Get started

GLD

$USOIL & $XLE: Sustainable bull run or short-term bounce?Recently the commodities and the commodity stocks are having a bull run. Oil being one of the largest categories within the Bloomberg Commodity Index Futures is late to the party after the AMEX:GLD rally. In my recent posts I made the case that the TVC:USOIL will remain range bound, and we will see 55 $ in $USOIL. But since then, TVC:USOIL has gone through a small rally with price currently @ 65 $ which has taken it closer to the 0.5 Fib retracement level. AMEX:XLE , which represents the S&P500 energy sector stocks, is also attempting to post a rally. In the short-term markets have diverged from our last predictions. Let’s be honest in the short term such rallies might be accompanied by short covering and the weakness in TVC:DXY is also helping the Energy rally. But now the question comes where do we go from here? TVC:USOIL and AMEX:XLE can have a bull rally due to short covering and momentum pushing it across the 0.5 Fib level. If TVC:USOIL breaks above 0.5 then the next stop 0.618 will take us 80 $ indicating a 25% upside form here. And a similar upside in the AMEX:XLE will take us 131 $, which is also 25% up from its current value and the upper range of the upward slopping channel indicative from the chart. Verdict: Short term probable bounce in TVC:USOIL and $XLE. Long term bearish on TVC:USOIL with target 55 - 60 $.
TVC:USOIL
by RabishankarBiswal
GLD Swing Setup – Long Call Into Gold’s Weekly Strength🪙 GLD Swing Setup – Long Call Into Gold’s Weekly Strength 📆 Date: June 6, 2025 📈 Outlook: Moderately Bullish (14-day swing) 📊 Strategy: Long call aiming for continuation above key resistance 🔍 Model Consensus Model Bias Strike Entry Target(s) Stop Confidence Grok Mod. Bullish 311C 3.90 5.07 1.95 70% Claude Mod. Bullish 312C 3.40 5.10 / 6.80 2.04 70% Llama Mod. Bullish 320C 1.19 1.75 / 2.38 0.60 75% Gemini Mod. Bullish 320C 1.20 1.75 / 2.35 0.60 75% DeepSeek Mod. Bearish 308P 3.60 1.80 (fade) 5.40 60% ✅ Majority Bias: Bullish 💡 Preferred Strike: $320 Call (3:1 model preference) 📈 Chart Levels: Support: $301.50 – $303.00 Resistance: $310.25 – $311.67 → breakout zone Max Pain: $308 (gravitational pull zone short-term) ⚙️ Technical Summary Daily/Weekly Charts: Price above mid BB, above EMAs, MACD trending positive RSI: Neutral-to-bullish (daily ~56, weekly ~66) VIX: Low = stable sentiment & slower decay News: Bullish gold flow / macro sentiment steady OI Skew: Heavy 297–299 puts, but aggressive calls up to $320 → breakout pressure ✅ Trade Setup Metric Value Instrument GLD Direction CALL (Long) Strike $320 Expiry 2025-06-18 Entry Price $1.19 (ask) Profit Targets $1.75 / $2.35 Stop-Loss $0.60 (50% risk) Position Size 1 contract Confidence 75% Entry Timing Market Open 📈 Trade Management Plan 🎯 Targets Scale out 50% at $1.75 Final exit at $2.35 🛑 Stop Triggers Break below $307.50 support Premium drops to $0.60 📆 Hold Time Max 10 trading days Exit early if price stagnates near $308 ⚠️ Key Risks Triple-top near $310.25 could stall breakout Low VIX reduces premiums faster in chop Gold news or dollar spikes can flip the narrative fast Max Pain at $308 could cap rallies short-term
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by quantsignals
2
GLD Swing Trade Setup – 6/18 $320 Call for 5–10 Day Breakout Mov🟡 GLD Swing Trade Setup – 6/18 $320 Call for 5–10 Day Breakout Move 📅 Trade Date: June 4, 2025 | 📈 Timeframe: 5–10 Day Swing 🎯 Playing a bullish continuation with defined risk & strong confidence 🧠 Multi-Model Consensus Model Bias Strategy Strike Entry PT SL Confidence Composite Mod. Bullish Long Call 320 1.68 2.52 0.84 75% 🔎 Technical & Sentiment Overview Weekly Chart: Price > EMAs, clean bullish MACD crossover 15-min Chart: Consolidating near $311–$313 support, breakout forming Sentiment: Bullish news tailwinds (gold demand, USD weakening) Max Pain: $308 = short-term pullback risk Implied Volatility: Stable with limited crush risk Options Flow: Moderate OI build in $313–$325 calls, upward bias 🎯 Trade Setup – Long GLD Call Instrument: GLD Direction: CALL (LONG) Strike: $320.00 Expiry: 2025-06-18 Entry Price: $1.68 Profit Target: $2.52 (50% gain) Stop Loss: $0.84 (50% loss) Size: 1 contract Entry Timing: Market open Confidence: 75% ⚠️ Risk Management & Considerations 🛑 SL Discipline: Exit if premium drops to $0.84 🕒 Time Stop: Exit within 7–10 days if trade stagnates 🔁 News Risk: Watch for economic releases and dollar strength reversals ⚖️ Support Check: Must hold $310.50 zone on M15 chart ✅ Trade Thesis Summary With GLD holding bullish structure on higher timeframes, models show strong agreement on upside continuation. We're targeting the $320 breakout with a controlled-risk weekly option.
AMEX:GLDLong
by quantsignals
Gold Update: 2 optionsIndeed, the top metal surged well beyond $3,000, as I mentioned in my earlier post (see related post for details). The price reached a new all-time high of $3,510 before pulling back, as expected. So far, the retracement has been rejected at the trendline support around $3,123 (futures). From here, there are two possible scenarios: 1) Blue Labels The price may have already completed wave 4. If so, we could now see a large wave 5 move to the upside. This wave could reach the blue target box, which represents 61.8% to 100% of the distance from wave 1 to wave 3, added to the bottom of wave 4. This target zone lies between $3,700 and $4,100. Keep in mind that gold is a commodity, and commodities often have extended fifth waves — so the higher end of the blue box is still possible. 2) White Labels Typically, fourth waves retrace down to the valleys of previous lower-degree fourth waves. In this case, the market could form another leg down to complete a larger, more complex correction, potentially hitting $2,975 before wave 5 begins. If that happens, the target for wave 5 may be lower, but with a possible extended fifth wave, it could still reach the blue box area.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by aibek
Gold Eiffel Tower The GOLD GTFO is still in play. What saved Gold was the stopping for the market crash when Trumnpchenko manipulated the markets. Had the crash continued Gold would have crashed with it. As it is the last safe haven for money to pile into and people just give up and sell everything in sight. If you were an early buyer of gold and sold above $3,000 then you have a nice 50% gain. Take your money and RUN! All the way to the bank! Don't be a dick for a tick. If you are then you will ride it all the way back down. When will it top no one can know. But what pros do is take their money and RUN! So be a pro! ;) Click like follow subscribe!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RealMacro
11
$GLD Market Update – Bearish Engulfing Follow-Up Yesterday, AMEX:GLD closed with a Bearish Engulfing pattern. However, rather than offering a sell-on-strength opportunity, it opened sharply lower today—a move generally favorable for risk assets. 🔍 Key Technical Levels: First Horizontal Support: ~$294.40 (Stop) Additional Support Zones: 🔹 $278.32 🔹 $272.58 (Stop) Ultimate Support: ~$261.24 (Stop) This level is unlikely to be tested unless we see a sharp reversal in macro trends like inflation, global trade dynamics, and productivity.
PYTH:GLDShort
by YardCharts
Perfect trade setup: $GLD to 325; DXY to 95Gold has been in a raging bull market since 2023 with the index making new higher highs and higher lows as shown in the weekly candle stick chart. In contrast the Dollar index TVC:DXY is making new lows every single day shown in dark blue line chart. In this blog space we have been continuously talking about the weakness in the Dollar and the major support and resistance levels in TVC:DXY for more than 3 months. As the TVC:DXY is below the psychological level of 100 and most probably heading lower where 95 is the key support level, I think the time for commodities like Gold has arrived. SPY Gold Spot ETF AMEX:GLD has made an ATH of 302 which is above the key psychological level of 300. In my opinion AMEX:GLD is not done going up. If we plot the Fib retracement levels for the previous bear market ending in 2022, we see that AMEX:GLD can effectively reach 325 level which is the 4.236 fib level. This will indicate another 7% upside, a similar amount of potential downside in the $DXY. Verdict: Long AMEX:GLD , Short TVC:DXY until trend reversal.
AMEX:GLDLong
by RabishankarBiswal
1
GLD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16GLD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16) Below is a consolidated view of the various model reports and our resulting trade rationale: ────────────────────────────── Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points • Grok/xAI Report  – Notes that GLD closed around $306.52 with recent upward momentum and bullish daily indicators.  – Technicals (moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and MACD on daily charts) support a moderately bullish bias despite some near-term caution from 5‑minute signals.  – Recommends buying the $311 call (premium ~ $0.99) with a plan to exit if the price breaks key support or slides 20% in premium. • Claude/Anthropic Report  – Highlights strong daily uptrend fundamentals with GLD well above its key moving averages, although the daily RSI is high (76.59) which raises a caution flag.  – Points to robust call open interest at nearby strikes ($310) and suggests a bullish trade via the call option—even though a slightly lower strike ($310) is mentioned, the overall picture is bullish.  – The recommended entry is at market open with a target around a 50% premium gain and a stop if the premium retracts significantly. • Gemini/Google Report  – Emphasizes strong longer‐term bullish momentum but expresses caution given immediate overbought conditions (daily RSI above 70 and price trading above the upper Bollinger Band).  – Also notes the strangely low max pain ($275) in contrast to the current price, warning of potential early pullbacks.  – Concludes that the overall picture is too conflicted to recommend a trade at the open at this time. • Llama/Meta Report  – Combines technical indicators (EMA, RSI, Bollinger Bands) with strong news sentiment to determine GLD is in a bullish phase.  – Identifies the $311 call (premium ~$0.99) as attractive given its liquidity and distance from the current price (about 1.46% above).  – Recommends market-open entry with targets set at roughly 150% of the premium and stop-loss based on a percentage of the premium. • DeepSeek Report  – Provides a balanced trade plan noting the very strong 30‑day price performance and bullish daily MACD while cautioning on the overbought RSI reading.  – Recommends the $311 call (midpoint premium ~$0.99) with a profit target of roughly a 50% gain and a stop tied to technical support breaks (around $304.90).  – Maintains a moderate confidence level (around 65%) because of the chance that short‑term pullbacks may materialize. ────────────────────────────── 2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement • Agreement:  – Most models agree on an underlying moderately bullish trend for GLD based on daily technical indicators and positive news (e.g., fund inflows and safe‑haven demand).  – A majority favor a call option trade on the weekly expiry, with many models arriving at the vicinity of the $311 strike (with premiums around $0.99) as an optimal entry. • Disagreement:  – The Gemini/Google report raises concerns about overbought conditions on the daily chart and highlights a very low max pain level that suggests downside pressure, recommending against an immediate open trade.  – Claude mentions a slightly lower strike ($310) but still a call trade; however, the bulk of reports lean toward the $311 call as a balanced choice, accepting the premium being a bit above the ideal $0.30–$0.60 range. ────────────────────────────── 3. Conclusion and Trade Recommendation Overall Market Direction Consensus:  Most models point to an overall moderately bullish outlook on GLD. While the daily trend is robust, some short‑term technicals (e.g., the overbought RSI and near-term MACD signs) advise caution. Nevertheless, the prevailing momentum and strong news sentiment favor a bullish call—even if a temporary pullback remains possible. Recommended Trade:  Trade Idea: Buy a single‑leg, naked CALL option on GLD.  • Strike: $311.00 (this strike shows sufficient liquidity with about 1,055 open interest and a traded premium of roughly $0.99)  • Expiration: Weekly options expiring 2025‑04‑17  • Premium: ~ $0.99 (slightly above the ideal range, but justified by good risk/reward and high liquidity)  • Entry Timing: At the open  • Profit Target: Approximately a 50% increase (target premium ~ $1.50)  • Stop Loss: Approximately 20% drop in the premium (≈ $0.79)  • Confidence Level: Moderately confident (≈70%) given the bullish trend tempered by the risk of an intraday pullback  • Key Risks/Considerations:   – The daily RSI is in overbought territory, so be alert for any pullback.   – The inherent conflict with the very low max pain point ($275) suggests potential short-term volatility.   – Monitor support levels (e.g., $304.90 on the 5‑minute chart) for early signs of reversal. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "GLD", "direction": "call", "strike": 311.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 1.50, "stop_loss": 0.79, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.99, "entry_timing": "open" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
AMEX:GLDLong
by quantsignals
Silver Massive C&H Bull Market 400%+ gains Lifetime opportunity🏆 Silver Market Update (April 13th, 2025) 📊 Technical Outlook Update ▪️Long-term outlook 2weeks/candle ▪️Massive C&H formation in progress ▪️40 USD breakout pending now ▪️PT BULLS 400%+ gains BUY/HOLD ▪️Price Target BULLS 125/150 USD ▪️Bull market still pending ▪️BUY/HOLD now or miss out on gains 📢 Silver Market Update – April 2025 📈Silver is widely used in electronics due to its exceptional electrical and thermal conductivity, making it ideal for various applications, including printed circuit boards, connectors, and contact surfaces. 🚀 It is also employed in devices like touch screens, batteries, and solar panels. Silver's high conductivity, solderability, and resistance to corrosion and oxidation contribute to its popularity in the electronics industry.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
42
$GLD - bullish momentum soon to stallHello, I was bullish on AMEX:GLD for a bit and now examining the charts, multiple frames, this may be setting up for a good short. If geopolitics and tariff talks deescalate then this should cool off. The Elliot wave placed indicates some time for a correction/pull back on this hot commodity and the candle on the Daily from Friday is a spinning stop doji which can indicate reversal in an uptrend. Also, we have so many gaps up that happened in 3 day span, crazy actually. I labeled areas of targets to fill these gaps. Expecting a retracement to $280. WSL.
AMEX:GLDShort
by wallstreetloser001
GOLD Bull Market Price Target is 7 500 USD accumulate on dips🏆 Gold Market Long-Term Update 12/24 months 📊 Technical Outlook Update 🏆 Bull Market Overview ▪️2weeks/candle price chart ▪️Gold Bull market in progress ▪️1976/1979 650% gains - Bull Market 1 ▪️1999/2012 650% gains - Bull Market 2 ▪️2016/2027 650% gains- Bull Market 3 ▪️Price Target BULLS 7500 USD ▪️650% gains off the lows ▪️will hit in 2026/2027 ⭐️Recommended strategy ▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips ▪️BUY/HOLD physical gold ▪️BUY/HOLD GLD/GDX
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
38
Could One Event Propel Gold to $6,000?Gold has long been a refuge in times of crisis, but could it be on the brink of an unprecedented surge? Analysts now predict the precious metal could reach $6,000 per ounce, driven by a potent mix of geopolitical instability, macroeconomic shifts, and strategic accumulation by central banks. The prospect of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, a major global flashpoint, could be the catalyst that reshapes the financial landscape, sending investors scrambling for safe-haven assets.   The looming threat of conflict in Taiwan presents an unparalleled risk to global supply chains, particularly in semiconductor production. A disruption in this critical sector could spark widespread economic turmoil, fueling inflationary pressures and eroding confidence in fiat currencies. As nations brace for potential upheaval, central banks and investors are increasingly turning to gold, reinforcing its role as a geopolitical hedge. Meanwhile, de-dollarization efforts by BRICS nations further elevate gold’s strategic importance, intensifying its upward trajectory.   Beyond geopolitical risks, macroeconomic forces add momentum to gold’s ascent. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cuts, persistent inflation, and record national debt levels all contribute to a weakening dollar. This, in turn, makes gold more attractive to global buyers, accelerating demand. At the same time, the psychological factor—fear-driven safe-haven buying and speculative enthusiasm—creates a self-reinforcing cycle, pushing prices ever higher.   Despite counterforces such as potential Fed policy shifts or a temporary easing of geopolitical tensions, the weight of uncertainty appears overwhelming. The convergence of economic instability, shifting power dynamics, and investor sentiment suggest that gold’s march toward $6,000 is less a speculative fantasy and more an inevitable financial reality. As the world teeters on the edge of historic change, gold may well be the ultimate safeguard in an era of global upheaval.
AMEX:GLDLong
by UDIS_View