Fri 28th Feb 2025 GBP/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Forextrading
Fri 28th Feb 2025 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Key Support at 1.0330-1.0367Overview:
The EUR/USD 8-hour chart presents a bullish reversal scenario, with price retracing after breaking an ascending channel. The market is approaching a critical Fibonacci retracement zone (1.0367 - 1.0330), which aligns with a strong support level. A bullish rebound from this area could push price towards the supply zone near 1.0700.
Key Technical Analysis:
Rising Wedge Breakdown: Price recently broke below the ascending wedge, signaling a short-term bearish move.
Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.5 (1.0367) and 0.618 (1.0330) levels act as potential reversal zones.
Support Zone: The market is approaching a demand area where buyers are likely to step in.
Reversal Expectation: A bullish bounce from the Fibonacci zone could lead to a strong move back toward the previous resistance area (1.0700 - 1.0750).
Trade Plan:
📌 Entry: Look for a long position near 1.0367 - 1.0330 after bullish confirmation.
🎯 Target 1: 1.0500 (Short-term resistance).
🎯 Target 2: 1.0650 (Intermediate target).
🎯 Target 3: 1.0700 - 1.0750 (Major resistance).
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.0300 to minimize risk.
Conclusion:
EUR/USD is testing a crucial Fibonacci support zone, and if buyers step in, a strong rally toward 1.0700 is likely. Traders should watch for bullish confirmations before entering long positions.
📈 Bullish Bias – Watch for a Reversal from Key Support! 🚀
USD/JPY Bearish Reversal Key Resistance & Fibonacci Target ZonesOverview:
This USD/JPY daily chart shows a potential bearish reversal setup after a break below key support and trendline structure. The pair has recently dropped below a critical demand zone (highlighted in green), which has now turned into resistance. The price is currently attempting a pullback, and a potential rejection from the resistance zone aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels, indicating a continuation of the downtrend.
Key Levels & Technical Analysis:
Previous Support Turned Resistance: The green zone represents a significant past support area that has now become resistance after a breakdown.
Trendline Break: The upward trendline that supported price action for several months has been broken, confirming bearish momentum.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
0.382 (151.265): A minor resistance level for a possible short-term rejection.
0.5 (148.979): A stronger resistance, aligning with structure.
0.618 - 0.786 (145.053 - 143.582): The ultimate bearish targets, coinciding with Fibonacci retracement extensions.
Bearish Projection:
The expected scenario suggests a short-term retracement towards the 151.265-148.979 resistance zone.
If the price faces rejection, a strong bearish continuation could target 145.053 and ultimately 143.582.
Trade Plan:
📌 Short Entry: Around 151.265 - 148.979 if price rejects resistance.
🎯 Target 1: 145.053 (0.70 Fibonacci)
🎯 Target 2: 143.582 (0.786 Fibonacci)
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 152.000 to invalidate the bearish setup.
Conclusion:
The overall sentiment for USD/JPY is bearish after breaking a key trendline and support level. Traders should watch for a pullback into the resistance zone, followed by a bearish rejection for a potential short trade. However, a break above 152.000 could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls.
📉 Bearish Bias Until Key Resistance Holds! 📉
Thu 27th Feb 2025 NZD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
USDCAD: Massive selling until the end of the year.USDCAD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.383, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 20.940) as it found support on the 1D MA100 and rebounded. We do believe howere that this bounce will be short lived as the pair hit the 9year resistance early this month and got heavily rejected. The first targets are the 1W MA50 and 1W MA100. We do expect it to hit the 0.786 Fibonacci (TP = 1.2600) by the end of the year as both prior highs on R1 aggressively declined to hit at least the 0.786 Fib.
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EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation
EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance
The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse.
Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area.
If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected.
Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias
📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March.
🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return
🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%)
🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation.
💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias.
4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge
🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade.
🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data.
🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning.
🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside.
5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators
✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart.
✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe.
✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone.
💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position.
6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY
🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning.
🔹 Trade Setup:
Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection)
Stop Loss: Above 157.26
Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00
🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short.
🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup.
📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
EURUSD: Sell trigger on the 4H MA50EURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.966, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 17.727) as the price turned sideways in the past 2 weeks. The 4H MA50 is acting as the support of this Channel Up pattern. Even though the price hasn't yet made a technical HH, the 4H RSI is on a LH bearish divergence like the Jan 27th high. The signal to sell then came when the price closed a candle under the 4H MA50. If it happens again, the top will most likely be in, so go short and target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement (TP = 1.02800).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback?Hello, Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on gold?
Gold remains in a robust uptrend, with each downturn providing a buying opportunity inside the trend.
The ideal strategy at this point is to wait patiently for a price pullback to support levels before starting a buy position.
Another method is to wait for a break above the most recent high before buying on a pullback to the broken level.
The bullish trend continues, but trades must be performed with correct risk management and confirmation indications.
What is your opinion on gold? Do you anticipate further growth?
🚀 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Breakout or Deeper Pullback? 🔥
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 8H Chart Analysis
🔍 Market Insights:
🔹 Strong Uptrend: Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum, respecting the ascending trendline.
🔹 Key Resistance Zone: The $2,945 - $2,960 area has been acting as a supply zone (black box).
🔹 Fibonacci Support: Price recently tested the 0.236 Fib levels ($2,902 & $2,871), which align with a key demand zone (yellow box).
📈 Two Potential Scenarios:
📌 Bullish Breakout: If price holds above the trendline & reclaims resistance, we may see a breakout towards $2,980 - $3,000 🚀.
📌 Deeper Pullback: If support breaks, we could see a correction to $2,875 - $2,850 before a stronger reversal.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: $2,902 - $2,871 (Fib Levels & Trendline)
✅ Resistance: $2,945 - $2,960 (Supply Zone)
💬 Do you think gold will break out or dip before the next leg up? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥👇
#gold #xauusd #forex #trading #priceaction #technicalanalysis
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and every pullback presents a buying opportunity within the trend.
The best approach at this stage is to wait patiently for a price correction to support levels before entering a buy position.
Another strategy is to wait for a break above the recent high and then enter a buy trade on a pullback to the broken level.
The bullish trend remains intact, but trade entries should be executed with proper risk management and confirmation signals.
What’s your outlook on gold? Do you expect further upside?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BTCUSDTBTCUSDT is still in an uptrend. There may be a correction at this time. If the price cannot break through the 107279 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Gold buy target This chart represents a trade setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 2-hour timeframe using technical analysis. The analysis includes key trading levels:
Entry Point (Yellow - 2,938.690): The planned entry price for a buy (long) position.
Stop Loss (Red - 2,927.485): The price level to limit losses if the trade goes against the trader’s expectation. If the price drops to this level, the position will be automatically closed to prevent further losses.
Target (Blue - 2,962.046): The price level where the trader aims to take profit. If the price reaches this level, the position will be closed to secure gains.
Analysis & Strategy:
The setup anticipates a bullish move, expecting the price to rise from the entry level to the target.
The stop loss is placed below a support zone to minimize downside risk.
If the price respects support and bounces, the trade aims to capture a significant upward move toward the target price.
The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, meaning potential profits outweigh the risk taken.
This setup follows a technical breakout or reversal strategy, aiming to capitalize on a potential price increase in gold.
Master Your Emotions: The 3 Trading Psychology Hacks Most traders don’t struggle because they lack a strategy—they struggle because emotions get in the way. After coaching hundreds of traders, I’ve seen the same patterns over and over: hesitation, FOMO, revenge trading, and self-doubt.
I get it. I’ve been there too. You see the perfect setup but hesitate. Or worse, you jump in too late and watch the market turn against you. It’s frustrating, but there’s a fix.
In this video, I’m breaking down the biggest trading psychology mistake I see and the simple 3-step process that has helped my students trade with confidence, even in the most volatile markets.
If you’ve ever felt like your emotions are sabotaging your trades, this is for you. Let’s fix it.
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Trade Smarter Live Better
GBPJPY: Channel Down on its new bullish wave.GBPJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.292, MACD = -0.960, ADX = 36.514) as since the February 13th LH and rejection near the 1D MA50, it was been on its new bearish wave. The 1D RSI doesn't give a buy signal until it hits its S1 Zone, so we remain bearish on this pair with a typical TP = 185.500, unless the RSI hits S1 first, in which case you'll be encouraged to take profit earlier.
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AAPLAAPL price is in a correction phase. Now the price is near the resistance zone. If the price cannot break through 259, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Mon 24th Feb 2025 GBP/JPY Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/JPY Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Mon 24th Feb 2025 AUD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
The USDJPY pair has reached a support zone after its recent decline. We expect the price to complete a pullback to the broken level before continuing its downward movement toward the identified targets.
What’s your outlook on USDJPY? Do you expect more downside?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSDfinally over a year gold has rised 8600 pip which is incradibly insane, i see gold potentially trapping buyer at this high price my prediction is very simple it might may not be the same for sure.. as we still see how this month is going to close after all monthly 11 bullish candle and only 2 bearish candle has been performed, trade what you see, not what we think. happy weekend. what you think let me know in the comment.
USDJPY: Bullish signal on the 0.5 Fib.USDJPY is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.042, MACD = -1.350, ADX = 47.008), pulling back on a technical retrace inside the long term Channel Up. This bullish wave correction is identical to the 0.5 Fibonacci pullback of December 29th 2023 that also traded on similar RSI levels. We expect the price to start recovering now and aim at the 1.382 Fibonacci. Go long, TP = 166.300.
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EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
The EUR/USD pair is moving within an ascending channel and is currently testing the bottom of the channel. After some consolidation in this support zone, the price is expected to move toward the top of the channel.
What’s your outlook? Will EUR/USD move toward the channel’s top?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️