Get started

Fractal

XAU/USD 04 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS, in-line with analysis dated 23 April 2025 As mentioned in yesterday's analysis, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its upward trajectory printing all-time-highs. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,578.660. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS. Price has again continued with its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs with previous pullbacks being very minimal, therefore, I will again apply discretion and mark previous iBOS in red due to insignificant depth of pullback. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which confirms internal structure, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,578.660. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Weierstrass Function: Fractal Cycles🏛️ RESEARCH NOTES In financial markets, asset prices move in broken waves, seemingly random patterns because they reflect the decentralized and often conflicting decisions of countless participants. No single force dictates this behavior; it emerges from the collective actions of millions acting on different information and expectations. Constantly shifting news and uncertainty cause prices to fluctuate like a stochastic process, similar to Brownian motion. These fluctuations stem from past events, current news, and future speculation often disconnected from fundamentals - and would stabilize only if all outcomes were perfectly known in advance. Given that markets function as emergent systems in which order develops from iterative interaction cycles, I consider its raw geometry a necessary approach for advancing a more precise understanding of price dynamics as expressed in their behavior. 🇩🇪 The Weierstrass Function is a classic example of a "fractal curve", as it is continuous and is nowhere differentiable. This means it is infinitely jagged at every single point, so regardless the zoom, it never becomes smooth. Similarly, in markets, the large cycles contain medium cycles, which further scale down to nested micro-cycles. f(x) = ∑(n=0)^∞ a^n * cos(b^n * π * x) a^n → ensures higher-frequency components have smaller amplitude, keeping the series bounded. b^n → scales the frequency, creating finer oscillations that nest inside larger cycles. N (n_terms) → truncates the infinite sum to a practical number of terms. Scale_factor → maps the abstract mathematical domain to the time axis of the price chart. ❖ Shapes of Fractal Cycles With default parameters, the function reproduces the characteristic roughness it is known for. At a frequency factor of 5, nested cycles are compressed along the time axis, while the frequency and magnitude of reversals increase. The resulting structure closely resembles Elliott wave patterns. At a frequency factor of 9, composite cycles emerge at smaller scales. The steep angles cause movements to unfold as rapid but short-lived spikes. At extreme values (e.g., frequency factor >1000), cycles overlap extensively, producing dense interference patterns with significant stretching and deformation. ❗️Each added term does not “react” to price. Instead, it generates a composite waveform in which multiple cycles are naturally nested. The resulting fractal wave is topologically organized, meaning it encodes trends of different scales in one structure without any bias toward trend-following. The Weierstrass function is a generative fractal model that builds waves nested across multiple scales. It doesn’t react to market data but provides a topological view of trend structure, showing how cycles naturally scale and interlock instead of prescribing signals.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by fract
1
Bitcoin: Transitions ('25 - '26)Research Notes In this research idea, I'll draw multi-scale interconnections to cover transitions ahead. Price is at critical zone of compression (Longer Term) Yellow curve covering local scope expansion, happens to align with that of a bigger scale. The rejection at higher levels makes up double top , after which price has corrected. The drop justifies the use of linear extension to cover unviolated (yet) boundaries. Publishing the interactive chart (6h TF) in order to document the intermediate market behavior within price-derived zones.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by fract
2
XAU/USD 03 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS, in-line with analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is marked with a dotted horizontal line. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,547.330. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart : M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS. Price has again continued to print bullish with previous pullback being very minimal, therefore, I will again apply discretion and mark previous iBOS in red due to insignificant depth of pullback. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH which confirms internal structure, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,547.330. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 02 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS. Price has continued to print bullish with previous pullback being very minimal, therefore, I will apply discretion and mark previous iBOS in red due to depth of pullback. Price has since printed a bearish CHoCH which confirms internal structure, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,508.790. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD (15M) – Decision Point at Rising Support|BULLS AGAIN BACKFOREXCOM:XAUUSD Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones Gold moved strongly from an accumulation zone, rallying into channel resistance ~3,508. Now, price is testing rising trendline support + retest zone at 3,490–3,478. This is the immediate decision point. Market Overview Momentum remains bullish after the strong breakout, but repeated supply pressure at 3,508 capped upside. Buyers must defend current support levels; otherwise, a breakdown toward lower supports may follow. A bounce here could restore bullish continuation toward fresh highs. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1: 3,498 🎯 Target 2: 3,508 (channel high) 🎯 Target 3: Extension above 3,520 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Downside Target 1: 3,478 🎯 Downside Target 2: 3,467 🎯 Extended: 3,456 Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 3,498 – 3,508 Support 🟢: 3,490 – 3,478 – 3,467 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by PEAKALPHAFXMARKETS
AUD/USD Watching the Ceiling and FloorThis is just my analysis, not financial advice. On this 4H AUD/USD chart, I see two important levels: Ceiling (Red Line – 0.65688): Price is testing this zone. Often, markets slow down or turn here, but sometimes they break through. Floor (Green Line – 0.64146): If price falls to this area, it has bounced before, so I’m watching it as a possible reaction point. Right now, price is sitting closer to the ceiling. I’ll be watching to see if it breaks higher or if sellers step in. I’m not telling anyone what to do—this is just how I see the chart and a simple way to mark levels that matter to me.
Short
by CarlosJuiceZapataJr.
XAU/USD 01 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, however, depth of pullback was insignificant, therefore, I have marked this in red. Price has since printed a further bearish CHoCH which confirms internal structure. I shall continue to monitor depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,489.345. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
USDCHF — Watch the Floor at 0.81714Summary Price is standing on a floor at 0.81714. If that floor breaks, price could fall down to the “basement” at 0.78722. This is only my idea, not advice. Description I like to think of price like a person in a house. Right now, they are standing on the floor at 0.81714. If that floor breaks, they can fall down to the lower levels: 0.8050, then 0.7950, and maybe all the way to the basement at 0.78722. If the floor holds, price might instead climb the stairs up toward 0.8220. What I’m watching: I want to see a strong red candle close under 0.81714 before thinking the floor is broken. If price jumps back above 0.8220, then my idea is wrong. Disclaimer This is just my personal view for learning. It is not financial advice or a trade signal.
Long
by CarlosJuiceZapataJr.
3
The end - 2026 Financial panicSince 2300, I’ve marked a zone and made a personal commitment: no matter what happens in the market, when this zone is approached, I will begin reducing my exposure and carefully exit all financial markets—with extreme caution and tight stop losses. Yesterday, I received an alert I never expected to see. It signaled the approach of the zone I identified back in 2021 as the escape point—where major crashes are likely imminent and the urge to invest must be resisted. This zone aligns with the 0.786 trend-based Fibonacci level from the 2009 bottom to the 2020 peak, as well as the April 2020 bottom. It also coincides with the 2.618 and 3.618 Fibonacci extensions from the 2007–2010 cycle, and the 3.618 trend Fibonacci from the 2002–2009 cycle. But that’s not all. According to Gann’s Square of 9, if you examine closely, you’ll notice that whenever the trend reaches one of its primary or secondary angles since the 2009 bottom, it consistently triggers a significant drop. The end cycle at the 360° angle corresponds to 7926—perfectly aligning with all the previously mentioned Fibonacci zones. And for those skeptical of technical analysis, consider this: the upcoming year, 2026, is a pivotal year in the Samuel Benner chart developed in 1875 to identify periods of financial disorder. Benner’s chart indicated when to buy, when to sell, and when to expect chaos. Remarkably, it has accurately forecasted major financial crashes over the past 150 years—including the Great Depression, the Dot-Com bust, and the 2020 COVID crash. According to this chart, selling during the crash year and re-entering post-crash has historically led to profitable outcomes with a +-2 Years at a 87.5% accuracy. When you combine all these signals, it feels reckless not to take them seriously—especially since this marks the end of a cycle measured from 2009. That’s how significant it is. To those who dismiss technical analysis, this may sound like smoke and mirrors. But for those who’ve seen its power firsthand, the sheer number of confluences here is too substantial to ignore. If I know such big crash may happen - I would be happy to wait 1-2 years on cash and take opportunity of big red markets to buy. Curious to hear your thoughts on this.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by mtrade8888