1.1878, with volume surging on Fed anticipation and mirroring #Fed volatility. The weekly confirms an inverse head-and-shoulders from summer lows, now extending higher. Current price: 1.1878, with VWAP at 1.1850 as intraday pivot. Key indicators: - **RSI (14-day):** At 72, overbought but holding bullish—potential bounce signal amid #Fed surge. 📈 - **MACD:** Positive histogram expanding, crossover intact for upside momentum. - **Moving Averages:** Price above 21-day EMA (1.1750) and 50-day SMA (1.1650), golden cross supporting bull trend. Support/Resistance: Key support at 1.1810 (recent low), resistance at 1.1920 (Fib target) and 1.2000 (psychological). Patterns/Momentum: Channel extension targets 1.1920; fueled by #Fed momentum. 🟢 Bullish signals: Higher highs on volume. 🔴 Bearish risks: RSI divergence could prompt drop to 1.1690. Scenarios and Risk Management - **Bullish Scenario:** Break above 1.1920 on dovish Fed targets 1.2000; go long on pullbacks to 1.1810, especially if #Fed goes mainstream with cuts. - **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below 1.1810 eyes 1.1762; watch for death cross amid #Fed fade if hikes signal. - **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound 1.1810–1.1920 if dot plot mixed and #Fed cools. Risk Tips: Use stops at 1.1790. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid correlation traps with #Fed-linked pairs like USD/JPY. Conclusion/Outlook Overall, a bullish bias if EUR/USD holds 1.1810, supercharged by today's #Fed and #business trends, with 1%+ upside to 1.20 on rate cut confirmation. But watch the Fed decision for confirmation—this fits September's policy divergence theme, but SA Eurobonds add supportive Euro tailwinds. What’s your take? Bullish on EUR/USD amid #Fed cuts or hedging the dip? Share in the comments!
by DCAChampion
EUR/JPY: Bullish Continuation Within Upward Channel Toward 2024 EUR/JPY is trading within a well-defined upward channel, holding above the 173.30 support level while gradually advancing. The recent breakout from consolidation has shifted focus to the 174.50 resistance zone, which coincides with the current 2024 high. As long as the pair stays above the rising trendline, bullish momentum remains in place, with structure favoring further upside extension. With buyers in control, the outlook continues to support a continuation toward resistance in the near term.
Long
by RTED_Investing
GOLD What Next? BUY! My dear subscribers, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 3674.9 pivot level. Bias - Bullish My Stop Loss - 3669.3 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 3685.6 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDUSD May Be at Key Juncture for Long-Term Trend ChangeAUDUSD is at a critical juncture in both the medium and long term. It has broken above the downward trendline (green downtrend) that began in 2011. A trend channel from 2021 (yellow), whose upper line is almost identical to that same green trendline, has also been broken. This could signal a major shift for AUD traders, as dynamics that held from 2011 to 2025 may no longer apply. Fundamentals support this potential change. Headline inflation is at 2.1 percent, but short-term data suggest the fight against inflation may not be fully over. CPI is expected to bounce back to 2.68 percent by the end of 2026, meaning fast rate cuts are unlikely. Unlike the US, Australia shows no clear downtrend in net employment change, which is very supportive for the AUD. On growth, forecasts for 2026 show Australia’s GDP at a median 2.20 percent compared to 1.70 percent for the US. With similar CPI forecasts, this gives the AUD an advantage over the USD. On the fiscal side, Australia is in much better shape than the US, with a lower budget deficit and far lower debt-to-GDP. Despite lower debt, lower deficit, lower inflation, and lower rates, Australia’s 10-year bond yield stands at 4.22 percent compared to 4.02 percent in the US. This is a serious imbalance in both yields and currency, one that will likely return to balance within a year, perhaps sooner. Both technically and fundamentally, AUDUSD looks bullish in the medium and long term. In the short term, however, direction may hinge on the FOMC. Price is now near the upper line of the green shorter-term channel. A possible downward correction could bring AUDUSD back to the lower line, retesting the long-term channel in a single big move. If so, it could mark the best buying opportunity for AUD bulls. Still, the dollar index itself is testing its long-term trend dating back to 2011, so a downward correction may not materialize at all. Traders should plan accordingly.
Long
by ftdsystem
#024: Short Investment Opportunity on NZD/CHF In recent days, NZD/CHF has shown a technical recovery after the late summer decline. However, the rebound stalled at a medium-term dynamic resistance line, coinciding with the main moving average, where the price began to show signs of exhaustion. Hello, I'm Andrea Russo, an independent Forex trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time. The latest 8-hour candlesticks show upper shadows and declining volume, typical signs of a loss of buyer strength. On the intermarket front, the New Zealand dollar remains weakened by the RBNZ's more cautious outlook, while the Swiss franc continues to benefit from its safe-haven status amid global uncertainty. Market sentiment remains unbalanced: most retail traders remain opposed to the prevailing trend, reinforcing the hypothesis that institutional pressure could foster further selling. Futures and options data also show a bearish bias, with order concentrations just below the current resistance area. Expected scenario: an extension of the corrective move toward underlying support, likely confirmed in the next few candles. Any short-term spikes above recent levels should be interpreted as false breakouts designed to raise liquidity before a new bearish impulse. In summary, NZD/CHF is at a crucial point: either the pullback leaves room for a resumption of the underlying downtrend, or the market will have to decisively break through the current resistance to invalidate the scenario.
Short
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Double Blow for the USD/CAD MarketDouble Blow for the USD/CAD Market Today, the USD/CAD market faces a “double blow” from central banks: → At 16:45 GMT+3, the Bank of Canada will announce its decision. The rate is expected to be cut from 2.75% to 2.50%. → At 21:00 GMT+3, the Federal Reserve will follow with its own rate announcement. Both events will be accompanied by statements from the central bank chairmen on future outlooks, and the USD/CAD market is likely to experience heightened volatility today. Technical Analysis of the USD/CAD Chart When analysing the USD/CAD chart earlier this month, we noted the formation of a symmetrical narrowing triangle (a sign of balance between supply and demand), bounded by: → a long-term descending channel (red), which has been in place since early February; → a short-term channel (blue), shaped by price fluctuations since mid-summer. At that time, we suggested that supply and demand forces would keep USD/CAD in a temporary state of equilibrium until today. Since then: → the price has reversed sharply from the upper boundary of the triangle (marked with an arrow); → on the eve of key announcements, the pair is attempting to consolidate below the lower boundary, signalling bearish pressure (in other words, a shift in balance in favour of supply). Key observations: → the aggressive nature of the September support breakout (S); → the decline towards the critical 1.3725 level, which has acted as support since August. Given the above, we could assume that the market is leaning bearish. Today’s announcements could trigger a downward impulse in USD/CAD – in this context, the chart may be interpreted through: → a potential breakout of the bearish flag pattern (formed by the blue channel); → prospects for the resumption of the broader downtrend within the red channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Gold corrects ahead of rate cut (bullish) Gold is rebounding from trend resistance ahead of the new week. The market was not ready to buy at high prices ahead of a possible Fed interest rate cut. Under pressure from sellers, the price of gold is falling to retest trend support. The price attraction zone is support at 3657-3646. Below this area, there is an accumulation of trader positions that may be liquidated before the price begins to rise. As for the Fed, rates are likely to be cut, but it will be necessary to monitor what Powell says about future policy. If he supports 2-3 interest rate cuts, gold may continue its global growth...
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
5