XAUUSD Short: Correction Phase Will ContinueHello, traders! The prior market structure for XAUUSD was a bearish descending channel. This trend was decisively reversed by a bullish initiative from the pivot point low near the demand zone 2, which triggered a breakout and established the current bullish market phase, shifting control to the buyers.
Currently, the price auction is being guided by a well-defined ascending channel. A strong impulse has carried XAUUSD to the upper boundary of this channel, which represents dynamic resistance. The market is now testing this ceiling after a sustained rally, a key area where sellers may emerge to initiate a corrective phase against the dominant uptrend.
The primary scenario anticipates a short-term corrective move from the channel's resistance. The expectation is that the upper boundary will hold, leading to a rejection and a downward rotation back towards the channel's median. A failure to break higher would confirm that a temporary pause in the uptrend is likely. The take-profit is therefore set at 3555 points, targeting an intermediate liquidity level. Manage your risk!
Gold
Gold Roadmap | Short termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) created a new All-Time High(ATH) almost every day this week.
How long do you think this upward trend in Gold will continue?
Reasons for Gold's upward trend this week:
Announcement of the US economic indexes.
Geopolitical issues that occurred in the world(China meeting, possible tension between Venezuela and the US, etc.)
Gold is currently moving between the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and the Support zone($3,580-$3,572) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 3 .
I expect Gold to start rising again from the Fibonacci levels and touch the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($3,580-$3,572) and Support lines, we can expect further declines.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Silver | H4 Double Top | GTradingMethod
🧐 Market Overview:
All my variables have been met.
Some of the variables I look for are as follows:
- RSI divergence
- Lower volume on top 2 (In this case JOLTS came out, which causes an exception to the volume rule)
- Attack candle closes in range
Opened a short position on Silver.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.9
🎯 Entry: 41.29
🛑 Stop Loss: 41.67
💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 39.93
💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 39.34
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Sometimes news events (like JOLTS) can disrupt normal volume behavior. That’s why it’s key to use multiple variables together, not rely on just one signal.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
GOLD: Short Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 3617.4
Sl - 3624.9
Tp -3601.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold Price Outlook – Key Levels & Buy TriggerGold (XAUUSD) is holding its bullish structure within the upward channel, currently trading near 3531 after testing key support. The main buy zone lies between 3511–3524, where Fibonacci support and channel trendline align. A confirmed bounce and close above 3537 would trigger fresh buying momentum, targeting 3578, followed by 3619 and 3644. The overall trend remains bullish as long as 3511 holds, while a break below 3470 would weaken the outlook.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
- Immediate Support: 3511 – 3524. A strong confluence with the channel support makes this the main buy zone.
- Immediate Resistance: 3537, 3578
- Major Upside Targets: 3619, 3644
Invalidation: 3470 (previous swing low). If broken, the trend may weaken toward 3450.
Buy Zone: 3511 – 3524 (Fibonacci 0.618 & 0.5 retracement + channel support).
Buy Trigger: Bullish rejection or H1 close above 3537 confirming strength for upside continuation.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: Gold Income or Bargain Entry?The Setup: A Pullback with a Plan
Gold has been riding a strong bullish wave, yet momentum indicators suggest it's time for a breather. RSI is now overbought, and if history repeats, we could see a healthy correction of up to 9.29%, in line with prior pullbacks. This projects price near 3255, where we also find a cluster of UnFilled Orders (UFOs) acting as a potentially relevant support. It’s a key price area where buyers may step in again.
Rather than try to perfectly time the correction or the bottom, we’re applying a more forgiving approach: selling a PUT far below current price—generating income while leaving room to be wrong by over 375 points.
This is not a hedge. This is a standalone income strategy that accepts risk but frames it intelligently using technical context and options structure.
The Strategy: Selling the 3250 PUT on GC
We're using a simple but powerful strategy—selling a naked PUT—which can generate income or result in ownership of Gold at a deep discount if price dips.
Underlying Asset: GCZ2025 – using Gold Futures Options (Nov 24 2025 Expiration)
Strategy: Sell 1x 3250 PUT
Premium Collected: 10.09 points ≈ $1,009
Breakeven Price: 3240
Max Profit: $1,009 (if Gold stays above 3250 until expiration)
Max Risk: Unlimited below breakeven
There are two possible outcomes here:
Gold stays above 3250 → we keep the full premium.
Gold drops below 3250 → we get assigned and become long GC at 3250. From there, we’re exposed to downside risk in Gold, with a breakeven at 3240.
The position benefits from time decay and stable to rising prices, but it does carry the full downside exposure of long Gold futures if the trade moves against us.
We want to be very clear here—this is a naked trade with undefined risk. That doesn’t make it reckless if done with sizing discipline and technical alignment, but it’s not a beginner-friendly strategy.
Gold Contract Specs
Understanding the size and risk of what you're trading is critical—especially with naked options.
✅ GC – Gold Futures (Full Size)
Symbol: GC
Contract Size: 100 troy ounces
Tick Size: 0.10 = $10
Point Value: 1 point = $100
Initial Margin (as of Sep 2025): ~$15,000 per contract (subject to change)
Underlying for the Option: GC Futures
✅ MGC – Micro Gold Futures
Symbol: MGC
Contract Size: 10 troy ounces
Tick Size: 0.10 = $1
Point Value: 1 point = $10
Initial Margin: ~$1,500 per contract (subject to change)
Why does this matter?
Because if GC collapses below 3250 and you're assigned long, you’ll be exposed to full-size futures. That’s $100 per point of movement. A 50-point drop? That's $5,000 in unrealized loss.
That’s where MGC becomes your best ally. Micro Gold futures offer a scalable way to hedge. If price begins moving down or breaks below the support zone, one could short MGC against the Short GC 3250 PUT to cap further losses or rebalance directional exposure with reduced size and margin impact.
The Technical Confluence: Where Structure Meets Strategy
The 3250 strike isn’t just a random number—it’s calculated. Historical RSI-based corrections in Gold have shown recent worse-case scenarios around 9.29%, and projecting that from recent highs lands us precisely near the 3255 zone. This level also aligns with a clear UFO support, where institutional buyers have likely left behind unfilled orders.
That confluence—statistical retracement, technical indicator, and order flow support—gives the 3250 strike an interesting probability structure. Selling a Put beneath it means we are placing our bet below the “floor” and getting paid while we wait.
If Gold never corrects that far, we profit.
If it does, we might get long near a historically meaningful level.
There’s no need to catch the top. There’s no need to nail the bottom.
Just structure the trade where the odds are already potentially skewed in your favor.
Trade Plan: Reward, Risk & Realism
This trade isn’t about precision entry or leveraged glory—it’s about risk-defined logic with a cash-flow twist. Here's the full breakdown:
🧠 Trade Parameters
Strategy: Sell 1x Gold Futures 3250 PUT Options
Premium Collected: 10.09 points = $1,009
Point Value (GC): $100/point
Breakeven Price: 3240 (3250 – 10)
Expiration: Nov 24, 2025
🟩 If Gold Stays Above 3250
You keep the full premium → $1,009 profit
🟥 If Gold Falls Below 3250
You may be assigned 1 GC contra<ct long at 3250
Unrealized losses begin below breakeven (3240)
Losses can be significant if Gold falls aggressively
⚠️ Reward-to-Risk?
Reward is capped at $1,009
Risk is unlimited below breakeven
The trade only makes sense if you're prepared to own Gold, or hedge dynamically via MGC or using any other technique
This isn’t a “set-and-forget” income play—it’s a calculated entry into a structured exposure with a fallback plan.
Risk Management: No Margin for Error
Selling naked options isn’t “free money.” It’s responsibility wrapped in premium. Here's what must be considered:
❗ Undefined Risk
When you sell a naked PUT, you're exposed to the full downside. If Gold drops $100 below your strike, that’s a $10,000 loss. Don’t sell naked options unless you’re ready—and capitalized—to buy the underlying or actively hedge it.
🔄 Use MGC to Hedge
If Gold breaks below 3250, using Micro Gold Futures (MGC) offers a surgical way to hedge risk without overleveraging. A simple short MGC can offset GC losses proportionally, depending on how aggressive the move becomes.
🧮 Precision Matters
Avoid entering trades too early or too large.
Place an “invalidation” point: if price violates the support zone with conviction, reduce or hedge exposure.
Never sell premium just because it’s “high”—sell where structure backs the trade.
📊 Discipline Trumps Direction
This strategy is valid only if risk is respected. The market doesn’t owe anyone consistency—but a structured, risk-controlled approach keeps you in the game long enough to see it.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Gold Breaks New Highs, Momentum Still Favouring BullsHello friends, the past week has been quite rewarding for gold as it surged through major resistance levels and printed fresh highs. On the H4 chart, the trend looks very clear: price action is holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud, with Tenkan sitting comfortably above Kijun, and the cloud slope widening further. Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain unfilled below, showing that buying momentum is powerful and liquidity is being left behind — a signature of a strong rally, not just a short-term move.
In terms of price action, the immediate resistance lies between $3,535–3,560. A clean H4 close above this area may unlock the next natural expansion towards $3,580–3,600. On the downside, layered supports are found at $3,520–3,505, then $3,485–3,470, and deeper at $3,440–3,420, coinciding with the upper edge of the cloud, often tested during medium-term uptrends.
Fundamentally, the environment still favours buyers: safe-haven demand is rising, the Fed is expected to ease policy sooner, and the USD is weakening, all adding fuel to the bullish case. Unless gold closes back into the cloud and loses the $3,440–3,420 zone, the probability of trend continuation remains high.
Do you think gold can stretch further from here? Share your thoughts below!
XAUUSD Overextended: Waiting for Retrace & BoS Before LongsAt the moment, Gold is in a very strong bullish trend 🟢📈, pushing into all-time highs 🏆. However, price is now trading in an area of very thin liquidity 💧⚠️, which carries the risk of a potential pullback 🔻 as smart money 💼 looks to tap into liquidity pools from previous levels to position long.
🔎 In the video, we break down:
Price action 📊
Market structure 🧩
Some Wyckoff concepts 📚
My thoughts on trading when the market is overextended 🚀⚠️
💡 Remember: we don’t want to buy at a premium ❌💰. The better play is to wait for a meaningful pullback ⏳ and a market structure break 🔓 before looking for long opportunities.
⚠️ This analysis is educational and not financial advice. 📚
Gold 1H – Smart Money Plays Below 3,600Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,600 after sweeping short-term liquidity. Price is currently building imbalance around intraday highs, while demand sits lower at 3,565. This structure suggests engineered moves to trap both buyers and sellers before the next expansion.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,565 – 3,563 (SL 3,560): Discount demand block, aligned with bullish order flow.
• 📍 Scalp Sell Zone 3,594 – 3,596 (SL 3,601): Intraday rejection pocket; scalp opportunity.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,630 – 3,628 (SL 3,637): Premium supply zone, ideal for liquidity sweep reaction.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,565 – 3,563
• Stop Loss: 3,560
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,585
o TP2: 3,595
o TP3: 3,600+
👉 Expect liquidity sweep into discount demand before resuming bullish trend.
🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Intraday Reaction
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,596
• Stop Loss: 3,601
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,592
o TP2: 3,590
o TP3: 3,585 → 3580 → 3570 → 3560
👉 Short-term liquidity pocket; scalp only with strict risk control.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,630 – 3,628
• Stop Loss: 3,637
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,610
o TP2: 3,600
o TP3: 3,590
👉 Targeting liquidity resting below intraday lows; best for quick shorts.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep of 3,626 supply before driving price back into 3,565 demand. Cleaner setup is to buy dips, while sell scalps remain short-lived opportunities.
XAUUSD – Bull Pressure Builds After Breakout | Prediction SundayGold (XAUUSD) continues its bullish climb across all major timeframes after cleanly breaking out of a short-term descending channel. The higher timeframes now show strong consolidation above structure, suggesting potential continuation.
4H Analysis:
Breakout Retest Completed:
Price broke out of the short-term descending channel, retested structure cleanly around 3,524.91, and is now respecting an ascending channel.
Current Consolidation:
Gold is consolidating under the 3,600 resistance zone, holding strong above support at 3,578.50, forming a bullish flag-like structure.
1H Structure:
Support at 3,578.50 has been tested multiple times with rejection wicks, showing buyer strength.
If price breaks and closes above 3,600, continuation into 3,650 and beyond is likely.
A break below 3,524.91 would shift focus back to the 3,500 level and invalidate the short-term bullish setup.
🗺 Daily Context:
Price is trading within a well-respected ascending channel. The macro trend remains bullish as long as structure above 3,500 holds.
Trading Plan:
Bias: Bullish
Buy Zone: Retests near 3,578–3,580
Target: 3,600 → 3,625+
Invalidation: Break below 3,524.91
"Structure tells the story. Let the market reveal its hand, then strike."
New Week on Gold and we could continue strong!Im looking for price to give more indication on what it wants to do but we are bullish until proven otherwise. for now its is not in a position that I would like to enter cause it can go either way. All moves are scalps untill we get some more breaks on levels.
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – September 8, 2025On the H1 timeframe, Gold (XAUUSD) continues to trade within a strong bullish structure. After forming a bullish flag pattern, price successfully broke out and extended toward the resistance zone at 3,585 – 3,590 USD/oz, where sellers stepped in to lock profits, leading to the current pullback.
Technical Outlook
Trendline & Price Structure
The dominant bias remains uptrend, confirmed by higher highs and higher lows.
The rising trendline from the 3,480 region is still intact, supporting bullish momentum.
Fibonacci Retracement
Measuring the breakout leg from 3,540 → 3,590:
Fibo 0.382 ≈ 3,570 USD → first support zone.
Fibo 0.618 ≈ 3,555 USD → stronger support.
EMA & Momentum
EMA20 and EMA50 on H1 are sloping upward, showing continuation bias.
RSI has cooled down from overbought, suggesting potential consolidation before another move higher.
Key Levels
Resistance: 3,585 – 3,590 (local top), extended to 3,610 – 3,620.
Support: 3,570 (Fibo 0.382), 3,555 (Fibo 0.618), extended to 3,540 (trendline confluence).
Trading Strategies
Buy on dip (trend-following):
Look for entries around 3,555 – 3,570.
Stop loss: below 3,540.
Targets: 3,590 – 3,610, extended toward 3,620.
Short-term Sell (counter-trend):
If price rejects strongly at 3,590, scalpers may consider a pullback trade toward 3,570 – 3,555.
Note: Counter-trend setups carry higher risk, use tight stops.
Conclusion: Gold remains in an intraday bullish trend. Current pullback is likely a healthy retest before buyers regain control toward the 3,600+ zone. Best setups remain buying dips at key support zones with proper risk management.
👉 Follow this analysis for more daily Gold trading strategies, and save it if you find it helpful.
GOLD hits $3,600 target, market focuses on CPIOANDA:XAUUSD continued to surge, hitting a record high of $3,600/ounce on Friday, following unusually weak U.S. non-farm payrolls data. The market now believes there is a 10% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September, leaving investors wary of the risk of a significant rate cut at this meeting.
The Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September
According to the CME's "Fed Watch" tool, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 0, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 88.3%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 11.7% (the probability was 0 before the release of non-farm payrolls data).
OANDA:XAUUSD is currently hitting new highs as bulls see a significant slowdown in employment as a sign of more rate cuts. The outlook for gold remains bullish as employment concerns continue to outweigh inflation in the short to medium term.
OANDA:XAUUSD is up 37% this year, driven largely by a weaker dollar, central bank buying, dovish monetary policy and rising geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
Gold itself does not generate interest, but it does well in low- or high-uncertainty environments, making it a safe haven for investors’ money.
The outlook for gold is positive as the Federal Reserve’s independence is under threat following Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Tim Cook, weakening the dollar and boosting investor appetite for the precious metal. Gold traders are focused on next week’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. If inflation continues to decline, that would strengthen the case for a rate cut at the September 16-17 meeting.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
First, gold has achieved the $3,600 price target and a new all-time high.
Currently, the technical conditions and technical positions are all bullish, with a short-term directional bullish channel and major support from the EMA21. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has not provided any signals of a possible correction in momentum, even though it has been operating in the overbought zone (80 to 100) for some time.
In the short term, gold may retest the all-time high, then target around $3,613 in the short term, which is the price point of the 0.382% Fibonacci extension. And the nearest support is noted at $3,574, which is the price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci extension.
As long as gold remains above $3,550, it is not in a position to correct lower, and any dips due to profit-taking should be considered as a short-term move rather than a trend.
Finally, the overall trend of gold is bullish, and the notable points will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,574 – $3,550
Resistance: $3,600 – $3,613
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3607 - 3605⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3611
→Take Profit 1 3599
↨
→Take Profit 2 3593
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3548 - 3550⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3544
→Take Profit 1 3556
↨
→Take Profit 2 3562
Gold: Rally Holds After Weak NFP ShockHello everyone, the latest NFP report came in far below expectations (+22k jobs, unemployment at 4.3%), sending USD and yields sharply lower. Gold instantly broke higher, touching the 3,600 mark – a fresh all-time high. Markets now price in a Fed rate cut in September with strong conviction, fueling safe-haven demand.
On the H4 charts, the bullish setup looks intact: price remains above the Ichimoku cloud with stacked demand FVGs supporting below. The 3,595–3,600 area is the key pivot; a clean breakout would unlock 3,615–3,630 and potentially 3,650. Closest supports sit at 3,575–3,565 and 3,555–3,548, while only a daily close under 3,515 would signal weakness.
My bias favors a shallow pullback before continuation, as Fed easing expectations remain the main driver. As long as gold stays above 3,555–3,548, the path toward 3,600+ remains open.
What’s your outlook—do you expect new highs soon?
XAUUSD - Daily | The breakout is REALSimple trading - Triangle pattern
Gold is back to making All-Time highs. Reaching as high as 3600. You can see the breakout was fast and instant. In less than 2 weeks, gold managed to move the price over 1500 pips.
The target of the triangle breakout is nearly reached. Roughly 3675.
Gold has already tested support that was previously a bullish daily FVG. With clean rejection, we see the price remaining bullish.
Gold Futures Short Into Asia 9/7/25Based on the current Fair Value Gap (FVG), Order Block (OB), and the liquidity resting below, I anticipate gold will retrace toward the Point of Control (POC) identified on the volume profile. This would provide an ideal setup for short-term selling opportunities during tonight’s PM session.
My expectation is for price to open lower, push into the 3658 range, and present a bearish entry signal. From there, I’ll be targeting shorts toward the equilibrium of the FVG around 3619, which also aligns closely with previous session highs and lows—adding confluence to the setup.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Buy And sell Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal : 3557
🩸Bullish Reversal : 3484
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold Rally at Its Peak – Correction on the Horizon?Gold Rally at Its Peak – Correction on the Horizon?
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical–Fundamental Market Report
Over the past weeks, gold has shown a significant transition in market structure. After a prolonged distribution and corrective phase through late July into mid-August, price action shifted decisively into a strong bullish cycle. The early downtrend was marked by repeated breaks of structure to the downside, reflecting selling pressure and controlled liquidity grabs.
From late August onward, gold transitioned into accumulation, where price consolidated, absorbed liquidity, and built momentum. This was followed by a clear breakout phase, marked by multiple bullish break-of-structure signals. The market demonstrated aggressive upward expansion, driven by momentum and strong order flow, suggesting institutional positioning.
Fundamentally, this aligns with the current macro backdrop: gold often gains strength when investors anticipate monetary policy easing, inflationary risks, or geopolitical tensions. The consistent bullish run reflects a flight-to-safety narrative, supported by capital inflows.
Currently, price action shows extended bullish movement nearing exhaustion, with signs of potential short-term corrective pressure. The dotted projection suggests a retracement phase could be expected after testing higher liquidity zones, a natural reaction to overextended momentum.
XAUUSDGold remains in a strong uptrend. Last Friday, the release of the non-farm payrolls figures, which were lower than expected, and a weaker dollar, pushed gold prices higher, reaching an all-time high of $3,600.
Gold Direction: On Monday, as the gold price is currently facing no resistance, it appears to be trading very high. The RSI indicator is in the "overbought" zone, which could lead to short-term selling pressure.
Main scenario: At the price zone of 3599$-3613$, if the gold price cannot break above the level of 3613$, there is a possibility of a short-term price drop, consider selling the red zone.
(Very Risky Trade)
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Gold Daily Chart Analysis –> Triangle BreakoutHello guys!
Gold has finally broken out of a large triangle consolidation pattern that has been building for weeks. The price action respected both the top resistance line and the bottom support line multiple times, showing clear compression before the breakout.
🚀 Recently, the price broke above the top line of the triangle, confirming a bullish breakout. This kind of move usually signals the start of a continuation phase with momentum in the direction of the breakout.
Based on the measured move from the triangle formation, the projected target sits around 3,591.60 USD. Price is currently trading near 3,476 USD, which still leaves room for further upside.
💡 Typically, after such a breakout, the market may retest the broken resistance line (now turned support) before resuming its move higher. (but the pullback is not certain now)
Summary:
Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Breakout Direction: Bullish
Current Price: 3,476 USD
Target: 3,591.60 USD
As long as Gold holds above the broken triangle resistance, the bias remains bullish toward the projected target.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Sep 08 - Sep 12]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD price increased sharply, from 3,436 USD/oz to 3,600 USD/oz and closed the week at 3,586 USD/oz. The reason for the sharp increase in gold price this week is due to the conflict between the Trump administration and the FED increasing when Mr. Trump announced the dismissal of FED Governor Lisa Cook. Previously, Mr. Trump repeatedly attacked FED Chairman Jerome Powell for not reducing interest rates and also threatened to fire Mr. Powell.
In addition, the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report for August dealt a further blow to the already weak job market, as employers added just 22,000 jobs, far below economists' forecasts of 75,000. The dismal figure followed an equally worrying July report of 73,000 new jobs, while revisions reduced the number by 258,000 jobs from the previous two months. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%.
The worsening jobs picture has reinforced expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates at its meeting on September 16-17. Market participants now see a 0.25% rate cut as a near certainty, with some economists even suggesting the Fed could cut rates by as much as 0.5%.
Next week, the US will release two important inflation figures, CPI and PPI. If the monthly core CPI increases by 0.5% or more, it may cause investors to reassess the probability of multiple rate cuts by the FED this year. This will support the USD, which will be detrimental to gold prices next week. On the contrary, if the core CPI increases by only 0.3%, it may cause the USD to fall, supporting gold prices to continue to rise next week.
📌Technically, on the H4 chart, if the gold price maintains its uptrend, it will move up to the next resistance level determined at the Fibonacci extension Fibo261.8 level around the threshold of 3,680 USD/oz. In case of a correction, the support level should be noted around the hard resistance level as well as the dynamic resistance level at the area of 3,450 USD/oz.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,574 – 3,550USD
Resistance: 3,600 – 3,613USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3681 - 3679⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3685
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3449 - 3451⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3445
H1 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – Full Map (Sep 8–12, 2025)Hello traders, gold trades around 3585–3600. The H1 chart now gives us the full structural map: all supply levels stacked above price, and all demand levels layered below. This is the tactical roadmap for the week 👇
🔑 H1 Structural Supply Zones (Upside Resistance)
Immediate Supply (3618–3628)
H1 OB + bearish FVG
Liquidity above Friday’s wick
Fib 127% extension
Primary Supply (3668–3678)
Refined H4 supply
Fib 161.8% extension
Gap inefficiency
Extended Supply (3725–3735)
Next liquidity pocket
H1 imbalance zone inside rally
Target only if CPI fuels expansion
Extreme Supply (3790–3805)
HTF fib 200% extension
Last clean H1 OB before weekly resistance cluster
🔑 H1 Structural Demand Zones (Downside Support)
Immediate Demand (3562–3552)
H1 OB + EMA21
Fib 61.8% retracement
Gap-fill from breakout
Primary Demand (3528–3515)
OB + EMA50 support
Unfilled FVG
Fib 78.6% retracement
Secondary Demand (3488–3475)
Previous accumulation base
Micro OB + gap imbalance
Aligned with EMA100
Deep Demand (3445–3430)
Institutional block
Strong HTF liquidity pool
Only tested on aggressive USD rally
📌 Scenarios
Bullish Path 🟢
Hold Immediate Demand (3562–3552) → retest 3618–3628.
Break above this → continuation toward 3668–3678.
If macro stays supportive, 3725–3735 may unlock later.
Bearish Path 🔴
Rejection at 3618–3628 sends gold back to 3562–3552.
Losing this opens 3528–3515, then deeper 3488–3475.
Strong CPI/PPI could flush into 3445–3430.
✅ Conclusion & Action Plan
The full H1 map frames this week clearly:
Supplies stacked: 3618–3628 → 3668–3678 → 3725–3735 → 3790–3805.
Demands layered: 3562–3552 → 3528–3515 → 3488–3475 → 3445–3430.
Between these zones is the battlefield — trade reactions, not guesses. Let PA confirm (BOS, rejection, slowdown) before execution.
✨ Which zone do you expect to trigger first — the Immediate Supply 3628 or the Immediate Demand 3552? Drop your view 👇,please 🚀🚀🚀and follow GoldFxMinds for precision weekly maps 🚀