Fundamental Analysis
EURUSD remains unchangedThe likelihood of the U.S. government resuming operations this week is increasing, which would allow the release of additional economic data.
This could lead to higher market volatility, but the technical outlook for EURUSD remains the same.
We’re watching for a reaction around the current levels and confirmation of the next move.
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING ON PRICE CORRECTION💛 XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING ON PRICE CORRECTION 🎯
🌤Overview
Good morning traders 💬
Gold is experiencing a slight correction after hitting resistance at the VAH area on the Volume Profile. This is a natural reaction in the current uptrend.
The price observation area for today's correction is around the H4 trendline at 4078, deeper is the VAH area at 4020, where there is good liquidity for buyers.
Although there is a possibility of short-term correction, the main trend remains upward. Therefore, I prioritize waiting to Buy at the support area, rather than entering against the trend.
💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
📈 The price is maintaining a medium-term uptrend structure, with no reversal signals yet.
🟣 The 4075–4078 area coincides with the trendline + liquidity zone – a potential buying area for short orders.
🔹 VAH around 4020 is a strong support, suitable for long-term Buy if the price corrects deeply.
💫 The 4200–4203 area remains a major resistance (Sell Zone) – expect a downward reaction when the price approaches.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💖 Buy scalping (short-term)
Entry: 4075–4078 ｜ SL: 4070
TP: 4095 – 4105
💖 Buy zone (main priority)
Entry: 4018–4021 ｜ SL: 4011
TP: 4035 – 4042 – 4075 – 4095
💢 Sell zone (short reaction)
Entry: 4200–4203 ｜ SL: 4210
TP: 4186 – 4165 – 4140
💢 Sell scalping (short-term)
Entry: 4122–4124 ｜ SL: 4130
TP: 4105 – 4086 – 4060 – 4040
⚠️ Important Note
The 4048 area is strong resistance – closely observe price reactions here.
Prioritize Buy according to the main trend, Sell should only be considered as a short-term reaction.
🌷Be patient and wait for the price to correct to the support area to buy according to Smart Money flow.
If you find this useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold insights ✨
DXY (USD)Expecting upside continuation. We can see on HTF we have Bullish MS, with HH & HL formation.
Fundamentals:
- Rate cuts bets faded.
- Oct FOMC, Powell slightly less dovish to Hawkish tone - want to be cautious with future rate cuts & want to be data dependant.
- Dec rate cut probabilities dropped from 95% chance to 63% chance.
This means that US yields remain high, less investor outflow because of interest rate differentials, therefor we can see USD upside.
The only think thats probably impacting it is the US lockdown, and is now the longest ever, therefor investors still cautious as they would like to see data before we can see big drivers.
NFLX CRACK!!Classic breakdown move from a rising F flag!
Massive Head and shoulders formed, that head test followed through, taking out stops, and now failing off the top of the channel.
Screaming CAUTION to the bulls!
Nice simple short setup for bears.
Click boost, follow, and subscribe. Let's get to 5,000 followers. ))
Carysil ltd Target given
Wait for breakout, SL 983.
Carysil maintains moderate profitability, strong book value appreciation, and a healthy leverage profile relative to its sector peers.
Williams VIX Fix · Predict Market BottomsThe Williams VIX Fix is a trading indicator that helps identify market bottoms by tracking volatility. When fear in the market spikes, the indicator flashes green, signaling a potential reversal.
Created by Chris Moody, this tool works across crypto, stocks, and forex. It’s most effective on higher timeframes like the 4-hour or daily chart. You can find it on TradingView by searching “cm Williams VIX Fix Finds Market Bottoms.”
Here’s how traders use it:
When the bars at the bottom of the chart rise sharply and turn green, it often means the market has overreacted on the downside. This setup has historically worked well for assets like Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , Tesla, and the S&P 500.
However, the indicator can sometimes give false or multiple signals. That’s why traders combine it with tools like the Stochastic Oscillator or Order Blocks for better accuracy.
For example:
When the VIX Fix flashes green and the Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone crossing upward, it often marks a true bottom.
Or, when price touches an order block and the VIX Fix flashes green with a Stochastic confirmation, it’s a high-probability entry.
The indicator even has a modified version by Aaron Stone that highlights both market tops and bottoms, though traders say bottom signals remain more reliable.
In short, the Williams VIX Fix is a smart way to spot fear-driven market bottoms, but it’s best used with other confirmations.
TheCryptoFire
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 12, 2025 USDJPYThe yen remains under pressure: the policy stance between the U.S. and Japan continues to diverge, and the Bank of Japan is still acting gradually and avoiding sharp steps so as not to choke off the economic recovery. In this environment, any rebound in global risk appetite quickly leads to yen weakness and a rise in USDJPY. The price environment for energy also matters: elevated energy import bills traditionally worsen the trade balance and support demand for the dollar against the yen.
In the U.S., Treasury yields have stabilized without signs of a major decline, which supports the dollar’s premium over the yen. The market is closely watching U.S. inflation and consumer activity data: the lack of a sharp slowdown in these series creates conditions for dollar-denominated assets to remain attractive to global investors, especially compared with Japanese instruments.
Risks of verbal signals from Japanese authorities and episodic “pauses” in the pair’s ascent remain, but without a change in the Bank of Japan’s approach to rates and yield control, a sustained downward reversal in USDJPY is not in sight. With a moderate news backdrop, the underlying balance of factors still favors the dollar.
Trading recommendation: BUY 154.350, SL 153.500, TP 155.500
Gold price analysis todayXAUUSD Update — Hold the structure, wait for a quality BUY setup
Currently, the gold chart has no major structural changes — the market is in a correction phase at an important resistance zone. This is a “consolidation” phase before the next trend becomes more obvious, so the priority is to be patient and wait for a high probability setup.
If you are holding a SELL position from the resistance zone, the current strategy is to hold the order and manage profits — wait for a reaction at the support zones to decide to close/open more. For those looking for BUY opportunities, wait for signs of price rejection (rejection / wick / bullish price action) at the indicated support zone before entering the order.
Important zone: 4075 — 4031 (support zone to find BUY signal)
Strategy: Enter BUY when there is a clear price rejection signal + volume/price action reaction.
Target: 4300
Risk management: stoploss placed below support zone if price action breaks and closes deep below.
Labor Force Participation Rolling Over👷♂️ U.S. Labor Force Participation Rolling Over — Again
The labor force participation rate is sliding once more, continuing a long-term decline that started back in 2000.
People love to blame it on retiring Boomers — but that excuse doesn’t hold up anymore.
Millennials are a larger demographic group, yet participation still can’t recover.
Something deeper is at play: structural weakness, stagnant productivity, or simply a shift in incentives.
Whatever the cause, fewer people working means lower potential growth and higher dependency on credit-driven demand.
The trend is still down. The economy is weakening under the surface while markets are at all-time highs.
Click boost, follow, comment nicely for more authentic, no BS, raw analysis. Let's get to 6,000 followers. ))
BTCUSD testing the channel's resistance, potential decline seenBitcoin prices hovered near recent lows as onchain data showed that the Total Supply Held by LTHs has declined by around 390k BTC since Jul's peak, signaling ongoing distribution.
ETF outflows have persisted through Nov, with only minor inflows offering a limited offset, underscoring waning demand.
Bitcoin prices may remain under pressure as risk appetite softens and investor conviction weakens.
From a technical perspective, BTCUSD is testing the upper bound of the descending channel, which coincides with the 106,500 resistance. The Ichimoku cloud is also indicating bearish pressure. If BTCUSD breaks the psychological support level at 100,000, the price may extend its decline toward the 93,000 support level. Conversely, a bullish breakout of the channel may prompt a retest of the resistance at 115,000.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) extended its advance, reaching $4,147–$4,156, its highest level in over two weeks. The structure shows a bullish bias as the price consolidates above $4,120, with buyers likely to defend the Support Zone at $4,105–$4,111.
The Resistance Zone at $4,147–$4,156 aligns with a short-term overbought area where some profit-taking may occur. However, as long as the price remains above the $4,111 support, momentum favours a continued push toward the upper boundary of the channel.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Buy near support, targeting a retest of resistance at $4,150–$4,156.
Entry: $4,111 – $4,106
Stop Loss: $4,105
Take Profit 1: $4,147
Take Profit 2: $4,156
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 6.53
A confirmed break below $4,105 would invalidate this setup and may trigger a correction toward $4,092.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold’s momentum remains firm, buoyed by rising Fed rate-cut expectations and soft U.S. labour data, even as the U.S. government shutdown nears resolution.
FXStreet’s Lallalit Srijandorn noted, “Gold extends gains toward $4,150 as weaker U.S. jobs data and dovish expectations lift investor sentiment.” 【FXStreet】
Labor Market Weakness: According to ADP data, U.S. private-sector job creation fell by an average of 11,250 jobs per week in late October — signalling a slowdown in labour demand after the firm previously reported gains. This reinforces expectations that the Fed could deliver another rate cut by year-end.
Fed Outlook: The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a 68% probability of a 25 bps rate cut in December, and nearly 80% odds by January 2026, supporting gold’s medium-term bullish tone.
Government Shutdown Update: Bloomberg reported that the U.S. Senate passed a temporary funding measure backed by centrist Democrats, expected to end the record-long shutdown. This could marginally reduce safe-haven demand but is unlikely to shift gold’s structural momentum, as macro risks persist.
Fed Speakers Ahead: Comments from Fed officials John Williams, Christopher Waller, Raphael Bostic, and others later today may offer further guidance on the December policy path. Any dovish tone could extend gold’s rally beyond $4,156.
In short, while the resolution of the shutdown could momentarily weigh on gold’s safe-haven appeal, soft employment data and high odds of a December rate cut remain powerful bullish drivers.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,147 – $4,156
Support: $4,106 – $4,111
Psychological Level: $4,150
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains supported above $4,110, with strong upward momentum likely to retest $4,147–$4,156. A buy-on-dip strategy near $4,111–$4,105 remains preferred as long as support holds. The bullish bias persists while the Fed cut outlook strengthens.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
XAUUSD Trading Plan- 12th Nov, 2025Market Bias:
Slightly Bullish with Intraday Pullback Possibilities
The current structure shows a minor retracement after testing the upper resistance. Price is consolidating below $4,145–$4,160, suggesting a possible retest before continuation higher.
✅ 1. Primary Strategy – Most Probable Scenario (Bullish Bias)
✅ BUY ZONE #1 –
• Entry: $4,122 – $4,128
• Stop Loss: $4,108
• Take Profits:
• TP1 → $4,145
• TP2 → $4,162
• TP3 → $4,188
Reason:
Price is forming a higher-low structure with MACD histogram shifting from red to grey (decreasing bearish momentum). Volume tapering after a dip suggests buyers re-entering near short-term support. A break above $4,145 confirms continuation toward $4,160+.
✅ BUY ZONE #2 –
• Entry: $4,095 – $4,102
• Stop Loss: $4,078
• Take Profits:
• TP1 → $4,125
• TP2 → $4,145
• TP3 → $4,165
Reason:
This zone aligns with previous hourly demand and minor consolidation support. If price retraces deeper, it provides a high-risk-reward re-entry opportunity with clear invalidation below $4,078.
✅ 2. Counter-Trend Strategy – (Bearish Pullback)
✅ SELL ZONE #1 –
• Entry: $4,158 – $4,165
• Stop Loss: $4,178
• Take Profits:
• TP1 → $4,138
• TP2 → $4,122
• TP3 → $4,102
Reason:
Strong intraday resistance between $4,160–$4,165 with prior rejections visible. Short-term exhaustion likely before any sustained breakout. A quick fade possible if the hourly candle fails to close above $4,165.
✅ SELL ZONE #2 –
• Entry: $4,188 – $4,195
• Stop Loss: $4,210
• Take Profits:
• TP1 → $4,162
• TP2 → $4,138
• TP3 → $4,120
Reason:
This zone coincides with higher-timeframe supply and overextension area. Good setup for counter-trend traders targeting mean reversion.
✅ 4. Final 24-Hour Expected Range
📉 $4,095 – $4,195
(A breakout beyond $4,195 or breakdown below $4,095 will define the next directional leg.)
✅ 5. Recommended Approach
• Short-term bias: Buy dips toward $4,120 and $4,100 zones.
• Avoid chasing price above $4,160 unless volume expansion confirms breakout.
• Switch bias to bearish only if $4,095 fails to hold on hourly close.
#XRPUSDT: Bullish Reversal Coming With Price Heading Back To 3.5## XRPUSDT Analysis: Long-Term Perspective
In the long term, we anticipate the XRPUSDT price to revert to its all-time high of 3.5. From a fundamental analysis standpoint, we maintain a positive outlook, with the potential for the price to surpass 3.5. We have identified a favourable trading opportunity, as illustrated in the chart.
Our approach is neutral, as the trend remains undecided. Based on the duration of your positions, you can set two targets:
1. **Short-Term Target:** If you intend to hold your positions for a short period, aim for a price level above 3.5.
2. **Long-Term Target:** For long-term investors, a target price of 4.0 or higher is plausible.
We are committed to providing comprehensive analysis and support. Should you have any inquiries or require further clarification, please do not hesitate to contact us.
Additionally, we would appreciate your insights on which cryptocurrency pair you would like to explore next.
Regards,
Team Setupsfx_
#XAUUSD :Is it a Correction Or a start of Major Bearish Trend? Gold has plummeted from 3550 to 3270, and it’s been falling steadily. We firmly believe that the price could reverse from either of our entry points, but given its significant drop, it raises concerns among traders. If the trend has shifted to bearish, it will likely continue to target buyers’ stop losses. In these market conditions, we strongly advise trading with utmost caution and prioritising risk management.
Good luck and trade safely.
Thanks for your support! 😊
If you want to help us out, here are a few things you can do:
- Like our ideas
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A shift away from tech stocksThe price action in the daily chart of the S&P 500 implies a potential shift away from tech stocks. Capital is still in the stock sector the structure implies this potential capital shift.
gold market maintains its correctional stance around the 4100’sThe drop was swift on gold market right from 4140’s as the gold market maintains its correctional stance around the 4100’s, stabilizing momentum before the next directional move. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
Will $Aradel Aradel Fractal Setup Repeat? Down -18% from ATHARADEL’s Fractal Setup — Will History Repeat?
Is Aradel ( NSENG:ARADEL ) moving in repeating fractals? — a pattern of strong rallies, quick pauses, sharp pullbacks, and steep recoveries. Each dip in this sequence has so far created the foundation for the next rally leg, showing how market psychology often mirrors itself on the chart. Current price: 710naira/share
---
The First Fractal
The first major pattern appeared when price rallied from **₦520 → ₦689 (+29%)**, followed by a mild correction of about –13%.
That retracement found support around the moving average zone, after which the stock continued its steady climb — confirming strong buyer re-entry at lower levels.
---
The Current Setup
This latest fractal looks even more aggressive.
Price surged from ₦580 → ₦869 (+49%) before pulling back sharply — already down roughly –18%.
Currently, the ₦710 zone is acting as a short-term support level.
If this area holds, it could mark the end of the correction and the start of the next bullish swing.
The Fractal Projection
If history rhymes once more, the next upward leg could target the **₦950–₦1,000** resistance range — a natural extension zone aligning with prior swing highs.
However, a decisive breakdown below **₦624** would invalidate the fractal and signal a deeper retracement phase, possibly toward the longer-term trend support.
Summary
* Current support: ₦710 (key pivot)
* Fractal invalidation: ₦624
* Next potential target: ₦950–₦1,000
* Trend bias: Bullish if ₦710 holds; neutral-to-bearish if ₦624 breaks.
Fractals don’t predict price — they simply hint where institutional interest and historical rhythm may align. #ARADEL #NGX #NigerianStocks #PriceAction #FractalPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingNigeria
EURAUD: Institutional Buying Pressure & Bullish November SetupThe pair has broken out of the descending channel and is now forming a new ascending structure.
Price reacted strongly from the 1.7550–1.7600 demand zone, which aligns with a key structural support and an oversold RSI area.
The current consolidation phase is unfolding below a daily inefficiency (gap) around 1.7800–1.7920, which represents the first bullish target.
If the bullish structure holds, we could see a three-wave move towards 1.7920, with a potential mid-term pullback to 1.7700 before the next impulsive leg.
🔹 2. COT Report
Euro (EUR)
Non-commercials: 252k long vs 138k short → net long
Commercials: strongly net short
Weekly change: +2.6k shorts / -789 longs → slightly reduced bullish momentum
➡️ EUR remains fundamentally strong, though speculative momentum has slightly cooled.
Australian Dollar (AUD)
Non-commercials: 42k long vs 101k short → deeply net short
Shorts increased by +10k this week, indicating renewed institutional bearish pressure.
➡️ AUD remains weak with a clear bearish bias.
👉 Overall COT bias: favors EUR strength and AUD weakness, supporting a bullish view on EURAUD.
🔹 3. Seasonality
EUR typically strengthens in November, especially during the last 10 days of the month (+0.003 / +0.004 average).
AUD historically shows November weakness across 10Y, 5Y, and 2Y averages.
➡️ Seasonal patterns support the bullish case for EURAUD, aligning with COT positioning.
🔹 4. Retail Sentiment
70% short vs 30% long
➡️ Retail traders are heavily short, providing a contrarian bullish signal.
📈 Conclusion
The medium-term bias remains bullish on EURAUD, with potential upside extension toward 1.7920, and possibly 1.8050 if macro momentum persists.
The key support to defend lies at 1.7600 / 1.7550.
A daily close below this level would invalidate the bullish scenario and reopen the path toward 1.7400.
Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV)Daily SPY (US500) Outlook - Prediction (11 NOV)
📊 Market Sentiment
The market is turning bullish following the potential resolution of the U.S. government shutdown, along with the proposed $2,000 incentives for U.S. citizens. These factors could create strong inflows into equities and improve short-term sentiment.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price moved sharply higher on Monday, reaching the 681 level as expected (see my previous SPY outlook). The 681 level remains a strong resistance zone, and we have already seen a rejection from that area.
📌 Game Plan
In my opinion, the market may turn short-term bearish today. After rejecting 681, the price could target the 675 level and possibly though not necessarily reach 671.5.
My plan is to short the market toward 675 and observe if a bounce occurs. If it does, I will look to buy calls, expecting a move toward new highs around 685.
💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile.
⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
How to Trade and Make Extra Income with a Full-Time JobAt QuantSignals (QS), we’re proud to have a diverse global community — members from every country, every profession, and every walk of life.
Some of our traders dedicate their full day to the markets, while others are working professionals with limited time who still want to build wealth and generate extra income through trading.
This article is for the latter group — the busy professionals who want to trade smartly and efficiently without sacrificing their full-time careers.
Below are three proven approaches to trading successfully while working a full-time job.
1️⃣ The “Morning Power” Strategy — Trade the First Hour
If your schedule allows, the first hour after the market opens is often the most volatile and active period of the day.
Overnight news, economic data, and institutional orders all hit the tape at once — creating strong directional moves.
This is where the #💹live-kline-signal from QS shines.
Our proprietary AI, trained on billions of price action data points, provides a 2-hour prediction window, giving traders a clear picture of the potential move ahead.
All you need to do is:
Enter when the market starts moving in the direction of the kline prediction.
Manage or close the trade within one hour.
💡 Time commitment: Around 1 hour
💡 Goal: Capture morning volatility with AI precision
💡 Edge: Use data-driven forecasts instead of emotions
Repeat this consistently with proper risk management, and it can become a powerful daily income routine.
2️⃣ The “Evening Income” Strategy — Trade the Last Hour or Overnight
If you can’t trade in the morning, the final hour (“power hour”) is another prime opportunity.
Liquidity returns, institutions position for the close, and volatility picks up again.
You can apply the same #💹live-kline-signal strategy for short-term trades.
But there’s also a way to earn while you sleep — using the #💰live-credit-spread-signal.
This screener selects the top 9 credit spread trade ideas each day. After the market closes, volatility tends to drop, creating ideal conditions for income through time decay (theta) and IV collapse.
💡 Time commitment: 30 minutes before or after the close
💡 Goal: Generate passive overnight income
💡 Edge: Make the market work for you while you rest
It’s not about catching every move — it’s about leveraging time and stability.
3️⃣ The “Set & Forget” Strategy — Swing and Long-Term Trading
For those who prefer not to watch the market daily, QS offers several mid-to-long-term AI signal channels:
#📈live-swing-signal – typically 2–4 week trades
#💼live-stock-signal – directional stock ideas
#🚀live-leap-signal – long-dated options plays (6–12 months)
These strategies let you “set and forget,” checking in occasionally while the AI tracks and updates the signals automatically.
💡 Time commitment: Weekly or monthly review
💡 Goal: Build wealth passively
💡 Edge: Leverage institutional-grade AI for timing and selection
Final Thoughts
Trading doesn’t have to be a full-time profession — it can be a structured side income stream when powered by the right technology.
With QS, you can choose the trading style that fits your lifestyle:
Morning trader — capitalize on volatility.
Evening trader — earn while you sleep.
Swing investor — grow long-term wealth passively.
The key is discipline + data + consistency.
QS gives you the AI advantage to trade smarter, not longer.
GOLD BOUGHT XAUUSDGold recap , gold has hit (take profit) simply by following the trend and trading simple , I now expect it to have a temporary price rest before it can raise and continue its upward momentum
Natural Gas - The Short SqueezeNatural gas had another stellar rally today.
Bouncing hard off the 7 day moving average and making new weekly highs.
We have completed the measured bull flag move in the near term so an extra rally from here is pure shorts getting cooked in my opinion.
With price action rallying so far so quickly we pared back and secured some profits on our natural gas equity positions.
We sold our RRC December calls for 115% gain.
We trimmed our AR January calls for 65% gain.
We still have equity exposure and positions in profit so now it becomes a game of managing protecting profits.
In the near term I would not be surprised to see a minor pullback or 1-2 weeks of consolidation.
