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Fractal

XAU/USD 20 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation. Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380. 990. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. I have been mentioning in my alternative scenario for almost 1-month that all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low. This is how price printed. Price has printed a bearish iBOS after a very long duration and subsequently a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation. The bearish iBOS has also confirmed the swing-high. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of 50%, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal low priced at 4,185.910. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Zig Zag Indicator UPD: Cycle DualityIn some earlier works I've mentioned how Markets follow Brownian Motion that explains its probabilistic memory and denies geometric one. And with the recent update of Zig Zag that monitors both directive and temporal aspect of the swings, I'd like to return to review that subject again. Recap of Known Contradicting Theories Brownian motion is a random walk, often used as a model for stock price movements. In its simplest form, it assumes that price changes are independent and identically distributed with a normal distribution. However, financial markets exhibit trends, cycles, and volatility clustering, which are not captured by simple Brownian motion. Benoit Mandelbrot studied the fractal nature of financial markets. He proposed that markets are better modeled using fractal geometry and that price movements exhibit: Fat tails: Extreme events occur more frequently than predicted by the normal distribution. Long-term dependence: Price changes are not independent; there is persistence in volatility and sometimes in returns. Self-similarity: Market patterns repeat at different time scales. Why measuring both H2H and L2L cycles matters: (Please do not confuse with directional swing HH LH LL HL, as they are of trend's price motion and not temporal!) Basic Thoughts The traditional way to measure cycles is through a systematic 𖼆 movements, so that the time distance between Lows counts as cycle length. The best way to fool myself would be to just stick with one method of tracking market rhythms. So, having second perspective of what cycle is, through inverse time count 𖼓 (H ➔ H), would technically back the original one or even challenge at times, which by definition increases awareness of the price fluctuation. We figured that markets move in alternating phases of accumulation and distribution, that's why only measuring one gives half the story. Cycle Confirmation: When H2H and L2L cycles align in duration, it suggests stable, rhythmic market behavior. Divergences signal potential trend changes. Phase Relationships: The timing between highs and lows reveals market temperament: Short 𖼆 + Long 𖼓 = Strong uptrend Short 𖼓 + Long 𖼆 = Strong downtrend Similar durations = Consolidation/balanced market Brownian Motion Contrast By default assumes H2H ≈ L2L (durations symmetry) Random phase relationships No persistent asymmetries The indicator's value comes from measuring exactly what Brownian motion cannot explain. I'm essentially interested in building a temporal map of market psychology rather than just a price map. The dual aspects of timing would letting you see the complete waveform rather than just half of it. The next update would probably be after carefully linking normalized Averaged(True Range/close *100) to the directional wave, in order to reveal how price swings are naturally scaled. It might give some constants which could be used for modeling.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by fract
Baidu -the awakening of the Chinese giantBaidu (BIDU) has been moving within a descending channel, and the price is now testing the lower boundary of a key demand zone. On the monthly chart, the stock is attempting to hold above the 115–120 range, which could signal the beginning of a mid-term reversal. The upside potential extends toward 163, 205, and 357, where major supply zones and the upper border of the long-term channel are located. Baidu remains a leader in China’s AI and internet search industries. The company continues to invest heavily in autonomous driving and cloud technologies, reinforcing its long-term position. With the yuan weakening and expectations of a softer monetary stance from Beijing, the tech sector gains additional tailwinds. The stock is consolidating near key support, and a breakout above the range may trigger a new bullish phase. Investors should watch the 115–120 zone as a potential launch point for growth. Volatility may stay elevated, so risk management remains essential.
NASDAQ:BIDULong
by InvestWorld_777
GBPUSD Monday judas swing???? This asset is on a down trend from the clear bias on the high time frames,,, the Friday candle only created a range by forming an inside bar after sweeping the previous week low...making the DOL previous weeks high. the ultimate liquidity target is the monthly low...keep a keen eye. However for today only one setup stands out considering the statements above , the ob- formed after Friday's high swept the Thursday high and rallied down. take the trade or set a pending order. Thank me later GLGT
Short
by mitg
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical AnalysisGold chart analysis: After a relatively heavy drop on Friday, Gold is currently showing a time-based correction. In my view, Gold may find a lower point around 4,176 – 4,154. If it accumulates liquidity in this support zone, a new high could be expected again. For now, I will wait for this area to consider a long position. Analysis based on the NDS method, following the style of Professor Iraj Jafarian. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by yasinmohammadreza
2
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent. A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter). Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time. However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least. What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1. A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150... Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility. I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BallaJi
2
WILL GBPUSD CORRECTION ENDS WITH SIMPLE WXY OR WXYXZ?Cable is undergoing a weekly having successfully break above the 1.34342 resistance now turned support level to extend its impulse trend. Will the pair's trend continue after a simple wxy correction, or a more complex wxyxz or even breakdown? N.B! - GBPUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #gbpusd #cable
Long
by BullBearMkt
Top-Down Analysis Strategy: How I Open and Manage TradesLearn how I use top-down analysis from senior to junior timeframes to find high-probability entry points and confidently follow through on trades. On the weekly chart, I identify point A and the presumed point B — this is my idea. Then, gradually shifting through the timeframes, I need to confirm this idea. I get confirmation when volume appears on the chart. On the daily chart, I note the formation of a new trading range, which arises as a result of the interaction of the price with the key level. I determine the POI in the form of a daily FVG — my idea is confirmed, and the price is ready to move towards point B. I also note the daily SNR as a potential zone of interest. If the price reacts to the SNR, it will mean that I am working in a strong trend. If the reaction occurs on the FVG, the movement simply continues along the trend. If you are interested in the topic of working in ranges, write in the comments — I will definitely cover it. As a result of the daily SNR test, the price confirms the presence of volume through the formation of a 4-hour True SNR. You can open a position from it with a limit order with a target beyond point B and fix the risk/profit ratio at 1:2. If you found this article interesting and my method useful, I would appreciate your support — please like, share, and help promote this article so that it reaches more traders.
Education
by MomentumXAlgoritmA-B
EUR/USD Forecast: How I Plan to Trade the Euro Next WeekOn the daily chart, we can see the formation of a new trading range as a result of interaction with the weekly key level. We can mark D FVG as a zone of interest from which I would like to work on continuing the trend in long. Entry into the position will be executed upon confirmation of the volume on the 4-hour chart. If you found this useful, please write about it in the comments. Feedback is very motivating to publish more useful material.
Long
by MomentumXAlgoritmA-B
XAU/USD 17 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis, however CHoCH positioning has moved closer to more recent price action. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action. At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS and has again reacted from discount of 50% EQ. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, priced at 4,380.990. Alternative scenario: As all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
BITCOIN ACCUMULATIONS MAY START <= 100KFor those planning to buy Bitcoin (BTC), you could wait for the price to decline to the $100,000 level or below. Currently, the price chart shows a "double top" formation, which is a potential bearish reversal signal. I suspect this could evolve into a "head and shoulders" pattern. A break below the neckline could push the price toward the discount or value area. N.B! - BTCUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #ethusd #crypto #btcusd
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by BullBearMkt
S&P500 | Mild CrashRisk assets looking to sell off as the stock market tops out around $6,800. Current price action is only pulling back to test sellers again and we should see a continuation in selling until mid November and hopefully to see a Christmas rally to end the year off. Since price action awfully looks similar to '24 - '25 Fractal we could say the SPX will look to top next year February/March also considering we're on correction 4 in the Elliott Wave Theory. Would like to see the S&P bottom out around April - July months of next year at $5,600 if we can continue the bullish parallel trend.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Nathanl19
XAU/USD 16 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis, however CHoCH positioning has moved closer to more recent price action. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action. At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has printed a bullish iBOS and has reacted from discount of 50% EQ. Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal high, priced at 4,242.380. Alternative scenario: As all higher timeframes are requiring a pullback, and we are seeing a narrowing of internal structure, price could target strong internal low. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Ethereum.. Time for new highs?Price is Fractal - Revisiting this year's price action In December of 2024, Ethereum tapped the 4100 level before dumping down to the $1400 level at the bottom of the altcoin bear market. In doing so, it left behind equal highs at 4100. Prior to the move lower, it also had left behind equal lows at the $2050 mark - this can be spotted on the weekly timeframe. Leaving behind these equal highs/lows are classic signs of engineering liquidity - price tends to revisit it later. What followed was a sweep of the 2050 equal lows and also the $1500 lows from August 2023. Once price reclaimed the 2050 level, I called for a rally back to 4100 highs to sweep. This is how price often reacts anyway. Present The current local range for ETH between $3400 and $4800 presents a similar opportunity. There are equal highs and equal lows as shown in the chart with the monthly level of $4100 smack in the middle. I personally don't want any HTF (>1D) below this 4100 level as it would signal significant weakness. But I do see a potential intraweek wick down to the sweep the $3400 equal lows. Keep in mind I don't see this as a certainty. But if Bitcoin continues to show weakness in the face of US-China trade tensions, then everything is on the table and one must think about the different scenarios. As such, I'm looking at the possibility of a wick down to sweep those levels and ideally we get a swift recovery back above this level and back above the $4100 as confirmation. This would cement the outlook that a sweep of $4800 is next and onto new highs, which would likely be above $5000. The Bearish Case Ethereum is also in a larger HTF monthly range from all the way back in 2021. The monthly chart shows price ranging from $1500 to $4500. Given that we are range highs and are currently breaking back into the range, one must consider the possibility of the range continuing. If this were the case and $4100 were lost and $3400 does not provide a swift recovery, then a move back down to $2800 (mid-range) and lower would have to be considered. Either way, this isn't the time for me to gamble and take in a leveraged position. I'd much rather see a sweep and a reversal for a confirmation for a swing long hold. Let's see how it plays out.
BYBIT:ETHUSD.P
by harjas01
USDJPY – Possible Reversal Setup (M15 + H1 Confluence)Price engineered a clean liquidity sweep beneath prior intraday lows, triggering a 1H Change of Character (CHoCH) that confirmed a shift from bearish to bullish order flow. The move originated from a 15-Minute Refined POI within the liquidity grab zone — the likely area of institutional accumulation. As long as structure remains bullish above the refined POI, the focus remains on higher liquidity targets around: → 151.612 – 152.000 (internal liquidity) → 152.370 – 152.600 (H4 supply) This setup suggests a short-term retracement toward premium levels before potential redistribution from the higher-timeframe supply zone. 📍 Key Confluences • Liquidity sweep into discount pricing • 1H CHoCH confirmation • 15M refined POI reaction • Imbalance targets aligning with premium pricing 📈 Bias: Bullish retracement 📉 Invalidation: Break below 150.800
Long
by BFUFX_MARKETS
Bitcoin’s Bloodbath Was a Setup Smart Money Knows ItBitcoin remains structurally bullish despite the recent market turmoil. The monthly chart clearly shows that the main ascending trendline continues to hold firm acting as the backbone of the current bull cycle. The recent drop was nothing more than a controlled retest of this key support zone. As long as Bitcoin stays above $103,000 and the trendline remains intact, the bull market stands strong. Next upside projections: First target: $126K – $165K Extension target: $200K+ Only a confirmed monthly close below $103K would invalidate the bullish structure. Until then, this phase remains a buyers’ market, not a sellers’. Share your thoughts below do you believe this trendline can carry BTC to new highs? Like & share if you agree.
Long
by weslad
120
XAU/USD 15 October 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS, however, I will apply discretion and not classify it as such due to the insignificant depth of pullback relative to recent price action. At the time of this analysis price is continuing to print bullish without pause, which, as a result, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Current bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. Intraday expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued bullish printing further ATH's. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue horizontal dotted line. At the time of this analysis price is continuing bullish without puase, therefore, I am unable to confirm a fractal high. Intraday expectation: Allow price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK