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9/12/25 - $obtc - Move aside... $SMLR is my horse9/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OBTC Move aside... NASDAQ:SMLR is my horse - with OTC:OBTC trading only 8-10% discount in last few sessions, i've been able to make some room for a few BIG trades and OTC:OBTC is no longer a major position for me b/c the spread has nicely narrowed as we've picked up a lot of the ticker at the $30s-ish lows. - NASDAQ:SMLR is btc treasury co that trades 10-11% wide and i can put this on leverage (unlike OTC:OBTC ) where it's actually quite cheap to do deep ITM leaps low $20s strikes for barely any IV depsite: - CRYPTOCAP:BTC being pretty discounted - NASDAQ:SMLR being shorted!? lol - ppl not doing work and complaining about a lawsuit that's now covered (so at worst this trades at parity with 1x mnav) - and treasury co's actually deserve to trade at premium to nav (unlike closed end funds like OTC:OBTC or etfs like NASDAQ:IBIT ) b/c of the intelligent leverage. simple math says 20% leverage gives you about 1.1 to 1.25x mnav. let's just say, it's above 1x. - and separately yours truly has been buying 80% of the OTC:OSOL (osprey's closed end solana fund) that is at a 30% discount (and this is 40% upside to nav). and I can hedge w/ SOLZ, GSOL (which is actually at a 20% premium) - lastly oct 10 is the decision on whether sol gets an ETF, which means you have a catalyst here... for osol going to 1x nav and gsol going to 1x nav... nice spread. Anyway. 35% cash. still preparing for some liquidity dump in the coming 2-3 wks (remember quad witch and quarter end tends to keep healthy markets locked), so while i won't be aggressively buying any dips of say 1-2%... i'd not be surprised to see those get bot. playing on the hedged side for early oct where i think we do a mini end-mar/apr situation again (not as big, wide or long). be well. stay hedged. V
OTC:OBTCLong
by VROCKSTAR
US500 In strong bullish momentumFundamentals The US500 remains supported by resilient earnings and the prospect of Federal Reserve easing, yet it faces notable vulnerabilities. While softer jobs growth and weakening leading indicators strengthen the case for upcoming rate cuts, a short term tailwind for equities, they also highlight the economy’s underlying fragility. At the same time, elevated valuations and heavy market concentration in a handful of mega-cap leaders leave the index exposed to sharper corrections should sentiment shift. For traders, monitoring sector rotation, earnings revisions, and macroeconomic signals will be critical to navigating opportunities while managing downside risks. Technicals US500 price action reveals a strong bullish trend, supported by momentum indicators and consistent uptrends, though signs of overbought conditions suggest a potential for short term pullbacks. Key Support and Resistance Levels Immediate Support: 6,545 is a key technical support zone; below this, 6,505 is a significant psychological and trend support zone. Immediate Resistance: 6,630 is the nearest overhead ceiling, followed by 6,690. Analysis by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
SP:SPXLong
by WiseLeoTrading
SPX Supported by Trendline and Rate Cut ExpectationsThe S&P 500 has been climbing steadily, with the ascending trendline from April acting as a reliable backbone for the move. Despite short-term volatility, buyers continue to defend higher lows. Coupled with expectations of interest rate cuts, the trend structure remains intact unless key supports give way. 🔍 Technical Analysis Current price: 6,584 The green trendline (since April) is guiding the advance. Price is consolidating near highs, supported by demand zones underneath. 🛡️ Support Zones & Stop-Loss (White Lines): 🟢 6,537 – 1H Support (Medium Risk) First line of defense for short-term traders. Stop-loss: Below 6,513 🟡 6,018 – Daily Support (Swing Trade Setup) Stronger base for medium-term positioning. Stop-loss: Below 5,919 🧭 Outlook Bullish Case: Hold above 6,537 + April trendline intact → continuation toward new highs above 6,600–6,700. Bearish Case: Break below 6,537 could trigger a correction into 6,018. Losing that zone would weaken the April trendline structure. Bias: Bullish while April trendline holds. 🌍 Fundamental Insight Rate cut expectations continue to provide a macro tailwind for equities. With inflation moderating and yields easing, investors remain willing to support risk assets. A sudden shift in data or Fed tone, however, could test the resilience of the April trendline. ✅ Conclusion The S&P 500 remains in a strong bullish structure, anchored by the April trendline. Unless supports at 6,537 or 6,018 are lost, the path of least resistance remains higher. If you found this useful, please don’t forget to like and follow for more structure-based insights. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
SP:SPXLong
by husseindergham
Tesla Breakout? For the majority of the calendar year TESLA has been in a range between $220 - $365 with a clear midpoint of $295. From March to the beginning of May TESLA bounced between range low and the midpoint until finally breaking through into the upper half of the range where it has stayed ever since. However, there is a clear diagonal resistance level that is preventing higher highs. So will TESLA breakout, or will it lose the midpoint? Structurally it is clear that the bulls have a set level they are happy to buy at (Midpoint) but the bears are getting more aggressive with their selling, hence the lower highs. This compression inevitably leads to an impulse move but the direction is not so clear. Bullish scenario: A clean breakout with volume that makes a new higher high, signaling a shift in structure. A pullback and retest of the breakout would be an ideal opportunity to go long and aim for that range high before expecting resistance. Bearish scenario: The lower highs keep printing until the midpoint is lost and price accepts below it, that would then signify to me the new trading range is between Range Low and Midpoint. The fakeout scenario is a risk but with price so close to the midpoint already it follows the same invalidation criteria as the bullish scenario, the midpoint is vital to both sides.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ProR35
ACM Research (ACMR) —Expanding Share in China’s $35B Semi MarketCompany Overview: ACM Research, Inc. NASDAQ:ACMR develops advanced wet cleaning and process tools that enhance chip fabrication yields, offering exposure to the fast-growing semiconductor equipment sector. Key Catalysts: China localization tailwinds: ACMR currently holds ~14% market share in China’s $35B wafer equipment market, with potential to reach 25% by 2030. Technology leadership: The upgraded Ultra Cwb cleaning tool improves chip production efficiency, driving both revenue growth and margin expansion. Scalability & supply chain control: Ongoing capacity growth at the Lingang facility strengthens operational scale and competitive positioning. Investment Outlook: Bullish above: $23.50–$24.00 Upside target: $50.00–$52.00, backed by China demand, tech upgrades, and facility expansion. #ACMR #Semiconductors #ChinaTech #Chipmaking #Localization #TechGrowth #Investing
NASDAQ:ACMRLong
by Richtv_official
Alphabet Is Up Some 15% This Month. What Does Its Chart Show?Readers have likely noticed the early September breakout clocked by Google parent Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL , which hit an all-time intraday high this week. Can the stock's nearly 15% run so far this month continue? Let's see what technical and fundamental analysis says. Alphabet's Fundamental Analysis GOOGL has risen 13.9% over September's first eight sessions to hit a $242.25 intraday record high on Thursday. Most of Alphabet's September gains came on Sept. 3, when the stock popped 9.1% after a federal judge overseeing the U.S. government's antitrust case against Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOG ruled that the firm doesn't have to sell off the Google search engine. The court also said Google and Apple can retain a contract under which AAPL pre-loads Google's search engine onto iPhones in exchange for big payments from Alphabet. GOOGL has risen another roughly 5% since then even though the company is still some six weeks out from its next earnings release. Of the 45 sell-side analysts that I know of that cover the stock, 36 have revised their earnings estimates higher since the quarter began, while three have lowered their numbers. (The other six have so far left their earnings estimates unchanged.) Alphabet's Technical Analysis Now let's get down to business and take a look at GOOGL's technical breakout, as shown here in the stock's year-to-date chart through midday Tuesday: Readers will see that from late January into August, GOOGL developed a bullish "cup-with-handle" pattern that looks like it came out of a textbook. Marked with a purple curving line in the chart above, this pattern has a $206 pivot. For those new to technical analysis, a cup pattern's pivot is the apex of the cup's left side. Once a handle is added, that pivot moves across to the right-side peak. While I think that GOOGL could in theory move higher from here, I do have some concerns that are starting to nag at me. For starters, the stock created a still-unfilled gap on the morning of Sept. 3, as denoted by the orange circle at the chart's right above. Such unfilled gaps don't have to be filled, but they often are. That said, Alphabet's bullish technical set-up remains in place in the chart above. However, it does look like the stock's recent price surge was starting to top off in the high $230s and low $240s as I wrote this Thursday afternoon. Meanwhile, GOOGL's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is beyond merely extended. While that's a good problem for Alphabet bulls to have, it's the result of the stock's recent parabolic move and reflects a technically overbought condition. Similarly, readers will see that Alphabet's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is postured in a seemingly bullish way. The histogram of the stock's 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is now significantly positive and has been for a number of days. Alphabet's 12-day EMA (black line) is also well into positive territory and has crossed well above the 26-day EMA (gold line). That's also typically a bullish technical signal. All in, GOOGL was trading at a roughly 20% premium to its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line above) and a whopping 31% premium to its 200-day SMA (the red line) as of Thursday afternoon. That's all somewhat concerning technically. An Options Option How might someone try to protect themselves if they're long the stock? Consider purchasing a "protected collar." First, buy puts that expire later than Alphabet's next expected earnings date -- say, a contract with an Oct. 24 expiration date. The person would pay for those puts (or at least subsidize their purchase) by selling an equal-sized covered call against their long position. Such a set-up would create a possible escape for an investor for a reduced cost through the sale of some potential excess gains. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long GOOGL at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document ( j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. 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NASDAQ:GOOGL
by moomoo
1
SUI Swing Long Opportunity - AltcoinSUI Swing Long Opportunity 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with speculation building for a possible 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy shifts are being driven by both inflation trends and weakening labor market data. The latest August and September job reports were soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This environment continues to fuel expectations for a major bullish run in the weeks ahead. 📈 Technical Analysis Price ran the HTF liquidity and bounced from there. Price tested the HTF key resistance level three times and was rejected, but today it finally broke and closed above the HTF key SR. I expect this level to hold. Price also broke the bearish trendline that had been controlling the bearish trend since July 27th. 📌 Game Plan I will be looking to build a long position when we retest the broken HTF Key Level at $3.44. Possibly, price may also retest the broken trendline, but I won’t be relying on that scenario. 🎯 Setup Trigger Retest of the broken HTF key level. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: $3.34 (below the HTF key level with 2 consecutive 4H candle closures) Target: TP: $3.71 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Adobe | ADBE | Long at $347.44Adobe NASDAQ:ADBE Technical Analysis: Trend is, overall, moving sideways. The price gap on the daily chart between $303.29 and $317.87 is likely to be closed in the near-term. The stock may reach the $280's to $290's to form a double bottom before a move up, so short-term investors should note the near-term risks. Long-term, however, if growth projections are accurate, all of those price gaps above the current price are likely to be filled... Earnings and Revenue Growth Expected annual revenue growth between 2025-2028 is ~41% (cumulative), growing from around $23.7 billion in 2025 to $33.3 billion in 2028. EPS growth from $20.7 in 2025 to $26.2 in 2028. www.tradingview.com Health Debt-to-Equity: 0.53x (very good) Altman's Z-Score/Bankruptcy Risk: 10.2 (excellent/very low risk) Quick Ratio/Ability to pay current bills: 1.02 (okay, but some risk) Insiders Warning: Selling heavily outweighs buying. openinsider.com Action Due to the high-growth potential of NASDAQ:ADBE related to AI and its current "value" (compared purely to the rest of tech), solid health, etc., I am personally going long at $347.44. More shares will be gathered if the price reaches the low $300's or between $280-$300 and the fundamentals remain the same. Only major warning is the amount of insider selling. Targets in 2028 $450.00 (+29.5%) $645.00 (+85.6%)
NASDAQ:ADBELong
by WorthlessViews
LIVE TRADE: EUR USD long, entry 1.1718It's another USD short trade, based on the 'multiple rate cut narrative'. The overall market mood remains positive and the US 10 YEAR is falling, coinciding with 'soft' consumer confidence data. I've chosen the EUR to long, based on yesterday's neutral / mildly hawkish ECB and the divergence of US and EUR rate cut expectations. Its a 20 pip stop loss with 20 pip profit target, this time the stop loss is behind 'nice 15min support'. The risk to the trade is 'limp Friday price action'. Or simply USD strength. If it's ongoing, I will close the trade before end of day to avoid weekend risk .
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
BTC Tactical Plan: buy retests, validate breakouts__________________________________________________________________________________ Market Overview __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC is pinned beneath the 115.8k–116.8k supply after a clean rebound off 107.8k, with dense HTF supports just below. Intraday momentum is constructive but capped by overhead supply and a mild risk‑off backdrop. Momentum: Bullish 📈 but capped under 116k–117k; 6H/4H trend is up while daily stalls at supply. Key levels: • Resistances (D/12H) : 115.8k–116.8k (active supply), 118.6k–118.8k (former supply), 124.3k (D high). • Supports (4H/12H/W) : 114.9k–114.3k (demand block), 113.4k (12H pivot), 112.0k–110.1k (W/240 zone). Volumes: Intraday elevated (1H/2H VERY HIGH), 4H moderate, Daily normal — enough to power a breakout if 116k gives. Multi-timeframe signals: 12H/1D filters “Up”; 6H/4H bullish with a flag below 116k; micro‑TFs split (30m neutral‑sell vs 15m neutral‑buy). Risk On / Risk Off Indicator context: NEUTRE VENTE — mild risk‑off that contradicts price momentum; demand confirmation before adding risk. __________________________________________________________________________________ Trading Playbook __________________________________________________________________________________ Dominant trend is up on 6H→1D but capped by HTF supply; favor disciplined buy‑the‑dip or confirmed breakouts with tight invalidations. Global bias: Slightly bullish as long as 113.4k holds on closes; key invalidation if D < 113.4k. Opportunities: • Tactical buy on 114.9k–114.3k retest with lower‑wick rejection and close > 114.8k (2H/4H). • Breakout buy on close ≥ 116.0k then ≥ 116.7k with rising volume. • Tactical sell on 115.8k–116.3k rejection confirmed by close < 114.8k (2H/4H), targeting 113.4k. Risk zones / invalidations: A break of 113.4k opens 112.0k–110.1k (invalidates the long bias). A daily close > 116.8k invalidates counter‑trend shorts. Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news): • Fed rate‑cut expectations → liquidity support, aiding breakouts above 116.7k. • Crypto flows: spot ETF inflows and a fresh USDT mint support buy‑the‑dip behavior. • Tariff/sanctions headlines and geopolitics → risk‑off triggers that fit a NEUTRE VENTE Risk On / Risk Off Indicator. Action plan: • Long plan : Entry 114.9k–114.6k or close ≥ 116.0k; Stop 113.9k; TP1 115.6k, TP2 116.7k, TP3 118.6k → R/R ~1.4–2.5x. • Short plan : Entry 115.8k–116.0k (rejection), Stop 116.8k; TP1 114.4k, TP2 113.4k, TP3 112.0k → R/R ~1.5–2.2x. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall, HTFs are bullish but pressed under daily supply, while LTFs carry the volume to decide the break. 1D/12H: “Up” filters with 113.4k and 110.1k–112.0k supports; upside validation requires firm acceptance above 116.8k. 6H/4H: Ascending structure with a flag below 116k; breakout 116.0k→116.7k unlocks 118.6k. 2H/1H: Very high volumes near 116k; 114.9k–114.3k retests remain buy zones while 113.4k holds. Major divergences/confluences: Price momentum vs Risk On / Risk Off Indicator at NEUTRE VENTE — demand confirmed closes/volume on breakouts are essential. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-Chain Drivers __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro/liquidity is broadly supportive but offset by headline risk and seasonality. Macro events: • Market expects multiple 25‑bp Fed cuts — supportive for BTC’s liquidity beta. • ECB messaging is mixed; gold’s strength aids risk appetite but Europe’s tone stays cautious. • Tariffs/sanctions (G7/EU) and Eastern Europe tensions — potential risk‑off shocks. Bitcoin analysis: Supply 115.8k–116.8k; supports 114.9k–114.3k and 113.4k. Recent spot ETF inflows and a 1B USDT mint are constructive; whale flows remain mixed. On-chain data: ETF netflows moderate; derivatives more influential (basis <10%, elevated options OI, softening IV) — healthier structure but still spot‑dependent. Expected impact: Liquidity and rate‑cut hopes favor a clean break above 116.7k; otherwise, headlines can accelerate price toward 113.4k/112.0k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Takeaways __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC sits in a high range beneath 116k–117k with strong HTF supports just below. - Trend: constructive/bullish but capped; confirmation needed above 116.8k. - Top setup: buy 114.9k–114.3k retests or 116.0k→116.7k breakout with volume. - Macro: dovish Fed expectations support; tariffs/sanctions headlines remain the wild card. Stay disciplined: let price confirm above 116.7k… or pivot to plan B below 113.4k. 🎯
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Ox_kali
9/12/25 - $rgti - Shorting w/ size9/12/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:RGTI Shorting w/ size - as i prepare for the (inevitable?) pullback in the coming weeks - i look for vapor that's riding on the horse of hope and dreams where we're all apparently going to candy mountain - and look no further than a stock that management doesn't even want to hold - ionq can't produce it's own revenues, so it just acquires stuff at your expense. then the "industry" (can we call it that if it doesn't produce anything?) rides on the leader's beta - enjoy the ride, whichever way you're rolling - but just know. you're rolling. actually rolling. and eventually the machine elves will show up and collect the toll under the bridge where you shouldn't be collecting coins. V
NASDAQ:RGTIShort
by VROCKSTAR
16
British GDP slows to 0%, pound edges lowerThe British pound is slightly lower on Friday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3541, down 0.22% on the day. UK GDP slowed in July, posting zero growth month-to month. This was down from the 0.4% gain in June and matched the market estimate. Services and construction were higher but were offset by a decrease in manufacturing. In the three months to July, GDP eased to 0.2%, down from 0.3% and below the market estimate of 0.2%. The UK economy has been losing steam - after a strong gain of 0.7% in the first quarter, GDP eased to 0.3% in Q2 and all signs point to negative growth in the second half of 2025. The weakening economy supports the case for the Bank of England to lower rates, but rising inflation is making it harder for the BoE to ease policy. In July, consumer inflation rose to 3.8%, higher than expected. The BoE has projected that inflation will rise to a peak of 4% in September, double the BoE's target of 2%. The BoE meets on September 18 and is expected to hold rates, after cutting rates in August to 4.0%. At that meeting, the nine-member monetary policy committee voted 5-4 to lower rates. Governor Bailey has said that the BoE will take a "gradual and careful" approach to rate cuts. The November 6 meeting will be very significant, coming just ahead of the government's budget. There was a lot of attention paid to Thursday's US CPI report, as inflation rose to 2.9% y/y, up from 2.7% and in line with expectations. Overshadowed by the CPI release was unemployment claims which jumped to 267 thousand in the first week of September, up sharply from 236 thousand in the prior release and well above the market estimate of 235 thousand. This was the highest number of claims since October 2021 and is another sign of a deteriorating labour market. GBPUSD has pushed below support at 1.3563 and is testing support at 1.3543. Below, there is support at 1.3524 There is resistance at 1.3582 and 1.3602
by OANDA
A pullback is an opportunity, go long decisively!Yesterday, the technical analysis of gold first declined and then rose. It was suppressed below the 3650 mark during the Asian and European sessions and showed a continuous decline. It further accelerated its decline before the European and US sessions, breaking through the 3630 mark, and continued to decline to around 3613 to stabilize and rebound. It rebounded strongly during the US session and finally closed above the 3630 mark with a small negative fluctuation. The overall price still held the 3610 mark, forming a support and stabilization pattern. After the opening of today, gold once again rose and broke through the 3640 mark. In the short term, it has experienced continuous retracements to test the 3610 mark support, which is still valid. The long position at the daily level is continuing well, and it is expected to further impact the previous high of 3675 resistance area. Today, the short-term support below is around 3630-3620, and the important support is 3610. If it falls back to this position during the day, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3600. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, the rhythm of falling back to low and long and following the trend will continue. The specific execution plan of the counter-trend short order will be updated as soon as possible according to the real-time trend, and I will remind everyone to respond flexibly to ensure that every step of the operation is carried out under controllable risks. Remember to pay attention in time. Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3630-3620, with the target at 3650-3660. Continue to hold if it breaks through.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Silver at Its Highest Level in 14 Years, Surpassing $42!Reasons Behind the Recent Rise in Silver: Silver (XAG/USD) extended its gains for the third consecutive session, reaching its highest levels in 14 years and surpassing the $42 mark during Asian trading. This rally has been driven by increasing bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts, alongside mounting signs of weakness in the US labor market. Weekly Jobless Claims rose to their highest level since 2021, reinforcing expectations of three rate cuts before the end of the year. While weak economic data supports a shift toward a more accommodative monetary policy, geopolitical tensions have further boosted the appeal of Silver as a safe-haven asset. On the industrial side, strong demand for Silver from the solar, electric vehicle, and electronics sectors continues to support prices, amid ongoing supply constraints. This mix of economic, geopolitical, and industrial demand factors has placed Silver in a strong position after breaking levels not seen since 2011, paving the way for further moves ahead. Technical Analysis of Silver Prices: Silver is trading in a general upward trend, forming higher highs and higher lows, reflecting strong bullish momentum pushing prices to elevated levels. A pullback toward $40.83 would be considered a correction within the broader uptrend, with potential for a rebound targeting $41.966 in the short to medium term. Meanwhile, the $40.39 level represents the last line of support on the 4-hour chart. A break below this level, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, would signal a bearish shift and mark the end of the prevailing uptrend on this timeframe.
CFI:XAGUSD
by CFI
UPDATE: Hong Kong close to target 1 Cup and Handle formed on HK50 Broke above and has been performing great to the upside. Also Price>20 and 200 Target 2,6944 Here are some fundamental reasons for the continued upside 🏦 Mainland money flows — Chinese mainland investors are buying Hong Kong stocks in a big way (via Stock Connect), drawn by lower valuations vs onshore markets. 🚀 Policy & stimulus hopes — Beijing is giving signals of increased support (housing, infrastructure, tech), which lifts sentiment. 🎯 Tech / big-names leading — Earnings beats (like Tencent), large secondary offerings/IPOs, and strong performance in tech / AI sectors are helping pull the index up. Financial Times 💸 Relative yield attraction — Chinese onshore yields are low / less attractive, so investors are finding better bang for buck in Hong Kong equities. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:HK50Long
by Timonrosso
1
UPDATE: Falling Wedge broken up and back on track to targetCup and Handle formed on TRON a while back. It then flew up created a falling wedge and has broken up again. The price remains above 20 and 200MA So the target is back on track to 3,861 📈 Breakout past $0.30 → TRX cleared this resistance zone 🌐 Strong network fundamentals → Big transaction numbers, high stablecoin flow (esp. USDT), and large on-chain user activity. CoinLaw 🔁 Positive sentiment + derivatives demand → Futures open interest rising, funding rates showing bulls have upper hand in many periods. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:TRONUSDLong
by Timonrosso
UPDATE: Russell 2000 moving well to the first target 2,506The market has been trending on a solid 45 degree angle since we did the first analysis on Russell2000. And it seems like it will continue to tread higher. So we will keep holding and waiting for our initial target at 2,506 Few reasons for the continued upside 📅 Rate cut hopes rising → Investors are increasingly betting the Fed will ease, which lowers borrowing costs for small firms and boosts margins. 🔄 Rotation away from megacaps → Big tech/growth has dominated; small-caps are getting some catch-up love as part of broader market breadth. 💵 Valuation gap → Russell 2000 stocks trade at a discount vs large caps, meaning potential for rerating if earnings improve. 🏭 Domestic economy sensitivity → Small caps tend to be more tied to US economic growth and consumer demand; so as US data holds up, they benefit more. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:US2000Long
by Timonrosso
Ramco Industries – Value Unlocking or Overhyped?Ramco Industries Ltd, part of the Ramco Group, is engaged in the building materials sector – fibre cement sheets, boards, and allied products. Its financial profile shows stability with improving valuations, though profitability efficiency is still modest. Recent Financial & Valuation Trends (Q1 FY23 – Q1 FY25) Latest financial statistics: P/E Ratio: Declined from 19.69 (Q1 FY24) to 11.64 (Q4 FY24), currently at 15.10 (Q1 FY25). Indicates that the stock valuation cooled off in late FY24 but has recently re-rated upwards in FY25 with improving earnings outlook. P/S Ratio: Ranged between 0.95 – 1.90; currently at 1.90, suggesting the stock is now priced at nearly 2x sales, showing higher investor optimism. P/B Ratio: Improved from 0.38 (Q2 FY23) to 0.74 (Q1 FY25). Market is now valuing Ramco closer to its book value, signaling reduced undervaluation. EV/EBITDA: Fluctuated between 10.76 – 15.85, with the latest at 15.85. This indicates a premium relative to operating earnings, showing stronger investor confidence. Shares Outstanding: Slight increase from 83.64M (Q1 FY23) to 86.81M (Q1 FY25)—dilution is minimal. Business Strengths Low Leverage: Debt/equity remains ~0.06x, ensuring balance sheet stability. Revenue Growth: TTM revenues around ₹1,640 crore, steadily growing over years. Undervaluation Converging: P/B ratio approaching 1×; historically undervalued status is narrowing. Key Concerns Low ROE & ROCE (~3–5%): Returns on capital remain weak. Earnings Volatility: Profits fluctuate with input costs and cyclical demand. Premium EV/EBITDA: Current ratio (15.85×) indicates stock is not cheap relative to cash flows. Overall Fundamental View: Ramco is moving from a deeply undervalued zone towards a fair valuation. The company’s fundamentals remain stable with low debt and steady sales, but profitability efficiency must improve to justify further re-rating. Technical Overview The weekly chart shows a strong breakout above its all-time high resistance of ₹366.65, a barrier that capped prices since 2021–2022. Breakout Confirmation: sustained close above ₹355 signals bullish momentum. Support Zone (Reversal): ₹277 – ₹311 acts as the accumulation / safety net. Upside Targets: R1: ₹440 R2: ₹512 R3: ₹634 This breakout comes after years of consolidation, supported by improving valuations, making it a high-probability momentum trade. Conclusion Ramco Industries presents a techno-fundamental convergence: Fundamentally: A debt-free, stable company moving from undervaluation to fair valuation, with improving P/B and re-rated P/E. Earnings stability and better margins are needed to sustain higher valuations. Technically: A decisive breakout above ₹366.65 opens the path towards ₹440–₹512 in the medium term, with ₹634 as a long-term extension target. For long-term investors: Gradual accumulation on dips towards ₹311 zone is ideal. For swing traders: Riding the breakout momentum above ₹355 looks attractive with defined upside targets. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:RAMCOIND
by ALICEBLUE
Mexican Peso VS US Dollar - Fight against the Emerging marketsTriple Top has formed on USD/MXN. Price<20 and 200MA Target 17.55 If you look at the last analysis I did on the USD/ZAR (South African Rand) you'll see there is weakness to come for the USD still. And with this currency, it shows a similar move. There are further reasons for the MExican Peso to rally 🇲🇽 High interest rates in Mexico → Banxico’s policy rate (~7.75%) offers good yields vs US, drawing in investors. 💵 Weakening US dollar & lower US yields → The USD has been under pressure, especially with soft US labor data and declining Treasury yields. ⚖️ Tariff relief & trade-talk wins → Delays / exemptions in US tariffs helped Mexico; better trade relations (USMCA) boost investor confidence. 📉 Improved risk sentiment → Global volatility eased, risk-on mood returned, pushing capital toward emerging assets like the peso. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by Timonrosso