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EUR/USD Trend Analysis: Will Bulls Take Control?EUR/USD Trend Analysis: Will Bulls Take Control? EURUSD continues to trade inside a broad descending structure that has been active for several weeks, with repeated breaks of structure marking the gradual weakening of bearish momentum. The pair has shown consistent attempts to reclaim internal structure, revealing that sellers are losing dominance at each successive swing. The recent price action highlights a slowdown in the bearish cycle, with the pair forming a compressed consolidation near the lower boundary of the channel. This type of price behavior typically represents absorption, where liquidity is collected before a potential directional shift. Multiple bullish breaks within the current leg signal that the market is preparing for a transition phase. The chart illustrates a clear reaction to the most recent liquidity sweep, followed by a controlled reset in order flow. Buyers have stepped in aggressively in previous cycles after similar setups, suggesting that the market is once again positioning itself for a recovery attempt toward higher inefficiencies. Volume distribution from the left side of the chart shows earlier institutional engagement, and the current region aligns with historical accumulation behaviors seen in prior EURUSD reversals. If the pair maintains strength within this consolidation pocket, the next move could be a bullish repricing wave targeting unmitigated zones above. Overall, EURUSD is showing signs of shift and structural recovery, with the current pattern favoring a bullish reaction in the coming sessions.
Long
by XAU_EMPIRE
3
Sanctions and Their Role in the Global Market1. Understanding Sanctions Sanctions are restrictions placed by one country or a group of countries on another nation or entity to enforce international laws or influence political or economic decisions. They are often used as alternatives to military intervention, serving as diplomatic or economic pressure tools. Sanctions can be applied for various reasons — to punish aggression, prevent nuclear proliferation, counter terrorism, or respond to human rights violations. The key players in imposing sanctions are major economic and political blocs such as the United Nations (UN), the European Union (EU), and powerful individual nations like the United States. The U.S., for instance, uses the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) to design and enforce sanctions globally. 2. Types of Sanctions Sanctions come in several forms, each targeting different aspects of an economy or government operation. The most common types include: Economic Sanctions: These restrict trade and financial transactions. Examples include import and export bans, restrictions on investments, or freezing of assets. Economic sanctions are intended to weaken a nation’s economic stability. Trade Sanctions: Trade restrictions can prevent the export of critical goods like oil, technology, or weapons. For instance, sanctions on Iran’s oil exports have significantly limited its main source of revenue. Financial Sanctions: These target banking systems, financial institutions, and access to international payment systems like SWIFT. Russia, for example, faced severe financial isolation after its 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Travel and Visa Sanctions: These restrict the movement of political leaders, business executives, or individuals associated with illicit activities. Military Sanctions: These include arms embargoes that prevent the sale or supply of weapons and military technology. Sectoral Sanctions: These are targeted at specific sectors, such as defense, energy, or finance, to maximize economic pressure while minimizing collateral damage. 3. Objectives of Sanctions The main goal of sanctions is to influence the behavior of governments or organizations without direct conflict. Their objectives include: Deterring Aggression: Sanctions can discourage military invasions or aggressive policies by raising the economic costs of conflict. Promoting Human Rights: Countries imposing sanctions often aim to pressure regimes accused of human rights abuses to change their policies or release political prisoners. Preventing Nuclear Proliferation: Sanctions against nations like North Korea and Iran are designed to stop the development of nuclear weapons programs. Countering Terrorism: Sanctions can block financial channels and assets used by terrorist groups. Maintaining Global Stability: Sanctions can be part of a coordinated global response to maintain international peace and uphold the rules-based order. 4. Mechanisms and Enforcement Sanctions are typically implemented through laws, executive orders, or international agreements. Enforcement mechanisms include: Asset Freezes: Preventing access to money or property held in foreign accounts. Export Controls: Blocking the sale of critical goods, technology, or services. Financial Restrictions: Limiting a country's access to international capital markets or payment systems. Secondary Sanctions: Penalizing third-party countries or companies that do business with the sanctioned nation. Monitoring compliance is crucial. Organizations such as the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) help track illegal financial activities and ensure that sanctions are effectively enforced. 5. Impact on the Global Market The effects of sanctions ripple through the global economy, influencing trade balances, currency values, and market confidence. The impact varies based on the size and integration of the targeted country into the global market. a. Trade and Supply Chains Sanctions often disrupt global supply chains. For instance, sanctions on Russia and Iran have affected oil and gas supplies, driving up energy prices worldwide. Similarly, export restrictions on high-tech goods to China have reshaped global semiconductor and electronics markets. b. Energy Markets Energy is one of the most affected sectors. Russia’s sanctions after the Ukraine conflict caused global oil and gas price surges, forcing Europe to seek alternative energy suppliers. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) also faces indirect pressure when sanctions alter global energy supply and demand dynamics. c. Financial Markets Financial sanctions can restrict global capital flow. When large economies face sanctions, investors often move funds to safer markets, affecting currency exchange rates and global liquidity. For example, the freezing of Russian foreign reserves shook confidence in the global financial system and led to a rethinking of foreign reserve management by other nations. d. Currency and Inflation Countries under sanctions often experience currency depreciation due to restricted foreign investment and reduced exports. This leads to inflation and reduced purchasing power. Conversely, global markets can see inflation spikes when critical exports like oil or metals are restricted. e. Global Business and Investment Multinational corporations often have to withdraw from sanctioned regions to avoid penalties. For example, Western companies left Russia in 2022, leading to billions in losses. At the same time, other countries—like China, India, and Turkey—sometimes step in to fill trade gaps, reshaping global business networks. 6. Winners and Losers of Sanctions Sanctions do not impact all players equally. Losers: The sanctioned nation’s economy typically suffers severe downturns—loss of exports, unemployment, and financial isolation. Ordinary citizens bear the brunt of inflation and shortages. Winners: Competing countries may benefit by capturing markets vacated by the sanctioned nation. For example, when Western countries stopped buying Iranian oil, Asian importers received discounted rates. Some nations, particularly those with large domestic markets or resource independence, can mitigate sanctions' effects. Russia and Iran, for example, have developed parallel financial systems and strengthened ties with non-Western economies. 7. Geopolitical and Strategic Consequences Sanctions also alter geopolitical alliances. Countries facing sanctions often form new partnerships to bypass restrictions. The growing trade between Russia, China, and Iran illustrates the emergence of an alternative economic bloc. Furthermore, sanctions can accelerate de-dollarization—efforts by countries to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar in international trade. This trend threatens to reshape the structure of global finance in the long term. 8. Criticisms and Limitations While sanctions aim to promote peace and justice, they often have unintended consequences. Critics argue that: Humanitarian Impact: Sanctions can lead to shortages of food, medicine, and essentials, harming civilians more than political elites. Limited Effectiveness: Some regimes adapt through smuggling, black markets, or new alliances, reducing the intended pressure. Global Economic Distortion: Sanctions can destabilize global markets, raising costs for consumers worldwide. Political Misuse: At times, sanctions are used to advance national interests rather than collective global welfare. 9. The Future of Sanctions in a Multipolar World As global power becomes more multipolar, sanctions may evolve from unilateral tools into complex, multilateral strategies. The rise of alternative payment systems, digital currencies, and regional alliances is challenging traditional sanction mechanisms. Future sanctions are likely to become more targeted, using data analytics and AI to precisely identify and restrict individuals or companies, minimizing collateral damage. Digital finance, blockchain monitoring, and trade transparency will shape how sanctions are enforced. 10. Conclusion Sanctions are a central instrument of global diplomacy and economic policy. They influence trade routes, investment flows, and geopolitical alignments across the world. While they serve as a non-violent means to uphold international norms, their ripple effects on the global market can be profound—affecting everything from oil prices to inflation and financial stability. The challenge for the international community is to design sanctions that are strategic, humane, and effective, achieving political goals without destabilizing the world economy. In an era of interconnected markets, the role of sanctions will continue to grow—reflecting not only power politics but also the evolving architecture of the global financial and trade system.
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Market next move 🔍 Disrupting the Original Bullish Bias The original analysis assumes a bullish reversal from the support zone aiming for a resistance target near $3,360. However, let’s challenge that with an alternate (bearish or neutral) perspective: --- ⚠️ 1. Support May Not Hold Price has tested the support zone multiple times, increasing the probability of a breakdown. Repeated testing weakens support levels; a breakdown below $3,280 could trigger panic selling or stop-loss hunts, accelerating the drop. --- 📉 2. Bearish Momentum is Dominant The overall trend is downward, with lower highs and lower lows. The current bounce could be a dead cat bounce — a short-lived recovery before another drop. --- 📊 3. Volume Analysis There's no significant bullish volume spike at the support, which weakens the bullish thesis. This suggests lack of strong buying interest, a red flag for bullish continuation. --- 🔄 4. Resistance May Hold Strong The resistance area around $3,360 has shown previous strong rejections. Even if price rises, it could stall or reverse before reaching the target.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 🔁 Disruption of the Current Analysis 1. False Breakout Scenario The chart assumes a bullish move breaking resistance before a bearish reversal. Disruption: This could be a false breakout, where the price appears to break above resistance but lacks strong volume and momentum. Traders get trapped long, and the price quickly reverses below resistance, invalidating the bullish leg entirely. 2. Stronger Uptrend Continuation Despite calling for a bearish target, the overall trend appears strong with higher highs and higher lows. Disruption: Instead of a retracement, EUR/USD could break through the resistance zone convincingly, possibly reaching 1.1750–1.1800, supported by: Increasing volume Bullish candles closing above resistance No signs of bearish divergence on RSI/MACD (if added) 3. Fundamental Factors The chart ignores macro data. Disruption: If upcoming EU economic data is stronger than expected, or if US data disappoints, the euro could strengthen further. Upcoming events with the euro and US flags suggest possible volatility. 4. Volume Contradiction Recent bullish candles are supported by strong volume, suggesting accumulation. Disruption: If smart money is accumulating positions, this would support further bullish continuation, not reversal.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
USDJPY Analysis: Awaiting Market Confirmation Post Fed Rate CutHi Traders, Following yesterday's USD news, the Federal Reserve has reduced the interest rate by 0.25%. It seems the market has already absorbed this news, and our attention shifts back to the USDJPY pair. On Tuesday, my analysis showed a price break above the H4 structure. According to this structure, we can anticipate a continuation of the overall downtrend. However, predicting the exact point where the decline will begin is tricky. We'll need to carefully monitor price movements on smaller timeframes for more clarity. On the 1-hour (1Hr) chart, we're looking for either a new higher high (HH) or a slightly lower high (LH) to complete the current wave structure. Selling at this stage is premature. Instead, we’re looking to buy on the current swing of the 1Hr chart, waiting for a potential failure to make a new HH.
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
Xauusd Gold Price: Current Pricing, Prices Chart & Rate Graph Gold has been considered a highly valuable commodity for millennia and the gold price is widely followed in financial markets around the world. Mostly quoted in US Dollars (XAU/USD), gold price tends to increase as stocks and bonds decline. The metal holds its value well, making it a reliable safe-haven. It’s traded constantly based on the intra-day spot rate. Improve your technical analysis of live gold prices with the real-time XAU/USD chart, and read our latest gold news, expert analysis and gold price forecast. Gold now buy 2164 Target 2195 SL 2150
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JohnHarry66
2
GBPUSD: Analysis Pre BOE Rate decision. Today's focus: GBPUSD Pattern – Consolidation Watch Support – 1.2665, 1.2610 Resistance – 1.2751 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's video update. We are looking at the GBPUSD today as the price continues to consolidate in a rough ending diagonal pattern. We have also chosen the cable as we have the UK rates decision to come out later today. Depending on what we see from the BOE, this could be a catalyst to break the price out of its current deadlock. Yes, we do have a consolidation in an uptrend but its not a traditional continuation pattern so we are waiting to see if, and where price breaks ou before we start thinking about directional calls. Rates are expected to remain on hold, so we will be looking for policy clues in the statement. Will we see a breakout today? We have run over scenarios for price and points we will look at for potential confirmation. UK Interest Rate decision is due today at 11:00 pm. Good trading.
by Eightcap
1
SasanSeifi 💁‍♂️ 🟡 XAUUSD /weekly◼In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, the price has been in a corrective phase since it fell below the $2060 range. After experiencing some positive fluctuations, it has once again entered the FAIR VALUE GAP zone. Currently, it's trading around $1851, and the overall trend in the weekly timeframe is bearish. If the price continues to stay below the LOW of the $1885 range and the weekly candle closes strongly bearish, we can expect that the price will continue its correction in the medium term towards the support levels at $1830, $1800, and $1780. To get a better understanding of the price's future movement, we need to monitor how it reacts to these support levels. If the support levels hold and are confirmed on lower timeframes, there might be some partial positive fluctuations.❗❗ ◼On the other hand, if the support ranges break down, the possibility of a more significant correction in the long-term timeframe could be considered.❗ ⭕The important resistance range is $1890 to $1918. ✨What's your opinion? Do you agree? 🔵Remember, always conduct your own analysis and consider other factors before making any trading decisions. Good luck!"✌️ ❎ (DYOR)...⚠️⚜️ Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help! if you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌✌
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SasanSeifi
EURJPY: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: EURJPY Pattern – Range support test post LH trend break. Support – 157.05 – 155.85 Resistance – 158.40 – 159.40 (area) Thanks for checking out today’s update. Today, we have run over the EURJPY, breaking down the overall price picture and levels we are watching. The JPY has started the week on a strong note with solid gains so far to the EUR, GBP and USD. The GBPJPY is also showing similar signs to the EURJPY, but we zoned in as there have been a few price signals in a row that could be backing up a new move by sellers. Sellers continue to test the range bottom after breaking the fast trend and setting up a new lower high around 158.40 resistance. From here, if sellers are going to try a new run, we would like to see a decent to strong close lower that beats the range and 157.05 support base. Then, we will look for a new move lower that could test 155.85 or below. If price can fight back and close back above 157.05, this could be a sign that seller strength might not be that strong. Have a great day and good trading.
Short
by Eightcap
cad/chf looking for a sell off at this resistance area???hey everyone, back at it again this week! Lets dominate the Charts and set ups this week! with that in mind, also remember we have A LOT of HIGH Impact news events taking place tomorrow and we can see some insane movement please remember information shared is for educational and demo purposes only! Disclaimer -- Past profits don't guarantee a future result, trading is risky and we can loose 100% of our account balance.. NEVER TRADE with money you cant afford to loose!
Short
by therealbinarymaster
EURGBP continues to hold above key support. Hi traders, today we are looking at the EURGBP as buyers continue to hold out above a key level of support. This level has been in play since January 2023. The level we are talking about is seen at .8730, and it also runs down to .8720. This level is seen as a key level as if you switch over to the weekly chart, and you will also see this level clearly. It’s good to see support levels on multiple timeframes, it can also be seen on the 4h, but we are watching primarily from the daily. After yesterday’s failed test lower, buyers have control today. We would like to see a new move to test or break .8808. This move would not only continue to confirm support, but it could also break the current downtrend and start to confirm a breakout of a descending triangle pattern. If we see an upwards break, we will look at the two higher red resistance points as possible areas of rejection. If sellers regain control and take price back to support, this is a worry and could suggest buyers' numbers are not that strong, and sellers could be looking at new lower tests. Do buyers have the number to continue today's move higher? Good trading.
Long
by Eightcap
EUR/USD:Has EUR/USD started to stop the decline and rebound?Fundamentally, the market believes that the probability of the ECB's terminal interest rate of 4.25% this year is 65%, while last week's terminal interest rate was only 4.00%.The European Central Bank's hawkish bets may help the euro limit its losses in the short term. On the technical side, EUR/USD has rebounded since hitting a low near 1.0530 last week. It has now crossed above the short-term moving average, and technical indicators have also shown signs of a low turning point, indicating that there are some buying orders in this position.However, at present, EUR/USD is still subject to the resistance of the previous support level of 1.058. If this position can be broken through, buyers may show interest, so that the rebound and upward trend can continue, and EUR/USD may expand the rebound to the 1.063 position; according to the current market, the 1.053 position seems to have formed support, and the market will definitely be tested repeatedly in the future. If repeated tests determine that the support is effective, EUR/USD is expected to form a structural arc bottom, which is conducive to the rebound of EUR/USD and constitutes a new round of upward channels. If you encounter resistance in the 1.058-1.063 area during the rebound process, you may continue to test the effectiveness of the support at the 1.053 position. Once the support is shown to be invalid, beware of the risk of a downward trend in the EUR/USD market. Overall, EUR/USD is safe, try to short as high as possible, and it can be shorted at the position of 1.063. In order to facilitate you to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me. In addition, you can enter my channel for free in the following ways to follow real-time views and operational strategies. FX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD PEPPERSTONE:US500
Long
by Blessed_V
AUD/CAD Possible long incoming (+105 PIPS) If the 22/08 candlestick closes with the 3 MA's crossing in it, I will be looking to open a buy position on AUD/CAD. I will first wait for the 23/08 candlestick to close above 0.889. If we see this scenario happen, we can look at the pair from a bullish perspective, with the RSI crossing the 50 threshold, the candlestick closing above the ichimoku cloud, all while the convergence line is floating above the base line. TP1= 0.906 TP2= 0.911 SL= 0.891 This is my personal TA, please do share your insights!
Long
by mbarbar
2