EURUSD Update: Target 2 Hit + Wave Extension | USDJPY ConflictFollow-up on yesterday's EURUSD call plus new USDJPY analysis showing interesting timeframe conflict.
📉 EURUSD UPDATE - Target 2 Achieved
Yesterday's Outcome:
Price broke below our second target as prescribed. The bearish setup played out perfectly.
Current Analysis:
Wave structure on the 5-minute chart shows significant downside potential remains.
🌊 Wave Structure Breakdown:
Current Position: Wave 2 printing extension
What This Means:
Wave 2 is extending, which creates a specific roadmap for the move:
Expected Sequence:
Wave 2 Extension - Current phase (5 data points)
Momentum Low (Wave 3) - Strong downside move
Pullback (Wave 4) - Brief correction
Concluding Wave 5 - Final leg down
Trading Strategy:
Sell every structural rally on the 5-minute chart. Each pullback within this wave structure represents a selling opportunity as the larger downtrend continues.
Execution: Wait for rallies to structural levels, then sell the rejection.
💴 USDJPY ANALYSIS - Timeframe Conflict
The Interesting Setup:
USDJPY is showing conflicting signals across timeframes—a common but tradeable scenario.
5-Minute Chart (Short-Term):
Price broke above the last rally high. Technically, this break signals exhaustion and creates a sell signal—a potential failure pattern where price breaks higher but can't sustain.
1-Hour Chart (Bigger Picture):
The larger timeframe structure still suggests higher prices should be expected. The bullish trend remains intact on the H1.
⚖️ The Conflict:
5Min: Bearish (break and potential failure)
1HR: Bullish (trend still up)
How to Trade This:
Two approaches depending on your style:
Approach 1 - Timeframe Priority:
Favour the H1 bias (bullish). Use 5-min pullbacks as buying opportunities within the larger uptrend.
Approach 2 - Short-Term Traders:
Trade the 5-min sell signal for a quick scalp, but manage risk tightly and expect the H1 trend to eventually reassert itself.
Recommended: Wait for timeframe alignment. When 5-min and H1 agree, the probability increases significantly.
Summary:
EURUSD: Sell structural rallies—Wave 2 extension suggests more downside
USDJPY: Timeframe conflict—5min bearish, H1 bullish. Wait for clarity or trade with appropriate timeframe bias.
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Forexanalysis
EURUSD at Key Supply Zone – Shorts AheadEURUSD is reacting from a strong supply zone after taking buy-side liquidity. Price shows rejection and potential lower-high formation, suggesting a bearish continuation toward demand zones. Waiting for confirmation before entry. Trade with proper risk management.
XAGUSD Analysis - Strong Sell-Off & Bullish Reversal Is Loading 📊 XAGUSD (Silver) – 30 Minute Chart Detailed Analysis
This chart presents a 30-minute timeframe analysis of XAGUSD, highlighting a sharp bearish displacement, a key reaction zone, and the potential for a short-term bullish reversal if confirmation appears.
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Price was previously in a clear bullish structure, forming higher highs and higher lows.
After topping near the 64.50 – 64.70 area, the market printed a strong impulsive bearish candle, breaking the prior structure decisively.
This move qualifies as a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, indicating aggressive sell-side participation.
📉 Impulsive Move & Liquidity Sweep
The large bearish candle suggests:
Liquidity grab above recent highs
Institutional selling pressure
The move also fulfilled a measured move (≈ 2x range expansion), often seen at temporary exhaustion points.
🟦 Reversal Zone (Key Area of Interest)
The highlighted blue box represents a demand / mitigation zone around 61.70 – 61.95.
This area aligns with:
Previous minor consolidation
Reaction after strong displacement
Potential order block / imbalance mitigation
Price is currently consolidating inside this zone, indicating hesitation and reduced momentum from sellers.
🔄 What the Market Needs (Confirmation Logic)
At this level, the market does NOT justify immediate entries. A valid trade requires confirmation, such as:
Bullish engulfing candle
Strong rejection wicks from the zone
Break and close above short-term internal highs
Change of character (CHOCH) on lower timeframes
👉 The chart explicitly notes “Need Pattern”, emphasizing patience and discipline.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If confirmation occurs:
Expect a pullback-reversal toward:
62.80
63.50
Potentially the previous high zone if momentum builds
This would be a corrective move, not yet a full trend reversal unless higher structure confirms.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold the reversal zone:
Continuation toward:
61.20
60.80
This would confirm sellers remain in control and the zone has failed.
🧠 Trading Psychology Insight
This setup rewards:
Patience
Confirmation-based entries
Risk management over prediction
The market has already moved aggressively — the edge lies in waiting, not chasing.
RBA Holds Firm – Fed Turns Dovish: AUDUSD Ready to Surge!When looking at AUDUSD right now, we’re seeing a pair supported by both fundamentals and technicals. The RBA holding rates steady and refusing to ease policy, while the Fed shifts toward rate cuts and a more dovish tone , has weakened the USD and given the AUD a clear short-term advantage.
On the H1 chart, price was recently rejected from a strong resistance zone and is now pulling back toward the support area around 0.6620 — a level aligned with the recent swing low and the lower edge of the Ichimoku cloud. If price holds this zone and shows bullish reaction, the ideal scenario is for AUDUSD to form a higher low and retest 0.6650, potentially extending toward the upper resistance band.
As long as the higher-low structure remains intact and price stays above this key support region, the preferred approach is still buying on dips , rather than fighting the trend. Now we simply wait to see whether the market offers a “clean pullback” into 0.6620 for an entry — or decides to break upward without hesitation.
EURUSD Bearish Setup Triggered — TRZ + PRZ Confluence AheadToday, I want to share a short setup for EURUSD( FX:EURUSD ) and explain why this could be a great opportunity, so stay tuned!
Right now, EURUSD has entered a heavy resistance zone($1.192-$1.166), Time Reversal Zone(TRZ), and is approaching a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) .
The EURUSD also seems to be near the upper lines of two ascending channels, making a breakout less likely in the immediate term.
Additionally, a negative Regular Divergence(RD-) can be observed between the two peaks on the 4-hour chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
EURUSD reacted bearishly after the latest U.S. Unemployment Claims came in much stronger than expected (191K vs. 219K forecast). The data signals a resilient labor market, reducing expectations for near-term Fed rate cuts and giving the U.S. dollar fresh momentum as long as yields remain supported, with rallies facing selling interest unless the broader macro tone shifts in favor of risk assets.
Given these factors, I anticipate that EURUSD, after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel(small), could drop at least to $1.15940.
First Target: $1.1594
Stop Loss(SL): $1.172
Points may shift as the market evolves
What do you think about EURUSD? Will it break through the heavy resistance and the PRZ, or not?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Euro/U.S Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
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Ready for Big Move | Liquidity Sweep Setup Explained📌 Market Structure Update:
Gold is currently trading inside a tightening triangle pattern, showing clear liquidity grabs on both sides. After yesterday’s strong drop, price tapped a key demand zone and reacted aggressively. Now the market is moving between well-defined supply & demand zones, giving both bullish and bearish setups.
🔶 Key Observations
🟫 Major Supply Zone (Top Zone)
Price previously rejected strongly from this area, showing sellers are active here. If price retests this zone again, expect another possible sell reaction.
🟨 Intraday Supply Zone
A smaller supply just below the major zone. Price may spike into this area before giving downside continuation or bull trap.
🔷 Triangle Structure
Price is squeezing between diagonal support & resistance. A breakout is coming soon.
📉 Bearish Scenario
Failure to break the triangle top or rejection from the yellow zone may push price back into demand, and a break of the blue support could target the 4,180 liquidity zone.
AUDUSD: Mild Uptrend Set to Continue!Hello traders! Today, we will analyze the AUDUSD currency pair, and based on both fundamental and technical factors, I believe that AUDUSD is set to continue its mild uptrend in the short term.
AUDUSD is currently trading in an ascending channel , with strong support at 0.66265 and resistance targets around 0.66300 - 0.66600. The Fed maintains a stable monetary policy , helping USD remain steady , while the RBA continues its accommodative stance , supporting the AUD.
Clarifying the Fundamental Factors:
In the current market context, the Fed has maintained a stable monetary policy, which allows USD to retain its stability compared to other currencies, including the AUD. The Fed has no immediate plans to cut interest rates, creating a relatively stable environment for the USD, which supports its value against other currencies.
Although the RBA still maintains an accommodative policy, there have been no significant moves recently, but the economic stability in Australia continues to support the AUD. Economic indicators have shown modest improvement, and the stability in the economy prevents the AUD from weakening sharply. As a result, this creates favorable conditions for AUDUSD to maintain its mild uptrend.
Good luck with your trading!
EURUSD Ready for Reversal Smart Money Sell SetupAfter a strong intraday correction, EURUSD is now moving inside a rising channel, showing clear signs of bullish exhaustion. Price tapped into the premium zone / supply area, where sellers previously dominated, and is now forming a corrective wave structure.
🔍 What the Chart Shows
Price created a sharp bullish leg but failed to break cleanly above the key resistance.
Multiple rejections inside the upper supply zone signal weakening buyers.
Market is building a liquidity trap with higher-high attempts inside a rising structure.
Once liquidity is taken from the top, price is expected to reverse aggressively.
📉 My Expectation
I’m anticipating one more liquidity grab into the supply zone…
Then a clean bearish reversal targeting the discount area shown in the chart.
🎯 Key Levels
Rejection Zone (Sell Area): 1.16600 – 1.16720
Bearish Target Zone: 1.16180 – 1.16220
Invalidation: Clear breakout above 1.16720
🧠 Why This Setup is High Probability
✔ Liquidity buildup above recent highs
✔ Clear supply zone reaction
✔ Weak corrective bullish structure
✔ Smart money price behavior
This is a classic “grab liquidity & drop” setup — ideal for swing/ intraday traders.
XAUUSD | Bullish Reversal From Demand Zone🔥 XAUUSD | Intraday Reversal Setup – Buying From Demand Zone 🔥
Gold (XAUUSD) just tapped a fresh intraday demand zone, showing a sharp rejection wicks and a strong bullish push back above structure. Price is forming a potential short-term reversal, giving a clean BUY setup with multiple Take-Profit levels.
🟢 Why This Buy Setup?
Price respected a key support zone with aggressive buyer reaction.
Strong bullish engulfing candle after liquidity sweep.
Market structure turning bullish on lower timeframe.
Clear RR with defined TP1, TP2, TP3.
🎯 Targets (TP Levels)
TP1: Safe scalper target
TP2: Trend continuation target
TP3: Final extension target
🛡️ Stop Loss
SL placed below the rejection wick — protecting the setup while keeping RR favorable
USD/CHF – Watching for liquidity sweep into origin demandPrice is trading inside a clean descending channel.
Below current price sits untouched inducement — a liquidity pool that lines up perfectly with the origin demand zone where the previous impulsive rally started.
If price sweeps that inducement and taps the demand zone, I’ll look for confirmation (MSS + FVG/OB) for a potential move back toward the channel midline or upper boundary.
Bias: Bullish upon sweep + tap
Invalidation: Clean break below demand
Confluence: Channel low + origin demand + resting liquidity
Not financial advice.
EUR/GBP 2HR: Anticipating a Reversal from Fresh B-R Supply Zone📉 EUR/GBP 2H: Anticipating a Reversal from Fresh B-R Supply Zone
📝 Overview & Market Context
The EUR/GBP chart is currently illustrating a strong bullish trend on this intermediate timeframe, characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows. The price has been rising and is now approaching a significant historical level of supply that previously acted as a strong turning point.
The core idea is to identify the origin of the last major bearish drop and wait for the price to retrace into that unmitigated zone for a high-probability short entry, aligning with the concept that supply areas often contain large, pending sell orders from institutional players.
🔑 Key Technical Zones
The analysis highlights three critical price zones based on Supply and Demand principles:
1. B-R Supply (Break-Rally Supply) 🔴
Zone: The large red box spanning approximately 0.87500 to 0.87800.
Significance: This zone represents a fresh, unmitigated supply area—the origin of a prior decisive price drop. The pattern appears to be a Rally-Base-Drop (RBD) or a Break-Rally formation, where buyers absorbed price into a base before sellers took over, causing an aggressive move down.
Trading Thesis: This is the high-probability entry zone for a short position, as institutional sell orders are expected to still reside here. The psychological level of 0.87500 also provides a confluence point for resistance.
2. Demand Entry Origin (D-R-D) 🟢
Zone: The green box around 0.87100 to 0.87200.
Significance: This area acted as a Demand Zone (likely a Drop-Base-Rally or D-R-D base) that launched the current rally. This confirms that the buyers driving the current move are active, but it also provides a potential first Take Profit (T/P) target for the anticipated short trade. A break below this would likely confirm a major bearish reversal.
3. Confirmation/Invalidation Level 🔵
The level marked just below the B-R Supply Zone acts as a confirmation level. A decisive break and close above the entire red supply zone would invalidate the bearish trade setup, indicating that buyers have overwhelmed the institutional supply at this level.
📊 Trade Plan: Shorting the Retracement
Trade Direction: Short (Sell)
Entry Strategy: Wait for price to enter the B-R Supply Zone (0.87500 - 0.87800). Entry should be confirmed by a price action rejection signal, such as an engulfing candle or a pin bar, on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15M or 30M) to minimize risk.
Stop Loss (S/L): Place the Stop Loss just above the distal (furthest) boundary of the B-R Supply Zone (e.g., above 0.87850) to protect against a complete structural break higher.
Take Profit (T/P) 1: The Demand Entry Origin (D-R-D) at 0.87150, offering a quick risk/reward opportunity.
Take Profit (T/P) 2: A lower structural low, targeting areas around 0.86800 if the move proves to be a full trend reversal.
🌐 Fundamental Note
The EUR/GBP pair is primarily influenced by the monetary policies of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE), alongside UK-EU economic ties. Divergence in interest rate expectations or unexpected economic data releases (like UK GDP or Eurozone Industrial Production) could accelerate or invalidate this purely technical setup.
This technical analysis provides a framework for entry; however, confirmation from price action and awareness of fundamental releases are crucial for risk management.
To understand how to correctly identify and use Supply and Demand zones for higher probability trades, you may want to watch this video on How to Master and Trade Supply and Demand.
EURUSD SMC ICT ANALYSISMarket mostly move from external range liquidity to internal range liquidity.
now in eurusd , market has already taken buy side trendline liquidity & form strong bearish reaction which mean we can expect selling move.
4hr bullish ob is unmitigate , which increase the chance of selling.
Currently smc market structure is bearish , which signal selling looks valid.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold is once again moving toward its previous all-time high after completing a corrective move.
While the medium-term and long-term outlook remains bullish, we do not expect gold to break into new highs in the short term.
The current upward movement appears to be a corrective rally, and we anticipate a bearish reaction from the marked resistance zones.
Gold is currently moving within a channel, and the maximum upside expectation in this phase is a move toward the channel top, which also aligns with the previous all-time high resistance zone.
From this confluence area, we expect the rally to stall and a pullback toward lower support levels to begin.
If gold breaks above the channel top and prints a new all-time high, this analysis becomes invalid, signaling stronger bullish momentum than anticipated.
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AUD/USD: Strong Support Fuels Bullish MomentumCurrently, AUD/USD is testing the strong support at 0.6465, with the price sitting at 0.64990. After touching this support level, the market could rebound strongly due to the solid consolidation trend and support from lower levels.
Technical Analysis:
The chart shows that AUD/USD is in a consolidation pattern, with strong support at 0.6465. If the price maintains above this support, AUD/USD could continue its bullish momentum, aiming for the next resistance level at 0.6540.
News Factor:
The weaker-than-expected CPI (Consumer Price Index) data in the U.S. has increased the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in December. This provides favorable conditions for risk assets like AUD/USD. The Australian Dollar benefits from the weakening USD as investors expect the Fed to reduce rates, boosting demand for the Australian Dollar.
Next Scenario:
If AUD/USD stays above the 0.6490 support level and does not drop below 0.6465, there is a high probability of breaking the 0.6540 resistance level and continuing upward.
EUR/USD – H1 Wedge Breakout |Bullish Momentum Targeting 1.1600📌 Setup Overview FX:EURUSD
EUR/USD has broken out of a falling wedge on H1, signalling a potential bullish trend reversal.
Price has reclaimed the Ichimoku cloud — now acting as support, showing fresh buyer strength.
• Pattern: Wedge Breakout Pattern
• Timeframe: H1 Chart
• Bias: Bullish
• Reason for setup: Breakout & Retested
🎯 Trading Plan
• Entry idea: Retest of breakout zone for confirmation before continuation
• TP1: 1.15886 (1st Resistance)
• TP2: 1.16148 (2nd Resistance / liquidity sweep zone)
🧠 Fundamental Drivers
1️⃣ 80% probability the Federal Reserve cuts rates in December → weaker USD supports bullish EUR/USD
2️⃣ Upcoming high-impact data to watch:
• EUR – German GDP
• USD – Core PPI
• USD – Retail Sales
Fundamentals currently favour bullish EUR side, with USD losing momentum.
#EURUSD #forex #forexanalysis #priceaction #chartanalysis #technicalanalysis #fundamentalanalysis #tradingview #supportandresistance #smartmoney #breakout #wedgebreakout #ichimokucloud #marketstructure
📌 What to expect
Break/retest continuation structure suggests 1.1588 is the first magnet.
If momentum remains strong, price could extend to 1.1614 liquidity zone.
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⚠ Disclaimer:
Trade for education/study only. Manage risk according to your own system.
USDCAD is set to go 700 pip up!💹 Trade Setup USD/CAD
USD/CAD has formed a bullish channel with recent formation of inverted head and shoulder on the support level of the rising channel.
Weekly price action is has shown strong rejection from the support level with multiple liquidity grab.
with weaker CPI 2.9% where the forecast is 3.1% on CAD as well as continued bearish trend in Crude Oil ( as CAD is highly influence to WTI price ) putting CAD under pressure, While strong NFP data Non-Farm Employment Change 119k while forecast 53k boosting DXY making USD /CAD one of the strongest USD currency pairs to trade on
📈Trading Idea :
Look for bullish setup after false breakout of daily support at 1.4080 and rejection above
✈️Targets
1st Resistance 1.4543
2nd Resistance: 1.4799
🔴Stop level
at or below 1.3971 as this is the lower shadow of the inverted head and shoulder.
Follow for more ideas and update on this pair and other pairs !
CADJPY – Update & ExecutionYesterday, our CADJPY position was stopped out at 111.65. The trend-changing pattern between Wave 3 and Wave 4 remains valid.
The wave that broke the Wave 3 structure extended beyond expectations, and price has now confirmed a breakdown with a second lower low on the M5 timeframe.
We have re-entered short at 111.94, with a stop loss at the high of the day (112.28).
Our target remains 110.92.
USDCAD: Mild Bullish ForecastUSDCAD is currently in a mild uptrend, driven by the strengthening of the USD and the weakening of the CAD. The pair continues to hold above a strong support trendline and is testing the resistance area at 1.40600. News about Canada’s inflation in October showed a slight decrease, weakening the CAD and providing an opportunity for the USD to continue its strength.
On the 4H chart, we can see USDCAD trading within an accumulation zone between 1.40000 and 1.40600. Although some small pullbacks may occur, the overall trend remains mildly bullish. If the price maintains above the support at 1.40000, it is likely to continue its uptrend toward 1.40600.
Forecast:
With the supporting technical factors and fundamental news, USDCAD may continue to rise in the short term, with the next target being 1.40600. Traders may look for buy signals when the price pulls back to 1.40000 to enter the trend.
EURCHF SHORT SETUP ( 20 NOV 2025 )If you have doubt on our trades you can test in demo.
OANDA:EURCHF SHORT SETUP
📊 EP: 0.92895
💵 TP: 0.92804
❌ SL: 0.92942
Trade Ideas:
Idea is clearly shown on chart + we have some secret psychologies and tools behind this.
Trade Signal:
I provide trade signals here so follow my account and you can check my previous analysis. So don't miss trade opportunity so follow must.
CADJPY: Ending Diagonal + RD(_) = Downtrend StartingToday, I’d like to share a Short positioning opportunity on the CADJPY pair .
In the current scenario, CADJPY is moving within a Resistance zone(112.100 JPY-109.500 JPY) and is close to a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) as well as the upper line of the ascending channel.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that CADJPY is completing the microwave 5 of the microwave C of the main wave Y , and the microwave 5 appears to be forming an Ending Diagonal .
Additionally, we can observe a negative Regular Divergence (RD-) between the peaks.
Fundamental analysis : Considering the above analysis, and also taking into account the fundamental conditions, Canada’s core inflation came in softer than expected, reinforcing the BoC’s easing path, while JPY benefits from the current risk-off tone. Fundamentally, CADJPY remains biased to the downside.
Finally, based on all the above, I expect that CADJPY will begin its downward trend, with a First target at 109.103 JPY
Take Profit(2): 108.543 JPY
Stop Loss(SL): 118.820 JPY(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Canadian Dollar/ Japanese Yen Analysis (CADJPY), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Warning: AUD/USD Sinking – Any Reversal Ahead?Hello everyone, today we’ll analyze the AUD/USD pair in the context of its clear downtrend.
In terms of news, the USD is strengthening due to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates high, putting pressure on the AUD. Additionally, the lack of supportive data from Australia recently has made investors concerned about the economic outlook of the country.
From a technical perspective, the chart shows that AUD/USD is in a downtrend as the price breaks through a descending triangle pattern . The resistance at 0.65200 has been rejected several times, and the buying pressure is weakening. This indicates that the downtrend could continue, especially as the price has tested and failed to break through this resistance level.
The next key support levels are 0.64700 and 0.64200. If the price breaks these support levels, the downtrend will likely accelerate. Given the current context, AUD/USD may continue to fall in the short term, unless there’s an unexpected shift in policy from the Fed or Australia .
In conclusion, the downtrend of AUD/USD is clear and significant . The support levels at 0.64700 and 0.64200 are important levels to watch for trading.
US100 | Bullish Reversal From Demand Zone — Targeting 25,200 LiqUS100 has reacted strongly from the 24,400–24,900 major demand zone, showing a sharp rejection and reclaiming structure. Price is now building momentum toward the 25,200 buy-side liquidity level.
A clean consolidation + breakout pattern is forming just below liquidity, indicating potential continuation to the upside.
Market Breakdown:
HTF Bias: Bullish
Demand Zone: 24,400 – 24,900
Intraday Target: 25,201 liquidity zone
Extended Target: 25,722 (major buy-side liquidity)
Confirmation: Break & retest above 25,100
Invalidation: Clean break below 24,950
AUDNZD Rally Losing Steam – Watch This Reversal Zone!As we’ve seen, AUDNZD ( OANDA:AUDNZD ) recently began an upward move after forming a Falling Wedge Pattern , and it’s been in an Ascending Channel for about the past 16 days.
Currently, AUDNZD is moving into a Heavy Resistance zone(1.1662 NZD-1.1340 NZD) and a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems like AUDNZD is completing the microwave 5 of the main wave 3 . Once it breaks below the lower line of the ascending channel, we can somewhat confirm the end of the main wave 3.
Additionally, we can see a Negative Regular Divergence(RD-) forming between two consecutive peaks.
I expect that in the coming hours, AUDNZD might decline at least to the Support zone(1.1480 NZD-1.1444 NZD) . If it breaks that Support zone, we could see it dropping toward around 1.1353 NZD(Second Target) .
Stop Loss(SL): 1.16403 NZD
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Australian Dollar/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (AUDNZD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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