GOLD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,632.97 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,643.34.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold
XAUUSD Long: Upward Rully Will ContinueHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been in a clear bullish phase, with the market structure defined by a well-established ascending channel. This pattern originated from a pivot point low near the DEMAND ZONE 2 and has since guided the price higher through a series of impulsive and corrective waves, confirming that buyers have maintained the initiative.
Currently, following a test of the channel's upper boundary, the price has entered a corrective phase. This pullback is guiding the auction towards a significant confluence of support located around the 3620 DEMAND level. This DEMAND ZONE is critical as it represents the intersection of a horizontal support area and the dynamic support line of the ascending channel.
The primary scenario anticipates a successful defense of this support confluence. A confirmed bounce from the channel's demand line would validate the integrity of the uptrend and signal that the corrective phase is over. This is expected to trigger the next impulsive wave higher within the channel's structure. The take-profit is therefore set at 3705 points, targeting a new structural high just below the channel's upper resistance line. Manage your risk!
Gold 1H – Demand Sweep Before Premium ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,644 after multiple ChoCHs, showing engineered liquidity grabs. Price has defined clear demand footprints at 3,620 and deeper at 3,593, while premium supply is stacked near 3,673–3,680. This structure suggests a possible retracement into discount zones before expansion toward premium liquidity.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,620 – 3,618 (SL 3,613): Fresh demand block aligned with bullish order flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,593 – 3,591 (SL 3,596): Deeper liquidity sweep, high R:R demand area.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680): Premium supply pocket for short-term liquidity grabs.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Shallow Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,620 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,613
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,635
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,665+
👉 Expect a bounce from shallow demand before retesting premium zones.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Liquidity Sweep
• Entry: 3,593 – 3,591
• Stop Loss: 3,596
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,645+
👉 Ideal entry for swing traders seeking higher R:R after liquidity engineering.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,635
👉 Scalp opportunity at premium supply; bias remains bullish so manage risk tightly.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a dip into 3,620 or deeper 3,593 demand before expansion. Cleaner setups favor buying dips; shorts from 3,673 are counter-trend scalp plays only.
XAUUSD Bears Hold the Line at 3650 zone – Next Stop 3570?In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that in my view, OANDA:XAUUSD ’s correction is not yet complete and that we could be inside an unfolding ABC-type structure. I also suggested that the 3650 zone should be the main focus for bears.
Indeed, price rallied into that zone, consolidated in a small distribution phase, and then started to roll back down again.
At the time of writing, gold is trading at 3632, after retesting the 3623 recent low, which now acts as short-term support.
Looking forward, my idea remains unchanged: I expect another leg down, with 3570 as the next major target. For now, the 3650–3660 area acts as a strong ceiling, and if we look closely, one could even argue a potential double top is forming—if we discount the 3674 spike that marked the ATH.
On the other hand, a stabilization above 3660 would invalidate this bearish scenario and open the door for a new ATH. 🚀
Focus on CPI, 3640, 3620 long and short key pointsThe market focuses on CPI data, and in the short term 3640-3660 becomes the dividing line between bulls and bears for gold.
From the news perspective, due to the sharp decline in employment rate, the employment and economic environment in the United States have been affected, and a September interest rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion, which has prompted the recent continuous rise in gold prices. Whether the interim high of 3675 means that gold has peaked remains to be seen.
From a technical perspective, gold rebounded yesterday to correct Tuesday's decline, reaching a high of around 3657 before continuing its technically bearish downward trend and retreating to around 3640. Today, gold's overall volatility in the Asian and European sessions was limited, with 3640-3660 forming a short-term upper pressure, also becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears.
If the CPI data is bullish for gold, the first thing gold needs to do is to break through the short-term pressure of 3640-3660. Once it breaks through strongly and stabilizes above 3660, gold will continue to rise and is expected to set a new high of 690-3700.
On the contrary, if the CPI unexpectedly falls short, gold will only rebound tentatively but will be unable to break through the short-term suppression of 3640-3660, then the bears will officially counterattack and the market will briefly bid farewell to the bulls. A break below 3600 would target the key support level of 3580.
In summary, focus on the 3640-3660 resistance level and the 3620-3610 support level. If the European session sees a pullback to support without a break, a small, light position can be considered, For cautious traders, it's advisable to set the stop-loss order with a buffer of $3-5, depending on their account size.with a potential profit target of $10-$30. More conservative traders can wait for the CPI data before entering a trade.
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With CPI news today, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday)
• Entry: 3,643 – 3,645
• Stop Loss: 3,650
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,620
TP3: 3,600
👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone.
🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,688 – 3,691
• Stop Loss: 3,696
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,660
TP4: 3,650
Open: 3,625
👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep
• Entry: 3,595 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,615
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,635
TP4: 3,645
Open: 3,685
👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion.
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🔑 Strategy Note
CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favors:
• Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645
• Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691
• High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592
Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Outlook
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Key level: 3612
If the price holds above 3612, the bullish momentum is likely to continue towards:
🎯 First target: 3656
🎯 Second target: 3675
🎯 Third target: 3697 (if 3656 breaks strongly)
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks and sustains below 3612, the downside move may extend towards:
🎯 First support: 3595 (a strong support zone)
🎯 If this level breaks and price sustains below ➝ further decline towards:
🎯 Second target: 3546
📌 Summary:
3612 = key decision level
3656, 3675, 3697 = upside targets
3595, 3546 = downside targets
GOLD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3635.2 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3624.7
Safe Stop Loss - 3641.7
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold (XAU/USD) - Look at Williams %RGold (XAU/USD) - Look at Williams %R
Take a look at the Buy-the-Dip Opportunities in Gold for Swing-Trader whenever Williams %% was in the lower extreme in H8.
We are already slowly coming down. I'd be inclined to take longs in the area I marked on the chart.
If you're a swing-trader, that is a great opportunity.
Let me know what you think,
Meikel
Focus on CPI, beware of unexpected surprisesThe market focuses on CPI data, which is unlikely to fluctuate significantly in the short term. Although it has fallen below the recent support of 3620, buying below is still strong, so don't chase the short position. From the news and other recent data, it can be seen that the weak US employment data has suppressed the economy, forcing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. The current market basically assumes that 25 basis points has become a reality, so the possibility of positive CPI data is relatively high.
If the CPI data is positive for gold, it will first test the resistance level of 3640-3660. If the data triggers a strong rally, gold could potentially reach new highs, aiming for 3690-3700.
However, the previous NFP data was also crucial, but the result was a surprise. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility of a similar surprise with the CPI data. If the CPI data is bearish for gold, it will first test 3600 below. Once it falls below 3600, it will go to 3580.
The above content is just an analysis of the possible trend of gold, which you can refer to. If the European session retreats again to 3620-3610 without breaking, you can try to go long with a light position, and the ideal target is 3640-3660. If it falls below 3600, SL will be adjusted in time.
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 11th.Gold Technical Analysis
Daily Chart Resistance: 3650, Support: 3540
4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3680, Support: 3600
1-Hour Chart Resistance: 3638, Support: 3620
Yesterday, gold retreated from its highs, failing to close above $3650 for three consecutive days. This clearly indicates weakening upward momentum. The market is expected to either open with consolidation or undergo a downward correction.
From the 1-hour chart, the uptrend line has been broken with today's decline, and the price is currently barely holding support at 3620. Looking ahead, the key question is whether gold can reach new lows. If the hourly chart closes below 3620, it will directly test support around 3600.
Taking a step back, if 3600 is also broken, there is still over $100 of room for further decline, leading to a corrective decline based on the 4-hour chart's top divergence. At that point, the trend will turn completely bearish.
Prior to this, we remain cautiously bullish on the market. We can actively participate in selling opportunities at rebound highs. Today, the NY market is focusing on the upper resistance levels of 3638/3650.
SELL: near 3650
SELL: near 3638
BUY: near 3600
XAUUSD Analysis – September 11, 2025On the H1 timeframe, Gold is showing signs of weakness after failing to hold the key resistance zone. Price is currently trading around 3,622 USD, with short-term selling pressure becoming more visible.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: 3,634 – 3,657 USD
→ Strong supply zone where sellers are actively pushing price down.
Support: 3,616 – 3,570 USD
→ A breakdown below this area could trigger a deeper pullback toward 3,552 USD.
EMA Signals:
Price has slipped below short-term EMAs and is now testing the mid-term EMA, signaling corrective momentum.
The EMA200 (purple line) sits around 3,570 USD, overlapping with strong support → this level will be decisive for the next trend direction.
Trading Strategy:
Bearish Scenario (preferred):
Consider short positions if price retests 3,630 – 3,634 USD.
Targets: 3,616 → 3,570 USD.
Stop-loss above 3,657 USD.
Bullish Scenario (countertrend):
Only consider long entries near 3,570 – 3,552 USD if clear reversal signals appear.
Recovery targets: 3,616 → 3,634 USD.
Conclusion:
Gold faces short-term downside pressure and may test the 3,616 – 3,570 USD support zone. The reaction around EMA200 will determine whether this is just a technical correction or the start of a deeper bearish phase.
XAU/USD: Resistance at 3,650 Triggers Potential Pullback SetupXAU/USD has reached the 3,650 resistance zone after a strong bullish rally within its upward channel, but momentum is now stalling. A visible top formation is emerging on the chart, with sellers actively defending this level, suggesting a possible corrective move ahead.
If gold fails to break and sustain above 3,650, the price may retrace toward the next key support at 3,546. While the broader trend remains bullish, near-term momentum indicates a likely pullback phase. Upcoming economic data could also influence whether the market consolidates or corrects from current levels.
Gold Faces 3700 USD Resistance – Reversal or Breakout?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Currently, gold is trading around 3645 USD in a price box, almost unchanged compared to the same session yesterday. Alternating rises and pullbacks indicate accumulation. Investors are now eagerly waiting for the upcoming CPI and Unemployment Claims data. If results come out weaker for the USD, gold may find an opportunity to challenge the key 3700 USD level.
Let’s wait for the results and see how gold will move!
Good luck!
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025: Gold is stable, traders prepare ahead of important US CPI data, conditions and technical positions to watch.
Fundamental news: Spot gold prices were generally stable in today's Asian trading session, currently around $3630/ounce. Gold prices are in a wait-and-see mode, closely watching the all-time high before the release of US CPI data for August. Weak US PPI inflation data, fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue its easing cycle at its upcoming meeting in September.
Technical analysis: After making the latest ATH at 3675, gold prices are correcting and forming a short-term downtrend channel in the H1 frame, however, the 3620 - 3625 area is still a good support zone for gold prices. Currently, there will be 2 scenarios with the highest probability of occurrence: Case 1: Gold price will form an upward price pattern around the 3620 - 3625 area and increase sharply, we will wait for the reaction when the price meets resistance at 3660 - 3665. Case 2: Gold price continues to follow the downtrend channel to the lower support area of 3595 - 3600 and then increase again. We will trade based on these 2 scenarios and still prioritize trading according to the main trend.
Important price zones today: 3620 - 3625, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3620 - 3622
SL 3617
TP 3625 - 3635 - 3645 - 3665 - OPEN.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3598 - 3600
SL 3595
TP 3603 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660 - OPEN.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD 11/9/2025: Gold is stable, traders prepare ahead of important US CPI data, conditions and technical positions to watch.
Fundamental news: Spot gold prices were generally stable in today's Asian trading session, currently around $3630/ounce. Gold prices are in a wait-and-see mode, closely watching the all-time high before the release of US CPI data for August. Weak US PPI inflation data, fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue its easing cycle at its upcoming meeting in September.
Technical analysis: After making the latest ATH at 3675, gold prices are correcting and forming a short-term downtrend channel in the H1 frame, however, the 3620 - 3625 area is still a good support zone for gold prices. Currently, there will be 2 scenarios with the highest probability of occurrence: Case 1: Gold price will form an upward price pattern around the 3620 - 3625 area and increase sharply, we will wait for the reaction when the price meets resistance at 3660 - 3665. Case 2: Gold price continues to follow the downtrend channel to the lower support area of 3595 - 3600 and then increase again. We will trade based on these 2 scenarios and still prioritize trading according to the main trend.
Important price zones today: 3620 - 3625, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3620 - 3622
SL 3617
TP 3625 - 3635 - 3645 - 3665 - OPEN.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3598 - 3600
SL 3595
TP 3603 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660 - OPEN.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Buy And sell Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish After Break : 3635
🩸Bullish Reversal : 3595
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
BEARISH TREND After a bullish rally to the 3670's, we noticed a bearish stance in the market resulting in a drainer in the bullish momentum. Gold assumes a minor bearish pullback/retracement.
This bearish path leads to the 3590's just as shown in the analysis or may go below .
Note that this bearish sentiment is short term as we expect a bullish continuation after the bearish retracement.
Gold Promises New Highs👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Today, gold continues to hold a strong bullish trend, currently trading around 3,630 USD with a short-term pullback serving as momentum for the next move.
The key support zone is located around 3,600 – 3,580 USD. If this level holds, the upside remains open with the first psychological target at 3,700 USD. Two major indicators to watch are PPI (Sept 10) and CPI (Sept 11), which could act as the next catalysts for XAUUSD. Keep a close eye to catch trading opportunities.
Scalping Strategy – Optimal Profit Management
✔️ TP1 or 30 Pips: Close bad entry and move SL to entry
✔️ TP2 or 50–70 Pips: Close half of remaining profit, move SL to TP1
✔️ TP3: Close all
From my personal perspective, the main trend remains bullish. Pullbacks only serve as opportunities for safer long entries. And you—what do you think about gold’s trend?
XAU/USD (Gold) - Trendline Breakout (US - CPI Data) (11.09.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern.
This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3583
2nd Support – 3546
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Gold Bullish Momentum: Layering Longs For Maximum Gain!🏆 XAU/USD | The Gold Robbery Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 Plan Setup (Bullish)
Entry (Layering Style):
Using the Thief Layer Strategy 🕵️♂️ → Multiple Buy Limit layers
$3625
$3630
$3635
$3640
(Add more layers based on your own strategy & risk appetite)
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
@3610 (Adjust based on your own strategy & risk ⚠️)
Take Profit (Escape Point):
Target resistance zone @3690 🚪💰
⚡ Note: This is a flexible thief-style plan — adjust SL/TP levels as per your personal money management and execution style.
📊 Why This Plan? (Thief’s Market Analysis)
🔎 Real-Time Market Data (10 Sept 2025)
Price: $3,643.71
24h Change: +0.48%
Range: $3,620.90 – $3,644.56
🧠 Retail Sentiment (Contrarian Signal)
Long: 37%
Short: 63%
➡️ Retail crowd is heavily short → Contrarian bullish setup.
🏦 Institutional Sentiment (Commitment of Traders)
Net Long: +249,530 contracts
Long: 315,796
Short: 66,266
➡️ Institutions are firmly positioned long ✅
🌡️ Fear & Greed + Volatility
Neutral (shifting from Greed)
VIX <14 (52-week low) → Calm market backdrop
📉 Macro & Fundamentals
US jobs data: Weak (22K vs. 75K expected)
Fed rate cut probability: 99.4% (September meeting)
Central bank gold demand + geopolitical tensions supportive
Upcoming CPI/PPI = key catalyst
📐 Technical View
Price holding above $3,625 support
Ascending channel continuation
Overbought zone = caution for short pullbacks
🗝️ Key Takeaways (Thief OG Notes)
USD weakness + Fed dovish tilt = Gold tailwind
Retail shorts = bullish contrarian setup
Institutions backing the move higher
Short-term overbought → manage exits smartly
🔥 Related Markets to Watch
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TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
SP:SPX (S&P 500)
TVC:US10Y (US 10Y Treasury Yield)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD (Bitcoin correlation check)
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#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #ThiefStrategy #TradingPlan #GoldBulls #MacroAnalysis #MarketSentiment
XAUUSD Analysis – September 11, 2025 (H1 timeframe)Gold continues to respect its bullish structure after breaking out of the ascending channel and is currently unfolding a potential short-term Elliott Wave (3)–(5) pattern. Price is consolidating around $3,630–$3,640 after a corrective pullback.
Technical Outlook
Trendline: The bullish channel remains intact; no breakdown of structure yet.
Key Resistance: $3,685–$3,700 (previous Wave (1) top). A clean breakout above this zone may open the door toward $3,720–$3,740.
Immediate Support: $3,615–$3,605 (Wave (2) low). Holding above keeps the bullish scenario valid; a breakdown may drag price back to $3,585.
EMA 50 & 100 (H1): Both acting as dynamic support, confirming bullish bias.
RSI (H1): Cooling down from overbought, creating fresh upside room.
Fibonacci retracement: Wave (2) corrected neatly around the 38.2% retracement, reinforcing the continuation scenario.
Trading Strategy
Buy zone: $3,615–$3,620, with stop-loss below $3,600.
Take profit 1: $3,685–$3,700.
Take profit 2 (if breakout holds): $3,720–$3,740.
If price breaks below $3,600, step aside and wait for new signals.
The main bias remains bullish. Focus on trading the impulsive waves and watch closely how price reacts at $3,615 support and $3,685 resistance.
Gold: Shallow pullback, target remains 3.65xAfter the BLS labour revision, gold on the H1 chart went through a sharp two-way move. Normally this release isn’t a big market driver, but this year it acted as a strong catalyst, causing heavy swings.
The uptrend structure is still intact: price is holding along the Ichimoku edge, each higher low confirms buyers are active, and there’s an FVG layer supporting near 3.62x. If a stronger sell-off comes, 3.60x around the cloud body remains a familiar magnet for balance.
From the macro side, today’s US PPI and tomorrow’s CPI, alongside jobless claims and the ECB press conference, will be key. Softer data could weigh on yields and the dollar, giving gold the tailwind to retest 3.64x–3.65x, with possible extension to 3.66x–3.67x. On the contrary, hot data risks dragging the metal back to 3.62x or even 3.60x before resuming higher.
My bias still favours a shallow retracement as long as 3.60x holds. The 3.64x–3.65x band is the near-term lid: a firm candle close above strengthens the breakout case. Before the data, though, I’d rather wait for candle confirmation than chase intra-bar spikes.
What about you? Do you think gold will break above 3.65x in this move, or will it need another balance around 3.60x first? Share your view below.