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Fundamental Analysis

Gold price today (afternoon of September 15)Last week, the world gold price had a fourth consecutive week of increase amid growing concerns about the weakening US labor market, which overshadowed inflation worries ahead of the US Federal Reserve's meeting next week. The market is currently predicting that the Fed will almost certainly cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points at the two-day meeting on September 16-17, while the possibility of a larger cut (0.50 percentage points) has decreased. Gold usually increases in a low interest rate environment. Uncertainties related to the independence of the Fed are also a factor contributing to the recent increase in gold prices. Analyst Giovanni Staunovo of UBS bank said that with these favorable factors and after the recent increase in capital flows into gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs), UBS now forecasts gold prices to rise to $3,900/ounce by the middle of next year.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
2
Crude oil - DAILY- 15/09/2025Oil prices extended last week’s gains as traders weighed rising geopolitical risks against forecasts of a surplus later this year. US President Donald Trump renewed pressure on Europe to cut Russian oil purchases and floated sanctions if NATO allies comply, while the US is also pushing G7 partners to impose tariffs on China and India for buying Russian crude. Market sentiment remains shaped by escalating tensions, including Israeli strikes in Qatar and Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries. Analysts warn that sanctions and infrastructure damage could push prices higher in the short term, but expectations of a supply overhang and OPEC+ production increases keep downside risks in focus. On the technical side, the price of crude oil has retested the major support area of $62 and has since rebounded to the upside. The Stochastic oscillator is back in neutral levels for the time being, hinting that the recent bullish correction could project into the near short term while the Bollinger bands are sufficiently expanded, showing that there is volatility to support any short-term spikes. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
TVC:USOIL
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
Gold - DAILY - 15/09/2025Gold climbed near record levels in Asian trading as weak US labor data reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut this week. Markets anticipate a quarter-point move on Wednesday and further easing into 2026, supporting demand for the non-yielding asset. Ongoing US-China trade talks add another layer of risk sentiment, with any sign of easing tensions potentially weighing on gold’s safe-haven appeal. From a technical point of view, the price of gold seems to have reached a plateau, holding near its all-time highs. This is a rather dangerous point in time to trade this instrument because the risks are quite high from a technical analysis perspective. Price is near the all-time high, and the Stochastic oscillator has been in the extreme overbought levels for more than 3 consecutive weeks, hinting that a bearish correction might be imminent. On the other hand, the moving averages are validating the overall bullish trend, and the Bollinger bands are quite expanded, showing that volatility is there to support any major moves in the upcoming sessions. Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by antreas_themistokleous_exness
Bitcoin Eyes Higher Ground – Bullish Momentum HoldsBitcoin Eyes Higher Ground – Bullish Momentum Holds Bitcoin continues to show strong bullish momentum. Since our initial analysis on September 2nd, when price was around 110,390, BTC has already hit two key targets—gaining nearly +5.6% so far. Currently, BTC is testing a key resistance zone between 115,200 and 116,500. It may pause briefly here before continuing higher. If a short-term pullback occurs, the price could dip toward 113,200 before resuming its upward move. So far, the first bullish scenario in black remains intact. 🎯 Key Targets Ahead: 120,000 and 123,000 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Previous analysis:
Long
by KlejdiCuni
11
AUDCHF BUY ForecastAUDCHF New forecast👨‍💻👨‍💻 Note: Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP. Please support this idea with a Like and COMMENT if you find it useful click "follow" on our profile if you will like these type of trading ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!! lemme know your thoughts in the comment sec...
Long
by King_CityStar_Fx
Big events in gold this week!Gold closed with another positive line on the weekly chart. Although it has a long upper shadow line, the overall upward pattern is still solid, the trend has not been destroyed, and it still maintains a strong pattern. The daily level shows a high-level yin-yang cycle consolidation. It has failed to break through the 3660 high in the short term. Therefore, it will temporarily respond with a shock thinking, waiting for another bullish opportunity after the breakthrough. What needs to be paid attention to is that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is about to come this week. The market may usher in a new direction choice, and volatility may intensify. At that time, the market rhythm will be more critical. Pay attention to the 3620-3660 area in the small range of the day. If it can break through, look at the extension space of the large range of 3675-3610. Remind brothers, this week’s trading should pay more attention to rhythm and risk control, avoid blindly chasing ups and downs, wait patiently for the key positions to be confirmed before entering the market accurately, execute high-winning trading plans, and lock profits firmly in the account.For the specific layout and operation rhythm, please refer to the bottom notification I released at the first time to ensure consistent execution and unified thinking, and avoid blindly following the trend and causing unnecessary risks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Can Britain's Stock Market Survive Its Own Streets?The FTSE 100's recent 10.9% year-to-date outperformance against the S&P 500's 8.8% return masks deeper structural vulnerabilities that threaten the UK market's long-term viability. While this temporary surge appears to be driven by investor rotation away from overvalued US tech stocks toward traditional UK sectors, it obscures decades of underperformance: the FTSE 100 has delivered just 5.0% annualized returns over the past decade, compared to the S&P 500's 13.2%. The index's heavy weighting toward finance, energy, and mining, combined with minimal exposure to high-growth technology firms, has left it fundamentally misaligned with the modern economy's drivers of growth. The UK's economic landscape presents mounting challenges that extend beyond market composition. Inflation rose to 3.8% in July, surpassing forecasts and increasing the likelihood of sustained high interest rates that could dampen economic activity. Government deficits reached £20.7 billion in June, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability, while policy uncertainty under the new Labour government creates additional investor hesitation. Geopolitical instability has shifted risk appetite for 61% of UK institutional investors, with half adopting more defensive strategies in response to global tensions. Most significantly, civil unrest has emerged as a quantifiable economic threat that directly impacts business operations and market stability. Far-right mobilisation and anti-immigration demonstrations have resulted in violent clashes across UK cities, with over a quarter of UK businesses affected by civil unrest in 2024. The riots following the Southport stabbing incident alone generated an estimated £250 million in insured losses, with nearly half of the affected businesses forced to close premises and 44% reporting property damage. Business leaders now view civil unrest as a greater risk than terrorism, requiring increased security measures and insurance coverage that erode profitability. The FTSE 100's future hinges on its ability to evolve beyond its traditional sectoral composition while navigating an increasingly volatile domestic environment where political violence has become a material business risk. The index's apparent resilience masks fundamental weaknesses that, combined with the rising costs of social and political instability, threaten to undermine long-term investor confidence and economic growth. Without significant structural adaptation and effective management of civil disorder risks, the UK's benchmark index faces an uncertain trajectory in an era where street-level violence translates directly into boardroom concerns.
FTSE:UKXShort
by UDIS_View
Gold Weekly Analysis – Key Zones and Fed Rate Impact.This is an important week for Gold (XAUUSD): Wednesday’s Federal Funds Rate Decision could move markets sharply. Expectations from recent Fed commentary suggest a moderate chance of a rate cut or at least dovish language, which may support gold upside. 🔑 Key Buy Zones to Watch: Demand Zone 1: 3615–3612 Demand Zone 2: 3600–3597 Discounted Buy Area: 3673 (if price pulls back then) Trend remains bullish — no strong signs of bearish reversal currently. 🎯 Weekly Targets: Primary target: 3700 If momentum strong and resistance broken: potential new highs beyond that ⚠ Risk & Strategy Notes: Watch Fed Rate Decision for surprises — hawkish tone could push gold lower temporarily. Use stop losses below demand zones to protect against downside risk. Only take buys from those zones or after confirmation (bullish candle structure, rejection from support). 🙏 If you find this useful, please like, comment and share to support more weekly analysis. Regards: Forex Insights Pro. #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #WeeklyAnalysis #FedRate #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportDemand #Trading
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex_Insights_Pro
Short term analysis main trend is still bullishXAU/USD Technical Analysis (H1) 1. Overall Trend Gold (XAU/USD) is moving inside an upward channel, confirmed by two parallel rising trendlines. After bouncing from the strong support zone around 3,520 – 3,540 USD, price has been forming higher lows, keeping the bullish structure intact. 2. Key Support & Resistance Strong Resistance: 3,660 – 3,680 USD zone. Price has been rejected here multiple times, creating a zig-zag/triangle-like pattern. Dynamic Support: The rising trendline. As long as price stays above this line, the bullish bias remains valid. Static Support: 3,520 – 3,540 USD. If the trendline breaks, this will be the next key zone to test buyers’ strength. 3. Chart Pattern Price is consolidating in a triangle/zig-zag formation within an uptrend, often considered a continuation pattern. If the resistance at 3,660 – 3,680 USD is broken, price may rally toward the psychological level 3,700 – 3,720 USD. 4. Trading Scenarios Bullish (preferred): Enter long on pullbacks to the trendline or on a breakout above 3,660–3,680. Target: 3,700 – 3,720 USD. Stop-loss: Below 3,620 or under the trendline. Bearish (alternative): If price breaks the rising trendline, a correction toward 3,520 – 3,540 USD is possible. This zone will act as a decisive level for the next direction. 👉 Conclusion: The short-term bias remains bullish, but a clear breakout above 3,660 – 3,680 is needed for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
EURNZD: Bearish Momentum Continues To Dominate The PairEURNZD: Bearish Momentum Continues To Dominate The Pair The EURNZD pair continues to show bearish characteristics, with price action respecting a well-defined resistance zone and forming successive bearish patterns. The current consolidation phases are typical before sustained moves. Momentum favors sellers, and the structure suggests that further declines are likely if key support levels are broken. Key targets: 1.96200 and 1.9540 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
1
US 10Y TREASURY: brace for Fed cutTwo important macro indicators shaped investors sentiment during the previous week. One is related to posted jobs figures, where the annual revision of non-farm payrolls revealed a decline of 911,000 jobs, reinforcing concerns among analysts about a cooling U.S. labor market. In August, inflation rose by 0.4% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year, while core inflation remained slightly elevated at 0.3% monthly and 3.1% annually. The declining jobs in the US supported the investors’ expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on September 17th. The US 10Y Treasury benchmark further dropped during the week, to the lowest level of 3,995%, however, it ended the week at 4,06%. The market has priced expectations of a rate cut next week. In this sense, some short correction in yields to the upside is possible during the week ahead, at least up to 4,1%. It should also be expected to have some higher volatility prior to the FOMC meeting.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
NAS100 - Stock market awaits Federal Reserve meeting!The indicator is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the drawn upward trajectory is maintained, I can expect the future to continue as it has in the past. In case of a valid breakdown, its downward path is to the specified range, which can be approached with a reward for buying. Last week’s economic data painted a mixed picture of the U.S. economy. On the one hand, new jobless claims rose to 263,000, above the market forecast of 235,000, signaling labor market weakness. On the other hand, the August inflation report came in hotter than expected, though most of the increase stemmed from housing costs rather than tariff pressures. Rents rose 0.34%, marking the fastest gain since December 2024, while shelter costs climbed 0.39%, the sharpest jump since January 2025. Still, real-time housing indicators suggest that prices are adjusting, which will likely be reflected in official data in the coming months. Meanwhile, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury fell below 4% for the first time since April—a sign that markets are reacting more to labor market weakness and the prospect of Fed rate cuts than to inflation concerns. CIBC, analyzing the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, stated that while the data came in slightly above expectations, it was not strong enough to dissuade the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) from delivering a 25-basis-point cut next week. Ali Jafari, an economist at the bank, wrote: “There was little in the report to prevent a September rate cut. More importantly, the labor market needs support, and a weaker jobs market implies softer demand-side inflationary pressures ahead.” On a yearly basis, core inflation held steady at 3.1%, while headline inflation rose two-tenths to 2.9%, both in line with forecasts. More troubling, however, are signs that price increases are spreading into new sectors. The report noted: “Tariff pass-through effects intensified this month, with core goods prices rising at the fastest pace since broad tariffs were imposed. Today’s report also showed the first notable increase in new car prices, suggesting that tariff impacts may now be extending to higher-ticket items, though overall car price gains remain modest.” CIBC expects the Fed to cut rates in September and October, pause afterward, and then deliver two additional cuts in the first half of next year. The bank added: “The overall U.S. inflation picture remains notably above target, but the Fed is willing to tolerate this for now, given growing concerns about a weakening economy and a labor market showing signs of fatigue.” Separately, U.S. President Donald Trump once again criticized the Fed in an interview with Fox News, saying the central bank “always acts late on interest rates.” He added: “We have the best stock market in history. Inflation has come down, equities are climbing, so rates should be lower.” These comments come as the Fed is widely expected to cut rates at Wednesday’s meeting. While such a move could reduce borrowing costs in the short term, analysts caution that lower short-term rates do not necessarily translate into lower long-term yields. Morgan Stanley now projects that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining meetings this year—an upgrade from earlier forecasts of only September and December cuts. The bank also expects three additional 25-basis-point cuts in January, April, and July of 2026. At the same time, Standard Chartered has revised its outlook and now anticipates a 50-basis-point cut in September—double its previous forecast. The shift followed weak August jobs data showing employment growth had slowed sharply and unemployment rose to 4.3%, the highest since late 2020. The bank described labor market conditions as “dramatic,” noting that in just six weeks the market shifted from “strong” to “weak.” It characterized the larger cut as a form of “catch-up” to align monetary policy with economic realities. This week is set to be pivotal for global markets, with a series of central bank decisions and key economic releases. Monday will see the Empire State manufacturing index, followed by Tuesday’s August retail sales report. On Wednesday, housing starts and building permits will be released, along with the Bank of Canada’s rate decision. The highlight of the week, however, will be the Fed meeting and Jerome Powell’s press conference. On Thursday, the Bank of England will announce its policy decision, followed by U.S. jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey. The busy week will conclude Friday with the Bank of Japan’s policy announcement.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Gold: soars on Fed hopesGold price continues to rally, reaching a fresh new all time highest levels during the previous week. Gold gained 1,7% for the week, reaching ATH at $3.674. The surge was widely supported by increased expectations over the Fed's rate cut at September's meeting, which will be held next week, on September 17th. The revised US jobs data were posted during the previous week, with a drop of -911K, which signalled to the market that the jobs market in the US is weakening, providing a solid grounds for Fed to cut. The price of gold started the previous week by breaking the $3,6K level, and headed toward the ATH at $3.674. The price is closing the week at $3.643. The RSI entered into the highly overbought territory and continued to move within it for the rest of the week, around the level of 77. The MA50 started again to diverge from MA200, without any indication that the potential cross might come anytime soon. The week ahead brings FOMC meeting with high market expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates this time. As the price of gold already priced such expectations, there is some probability that the week ahead will start with modest profit-taking. The modest correction is probable, at least till the level of $3,6K, to be tested again. A move to higher grounds is also possible, however, the level could not be estimated as the price of gold is currently moving in an uncharted territory.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
SPX: rte-cut hypeJust a week before the September FOMC meeting, the S&P 500 reached another fresh, new all-time highest level at 6.594 at Friday's trading session. The index managed to gain another 1,6% for the week. The latest move is sort of gearing-up for the forthcoming FOMC meeting, where the market is expecting to see a 25 bps cut by FED officials. The jobs and inflation figures posted during the week, showed further stabilisation in inflation levels, but also weakening of the US jobs market. Both figures are supportive of the Fed to make a decision over a quarter-point rate cut. However, analysts are noting that the tone and rhetoric of Fed Chair Powell in after the meeting press conference on September 17th, will be crucial for the next move of US equity markets. Certainly, this will mark the most important day for financial markets in the week ahead. Tech companies are again the ones that are driving the market to the higher grounds, TSLA gained 7,36% on Friday, continuing a recent upward trend. Despite no major announcements from Tesla, the stock has gained nearly 12% over the past week, driven by investor optimism that declining interest rates could boost car sales. The artificial intelligence tech firm Super Micro Computer jumped 6% after announcing it had begun volume shipments of its Nvidia Blackwell Ultra solutions to customers globally. Warner Bros Discovery rose nearly 8%, building on Thursday’s 29% surge, after reports in the news indicated that Paramount Skydance is preparing a takeover offer.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
EURUSD: gearing up for FOMCThe Non-farm payrolls annual revision showed a drop of -911K jobs. Analysts are noting that this is another indicator of a cooling US jobs market. The Producers price Index in August dropped by -0,1% for the month, reaching 2,6% on a yearly basis. The core PPI also dropped by -0,1%. Both indicators were below market estimates of 0,3% for the month. The Inflation rate in August reached 0,4% for the month and 2,9% on a yearly basis. The core inflation remains a bit elevated at level of 0,3% for month and 3,1% y/y. Friday brought Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary figures for September at 51,8, which was a bit below forecasted 54,9. Inflation expectations remained unchanged at 4,8%. The ECB meeting was held during the previous week, where ECB members left interest rates unchanged. The Deposit Facility Rates held at 2%, while Marginal Lending Rate at 2,4%. This was in line with market expectations, considering external challenges for the EU economy, in terms of trade tariffs. The balance of trade in July in Germany reached euro 14,7B, another month with missed market expectations of euro 15,4B. The Industrial Production in July in Germany was higher by 1,3%, above market estimate of 1%. For the second week in a row, the eurusd currency pair was moving within a relatively short range. There were no surprises when the ECB interest rate decision was in question, so the market switched its attention to the forthcoming FOMC meeting. The trading range was between 1,1777 down to 1,1663. The RSI continues to oscillate around the 50 level, showing that the market is currently not heaving a clear path toward either side. The MA50 slowly started to converge toward the MA200, but the distance between lines shows that the potential cross is still not in store. As already mentioned, the week ahead brings the September FOMC meeting. This one is going to be especially significant, as the market is highly expecting to see the 25 bps cut. Usually , prior to meeting, market nervousness increases, in which sense, some increased volatility might be in store for the currency pair. Current charts are showing potential for a move toward both sides. On the lower grounds, there is potential for 1,1650 to be tested shortly, while on the opposite side, 1,1780 is waiting to be tested for a potential for higher grounds. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Wholesale Prices in Germany in August, ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in September in Germany, Inflation rate in the Euro Zone in August, Producers Price Index in August in Germany. USD: Retail Sales in August, Building Permits preliminary for August, Housing Starts in August, FOMC meeting will be held on Wednesday, September 17th, with a press conference after the meeting.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 15, 2025 USDJPYThe pair trades around 147.4. Last week the yen firmed after political headlines from Tokyo: the prime minister’s resignation increased uncertainty and supported safe-haven demand for JPY. At the same time, US yields pulled back on softer labor data and a mild PPI, narrowing the rate differential in the dollar’s favor. On Japan’s side, debate has revived about further BoJ normalization as wages rise and inflation stabilizes. Even if the BoJ leaves settings unchanged at the next meeting, the risk balance is shifting from one-sidedly dovish toward more neutral, which limits USD/JPY upside as a Fed cut appears likely. The combination of a prospective Fed cut on Wednesday and elevated political noise in Japan makes further downside drift plausible. We prefer selling at 147.500 with a 146.000 target and a 148.500 stop. A “hawkish” Fed reaction and/or an ultra-cautious BoJ could push the pair back toward 148+. Trading recommendation: SELL 147.500, SL 148.500, TP 146.000
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bitcoin: markets eye Fed, BTC gainThe US revised non-farm payrolls data for -911K showed that there is indeed some weakening of the US jobs market. This information was a triggering point for market participants to increase their bets that the Fed will indeed cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the FOMC meeting on September 17th. The US equities and gold gained during the week on this expectation, followed by the crypto market. The BTC was struggling during past weeks to test again the $115K resistance level, however, during the previous week, BTC took the clear up-trend and reached the highest weekly level at $116,5K on Friday, but eased back to the $115K during the Saturdays trading session. The RSI is showing an up-trend toward the overbought market side, currently moving around the level of 60. The indicator shows a potential for an up-side until the clear overbought market side is reached. The MA50 halted its convergence toward the MA200, indicating that BTC is still not ready for a cross in the coming period. A very important event is scheduled for the week ahead, which is the FOMC meeting on September 17th. The markets are currently gearing-up for this event. Some higher volatility is expected around this date and during the speech of Fed Chair Powell. In this sense, BTC might easily move to the corrective territory, considering that the 25bps cut has been priced during this week. The level to watch would be around $113K. At the same time, there is a possibility also for higher grounds, where the $117K might be the next target of BTC.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Gold Price Analysis (XAUUSD) – September 15, 20251. Main Trend Gold (XAUUSD) has recently rallied from 3,560 → 3,665, but on the H1 timeframe the market is now forming a potential ABC corrective structure. Wave (A) has completed. Wave (B) is a technical pullback. Wave (C) is expected to push lower, testing key support levels. 2. Key Resistance Levels 3,660 – 3,670 USD/oz: Major resistance zone where price has been rejected multiple times. This area also aligns with the 20 EMA on H1 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of wave (A). 3. Key Support Levels 3,600 – 3,610 USD/oz: First support to watch. A breakdown here could accelerate the bearish move. 3,575 – 3,585 USD/oz: Strong support area, confluence with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (A). 4. Technical Indicators RSI (H1): Turning lower from the 50 midline, suggesting bearish momentum. EMA 50 – EMA 200: Both EMAs still sloping upward, but price is testing the lower band, signaling a short-term correction. Price Action: Repeated rejections around 3,660 highlight sellers’ dominance. 5. Trading Strategies for Today Short Setup (Preferred) Sell limit: 3,655 – 3,660 Stop loss: 3,675 Take profit 1: 3,610 Take profit 2: 3,580 Countertrend Buy (Speculative) Buy: 3,580 – 3,585 Stop loss: 3,565 Take profit: 3,620 – 3,630 - Conclusion: Gold is currently in a short-term corrective phase, with downside potential towards 3,600 – 3,580. Sellers remain in control on the H1 chart. Traders should monitor support reactions closely to identify any short-term buying opportunities. - Save this analysis if you find it useful, and follow for more trading strategies in the next sessions.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
Airbus,Leonardo and Thales:Europe targets space- Project BromoAirbus, Leonardo and Thales: Europe targets space with Project Bromo By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The planned agreement between Airbus (EPA: AIR), Leonardo (BIT: LDOF), and Thales (EPA: TCFP) to merge their satellite divisions under Project Bromo represents a far-reaching strategic move for the European aerospace sector. The goal is to challenge giants such as SpaceX/Starlink and Chinese state programs, while strengthening the European Union’s strategic autonomy in a key industry. For Airbus, a leader in defense and space, this step would expand its diversification beyond commercial aviation, consolidating its role as a benchmark in satellites and secure communications. Leonardo would benefit by expanding its footprint in a high-growth market, while Thales contributes its expertise in electronics and cybersecurity, essential for satellite applications. If the timeline is met, with a framework agreement in 2024 and final closing in 2025, Europe will have a space champion capable of competing on a global scale. Technical analysis of Airbus (Ticker AT: AIR) Airbus shares remain in a long-term uptrend that began in October 2022, moving within an ascending channel that has consistently respected the 200-day moving average. On Thursday, the stock hit a new high at €195, before closing Friday at €193.66, after firmly breaking through the key resistance of €186.92. The long-term outlook points to a continuation toward the €200 level. At the start of the week, a corrective move cannot be ruled out, potentially testing the breakout zone from last Tuesday. Moving average crossovers maintain a strong configuration, supporting the continuation of the main trend. In the short term, the RSI stands at 68.54%, close to overbought territory, which increases the likelihood of a technical pullback. In contrast, the MACD remains in an expansionary bullish phase, with the signal line above the histogram in positive territory, confirming strong momentum and directionality. The ActivTrades Europe Market Pulse currently reads 2.5, leaning toward risk-on, though still with a neutral-mixed bias, reflecting cautious buying appetite in European markets. The point of control (POC) sits at €162.44, in line with the 50-day moving average, serving as a key support level. In the event of a correction, €173.54 and €168.24 stand as intermediate supports. Conversely, if the price holds above the current breakout, Airbus would enter free upside, with the next psychological target set at €200 in the short term. Bromo vs. SpaceX-Starlink Airbus is at a critical technical juncture: the recent breakout has reinforced its bullish bias, but proximity to overbought levels suggests possible short-term adjustments. Fundamentally, Airbus maintains a robust order book, supported by the recovery of global air traffic and rising demand for fuel-efficient aircraft. Furthermore, its participation in strategic European defense and satellite initiatives such as Project Bromo strengthens its diversification and competitive stance against U.S. rivals that currently dominate the market. These factors underpin its current valuation and provide additional support to the bullish outlook reflected in the technical picture. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
BME:AIRLong
by ActivTrades
MARKETS week ahead: September 15 – 21Markets are gearing up for the forthcoming FOMC meeting and surging expectations over a 25 basis points rate cut. These expectations have been priced during the week, where the S&P 500 reached a fresh, new all time highest level, ending the week at 6.584. On the same expectations the price of gold surged to another all time highest level, closing the week at $3.643. The 10Y US Treasury benchmark dropped below the 4,0% at one moment, however, returned a bit back as of the end of the week at 4,068%. This time the crypto market was also in the eye of the investors, where BTC managed to break the $115K resistance, ending the week modestly below the $116K. The previous week started with the annual revision of non-farm payrolls, revealing a decline of 911,000 jobs, adding to concerns about a cooling U.S. labour market. In August, the Producer Price Index (PPI) fell by 0.1% month-over-month, bringing the annual rate to 2.6%, while core PPI also dropped 0.1%. Both figures came in below market expectations of a 0.3% increase. Meanwhile, inflation rose 0.4% for the month and 2.9% year-over-year, with core inflation slightly elevated at 0.3% monthly and 3.1% annually. Preliminary data from the University of Michigan showed September’s consumer sentiment at 51.8, slightly below the forecast of 54.9, while inflation expectations held steady at 4.8%. Declining jobs market increased market expectations to almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on September 17th. Nvidia and OpenAI are reportedly in talks to fund a multibillion dollar AI infrastructure project in the U.K., centred on building new data centres, in partnership with cloud firm Nscale. The agreement is expected to be unveiled during President Trump’s state visit to Britain next week. Governments globally are increasingly trying to attract the tech giants to bolster their domestic “sovereign AI” capabilities. Gemini Space Station shares surged over 40% on Friday during their debut on the Nasdaq, opening at $37.01 under the ticker GEMI after being priced at $28, and reaching a high of $40.71. Founded by Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, the company was valued at $4.4 billion and joins a growing wave of crypto firms going public amid a loosening regulatory environment under current US Administration. News are reporting that investors have poured over $7 trillion into cash-like assets such as money market funds and high-yield savings, benefiting from recent Fed rate hikes. However, with the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates soon, these safe assets may lose appeal, prompting a shift toward riskier investments like stocks and bonds. Experts warn that a massive market rally fuelled by this "wall of cash" is unlikely unless rates drop close to zero. Historical data shows significant outflows from money funds only occur during major economic crises when rates are very low. CRYPTO MARKET A green week on the crypto market, supported by investors' expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates at their FOMC meeting, on September 17th. Almost all coins gained on this expectation surging the value of crypto coins mostly between 10% to 20%. At the same time total crypto capitalization passed the $4B mark, which represents another significant milestone for the crypto market. On a weekly level, total crypto market capitalization was increased by 8%, adding total $290B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes remained at higher levels, with turnovers of around $298B on a daily level. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the beginning of this year currently stands at +25%, with a total funds inflow of $803B. BTC was the coin to lead the market, however, other altcoins also performed well during the week. BTC gained $115B of funds, increasing its value by 5,2% for the week. ETH had a good week with a gain of 10,3%, adding $53B to its market cap. XRP gained almost 13% w/w, adding $21,5B to its value. Solana and Polkadot are worth mentioning, as both coins gained above 20% for the week. Certainly, the star of the week was DOGE, with an incredible weekly gain of 41%. Ospreys Dogecoin ETF started trading during the previous week, attracting investors' funds and letting the coin surge by 41%. Increased activity was also reflected in circulating coins. During the previous week, EOS increased the number of its coins on the market by 0,6%, while Algorand gained 0,5% of coins. Stellar managed to add 0,3% new coins to the market, same as Uniswap. Crypto futures market Investors' increased interest in ETH was recently exposed both on the spot and the crypto futures market. As per CME, the ETH futures open interest on this market has hit records of over $10B, as a reflection of institutional investors demand. ETH futures gained more than 7% during the previous week for all maturities. Futures expiring in December this year closed the week at $4.792, and those with the expiration date a year later were last traded at $5.143. This is a huge milestone as the long term futures returned once again to levels above the $5K mark. BTC futures also gained more than 4,5% for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $119.565, and those maturing a year later closed the week at $126.490.
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by XBTFX