Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/JPY is declining toward a key support area, which is a pullback level aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. From this level, the pair could potentially bounce toward our take-profit target.
Entry: 100.25
Why we like it:
Price is approaching a pullback support zone that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop Loss: 99.44
Why we like it:
This level is positioned just below the pullback support, providing a logical risk buffer.
Take Profit: 101.60
Why we like it:
This target aligns with a swing-high resistance level.
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Forexsignals
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?GBP/AUD has bounced off the pivot level, which is acting as a pullback support, and the pair could potentially rise toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2.0082
1st Support: 1.9995
1st Resistance: 2.0272
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Falling towards key support?Fiber (EUR/USD) is pulling back toward the pivot level, which has been identified as an overlap support aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. From this area, the pair has the potential to bounce toward the first resistance, which corresponds to a key swing-high level.
Pivot: 1.1585
1st Support: 1.1527
1st Resistance: 1.1712
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Gold Outlook | Smart Money Levels & Volatility Spike (Nov 14, 20OANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS - Smart Money Moves the Market Today
📅 Updated: November 14, 2025
🚀 Market Snapshot
Gold surges toward $4,200 as the U.S. shutdown disrupts key macro data and uncertainty boosts safe-haven flows.
The DXY slips to ~99.25, reflecting investor hesitation amid data blackout and Fed silence.
Macro Highlights:
* 🏛️ Shutdown freeze: October CPI/Jobs data postponed — volatility spikes expected on reopening.
* 🏦 Central Banks: +220t in Q3, +415t H1; China & Poland lead accumulation.
* 🌍 Geopolitics: U.S.–China tariff heat + Mideast tension = sustained risk premium.
* 💰 ETF Inflows: Heavy buying continues; gold reclaims post-ATH strength at $4,202 (+0.50%).
🧭 Smart Money Levels (Valid for Today)
🔴 Smart Money SELL ORDERS
$4,293 – $4,279
💣 ~$85M+ in institutional orders
→ Expect sharp rejection and high-volatility spikes.
🟠 Scalp SELL Area
$4,244 – $4,256
→ Ideal for quick fade setups with tight stops.
🟢 Smart Money BUY ORDERS
$4,080 – $4,104
💸 ~$50M+ in buy-side liquidity
→ Strong accumulation zone; expect bounce setups.
📍 These are high-probability institutional footprints for today’s session.
🔍 Macro Catalyst Outlook
* 🕒 CPI & Jobs Data: Still delayed → Expect “volatility bursts” when released.
* 🏦 FOMC (Dec): 25bps cut odds ~47%.
* 🌏 Geopolitical heat:
* Tariff escalation & Mideast risk = 🟢 Bullish
* Diplomatic cooling = 🔴 Pullback pressure
Bottom Line: Market remains headline-driven and liquidity-sensitive.
⚡ Technical Outlook — Bullish but Overstretched
* ✅ Break above $4,200 = continuation toward 4,250+
* ⚠️ RSI near 84 = expect volatility, not immediate reversal
* 🟩 Holding $4,180 = bullish continuation
* 🔻 Losing $4,180 = correction toward $4,150–$4,120
📌 Intraday Trade Levels (Nov 14, 2025)
🟢 Buy Zone: $4,180 – $4,200
→ Structural retest + central bank bids = strong support
🔴 Sell Zone: $4,230 – $4,250
→ Overbought liquidity pocket, short-term fade setup
→ Larger rejection expected around $4,244–$4,256
📈 Daily Range:
High: ~4,220
Low: ~4,190
Current: ~$4,202
🎯 Trade Plan — Simple & Tactical
* Buy Dips: 4,180–4,200 → Targets: 4,230 / 4,250
* Sell Fades: 4,244–4,256 → Short-term scalp
* Institutional Sell Wall: 4,279–4,293 → Major rejection zone
* Break & Hold Above 4,250: Target 4,300+
🧠 Final Take: Bulls in Control, Volatility Rising
Shutdown chaos, data blackout, and global risk keep gold bid on every dip.
Until $4,180 breaks, the bulls hold the advantage.
Trade the reaction — not the prediction.
Bearish drop off?AUD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance, and could reverse from this area toward our take-profit target.
Entry: 0.52169
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop Loss: 0.52670
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take Profit: 0.50994
Why we like it:
There is a swing-low support level.
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Gbpusd long setupFPMARKETS:GBPUSD looks bullish for wave 5, as the correction wave is completed. Price has broken the previous high 1.31647 & after a retrace till 1.30842, which is also in a OB and near fino level, high possibility of price to change the trend toward bullish. Please watch the chart carefully, below is the buying zone , with proper risk management one can take entry.
US100 – Consolidation Between FVGs, Watching for Bullish BreakouHello traders,
On the daily timeframe, NASDAQ (US100) is currently consolidating between a bullish and a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). Both sides present clear liquidity areas, and the market is preparing for its next directional move.
From my perspective, I’d like to see the price tap into the bullish FVG first, react from that zone, and then invalidate the bearish FVG on its way higher.
If this scenario plays out, the next targets would be the equal highs (EQH) and eventually a new all-time high (ATH).
However, if a daily candle closes below the bullish FVG, this idea becomes invalid and we could expect further downside movement.
For now, I remain bullish while the bullish FVG holds. 📈
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
EUR/USD Rising Toward Resistance – Watch for ReversalOn the EUR/USD 15-minute chart, the price is showing strong bullish momentum, pushing toward the resistance zone around 1.1650. If the pair reaches this level and shows signs of rejection, a bearish reversal could follow, targeting the support area near 1.1568. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation before taking any positions. Patience and clear signals are key in this setup.
GBPCHF: Bearish Trend Continuation 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF is trading in a strong downtrend.
A bearish breakout of a rising wedge pattern on an hourly time frame
indicates a highly probable trend continuation.
I expect a fall at least to 1.043 level.
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EURNZD: Strong Bullish Confirmation 🇪🇺🇳🇿
Quick update for EURNZD.
Retesting the upper boundary of a major demand zone on a daily,
the price bounced and violated a resistance line of a falling channel
on an hourly time frame.
Probabilities are high that we will see a pullback from that.
Goal - 2.059
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Bearish reversal off Fib onfluence?EUR/JPY is rising toward the pivot, which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, as well as the 100% and 61.8% Fibonacci projections. A potential reversal could occur from this level toward the 1st support level.
Pivot: 179.74
1st Support: 18.65
1st Resistance: 180.73
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bullish bounce off?EUR/NZD has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 2.04533
1st Support: 2.03272
1st Resistance: 2.06426
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is reacting off a support level, which serves as a pullback support aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. The pair could potentially rise from this level toward our take-profit target.
Entry: 0.7969
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop Loss: 0.7925
There is a swing-low support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take Profit: 0.8046
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistanse area 1.16296.Colleagues, the rather complicated correction suggests that the upward movement is gradually slowing down and I think that we will see a rather confident move towards the 1.16296 area.
The difficulty is that on higher timeframes we are dealing with a ending diagonal, and these are quite complicated figures to analyze.
Nevertheless, I think that there is a probability of reaching the support area of 1.14647 before the upward movement.
Fundamental context
The U.S. dollar is under pressure: weak economic data and expectations of monetary easing are reducing its appeal as a safe-haven asset. The euro is receiving moderate support amid relative stability in the eurozone economy and investor interest in non-dollar assets. These conditions set the stage for a resumption of the EUR/USD pair’s upward move.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bearish reversal off Fib levels?EUR/USD is rising toward the resistance level, which serves as a pullback resistance aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. The pair could potentially reverse from this level toward our take-profit target.
Entry: 1.1629
Why we like it:
A pullback resistance aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, indicating a potential reversal zone.
Stop Loss: 1.1668
Why we like it:
A swing-high resistance level aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection, providing a strong technical barrier.
Take Profit: 1.1567
Why we like it:
A pullback support level provides a potential reaction area for price reversal.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD-GOLD-4H / at a Crossroads: Symmetrical Triangle AnalysisDear Traders,
I’ve prepared a special XAUUSD–gold analysis for you. Gold is currently moving within a symmetrical triangle formation. If gold breaks upward within this triangle and closes a candle, the first target will be the 4160 level. If it breaks downward, the first target will be the 3800 level.
I share these insights because I truly value you. Each follower is precious to me, and together we are like a family here. Every like and show of support motivates me to continue providing these analyses. Thank you sincerely to everyone who stands by me.
With respect and affection.
-TraderTilki
XAU/USD: Bullish Climb to 4225?FX:XAUUSD is positioning for a bullish climb on the 1-hour chart , with price respecting an upward trendline as dynamic support, bouncing from a key support zone that could fuel an upside extension toward multiple resistance levels if buyers sustain momentum. This setup offers a strategic entry amid recent volatility, with potential for breakout if volume picks up.
Entry between 4075-4105 (entry possible at current levels with strict risk management). Targets at 4180 (first) and 4225 (second), yielding a risk-reward ratio greater than 1:3 overall .Set a stop loss on a close below 4063 to limit downside exposure. 🌟 Monitor for confirmation via a strong bullish candle above entry with increasing volume, leveraging gold's safe-haven status.
Fundamentally , today's US economic data, including MBA Mortgage Applications at 13:00 UTC and Fed's Waller speech at 16:00 UTC, could sway USD strength and thus gold prices—hawkish Fed tones might cap upside, while softer data supports bulls. Recent analysis notes gold slipping below $4140 on a double top, signaling short-term pullbacks but with rebound potential testing pivotal resistance. 💡
📝 Trade Setup:
🎯 Entry Zone: 4075 – 4105 (entry possible at current levels with strict risk management)
💰 Targets:
1️⃣ 4180 – initial resistance zone
2️⃣ 4225 – secondary target / take-profit zone
❌ Stop Loss: Close below 4063
📈 Risk-to-Reward: Greater than 1:3 overall, depending on execution and scale-out strategy
What's your take on this gold move? Comment below!💡
EURUSD – Bullish Setup Toward 1.16EURUSD – Bullish Setup Toward 1.17
EURUSD is showing strong signs of a bullish reversal after an extended period of downside movement. The 3H chart highlights several Market Structure Shifts (MSS) and Breaks of Structure (BOS) suggesting that bearish momentum is fading and buyers are regaining control near the 1.1500 demand zone.
The price is forming a solid accumulation base, indicating that smart money may be positioning for a move higher. A clean break above the 1.1680–1.1730 resistance area could confirm a trend reversal, opening the way for a sustained bullish rally toward the mid-1.18 region.
With momentum strengthening and structure turning positive, EURUSD looks poised for a potential breakout continuation in the days ahead.
📈 Key Insights:
Structure: Bullish reversal forming on 3H timeframe
Support zone: 1.1500 – strong accumulation base
Upside targets: 1.1680 → 1.1730 → 1.1800
Outlook: Buyers regaining control; bullish continuation likely
Bitcoin Rebound from Support Toward Key Resistance TargetsBitcoin is showing a potential rebound from the support zone near $103,200. Price may target the $104,800 (Target 1) and $105,400 (Target 2) resistance levels if bullish momentum continues. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) suggests possible upward movement after recent correction.
Gold Maintains Uptrend, Watch for Pullback to Buy with Cash Flow🔍 Context & Market Structure
After a strong upward impulse from a low liquidity area, the price has broken the downtrend structure and formed a bullish BoS on H1.
Currently, gold is accumulating above the Support Zone at 4,183 USD after creating a new peak and leaving a FVG just below the current price .
Above is the Liquidity Zone $$$ around 4,232 USD – a concentration of sell-side stop losses and buy-side profit-taking orders, likely to create a “final push” that attracts liquidity.
=> Overall: the main trend remains bullish , prioritising waiting for a pullback to discount levels to buy with the trend rather than chasing orders at high levels.
💎 Key Technical Zones
Liquidity Zone $$$: around 4,232 USD – upper liquidity area, prone to profit-taking reactions.
Current FVG: price gap area just below the current price (around 4.20x) – expected to “fill the gap” before continuing.
Support Zone 1: 4,183 USD – nearest support, confluence with the area where the upward impulse began to slow.
Support Zone 2: 4,140 USD – stronger support, aligning with the old structure.
Liquidity Clear: 4,101 USD – lower liquidity area, if swept, it would be a very attractive discount for swing buyers.
📈 Proposed Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy with the trend at FVG / 4,183 USD
Priority to wait for the price to:
Either fill the FVG around 4.20x and show a rejection candle,
Or clearly retest Support 4,183 USD with a bullish reversal signal on M15–H1.
When a confirmation signal appears:
→ Consider buying (BUY) around 4.19x – 4.18x .
Stoploss: below 4,175 USD (below the nearest low and support).
TP reference:
TP1: 4,210 USD
TP2: 4,232 USD (Liquidity Zone $$$)
TP3: trailing if the price breaks through 4,232 and maintains the bullish structure.
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback Before Continuing Upward
If the price clearly breaks 4,183 USD and closes an H1 candle below:
→ Avoid buying hastily, wait for the price to continue adjusting to Support 4,140 USD or even Liquidity Clear 4,101 USD .
At these zones, if there appears:
strong rejection candles,
or small reversal structures (bullish ChoCH on M15),
→ Then consider buying at a discount with better RR, targeting a return to 4,183 → 4,210 → 4,232 USD.
3️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario (for experienced scalpers only)
If the price hits Liquidity Zone 4,232 USD but shows strong rejection (long wick, high sell volume):
→ Consider short-term sell scalp back to the 4.20x – 4,183 USD area.
This is a counter-trend trade, so:
keep the volume small,
short TP,
tight SL above the newly formed peak.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Do not FOMO buy when the price is testing near the 4.23x area – this is a prone-to-sell area.
Prioritise waiting for a pullback to FVG / Support for a better entry point and RR.
Always adjust volume according to actual SL, avoid over-leverage during strong market volatility.
“Buy the dip in liquidity zones, do not chase orders at the peak – that's how to go with the big money flow.”
Aussie H4 | Could We See A Reversal From Here?Momentum: Bearish
The price is moving upward toward the sell entry, which is positioned slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, adding significant strength to this resistance level.
Sell Entry: 0.6572
Pullback resistance
Slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 0.6619
Multi swing high resistance
Take Profit: 0.6517
Overlap support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.






















