USDCAD potentail longs due to weaker than expected CAD CPI y/y The Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July 2025 showed a year-over-year (YoY) increase of 1.7%, down from 1.9% in June 2025 and below the forecast of 1.8%. The decline in headline inflation was largely due to falling gasoline prices, though food and shelter costs continued to push inflation higher.
Due to the weaker-than-expected economic data, we expect the CAD to weaken against the USD.
Fundamental-analysis
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 19, 2025 GBPUSDSterling is holding around 1.35 following the Bank of England’s “hawkish cut” in August: the BoE eased by 25 bps but signaled that subsequent moves will be cautious and data-dependent, with services inflation and labor-market cooling in focus. This guidance tempered expectations for an aggressive easing cycle and supported the UK curve versus the US, improving GBP’s relative appeal in the near term.
Recent UK data have been resilient, particularly in services, while wage growth is cooling more slowly than the BoE would prefer. That gives the MPC room to “wait and see,” which markets interpret as supportive for the pound. An additional tailwind comes from the US side: rising odds of a Fed pivot weaken the dollar across the board, adding upward pressure on GBPUSD.
In the US, the short-term balance of risks tilts toward a softer dollar as investors concentrate on likely autumn rate cuts and signs of moderating growth. While periodic geopolitical jitters can lift the greenback, without a renewed hawkish push from the Fed such spurts tend to fade. Overall, conditions favor a gradual GBPUSD recovery from current levels.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.35050, SL 1.34750, TP 1.35650
EURO Breakout Alert- Long Setup In Play EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.1660, showing strong bullish momentum after holding key support levels. The pair is forming higher lows, indicating sustained buying pressure. If price action maintains above 1.1650, the next upside target is 1.1700, with a potential extension towards 1.1730. Euro strength is driven by positive market sentiment and weakness in the dollar index. Watch for a clean breakout above 1.1675 for confirmation of further upside. Ideal buy entry remains around 1.1660 with stop loss below 1.1640. Short-term trend remains bullish as long as the pair stays above 1.1640.
GBPAUD – 4H FVG Rejection Could Trigger Bearish Move
On the 4H chart, GBPAUD is approaching a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 2.0900 , where I expect sellers to step in. Price has already shown exhaustion signs, and if rejection happens, the downside path looks more probable.
With the 200 EMA still hovering below, a clean rejection from FVG could open the way for a move down to 2.0610 (expected target). If bearish momentum extends, the next level to watch will be around 2.0472 (Fib extension support) .
📉 Bias – Bearish from FVG rejection
📍 Key Resistance – 2.0900 FVG zone
🎯 Target Levels – 2.0610 → 2.0472
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 18, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD starts the week around 1.17300, holding above the psychologically important 1.17000 level and extending gains after Friday’s correction. According to Torforex, staying above the 1.16500–1.16700 range confirms a bullish scenario and signals the market’s readiness to test the 1.17600–1.18000 areas.
From a fundamental perspective, the dollar remains under pressure following an “atypical” US inflation report: July CPI came in below expectations, reviving speculation about a possible Fed rate cut as early as the fall. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields have stabilized but remain below July highs, limiting the dollar’s appeal for fixed-income investors.
In the euro area, the euro receives short-term support from the persistent current account surplus and moderate expansion in services activity. We also assume the recent 25bp ECB rate cut is largely priced in; the next steps will depend on the dynamics of core inflation (company research desk view). Overall, we expect a continuation of a moderate upward move.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.17250, SL 1.17050, TP 1.18250
JSW Cement: Company Profile & Sector Analysis
🙀🧐Conclusion 🧐🙀
🤔While JSW Cement demonstrates ambition and operational scale in India’s vibrant cement sector, its financial health is tempered by high leverage and modest returns. Strong governance, strategic debt management, and transparent reporting will be critical as the company seeks market leadership among robust peers. Long-term investors should closely monitor improvements in cash flows and efficiency, given sector opportunities and competitive dynamics.
🧐The cement sector shows strong growth led by robust leaders; JSW Cement is a promising but highly leveraged mid-cap facing profitability and liquidity challenges. Sector fundamentals remain resilient, but JSW’s turnaround depends on prudent financial and governance reforms
🌺🌺About JSW Cement🌺🌺
JSW Cement is a prominent Indian cement manufacturer, recently listed on BSE and NSE in August 2025. The company aims to rapidly expand its production capacity and footprint across key markets with a focus on sustainable manufacturing and innovative processes.
🤯Cement Sector Growth & Future Potential🤯
- India’s cement demand driven by government infrastructure push and urbanization.
- Sector CAGR expected at 7-9% over the next five years with rapid capacity additions.
- Companies investing in green cement, alternative fuels, and digital operations.
- Consolidation and entry of large players signal a highly competitive future market landscape.
🧐Financials Snapshot (FY25)🧐
- Revenue: ₹6,028 crore
- Operating Margin: 15.3%
- EBITDA Margin: 16%
- Net Margin: 1%
- Market Cap: ₹7,400 crore
- Free Cash Flow: Negative
😶🌫️Key Ratios😶🌫️
- Debt/Equity Ratio: 2.6 (sector high)
- Return on Equity (ROE): 0.6% (below industry average)
- Return on Capital Employed (ROCE): 8%
- Current Ratio: 0.65
- Dividend Payout: 0%
👷🏻 Peer Analysis👷🏻
- UltraTech Cement, Shree Cement, and Ambuja Cement lead with stronger margins and lower debt.
- JSW Cement’s leverage (high debt) impacts profitability and shareholder returns.
- Sector leaders maintain ROE and ROCE above 10-13%; JSW lags in these metrics.
- Free cash flow in JSW Cement lags behind top peers due to high investment and operational pressures.
- Margins are competitive but net profitability is limited compared to industry best.
- JSW Cement is positioned as a mid-cap, growth-oriented player with room for efficiency improvement.
- Company’s focus on expansion adds long-term growth potential.
- Peer companies show higher liquidity and sustainable dividend payout records.
USD/CAD - Ascending Triangle (18.08.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Ascending Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3774
2nd Support – 1.3755
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GBP/JPY - Triangle Breakout (18.08.2025)The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 200.79
2nd Resistance – 201.24
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GBP/CHF - Triangle Breakout (18.08.2025) The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.0970
2nd Resistance – 1.0993
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ETHUSDT 1D Chart Update | Channel Structure, Economic EventsETHUSDT 1D Chart Update | Channel Structure, Economic Events & ATH in Focus
🔍 Here’s the latest breakdown of ETH/USDT price action on the daily chart—channel dynamics, correction levels, and upcoming catalysts.
⏳ Daily Overview
Ethereum is trending strongly within an ascending channel, respecting both mid-level and upper resistance. After a local correction, price is rebounding with sturdy volume participation—signaling renewed interest from buyers.
📉 Correction Levels & Volume
- Recent correction found support at the $3,913 zone, with the $4,180 mark now acting as next key level.
- Volume has picked up on bullish candles, confirming the strength of this bounce.
- Correction appears healthy: price stayed within the channel, higher lows maintained.
📊 Channel, Economic Events & Breakout Setup
- ETH continues trading inside the established channel, posting higher highs and higher lows.
- Two major US economic events ahead—Unemployment Claims releases on Aug 21 and Aug 28, 2025—that could trigger volatility.
- Watch for a breakout (BO) above $4,809: crossing this sets the stage for a new all-time high (ATH).
🎯 Key Levels & Scenario
- $3,913: Correction support zone; ideal spot for high RR (risk/reward) long entries if retested.
- $4,180: Immediate resistance; flipping this could attract trend-following bulls.
- $4,809: Channel top and major breakout threshold. If price closes above, expect acceleration toward new ATH territory.
🚨 Conclusion:
ETH is pushing firmly inside its channel, with correction and volume patterns favoring bullish continuation. Key economic events may provide the volatility needed for a breakout move. Above $4,809, watch for new ATHs; dips to $3,913–$4,180 offer attractive re-entry zones for aggressive traders. Stay adaptive as August catalysts unfold.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 15, 2025 USDJPYDespite some profit-taking after the rise toward 148.0, the pair remains supported by monetary policy divergence. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is approaching 4.46%, while comparable JGBs remain around 0.82% even after the summer expansion of the YCC band.
Weak momentum in the Japanese economy increases the likelihood that the Bank of Japan will postpone further tightening: real wages have fallen for the sixth consecutive month, and core CPI has eased to 2.4% y/y, reducing the pressure on the regulator to normalize policy. At the same time, Japan’s Ministry of Finance refrains from verbal interventions, being comfortable above the 145.0 level, which reduces the risk of aggressive dollar selling.
Global risk appetite remains moderate after strong U.S. PPI data, which traditionally channels capital into U.S. assets and supports USD against JPY.
Trade recommendation: BUY 147.300, SL 147.100, TP 148.400
Fed Set to Cut 50bps: Gold Benefits as the Bullish Wave Reforms📌 Market Overview
Gold surged as high as $3,370/oz before closing at $3,355.9 (+0.24%), fuelled by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve could deliver a 50bps rate cut in September.
US Treasury Secretary Bessent signalled strong support for such a move, while July CPI remained soft — weighing on the USD and pushing bond yields lower, giving gold a clear upside path.
However, upside momentum was capped by US equities hitting fresh record highs and a cooling in geopolitical tensions.
Markets now turn their focus to the upcoming PPI data, jobless claims, and the Trump–Putin meeting to gauge gold’s next move.
🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW Perspective
The recovery wave is becoming increasingly evident after recent corrective moves. Price action is now poised to revisit liquidity zones from previous pullbacks.
Strategy remains to:
Buy early in pre-identified liquidity zones to ride the bullish wave within the current channel.
Sell from continuation or exhaustion zones once the next liquidity sweep is in play.
🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW
🔹 BUY ZONE – Early Long Setup
Entry: 3336 – 3334
Stop Loss: 3330
Take Profit: 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380 – ???
🔹 SELL ZONE – Liquidity Grab Short Setup
Entry: 3394 – 3396
Stop Loss: 3400
Take Profit: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360
📊 Key Levels
Resistance: 3365 – 3370 – 3395
Support: 3334 – 3330 – 3315
💡 MMFLOW Comment:
The technical structure supports a tactical buy-on-dip approach, with 334x being a key pivot zone for the bulls. If price accelerates towards 339x, watch for a liquidity sweep to trigger high-probability short setups.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 14, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
Signs of cooling in the US labor market have pushed futures to expect a series of rate cuts before the end of the year. This, in turn, could lead to a decline in the dollar against the pound sterling. Federal fund futures traders now estimate the probability of a 25 basis point (bp) cut at the September meeting at nearly 94%, compared to 85% before the inflation data was released.
Investors are preparing for the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) report on Thursday. The overall PPI is expected to show a 2.5% year-on-year increase in July, while the core PPI is expected to show a 2.9% year-on-year increase for the same period.
Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) released on Tuesday showed that the UK unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.7% for the three months to June, in line with estimates. This is the highest rate since July 2021. Meanwhile, average earnings excluding bonuses remained at 5.0% for the three months to June.
Traders will be watching the UK's second-quarter GDP report closely, as it may provide some clues about the direction of interest rates in the country.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3610, SL 1.3570, TP 1.3670
GOLD ON FIRE – 3358 WALL ABOUT TO CRACK, 337x NEXT STOP!📌 Market Overview
Following the CPI release, Gold is showing strong buying momentum, with a clear aim to break the 3358 resistance and push quickly towards the 337x zone – a key equilibrium level where SELL pressure is expected to react.
Price bounced sharply from the 333x area back into the 335x range. If 3358 breaks, there’s a high probability we will test 337x within the day, triggering SELL volume.
Today’s market is expected to be relatively quiet, with no major news scheduled. The daily range could stay around 35–40 dollars.
With the current bullish momentum, the preferred strategy is to wait for price to retest early BUY support zones around 334x to catch the next upside wave in line with the primary trend.
🎯 Key Trading Zones
🔹 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3338 – 3336
SL: 3332
TP: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
🔹 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3375 – 3377
SL: 3382
TP: 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340
📊 Key Levels
Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3376
Support: 3342 – 3337 – 3330 – 3310
⚠ Risk Note
No major economic releases today, so intraday moves may rely heavily on technical reaction points. Watch MMFLOW Key Levels closely – a break of 3358 could accelerate the move to 337x, while holding below may trigger short-term pullbacks.
THE CHART DOESN'T LIE: A NEW DAWN FOR ETHEREUM
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
1. The long-term downtrend , which lasted approximately 3.5 years, has been **broken on the monthly chart**, signaling a confirmed breakout (BO).
2. The horizontal resistance level at 4045 USDT is a critical zone. This is expected to act as the next stop following the breakout. A clear breach of this level could potentially lead to **more aggressive upward movements**.
Note: We do not consider the all-time high at 4631 USDT to be a major resistance, as it previously acted not as a strong sell zone but rather as a **momentum acceleration point**. With the entry of new investors and resulting FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), we anticipate minimal resistance around this level.
3. Since its launch in 2016, the **MACD indicator** has issued three **buy signals** on the monthly timeframe:
* Two resulted in strong bull runs .
* One led to a ** 60% rally **.
* Currently, a new bullish crossover is forming.
4. The RSI indicator has historically provided clear insight into when rallies may begin to slow. In particular, the 88 level and above has marked overbought territory, which could be a suitable area for gradual profit-taking .
5. Important Fibonacci-based accumulation zones are located between 3262 and 2697 USDT.
🧠 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
1. Smart Contracts
Ethereum is a programmable blockchain that enables the execution of smart contracts—automated agreements without intermediaries.
🧠 Example: “If Team A wins, send payment automatically.”
2. Decentralized Application Platform (dApps)
Ethereum empowers developers to build dApps whose data is stored across the network, not on centralized servers—making it resistant to censorship.
3. Foundation of DeFi and NFT Ecosystems
* Most DeFi platforms (lending, staking, earning interest) are built on Ethereum.
* Roughly 80% of NFTs originated on Ethereum (OpenSea, Bored Ape, CryptoPunks, etc.).
4. Approval of Spot Ethereum ETFs (U.S.)
* Following Bitcoin ETFs, some Ethereum spot ETFs have been approved.
* This has **opened the door to institutional investment**, creating **upward price pressure**.
5. ETH 2.0 Upgrade & Staking
* Ethereum transitioned from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake, making the network more sustainable and scalable.
* Users can now stake ETH to earn passive income.
6. Enterprise Adoption
* Corporations such as Visa and JPMorgan are testing Ethereum’s infrastructure.
* Use cases: payments, data storage, contract management.
7. Favorable Regulatory Shifts Support Altcoins
* U.S. laws like GENIUS and CLARITY have laid a framework for stablecoins.
* This has increased institutional interest in **infrastructure coins** like Ethereum and Solana.
8. Capital Rotation into Altcoins
* While Bitcoin consolidates between \$115K–\$118K, capital is flowing into altcoins.
* Tokens like XRP, DOGE, BONK, PEPE, HYPE have surged.
* XRP is particularly favored due to its enterprise use case, with price targets of \$4–\$6 being speculated.
9. Growth in Futures and Institutional Trading
* CME Group data shows growing open interest in Solana and XRP futures.
* ETH farms also reflect strong institutional interest, as companies begin to hold crypto assets under treasury models.
10. Risks to Monitor
* Potential downward pressure may come from **Fed rate decisions**, **ETF inflows/outflows**, *miner selling, or regulatory actions (e.g., MiCA).
* Altcoins remain volatile and sensitive to regulation.
💹 IN SUMMARY – Key Accumulation Zone:
3262 – 2697 USDT
We haven't provided detailed Ethereum analysis in a while, as both technical and fundamental structures often require time to form. In short: not all assets are worth analyzing until they are.
"Wealth does not come from the number of trades, but from the patience to wait for the right trade." – Bull Investment
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
Maintain proper capital and risk management to protect your psychology during market corrections.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Making decisions based on this commentary may lead to losses.
Avoid following unverified tips and rumors.
GOLD DUMPS $50 – LIQUIDITY ZONE AHEAD | CPI IN FOCUS! GOLD DUMPS $50 – LIQUIDITY ZONE AHEAD | CPI IN FOCUS!
📌 MARKET RECAP
Gold kicked off the week with a sharp $50 drop, breaking multiple key trendlines and nearby support levels in quick succession.
Main drivers behind the move:
Profit-taking after the recent strong rally.
Stronger USD expectations ahead of CPI data (forecast +0.1% vs previous).
Geopolitical factors – Ukraine–Russia ceasefire talks approaching their conclusion, adding to risk-off sentiment.
🧐 WHAT’S NEXT?
If CPI comes in strong → USD strengthens → Gold could slide further into the 333x – 330x liquidity zone.
If CPI disappoints → USD weakens → Gold may quickly bounce back toward the 337x key level (previous breakdown area) for a retest before deciding direction.
🎯 MMFLOW GAME PLAN
1️⃣ BUY SCALP
📌 Entry: 3331 – 3329
📌 SL: 3325
📌 TP: 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
2️⃣ BUY ZONE
📌 Entry: 3310 – 3308
📌 SL: 3304
📌 TP: 3314 – 3318 – 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ???
3️⃣ SELL SCALP
📌 Entry: 3363 – 3365
📌 SL: 3370
📌 TP: 3360 – 3356 – 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340
4️⃣ SELL ZONE
📌 Entry: 3376 – 3378
📌 SL: 3382
📌 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340
⚠️ RISK NOTE
CPI is a potential game-changer – even a small deviation from forecasts can trigger a massive one-way move.
Always keep an eye on AD-marked Key Levels on the chart before pulling the trigger.
U.S. Slaps 39% Tariff on Swiss Gold BarsU.S. Slaps 39% Tariff on Swiss Gold Bars, Shaking the Global Bullion Market
By Hirad Aryanejad – Macroeconomic & Gold Markets Analyst
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The United States has moved to impose a 39% tariff on imports of one-kilogram and 100-ounce gold bars from Switzerland — a shock decision that could ripple across the global bullion market.
In a letter dated July 31, 2025, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) reclassified these widely traded bullion products — critical to the Comex futures market — as “semi-manufactured”, making them subject to duties.
Previously, they were classified as “unwrought, nonmonetary gold” , exempting them from earlier tariff rounds.
---
A Blow to the World’s Largest Refining Hub
The decision follows former President Donald Trump’s broader tariff package on all Swiss goods, announced after rejecting Switzerland’s proposal for a 10% tariff in exchange for \$150 billion in U.S.-bound investment.
Switzerland — the world’s largest gold refining hub — exported roughly $61.5 billion in gold to the U.S. over the 12 months ending June 2025. The new tariff could add nearly $24 billion in duties.
Christoph Wild, President of the Swiss Association of Manufacturers and Traders of Precious Metals, called the ruling “another blow” to Swiss-U.S. gold trade, warning that exports may become “economically unviable”.
---
Market Reaction: Record Gold Prices
The ruling triggered an immediate market shock. Gold futures in New York surged past $3,500 per troy ounce, hitting a record $3,534 on August 8, before pulling back slightly.
Analysts say the rally was driven by both the tariff announcement and gold’s safe-haven appeal amid escalating trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty.
Some traders described the CBP’s decision as “shocking” and possibly mistaken, predicting legal challenges ahead. The lack of clarity has already caused certain shipments to freeze in transit.
---
The Critical Role of Switzerland in Bullion Logistics
Global bullion trade depends on a triangular supply chain:
Raw gold refined in Switzerland Cast into kilo bars for the U.S. market or 400-ounce bars for London Delivered to satisfy Comex contracts and central bank reserves
This logistical network is now under threat. UBS strategist Joni Teves has questioned whether U.S. gold futures trading can remain viable if tariffs on deliverable products persist.
The Swiss Precious Metals Association noted that the CBP’s clarification applies to all 1kg and 100oz gold bars imported into the U.S. not only those from Switzerland — raising the stakes for global trade flows.
---
Negotiations and Uncertainty Ahead
Switzerland continues to negotiate with Washington to reduce the tariff burden, but uncertainty remains.
The White House is reportedly preparing a clarification on the bullion tariffs that could determine whether the market stabilizes or faces prolonged disruption.
Until then, gold industry players — from major banks to refining houses — are bracing for further volatility, both in pricing and physical supply chains.
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Keywords: gold market news, Swiss gold bars, U.S. gold tariffs, Comex gold futures, bullion trade, Switzerland gold exports, precious metals refining, gold price surge, macroeconomic analysis.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 11, 2025 GBPUSDThe Bank of England (BoE) cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) last week, as expected, bringing the base rate down to 4%, its lowest level since 2023. However, the narrow 5-4 vote indicated greater resistance to rate cuts than expected by the markets, prompting traders to reduce their bets on aggressive easing by the BoE.
In addition, traders are also factoring in the likelihood that the US central bank will cut interest rates at least twice before the end of this year.
Meanwhile, expectations for a dovish Fed policy were confirmed by comments from Fed Governor Michelle Bowman on Saturday, who said that three interest rate cuts would likely be appropriate this year. Bowman added that the clear weakening of the labor market outweighs the risks of future inflation. This, in turn, should limit the decline of the GBP/USD pair.
The latest US consumer inflation data will be released on Tuesday, while preliminary UK second-quarter GDP data and the US producer price index (PPI) will be released on Thursday. These important data points should provide significant momentum to spot prices and help determine the next phase of the directional movement.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3490, SL 1.3410, TP 1.3570
BITCOIN- Charging Towards 122k Momentum Building BTC/USD Long Setup – Targeting 122K 🔥
Bitcoin is holding strong above 118500, signaling bullish momentum.
✅ Price broke key resistance & forming higher lows.
🟢 Current structure favors buy-side continuation with next major target at 122000.
Support Zones:
🔹 117800 – intraday bullish retest
🔹 116500 – strong demand zone
Resistance Ahead:
🔸 120200 – short-term reaction
🔸 122000 – major target
🚀 Expecting bullish wave continuation.
If momentum sustains above 118K, 122K breakout highly probable!
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoSetup #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BTC122K #ChartAnalysis #BullishBreakout
USD/CHF - Triangle Breakout (11.08.2025)The USD/CHF Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8036
2nd Support – 0.8019
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Heating oilHeating Oil BUY CALL Chart explains SL TP EP
Putting It All Together: Heating Oil “Buy Call” Setup
Technical View Fundamental Support Trade Rationale
Falling wedge suggests reversal Seasonal demand + diesel shortage Bullish bias if breakout confirmed
Bottom Line
The falling wedge pattern in Heating Oil, supported by robust technical buy signals and seasonally supportive fundamentals, presents a compelling bullish opportunity—especially if a breakout is confirmed with strong volume. Just be mindful of macroeconomic and supply-side risks that could blunt momentum
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 8, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD exchange rate remains stable after rising during the previous three sessions, trading at around 1.1660 during Asian trading hours on Friday. The pair may regain its positions as the US dollar (USD) may struggle as markets assess the probability of a 25 basis point (bp) rate cut at the September meeting at nearly 93%, compared to 48% a week ago.
Expectations for a Fed rate cut in September have intensified as the number of new applications for unemployment benefits in the US increased after the US nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report for July pointed to a cooling labor market.
Data on initial jobless claims in the US showed that the number of US citizens filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose to 226,000 for the week ending August 2. This figure exceeded the market consensus forecast of 221,000 and was higher than the previous week's figure of 218,000.
The probability that the central bank will leave rates unchanged is approximately 87%. Markets estimate the probability of another ECB rate cut before March 2026 at only 60%.
Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1660, SL 1.1625, TP 1.1710