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Fundamental Analysis

The Great Rising WedgeAltcoin market structure mirrors a macro rising wedge; the same bearish pattern that preceded the 2022 crash. A weak recovery after a sharp selloff, now forming on a higher timeframe, signals distribution before collapse. Technicals align with macro risk: • U.S. debt > $35T, credit cards and real estate at record highs. • Berkshire Hathaway sits on $350B in cash. • Michael Burry holds $1.1B in AI-related puts. • Open interest and leverage across markets are extreme. This setup reflects late-cycle euphoria; similar to 1999 (dot com) and 2008 (housing). The wedge is not just a chart pattern; it’s a symptom of systemic exhaustion. If history rhymes, we’re nearing a global liquidity event where “blood in the streets” becomes reality again.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSShort
by osamaadi
Zomdf bull thesis Zomdf is in a good spot to catch a bounce to .47. Then .82 ,gap at .99. Once this is over $1.00 it will squeeze to 2.08 which is my profit target. If you use MA's. This broke the reclaimed and just held the retest of the 200 day SMA. This capitulated in March with over 282 million is sale vol. Since then you have a rounded bottom. And recently the tech company that uses AI for you furry friends had great earnings. I believe that this is a $2 stock by mid next year. But DYOR.
OTC:ZOMDFLong
by moneyinthebank054
2
The continuous short positions in gold have ended perfectly!Whether gold can break through resistance levels in the near term depends on the convergence of three factors: First, whether the US dollar and US Treasury yields experience a more sustained decline, creating room for discounting; second, whether risk appetite strengthens the "insurance demand" for gold due to equity volatility and increased macroeconomic uncertainty; and third, whether net inflows of funds continue, especially whether passive funds and longer-term allocation funds enter the market simultaneously. If these three factors fail to move in tandem, the price will likely continue to consolidate within the $3930-$4000-$4050 range. If they move in unison, the resistance above these round numbers will weaken more smoothly. It's worth noting that the People's Bank of China suspended its 18-month gold purchase program in May 2024 but resumed it in November of the same year. The market currently expects a 67% probability of a Fed rate cut in December, up from around 60% the previous trading day. The Fed just cut rates last week, and Powell stated that this may be the last rate cut this year. The market's current focus is on macroeconomic data and when the US government shutdown will end—which is also driving safe-haven demand for gold. The congressional gridlock led to the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, forcing investors and the data-dependent Federal Reserve to rely on private economic indicators. Since gold does not generate interest income, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments and periods of economic uncertainty. Gold Technical Analysis: With the non-farm payroll data still pending, gold prices are likely to fluctuate little tonight, mainly consolidating. The battle between bulls and bears continues throughout the day. During the US session, gold rebounded to around 4027. We had already positioned short positions at 4015 and 4025, which subsequently fell back as expected, resulting in a profitable trade. This week's trading session has concluded perfectly, and we will not participate in the late-session trading. Our strategy remains to short below 4030. From a technical analysis perspective, key resistance and support levels need to be monitored. The upper resistance level to watch is the 4020-4030 area. If gold prices can break through this range and hold, the upward trend may continue in the short term, potentially challenging higher levels. Before this breakout, we have consistently emphasized against chasing highs and have provided a strategy and analysis for shorting in batches around the 4015-4030 area. Those who follow me should have seen this. Gold faces significant upward pressure, and unless there is a major positive news event to stimulate a breakout, we will continue to maintain a strategy of selling on rallies. Due to the lack of non-farm payroll data, gold prices will continue to be treated as oscillating. The lower support level is seen in the 3975-3960 area. If this support level is effectively broken, it may trigger a new round of declines, potentially opening up further downside potential.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
DXY ANALYSIS: TRADING WEEK 3 - 7 NOVEMBER 2025On this video i higlight the importance of the 101.800 area of resistance, a multi year resistance that on my view will be reached soon I have two possible scenarios for the DXY next week: - Test of the 101.800 during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 97,700 area of support where the DXY would cover a gap left open 3 weeks ago and where the DXY will start rallying up again - Test of the 101.300 - 101.500 level of resistance during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 98.500 - 98.400 area of support where the DXY will start rallying up again Data released through the week and the strength of the Index will ultimately confirm one of the two scenario I will update and follow up on this trading analysis - setup; please like, comment and share if you like this Trading Idea
TVC:DXYLong
by SalvoVaccaro
GOLD → The battle for the $4,000 zone. Are the bulls here?FX:XAUUSD is gradually recovering. The price is breaking through $4,000 and trying to stay above the key psychological level. Focus on 4,030–4,050... Weak employment data, namely a sharp increase in layoffs in October, has heightened fears of an economic slowdown, a decline in government bond yields, and the ongoing correction of AI assets is fueling demand for safe havens. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has risen to 69%. The situation is stabilizing somewhat, there is no strong news today, and the market may try to maintain the current backdrop... Gold retains its upside potential while macro risks remain. The $4000 level is currently acting as key support. Closing the week above this mark will open the way to test $4050. Resistance levels: 4030 - 4050 Support levels: 4000, 3975, 3956 The dollar and gold are rising, and the inverse correlation is decreasing, indicating that bulls are still trying to keep the market from falling sharply. However, given the lack of drivers, strong news, and a clear fundamental backdrop, I would say that gold is not yet ready to break out of its current range. Consolidation above 4K could lead to a retest of 4030-4050, which in turn could trigger a pullback to local support. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
7
GBPUSD Retracement Idea for a new Lower HighHi Traders! Since my last idea GU reached my short target around 1.30000. I'm now looking for price to retrace to a previous bearish BOS area around 1.32500-1.33000. If price can create a new lower high in that area we could possibly see more bearish movement. In addition, if DXY can hold around 99.000-99.500, and continue reversing to the upside I'd have a new swing target for GU at the next Daily OB around 1.29000-1.28500. 1st alert set just below 1.32500 in case price doesn't make it to my target. *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Short
by thattradergirl
3
MODG US ( Topgolf Callaway Brands) LongTopgolf Callaway Brands is a company specializing in the production of equipment (clubs, balls and accessories) under the Callaway brand, and also operates a chain of Topgolf entertainment centers that combine simulators, restaurants and sporting events. From a technical point of view: - currently a strong upward trend - retest of the support level, which was previously resistance From a fundamental point of view: In the last quarter, revenue was $1.11 billion against a forecast of $1.09 billion, and earnings per share were $0.24 against the expected $0.02. The company also raised its forecast for annual revenue to $3.92 billion Topgolf entertainment centers are showing record attendance and revenue growth. This is a key driver of long-term growth Subscribe to stay up to date with the Trade Exit
NYSE:MODGLong
by A3MInvestments
Shiba inu coin WATCH and READ !! wont regret at least lolmy long term vie on shiba inu inu with some related details and basically was just getting more and more everyday for a long time and thats why my average is 0.000014. by the way this is not financial advice . but im in and good news coming up, LIKE -> CLARITY ACT about to be sign, SHIBA inu coin etf including shiba inu coin, goverment shutdown eventually will be done and back running, does etfs will get approved plus shiba inu team adding Ai into their system starting december 1st. more institutional adoption coming on the way!!! this cycle willl be started by institutions and THEEEN hypeeee... be early....
COINBASE:SHIBUSDLong
by bboyfox123
StevenTrading – Gold M30 Plan | S/R – Trendline – POC/VAL ...⚡️ StevenTrading – Gold M30 Plan | S/R – Trendline – POC/VAL (Friday) 📰 Fundamental Analysis (Cash-flow & USD) Gold holds above the $4,000 mark thanks to increased safe-haven demand and expectations of early Fed easing. The market still bets on a rate cut in December, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend for gold. However, the USD's intraday rebound may limit the upside, so prioritize quick in/out strategies with strict discipline. 📊 Technical Focus (M30, no Fibonacci) Trendline: the downtrend line has been broken; price is accumulating above the trendline, inclined to wait for retest → continuation. Key Resistance – Support: Resistance: 4019 (confirmation gate/recent peak), 4040–4044 (strong supply cluster at the end of the day). Support: 4006, 3997–3999, 3982 (POC + VAL – large liquidity zone). 🎯 Trading Scenarios (Action Plan) 🟢 BUY – Follow the trend Scenario 1: Buy 3997–3999 · SL 3993 · TP 4005 → 4016 → 4032 → 4040 Logic: Pullback to thick liquidity support cluster coinciding with dense trading area; holding above trendline. Scenario 2: Buy 3982 · SL 3975 · TP 3990 → 4016 → 4040 Logic: POC + VAL are liquidity supports, expecting a rebound following the upward structure. 🔴 SELL – Only scalp reactions Scenario: Sell 4019 · SL 4025 · TP 4013 → 4002 Logic: Near resistance; only enter when M15–M30 shows clear rejection signals (pinbar/fake breakout engulf). Do not hold overnight. ⚠️ Risk & Invalidations Long invalidation: M30 candle closes below 3975–3980 → stop buying, wait for new structure. Sell scalp invalidation: M30 candle closes above 4025/4044 → stop selling, wait for pullback to buy. Risk ≤1%/trade, take profit at milestones; avoid chasing price in the middle zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
The Imminent U.S.–Iran Crisis: A Real-Time Analytical AssessmentDate of Analysis: Friday, November 7, 2025 Overview The following is a condensed version of a dynamic strategic discussion between an intelligent user and an AI assistant. The analysis aimed to decode the hidden layers of a potentially imminent military crisis in the Middle East through real-time observation of geopolitical developments. Introduction: Initial Hypothesis and the Major Shift The analysis initially rested on the assumption that following the “12-Day War” (June 2025), the region was in a fragile ceasefire. The central question was when the “second round” of conflict might begin. It was correctly identified that Israel’s main constraint was a shortage of defensive missiles. Turning Point: Assuming four months had passed since the first war, it was concluded that the logistical bottleneck (missile defense shortage) had likely been resolved. This invalidated earlier timelines predicting renewed conflict by December and instead shifted the danger window to November—the current month. Part I: The Strategic Deception (Iraq and Venezuela as Cover) Attention then turned to a wave of simultaneous “crisis signals”: rising talk of “a U.S. conflict with Venezuela” and “U.S. warnings to Iraq.” Assessment: These were identified as elements of a classic deception operation, intended to divert the attention of the media, diplomats, and, most importantly, Iran’s intelligence and defense systems away from the real target. This served as a perfect cover for preparing a strike on Iran. Part II: Breakdown of the Deception and Loss of Surprise Key Insight (User’s Observation): The user correctly noted that this deception had failed. With “war with Iran” trending again in global media and official warnings escalating, Iran was no longer complacent—it had entered maximum alert. This fundamentally changed the dynamics. The element of surprise, the attacker’s greatest asset, was now entirely lost. Part III: The “Forced Hand” Scenario When surprise evaporates, what can the attacker (the U.S. and Israel) do next? Analysis: The attacker is now trapped in a strategic stalemate: Cost of Attrition: Maintaining full-scale military readiness for both sides is expensive, stressful, and unsustainable. Risk of Delay: Every passing hour allows Iran to disperse and conceal its strategic assets (missiles, drones), making target acquisition harder. Point of No Return: The use of Venezuela and Iraq as covers was the equivalent of cocking a rifle—any retreat now would amount to a catastrophic strategic humiliation for the U.S. Time-Based Conclusion: Since the deception failed and surprise is gone, the attacker is effectively compelled to act. They must launch the attack before their forces degrade further and before Iran becomes even more fortified. New Urgent Window: Within 24 to 72 hours (this very weekend). Part IV: The Hidden Economics of War — Why “Crisis” Becomes a “Solution” In the final stage, the focus shifted from “when” to “why”, exploring the economic motives driving the potential escalation. The analysis suggested that this war could serve as a planned economic reset to address U.S. domestic challenges. Global Economic Shock: The immediate aftermath of an attack would be a spike in oil prices (estimated to surpass $150 per barrel within 24 hours) due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian retaliation—triggering global stagflation. Dollar Strength (Flight to Safety): During such turmoil, global investors would flee risky assets (like crypto, which had already pre-priced a downturn) and rush into U.S. dollars, causing the DXY index to surge. Domestic Political and Economic Diversion (Wag the Dog Effect): This crisis would allow the U.S. government to: Deflect attention from domestic debt and weak economic indicators (e.g., PMI and recession risks). Reignite the military-industrial complex, boosting GDP through massive arms sales to regional allies and internal consumption. Justify inflation by attributing it to “geopolitical instability and rising oil prices” rather than past monetary policies.
TVC:USOILLong
by mehdikebrititrader
Daily SPY Outlook - Prediction (07 NOV)Daily SPY Outlook - Prediction (07 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment is slightly bearish as expectations for a December rate cut may be delayed into 2026. We have seen some sell-offs, likely due to hedging or profit-taking activity. 📈 Technical Analysis Price is currently pulling back from the all-time high and moving within the equilibrium zone near the 670 level, which acts as short-term support. This is where I think accumulation may occur. 📌 Game Plan In my opinion, price could reach the 663 level before showing a potential rebound. Therefore, I plan to stay short-biased toward 663, as puts might perform well today — unless I see a strong 4H candle close after the market open. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPYShort
by UA_CAPITAL
1
#GBPUSD: Previous Entry Invalidated,Next We Wait For Price! Our previous GBPUSD entry was invalidated as the pound declined while the DXY turned bearish. However, our view remains bullish on GBPUSD and the price is likely to reverse from our new entry area. Once the price enters the discounted zone we can then wait for it to reach one of our target or take-profit levels. This week’s NFP data is likely to affect our trade and could invalidate our entry if it is positive for the DXY. Best wishes and safe trading. Team Setupsfx
Long
by Setupsfx_
23
Monthly Forex Analysis:EUR/USD – Issue 212The analyst expects EURUSD’s price to rise by the specified end time, based on quantitative analysis. The take-profit level only highlights the potential price range during this period — it’s optional and not a prediction that the market will necessarily reach it. You don’t need to go all-in or use leverage to trade wisely. Allocating just a portion of your funds helps keep overall risk low and ensures a more sustainable approach. Our strategy is built on institutional portfolio management principles, not the high-risk, all-in trading styles often promoted on social media. Results are evaluated over the entire analysis period, regardless of whether the take-profit level is reached. The validity of this analysis is based on a specific time range (until 05 Dec 2025), and after this period, the analysis will be reviewed and updated (once every 28 days).
Long
by MoonriseTA
2
ETH Losing Range Midpoint? Similarly to Bitcoin, Ethereum finds itself around the midpoint of the high time frame range, only ETH has already lost the level and has rejected when retesting. Such a lack of strength is concerning for the project as well as the broader altcoin market. So there are a few actionable moves I'm looking out for: Bullish scenario is we maybe chop for a while around/under the midpoint then with high volume the midpoint gets flipped with conviction. That would open the door for the top half of the range to be accessible again. I think this scenario relies on the US Government shutdown coming to an end and QT also ending. Right now there just isn't the liquidity needed to prop up prices hence the slow bleed. Bearish scenario is a simple continuation of the local bearish trend where 0.25 ($2,800) is the target. This area signaled the break in structure responsible for the previous rally and so I believe it will provide support but is also the target for the bears to reach.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by ProR35
$UPS Post Earnings Pullback TradeTrade Setup and Rules Before UPS's earnings report, I already held a position in the stock, as indicated by my notations on the chart. However, my personal trading rules require a minimum profit margin of 10% to maintain any position through an earnings announcement. Since my trade did not meet this threshold, I chose not to hold it through the event. Earnings Reaction and Market Behavior Following the report, UPS experienced a notable gap up in price. My usual approach is to wait several days after an earnings release to observe how the market responds. Often, this period brings a pullback in the stock, and that pattern has occurred here. Technical Analysis and Trade Execution On my chart, I identified what appeared to be a Flag pattern, and I drew a line to track its progression. I set an alert to notify me if UPS broke out above this pattern. This breakout occurred this morning, even as the broader market remained weak. In response, I initiated a half-size position according to my plan. To manage risk, I placed my stop-loss order just below the most recent low, resulting in a risk exposure of less than 4% on this trade. Risk Disclaimer Readers are strongly encouraged to analyze this trading idea independently and consistently apply their own trading rules. It is important to remember that all investments carry risk, and making informed decisions with your own capital is essential.
NYSE:UPSLong
by Brent_Calver