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EURUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W39 | D23 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W39 | D23 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD Daily Forecast - Q3 | W39 | D23 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W39 | D23 | Y25| 📊 GBPUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
Climate Change as a Global Trade Disruptor1. Climate Change and Global Trade: The Interconnection Trade depends on geography, climate, and natural resources. Historically, favorable weather and fertile lands enabled agricultural exports, while stable oceans and rivers facilitated shipping routes. Climate change disrupts all three: Geography: Rising sea levels threaten coastal cities and ports, where nearly 90% of international trade passes through. Climate: Heatwaves, floods, and droughts directly impact agricultural yields and energy production. Natural Resources: Water scarcity and declining biodiversity affect commodity supply. In short, climate change doesn’t just affect the environment—it directly alters the conditions of trade. 2. Extreme Weather Events and Supply Chain Disruptions One of the most immediate trade-related consequences of climate change is the increase in extreme weather events. Hurricanes, cyclones, floods, and wildfires damage factories, ports, and transport infrastructure. Hurricane Katrina (2005): Shut down Gulf Coast oil refineries, sending global oil prices soaring. Thailand floods (2011): Disrupted automotive and electronics supply chains worldwide. Australia’s bushfires (2019–2020): Reduced coal exports and disrupted agriculture. Today’s supply chains are highly interdependent and globalized. A single event in one country can delay production worldwide. For example, flooding in Vietnam affects garment exports to Europe, while droughts in Brazil push up global coffee prices. Climate-induced supply chain shocks are becoming the new normal. This creates price volatility, inflationary pressures, and higher insurance premiums for shipping and logistics. 3. Agriculture and Food Security in Global Trade Agriculture is one of the most climate-sensitive sectors and a cornerstone of global trade. Crops like wheat, rice, coffee, and cocoa rely on predictable weather patterns. Climate change threatens this balance in multiple ways: Droughts in Africa: Reduce maize and sorghum yields, raising import dependency. Heat stress in India: Threatens rice and wheat production, impacting global food markets. Coffee production in Brazil & Vietnam: Faces declining suitable land due to rising temperatures. Food security becomes a trade issue when nations impose export bans to protect domestic supply. During the 2008 food crisis, countries like India and Vietnam restricted rice exports, causing prices to spike globally. Similar patterns may repeat more frequently as climate shocks worsen. This also affects agribusiness trade patterns. Countries that can adapt (through irrigation, genetic crop engineering, or technology) may dominate future food exports, while vulnerable regions face dependency and trade deficits. 4. Maritime Trade and the Impact on Shipping Around 80–90% of global trade moves by sea. Climate change is disrupting this backbone in several ways: Rising Sea Levels: Ports in Bangladesh, Miami, Rotterdam, and Shanghai face flooding risks. Hurricanes & Cyclones: More frequent storms damage ships and delay cargo. Melting Arctic Ice: While it opens new shipping routes (e.g., Northern Sea Route), it also creates geopolitical tensions and environmental hazards. Shallow Water Levels: Droughts in rivers like the Rhine (Europe) and Mississippi (U.S.) reduce shipping capacity. Insurance and shipping costs rise as companies face unpredictable risks. In turn, these higher costs filter down to consumers through inflation in global trade prices. 5. Energy Trade and Transition Energy is the engine of trade, but climate change is reshaping both supply and demand. Fossil Fuel Disruption: Rising storms affect offshore oil rigs. Droughts limit water needed for cooling in coal and nuclear plants. Heatwaves reduce energy efficiency in transportation. Green Energy Transition: Demand shifts toward renewable energy technologies (solar panels, wind turbines, EV batteries). Countries rich in critical minerals (lithium, cobalt, rare earths) gain new trade power. Nations dependent on fossil fuel exports (like Gulf countries) face future trade risks. Energy trade is entering a transitional phase, with climate change accelerating the shift toward renewables while simultaneously destabilizing fossil fuel-dependent economies. 6. Climate-Induced Migration and Labor Disruptions Climate change displaces millions of people due to floods, droughts, and rising seas. According to the World Bank, by 2050, over 200 million people may become climate migrants. This has direct trade implications: Labor shortages in agriculture and manufacturing. Shifting consumer bases as populations relocate. Trade tensions between host and origin countries. For example, migration from Central America to the U.S. is partly driven by droughts destroying crops. This alters not just migration policies but also regional trade agreements. 7. Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Wars Linked to Climate Climate change also fuels geopolitical trade disruptions. Nations with scarce resources (water, arable land, minerals) may restrict exports or engage in conflicts. Water wars: Between India and Pakistan, or Egypt and Ethiopia, may affect food and trade flows. Carbon tariffs: The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) imposes costs on imports from high-emission industries, creating new trade barriers. Resource nationalism: Countries with critical minerals (like Chile for lithium, Congo for cobalt) may restrict exports for domestic benefit, disrupting global supply chains. Climate change is not just an environmental issue—it’s a geo-economic disruptor reshaping trade alliances and policies. 8. Financial Risks and Trade Insurance Trade finance and insurance are also feeling the impact: Rising premiums for ships navigating storm-prone routes. Higher borrowing costs for exporters in climate-vulnerable regions. Credit risk as companies in flood-prone areas default on loans. International banks and insurers are now pricing climate risk into trade deals. This makes it more expensive for vulnerable developing countries to participate in global trade. 9. Adaptation Strategies: Business and Government Responses Despite the risks, nations and corporations are adapting strategies to reduce disruptions: Diversification of Supply Chains: Companies are sourcing from multiple regions to reduce climate risks. Resilient Infrastructure: Investments in flood-resistant ports, smart logistics, and renewable energy. Trade Policy Reforms: WTO and regional trade blocs are incorporating climate clauses into agreements. Technological Innovations: AI, blockchain, and IoT for supply chain visibility and risk prediction. Sustainable Shipping: Investments in low-carbon fuels and energy-efficient vessels. Adaptation is no longer optional—it is becoming central to trade competitiveness. 10. Future Outlook: Trade in a Climate-Disrupted World Looking ahead, climate change will continue to reshape trade in profound ways: Winners and Losers: Climate-resilient nations (Nordics, Canada) may gain trade advantages, while vulnerable regions (South Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa) face disruptions. Regionalization: To reduce risk, companies may shorten supply chains and rely more on regional trade than global trade. Climate-Linked Trade Agreements: Carbon border taxes and environmental standards will redefine competitiveness. Innovation-Driven Trade: Renewable energy technologies, carbon-capture products, and climate-adaptation tools will dominate exports. In short, climate change will not stop trade, but it will transform it. Conclusion Climate change is one of the greatest disruptors global trade has ever faced. Unlike temporary crises—such as financial crashes or pandemics—it is a long-term, structural challenge. It reshapes production, transportation, labor, and even the rules of trade itself. From floods that halt factory production to tariffs on carbon-heavy imports, climate risks ripple through every link of the global supply chain. The future of trade depends on how quickly nations, businesses, and institutions adapt. Those who build resilience, embrace sustainability, and innovate will thrive. Those who delay will face escalating costs, shrinking markets, and geopolitical vulnerabilities. Ultimately, climate change is not just an environmental problem—it is a trade problem, an economic problem, and a global governance problem. Recognizing it as a trade disruptor is the first step toward building a system that can withstand its impact.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
Introduction to Arbitrage in Global MarketsPart 1: Understanding Arbitrage – The Concept Arbitrage is a fundamental concept in finance that has existed for centuries, yet it has evolved significantly with the growth of global markets, technology, and financial instruments. At its core, arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of price differences between markets for the same asset, security, or commodity. By buying low in one market and selling high in another, traders can theoretically make risk-free profits. Arbitrage is often considered a mechanism that helps maintain market efficiency. Prices in global markets are constantly influenced by supply, demand, and other economic variables. When a price discrepancy arises, arbitrageurs exploit it, which eventually brings prices in different markets back into equilibrium. Key Characteristics of Arbitrage Risk-Free Profit (Theoretical Concept): In ideal conditions, arbitrage is risk-free because it exploits simultaneous price differences. However, in real-world markets, transaction costs, taxes, and timing issues can reduce or eliminate these profits. Market Inefficiency Exploitation: Arbitrage exists because markets are not perfectly efficient. Price discrepancies may arise due to delays in information, regulatory differences, or market segmentation. Simultaneous Transactions: To be considered true arbitrage, the transactions must occur nearly simultaneously to avoid exposure to price fluctuations. Leverage of Technology: In modern global markets, arbitrage often requires sophisticated technology, high-speed trading platforms, and algorithms to detect and exploit price differences in milliseconds. Types of Arbitrage in Global Markets Arbitrage is not a one-size-fits-all concept. Over time, financial markets have developed various forms of arbitrage to address different market inefficiencies: Spatial Arbitrage (Geographical Arbitrage): This involves exploiting price differences for the same asset across different geographic locations. For example, gold might trade at a slightly lower price in London than in New York. Traders can buy in London and sell in New York, profiting from the discrepancy. Triangular Arbitrage (Currency Arbitrage): In the forex market, triangular arbitrage occurs when there is a price imbalance among three currencies. For instance, a trader might notice that the direct exchange rate between USD and EUR is inconsistent with the indirect exchange through JPY. By converting USD → JPY → EUR → USD, a profit can be realized. Statistical Arbitrage (StatArb): This approach uses statistical models to identify mispriced securities. Instead of relying solely on observable price differences, traders use historical data and correlations to predict temporary inefficiencies. It is widely used in equity markets and relies heavily on quantitative models and algorithms. Merger Arbitrage (Risk Arbitrage): In the M&A (Mergers & Acquisitions) market, arbitrage involves buying the stock of a company being acquired at a discount to the acquisition price and selling the acquirer’s stock if applicable. While profitable, this type carries higher risk due to regulatory hurdles and deal failures. Convertible Arbitrage: This involves trading convertible bonds and the underlying stock to exploit price differences between them. Investors buy the undervalued asset and hedge the risk with the other, aiming for a risk-adjusted profit. Regulatory and Tax Arbitrage: Different countries have varying tax policies and financial regulations. Some firms structure transactions to exploit these differences to minimize tax liability or regulatory costs. While profitable, it must comply with legal frameworks to avoid penalties. The Role of Arbitrage in Global Market Efficiency Arbitrage plays a crucial role in maintaining price consistency across global markets. By exploiting temporary discrepancies: It narrows bid-ask spreads in financial instruments. Encourages market integration, connecting local and international markets. Improves liquidity, as arbitrageurs provide capital and facilitate transactions. Reduces opportunities for persistent mispricing, making markets more efficient. Without arbitrage, global markets would suffer from persistent inefficiencies and price distortions. However, with the growth of technology and algorithmic trading, price discrepancies are often corrected in milliseconds, leaving very narrow windows for profitable arbitrage opportunities. Challenges and Risks in Global Arbitrage Despite its theoretical promise of risk-free profit, arbitrage in practice involves multiple risks: Execution Risk: Delays in executing trades across different markets may lead to losses if prices move before the transaction completes. Liquidity Risk: Some markets or assets may lack sufficient liquidity, preventing large trades without impacting prices. Counterparty Risk: In global markets, trades often depend on intermediaries. Failure of a counterparty can result in losses. Regulatory Risk: Different countries impose varying regulations on trading, capital flows, and taxation. Arbitrage strategies must comply with legal frameworks, or traders risk fines and penalties. Technological Risk: Algorithmic and high-frequency trading rely on robust infrastructure. Any malfunction or latency can result in missed opportunities or losses. Currency and Political Risk: For international arbitrage, currency fluctuations and political events can quickly erode potential profits. Global Examples of Arbitrage Forex Markets: A classic example is triangular arbitrage among major currencies (USD, EUR, JPY). Even small inefficiencies can generate millions in profit when leveraged across large volumes. Commodity Markets: Oil, gold, and agricultural commodities are traded globally. Traders exploit differences in local futures prices or spot markets to profit. Equity Markets: Stock exchanges like NYSE, NASDAQ, and LSE often have slight price differences for dual-listed companies. High-frequency traders exploit these micro-movements. Cryptocurrency Markets: With the rise of digital assets, arbitrage opportunities emerge across crypto exchanges. Bitcoin, for example, might trade at slightly different prices on Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken. Part 2: Strategies and Techniques of Arbitrage in Global Markets 1. Classical Arbitrage Strategies Even in the modern, high-speed trading era, many fundamental arbitrage strategies remain relevant: a) Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage Mechanism: Involves buying an asset in the spot market and simultaneously selling its futures contract if the futures price is higher than the spot price plus carrying costs (storage, insurance, interest). Example: Suppose gold is trading at $2,000/oz in the spot market, while the 3-month futures contract is $2,050/oz. Buying gold today and selling the futures contract locks in a profit, minus carrying costs. Significance: This strategy aligns spot and futures prices and reduces market mispricing. b) Reverse Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage Mechanism: Happens when futures prices are lower than the spot plus carrying costs. Traders sell the spot asset short and buy futures. Impact: Prevents futures prices from diverging significantly from spot prices, stabilizing derivative markets. c) Triangular Currency Arbitrage Mechanism: Exploits discrepancies in exchange rates among three currencies. Traders convert Currency A → B → C → A, aiming for a net gain. Practical Note: Most forex platforms now detect and automatically exploit small discrepancies, leaving minimal manual opportunities. 2. Statistical and Quantitative Arbitrage (StatArb) Modern arbitrage increasingly relies on data and algorithms. Statistical arbitrage differs from classical arbitrage because it: Uses historical price data, correlations, and probability models. Trades pairs of assets that historically move together but temporarily diverge. Example: Pairs Trading Identify two historically correlated stocks, say Stock X and Stock Y. If X rises significantly while Y lags, buy Y and short X, betting their prices will converge. Advantage: Market-neutral; profits even in volatile markets if divergence corrects. Tools Used Machine learning algorithms to detect anomalies. High-frequency trading systems for rapid execution. Risk management frameworks to prevent losses if correlations fail. 3. Risk Arbitrage (Merger Arbitrage) Mechanism: Focuses on corporate events, such as mergers or acquisitions. Strategy: Buy shares of the target company at a discount to the announced acquisition price and sell shares of the acquiring company if applicable. Risks: Deals may fail due to regulatory rejection, shareholder opposition, or financing issues. Example: If Company A announces it will acquire Company B for $100 per share, and B’s stock trades at $95, arbitrageurs may buy B’s stock hoping it rises to $100 upon deal completion. 4. Technology and Algorithmic Arbitrage Global markets are increasingly dominated by high-frequency trading (HFT) and automated arbitrage: Speed Matters: Price discrepancies may exist for mere milliseconds. Only advanced trading algorithms can detect and execute trades fast enough. Co-location Services: Many hedge funds place servers physically close to exchange servers to reduce latency. Cross-Market Monitoring: Algorithms monitor multiple global exchanges in real-time for mispricing opportunities. Example: Buying an undervalued stock in the London Stock Exchange and simultaneously selling its equivalent in the NYSE within milliseconds. 5. Global Commodity Arbitrage Arbitrage in commodities markets often exploits: Geographical differences: Prices of oil, gas, or metals vary by region due to local demand, transportation costs, and storage constraints. Time-based differences: Futures contracts may temporarily misprice compared to spot prices. Example: Crude oil may be cheaper in the Middle East than in Europe due to local supply-demand imbalances. Traders can transport and sell it at a higher price. 6. Cryptocurrency Arbitrage Cryptocurrencies present a new frontier: Exchange Arbitrage: Prices of the same cryptocurrency differ slightly across exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken. Triangular Crypto Arbitrage: Similar to forex, using three crypto pairs. Decentralized Exchange Arbitrage: Differences between decentralized and centralized exchanges can yield opportunities. Challenges: High transaction fees, blockchain confirmation delays, and regulatory risks can reduce profits. 7. Implementing Arbitrage: Key Considerations Even seasoned traders must navigate practical and operational challenges: Transaction Costs: Profits can evaporate after commissions, spreads, and taxes. Liquidity: Thinly traded markets can prevent large trades without moving prices. Currency Conversion: International arbitrage often requires currency conversions, introducing risk. Legal Compliance: Cross-border trades must comply with regulations, taxes, and anti-money laundering laws. Capital Requirements: Arbitrage often involves leveraging large amounts of capital to generate meaningful profits. 8. Real-World Examples of Arbitrage in Global Markets Forex Arbitrage: Major banks frequently exploit triangular currency arbitrage, though opportunities are brief due to automated trading. Stock Market Arbitrage: Dual-listed companies, e.g., Royal Dutch Shell in London and Amsterdam, present opportunities for price convergence. Commodity Arbitrage: During periods of supply disruption, oil traders profit from regional price differences. Crypto Arbitrage: Bitcoin and Ethereum trades across global exchanges illustrate how rapid price movements create opportunities.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
SUIUSDT #001 ( You see what I see ? ) Hello dear traders. Good days . First of all thanks for your support and comments. —————————————————————————— On Bullish weekly Gann square SUIUSDT , I can see the collecting spring for breaking 0.5 Gann square price zone . On daily time frame as you can see after finishing Bearish Gann Square bullish move on bullish Gann Square filled 0.75 up to 1 of Gann Box price level which it’s repeated in all cycles . On daily bearish Gann square price correct itself up to 0.75 Gann price level and aspected with small decline to the 0.5 Bearish Gann Square ( about 3.45$ - 3.55$ ) will be good opportunity for next Bull run . In detail buy zone will updated . Good luck and safe trades.
Long
by SHAlavi
6
AUDUSD BUY LIMIT FULL BREAKDOWN -Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25| Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25| 📊 AUDUSD BUY LIMIT FULL BREAKDOWN 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
2
AUDUSD Daily Forecast UPDATE BUY LIMIT -Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25|Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25| 📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
TESLA 989 IN NOVEMBER 🧩 Method in short • Impulse + Midpoint → anchor the base geometry. • Mirror slope → project equal angles forward. • Octaves → copy slopes upward; price vibrates between them. • Confluence → all red rails meet at the Rome date. 🔑 Sniper Rules • ✅ Valid as long as TSLA stays above the white base slope. • ✅ Bounces on the midpoint diagonal confirm strength. • ❌ A close below the base slope cancels the 989 projection. 🎯 Targets • Midpoint retest → acceleration. • Upper octave → resistance. • Final convergence → 989 by Nov 20, 2025. ⸻ All roads lead to Rome. For Tesla, that Rome is $989. This is a geometry-based projection, not financial advice. Use your own confirmations and risk management.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TEPELENA
SILVER: Target Is Up! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 43.945 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 44.526.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
Buy Trade Plan – Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Co.Buy Trade Plan – Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Co. Bias: Bullish Reasoning: Price has formed a valid Dealing Range (DR) after reacting from the recent lows. Structure shows potential for continuation toward higher Buy-Side Liquidity levels. Patience is key as liquidity above recent highs remains uncollected. Entry Zone: Near the DR breakout confirmation (around current levels). Stop Loss: Below 255.0 (below recent swing low). Target: 286.0 (towards Buy-Side Liquidity). Risk-to-Reward: Favorable setup with strong upside potential. Plan: Hold the trade until liquidity targets are reached. Exit at target or partial profit booking along the way.
TADAWUL:2270Long
by Asif_Brain_Waves
SPIRAL FOCUS POINT 9/27 PLUS OR MINUS 3 DAYS EVENT The chart posted is the next turn within the spirals as we are nearing fib projections and wave A x 1.382 in the sp 500 6648/6671 . I am very bearish again at each turn a minor top has seen a pull back But now the PUT/Call models are Bell ringing . I have covered my short from friday close this morning and based on the Holidays it will be rather thin trading . I will try to be patient and wait now to Re enter the puts best of trades Wavetimer
AMEX:VT
by wavetimer
2
BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) Update🚨 BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) Update 🚨 After completing the bearish wave I mentioned in my last analysis, BTC.D has now started retracing. The timing is very important here, because it happened exactly when Bitcoin was rejected from its bullish move. ⚡ 👉 This is dangerous for altcoins – if Bitcoin falls while dominance rises, alts can face heavy pressure. 📌 Key retracement levels (Arrows): * Arrow #3 → First retracement level. If dominance breaks this, expect continuation. * Arrow #2 & Arrow #1 → Next important levels. * Arrow #1 is the MOST important because it aligns with both weekly & daily retracement zones from the bearish move. 💡 But as I always remind: Monday is not a pattern day. We need the daily candle close to confirm the real direction. ✅ What to do if analysis confirms? * Take profits on alts and park liquidity to re-enter later when reversal is confirmed. * If you still want to hold, at least scale out partially to protect gains. ⚠️ Second Scenario: If BTC.D breaks Arrow #4 and the 58% level on the daily, that’s the bearish confirmation for alts. 🚀 Stay sharp, stay disciplined! The key is preserving profits and being ready for the next golden entry. Market always rewards patience.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by MoonTradingForecast
BTC Weekly Update – Critical Zone Ahead!🚨 BTC Weekly Update – Critical Zone Ahead! 🚨 Bitcoin has just made a very dangerous move on the weekly chart. We’ve closed with a Doji candle right at a major weekly resistance level – and price already broke down from that candle’s range. ⚠️ Why is this dangerous? 👉 Because the market has only done a shallow retracement on the higher timeframe so far. If BTC had broken above the yellow line (Arrow #1), it would’ve been a strong bullish signal. But since the breakout failed, rejection here could send price back for a deeper retracement. 📍 The deeper retracement zone sits near 100k (Arrow #5) – a level to watch very closely. At the same time, I’ve marked two critical decision points on the chart: * 116,310 (Arrow #1) * 113,460 (Arrow #2) ✅ Breaking above/below these levels will be the real decision point for Bitcoin’s next big move – whether we go higher or prepare for a deeper correction. ⚡️ Reminder: Mondays are usually manipulation-heavy days in crypto. Best strategy is to wait for today’s candle to close before deciding on a buy or sell. Next step 👉 I’ll also publish the BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) chart to see how altcoins might react. Stay patient, stay sharp – the market is about to reveal its hand! 🔥 Discipline + Patience = Profit 🔥
by MoonTradingForecast
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 22Spot gold surged sharply in Asian trading, rising $20 to a new all-time high. Gold prices continued their upward trend from last Friday, now trading near 3725. Global financial markets are poised for a wave of policy speeches following the end of the Federal Reserve's quiet period. FOMC voting members' frequent statements are a key focus, and gold's upward momentum is expected to strengthen as Fed members explain the reasons behind their rate cut votes. Technically, gold bulls show no signs of weakening and maintain their rebounding momentum. The weekly chart is trending higher, and the overall trend remains above the previous upward trend channel. Therefore, the bullish outlook remains strong, and a bullish outlook remains the primary strategy. The 4-hour chart shows signs of continued upward movement in the short term. The NY market is focusing on potential resistance in the 3732-3742 range above, and support in the 3700-3693 range below. The short-term bull-bear dividing line is near 3685! I recommend buying on dips. Potential Buying Range: Buy: 3703-3700 Buy: 3686-3690
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
EURUSD Daily Forecast - Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25| Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
"New All-Time High – Exactly as Predicted!"🔑 Key Levels After the Breakout: ✅ New Support: 3719 (flipped from resistance into a key support). ✅ Next Resistances: 3892 4064 (extended target – potential wave 5 top). ✅ Secondary Supports: 3659 – 3612 🔹 Elliott Wave Perspective: Wave (3) has completed with the breakout above 3719. We may now see the beginning of a short correction (wave 4) pulling back toward 3719 – 3659. After that, wave 5 could extend upward targeting 3892 → 4064. 📈 Expected Scenarios: Main (Bullish) Scenario: Sustaining above 3719 keeps momentum strong, pushing price gradually toward 3892, then 4064. Alternative (Corrective) Scenario: A pullback to retest 3719 – 3659 as a base before resuming the bullish trend.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Wreks
#GALA/USDT – History Repeats? Another Bounce from Key Support #GALA The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and heading for a strong breakout and retest. We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout. There is a major support area in green at 0.015100, which represents a strong support point. We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 0.01500 First target: 0.01593 Second target: 0.01660 Third target: 0.01743 Don't forget a simple matter: capital management. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
1
#ETH/USD - Roll back - Its coming baack to 4500#ETH The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward move. There is a major support area in green at 4111, which represents a strong support point. We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 4136. First target: 4215. Second target: 4346. Third target: 4482. Don't forget a simple matter: capital management. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by CryptoAnalystSignal
2