Fractal
BTC Medium Term and Local Work for 2025 18 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Everything is shown extremely accurately, according to technical analysis, logic based on cyclical repetition, and liquidity consolidation zones as a result of price and trading movements. This trading idea, with precise reversal zones and targets, will last you for 31 weeks. That is, for 7 months.
The previous trading idea BTC/USD Triangle. Medium-term and local work , published on 7 06 2024, it lasted me almost 1 year. It has 63 local work updates (I don't spam with new trading ideas on principle). So, nothing will get lost, you can follow everything, read, possibly use it as training material on a live chart, as a whole explanation of local work, what is really happening on the market, profit/loss potential, always before the price movement, and not after the fact. I show what is, that is, a chart and potential work from the position of a trader, not a crypto marketer.
🟣 Local and medium urgent now
1️⃣💸 The bullish triangle itself (which is not there yet, I have depicted it on the chart for you) acts as a stop and consolidation zone (zone “psychology 100”, reset in trend No. 1). This is the easiest to manipulate and the most probable scenario. This will just be the summer consolidation. Instead of it, there may be:
2️⃣💸 Rising wedge , but more in shape like a triangle (essentially a wedge, there is a meaning of a triangle, but it was formed on aggressive pump news), with a large short liquidity takeout, and not very good logic of the TA movement after that... But, this is a bullish scenario, although quite aggressive.
3️⃣ Working out the bearish targets of the triangle (non-corrective price movement within its canvas). Stopping the decline in the designated zone and reversal upward (continuation of the trend). I emphasize the importance of not fixing the price below the zone of targets of the local corrective decline, which will not break the trend.
4️⃣💸 Double top (or triple). Double top as in 2021 in the distribution zone. This is the least likely scenario, but the most negative, as it breaks the trend. But, this is the least likely scenario, primarily because of the altcoins.
Altcoins in 2021 and now.
4️⃣In 2021, when Bitcoin formed a double top, they (altcoins) were in “space”, that is, in their distribution zones (+500-1000% of the average price of the set).
🔽Now everything is the other way around, they are in capitulation zones (most of them) or in their long-term accumulation channels :
Liquid -90-93%
Medium liquid -93-96%
Low liquid -96-98% or some are already scams or on the verge of it...
Some altcoins have pumped up earlier. That is, they left their long-term accumulation zones earlier. For example: SUN, XRP, DOGE, PEPE, SOL and so on... But there are very few of them, as distributing (raising the price, holding it and selling, inspiring to buy expensive when everything is cheap) in a bearish altcoin trend is very irrational, and you need a lot of money to go against the general market trend.
Main trend (most of it, chart since Binance Exchange foundation) for clarity on a large time frame of this local zone for work.
BTC Primary trend. Secondary — expanding triangle.
ETH Recovery Underway: Momentum Building!ETH Recovery Underway: Momentum Building!
Ethereum (ETH) is currently showing signs of a potential bullish reversal on the 4-hour timeframe. After a significant correction from the 4800-4900 "Sell Order Block" and breaking down through the 4500 "Flip Zone," ETH found strong support around the 3850 key level.
From that low, we've observed the formation of an ascending trendline, indicating a series of higher lows and a gradual recovery in buying interest. The price has successfully climbed back above the 4000 psychological support level and is now testing a more immediate resistance zone, as indicated by the smaller gray box.
A decisive break above this current resistance, potentially pushing towards the 4500 "Flip Zone" again, would significantly strengthen the bullish case. However, maintaining price action above the ascending trendline and the 4000 level is crucial to sustain this recovery momentum. Failure to hold these levels could see ETH retesting the 3850 key support.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
$AMD: Sierpinski Fibs (Surgery I)⚖️ TOPOLOGY
Directional Scaling
Sierpinski interconnection based on 3 coordinates
Linking first impulsive wave of nested cycles. In contrast they must be steeper in order to cover the time aspect of higher-frequency oscillations more precisely.
Original Sierpinski
Point of all this is to explore new ways to geometrically quantify the temporal patterns using initial measurements, so that future price's nested cycles would rhyme with the structure.
XAU/USD 01 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's intraday analysis whereby I mentioned in alternative scenario that price could print higher, however, weak internal high price target has changed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,871.890.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's intraday analysis whereby I mentioned price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,871.890.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH, to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. Price to then trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,895.500.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
MMC / Marsh % McLennan / Seasonality & FractalMy analysis gives me a hint that MMC could go up to the marked area. The upmove, from aseasonality point of view could finish around beginning of December.
After reaching the price and time downlside is coming. The bearhish period in PE+2 year should bring price down to break the double low until end of April 2026.
This is not a tradecall nor financial advice. Good Luck
I d be happy to see your comments on this and some "rockets" (but keep in mind: Space is Fake!!)
Cheers!
XAU/USD 30 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's intraday analysis whereby I mentioned in alternative scenario that price could print higher.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,871.890.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per alternative scenario of yesterday's intraday analysis, price continued to push higher.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH before continuing with it's bullish momentum, however, I shall not classify this due to the very insignificant pullback. This has been marked in red.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,871.890.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially target strong internal low as H4 TF enters it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
COSTCO NEEDS TO AVOID BREAKING H-n-S TO CONTINUE ITS UPSIDE RALLCostco (COST) has posted another strong fiscal year, with revenue climbing to $86.2B and net income up to $5.49B. However, the weekly chart is showing a developing head-and-shoulders pattern threatens the upside momentum, and price must hold above 871 with a rejection candle this week to avoid a deeper breakdown. A close below that level could confirm bearish continuation, despite Costco’s solid fundamentals.
N.B!
- COST price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#cost
#nasdaq
#nyse
$BTC Following $GOLD - Parabola Incoming !P.S. CRYPTOCAP:BTC still on track to follow the TVC:GOLD parabola with this 10-12 week fractal which we should see between Thanksgiving and Christmas 🦃🎅
Will be following GOLD a bit more closely as Total Global Liquidity gave its first real fake-out showing ATH at EOM.
ORCL / ORACLE / Bullish scenario / fractal / SeasonalityHere is my view on ORCL:
Until mid of November we should see a bullish seasonal move to the upside.
My target is on the chart.
SL at your discretion but i highly doubt that there will be a deeper pullback before next year...
This is not a trade call, this is no financial advice. I am just a dude trading Oracle and good luck to all!
Cheers!
Feel free to leave a comment and discuss this analysis. I am happy to learn, exchange thoughts and chat.
LULU / LULULEMON / Long / Fractal and SeasonalityHere is my view on LULULEMON:
The 15min Timeframe analysis (yellow) shows the next luttle move.
The bigger timeframe analysis (green, done on 1h) shows the bigger move to come.
Seasonality analysis suggests that we should enter a bullish time and reach our take profit around december 8th.
First TP: Gap close
2nd TP: old high before the drop
3rd TP: target taken from the fractal.
Feel free to discuss this idea and the method with me so we all can learn.
This is not a trade call nor financial advice.
Cheers!
MSFT / MICROSOFT / Fractal and Seasonality inspiredHere is my view on MSFT from seasonal and fractal point of view.
Price gonna break the recent 516 high, shall turn and break recent 505 low than head upside for end of the year ralley.
i put 2 Longs into the chart. Smaller for first partial take profit and the larger one for rest.
All this should play out until 15th of November or latest until End of January.
After January 2026 downside. Be careful!
(This is not a trade call, just educational analysis, trade at your own risk)
Feel free to comment so we can learn and improve together!
Cheers!
XAU/USD 29 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per my analysis dated 22 September 2025, whereby I mentioned price could potentially continue to print higher-highs. This is how price printed, showing little to no signs of pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Take note that CHoCH positioning as been brought significantly closer than previous, this allows for a more realistic chance of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,819.915.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to previous intraday expectation whereby I mentioned price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791.255.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted horizontal line.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price to then trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,819.915
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially continue to print higher.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
#NZDUSD Short tradeSince we are looking for TVC:DXY longs, this means we’re automatically looking for /USD shorts.
I’m looking for NZDUSD to retrace back into daily demand.
By doing this, we will take liquidity above the high that brought us to the recent low. The only thing that remains after this is a CHoCH on the 1H–4H.
The main objective is continuing the bearish swing trend on the 4H timeframe.
I know you dont like me but.. but... the whole universe is a huge fractal. Repetition inside a repetition repeated over time. Trading and investing is not far away from philosophy.
Been showing this fractal for few years now :) its simple on point week by week.
Not an investment advice. Go to meditate.
BTS rules.
I know you dont like me but..but... the whole universe is a huge fractal. Repetition inside a repetition repeated over time. Trading and investing is not far away from philosophy.
Look ar my BTC fractal prediction. its simple on point week by week.
Not an investment advice. Go to meditate.
Elon rules.
$TSLA: Sierpinski Fibs (RAW)Documenting in interactive the geometry of movements for research purposes to learn how future outcomes deviates in respect to angles from original measurements. Since the periods are vast, the corresponding price axis also spans large magnitudes. This uncovers the long-term confluence points and provides basic texture of systemic behavior.
ETH to 40k? 2020-21 Fractal PRESS PLAYWhy?
-meme stock mania redux
-stock market bottoms 6 months before economy (April bottom + 6 = October)
-wyckoff accumulation after sign of strength breakout
New
-deregulation of crypto
-staking of ETH ETFs
-RISC-V future, lighter.xyz, zero knowledge proofs
-layer 2 execution to offload retail flow
press play!
fib lines and PLAY idea inspired by @ScottScotty cheers!
XAU/USD 26 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 September 2025.
As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. This is continuing.
As per my analysis of yesterday, dated 22 September 2025, whereby I mentioned price could potentially continue to print higher-highs. This is how price printed, showing little to no signs of pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a horizontal blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation, price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791,255.
Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 September 2025.
As per analysis and intraday expectation of previous analysis, price has printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation
Price is currently trading within an internal low and internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,791.255.
Alternative Scenario: Price could potentially continue to print higher.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:






















