Fundamental Analysis
Crypto Market Alert: New York Session Breakdown Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Strategy: Quantum Pulse AI (Fibonacci Focus)
Session: New York Open
Date: November 18, 2025
🧠 Executive Summary
The Quantum Pulse AI algorithm has triggered a BUY signal for Bitcoin during the New York session. Despite neutral readings on traditional lagging indicators (MACD and RSI), our proprietary model is detecting an imminent volatility expansion. The price action suggests a "coiled spring" consolidation phase, often a precursor to a sharp breakout.
Current sentiment is reacting to shifting risk parameters in the broader market, positioning BTC as a high-beta asset for the session.
🎯 The Trade Setup
We are looking for a continuation of the bullish structure, targeting liquidity above the recent consolidation range.
Direction: 🟢 BUY (Long)
Entry Price: $92,332.82
Take Profit: $94,553.09
Stop Loss: $90,852.64
Risk Analysis
Risk per Unit: ~$1,480.18
Reward per Unit: ~$2,220.27
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.5
Insight: For every $1.00 risked, the trade targets $1.50 in profit. This is a solid, probability-based setup suitable for intraday volatility.
📊 Technical Deep Dive
Why "Neutral" Indicators Matter Here
You might notice the standard indicators are flat:
RSI (14): 50.0 (Dead Neutral)
MACD: 0.0 (Flatline)
Analysis: In the Quantum Pulse strategy, a "flatline" on the MACD combined with an RSI of 50 is not a sign of inactivity—it is a sign of equilibrium. The market has priced in recent moves and is awaiting a catalyst. The "Pulse" algorithm detects that order flow is building up pressure at the pivot points (support/resistance), suggesting that the next move will likely be explosive rather than gradual.
Key Levels
Resistance: The target of $94,553 aligns closely with the recent weekly high structure. A break above here opens the door to $95k+.
Support: The stop loss at $90,852 is placed strategically below the daily pivot area to prevent a "whipsaw" stop-out.
🌍 Fundamental Context
The analysis flags "Heightened Volatility" driven by risk sentiment shifts.
As traditional markets (S&P 500, Nasdaq) open in New York, liquidity flows often spill over into crypto. The trade rationale anticipates that risk-on sentiment will favor Bitcoin as a hedge against currency debasement or simply as a momentum vehicle for the day.
🛡️ Trade Management Plan
Entry: Execute at market or limit at $92,332.
Mid-Trade Adjustment: If price reaches $93,500 (approx. 50% to target), consider moving Stop Loss to Breakeven ($92,332) to secure a "risk-free" trade.
Exit: Hard exit at $94,553. Do not hold through the session close if the target is not met, as swap fees and Asian session volatility may alter the landscape.
Disclaimer: This analysis relies on algorithmic projection and fallback strategies (Fibonacci Retracement). Cryptocurrency trading involves extreme volatility. Never trade with capital you cannot afford to lose.
TRADINGVIEW — NY SESSION UPDATELondon pushed the Dollar into 99.591, but DXY remains inside yesterday’s structure.
Compression unchanged.
Yields softer into NY — 10Y −1.11%, 2Y −1.27% — defensive tone with no directional commitment.
ES reclaimed the 6655.50 London low and trades back inside its range.
Gold steady above 4019.57.
Volatility stable.
NY opens into a tight Dollar and softer yields.
First expansion sets the tone.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
SYS Short Term Goals Still Apply🔵 SYSUSDT Long-Term Cycle Projection (Macro View)
1) Current Structure
SYS is sitting at the bottom of a multi-year descending channel.
Price is tapping long-term support while the RSI forms a clear bullish divergence
on the higher timeframes.
This is typically a bottoming pattern seen before new cycles begin.
2) Short term goals
Price range: 0.024–0.059
Market builds strength, volatility low, compression continues.
Reclaiming 0.059 = first bullish trigger.
Reclaiming 0.10 = confirmation of trend shift.
- Bullish divergence confirmed.
- Price at macro support.
- Accumulation phase likely ongoing.
- Break 0.10 to start the new cycle.
- Long-term structure supports strong upside potential across 2025–2027.
HBAR Price Tumbles 25% — Indecisive Traders Could Extend Drop
HBAR has fallen 25% over the last week and trades at $0.144, hovering near the $0.145 level. The steep decline has pushed the token into a vulnerable position where bearish sentiment continues to overshadow attempts at stabilization.
Based on current indicators, HBAR could slip below its $0.139 support level. A drop to $0.133 or even $0.120 is possible if selling accelerates and market conditions worsen. Such a move may trigger panic among investors and deepen the correction.
If HBAR manages to hold the $0.145 support and bounce, the price could attempt a recovery toward $0.154. A breakout above that level may open the path to $0.162 or even $0.175. This scenario would invalidate the bearish outlook and signal renewed buyer interest.
How Can XRP ETFs Prevent Price Crash To $2 This Month?XRP trades at $2.14 and currently rests on key support at the same level. The asset has been locked in a downtrend for nearly a month, struggling to break out despite periodic attempts. Without external catalysts, XRP risks drifting lower as bearish momentum persists.
However, XRP may avoid a deeper decline as the likelihood of ETF approval increases. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that the SEC released guidance allowing issuers to speed up filing effectiveness, likely to clear regulatory backlog. Bitwise’s XRP ETF is reportedly next in line, and any progress could improve market sentiment instantly.
If bullish momentum continues and ETF expectations strengthen, XRP could climb to $2.28 and then $2.36, breaking free from its downtrend. If momentum weakens or ETF decisions face delays, XRP may resume its slide and potentially drop 6.8% to reach $2.00. This would invalidating the bullish thesis.
AUDUSD — Bearish Liquidity Grab + HTF Trendline ReactionPrice swept buyside liquidity and tapped into HTF supply aligned with the descending trendline.
No bullish follow-through → absorption + rejection confirms weakness.
Bias remains bearish toward the next sell-side liquidity at the prior swing low.
Invalidation: Clean break above supply / trendline.
Report 18/11/25Summary
The next leg of the market narrative is being pulled in opposite directions by three forces: Tesla’s shareholder vote on an unprecedented, performance-contingent $1 trillion award that would cement Elon Musk’s control over a “physical-AI” strategy; a renewed wave of mega-cap AI capex that is visibly compressing margins at some tech leaders while strengthening others via cloud cash flows; and a fragile, tariff-truce détente between Washington and Beijing that eased tail risk but leaves core strategic frictions unresolved. Into this mix, risk appetite wobbled as a broad selloff swept across equities, crypto, and even gold late last week, while oil slumped and the dollar stayed firm against the yen, reminding investors that positioning and liquidity matter as much as fundamentals in the near term.
Tesla’s vote is the catalyst that concentrates these themes. The package would lift Musk’s stake to roughly 25% on stretching milestones, including audacious targets for market value and operational delivery tied to robotaxis and the Optimus humanoid platform. The governance optics are controversial, but the market read is binary: either lock in the “key-man” premium that underwrites Tesla’s robot ambitions, or risk a multiple that re-anchors on autos and energy storage if leadership or strategy fragment. Reporting indicates investors broadly expect passage, and U.S. press has framed the plan near-term as “likely to pass,” with big holders signaling support. The immediate vector for TSLA, then, is not demand for EVs in Q4, but whether investors are willing to keep discounting high-variance, long-dated FSD/robotaxi/robot cash flows on faith that Musk stays, and executes.
At the same time, Big Tech’s AI arms race is reshaping P&Ls and factor exposures. Meta has guided capex up again into a ~$64–72 billion band for 2025 (with spending heavily skewed to data-center equipment that depreciates over ~5½ years), and its Q3 results showed costs rising faster than revenue, souring sentiment as investors reassessed the “spend now, profits later” trajectory. Alphabet also lifted capex materially this year (to the ~$70–75 billion zone), but benefits from Cloud profitability and stronger free-cash-flow momentum, softening the blow relative to Meta. Microsoft continues to show Azure revenue growth around the 30–40% range with high-40s to low-40s operating margins in Intelligent Cloud, keeping the cash-engine humming even as depreciation ramps. The message for markets is straightforward: AI is no longer just an “NVIDIA trade”, it is a capital-intensive, margin-shifting infrastructure build-out that helps owners of rentable compute (clouds) and strains ad-only models that lack a cloud payback.
The macro backdrop isn’t standing still. A fragile U.S.–China trade calm followed leadership talks that paused some tariff escalations and delayed rare-earth restrictions for a year, lowering immediate supply-chain stress and trimming the “worst-case” path for the dollar and global growth volatility. But analysts caution that structural rivalry remains intact, and any reprieve could fade as technology controls and election-year politics re-assert themselves. The effect is “less bad, not solved,” which markets will treat as volatility-suppressing while it lasts.
Market reactions (now)
Into the weekend and Monday session, risk assets stumbled in concert. U.S. stocks slid, the Dow closed near 46,590, oil fell hard toward the high-$50s, and even havens wobbled as traders de-risked broadly; the euro hovered near $1.16 and USD/JPY around ¥155. A single-session snapshot never tells the whole story, but the breadth of the selloff, “ensnaring everything from gold to crypto to highflying tech”, speaks to tight positioning meeting a liquidity pocket, not a sudden change in the economic data.
Strategic forecasts
For the next 1–3 months, the path of least resistance is choppy but range-bound risk. If Tesla’s plan passes, the “physical-AI” optionality narrative can re-inflate specialty AI and autonomy beta even if near-term EV unit data stay soft; if it surprises by failing, expect an abrupt de-rating in “far-dated optionality” names and a quality/margin rotation back toward cash-rich cloud providers. Beneath the surface, AI-capex leakage into the real economy, power demand, land for data centers, transformers, grid upgrades, should keep non-tech cyclicals like utilities equipment, select industrials, and specialized REITs on a firmer trajectory, even as ad-driven platforms digest depressed operating leverage. On policy, the tariff truce keeps DXY capped versus Europe but supported against Asia until there is clarity on tech controls; any renewed chip-export tightening would be dollar-positive vs. CNY/JPY but equity-negative near term.
Fiscal and political implications
The AI build-out is becoming a fiscal and regulatory story. Power-grid bottlenecks will invite incentives, permitting reform, and local tax debates; capex-heavy tech will lobby for rapid interconnection timelines and favorable depreciation schedules to cushion income statements. Internationally, Washington’s need to coordinate with allies on “de-risking” versus China will continue to produce mini-deals that ease immediate trade noise without resolving the core strategic contest, keeping corporate planning in a “just-in-case” mode. Domestic labor and household stress remain in focus, shutdown aftershocks and partial SNAP payments demonstrate both the system’s resilience and its limits, with court-ordered funding workarounds creating administrative frictions that can dent near-term consumption at the margin.
Risks
Execution risk dominates. For Tesla, commercialization of FSD at meaningful attach rates and regulatory-permitted robotaxi operations is the hurdle, not demos; any high-profile setback in autonomy safety would sharply compress the “option value” embedded in TSLA. For Big Tech, the risk is a capex-driven margin air-pocket that collides with a softer ad tape or slower cloud bookings. Macro-politically, the U.S.–China respite could evaporate on chips, rare-earths, or maritime incidents; sanctions slippage via Russia-China energy trade complicates oil balances and could reignite volatility if enforcement tightens. Lastly, positioning risk is acute: with crowded exposures in AI beneficiaries and gold/crypto hedges, air pockets can produce “sell everything” days like we just saw.
Opportunities
Investors can lean into AI infrastructure second-derivatives, power, grid equipment, switchgear, long-lead transformers, specialized construction, and select data-center landlords, where backlog visibility is rising with less headline risk than ad-supported platforms. Within tech, prefer cloud vendors with improving unit economics over ad-only models until depreciation crests. In autos, position for dispersion: high-quality suppliers leveraged to driver-assist and power electronics should hold up better than commodity EV assemblers until pricing stabilizes. For macro hedges, maintain a barbelled approach, quality duration and cash-generative defensives on one side; selective commodity exposure (especially if China continues to build oil reserves) on the other, while avoiding crowded, high-beta hedges that can unwind violently.
Asset-by-asset take
XAUUSD (Gold): The latest de-risking wave hit gold alongside crypto, which is unusual but not unprecedented when funds raise cash. Structurally, gold is still supported by negative real-rate impulses if the Fed leans easier into 2026 and by central-bank buying. Tactically, expect choppy consolidation after a parabolic year; add on dips that coincide with DXY spikes rather than chase strength.
S&P 500 / Dow Jones: Mega-cap tech’s capex shock and margin questions argue for a narrower leadership with rolling corrections beneath the index. The Dow’s latest pullback to ~46,6k reflects de-risking, not a growth scare; breadth and earnings revisions, particularly in cloud, utilities-adjacent industrials, and healthcare, will dictate whether dips are bought. Near-term, a 3–5% volatility band is base case.
DXY: The tariff truce and softer oil tone limit upside versus EUR, but DXY stays supported by U.S. growth differentials and higher carry versus JPY and some EM. Range 102–106 feels appropriate unless a new policy shock re-prices the Fed path or a sharper European slowdown materializes.
USDJPY: With yen near ~¥155 and the BoJ’s normalization still glacial, USDJPY remains a funding-beta barometer. Episodes of global de-risking can pull it lower, but the structural trade favors rallies unless Tokyo accelerates policy shifts or U.S. yields break lower decisively.
Crude Oil: Prices slipped toward the high-$50s despite geopolitics, aided by ample supply and China’s stockpiling strategy smoothing demand. Sanctions friction around Russian flows is real but porous; watch for enforcement surprises as the main upside risk. Base case: $58–70 WTI unless inventories tighten.
TSLA (as a proxy for “physical-AI” beta): Passage of the plan likely sustains the optionality premium; failure compresses the multiple quickly toward autos/energy storage comps. Either way, volatility is elevated into and right after the vote; risk-manage with staged sizing and options overlays if expressing a view.
11/18/25 - $four - Probably my #2 fintech11/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:FOUR
Probably my #2 fintech
- i don't love the niche in this consumer environment
- but this founder-led business is a winner (i like mgmt)
- mkt doesn't seem to want to believe in the FCF story
- tide out on payments, to be sure
- many of them look like M&A frankensteins but four has done a nice job
- stock objectively a buy here, but the net debt (a factor the mkt is not loving at the moment until we see some direction in rates - and usually that's catalyzed by unemployment spiking... and that's consumer -ve which again... see pt 1 above...)
- so i'd not be surprised if the stock has already found a floor
- i think the solution they've built will be augmented not disrupted by ai-related developments and tooling and the mkt has this wrong (it's not easy to replicate what's been done here... look at the margins, they spend a fair amt)
- but remember, the terminal values of stocks really matters in this ai-who-knows-what-happens-and-if-someone-knows-they-dont... which is why you see stonks like cost and wmt trade at PEs of ... well also silly... but it's bc the market *thinks* these brands are performing well and have good visibility to the next 10+ years of profitability.
- so in a tax loss selling dump all things and jump ship sort of year-end emotion-fest, this would be on my short list (behind adding more dlo), perhaps i'd take dlo to 3.5% (from 2.5%) and i'd take four to 1.5% so 5% for "fintech" exposure let's call it.
- tbd.
- lmk if u have a more discerning view :)
- have a good day my friends
V
Bitcoin: Short-Term Bullish Recovery on the TableBitcoin: Short-Term Bullish Recovery on the Table
Bitcoin is showing early signs of a potential short-term bullish reversal as price continues to respect the descending channel. The latest bounce from the channel’s lower boundary suggests growing buyer interest, and a breakout above the upper trendline could trigger a stronger recovery.
If BTC manages to break and retest the channel resistance, the next targets sit at:
Key Bullish Targets
$99,600
$103,800
As long as the price holds above the channel, the short-term bullish scenario remains valid. A clean breakout would confirm upside continuation.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
How to properly seize gold trading opportunities?Gold Technical Analysis: Reviewing yesterday's gold price performance, it showed a clear downward trend overall. Specifically, the gold price moved downwards along the five-day moving average. This trend often suggests a short-term weak market from a technical analysis perspective. During the US session, the gold price experienced a significant decline, which undoubtedly exacerbated the tense atmosphere in the market.
From the daily chart analysis, gold closed yesterday with a medium-sized bearish candlestick with upper and lower shadows. This candlestick pattern contains a wealth of market information. The presence of the upper and lower shadows indicates that both the bulls and bears exerted their strength briefly during the struggle, but ultimately the bears prevailed, pushing the price lower and closing with a bearish candlestick. This forms a "three-day losing streak" pattern on the daily chart, indicating a short-term weak trend. From a trend perspective, the bearish pattern in the gold market remains unchanged.
Based on the above technical analysis and market trends, we can make a reasonable prediction for the future price movement of gold. We expect the price to further test the support level of the daily chart's lower trendline. Therefore, our trading strategy for today remains unchanged: shorting on rallies. Specifically, we will focus on the 10-day moving average as our entry point for shorting. On the downside, we will first look at yesterday's low. If the price breaks below yesterday's low, we can expect it to fall further. Taking into account various factors, we have identified the following specific resistance and support levels. The resistance levels are 4050-4070 and 4100, respectively. These levels have historically exerted downward pressure on prices and are key resistance areas that we need to pay close attention to during trading. The support levels are 4005-3980 and 3930, respectively. These levels are crucial points where prices may find support and rebound. Regarding trading recommendations, we suggest entering short positions in the 4050-4070 range. It is important to note that the market is fraught with uncertainty and risk, and the above trading strategy is for reference only. When making investment decisions, investors should fully consider their own risk tolerance and investment goals, and make decisions prudently. We hope every investor can have good luck in the market and achieve their investment goals. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is to primarily sell on rallies and secondarily buy on dips. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is 4050-4070, and the key support level is 4005-3980. Please keep up with the pace.
11/18/25 - $payc - Consolidating into others11/18/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:PAYC
Consolidating into others
- We're in the season where the big $ is made. 2H of 4Q and 1H of 1Q. Weird stuff always seems to happen "now", if you've not already noticed.
- I still like NYSE:PAYC so i'll leave it as a "buy" and do think it works in time
- But realistically I'm looking to own the "best" of a particular sector and perhaps if I can't decide (as was the case w/ NVDA and TSM coming into the year), i'll own both
- I think the recent NASDAQ:DLO results highlighted that this will be my "payments" or payment-adjacent+ (as is the case w/ PAYC) exposure name of most interest
- It grows at 2.5x PAYC
- PE is 15x 2025 (vs. 16x for PAYC) and what i'd consider (in the case of DLO) best in class mgmt (btw i think payc mgmt is actually A-tier too)
- Then you add in DLO's one-of-one emerging market status and that 6 of the 7 mag7s work with them and they're growing w/ each account. ppl this past q "didn't like the take rate" - but honestly... it's going lower... get used to it... and the top line will continue to compound >20% and they'll throw off a ton of cash
- v hard to replicate what DLO has built, for now
- so while ultimately payments, software etc. is a v difficult thing to own and I think ETH "eats" it all, i don't think the mkt sees any of this rn and i think the setup for DLO to outperform into 2026 given it's $3bn mcap is great.
- gl to the payc holders, take a look at DLO and lmk
V
XAUUSD: Short if resistance at 4050 is not broken.Gold prices plunged by approximately $100 yesterday, from a high of around 4110 to around 4010.
Looking at the current 1-hour chart:
It's clear that the 4010-4000 area represents a support level from the previous rapid rise.
If the price fails to break below 4000, a bottoming-out rebound is possible.
The current resistance level is around 4050.
After breaking below 4050 last night, 4050 has become resistance.
Gold is currently likely to consolidate within the 4000-4050 range.
Which way will the breakout occur next?
If gold prices return above 4050, the trading range will revert to 4050-4100.
Conversely, if it breaks below 4000, the subsequent range will become 4000-3950.
Therefore, as long as the 4000-4050 range remains unbroken, I recommend maintaining a range-bound trading strategy, buying low and selling high, and avoiding chasing highs and lows.
Gold is currently at 4050, a short position can be initiated.
I'm Bearish on the Aussie DollarCHOCH + BOS + Liq (IND) + H1 OB
Unfortunately, yesterday's sweet zone @0.6160 didn't hold
New signal Alert 🚨
AUDUSD
Pair: AUD/USD (Aussie Dollar)
Side: Sell (Sell Limit)
Entry: 0.6508
QP/STP: 0.6483 (25 pips)
TP 1: 0.6453 (50 pips)
TP 2: Open
Stop Loss: 0.6518 (10 pips - enough space for price to breathe)
Do not over-leverage your account, use proper risk and money management.
I8.11.25
Ask me any question !!!
Swinging USDCAD from a discounted levelHello everyone... I'm back !!!
CHOCH + BOS + Liq (IND) + H1 OB
New signal Alert 🚨
USDCAD
Pair: USD/CAD (United States/Canadian Dollar)
Side: BUY (Buy Limit)
Entry: 1.4028
QP/STP: 1.4043 (15 pips)
TP 1: 1.4058 (30 pips)
TP 2: Open
Stop Loss: 1.40220 (6 pips - enough space for price to breathe)
Do not over-leverage your account, use proper risk and money management.
I8.11.25
Matthew 6:33
Ask me anything !!!
Trading Hours Showdown: Stocks, FX, Crypto and When to SleepSome markets close, some don’t, and some don’t care that you need rest.
If financial markets were people, they’d each have wildly different sleeping habits. Stocks tuck themselves in usually at 4 p.m. (that is, where they originate from), FX stays up all night but insists it’s “fine,” and crypto is that friend who messages you at 3 a.m. with a life-changing idea (and a 12% move for fun).
Understanding when each market is awake, liquid, and volatile is one of the most underrated skills a trader can have. It’s not just about timing entries; it’s about managing risk while you’re away from your devices.
Let’s break down the global sleep schedule and why your portfolio should care.
🌅 Stocks: The 9-to-5ers of the Financial World
US stocks like routine. They open at 9:30 a.m. ET, close at 4 p.m., and observe weekends and holidays like well-behaved citizens.
There’s also pre-market and after-hours trading, but liquidity dries up real fast and moves tend to be exaggerated.
Why it matters:
Limited hours = overnight gap risk
Most volume typically happens in the first and last 30 minutes
Big news after hours can cause violent opens the next day
Stops can’t protect you when price jumps over your level
Every trader eventually experiences the heartbreak of a perfect setup ruined by an overnight earnings surprise. Consider it a rite of passage.
🌍 Forex: The Market with No Bedtime
FX ( forex or foreign exchange) trades 24 hours a day, five days a week, rotating through global sessions:
Asia (Tokyo)
Europe (London)
US (New York)
That’s a 120-hour work week with no break. Think of it like a global relay race where someone is always awake and analyzing inflation differentials.
Why traders love it:
Continuous liquidity = fewer gaps
Beautiful macro-driven trends
Volatility waves follow session overlaps (London–NY especially)
But…
FX weekends could be silent killers. You’re unprotected from Friday close to Sunday open. That’s plenty of time for geopolitical headlines, surprise events, central bank drama, or a country deciding to unpeg its currency.
🔥 Crypto: The Market That Never Sleeps or Blinks
The cryptocurrency market trades 24/7/365. No days off, no weekends, no holidays, no rest. Just pure, unfiltered price action around the clock.
This sounds great until you realize you can never fully unplug. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD does not respect your circadian rhythm.
Why it’s unique:
No “overnight gaps” because it never closes
But liquidity gaps may appear during low-volume hours
Late-night moves can be extreme due to thin order books
Leverage unwinds can trigger liquidation cascades at 3 a.m.
Global retail participation exaggerates emotional spikes
Crypto doesn’t gap like stocks, but it drifts, snaps, and rips through levels and can make your stomach churn.
🧭 Liquidity: The Real Story Behind the Sleep Schedule
Across markets, the one concept that ties them all together is liquidity. That is, how deep the order book is and how efficiently your trades can execute.
Stocks
Thick liquidity during US hours
Thin, jumpy after-hours
Prone to large news-driven gaps
Forex
Deep liquidity almost 24 hours a day
Most volume during London–NY overlap
Macro news instantly reflected in price
Crypto
Liquidity pockets vary wildly
Exchanges differ in depth
Weekends and Asia-over-US crossovers can trigger whipsaws
😴 The Question of Sleep (And How Traders Manage It)
Traders eventually learn a few things about trading various asset classes.
If you:
Hate surprises → Avoid overnight stock positions
Love macro trends → FX is your playground
Enjoy volatility → Crypto keeps things interesting
Value sleep → Choose an asset class that aligns with your time zone and day trade it
Choosing a market to trade isn’t just about your strategy, but also about your lifestyle.
Volatility doesn’t just depend on the asset. It depends on when you’re watching.
Off to you : How do you deal with trading different assets in different time zones? Are you a niche player or a broader market maven? Share your comments below!
My bearish thoughts for EURUSDOn daily TF market structure showing bearish market.
Price is on a major level,
The INDICATION have been given by the new HL created.
We have to wait for the CORRECTION to end for more confluences.
On 4H TF,the market structure is showing us a bullish structure, it's not align with our initiale daily idea.
At the same time, price is out of the bullish channel, this give us some sign of bearish market.
We have to be patient and wait a clear evidence of bearish market structure.
On 1H TF, we can clearly see a bearish market structure. It's clearly align with our daily idea. Price need to break the previous INDICATION origin at 1.15800 level which will be our entry point.
Based on this analyse, I am 80% Bearish and 20% Bullish.
Entry : 1.15800
SL : 1.16200
TP : 1.14700
NB : This is not an investment advice. I'm just sharing my thoughts on EURUSD. Thank you
NBIS US🌎Nebius (NBIS) — Strong Growth on the AI Wave
In Q3, revenue from the core data center business reached $146.1 million, a staggering 355% year-over-year growth.
The partnership with Microsoft is fundamentally changing the scale of Nebius's business. Annual recurring revenue (ARR), the company's key metric, is projected to be $7-9 billion next year, up from $0.9-1.1 billion this year. This implies sevenfold growth and is a conservative valuation, given the potential for new deals.
Nebius is a select NVIDIA partner, providing it with priority access to the most advanced GPUs (AI chips).
The launch of its own inference platform (deployment of AI models) enhances Nebius's overall value proposition, enabling customers to implement their AI-based solutions faster and more efficiently.
Although the company is still unprofitable overall, gross profit is growing at a faster pace (+365% year-on-year), and margins have increased by 2 percentage points. This is a key indicator of future profitability.
Adjusted EBITDA losses narrowed by 89% year-on-year to $5.2 million, and the core AI infrastructure division is already profitable on this metric with a 19% margin.
Compared to some competitors (such as CoreWeave), Nebius uses a less aggressive debt strategy, mitigating the risk of a slowdown in AI investments.
The company is expected to achieve operating profitability by fiscal 2027-2028, with the potential to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA as early as next year.
Following the earnings report, shares fell 40% from their peaks, bringing an attractive entry point closer. The market overreacted despite outstanding fundamental results.
Nasdaq 100 Under PressureNasdaq 100 Under Pressure
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index fell today (point 3) to its lowest level in a month, making it the weakest performer among the major US indices. The sell-off in the technology sector has been driven by a double blow:
→ A reassessment of expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next rate move. According to market observers, the probability of a Fed rate cut on 10 December continues to decline and now stands at 43%, compared with 62% a week earlier.
→ Growing scepticism about the valuations of companies linked to artificial intelligence. A Bank of America fund managers’ survey revealed heavy overcrowding in tech: 54% cited “long Magnificent 7” as the most crowded trade, while 45% viewed an AI bubble as the biggest tail risk.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
When analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 on 10 November, we identified an ascending channel. However, mounting selling pressure has resulted in:
→ the channel being extended downwards;
→ its former lower boundary (which acted as support) now acting as the median line and serving as resistance.
From the demand perspective:
→ The lower boundary of the expanded channel may prevent a deeper bearish move.
→ The chart shows a sequence of false bearish breakouts (1–2–3), where the price dips slightly below the previous low only to reverse sharply upward — signs of a Liquidity Grab pattern that may indicate buyer aggression.
From the supply perspective:
→ The 25220–25415 zone appears to be a confirmed FVG area, where a clear market imbalance emerged and sellers strongly dominated.
Bulls may attempt to push the Nasdaq 100 back into the ascending channel, but whether this scenario plays out will largely depend on Nvidia’s quarterly earnings report — a key event for the technology sector, scheduled for release tomorrow.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USD/JPY – Price Holds Key Support as Bullish Reversal Setup FormUSD/JPY on the H1 timeframe is showing early signs of a potential bullish rebound as price stabilizes above a major support zone. After a period of steady decline, sellers appear to be losing momentum, creating conditions for a corrective move to the upside.
Technical Outlook
Support Zone: Price is currently holding above the 0.006435 – 0.006445 support level, a zone previously defended multiple times.
Resistance Area: The nearest significant resistance sits at 0.006505 – 0.006525, also the area where price previously rejected sharply.
Market Structure: A clear sweep of support was followed by consolidation, suggesting accumulation and potential bullish interest.
RSI & Momentum: Momentum indicators show oversold conditions beginning to ease, supporting a possible corrective push upward.
Price Action: Series of small-bodied candles and slowing bearish volume indicate exhaustion from sellers.
Trading Strategy
Scenario 1 – Bullish Rebound from Support
Wait for a clean bullish candle close above the support line.
Entry: 0.006450 – 0.006460
Target 1: 0.006480
Target 2: 0.006500 – 0.006520
Stop-loss: Below 0.006430
Scenario 2 – Continuation Only If Support Breaks
If price closes decisively below 0.006430
Entry: 0.006425
Target: 0.006400
Stop-loss: Above 0.006455
Market Notes
Although the market is still in a short-term bearish trend, the current support is a key decision zone. A structured rebound remains highly possible if buyers step in with stronger volume.
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BTCUSD : Robbery and what nowNow we all know what a 'robbery' looks like. Millions of players with leverage 20x, 50x, or even 100x got liquidated. This is anticipated.
Suddenly, the euphoria is gone. Panic now.
Price also fulfills its 4-year cycle. This is also anticipated.
Now we see the SMALL FISHES got wiped out by none other than the BIG Institutions Players aka Market Maker (MM) - now we know even in btc, there is MM. So be very careful.
See the 'blue' 'trendline' above? This is important. Price is now sitting on it, deciding what to do.
If the price goes below the blue 'trendline', it means the MM is going after the BIG FISHES as well, like SAYLOR himself. And it can go down deep.
If you want to play this game, use your own money. No leverage. Go for the long game. In another 4 years, we can expect to see another ATH.
The way the MM reacts gives a HIGH probability that btc is the asset to hold. I would be accumulating.
I am in favor of BUYING the DIP.
Good luck.






















