XAUUSD Professional OutlookXAUUSD Professional Outlook
Gold has been carving out a strong bullish structure, showing resilience after multiple liquidity sweeps and rejections from deeper zones. The chart indicates that buyers continue to dominate, with price currently pressing toward a critical resistance region.
🔹 Key Observations
Structure Alignment
The market has successfully defended every higher low, proving the strength of buyers.
Recent momentum confirms that demand zones are being respected while supply zones are gradually weakening.
Support & Demand Control
3320 – 3330 stands as a major structural support, where liquidity was swept and buyers re-entered aggressively.
Current buying zone around 3380 – 3400 is the short-term level where fresh orders may accumulate before continuation.
Resistance in Focus
The resistance block around 3415 – 3440 is the immediate test.
A rejection here could trigger a controlled pullback, but the probability favors a bullish breakout given the ongoing higher-low pattern.
Liquidity Dynamics
Smart money has already cleared liquidity below the July swing.
Market is now targeting liquidity pockets above, aligning with a push toward the 3440+ region.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Bullish Case (Higher Probability)
Buy retracement toward 3380 – 3400, with upside targets at 3440 and extended 3480 – 3500 if breakout occurs.
Bearish Risk Case
Failure to hold above 3380 could push price back into 3320 demand, where the larger bullish thesis would be tested.
📝 Final Note
Gold is operating in a controlled bullish cycle with momentum favoring buyers. As long as 3320 holds firm, dips remain buying opportunities, and the path of least resistance is upward. The upcoming test at 3440 will be decisive for either a strong continuation or a temporary pullback
Forexanalysis
AUDUSD Bulls Wake Up | Long Setup After CPI ReportToday I want to share with you my LONG position on AUDUSD ( OANDA:AUDUSD ) on the pretext of the release of the CPI y/y index .
Let's take a look at the AUDUSD from a fundamental and technical perspective .
AUDUSD Fundamental Outlook:
Australia’s CPI surprised to the upside at 2.8% YoY (vs. 2.3% exp., 1.9% prev.), mainly boosted by higher electricity costs after rebates expired. Core inflation (trimmed mean) also rose to 2.7% , reducing the odds of a near-term RBA rate cut.
Short-term : Mildly bullish — strong CPI supports AUD as markets price out aggressive RBA easing.
Medium-term : Neutral-to-slightly bullish — sustainability of inflation is uncertain since part of the rise came from temporary energy factors.
----------------------------------------
Now let's take a look at the AUDUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame .
AUDUSD is approaching the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the Support zone($0.6450-$0.6437) , the Yearly Pivot Point , and a Heavy Support zone($0.6440-$0.6338) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , AUDUSD appears to be completing a corrective wave . The corrective wave on the 1-hour time frame is most likely an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect AUDUSD to start rising to at least $0.6490 .
Second Target: $0.6514
Stop Loss(SL): $0.6425(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze (AUDUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GBPUSD Long Setup: Strong Services & Weak USD in FocusToday, we will examine the long position of GBPUSD ( OANDA:GBPUSD ) together from a fundamental and technical perspective .
Please stay with me.
GBPUSD Fundamental Analysis :
GBP Strength Signals:
CPI y/y: 3.8% vs 3.7% expected → higher inflation → less likelihood of rate cuts → supports GBP.
Flash Services PMI: 53.6 vs 51.8 expected → strong service sector → positive for GBP.
GBP Weak Signals:
Flash Manufacturing PMI: 47.3 vs 48.2 expected → contraction in manufacturing → short-term pressure on GBP.
USD Weak Signals:
US Unemployment Claims: 235K vs 226K expected → weaker labor market → negative for USD.
Summary:
Overall, data favors GBP over USD. Short-term to medium-term, GBPUSD is likely to show upside momentum, driven by strong services, higher inflation, and weaker USD labor data. Watch for upcoming US data or Fed comments that could change this bias.
Note: Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI will publish soon.
Note: Tomorrow, we will have Fed Chair Powell speak.
------------------------------------------
Now let's take a technical look at the GBPUSD on the 4-hour timeframe .
GBPUSD is currently moving near the Heavy Support zone($1.343-$1.313) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , GBPUSD seems to have completed the corrective waves . The first signal to confirm the end of the corrective waves could be the break of the upper line of the descending channel . The corrective wave structure is most likely a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect GBPUSD to rise to at least $1.357 AFTER the break of the upper line of the descending channel .
Second Target: $1.363
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.3326 USD = Worst Stop Loss(SL)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
British Pound / U.S Dollar Analysis (GBPUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bearish Bat Pattern Forms – USDCHF Looks Ready to DropToday, I want to review USDCHF ( OANDA:USDCHF ) and lay out the fundamental and technical reasons supporting a Short position bias.
1-Fed policy expectations are the main focus — attention is on the Jackson Hole symposium and signals about the Fed’s path; this has tilted market pricing toward a less hawkish Fed.
2-Dovish bets weigh on the USD — markets are pricing in a softer Fed outlook (rate-cut expectations/pauses), which weakens the dollar.
3-CHF supported by safe-haven flows — amid global uncertainty, the Swiss franc tends to attract demand; SNB’s stance also matters for medium-term flows.
Fundamental takeaway: weaker USD (on Fed expectations) + safe-haven CHF demand = a reinforced bearish case for USDCHF in the short term.
-----------------------------------------------
Now let's take a look at the USDCHF chart on the 4-hour time frame .
USDCHF is trading in the Resistance zone(0.819 CHF-0.804 CHF) and near the Resistance line .
It also looks like USDCHF could continue its downtrend with the help of the Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern .
I expect USDCHF to decline at least to the Support lines .
Second Target: Support zone(0.783 CHF-0.767 CHF)
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 0.818 CHF
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
U.S Dollar/Swiss Franc Analysis (USDCHF), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURCAD Divergence + Wave 5 Complete → Correction Ahead?EURCAD ( OANDA:EURCAD ) started to fall after entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and hitting the Resistance line .
The question is whether EURCAD will continue to fall in the coming hours or not!!
EURCAD has already managed to break the Support lines and is moving close to the Support zone(1.612 CAD-1.600 CAD) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURCAD has managed to complete the main wave 5 , and we should wait for corrective waves .
I expect EURCAD to drop to at least 1.601 CAD AFTER breaking the Support zone(1.612 CAD-1.600 CAD) .
Second target: 1.597 CAD
Third target: Support line
Stop Loss(SL): 1.626 CAD
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/Canadian Dollar Analyze (EURCAD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURNZD Eyes 1.99 — Technical & Fundamental Bulls AlignedToday, I want to analyze EURNZD ( OANDA:EURNZD ) for you, which is in good shape both technically and fundamentally .
Please stay with me.
EURNZD is moving close to the Support zone(1.88750 NZD-1.7970 NZD) and 100_SMA(Daily) and has managed to form a Double Bottom Pattern .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , EURNZD seems to have completed the main wave 4 , and we should wait for the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 could complete at the Heavy Resistance zone(2.120 NZD-1.9927 NZD) .
-----------------------------------
EURNZD – Fundamental Analysis:
The EURNZD pair currently reflects a divergence between two very different economic outlooks.
Eurozone (EUR):
The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently begun cutting interest rates to support slowing economic activity, especially in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Despite this dovish shift, inflation remains relatively under control, and the euro has held up well against riskier currencies thanks to global uncertainty and safe-haven flows.
New Zealand (NZD):
New Zealand's economy is under pressure. The latest GDP figures confirmed a weak growth outlook, and signs of a technical recession are mounting. While the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a relatively hawkish tone, it faces a dilemma: inflation is sticky, but domestic demand and housing remain fragile. The RBNZ may be forced to soften its stance sooner than expected.
Outlook:
This fundamental backdrop supports a bullish bias for EURNZD. The euro’s relative stability versus the increasingly vulnerable New Zealand dollar makes this pair attractive for long positions — especially if upcoming NZ data disappoints or global risk sentiment weakens further.
-----------------------------------
Based on the above explanation, I expect EURNZD to rise to at least 1.9917 NZD .
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.8779 NZD
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (EURNZD), Daily time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Update on the Nasdaq trade idea I shared last night.An update on the trade idea of NASDAQ last night where I was anticipating a buy from the marked zone with other possible Point Of Interested marked out aswell.
Price behaved exactly the way I was anticipating, even though it hasn't went really far as of yet.
Gold Eyes Short-Term Pullback Before Key Support Test"Gold Eyes Short-Term Pullback Before Key Support Test 🏆📉"
Market Structure
The chart shows a clear range-bound price action between the strong support near 3,303 – 3,316 and the resistance zone around 3,420 – 3,440.
Multiple Higher Lows (HL) indicate that the market has been trying to build a bullish structure, but the recent level rejection from resistance suggests sellers are still defending that zone aggressively.
2. Key Zones
Resistance (3,420 – 3,440): Price tested this level and faced a sharp rejection, marking it as a strong supply zone.
Support (3,303 – 3,316): Historical buy reactions are seen here, making it a crucial demand zone.
Entry Zone: Around 3,351 – 3,360, which is being used for the current short setup.
3. Pattern & Price Action
BOS (Break of Structure) occurred earlier on the left side of the chart, breaking above previous highs and confirming bullish strength at that time.
BOL (Break of Low) later on indicates a shift in momentum, as price failed to maintain the bullish push and created a bearish swing.
The Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) earlier provided a springboard for upward movement, but recent momentum failed to sustain.
4. Current Trade Idea (Short Bias)
Entry: 3,351 – 3,360 (retracement to minor resistance after breakdown).
Stop Loss: Above 3,380, protecting against a false breakout.
Target: 3,316 (mid-term) with a possible extension to 3,303 if bearish pressure continues.
5. Sentiment & Risk Factors
Bears are currently favored due to the rejection from major resistance and the inability of bulls to reclaim 3,380+.
If the price reclaims and holds above 3,380, this short setup will be invalidated, and the market could retest 3,420 – 3,440.
📌 Summary:
XAUUSD is trading in a defined range, with the current structure leaning bearish after resistance rejection. A short position from the entry zone targets the strong support below, but traders should remain cautious as higher lows in the past indicate that bulls may still attempt to defend support aggressively.
GBPAUD Reverses from Key Zone – Long Setup in Play!Today I want to share with you a Long position on GBPAUD ( OANDA:GBPAUD ).
GBPAUD started to rise well from the Important Support line , Support zone(2.032 AUD-1.987 AUD) , and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and managed to close the 4-hour candle above 2.053 AUD (important) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , GBPAUD seems to have completed the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure was a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Also, along the way, we can see a Bullish Marubozu candle , which could indicate a continuation of the uptrend .
I expect GBPAUD to break the Resistance lines soon and attack the Resistance zone(2.078 AUD-2.066 AUD) .
First Target: 2.065 AUD
Second Target: 2.076 AUD
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 2.040 =Worst SL
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
British Pound/ Australian Dollar Analyze (GBPAUD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GBPUSD Technical Breakdown – High-Probability Rejection Play📉 GBPUSD Technical Breakdown – High-Probability Rejection Play
🔥 Clean Structure | Strong Confluences | Smart Money Insight
This GBPUSD setup is a textbook example of price action meeting institutional behavior.
🧠 Key Observations:
• Break of Structure (BOS) identified multiple times confirming clear trend shifts.
• Price tapped into a well-defined resistance zone and showed an aggressive rejection, validating seller presence.
• Liquidity grab from the highs led to an immediate drop, marking the start of bearish momentum.
🎯 Target Zones:
• First TP: 1.33009
• Second TP: 1.32375
• Final Target: 1.31443 (aligned with major support zone and BOS retest)
🛡 Why This Setup Matters:
• Strong rejection from premium zone
• BOS confirms direction
• Volume and structure align for high RR potential
• Clean imbalance fill expectations
✅ Plan:
Sell from rejection zone with SL above the wick high. Trail stops as price approaches each target.
Technical Breakdown (Smart Money Concepts-Based)📊 Technical Breakdown (Smart Money Concepts-Based):
🔹 Market Structure:
Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals show a bullish shift in momentum, especially after the recent CHoCH followed by BOS at the current price zone.
Strong bullish confirmation after reclaiming previous liquidity zones, indicating institutional interest.
🔹 Liquidity and Zones:
Buy-Side Liquidity above $3,420 is likely the short-term institutional target.
Price has clearly reacted from a strong support block near the $3,260–$3,280 area, confirming demand and institutional accumulation.
The highlighted Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligns with a mid-level retracement zone—ideal for potential pullbacks before continuation.
🔹 Key Supply & Demand:
Resistance Zone (3,420–3,450): Contains weak highs and unmitigated FVG—prime liquidity zone for a sweep.
Strong Demand Zone: Around $3,260 has shown repeated reaction; the base of bullish moves.
Imbalance Fill & Rejection Expected in FVG near $3,420.
🔮 Projection & Scenario:
Expected pullback toward $3,340–$3,350, followed by bullish continuation.
Targeting liquidity sweep at $3,420, aligned with Smart Money accumulation and distribution logic.
Monitor for reaction at $3,420 for either a rejection or a clean breakout, confirming further upside.
✅ Conclusion:
This setup suggests institutional buy-side pressure with targets on resting liquidity around $3,420. Smart Money is likely driving price toward that level to grab orders before the next big move.
EURAUD Ready to Bounce? Key Support & Fundamentals Aligned!Today I want to share a Long position idea on EURAUD ( OANDA:EURAUD ) with you.
From a fundamental perspective , both the Euro (EUR) and Australian Dollar (AUD) are currently under pressure. However, the Aussie appears fundamentally weaker in the short term, making the EURAUD Long setup more favorable at this stage.
AUD Weakness :
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has held rates steady at 3.85%, but recent inflation data has dropped to 2.7%, the lowest in over 3 years.
Most economists now expect the RBA to cut rates in its next meeting in August, possibly by 25 basis points.
Slowing economic growth and dovish forward guidance from the central bank are weighing heavily on AUD sentiment.
EUR Outlook :
The European Central Bank (ECB) is also facing weak economic data, but is taking a more cautious approach toward cutting rates.
Despite softer PMIs and sluggish growth in countries like Germany and France, the ECB has not confirmed a near-term rate cut, keeping EUR relatively stable.
This divergence between the RBA’s dovish stance and the ECB’s pause is supportive of EUR strength against AUD.
Summary :
With the RBA likely to ease policy soon and the ECB holding ground for now, the interest rate differential favors EURAUD upside. Fundamentals point toward further weakness in AUD, making the EURAUD Long a strategically sound trade idea for the coming days.
-------------------------------------------
Now let's analyze the conditions of the EURAUD chart on the 4-hour time frame .
EURAUD is currently trading near the Support zone(1.772 AUD-1.763 AUD) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and near the lower line of the descending channel .
According to Elliott Wave theory , EURAUD appears to have completed a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect EURAUD to rise to at least 1.784 AUD .
Second Target: 1.792 AUD
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.762 AUD
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/Australian Dollar Analyze (EURAUD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
AUDNZD Technical + Fundamental Align for DownsideToday I want to analyze a short position on the AUDNZD ( OANDA:AUDNZD ) pair, first, let's look at it from a fundamental analysis perspective .
Fundamental View on AUDNZD
Key reasons to short AUDNZD:
Australian weakness:
Recent data show weakening consumer sentiment and declining building approvals. The RBA seems hesitant to hike further, putting pressure on the Aussie.
New Zealand resilience:
The RBNZ maintains a relatively hawkish stance. Inflation is still a concern, and the central bank is committed to keeping rates high, supporting NZD strength.
Monetary policy divergence:
The divergence between RBA’s dovish stance and RBNZ’s hawkish approach supports further downside in AUDNZD.
----------------------
Now let's take a look at AUDNZD from a technical analysis perspective on the 4-hour timeframe .
AUDNZD is currently trading in a Heavy Resistance zone(1.0963 NZD-1.0870 NZD) near the upper line of the Range Channel , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Yearly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , AUDNZD appears to be completing microwave B of microwave Y of the main wave 4 .
I expect AUDNZD to drop to at least 1.0904 NZD(First Target) based on the above explanation .
Second Target: 1.0886 NZD
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.0963 NZD
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Australian Dollar/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (AUDNZD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EUR/USD Elliott Wave Count Signals Downside TargetsThe EUR/USD chart is displaying a completed 5-wave Elliott impulse structure, suggesting the potential start of a larger corrective move to the downside. Wave 5 appears to have finished after a classic ending diagonal pattern, with price now breaking below the wave 4 support trendline — a strong confirmation of trend exhaustion.
Currently, price is retracing upward towards the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone of the last impulsive leg, around 1.15912–1.16383, which may serve as the final rejection zone for bears to re-enter. This area aligns perfectly with prior support-turned-resistance and is considered the potential reversal pocket.
If price holds below the 1.17869 invalidation level, the structure supports the beginning of an ABC correction or a larger bearish impulse.
Target 1 (T1): 1.14800
Target 2 (T2): 1.13915
Stop Loss (SL): 1.17869
This scenario remains valid as long as the price does not break above 1.17869. A clean break and close above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a possible wave extension.
GBPUSD: Selling the Retest | Clean Break, Wait for Confirmation🔻 GBPUSD | Sell the Retest of Broken Support
Timeframe: 1H
Bias: Bearish
Type: Break and Retest
📊 Technical Setup
GBPUSD has broken a key 4H support zone (~1.3460–1.3494) which now acts as a turncoat resistance. Price is currently pulling back, offering a prime opportunity to sell the retest.
• Entry: 1.3460–1.3490 (after confirmation of rejection)
• SL: Above 1.3508
• TP: 1.3398
• RR: ~1:2
• RSI: Bearish momentum, RSI < 50 with mild recovery—ideal for a fade trade
📉 Macro & Fundamental Confluence
• GBP: Despite hawkish BOE tone, GBP is showing technical weakness and soft CFTC positioning
• USD: Strong macro bias with rising conditional score and delayed Fed cuts (still supporting USD strength)
• Seasonal Bias: GBPUSD marked bearish in seasonal chart
• COT Data: GBP positioning turning bearish after previous net build-up
🧭 Gameplan
“Wait for the retest of broken support-turned-resistance to reject before entering short. Stick to the zone.”
🔔 Set alerts around 1.3460–1.3490 and monitor for bearish engulfing or pinbar confirmation.
XAUUSD – Strong Bullish Reversal from Key Support XAUUSD – Strong Bullish Reversal from Key Support
Chart Summary:
Gold (XAUUSD) has shown a clear reaction from a strong support zone near 3260, suggesting bullish momentum is gaining strength. The chart highlights multiple key market structure elements and confirms the potential for a bullish move.
Technical Highlights:
🔻 Strong Support Zone (3260–3280):
Price tapped into a well-defined demand zone with historical significance, initiating a bullish response.
🔺 Resistance Zone (3460+):
A strong resistance level lies ahead. This area may act as a potential target for bulls.
🔁 Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple BOS marks on the chart indicate trend shifts and liquidity grabs. Most recent BOS aligns with potential reversal.
💹 Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A bullish FVG near mid-structure confirms institutional interest and adds confluence to the upside move.
📈 Target: 3,366.984 USD
Marked as the next probable short-term liquidity target. If momentum sustains, price may approach resistance above this.
Price Expectation:
If the current bullish momentum holds above the strong support zone, we may see a rally towards 3,366–3,400 USD.
This move could be driven by:
Buy-side liquidity grab above prior highs
Breakout traders entering above BOS
Reaction to macroeconomic calendar (highlighted on the chart)
✅ Educational Takeaway:
This is a textbook example of:
Support-resistance flip
Liquidity concepts (Buy-Side Liquidity)
Fair Value Gaps usage
Volume Profile confluence
GBP/USD Professional Analysis – “Trap Trigger at Support”GBP/USD Professional Analysis – “Trap Trigger at Support”
📈 Market Overview:
• Pair: GBP/USD
• Timeframe: Likely 1H or 2H based on candle spacing
• Date: July 28, 2025
• Current Price: 1.33529
⸻
🔍 Technical Breakdown
🔴 Resistance Zone: 1.35800 – 1.36200
• Strong supply area where the last bullish impulse failed.
• Price got rejected hard, initiating a new downtrend.
• Sell-side pressure was confirmed with Supertrend turning red.
🟤 Support Zone: 1.32860 – 1.33400
• Major demand area where price previously reversed sharply.
• Currently being tested again after a clean sweep into the Trap Trigger zone.
⚠ Trap Trigger Zone (Liquidity Sweep Area):
• Price wicked just below support, tapping into a low-volume/high-liquidity area.
• This wick likely cleared sell-side liquidity and trapped breakout sellers.
• Followed by a bullish rejection wick, implying smart money accumulation.
⸻
🛠 Indicators & Tools:
• Supertrend (10,3): Currently red, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
• However, if price closes above 1.34032 (Supertrend level), it could flip bullish.
• Volume Profile (VRVP):
• Low-volume node under support suggests a quick “stop hunt” move, not genuine selling.
• High-volume acceptance area sits higher, near 1.34500–1.35000.
⸻
🎯 Forecast:
🔴 Bearish Invalidations:
• Price closing below 1.32860 with volume would invalidate this setup.
• That could signal continuation to deeper liquidity (1.32500 or below).
⸻
🧠 Smart Money Perspective:
• Liquidity engineered beneath support
• Trap Trigger activated — ideal for institutional reversal setups
• This is a classic “Stop Hunt → Reclaim → Expand” model
EURJPY Bullish Setup : EURJPY Forecast + Demand Zone🧠 Introduction: What's Happening on the Chart?
Today’s analysis on EURJPY is built on the MMC trading framework, which emphasizes the identification of institutional supply and demand zones, reaction points, QFL patterns, and volume bursts to map out high-probability trading paths.
We are currently observing a market in a corrective phase following a significant bearish drop. However, the presence of a major demand zone, along with a positive bullish pattern, suggests potential upside reversal or at least a short-term retracement.
🔍 Technical Breakdown – Zone by Zone
🔻 1. The Drop from 2x Supply Zone
EURJPY experienced a significant decline from the 173.60–174.00 area, which acted as a 2x confirmed supply zone.
Sellers took control with strong bearish candles that broke through previous minor support levels.
This drop was impulsive, showing momentum-driven selling, often linked with institutional activity.
🟩 2. Demand Reaction at Major Zone
Price entered a key demand zone marked in green (170.80–171.00), where historically buyers have stepped in.
A "Volume Burst" is visible here—large volume candles with long wicks to the downside, which typically indicate accumulation.
A positive pattern (possibly engulfing or a pin bar structure) has formed, signaling a potential bullish reversal or relief rally.
🧱 3. QFL Structure (Quantum Flat Line)
The chart highlights a QFL base, where the price consolidates after an initial drop, then continues lower before a sharp bounce.
QFL is often used to identify trap zones where retail traders are shaken out, and smart money enters.
The recent bounce from the QFL base suggests smart money might be accumulating for a reversal move.
📐 Key Levels and Zones
Type Zone/Level Role
🔵 Volume Burst Area ~170.80–171.00 Aggressive buyer entry; accumulation zone
🟢 Major Demand 170.80–171.20 Key structural low supporting bullish bias
🟠 SR Flip Zone 171.80–172.00 Crucial breakout/retest level
🔴 Minor Resistance 172.60–173.00 Short-term pullback zone
🟥 2x Supply 173.60–174.00 Strong reversal point; ideal target
🔁 Scenarios to Watch
📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout and Rally (Blue Box 1)
If price breaks above 172.00, we expect:
A potential retest (bullish confirmation).
Continuation toward minor resistance at 173.00, and possibly the 2x supply zone at 174.00.
This aligns with the positive pattern formed at the base and the idea of a market rotation from bearish to bullish structure.
📉 Scenario 2: Rejection and Retest of Lows (Blue Box 2)
If the price fails to sustain above 172.00, sellers may step in:
Price could revisit the major demand zone again or even break down to 170.50.
This would invalidate the bullish setup in the short term and imply a larger continuation of the bearish trend.
🧠 Strategic Insights (MMC-Based Thinking)
The MMC approach teaches us to mirror the market’s emotion and behavior.
In this case, we see signs of:
Panic selling → smart money accumulation.
Institutional traps (QFL drop) → bullish absorption.
Traders applying MMC would anticipate reactive setups at the SR Flip Zone to determine next directional bias.
💡 Trade Ideas (For Educational Purposes Only)
Strategy Entry SL TP1 TP2
Aggressive Long 171.30–171.50 170.70 172.50 173.50
Breakout Retest Long 172.10 (after breakout) 171.50 173.00 174.00
Sell on Rejection 172.00 (bearish confirmation) 172.60 171.00 170.40
📌 Conclusion & Final Thoughts
EURJPY is showing a potential bullish reversal setup from a well-defined demand zone, supported by volume bursts and positive price action patterns. However, the SR Zone at 172.00 remains the key pivot—how the price reacts here will determine whether we see a deeper pullback or a continuation to test upper resistance levels.
Stay flexible and responsive. Let the market give confirmation before execution. As always, follow proper risk management and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
USDJPY 4H Analysis : Curve Breakout & Retest Completed + Bullish"Momentum Building Above Retested Demand – Will Bulls Take Control?"
📊 Market Structure Overview:
USDJPY has shown a clean bullish structure in recent sessions, supported by a strong demand retest and a steady parabolic curve formation (Black Mind Curve Line). The pair has successfully broken above a major resistance, retested it, and is now holding higher ground—suggesting potential for continued upside if current structure holds.
🧱 Detailed Technical Breakdown:
🔹 1. Demand & Retesting Behavior
The chart highlights a key demand zone (green box) that was previously used after a bullish move.
Price recently returned to this zone for a clean retest, validating its role as a strong support.
This type of retesting behavior is critical in smart money analysis, confirming that accumulation has occurred and sellers have been absorbed.
🔹 2. Major Breakout Confirmation
The previous major structure level has been decisively broken to the upside.
This level now acts as support, increasing the probability that the bullish move will sustain.
🔹 3. Black Mind Curve Line (Parabolic Structure)
A parabolic curved trendline supports the current price action, showing how bulls are gradually gaining momentum.
This curve represents buyer interest increasing over time, which often leads to an aggressive breakout when paired with retest confirmation.
📍 Key Price Zones:
Type Price Level (Approx.) Description
🔹 Retesting Zone ~148.800 – 149.100 Support zone after major breakout
🔺 Resistance Target (1) ~150.500 Bullish breakout target (short-term)
🔻 Downside Risk (2) ~147.000 – 146.500 Bearish invalidation zone if demand fails
🔹 Full Supply Area ~145.000 – 145.500 Historical supply zone if price fails completely
🔮 Trade Scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias)
Retest is complete, and price is holding above the curve and demand zone.
If bullish momentum continues:
📈 Target 1: 150.50 – Near-term resistance and liquidity area
📈 Target 2: 151.20+ – Extension target if buyers dominate
Bullish Confirmation:
Price must stay above ~149.00 and continue forming higher highs.
Entry ideas: Wait for minor consolidation above current price or bullish breakout from mini range.
⚠️ Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection
If price rejects from current level and breaks below the curve and demand zone (~148.80):
📉 First downside target: 147.00 (minor support)
📉 Final bearish target: 145.50 (full supply zone)
Bearish Confirmation:
Breakdown of curve support and close below the retesting zone with momentum.
Such a move would suggest buyers failed, and market may rotate lower.
🧠 Market Sentiment & Psychology:
Smart Money Behavior: Demand was filled cleanly and retested, indicating possible institutional interest at that level.
Momentum Curve: As shown by the black curve, momentum is rising gradually—this reflects confidence building among buyers.
However, price is near psychological resistance (150.00–150.50 zone), where heavy sell orders might be placed.
The market is in a decision zone, where confirmation of strength or failure will dictate the next 200–300 pip move.
🎯 Summary:
USDJPY is showing a bullish structure supported by:
A valid retest of demand
A clean breakout of major resistance
An ascending parabolic curve
If bulls defend the current zone, we may see a powerful continuation toward 150.50+. If price fails to hold above the retest zone, downside risks open toward 147.00 and potentially the full supply at 145.00.
📌 Trade Smart: Wait for price confirmation, manage risk with stop placement below the demand zone or structure lows, and avoid chasing the move.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) – 1H Chart Analysis 1. Structure: Broad Range Consolidation
Price remains within a wide horizontal range between 45,137 resistance and 43,792 support. This shows indecision and distribution at highs.
2. Key Rejection Zone
The yellow zone around 45,001–45,137 acted as a strong supply area. Multiple rejections indicate heavy selling interest here.
3. Mid-Zone Compression
Current price is hovering just below 44,765 resistance — acting as a decision point. Break above it may retest the supply zone; rejection could send price lower.
4. Demand Holding at 44,280
The strong bounce from 44,280.25 shows buyers defending this demand zone. It's the key support to watch for bulls.
5. Next Play
Bullish: Break and hold above 44,765 targets 45,001–45,137.
Bearish: Failure leads to 44,280, then 43,973 → 43,792.
Neutral bias unless a clean breakout confirms direction.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Pro Analysis | 1H Chart |1. Strong Bullish Momentum
DXY broke out sharply above the 99.41 resistance, showing clear strength from bulls with minimal pullbacks during the rally.
2. Short-Term Rejection at Supply
Price was rejected from the 99.978 zone — a key supply area. This indicates the presence of active sellers near the psychological 100 level.
3. Retesting Breakout Structure
Currently hovering just above 99.669, the DXY is retesting the previous breakout level. This could act as short-term support if bullish momentum resumes.
4. Next Key Zones
Resistance: 99.978 → 100.534
Support: 99.411 → 98.92
Break below 99.411 may invalidate the breakout.
5. Outlook
Bias remains bullish above 99.41. However, failure to reclaim 99.978 soon may signal temporary exhaustion or consolidation before next leg up.
USDJPY Forming Bullish Reversal | MMC Analysis + Target🧠 Chart Overview (2H Timeframe)
🔸 1. Head and Shoulders Inverse Pattern – MMC Bullish Blueprint
The chart beautifully shows an Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, one of the most powerful reversal signals under MMC logic:
Left Shoulder: Formed after the initial drop and quick recovery.
Head : Deep liquidity grab and reversal from the lowest point (demand zone).
Right Shoulder: Higher low structure, indicating reduced selling pressure and shift in momentum.
This pattern is forming around a previous liquidity zone, which makes it more valid and aligned with smart money behavior.
🔸 2. Retesting Zone – Critical MMC Demand Area
Price is now retesting a highlighted demand zone, which acted as the springboard for the previous bullish move:
Bullish Pattern marked aligns with MMC’s concept of “Return to Origin”.
This zone also sits just above the right shoulder, confirming that buyers are defending aggressively.
If this level holds, we may see a strong continuation move to the upside.
🔸 3. Previous Reversal Zone (Supply) – Next Target Area
Marked in light green, this area is the next critical resistance:
Acts as liquidity target for institutions if price rallies.
Historically acted as a major reversal point.
Price is likely to show reactions or profit-taking behavior here.
Once broken and retested, it becomes a new support for further upside continuation (as marked on the chart).
🔸 4. Dual Scenarios – Bullish vs Bearish Pathways
Your chart correctly outlines two strategic possibilities:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Price respects demand zone.
Breaks above previous reversal zone (149.000+).
Bullish continuation toward 149.800–150.500 range.
MMC tip: “If it goes bullish, use previous demand or double it” = Add confluence or stack demand zones for scale-in entries.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below retesting zone, bullish invalidation triggers.
Look to the previous all supply zone (Zone Pattern Must) for next reaction.
This scenario reflects smart money rejection of upside continuation.
🗂️ MMC Structural Elements Identified:
Zone/Pattern Role in Analysis
Inverse H&S Trend reversal signal
Retesting Zone Demand/entry area
Previous Reversal Zone First key resistance / next liquidity pool
Supply Zone Below Target in case of downside breakdown
MMC Logic Follow price structure, fakeouts, demand/supply traps
📈 Summary Outlook:
USDJPY is showing a technical bullish structure backed by MMC-based price psychology. The current pullback into a demand zone gives traders an excellent R:R opportunity for long positions, targeting higher zones upon breakout confirmation.
🟩 If bullish, breakout >149.000 will likely lead toward 150.000+
🟥 If bearish, breakdown <147.600 opens doors to deeper drop toward 146.000 zone (watch for reversal pattern).
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Type Level Range Notes
Support 147.600–147.800 Current retesting demand
Resistance 148.800–149.300 Previous Reversal Zone (Profit booking area)
Higher Resistance 150.500+ Final upside objective
Breakdown Zone <147.500 Flip to bearish scenario