Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD (Daily):Anticipating the Power of Three Liquidity Sweep📈 EUR/USD (Daily): Anticipating the Power of Three Liquidity Sweep
The daily chart for EUR/USD is setting up for a classic manipulation play, perfectly aligning with CRT (Candle Range Theory) and the Turtle Soup concept. This is a potential high-reward, counter-trend swing opportunity.
🌊 The Setup Narrative
The massive bearish expansion has now created a clear level of interest for Smart Money to manipulate before any major reversal or deep retracement occurs.
Liquidity Magnet (CRTL - TS): The previous low at 1.14736 is the Consolidation Range Low (CRTL) and our prime Turtle Soup (TS) entry trigger. This level is a major pool of Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) from traders who went long in the range and shorts who placed stops just below.
The FVG & OB Confirmation: Price has already reacted off a small Order Block (OB) just above the current price, suggesting sellers are active, driving price down to our ultimate liquidity target.
The Manipulation: I am anticipating price to swiftly break 1.14736 (Sweep) to trigger the stops (i.e., "drink the Turtle Soup"), immediately followed by a strong rejection and close back above that level. This would signal a massive stop-hunt failure and the true start of a bullish swing.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Wait for the sweep of 1.14736, ideally on the daily timeframe showing wick rejection, or confirmation on a lower timeframe (H4/H1) with a Market Structure Shift (MSS).
Target (TP): The first logical target is the CRTH (Consolidation Range High) at 1.15335. This is where the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) rests.
Invalidation (SL): A strong daily candle close well below the CRTL (e.g., 1.14600), signaling true bearish intent rather than a liquidity sweep.
Patience is key on the daily chart. We must wait for the manipulation to occur before jumping in.
Greetings,
MrYounity
Gold's Potential Turtle Soup: Riding the CRT Wave?🐢 Gold's Potential Turtle Soup: Riding the CRT Wave?
The chart for XAU/USD (Gold) is showing an intriguing setup on the 15-minute timeframe that combines several high-probability concepts.
🌊 The CRT Foundation
Consolidation (C): Price recently saw a strong move up into the CRTH (Consolidation Resistance/High) at approximately $3,983 - $3,987. This area represents a clear high of recent structure.
Retracement (R): We've seen a sharp retracement/sell-off after testing the high, creating a noticeable FVG (Fair Value Gap).
Trend (T): The overall context suggests an underlying bullish trend, meaning this retracement could be fuel for the next leg up.
🥣 The Turtle Soup Setup
The sharp drop has set the stage for a classic Turtle Soup scenario. This pattern typically occurs when a high or low is clearly broken, inducing retail traders to jump onto the perceived breakout, only for the price to quickly reverse.
The recent low at $3,958.19 (CRTL - Consolidation Low) is our target. If price drops to break this low, it will likely trap early shorts.
The "Potential KGD forming" (Kill Zone Draw) is strategically positioned to indicate where Smart Money might be looking to step in.
🎯 My Trade Thesis
I'm watching for a fake-out:
Slight break below the CRTL ($3,958.19) to trigger stop losses and attract shorts (Turtle Soup Entry).
A sharp reversal back above the CRTL, preferably reacting off a deeper liquidity zone.
Target: A move back up to fill the FVG and re-test the CRTH for a potential final push toward $4,000+.
Invalidation: A strong, decisive close well below the CRTL, indicating a genuine structural break.
Greetings,
MrYounity
Robinhood - The third bearish crackdown!🏹Robinhood ( NASDAQ:HOOD ) will crash quite soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since we witnessed a major botton on Robinhood in 2023, this stock has been rallying about +1,600%. But always after a major +250% rally, Robinhood corrected at least -40%. Therefore it is quite likely that we will see another similar pattern playing out soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$150
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Meta - The major triangle rejection!💡Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) will reverse soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just a couple of months ago we witnessed a textbook all time high break and retest on Meta. This retest was followed by a major rejection higher and the second retest of the triangle resistance trendline. Therefore, Meta is very likely to create another rejection.
📝Levels to watch:
$750 and $500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
$TSLA: Gravity Reasserts ItselfGreetings, traders.
The NASDAQ:TSLA chart is currently painting a picture of a profound test of market physics. This isn't a "battle"; it's a conflict of impersonal forces.
On one side, we have "Lift"—the powerful, almost unnatural force of a narrative focused on AI, robotics, and a limitless future. This force defies traditional valuation and pushes the price to high altitudes.
On the other, we have "Gravity"—the undeniable, constant pull of fundamental reality, which just made itself known in the Q3 earnings report.
The chart is our laboratory, and we are here to observe these forces at work.
The Technical Landscape
The Macro View: The weekly chart shows the narrative's 'Lift' failing at a critical altitude. The price has been decisively rejected from the " gravitational ceiling " of its multi-year ascending channel (approx. $480-$500). This is a level where the weight of reality has consistently proven too strong. The most recent large, bearish candle is not an attack; it is simply the pull of gravity reasserting its dominance over upward momentum.
The Tactical View: The daily chart shows why this 'Lift' is failing. We saw a classic bearish MACD divergence on the final push to the highs—price floated higher, but the underlying force (momentum) was fading. The MACD has now crossed bearishly, confirming the shift. Price is now coiled in a tight daily wedge, a tactical "decision point" where we will see if 'Lift' can be re-established or if 'Gravity' will take full control.
The Philosophy: A Tale of Two Forces
To understand NASDAQ:TSLA $, you must understand the two opposing forces that define its physics.
The 'Lift' (The Narrative Camp): The bull case is a qualitative vision. It's about Robotaxis, Optimus, and AI. This crowd is rightfully unconcerned with a single quarter's auto margins because, in their view, they are buying a different company—one that exists 10 years in the future. Their conviction is deep and provides a powerful upward force.
The 'Gravity' (The Quantitative Camp): The bear case is a spreadsheet. It's about the "now." The Q3 earnings report is the catalyst for this "counter-force."
EPS Miss ($0.50$ vs $0.53$) Severe margin compression from aggressive price cuts. A fundamentals-based valuation (e.g., Morningstar's $250 FVE) that is miles away from the current price.
This setup is a clear piece of the puzzle.
It shows what happens when the powerful force of 'Lift' (Narrative) reaches its apex and meets the immovable, constant pull of 'Gravity' (Macro Supply + Fundamental Reality). At this specific junction, 'Gravity' is in control.
An Illustrative Setup
We do not predict; we observe and we react.
The confluence of a failing 'Lift' at a 'gravitational ceiling,' combined with the new "weight" of a fundamental catalyst, provides a high-probability, asymmetric setup. This is not about being "right"; it is about defining risk.The chart illustrates a potential short setup based on this confluence:
Entry: ~ $435.00$ (Sell Short)
Stop-Loss: ~ $486.00$
Target: ~$282.00$
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~3
The confirmation for this thesis would be a breakdown from the daily wedge (around $430), signaling that 'Gravity' has taken firm hold.The stop-loss at $486$ is the "escape velocity" point. If the price breaks above it, the 'Lift' force has overcome 'Gravity,' the thesis is invalidated, and we step aside.
One cannot argue with the market's physics.
Respect the level; it is your anchor to reality.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
USD/CAD – H4-Daily Supply Zone Reaction | Possible Short SetupPrice has reached a major resistance / supply zone (1.4140 – 1.4210) —
this area has previously caused strong rejections in the past.
If price fails to break and hold above this zone,
a bearish correction toward 1.3850–1.3820 (previous demand area) could follow.
⚙️ Example Trade Setup
Entry: 1.4120 – 1.4140
Stop Loss: 1.4215
Take Profit: 1.3830 / 1.3850
Bias: Bearish
Price could form a lower high on the daily structure.
"USD/CAD testing the daily supply zone ⚠️
#USDCAD #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #DailyChart #SupplyZone #BearishSetup #FXTrader #TradingView"
USD/JPY – 4H Supply Zone Rejection | Potential Short SetupPrice has climbed into a strong 4H supply zone (154.10 – 154.50) — which previously acted as resistance.
The current candle is showing signs of exhaustion, suggesting sellers could step in from this level.
If price fails to break above 154.60, a bearish move toward 149.50–149.00 could follow, aligning with previous liquidity levels.
⚙️ Trade Setup
Entry: 154.00 – 154.20
Stop Loss: 154.60
Take Profit: 149.60
🧭 Bias: Bearish
#USDJPY #Forex #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #4HChart #TradingView #BearishSetup #SupplyZone #SwingTrade #FXAnalysis
Usdjpy Asian session longsToday price respected daily buyside (BISI) imbalance and made low during Asian session and rallied higher,
I will look for long when price will retrace to fibo 50% of the current dally range , where are also 4H FVG and 4H order block ,
if I see low time frame market structure break to the up I will long and will target previous weekly high and volume imbalance.
US500 maintains inherently bullish structureFundamental Analysis
US500 maintains an inherently bullish structure, trading above both EMAs. Q3 earnings were strong, with 83% of companies beating expectations and delivering 13.8% blended EPS growth, largely thanks to megacap tech/AI. However, the forward P/E ratio is high at 23.1x (above the 5-year average of 19.9x), signaling elevated valuations. The recent profit taking in high growth names like AMD and Nvidia due to margin concerns and macro headwinds (high rates/inflation) exposes this valuation sensitivity.
Technical Analysis
The index is currently pulling back from all time highs near 6,900, consolidating in a short term support zone of 6,750. Momentum is neutralizing with RSI approx 51.6, indicating a pause rather than a reversal. Key technical battleground: Resistance at 6,885 and 6,920 versus support at 6,750 and the EMA at 6,700. Consolidation is the most probable short term path.
Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment is cautious to slightly negative. The sharp correction in AI leaders (AMD, NVDA) has fueled "AI bubble" fears, overriding fundamentally strong earnings reports. There is a clear, broad sector rotation occurring as investors de-risk and take year end profits from high growth tech toward defensive/value plays. The market is currently driven by nervousness about sustaining premium valuations against persistent macro uncertainty.
Outlook
The near term outlook is moderately cautious. While the long term bullish trend remains supported by healthy corporate earnings, the market faces an inflection point driven by overvaluation concerns in the tech sector. Further short term volatility is expected as the market digests earnings nuances (like margin guidance) and awaits clearer signals on US monetary policy and inflation. A decisive break of the 6,750 support or 6,885 resistance will likely define the next directional move.
Analysis is by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
SPOT Price Action | Strong Support, Tight Stop, Open Target!🎧 SPOT | Thief Trader Profit Playbook 💰
“When Music Meets Money — Spotify’s Chart Is About to Drop Beats & Gains!” 🎵📈
🧭 Plan:
Bullish Bias — Thief-style layered accumulation for a smart entry!
We’re eyeing SPOT (Spotify Technology S.A.) for a potential swing/day trade move north.
🎯 Entry (Layering Strategy)
💎 The Thief Strategy uses multiple limit layers to build a strong position.
Here’s the sneak-in setup (choose your own comfort):
🧩 Buy Limit 1 → $670
🧩 Buy Limit 2 → $680
🧩 Buy Limit 3 → $690
(You can expand layers based on your risk appetite — remember, thieves adapt!) 😎
🛑 Stop-Loss (Thief’s Safe Escape)
This is the Thief SL @ $650
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this is not a fixed SL — trade smart, manage your own risk. You make money → you take money. 💼
🎯 Target Zone (Police Barricade 🚓)
Target: Around $740
The chart shows a strong resistance + overbought area + possible trap zone — that’s where the police barricade is! 🚧
Escape with profits before they catch your bags! 💨💰
⚠️ Note: Again, Thief OG’s — this is a flexible TP zone, not financial advice. Secure your profits when the opportunity sings! 🎤📊
🧩 Correlated Pairs to Watch ($)
Keep an eye on these correlated tickers for extra confirmation or sentiment cues:
NASDAQ:NFLX → Streaming sector momentum 🎬
NASDAQ:AAPL → Tech sentiment driver 🍏
NASDAQ:MSFT → Market leader correlation 🖥️
NASDAQ:META → Digital ad revenue influence 💬
NASDAQ:QQQ / AMEX:SPY → Index health check 💪
These tickers often dance together in the same rhythm — when the tech sector grooves, SPOT follows the beat! 🕺
⚙️ Technical Key Points:
Bullish structure holding above $650 zone support 🧱
Momentum strengthening after pullback retest 🎢
RSI mid-zone recovery — not yet overbought, potential room to run! 📈
Volume showing accumulation footprints 👣
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a Thief-style trading strategy, shared for educational & fun purposes only.
Trade responsibly. I’m not your financial advisor — I’m your chart burglar! 😜💼
#SPOT #Spotify #SwingTrade #DayTrade #StockMarket #ThiefTrader #LayeringStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #TradingView #EditorPick #ProfitPlaybook #SPY #QQQ #NASDAQ #StocksToWatch
US Employment Data Positive for GOLD Prices. Can GOLD reverse?GOLD is declining in falling channel pattern however seems to be taking support at the marked trendline.
US Employment data came just in where number of jobs added was better than expectations which would mean a stronger labour market and inflation might stay elevated which is good for GOLD/SILVER due to safe haven demand in the long term.
Keep an eye on GOLD prices.
SKYX: Breakout to $1.58 and Potential Triple on Small-Cap Surge
SKYX Platforms Corp. (NASDAQ: SKYX) is primed for a run to $1.58 and could triple to $3.30 by year-end, driven by small-cap strength, e-commerce demand, and strong fundamentals. Here’s why SKYX is a must-watch.
Technicals: Clear Shot to $1.58
Trading at $1.10 , SKYX is coiling for a breakout. Resistance at $1.25 (psychological) and $1.40 (prior high) should fall easily with rising volume and a bullish MACD crossover. $1.58 is achievable by August, with $3.30 (200%+ gain) in sight if momentum holds.
Fundamentals: Smart Home Leader
With 97 patents and 60+ e-commerce websites, SKYX’s plug-and-play smart home platform is gaining traction. Their $3B Miami smart city deal (500,000+ units) and Profab Electronics partnership signal scalability . E-commerce sales, projected to hit $8T globally by 2027 , fuel SKYX’s growth.
Market Tailwind
The Russell 2000, which SKYX joined in June 2025, is breaking out, up 10% YTD . TNA’s 30% spikes amplify this . With a $138.61M market cap and 38 institutions adding shares (e.g., Susquehanna, 478,024 shares) , SKYX is set to ride this wave.
Risks
SKYX isn’t cash flow positive until H2 2025, and Q1 revenue missed ($20.1M vs. $21.15M). Small-cap volatility is a factor, but 12.4% YOY growth and the Russell breakout mitigate risks.The Play
SKYX hits $1.58 soon, clearing $1.25 and $1.40, then triples to $3.30+ by December on e-commerce, smart city deals, and small-cap momentum. I’m buying—thoughts, board?
Summary: Targets: $1.58 near-term, $3.30+ year-end.
Resistances: $1.25, $1.40.
Catalysts: Russell 2000/TNA breakout, e-commerce, smart city deal.
Risks: Cash flow, revenue misses, volatility.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Stocks are volatile.
~Sherwood Coast's Group
AUD JPY long Today, it appears good news is good news. Positive US data appeases the market following a couple of sour sentiment days. The VIX is falling and the S&P is rising.
I've plumbed for AUD JPY long as a 'risk on trade' . For me, it was a choice between USD or AUD long.
The risk to the trade is negative market sentiment, or the fact there is no discernable swing to place a stop loss behind. But if the price falls below the open of the ' ISM candle', I'll accept defeat. .






















