XAUUSD: August 28th Market Analysis and StrategyGold Support and Resistance Levels:
Daily Chart Resistance: 3440, Support: 3350
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3420, Support: 3374
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3409, Support: 3385
Based on the market, 3400 serves as a reference resistance level for today, followed by 3420. Short-term support focuses on yesterday's low of 3374, followed by the weekly low of 3351. In the short term, 3380-3385 may become a key level for gold prices today. If it fails to fall below 3380, gold prices will continue to fluctuate upward. In the NY market, focus on the upward pressure in the 3409-3420 range, and the support levels of 3385 and 3734. My personal recommendation is to buy on dips!
BUY:3385near
BUY:3374near
SELL:3409near
SELL:3420near
Gold
Gold (XAUUSD) – Waiting for Buy Opportunity Near Range SupportWe're currently inside a range and approaching its lower boundary.
There was a chance to go long a bit lower, but there’s still time — the highlighted zone looks like a solid area to consider longs.
We’re patiently waiting for price to enter the zone and give us a valid buy signal.
No rush. Let the market come to us
GOLD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,406.14
Target Level: 3,357.86
Stop Loss: 3,438.15
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold (XAUUSD) Intraday Analysis – August 29, 2025On the H1 timeframe, gold has just created a fresh high around 3,420 USD/oz but faced strong selling pressure, pushing the price back to 3,407 USD/oz. This indicates that the 3,420 resistance zone remains a solid short-term barrier.
Technical Analysis
Key Resistance Levels:
3,420 USD/oz – the recent top, a breakout above this level may extend the bullish move toward 3,435 – 3,450 USD/oz.
3,407 – 3,410 USD/oz – current retest zone. Holding above it could trigger another attempt to test 3,420.
Key Support Levels:
3,380 – 3,385 USD/oz – highlighted demand area, acting as intraday support.
3,360 USD/oz – stronger support, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the previous bullish leg.
EMA & RSI Outlook:
EMA 20 is still pointing upward, reflecting an intact bullish trend.
RSI on H1 shows slight bearish divergence → signaling a possible short-term pullback before continuation.
Trading Strategies
Buy the Dip (trend-following setup):
Look for long entries around 3,385 – 3,390 USD/oz.
Targets: 3,420 – 3,435 USD/oz.
Stop loss: below 3,375 USD/oz.
Counter-trend Sell (short-term setup):
If price fails to break 3,420 USD/oz, consider selling between 3,415 – 3,420 USD/oz.
Target: 3,385 USD/oz.
Stop loss: above 3,426 USD/oz.
- The overall trend remains bullish, but traders should wait for a corrective dip to enter with better risk-reward.
- Save this analysis to track the key levels and stay prepared for intraday setups.
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Analysis 29.08.2025Gold has been trading in a bullish trend, moving higher without any significant retracement yesterday. Currently, price is holding around 3405–3407 after rejecting higher levels.
Looking at the chart, a potential retracement zone lies at 3393–3396, which aligns with a demand area and prior consolidation. If price retraces into this zone, it may provide a strong opportunity to join the ongoing bullish trend.
The upside target remains at 3415, which corresponds to the next resistance area, while invalidation of this setup lies below 3386 support.
Trading Idea:
Entry (Buy Zone): 3393–3396
Stop Loss (SL): 3386
Take Profit (TP): 3415
Risk-to-Reward ratio: ~1:2
Plan: Wait for retracement into the 3393–3396 zone, and find confirmatoin before entering long.
Gold bullish run continuation supported at 3376The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3376 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3376 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3420 – initial resistance
3430 – psychological and structural level
3440 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3376 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3365 – minor support
3353 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3376. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
August 28th Latest Gold Trend Analysis Strategy:
📊 1. Key Data and Event Impact
Revised US Q2 real GDP annualized quarterly rate (expected 3.1%, previous value 3.0%), weekly initial jobless claims.
If the data is revised downward, it could weaken the US dollar and boost gold.
If the data is revised upward, it could reinforce the Federal Reserve's cautious stance, suppressing gold prices in the short term.
📉 2. Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
Primary Support: 3380-3385 (5-day moving average, intraday bull-bear divide).
Strong support: 3373-3375 (recent low point, key support at the 4-hour level).
Deeper Support: 3360-3362 (10/20-day moving average convergence area), 3350 (21-day moving average).
Resistance Levels:
Near-term resistance: 3400 (psychological barrier, a breakout could see upward movement to 3409-3410).
Core resistance: 3414-3425 (daily level descending trend line pressure & Bollinger band upper track, a breakthrough will open a new round of upward space).
Technical Indicators:
Daily moving averages are bullish, but significant pressure exists in the 3410-3425 area.
The 14-day RSI is around 57, which is in the bullish range, but the momentum has slowed down slightly.
The MACD on the 4-hour chart is flat, so we need to be wary of short-term pullback risks.
The following are the key bull-bear points:
Support: 3380-3385, near the 5-day moving average, initial support; a break below indicates short-term weakness.
3373-3375, recent lows, important support, and a 4-hour moving average watershed.
3360-3362, 10-day/20-day moving average convergence zone, strong support.
Resistance: 3400, a psychological round number.
3409-3410, recent highs and trendline resistance.
3414-3425, key resistance at the daily descending trendline; a break above suggests a move to 3450.
🛠️ III. Trading Strategy Recommendations
1. Trend Follower
Buy Strategy:
If gold prices fall back to the 3380-3385 area and stabilize, consider a light long position with a stop-loss below 3370, targeting 3400-3405. If gold prices break through 3414 and stabilize, consider going long with the trend, targeting 3425 or even 3440.
Short Strategy:
If gold prices fail to break through 3400 and show signs of a pullback, consider a small-scale short position with a stop-loss above 3405, targeting 3385-3390.
2. Range Trader (Buy Low and Sell High)
Trade within the 3373-3409 range.
Consider going long near the lower edge of the range (e.g., 3380-3385) and a stabilization signal (e.g., a doji or bullish engulfing candlestick pattern) appears.
Consider shorting when it approaches the upper edge of the range (such as 3400-3405) and encounters resistance.
Be sure to set a stop loss (for example, stop loss below 3370 for long orders and above 3415 for short orders). If the range is broken, stop loss and consider following the trend.
3. Cautious Investors
We recommend a wait-and-see approach, waiting for gold prices to effectively break through key resistance (3414-3425) or support (3360-3362), and then choosing an opportunity to enter the market once the direction is clear.
Pay close attention to the market reaction after the release of US economic data before making any decisions.
⚠️ IV. Risk Warning
Data Risk: If US GDP and initial jobless claims data significantly exceed expectations, this could weaken expectations of a rate cut and put pressure on gold prices.
Speech Risk: If Fed Governor Waller makes hawkish remarks (such as emphasizing data-driven reliance and a reluctance to cut rates), this could weigh on gold prices.
Technical Risk: If gold prices fall below the key support level of $3373, a further pullback to the 3360-3362 or even 3350 range is possible in the short term.
Political Risk: The controversy surrounding Trump's dismissal of Fed Governor Cook continues. If the legal dispute escalates, it could exacerbate market concerns about the Fed's independence and increase gold's safe-haven appeal.
💎 5. Conclusion
Overall, gold remains in a short-term, volatile, and relatively strong pattern. Key support lies in the $3373-3385 area. The primary upside target is to overcome the $3409-3410 resistance level, and then challenge the key resistance zone of $3414-3425.
Operationally, the key lies in identifying price reactions at key support and resistance levels. Following the trend and strictly controlling risk are the primary strategies at this time.
GOLD: Long Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3407.2
Sl - 3403.8
Tp - 3415.5
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Is the entire network bullish? Trade with cautionGold rose yesterday without any obvious pressure, and bulls continued to exert their strength, 🐂but various technical indicators were close to the overbought area yesterday, and there is a need for technical correction in the short term. 📊
At the same time, due to the lack of certain news to drive gold, it is inevitable that gold will experience a correction today. 📉
Today's general trend is to go long when it falls back to support.📈 Focus on the effectiveness of the support at 3405-3395 below. After stabilizing here, you can consider going long and looking towards 3420-3430.🎯
Key data will be released later in the day, with core PCE data closely watched for new clues on whether the Fed will ease policy further after its September meeting. Any unexpected downside in the core PCE data could increase bets on a Fed rate cut, thereby weakening the US dollar and driving gold prices higher.👀
Today is Friday, and the weekly and monthly lines are about to come to an end. 📊It is necessary to be cautious in trading during the day to prevent unexpected events or possible one-sided market conditions. Strictly eliminate uncontrollable consequences caused by frequent transactions. 🙅♂️If there are any adjustments, we will notify you before the market opens.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Confirmed BoS
A quick follow-up for my yesterday's post for Gold.
Gold successfully violated a key daily resistance and closed above
that, providing a confirmed Break of Structure BoS.
There is a high chance that it will continue rising and reach 3430
resistance soon.
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XAUUSD: Price Rebound from Support line to $3440Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, we've seen a clear shift in control on the chart. The market successfully reversed a prior downtrend by breaking out of a Downward Channel. This breakout was significant and has established the current bullish market structure, which has been guiding the price higher.
This new bullish phase has formed a well-defined Upward Wedge. The price has been respecting its boundaries, making higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the price is undergoing a corrective pullback and is testing the ascending support line of this wedge, which aligns with the Support zone around the 3390 level.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the expectation that this upward wedge structure will remain intact. The current pullback to the support line presents a classic opportunity within an established uptrend.
I'm anticipating a clear bounce from the current support zone. This should initiate a rally back towards the wedge's resistance line. The key part of this scenario is that I expect the buying pressure to be strong enough to force a breakout above that resistance, signaling an acceleration of the trend. The primary target for this breakout scenario is 3440 points.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Gold (XAUUSD) Intraday Analysis – August 29, 20251. Overall Trend
After a strong bullish impulse, gold has completed a harmonic structure (likely a Bearish Gartley / AB=CD) with a clear FVG zone around point C–D. Price recently tested the 3420–3422 resistance and rejected strongly, confirming a short-term correction phase.
For intraday perspective, gold is likely to enter a pullback move to the downside before deciding the next trend.
2. Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
3420 – 3425 (recent swing high + Fibonacci extension).
3435 – 3440 (major resistance; if broken, the bullish trend may extend further).
Support:
3380 – 3385 (first key support, confluence with FVG + 0.5 fib retracement).
3366 – 3370 (harmonic D-point support).
3350 (psychological support, stronger downside if broken).
3. Technical Indicators
EMA: Short-term EMA (20) is still sloping upward, but price is retesting it – a break may trigger further downside.
RSI (H1): Bearish divergence is forming (price making higher highs while RSI lags).
Volume: Selling pressure increased significantly at the 3420 rejection zone.
4. Intraday Trading Strategy
Short Setup (Primary):
Entry: 3410 – 3415 on pullbacks.
Stop Loss: Above 3425.
Take Profit 1: 3385.
Take Profit 2: 3370.
Buy Setup (Countertrend at Support):
Entry: 3370 – 3380 if price holds with bullish confirmation.
Stop Loss: Below 3350.
Take Profit 1: 3400.
Take Profit 2: 3420.
5. Conclusion
Gold is showing clear rejection at 3422, signaling possible continuation of a short-term pullback. Intraday traders may prioritize short positions from resistance and look for buy opportunities only at strong supports.
Risk management is crucial here, as price is trading in the middle of the range and volatility may sweep stops before the next decisive move.
- Keep a close eye on 3380 – 3385 support zone, as it will be the key level that decides whether buyers step back in or sellers take control.
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XAU/USD – Gold holds 3400, waiting for breakout or pullback?⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
FED turns dovish, gold tests a new Storm Breaker
1. News Waves 🌍
FED – Waller: “Tariffs are a tax and do not increase inflation. I’m back with the ‘transitory’ team on inflation.”
👉 A clear signal supporting a 25bps rate cut in September , with the possibility of 1–2 more cuts in the next 3–6 months.
U.S. Senate: preparing hearings for the new FED nominee S. Miran on September 4 → political & monetary spotlight.
Tonight: markets await PCE data , the FED’s preferred inflation gauge.
➡️ Summary: FED leans dovish, supporting gold in the medium term. But in the short term, price still faces profit-taking pressure near resistance.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
On H1, gold has been forming consecutive bullish BOS and has broken above 3,400.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3375 – 3373): large volume accumulation, confluence with FVG → strong entry if price retraces.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3432 – 343x): near previous ATH, likely to face heavy supply if tested.
Key levels:
3375 = critical anchor support.
3438 = target resistance if gold continues higher.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY Zone – Priority)
Entry: 3375 – 3373
SL: 3365
TP: 3378 → 3381 → 3384 → 3387 → 33xx
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Zone – previous ATH reaction)
Entry: 3432 – 343x
SL: 3442
TP: 3428 → 3425 → 3423 → 3420 → 33xx
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
“The gold ship has crossed 3400, but Storm Breaker 🌊 343x remains a tough challenge. If corrective waves appear, be patient at Golden Harbor 🏝️ to board the journey toward a more bullish September.”
Gold Bulls Eye Breakout, But Caution May Be RequiredI'm seeing a lot of bullish calls for a gold breakout this week, and the contrarian within me suspects this could lead to disappointment over the near term. Even though my core bias is for gold to reach new highs eventually. Today I look at market exposure to gold futures from the commitment of traders report alongside key levels on gold's futures chart.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index.
Gold 29/08: Smart Money Targets 3444 or Sweeps 3395Market Context (SMC View):
• Gold rejected from 3423 liquidity zone and is retracing into discount.
• Demand sits at 3397–3395, which could provide a bounce if tapped.
• Premium supply zones above 3422 and 3442 remain attractive for shorts.
________________________________________
🔼 BUY SCENARIO
• Buy Zone: 3397 – 3395
• SL: 3389
• TP: 3405 → 3415 → 3425
________________________________________
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 1 (Price Action)
• Sell Zone: 3422 – 3424
• SL: 3430
• TP: 3412 → 3400
________________________________________
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 2 (Swing)
• Sell Zone: 3442 – 3444
• SL: 3452
• TP: 3425 → 3412 → 3400
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion & Notes
• Bias: Buy on dips at 3397–3395, then look for liquidity grab around 3422–3424 or extended sweep into 3442–3444 for short entries.
• 3422–3424 is the first intraday supply zone, while 3442–3444 is the major swing sell zone.
• Patience: wait for rejection/confirmation candles before selling.
• Protect capital: keep SL tight, as gold tends to hunt liquidity around round numbers.
XAUUSD Shines Bright: Safe-Haven Demand Lifts GoldHello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Yesterday, XAUUSD continued its impressive recovery, with the precious metal trading as high as 3,393 USD and still holding around 3,387 at the time of writing.
This sharp rally from near 3,350 up to almost 3,400 is largely driven by the broad sell-off in the U.S. Dollar (USD) and weaker short-term U.S. Treasury yields. These factors boosted safe-haven demand for gold as investors shifted capital into the metal.
This week, the market will focus on the upcoming U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, due on August 29. As the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, this data will be crucial in shaping expectations for potential Fed rate cuts, which could further influence gold’s direction.
I remain optimistic on gold’s outlook, with my analysis targeting resistance at 3,400 – 3,415 and support in the 3,350 – 3,360 zone. The short-term trend still favors the upside.
What do you think about XAUUSD? Share your view!
Gold Surge: Preparing for a Possible Pullback at Supply ZoneThroughout August, gold has steadily risen in value, experiencing only minor retracements along the way. Currently, the price is approaching a significant daily supply zone, situated at the top of the market. Recent data indicates that non-commercial traders have been increasing their short positions over the past few weeks, hinting at a potential capitulation or liquidation of positions soon. Meanwhile, retail investors continue to push longs, whereas commercial traders remain positioned more neutrally, gradually adding to their holdings. Moving forward, I will closely monitor the next supply zone, as it could present an ideal opportunity to initiate a short position, capitalizing on potential market exhaustion at this resistance level.
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XAUUSDUpdate:
Gold Price Trend: As per our previous analysis on July 28, 2025, the price has now tested the support at 3,269. We expect that if the gold price can hold above 3,249, the gold price trend will remain bullish. We recommend considering buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Interest rate forecast to decreaseMarkets now expect the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates as early as September. Traders have almost fully priced in a 25 basis point cut, with further easing likely in October and December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
“Recent U.S. economic data have prompted us to revise our rate forecasts lower,” BofA said, citing signs of a cooling labor market. “Recent weakness in employment data, slowing job growth, and other signs of labor market slack could prompt the Fed to change its risk assessment.”
The bank also said political pressure on the Fed, including criticism from President Donald Trump, could continue to weigh on the dollar.
“The risks to the Fed’s independence are well recognized, but now markets must also factor in the implications of institutional weakness at statistical agencies,” the analysts stressed.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook - 29 August 2025Gold remains in a highly reactive zone, with price currently consolidating near the $3410 handle. Institutional order flow shows a battle between bulls defending discount demand zones and bears attempting to exploit premium supply levels. By combining Daily, 4H, and 1H confluences, today’s analysis outlines the most execution-ready buy and sell zones with defined entries, stop-loss levels, and profit targets.
🔹 Primary Buy Zone – $3388 to $3396
This is the highest-probability demand area for today. On the Daily timeframe, the zone sits within a deep discount region of the last bullish leg, aligning with the broader macro bias. The 4H chart reveals a fresh, unmitigated bullish order block, while the 1H structure confirms a BOS (Break of Structure) and liquidity sweep beneath equal lows.
Momentum indicators support this view — RSI is approaching oversold levels, and MACD momentum is shifting bullish. Volume also highlights absorption, suggesting institutional accumulation.
Entry: $3392
SL: $3384
TP1: $3415
TP2: $3428
🔹 Secondary Buy Zone – $3365 to $3372
If the primary demand fails, the next strong support sits around $3365–$3372. This zone overlaps with a Daily breaker block and coincides with the 50% retracement of the previous swing leg. On 4H, liquidity is pooled just below $3370, while 1H imbalance (FVG) aligns with demand.
RSI divergence also strengthens the bullish probability here.
Entry: $3368
SL: $3358
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3410
🔹 Primary Sell Zone – $3425 to $3435
This is the strongest intraday supply zone. On the Daily timeframe, price approaches a premium level of the current retracement, while 4H charts show a fresh supply zone formed from institutional distribution. The 1H chart reveals liquidity buildup above $3428, creating an engineered high.
RSI is flashing bearish divergence at this level, with volume showing prior rejection and imbalance — confirming potential sell-side pressure.
Entry: $3430
SL: $3438
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3395
🔹 Secondary Sell Zone – $3448 to $3458
This zone sits higher, acting as a fallback supply level. It overlaps with a Weekly supply zone, while 4H structure confirms old consolidation highs resting here. If tapped, price is likely to engineer liquidity before displacement. ATR also shows exhaustion at this level, making it a potential reversal point.
Entry: $3453
SL: $3463
TP1: $3430
TP2: $3410
🏆 Executive Summary – Golden Zone
The Primary Buy Zone ($3388–$3396) is nominated as today’s Golden Zone. This area aligns with Daily discount, 4H unmitigated demand, and 1H structural confirmation. With multiple confluences (order block, BOS, liquidity sweep, RSI, MACD), it presents the highest reward-to-risk opportunity.
Golden Execution Idea:
Buy $3392 → SL $3384 → TP $3428 (≈1:4 RR)
Final Thoughts
Gold is currently positioned at a critical juncture, with well-defined buy and sell zones framing today’s opportunities. Traders should stay disciplined, execute only on confirmed setups, and remain aware of liquidity manipulation around key levels. The $3388–$3396 Golden Zone offers the most institutionally aligned trade for today, but alternative supply and demand levels provide structured backup scenarios.