Get started

Globalmacro

Time to Accumulate Gold and Silver Miners on Metals Pullback It is always important to keep one’s mind open and to consider all possibilities. At this point I am expecting a pullback correction in Gold, between $1416 and $1434. If this pullback comes, this will be an opportunity to accumulate undervalued junior miners who will play “catch-up” to the large cap miners. Additionally, with the gold-silver ratio finally breaking lower, silver looks poised to outperform on this next leg up. I am not actively shorting the metals, merely patiently waiting for this opportunity to accumulate even more shares in my list of miners. However, given the current state of affairs around the world, it is entirely possible this pullback never comes and that we move higher from here. I am hedged against that possibility by being presently invested and continuously adding to my investments in junior & small cap miners. In my opinion, if this scenario plays out where gold does not correct first, it will ultimately not be ideal for gold long-term and will likely result in a painful crash in the metals.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Ludwig_Von_Mises
BITCOIN TO 30KTechnical analysis: a symmetric triangle going to break to 20k then 13k again and then 30k . if you ask when this is gonna happend i"d tell that i dont know when exactly but its gonna happend in the next years maybe. Fundamental analysis : trade war is getting too strong as china sells the u.s bonds and also the devaluation of the yuan. china, russia, U.E is buying gold as a currency for reserve while the fed is cutting the interest rates for the first time in 11 years . Germany had slow his economic growth and is entering on a "technical recession" . China had his lowest economic growth in the last 30 years . Italia is on a recession, argentina had his worst day on history last monday 12/8 . The FMI redefine the world economic growth with a cut to 3.5% , the same level as 2009. Its your decition to be in the side of the looser or in the side of winners...
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by tomiwolf
1
A wild CHFJPY long swing trade appearedForget about lagging indicators. That is retail mindset. Join us. Price action with Wyckoff is all you need in this jungle. Hi there people! A new week begins, a new plan to own the market comes. Let's take a look in a long oportunity on the 4hr, that will develop most likely in the next days. This is a swing trade, so execute with patience, as always. A price level that does not want to give up has appeared. Watch carefully on 15 mins to decide if opening a position is worth enough. Wait for a confirmation that the level holds. Also, significant levels have been marked, according to what the price tells us. Fib retracement rules, right? They are temptative, and will need modification as the market unfolds! Join us on numanti.es and @Numanti_IP, for financial news, learning oportunities and much more! "The price movements represent everything everyone knows, hopes, believes and anticipates", Richard H. Dow
Long
by Numanti-Investment-Partners
1
A wild USDCHF short swing trade appeared. Forget about lagging indicators. That is retail mindset. Join us. Price action with Wyckoff is all you need in this jungle. Hi there people! We are Numanti Invesment Partners and welcome to our very first analysis on Tradingiew. Today we come with a short oportunity on the swissy 4hr, that will develop most likely in the next days. This is a swing trade, on a overall bullish market, so watch out! A price level that does not want to give up has appeared. Watch carefully on market opening. Significant levels have been marked, according to what the price tells us. Watch particularly the fib retracement levels at 1,0155 and 1,00364. J oin us on numanti.es and @Numanti_IP, for financial news, learning oportunities and much more! "There are three kind of lies: Plain lies, damned lies and statistics", Stock Markets Technique Number 2, Richard D. Wyckoff
Short
by Numanti-Investment-Partners
1
S&P 500 entering an ORDER BLOCK | TAPE READINGThe price is edging up. If you look closely, you will see an Elliot 5 Wave impulse. If you know about fractals, you should have that in your trading arsenal because the Elliot Wave principle is a natural, sensational and accurate tool in 'forecasting' price action. The waves move in harmony according to the Fibonacci patterns and spirals. The Fibonacci is the actual backbone of the Elliot wave principle (although i haven't included it in this price level - even though I have, by virtue of Elliot). The US economy is projected to be moving down. With the recent trade wars, French (fuel) tax riots, weakening global demand, drop in oil, and massive debt, the US should start a process of deleveraging soon. The SPX is reflective of the global economy. The markets have been rising this year, the biggest performers in the upcoming quarters should be emerging economies by virtue of the law of diminishing returns. The global landscape is changing right before our eyes as China takes the stage as the the leading super power. Overall, Trump's Trade War was a misdirected battle that's turning out to be a blessing for all emerging economies because it's happening on the backdrop of President Xi's aggressive, futuristic and rather ambitious One Belt One Road Initiative. The global landscape is going to be shaped by the actions of changing global movement and emerging drivers in the global macro economy.
SP:SPXEducation
by Money_Lab
Global Equities In Big Trouble? / Technical Chart / SP500A geopolitical environment that is stalling growth, a divided American people & government, and a looming showdown between the Federal Reserve and the Street... Are the global markets truly on a precipice? Let's get into this breakdown. The technical pattern that is emerging is quite clearly a head and shoulders. If we break the neckline we are looking at a decline setting the market back to the beginning of 2017. Is this all doom and gloom? Will it happen quickly and violently? No it most likely won't. The fundamentals underpinning this current market are still there, albeit on shakier ground. US GDP growth is projected to start slowing down (it wasn't sustainable for long to begin with), and passing more corporate tax cuts is not the gimme it once was for the current administration. What does this all add up to? A long overdue winding down of a record bull market. This isn't 2008 all over again necessarily, and I don't think you will see (yet) a panicked rush for the exits. Right now, it is important to consider your trading strategy and mindset for 2019. What am I looking for? 1) Opportunities to take advantage of risk-off sentiment (follow the money out of risk-on instruments and into safe havens) 2) Opportunities to buy 'value' stocks at cheaper prices as especially tech keeps shedding its gains 3) Slowly start going to cash. Being in cash is one of the best trading positions to be in. It means you're not out of ammo and shooting blanks when the big moves start happening. Good luck in these upcoming weeks and months. We'll see what the future holds. Never forget - your #1 responsibility as a trader is to preserve your capital.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by ImreSG
1
Technicals suggesting sell off to continue?Weekly TF technicals have shown a breach of short/intermediate term MAs and psychologically important support levels. Divergence and a crossover on the MACD support the case for more downside. My immediate thought is where will price find support? 2580 seems like the next significant level as the market retests the lows established earlier this year in anticipation of mid-term elections. If market breaks those levels, the 200-week MA would be my next area of interest.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by LockNLos
Updated Global Macro Dashboard Bonds and Notes BullishNew week, updated the dashboard. Swapped out Commodities and Emerging Markets for Dow Futures and Eurodollar futures. Bonds and Notes looking bullish here, the biggest surprise to everything and everyone would be a bond price rally (rates dropping). Everyone is expecting rate hikes, like nearly 100% Will generate a trade idea this week for bonds or notes. Once this trade (if) takes off, Eurodollar is how I am looking to express it.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by ChrisD_Macro
1
Buying Gold After Breakout! Hello Traders, I am looking to buy Gold at a breakout of the falling trendline for a potential trend reversion. Once it breaks 1307.93 high, I am looking to execute a long position. The stop will be below the low of $1280 and the target at around 1368$ or even higher. Due to the fundamental and global risks (U.S.-China, Italy etc), we are currently facing I am pretty much sure that Gold will act as a safe heaven. So the fundamental front looks promising for a potential gold rally. I will risk around 1.5% of my capital on this one. Lets see. Hope this helps. Disclaimer: Trading is about going with the highest probability, nobody is 100% right and we need to protect ourself in case we are wrong. That is why we need to always use a stop-loss when trading. Trade with care. This my current view, and any view present is not a trading recommendation just personal view.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by TradeFxTrends
Macroeconomic Trends & Value Investing StrategyI wanted to touch on an important topic that often gets overlooked or not discussed in the Cryptoasset space. This discussion has to do with global macroeconomic trends and how Cryptoassets fit into the larger overall picture. If you aim to be a disciplined and successful value investor, you have to take global macro trends into account as they absolutely play a vital role in the Crypto markets. Critical Issues - Since the last market downturn, the divide bt/wn US household wealth versus GDP has grown significantly. Almost all asset classes - stocks, bonds, property, crypto - have benefitted from an extremely loose monetary policy (including SEVEN YEARS of zero percent interest rates in the US and negative interest rates abroad) over the past number of years. Low-interest rates mean increasing asset values and distortion is introduced into the markets. In these times, asset valuations become detached from their true intrinsic value as investors continue to allocate money into riskier assets in order to increase return and yields. As interest rates are now on the rise and inflation has returned as a concern, asset prices are vulnerable to a correction. Margin/Credit Debt - Margin & Credit debt reached a record high level in January 2018. Leverage leads to increases in volatility. The magnification that leverage brings can cause extreme market swings when things begin to unwind. Volatility - Last year, the S&P 500 moved 2% or more in a day zero times. There have been six 2% plus moves in 2018 in the first quarter of 2018. High valuations and high leverage across the board have introduced volatility back into markets in 2018. Global Trends - Worldwide government stimulus plans, increasing debt levels, excessive spending and monetary policies, growing support of protectionist measures (aka opposition to free trade agreements) should be cause for concern for any investor. Japan has exploded gov. debt and market manipulation while their economy has stagnant income and slow GDP growth. China has increased debt levels and a surge in speculative investments. Europe has an overburdened social welfare state and few countries have mass amounts of debt. The US major issue is its underfunded public and private pension fund obligations. The key takeaway is that it is important to be mindful of global macroeconomic trends as any number of discussed issues could lead to major market disruptions. Make sure you have a financial strategy to protect yourself and loved ones. It is important to only invest what you can afford to lose and do not bring on any debt obligations that could put you in a difficult position if (and when) economic conditions change. The key to value investing is Capital Preservation. Develop a strategy that allows you to be in a position to be offensive when market distortion is low and asset valuations are more in line with their true intrinsic value - and hopefully a whole lot cheaper!
AMEX:SPY
by BitInfo12
enjoy the rideIn short our full net short position in gold,silver and mining stocks is well justified from the measurement of risk and reward at the time of writing this article/idea Are you ready for the exciting ride which is about to happen? If not then be prepare because at the end of this ride it will present us the ultimate long opportunity but before that happens we will have many opportunity to gain some short term profits and guess what we are exactly doing that with our current net short position but it looks like it's just a start due to very low volume in gold and mining stocks last several days were so boring but yesterday and today's session took it to the extreme and that's what we were expecting that's why we didn't post our article from 2 days because literally nothing has happened,we already emphasize several times that low volume in gold often precedes big decline in precious metals and that's what we are seeing right now and the implication of yesterday's extremely low volume giving a very serious bearish sign In a below chart you could clearly see that gold stocks break to new 2018 low,from daily perspective it might be not seem important but it is as it was the lowest daily close since late nov 2016 In our previous article/idea we mentioned that gold miners could still move higher but the likelihood of under performing during upswing is somewhat greater,hence the HUI index managed to move up to 174 and then decline again,thing to note is during the upswing HUI index unable to close above 2017 low,this point is validating our bearish view even more but there are other things too which is confirming our bias even more one of it is volume,check the charts below during yesterday downswing volume has been increased significantly and that's a clear sign of upcoming bearish move,In the next several days we could see slide in silver prices let's get right to silver,similar pattern in white metal is ongoing for now,triangle apex showing generating more sell signal for white metal so we could seen a decline very shortly in silver prices,so now let's figure out how much silver can slide in near term? Based on our analysis silver is likely to slide to 15.200-15.700 before this month ends,that could be a very volatile movement There are some more valid reasons which are giving us this target area and that's the comparison of previous decline,if the same pattern will be continue we can expect the movement of decline to be same to the size of decline by which the whole pattern has been started GOLD Target-In the case of gold we can't figure out the self similar pattern,so we think that current declining in gold will be similar to the previous short term-declines,based on the apex reversal technique gold is likely to bottom next week below 1280,this is our short term target area,however we have other targets too not based on apex reversal or rising support line bused on the nov 2017 low,based on that gold is likely to go down to 1240-1250 target zone,both target areas are valid even more as they are supported by fib retracement levels and on the rally of entire nov2016-jan2018 rally overall multiple signals are pointing out to much lower prices in gold,silver and mining stocks as we are seeing that movement has been started to build but it's just a beginning big decline is just around the corner,it seems very likely that next 5-8 trading days will be highly volatile and note our words-we will see new 2018 lows shortly our positions-gold entry-1230 ,stop loss-1386 1st t.p-1280 our position-silver entry-16.700 stop loss-17.440 T.p-14.630 IF the target areas were reached next week as desribed we can close all the existing position or even reverse our position if market situation will allow us, we will update you anyways many regards-neeraj pandey
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by NeerajPandey
4