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GBPUSD BUYGBP/USD rebounds from lows, back above 1.3200 GBP/USD now alternates gains with losses in the low-1.3200s, reversing an early pullback to the 1.3180 zone. Meanwhile, Cable's inconclusive tone is accompanied by some renewed selling pressuron on the the US Dollar in the wake of US data releases. Robust macroeconomic data releases from the United States (US) and the Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious tone on policy-easing fuelled a bullish rally in the US Dollar (USD) midweek, causing GBP/USD to decline sharply. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis' (BEA) first estimate showed that the United States' (US) economy staged an impressive comeback following the 0.5% contraction seen in the first quarter. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an annual rate of 3% in the second quarter, surpassing the market expectation of 2.4%. Additionally, ADP Employment Change came in at 104,000 in July, beating analysts' estimate of 78,000 by a wide margin. Later in the day, the Fed announced that it maintained the policy rate at the range of 4.25%-4.5% in a widely expected decision. The policy statement showed that Governor Christopher Waller and Governor Michelle Bowman dissented, preferring a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut, which was also anticipated. In the post-meeting press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell refrained from confirming a rate cut at the next meeting in September, citing heathy conditions in the labor market and explaining that the current policy stance as being appropriate to guard against inflation risks. Moreover, Powell said that the policy was not holding back the economy despite being still modestly restrictive. According go the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis points Fed rate cut in September dropped toward 40% from above-60% before the Fed event. In turn, US Treasury bond yields pushed higher and the USD outperformed its rivals during the American trading hours. The BEA will release Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for June on Thursday. Powell said that they expect the annual PCE inflation and Core PCE inflation to come in at 2.5% and 2.7%, respectively. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims will also be featured in the US economic calendar. Ahead of Friday's critical July employment report, investors could remain hesitant to take large positions based on this data. It's important to note that month-end flows on the last day of July could ramp up volatility toward the end of the European session and trigger irregular movements in the pair. SUPPORT 1.33727 SUPPORT 1.33128 SUPPORT 1.32590 RESISTANCE 1.3052 RESISTANCE 1.31567
Short
by Mark804
Gold Market Update: Major Support at and Supply atGold is recovering after a strong drop from the previous range high. Price is approaching a 4H Order Block near the 3300–3310 zone, which may act as a supply area. A minor liquidity zone has just been tapped, suggesting a potential short-term rejection. The major support lies at 3269, which sparked the recent bullish move. If price rejects from the OB zone, a pullback toward this support is likely. However, a clean break and hold above the OB may signal further upside. 📌 Key Levels: Supply Zone: 3300–3310 Support: 3269 🧠 Wait for clear confirmation before executing trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Erin_Gold_Vault
DXY with interest rates With interest rates remaining steady, the U.S. Dollar is currently moving in a bullish direction. As shown in the chart, it seems likely that price will break the previous high and form a bullish Quasimodo (QM) pattern. The price may then reach the 50% Fibonacci level. After that, we should wait and observe the market's reaction. If price gets rejected from the 103 zone — especially if accompanied by a rate cut or bearish price action — we could see a sharp decline toward the 95 area. This 95 zone also aligns with a key weekly Fibonacci support level on the Dollar Index. As long as the Federal Reserve maintains its hawkish stance, the U.S. Dollar may continue its upward momentum. However, the 103–104 zone — which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a significant supply area — could serve as a strong resistance. If price gets rejected from this area and we simultaneously see signs of a rate cut or weakening U.S. economic data, a trend reversal and corrective phase could begin. In that case, lower targets around 95 or even 93 could become likely in the medium term. good luck
TVC:DXY
by mehdi_kb
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? EUR/USD kicked off the week with a sharp drop of nearly 200 pips, driven by renewed concerns over U.S. tariff policies. This strong bearish momentum signals intensified selling pressure across the board. The pair is now approaching a  support zone, which has previously triggered bullish reactions. However, given the current strong bearish sentiment, there is a real risk this support may not hold. Our bias remains bearish overall. If the pair finds temporary support at this level, a short-term corrective bounce is possible. But ultimately, we expect a continuation of the downtrend toward lower support levels after the correction completes. Can this support zone stop the bleeding, or is more downside coming? Let us know your thoughts! 👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
49
GBPCHF: Another Bearish Signal?! 🇬🇧🇨🇭 Quick update for GBPCHF. We discussed a strong bearish confirmation yesterday. Today, we have one more. The price formed a double top after a test of a strong intraday falling trend line. Its neckline was broken this morning. I expect a retracement to 1.0735 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
EURUSD BUYEUR/USD retreats below 1.1550 ahead of US data EUR/USD finds it difficult to stage a rebound following Monday's sharp decline and trades in negative territory below 1.1550 on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) preserves its strength ahead of consumer sentiment and employment-related data releases, weighing on the pair. From a technical point of view, the EUR/USD pair is poised to extend its slump. It keeps falling below a mildly bearish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), which provides dynamic resistance at around 1.1690. The 100 SMA, in the meantime, maintains its bullish slope, albeit partially losing its upward strength at around 1.1340. Finally, technical indicators keep heading south well below their midlines, and at multi-week lows, in line with a bearish extension ahead. The near-term picture shows EUR/USD is oversold and may bounce or consolidate before the next directional move. In the 4-hour chart, technical indicators turned flat at extreme levels, yet it keeps developing below all its moving averages, which skews the risk to the downside. A firmly bearish 20 SMA is crossing below the 100 SMA and aims to extend its slide below a directionless 200 SMA, usually a sign of prevalent selling interest. SUPPORT 1.15566 SUPPORT 1.15819 SUPPORT 1.15566 RESISTANCE 1.15114
Short
by Mark804
AUDUSD BUYThe AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6520 on Tuesday. The daily chart’s technical analysis indicates a prevailing bullish bias as the pair remains within the ascending channel pattern. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below the 50 mark, indicating that a bearish bias is active. Additionally, the pair is positioned below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that short-term price momentum is weaker. The US and EU reached a framework trade agreement on Sunday that sets 15% tariffs on most European goods, taking effect on August 1. This deal has ended a months-long stand-off, per Bloomberg. Traders keep their eyes on further developments in the US-China trade talks. The discussions are set to resume on Tuesday after top economic officials from both nations held over five hours of negotiations in Stockholm on Monday. The purpose of this meeting is to resolve ongoing disputes and extend their trade truce by another three months. US Treasury Chief Scott Bessent met with China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng at Sweden’s Rosenbad government offices. The meeting comes ahead of an August 12 deadline to finalize a long-term tariff agreement with the Trump administration, building on preliminary deals reached in May and June that had helped ease tensions. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to keep the benchmark interest rate steady between 4.25% and 4.50% at its July meeting. The FOMC press conference will be observed for any signs that rate cuts may start in September. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to closely watch the June labor force data and second-quarter inflation figures before deciding on a potential rate cut. Both the monthly and quarterly CPI reports are scheduled for release later this week. SUPPORT 0.65593 SUPPORT 0.65424 SUPPORT 0.65593 RESISTSNCE 0.65050 RESISTANCE 0.64973
Short
by Mark804
1
XAUUSD Eyeing Liquidity Grab – M30 OB Zone in PlayPrice is respecting the ascending trendline and consolidating near a key resistance level. A bullish breakout is expected, with a potential retest of the trendline and the M30 Order Block (OB) zone acting as a key demand area. 📈 Trade Plan: Wait for a minor pullback into the OB and trendline confluence Look for bullish confirmation to go long Target the liquidity zone above (around 3347) 📌 A clean structure and bullish order flow hint at a continuation to the upside.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Erin_Gold_Vault
EURUSD BUYThe US Dollar (USD) gapped lower at the weekly opening amid optimism fueling demand for high-yielding assets, following news that the United States (US) and the European Union (EU) reached a trade deal. The US and the EU agreed a 15% tariff on most European goods entering the US, much higher than the average 4.8% exporters face these days. No rates will apply to EU exports in important sectors, including aircraft parts, some chemicals, semiconductor equipment and some agricultural products. The EU response to the headline was uneven. European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Peter Kazimir said on Monday that the trade deal reduces uncertainty, but it is unclear for now how it impacts inflation. However, the French prime minister, François Bayrou, said the EU has capitulated to Donald Trump’s threats, adding it is a “dark day” for the EU. The trade focus now shifts to the US-China as officials from both countries resume talks in Stockholm. The EUR/USD pair peaked at 1.1771 during Asian trading hours, but changed course early in Europe, with the USD surging across the FX board, resulting in the pair shedding over 100 pips. The macroeconomic calendar had nothing relevant to offer at the beginning of the week, but will be flooded with first-tier releases, including US employment-related data ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday, the preliminary estimates of the Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the US and the EU, and inflation updates. On top of that, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its decision on monetary policy on Wednesday. RESISTANCE 1.16050 RESISTANCE 1.16243 RESISTANCE 1.16451 SUPPORT 1.15856 SUPPORT 1.15711
Short
by Mark804
AUDUSD Engineered to Drop?🧠MJTrading: 📸 Viewing Tip: 🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size. 🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here: 🔻 OANDA:AUDUSD – Tagged the Top | Smart Money Eyes Lower Levels?? 📍 Perfect Respect of Channel Structure AUDUSD has just kissed the upper boundary of a long-standing ascending channel, showing sharp rejection — a sign that premium pricing might now shift toward discount levels. 📈 The aggressive push into the highs likely aimed to clear buy stops — fulfilling smart money objectives before a potential reversal. 📉 And here’s the subtle clue: Just below the last bullish candle lies a thin slide — a structural weakness. If price breaks and closes below that full body bearish candle (Below 0.66000), the market could slip fast, unleashing a momentum-driven drop into the first liquidity zone (0.6520s). 🧠 For smart money lovers, this is the classic: Sweep → Trap → Slide 📏 And for fans of parallelism, the chart’s geometry offers a rare beauty — lines in harmony, structure in rhythm, and opportunity in alignment. 🔍 What to Watch For: Break below 0.66000 (last candle body) = entry signal 0.6520–0.6540: first liquidity zone 0.6400–0.6300: deeper cleanout, if bearish pressure sustains Inset: DXY bouncing from long-term demand supports bearish thesis Manage your risk wisely... For Lower time frame traders: Psychology Always Matters: (Click on the pictures for caption and concepts) #AUDUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #ChannelTrading #ChartDesigner #MJTrading #PriceAction #Forex
Short
by MJElahifx
3
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GBPUSD? GBP/USD has broken below a trendline and has completed a retest (pullback) to the broken level. The pair is now positioned for a potential downward move. After some short-term consolidation, we expect price to drop at least toward the next identified support level. As long as GBP/USD stays below the broken trendline, the bearish bias remains valid, and further downside is likely. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
30
USDCAD SELLUSD/CAD rallies to 1.3680 as the market focuses on a hawkish Fed The US Dollar extends its recovery for the second consecutive day, supported by strong US data. Upbeat US business activity and Jobless Claims support the Fed's "wait and see" rhetoric. In Canada, the weak Retail Sales data keep hopes for a BoC rate cut alive. The year will be politically marked by Trump’s return to the White House. A Republican government is seen as positive for financial markets, but Trump’s pledge to cut taxes and impose tariffs on foreign goods and services may introduce uncertainty to both the political and economic landscape. Canada’s political crisis peaked in late 2024 with a no-confidence vote against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, leading to snap elections and a weakened Liberal minority government. Policy uncertainty and economic challenges dominate 2025’s outlook, raising concerns over market stability and investor confidence. The BoC is set to continue easing interest rates through 2025, at least at a faster pace than the Fed is expected to, which could apply pressure on CAD’s already-rising rate differential. SUPPORT 1.36991 SUPPORT 1.36739 SUPPORT 1.36495 RESISTANCE 1.37346 RESISTANCE 1.37455
Short
by Mark804
GBPUSD BUYGBP/USD drops to 1.3450 area after weak UK Retail Sales data GBP/USD continues to push lower after closing in negative territory on Thursday and trades near 1.3450 on Friday. Weaker-than-expected Retail Sales data from the UK and the broad-based US Dollar strength forces the pair to stay on the back foot heading into the weekend GBP/USD came under bearish pressure on Thursday and lost more than 0.5%, snapping a three-day winning streak in the process. The pair extends its slide on Friday and trades below 1.3500. The renewed US Dollar (USD) strength weighed on GBP/USD on Thursday. The US Department of Labor reported that the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits declined to 217,000 in the week ending July 19 from 221,000 in the previous week. This reading came in better than the market expectation of 227,000. Additionally, the S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) improved to 54.6 (preliminary) in July from 52.9 in June, reflecting an ongoing expansion in the private sector's business activity, at an accelerating pace. Meanwhile, the EUR/GBP cross rose more than 0.3% on Thursday as the Euro benefited from the European Central Bank's (ECB) cautious tone on policy-easing. EUR/GBP preserves its bullish momentum and trades at its highest level since early April above 0.8700 on Friday, suggesting that the Euro continues to capture capital outflows out of Pound Sterling. Early Friday, the UK's Office for National Statistics reported that Retail Sales rose by 0.9% on a monthly basis in June. This reading followed the 2.8% decrease recorded in May but came in worse than the market expectation for an increase of 1.2%, making it difficult for GBP/USD to stage a rebound. In the second half of the day, Durable Goods Orders data for June will be the only data featured in the US economic calendar. Nevertheless, this data is unlikely to have a long-lasting impact on the USD's valuation. SUPPORT 1.34550 SUPPORT 1.34982 SUPPORT 1.35421 RESISTANCE 1.33990 RESISTANCE 1.33698
Short
by Mark804
GOLD SELLGold price bears retain control amid fading safe-haven demand, rebounding USD US President Donald Trump announced late Tuesday that his administration had reached a trade deal with Japan. Furthermore, reports that the US and the European Union are heading towards a 15% trade deal boost investors' confidence and weigh on the safe-haven Gold price for the second straight day on Thursday. The markets do not expect an interest rate cut from the US Federal Reserve in July despite Trump's continuous push for lower borrowing costs. In fact, Trump has been attacking Fed Chair Jerome Powell personally over his stance on holding rates and repeatedly calling for the central bank chief's resignation. Moreover, Fed Governor Chris Waller and Trump appointee Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman have advocated a rate reduction as soon as the next policy meeting on July 30. This keeps the US Dollar depressed near a two-and-a-half-week low and could offer some support to the non-yielding yellow metal. Traders now look forward to the release of flash PMIs, which would provide a fresh insight into the global economic health and influence the safe-haven commodity. Apart from this, the crucial European Central Bank policy decision might infuse some volatility in the markets and drive the XAU/USD pair. Meanwhile, the US economic docket features Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and New Home Sales data, which, in turn, would drive the USD and contribute to producing short-term trading opportunities around the commodity. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for aggressive traders. SUPPORT 3,346 SUPPORT 3,322 SUPPORT 3,399 RESISTANCE 3,394 RESISTANCE 3,379
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mark804
1
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold entered a corrective phase after reaching the top of its ascending channel. Price is now approaching the channel bottom, which coincides with a key support zone. As long as the channel support holds, we expect a bullish reaction from this area, potentially driving price back toward the next target level. The uptrend remains valid as long as price does not break and close below the lower boundary of the channel. A rebound from channel support may signal the start of the next upward leg. Invalidation occurs only if price breaks and holds below the channel. 💡 Will gold bounce from channel support and resume its rally? Share your view in the comments! 🤔👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
50
GBPNZD: Bullish Move in a Channel 🇬🇧🇳🇿 I see a horizontal parallel channel on GBPNZD on a daily. The price is currently testing its support. On an hourly time frame, a cup & handle pattern was formed on that. Its neckline was violated with the today's high impact news. I think that the price may bounce at least to 2.246 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
5