XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTIONS ...💛 XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTIONS AT THE TRENDLINE 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold is currently waiting at the H4 trendline, indicating the market lacks the volume to decide the next direction.
Although the price is adjusting after the drop from the 4,400 USD region, the larger trend is still supported by strong buying flows from central banks.
💹 Market Context
According to Goldman Sachs, the current decline is only temporary, as the demand for gold as a safe haven asset continues to rise:
U.S. bond yields are decreasing
USD is weakening
The U.S. economy is under pressure from unemployment and inflation
In September alone, central banks purchased 64 tons of gold, and forecasts suggest that November may continue the strong accumulation trend.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 If Gold breaks below the trendline → the market will trigger strong selling pressure, pulling back to the 395x region, where there is low liquidity and significant support.
📈 Conversely, if the price holds the trendline and volume pushes up, a short-term upward structure will form.
📌 The 4068 level is a key point — if the price retests this area and falls back, Buy is only activated when it returns to 4034.
🎯 Reference Trading Scenarios
🔻 SELL – When breaking the trendline (priority if volume is strong)
Sell 4036–4038 │ SL: 4044
TP: 4010 → 3995 → 3970 → 3945
🔹 BUY – Strong support 395x
Buy 3952–3954 │ SL: 3957
TP: 3975 → 3995 → 4030
🔸 BUY to maintain trend (if price rebounds at 4068)
Buy at 4034 after confirmation signal
⚠️ Important Note
Volume is low, the market can easily sweep stops, so enter trades with small volume.
The larger trend is still supported by central bank flows, but in the short term, Gold can fluctuate strongly around the trendline.
Prioritize trading based on price reactions at key areas rather than predicting the direction in advance.
🌷Gold is in a sensitive phase at the H4 trendline 💛
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Fundamental Analysis
Gold - Still looking for sells trades.
- No Major economic events except for US Factory orders. Prev was -1.3% and forecast is + 1.4% - Hoping data to be better as it would further fuel our sell side bias.
- Also, a few Fed speakers (Barr & Barkin) - need to keep an eye out for in the news room.
- Gold Currently in secondary phase of MS so it can be slow and steady and more ranging - therefor can expect deeper pullbacks for sells.
GBPJPY sells ideaGBPJPY:🇬🇧🇯🇵
- With the UK and Japan, both economies are currently weak, and they’re almost competing to see who’s worse off. That’s why GJ isn’t giving us clean, one-sided volatility for our sell setups.
- The UK is stuck in a dilemma: unemployment is rising and inflation is still elevated. The BOE’s main tool—rate cuts—would help employment and GDP, but it would also risk pushing inflation back up, which they do not want losing control again.
- Japan is also dealing with inflation above target, combined with low wage growth. That means lowering rates isn’t ideal for them either. Instead of cutting, they’re using other measures like stimulus packages to support the economy without worsening inflation.
- GJ can expect Deeper pullbacks and retests of HTF supply zone at 205.200 before considering sells.
- I personally wont be taking the sell off 205.200 if price does reach there. Instead I will wait for confirmed bearish MS to develop before looking at optimal sells trades. I don’t need to call the top, I just need to get a small piece of the move.
Fundamentals in Play:💡
- BOE rate cut bets - higher chance of Dec rate cut, voting odds increased.
- Weaker UK unemployment & GDP data last week further fuels the need for BOE rate cut.
- Japan stimulus checks - Total amount increased even more, this would lead to JPY weakness.
Japan weak GDP data - decreases chances of any rate hikes by BOJ.
Sterling Strengthens: Price Action Confirms Buyer ControlPrice has been trending downward, respecting a clean descending trendline across multiple sessions. However, the market has now tapped into a key support zone, where buyers previously showed strong interest.
Key Observations
🔹 Support Zone Rejection
Price reacted sharply from the marked support area (orange zone), suggesting fresh demand entering the market.
🔹 Trendline Break + CHoCH
The latest bullish impulse breaks above the descending trendline and prints a CHoCH, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish structure.
🔹 Tokyo Session Breakout
During Tokyo, price consolidated before breaking upward with strong momentum—indicating liquidity sweep followed by bullish intent.
🔹 Weak High as Target
The next logical liquidity target is the Weak High, where buy-side liquidity sits. This aligns with your marked target zone.
Bullish Outlook
Price is expected to retrace slightly toward the breakout area (blue circle), then continue higher toward 1.31900, the key target zone.
As long as structure holds above support and the bullish CHoCH remains intact, the short-term bias favors continued upside.
EURUSD - Support Hold & Break of Structure – Long Setup ActivePrice has been moving in a downward trend with a clean descending trendline respected across multiple sessions (Tokyo → London). However, the market has now reached a major support zone, where buyers previously stepped in aggressively.
Key Technical Highlights
🔹 Support Zone (Demand Area):
Price reacted strongly from the marked support region, signaling fresh buy orders entering the market.
🔹 Trendline Break:
The latest bullish impulse has broken the descending trendline, indicating a potential shift in short-term structure.
🔹 CHoCH + BOS Signals:
A clear CHoCH followed by bullish BOS confirms that buyers are gaining control after the prolonged downtrend.
🔹 Session Context (Tokyo):
During Tokyo, price created a consolidation range before breaking out impulsively—often a sign of liquidity being taken before a directional move.
Entry Zone
Price is expected to continue
Discount price level within the swing
Support continuation area
Bullish Target
The bullish target is positioned near 1.16300, where major liquidity and imbalance reside.
XAUUSD | Trendline Squeeze at Support – Big Move LoadingPrice continues to trade within a descending structure, respecting a clear trendline acting as dynamic resistance. Each retest of the trendline has produced lower highs, confirming bearish order flow.
Key Observations
🔹 Support Zone (Demand Area):
Price is currently resting inside a strong support zone highlighted in red. This zone has previously generated bullish reactions, but recent candles show weakening demand.
🔹 Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple BOS levels confirm bearish momentum, suggesting sellers are still in control.
🔹 Weak Low Formation:
The recent low is labeled as weak, indicating it may be targeted for liquidity before a potential reversal.
🔹 Tokyo Session Range:
Price consolidated during Tokyo, forming a small distribution inside the trendline.
Possible Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price rejects the support zone strongly and breaks above the descending trendline, we could see a bullish retracement toward the Strong High, targeting the upper yellow target zone (≈ 4080–4100).
📉 Bearish Scenario
If support fails and price breaks below the weak low, expect continuation downward into the lower target zone (≈ 3940) where liquidity sits.
Bias
Short-term bearish as long as price remains under the trendline.
Potential bullish reversal only if structure shifts (ChoCH/BOS to the upside).
EUR/USD - Ascending Triangle (17.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview TICKMILL:EURUSD
EUR/USD has formed an ascending triangle, but instead of breaking upward, price failed at the horizontal resistance and slipped below the rising trendline — signaling potential bearish reversal. The pair is rejecting the 1.1650–1.1660 supply zone, and downside momentum is building as fundamentals shift in favor of USD strength.
📊 Trading Plan🔻 Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias)
Look for trendline retest rejection for confirmation
Expect continuation to the downside toward key support zones
🎯 Targets:
1st Support: 1.1581
2nd Support: 1.1561
🔰 Resistance Zone: 1.1650 – 1.1660
⚡ Fundamental Updates (Today – 17 Nov 2025)
1️⃣ Fed officials remain cautious about easing policy due to persistent inflation risks.
• This reduces the chances of a near-term rate cut → USD strengthens.
2️⃣ U.S. government bond yields rise as investors move into safer assets during stock market weakness.
• Higher yields = stronger USD → bearish pressure on EUR/USD.
These fundamentals align with the technical breakdown, supporting further downside.
#EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #AscendingTriangle #BearishSetup #USD #EUR #FundamentalAnalysis #ForexSignals #TradingView #KABHI_TA_TRADING #ChartsDontLieTradersDontQuit #FXMarket #TrendlineBreak #SupplyZone
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice.All content is for educational purposes only. Always confirm signals and apply strict risk management before entering trades.
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BTC Weekly View !BTC / USD
Bitcoin (BTC) followed my previous analysis on October 30th, dropping from $110,000 to its current price of $96,000. check here
What's Next?
Take a Look at the weekly chart:
Bitcoin is currently at a "do or die" support level (trend line + 50-week moving average).
This moving average has been a turning point in previous cycles.
If the price breaks below this level, it will confirm a mid-term bear trend with minimal target around 74k so keep an eye on this chart.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 17 - Nov 21]Last week, OANDA:XAUUSD prices rose from $3,999/oz to $4,245/oz, but then fell sharply to $4,032/oz and closed the week at $4,084/oz.
The reason gold prices rose sharply last week after news of the US government reopening was because White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) may never release October employment and inflation data because the federal government was shut down during this period, not doing statistical work. These comments put the USD under selling pressure, pushing gold prices above $4,200/oz.
However, hawkish comments from Fed officials later pushed gold prices down sharply to $4,032/oz. Specifically, St. Louis Fed Governor Alberto Musalem said that the labor market is expected to remain at near full employment and the Fed needs to be cautious in operating monetary policy at this time. Meanwhile, Minneapolis Fed Governor Neel Kashkari emphasized that inflation is still too high, meaning the Fed should pause interest rate cuts.
The sharp decline in market expectations of a Fed rate cut in December may continue to have a negative impact on gold prices in the short term. However, gold prices will hardly fall sharply as macro risks and geopolitical conflicts persist and central banks’ demand for gold continues to increase.
📌According to technical analysis, the support level for gold prices next week is at 3,930 USD/oz. If it holds above this level, gold prices will continue to hover around 4,000 USD/oz in the short term. However, if gold prices fall below this level next week, they may fall to the 3,800 USD/oz area.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4176 - 4174⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4180
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3949 - 3951⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3945
Warning: AUD/USD Sinking – Any Reversal Ahead?Hello everyone, today we’ll analyze the AUD/USD pair in the context of its clear downtrend.
In terms of news, the USD is strengthening due to expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates high, putting pressure on the AUD. Additionally, the lack of supportive data from Australia recently has made investors concerned about the economic outlook of the country.
From a technical perspective, the chart shows that AUD/USD is in a downtrend as the price breaks through a descending triangle pattern . The resistance at 0.65200 has been rejected several times, and the buying pressure is weakening. This indicates that the downtrend could continue, especially as the price has tested and failed to break through this resistance level.
The next key support levels are 0.64700 and 0.64200. If the price breaks these support levels, the downtrend will likely accelerate. Given the current context, AUD/USD may continue to fall in the short term, unless there’s an unexpected shift in policy from the Fed or Australia .
In conclusion, the downtrend of AUD/USD is clear and significant . The support levels at 0.64700 and 0.64200 are important levels to watch for trading.
WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO DROP?1. Market Context Yesterday, gold was almost in accumulation throughout the Asian–European session and only broke out strongly in the latter half of the US session.
After breaking out of the accumulation zone, the price dropped sharply to around 4006 – a key level – and rebounded strongly from there.
However, statements from FED members remain hawkish, affirming the stance of keeping interest rates high for longer and not considering rate cuts.
This creates
- Downward pressure on gold
- Capital flow leaning towards USD
------>>Market sentiment favors SELL on price recovery
➡️ Conclusion: Today, the main scenario remains SELL in line with the trend, BUY is only a secondary strategy & short scalp when reaching strong support.
🎯2. Today's Trading Scenario
(SL: 10 points TP 10 points. RR ratio:1-2/1:3/1:5)
🔻 Main SELL (priority)
SELL Zone:
4050 – 4055
4075 – 4080
4105 – 4110
🟦 Secondary BUY
BUY Zone:
3996 – 3994
3965 – 3960
3935 – 3930
3895 – 3890
XAU/USD – Price Breaks Consolidation and Retests Downtrend LineXAU/USD – Price Breaks Consolidation and Retests Downtrend Line, Bearish Momentum Strengthens
Gold continues to show a clear bearish structure on the H1 timeframe. After many hours moving sideways inside a tight consolidation box, price has broken below the lower boundary and is now retesting the descending trendline from above. This confirms that sellers are still dominating the short-term market structure.
The breakout occurs in alignment with the broader downtrend, supported by declining highs and consistent rejections at the trendline. Volume increases during the breakdown suggest real selling pressure rather than a false move.
Technical Structure Overview
Trendline: Price retests the descending trendline and reacts immediately, showing strong selling interest.
Consolidation Box: Previous range acted as temporary support but has now turned into resistance.
EMA Behavior: Price continues trading below short-term EMAs, reinforcing bearish bias.
RSI Signal: RSI remains below the midpoint, showing no signs of bullish divergence.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zones
4023 – 4025: Retest zone at the broken consolidation range.
4040 – 4044: Higher resistance aligned with EMA clusters.
4050 – 4054: Major H1 resistance and previous supply zone.
Support Zones
4011 – 4008: First short-term support area.
3999 – 3988: Stronger support with historical buying pressure.
3975 – 3967: Deeper support zone and Fibonacci confluence area.
Trading Strategy for Today
1. Bearish Continuation Setup (Primary Plan)
Entry Zone: 4019 – 4023 (retest of the broken range and trendline)
Stop-Loss: Above 4028 – 4032
Target 1: 4008
Target 2: 3995
Target 3: 3978
This setup aligns with the dominant downtrend and offers a favorable risk-reward profile.
2. Alternative Bullish Scenario (Only if conditions change)
A bullish recovery only becomes valid if:
Price reclaims 4040 on H1
Candle closes firmly above the trendline and EMAs
If this happens, price may attempt a move toward 4054 and 4065.
Price Outlook
As long as gold remains below the descending trendline, the path of least resistance continues to be down. Bears are in control, and any pullback toward resistance should be viewed as an opportunity to follow the trend.
Remember to follow your plan and adjust position size carefully. If you find this analysis helpful, save it for later review or follow for more daily trade strategies.
Gold prices may continue to decline; short positions are valid!The gold market opened relatively calmly this week, with prices encountering resistance at 4109 and trending downwards, remaining weak and oscillating below 4100. Rebounds were clearly weak, and the bears are currently in control.
Regarding trading, the strategy of shorting gold near 4090 has yielded significant profits, providing multiple entry opportunities. This trade was very successful. I currently hold a short position at $4099, which I plan to continue holding, with a target price lower.
From the current market perspective, the daily chart shows a wide range of fluctuations, and it is currently in the process of adjustment. There are no signs of a bottom in the short term yet. Short selling strategies are still applicable. You can continue to consider shorting gold in the 4080-4105 range. I will notify you again if the market changes!
The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or your ideas align with mine, please like and follow to show your support! All strategies have a limited lifespan. While referring to them, it's also important to closely monitor market changes. I will respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will provide specific updates in the channel!
Full Reset before Full SendWhy March 2025 Could See New Highs
What's Happening Right Now?
Everyone is freaking out right now, but this is actually creating one of the best buying opportunities we've seen. Bitcoin is trading around $95,600 after dropping about 24% from its peak of $126,000 in October.
The Fear & Greed Index is at 10 (Extreme Fear) – and you know what they say? Be greedy when others are fearful. But, also, be patient and set limits.
The thing is, most people don't understand the economics behind Bitcoin or how liquidity actually works in crypto markets. We're playing a completely different game than stocks here.
The Real Cost to Mine Bitcoin (And Why It Matters)
Here's where it gets interesting. The big mining operations are producing Bitcoin for around $26,000-$28,000 per coin, while less efficient miners saw costs spike to $114,842 in October 2025... That's a massive range, and it tells you everything about where the floor is.
After the April 2024 halving, it now takes 854,400 kilowatt-hours to mine just one Bitcoin – that's about 81 years of electricity for an average home, just for one coin. That's a fun fact.
No smart miner is going to sell at a loss when they're paying that much for electricity and equipment (GPUs, etc). They'll just hold and wait. This creates natural supply constraints.
The Liquidity Trap
Right now, the market is in what I call a liquidity trap. As Bitcoin crashed from $126K down to where we are now, all the leveraged traders got wiped out. We saw $870 million in Bitcoin ETF outflows in a single day – that's both panic selling and intelligent, planned shorting, not fundamental weakness.
Here's what most people are missing: if Bitcoin drops to around $75K, it's going to unlock massive amounts of liquidity – I'm talking hundreds of millions, possibly billions of dollars that's currently locked up in long positions (Futures).
When those long get liquidated, the shorts will likely reverse their positions, that money floods back into the market and creates a supply shock. Basic economics: limited supply + sudden demand increase = price explosion.
Price Targets & When to Buy
I think we'll see $89K very soon – possibly this week between Monday and Wednesday (November 17-19, 2025). But here's my recommended strategy instead of trying to catch the exact bottom:
First Buy: $89K
Put in about 30% of what you're planning to invest. This is still a good entry even though it's not the absolute bottom.
Second Buy: $80K
Another 35% here. This is where things get really interesting from a risk/reward perspective.
Third Buy: $75K
The final 35%. This is the sweet spot where all that trapped liquidity gets released. Remember, demand increases as the price drops, and miners won't sell below cost. That's your supply shock waiting to happen.
What About MicroStrategy?
MSTR has crashed about 40% and is now trading at only 1.06 times its Bitcoin holdings, down from 2.7 times. The stock is around $200-$237 now, way down from its November 2024 high of $543.
My prediction: MSTR will probably hit the $140-$150 range, maybe even drop to $100-$120 (which is where it found strong support from March to September 2024). If we do see those lower prices, I'm going all-in on
MSTX
shares, not
MSTR
– the 2x leverage structure is better.
The Macro Picture
Fed rate cut expectations dropped from 90% to about 40%, which is why everything's selling off. But this is temporary sentiment, not permanent damage. The infrastructure is still being built, institutions are still coming in, and the fundamentals haven't changed.
Bottom Line
Be patient. Wait for the dips. Bitcoin will likely hit $89K this week, and from there we could see further drops to $80K and $75K. Each level is a buying opportunity. By March 2025, I expect we'll be making new all-time highs.
The key is understanding that crypto operates on different rules than stocks. Liquidity and supply dynamics matter more than anything else right now.
Good luck,
Terrapins
EUR/USD 1.1584 | Fibo Confluence Setup in Line with the UptrendAnalysis – EUR/USD 1.1584 | Fibo Confluence Setup in Line with the Uptrend
Context:
The market is maintaining its primary uptrend, and the current price structure still has room to continue higher.
Technical Analysis:
1️⃣ The overall trend remains steadily bullish, with no clear signs of reversal.
2️⃣ When drawing the Fibonacci retracement in the direction of the trend, the 0.5–0.618 zone overlaps with the key level around 1.1584, forming a strong confluence area.
3️⃣ This is a potential reaction zone where price may bounce upward if the market continues to respect its current structure.
Expected Scenario:
Monitor price action around 1.1584. If price shows weak bearish reaction or continuation signals here, the uptrend is likely to continue.
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to drift lower, now trading around $4,030–$4,035, following a sharp decline from last week’s highs above $4,150. The 1-hour chart shows price pressing into a major support zone between $3,993–$4,005, which has historically attracted buyers.
Immediate resistance lies at $4,079–$4,089, a supply region that capped upside attempts earlier. A recovery toward the resistance zone is possible if the support zone holds, though the broader structure remains corrective.
A close below $3,989 would invalidate the rebound setup and expose downside potential toward $3,960.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Buy from support zone for a corrective rebound into resistance.
Entry: $3,993 – $4,005
Stop Loss: $3,989
Take Profit 1: $4,079
Take Profit 2: $4,089
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 4.95
Bias is cautiously bullish from support, but sentiment remains fragile due to macro headwinds.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold extended losses into Tuesday’s Asian session, trading near $4,030, weighed down by renewed U.S. Dollar strength and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials.
FXStreet reports: “Gold price declines below $4,050 as USD strength and hawkish Fed comments weigh on sentiment.” 【FXStreet】
USD Strength:
The U.S. Dollar has strengthened for a third consecutive day, making gold more expensive for foreign buyers and pressuring the metal’s short-term outlook.
Delayed U.S. Data & NFP Ahead:
With the record-long U.S. government shutdown delaying official economic data, traders are now focused on Thursday’s NFP release, which may steer Fed expectations.
Hawkish Fed Commentary:
Officials including Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid expressed concern about persistent inflation and signalled a preference for keeping rates steady.
Rate Cut Expectations Drop:
CME FedWatch shows rate-cut expectations for December falling to 45%, down from over 60% last week.
UBS noted that the “totality of data” before the December meeting may still lean toward supporting a third rate cut this year.
China Buying Gold:
China added 15 tons to its gold reserves in September, providing medium-term support but insufficient to offset immediate USD-driven pressure.
Overall, macro drivers remain mixed: strong USD and hawkish Fed weigh on gold, while central bank demand and uncertainty offer a buffer at lower levels.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,079 – $4,089
Support: $3,993 – $4,005
Psychological Level: $4,050
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains under pressure but is testing a major support zone around $3,993–$4,005. If this area holds, a corrective rebound toward $4,079–$4,089 is likely. However, continued USD strength or firmer Fed rhetoric could limit upside momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
DATA PATTERNSData Patterns (India) Ltd. (currently trading near ₹3,085.90) – Overview Data Patterns (India) Ltd., headquartered in Chennai, is a leading defense and aerospace electronics solutions provider. Established in 1985, the company designs, develops, and manufactures advanced electronic systems for defense, aerospace, and meteorological applications. Its portfolio includes radar systems, electronic warfare systems, avionics suite testers, navigation systems, and communication subsystems.
FY22–FY25 Snapshot • Sales – ₹462 Cr → ₹640 Cr → ₹780 Cr → ₹920 Cr Growth driven by defense modernization, radar systems, and electronic warfare contracts
• Net Profit – ₹95 Cr → ₹125 Cr → ₹155 Cr → ₹185 Cr Earnings supported by scale, high-margin defense electronics, and long-term contracts
• Operating Performance – Strong → Strong → Very Strong → Very Strong EBITDA margins improving with indigenous design and IP-led solutions
• Dividend Yield (%) – 0.50% → 0.55% → 0.60% → 0.65% Consistent payouts alongside reinvestment into R&D and capacity expansion
• Equity Capital – ₹11.20 Cr (constant) No dilution; strong promoter governance
• Total Debt – ₹150 Cr → ₹140 Cr → ₹130 Cr → ₹120 Cr Gradual deleveraging supported by defense cash flows and export contracts
• Fixed Assets – ₹350 Cr → ₹370 Cr → ₹390 Cr → ₹410 Cr Capex focused on manufacturing upgrades, R&D labs, and defense electronics facilities
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends Promoter holding ~45% FIIs/DIIs actively invested due to strong defense theme and government push for indigenization Public float ~55%, with delivery volumes reflecting long-term positioning by defense-focused funds
Business Growth Verdict Data Patterns is scaling across radar, electronic warfare, and avionics systems with strong defense client stickiness Margins improving via indigenous IP-led solutions and high-value contracts Debt is declining steadily with strong operating cash flows Capex supports long-term competitiveness in defense electronics and aerospace
Management Highlights • FY25: Executed large radar and electronic warfare contracts; expanded avionics and communication portfolio • Sustainability: Focus on indigenous design, reducing import dependency in defense electronics • Digital: AI-enabled defense systems and predictive analytics for mission-critical applications • FY26 Outlook: 12–15% revenue growth, PAT expected to cross ₹210 Cr
Final Investment Verdict Data Patterns (India) Ltd. offers a mid-cap defense electronics story built on indigenous design, IP-led solutions, and government-backed demand. Its improving profitability, disciplined capital structure, and expanding client base make it suitable for accumulation by investors seeking exposure to India’s defense modernization and aerospace theme. With strong execution and global reach, Data Patterns remains a durable compounder in the defense electronics space.
XAUUSD Trading plan- 18th Nov 2025Price has broken 4035 support, retested, and continued lower — confirming trend continuation. Momentum + MACD histogram still bearish, volume increasing on down candles.
This is a sell-the-rally market.
PRIMARY BIAS: SELL
Trend: Down
Momentum: Bearish
Structure: Lower highs + lower lows
MACD: Under zero
Volume: Bearish-dominant
SELL SETUP (HIGH PROBABILITY)
Entry
• 4035 – 4042 (ideal retest zone)
• Alternative smaller pullback: 4028 – 4030
Stop-Loss:
• 4056
Take-Profit Targets:
• TP1: 3998
• TP2: 3978
• TP3: 3955 (extended)
Why:
Price failed to reclaim 4050 and is making fresh lows. Market structure favors continuation lower.
BUY SETUP (ONLY IF MARKET SHOWS A STRONG BOUNCE)
Buy only if price holds 3990–4000 and gives bullish rejection candles.
Entry:
• 3995 – 4002
Stop-Loss:
• 3982
Take-Profit:
• TP1: 4020
• TP2: 4035
Why:
4000 is a psychological level — but trend is still bearish, so this is counter-trend.
It's not that the market is good.We made the right call.Federal Reserve Governor Robert Waller stated that he supports another rate cut at the December meeting due to growing concerns about a sharp slowdown in the labor market and employment. Waller said, "I'm not worried about accelerating inflation or a significant rise in inflation expectations. My focus is on the labor market. After several months of weakness, the September jobs report later this week or any other data in the coming weeks is unlikely to change my view that another rate cut is necessary." Waller specifically noted that he favors another 25 basis point cut. He stated, "I'm concerned that restrictive monetary policy is putting pressure on the economy, especially its impact on low- and middle-income consumers. A rate cut in December would provide additional protection against a faster weakening of the labor market and move policy in a more neutral direction." At the same time, he indicated that price data suggests tariffs will not have a long-term impact on inflation, and another rate cut would be a risk management approach.
The overall tone was neutral, and gold's technical indicators also showed a downward breakout. The next step is to continue the downward trend with consolidation, and the 4000 level will soon be tested. I will focus on the timing of shorting here. The price is severely oversold in the short term, so aggressive shorting is not advisable. The first resistance level to watch is the 4050-4070 area, followed by the 4100 level. Support lies at 4000-3980; a break below this level could see a further 100 USD drop to the 3900-3880 area. The Bollinger Bands on the daily chart are gradually tightening, awaiting the release of the non-farm payroll data to determine the medium- to long-term direction. Currently, the overall strategy remains to follow the technical trend and sell on rallies. For strategy: short gold in batches at 4050-4070 with a target of 4020-4000 (hold if it breaks through). A second short entry point is at 4095-4100. For a short-term long opportunity, watch the 4000 level (short-term counter-trend long positions should target a 15-20 USD profit).
11/17/25 - $ethusd - Zoom out.11/17/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Zoom out.
- does this chart look bearish to you?
- the scale chain with the most traction today is eth hands down
- L2s are the new "L1" and eth is becoming the settlement layer L0
- wall street loves it
- the retail "missed bitcoin buying zcash" crowd just doesn't get it, oddly
- native staking
- use cases out the wazoo
- chart looks, honestly, great (zoom out!)
- rarely do you get the benefit of so many years of adoption, domination and now up coming catalysts and the px remains a relic of the past because people are so behind-hurt "muh alt sea-zon"
- eth isn't an alt
- eth is the S&P of the blockchain world
- bitcoin is gold
- eth is the nasdaq onchain
- and this party is in inning 1
- plan accordingly
- if you r using leverage or need returns "tomorrow" hfsp
- this is a hold, accumulate, hold, accumulate and patience will be rewarded
- stack sats, stack eth... chill
see u on the otherside of 2025 homie, i like this winner at $3k. smooth brainer.
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