Gold
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,586.96
Target Level: 3,559.28
Stop Loss: 3,605.13
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold - A+ Trade Setup🔎 Weekly View (Macro Bias)
Trend: Strong bullish trend intact with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirming upward continuation.
Resistance: Price has cleared a prior major resistance near 3,400 and is pushing higher.
Implication: Weekly bias remains bullish unless we see a sharp rejection back under 3,400 – 3,450 demand.
📉 Daily View (Intermediate Bias)
Trend: Clear bullish structure with consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Key Levels:
Major Resistance: Broken at 3,100, now acting as historical support.
Support Zone: Fresh daily demand sits around 3,450 – 3,500.
Implication: As long as daily demand holds, expectation is for continuation into 3,600+.
⏱ 8H View (Execution Frame)
Structure: Bullish channel still intact. Price broke above resistance and is holding well above 3,560–3,570 demand.
Scenario: Possible retest of the 3,560 – 3,570 zone (aligned with bullish trendline) before continuation upward.
Upside Target: 3,600 – 3,620 in the near-term.
⏱ 30M View (Fine-Tuned Entry)
Recent Action: Price rallied sharply after clearing resistance and is now consolidating.
Fib Level: The 71% retracement aligns with prior breakout structure near 3,570, offering a strong intraday buy zone.
Plan: Intraday longs on retests into 3,570 – 3,580 with continuation toward 3,600 – 3,610.
✅ Trade Outlook
Bias: Bullish on all timeframes.
Setup:
Buy retracements into 3,570 – 3,580 (30M / 8H demand).
Hold for continuation into 3,600 – 3,620 near-term.
Invalidation: Clean break below 3,550 (trendline + demand zone) would suggest a deeper pullback toward 3,450 – 3,500.
Gold at the Crossroads: Decisive Battle at $3,600 After BreakoutAsset: XAUUSD ( Gold Spot / US Dollar )
Analysis Date: September 5, 2025
Current Closing Price: $3,586.54 (as of 12:59 AM UTC+4)
Timeframes Analyzed: 1H, 4H, D, W
Market Context: Record High Territory - Bullish Momentum Sustained
Executive Summary & Market Outlook
Gold (XAUUSD) has executed a critical technical breakout, pushing above the $3,580 resistance and challenging the monumental $3,600 psychological and technical barrier. The asset is in a firm bullish trend but is now testing a zone where profit-taking and fresh selling pressure historically emerge. The price action in the coming sessions will be decisive. A sustained break above $3,600 could trigger a momentum-fueled rally towards $3,650, while a rejection here may form a short-term top, leading to a retracement towards $3,550 support. This analysis integrates multi-timeframe signals for intraday and swing traders.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis
1. Trend Analysis (Daily & 4-Hour Chart):
Primary Trend: Bullish. The sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) is unequivocal on the daily chart.
Momentum: The breakout above the previous resistance near $3,580 is a significant bullish victory. However, the rapid ascent has left the price extended, increasing the probability of a consolidation or pullback.
2. Key Chart Patterns & Theories:
Breakout & Re-test Pattern: The move above $3,580 has broken the structure of the previous consolidation. The ideal bullish scenario now involves a successful re-test of the $3,580 level as new support. This would confirm the breakout's validity and offer a high-probability long entry.
Elliott Wave Theory: The rally from the last significant low is impulsive in nature. We are likely in a later stage of a Wave 3 or a Wave 5 extension. This suggests that while the trend is up, the cycle is maturing. Wave 4 corrections typically retrace to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of Wave 3, which would be near $3,520.
Gann Theory: The $3,600 level represents a key psychological and mathematical resistance. A decisive break and close above it could open the path to the next Gann angle/resistance level, projected near $3,620-$3,630.
Ichimoku Cloud (H4/D1): Price is trading well above the Senkou Span (Cloud) on both timeframes, confirming the strong bullish trend. The Cloud itself is thick and rising, providing strong dynamic support far below current levels.
3. Critical Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance (R1): $3,600 - $3,610 (Key Psychological & Technical Barrier)
Resistance (R2): $3,630 (Next Projected Target)
Resistance (R3): $3,650 (Measured Move Target)
Current Closing Price: ~$3,586.54
Support (S1): $3,580 (Previous Resistance - New Potential Support)
Support (S2): $3,550 - $3,555 (Bullish Trend Line & 21-period EMA confluence)
Support (S3): $3,520 (Major Swing Low & 38.2% Fib Retracement)
4. Indicator Consensus:
RSI (14-period on 4H): Reading is in the 68-72 range, touching on overbought territory. This does not signal an immediate reversal but warns that buying momentum may be overextended in the short term. Watch for bearish divergence on the 1H chart for early signs of a pullback.
Bollinger Bands (4H): Price is peeking outside the upper band, a classic sign of a strong trending move. A move back inside the bands will signal a pause in the trend.
Moving Averages: The bullish alignment (EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50) is perfect on all timeframes. The EMA 21 on the 4H chart (~$3,555) has acted as dynamic support and is a key level for the bullish thesis.
Volume & VWAP: Volume spiked on the initial breakout. The Anchored VWAP (from the recent swing low) shows price is extended above the mean. A pullback to the VWAP would be a healthy development.
Trading Strategy & Forecast
A. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 1H Charts):
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Hold): A pullback to the $3,580 - $3,582 area that finds support (e.g., bullish pin bar, engulfing pattern) presents a low-risk long opportunity. Entry: On bullish confirmation at support. Stop Loss: Below $3,575. Target: $3,600 (TP1), $3,610 (TP2).
Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Highs): If price fails to break $3,600 and shows rejection (long upper wicks, RSI divergence), a short trade for a pullback to $3,570 - $3,575 is viable. Entry: On rejection signals. Stop Loss: Tight, above $3,605. Target: $3,565 (S1).
Momentum Breakout: A strong 1H close above $3,605 could be faded with a small long position, targeting $3,620.
B. Swing Trading Strategy (4H - D Charts):
Bullish Bias: The strategy remains "buy the dip." The most attractive zones for adding long positions are a successful re-test of $3,580 or a deeper pullback to the stronger support confluence at $3,550 - $3,555.
Bearish Risk: A daily close back below $3,560 would be a warning sign that the breakout may have failed (a potential bull trap), opening the door for a deeper correction to $3,520. This would invalidate the immediate upside breakout scenario.
Risk Management & Conclusion
Key Risk Events: Monitor for any surprise geopolitical developments or unexpectedly hawkish comments from Fed officials, which could trigger a "flight-to-safety" rally or a dollar-strength selloff in gold, respectively.
Position Sizing: The increased volatility at key levels demands conservative position sizing. Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade.
Conclusion: XAUUSD is at a critical technical and psychological juncture. The breakout is bullish, but the battle for $3,600 is the key to the next directional move. Swing traders should be patient for a better risk/reward entry on a pullback. Intraday traders can play the range between $3,580 and $3,600 until a decisive break occurs. The overall structure favors the bulls, but a period of consolidation is the most likely immediate outcome.
Overall Bias: 🟢 Bullish above $3,555 | 🟡 Neutral/Bearish below $3,560
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
XAUUSD – Bulls Gaining the Edge?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Yesterday, the market received a series of key US data, sending gold into constant swings. Here’s a quick breakdown of the impact on the precious metal:
🔻 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 54K < 73K (forecast) < 106K (previous) → Labor market weakens → USD down → Gold supported.
🔻 Unemployment Claims: 237K > 230K (forecast) > 229K (previous) → Jobless claims rise → USD down → Gold supported.
🔺 ISM Services PMI: 52.0 > 50.9 (forecast) > 50.1 (previous) → Services expand → USD stronger → Gold under pressure.
👉 Overall: 2 out of 3 data points came in negative for the USD, creating downward pressure on the dollar and supporting gold. Even though services data was positive, market sentiment still leans toward expectations of a less hawkish Fed → easing yields → gold benefits.
Preferred Strategy: Look for potential buying zones at support and Fibonacci retracement levels. The main target is a safe move above the trendline, with 3575 in focus.
Risk: If price closes below support, wait for fresh signals to identify safer entry points.
So, what do you think? Where will XAUUSD head next, and at what price will today’s session end?
Good luck!
Next Target for Gold: $3600?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Gold has just made a powerful breakout, breaking through the old resistance zone and forming new support. Currently, the price is hovering around $3530 with signs of a minor top forming. The area around the Fib 0.5–0.618 is considered the Expected Retracement Zone where buyers are waiting to accumulate.
The EMA34 and EMA89 continue to support the trend, acting as dynamic support levels. The new resistance zone at $3,580 – $3,600 will be the next target if price sustains its rebound.
With the Fed likely to cut rates and the USD weakening, gold is once again being viewed as a top safe-haven asset. Each pullback now seems more like a springboard for the next rally.
So, what do you think? Will gold sustain this bullish trend? Share your thoughts in the comments💬!
Gold. Expect entry into the fifth waveThe current decline looks like the 4th wave
Before it, 3 in 3 is visible
There is an alternative probability of the marking, that the marking will lengthen and we will get a stronger upward impulse.
But in both scenarios there is another increase in quotes with a target of 3600-3650
In general, the growth of gold is due to a reduction in central bank investments from American treasuries.
Just today we described how investments of India and other non-Western countries in American debt are decreasing.
All this spurred the growth of gold quotes
GOLD WEEKLY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing our 1h, 4h and daily chart ideas this week, please now see update on our weekly chart idea, which we also smashed into pips!!!
As anticipated -
This time, bulls followed through in full force:
✅ We got our Target Hit at 3482 after confirming the gap from the body close above 3387.
✅ To finish the week on a high, we also completed our long-range axis target at 3576, which has been highlighted on the chart since the beginning of our tracking on this chart idea.
🔹 3482 Gap Target Achieved
The upside gap has now been fully confirmed and met.
🔹 Axis Target 3576 Completed
The higher-timeframe target we’ve tracked since the start has been fulfilled, marking a strong close to the week.
With both the 3482 gap and 3576 axis target achieved, the bullish roadmap we’ve tracked has now played out to completion. Near-term, we’ll watch how price reacts around 3576. A strong close above could open fresh upside extensions, while failure here may trigger a healthy pullback toward 3387 for retest.
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA5 alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORT - NFP THE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
For this months NFP, due to the aggressive stretch on gold upside, we’re only looking for the extreme levels to attempt the trade. Even then, we’re of the view that we will let this play out for today and next week look for a clean reversal before getting in and taking what is needed.
We have the immediate level of support below 3550-40, which needs to be held in order to attempt the upside levels of 3580-5 and if that level is broken 3603-10. It’s that higher level that we feel if attempted, could present a decent opportunity to attempt the short trade, unless broken of course.
Lower down, the red box bias level is sitting at 3540 which needs a clean break below to then confirm the bearish move has started and we can then either capture the retracements in attempt to target the 3480-5 level or, wait lower for price to exhaust, and once a clean reversal is formed, attempt the long trade back upside.
The ideal scenario here is a break above the 3585 level an attempt on 3600, exhaustion there and then a possible short for next week. It’s been a choppy week but we’ve hit all of our bullish targets so lets observe more than we trade today.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3555 for 3561, 3568, 3576 and 3588 in extension of the move
Break below 3540 for 3533, 3530, 3520, 3506 and 3490 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Master TradingView Like a Pro – Tools, Alerts, and Hidden Gems!Are you really using everything TradingView has to offer?
In this video, I’m breaking down 8 powerful features inside TradingView that most traders don’t fully use — even though they can save time, improve your analysis, and help you catch better setups.
Here’s what I’ll walk you through step by step:
✅ How I use Drawing Tools to map market structure
✅ Why I rarely use indicators — but why you should still know them
✅ How to scan markets fast using the Screener & Heatmap
✅ The right way to use the Economic Calendar and avoid news traps
✅ The feature I use daily: Price Alerts (a total game changer)
✅ How to practice with zero risk using Paper Trading
✅ Using Multi-Chart Layouts to watch multiple timeframes
✅ And finally — how the TradingView Community helped me grow and connect
Whether you're just getting started or already experienced — this video is packed with value.
Watch it till the end, and if you find it helpful — like, comment, and share it to support my work!
Best, Arman Shaban
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,589.77 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,580.33.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Plan - Market awaits JOLTS, gold holds safe-haven role⚓️ Captain Vincent
US–Venezuela tensions push gold into safe-haven spotlight
1. News Waves 🌍
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed: American forces attacked a drug vessel originating from Venezuela, as Washington steps up pressure on Maduro’s government.
Earlier, Trump placed a $50 million bounty to force Venezuela’s president out of power, while deploying military forces closer to the Caribbean.
👉 These moves have fueled fears of regional conflict, and gold was immediately chosen by big money as a safe-haven. This morning’s rally clearly reflected defensive flows rushing back into GOLD.
📌 Note – 21:00 (03/09): JOLTS Job Openings report – a key gauge of U.S. labor health. If weaker than expected → USD under pressure, gold has room to accelerate.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
H1 Chart: gold continues forming bullish BOS , confirming the uptrend.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,478 – 3,480): overlapping major Order Block, strong support for pullbacks.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,577 – 3,579): near 1.618 fib extension, potential resistance with profit-taking pressure.
Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,528 – 3,507
Captain’s Wall 🧱 (Resistance): 3,562 – 3,585
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY Zone – Priority)
Entry: 3,478 – 3,480
SL: 3,470
TP: 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,489 → 349x → 35xx
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction at Resistance)
Entry: 3,577 – 3,579
SL: 3,586
TP: 3,573 → 3,570 → 3,567 → 3,560 → 35xx
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
“The gold sea is stirred by U.S.–Venezuela political winds 🌊. The ship has anchored at Golden Harbor 🏝️ and is now steering toward Storm Breaker 🌊 3577 . But remember: before big waves, wise sailors always time their departure at the right harbor.”
Gold Awaits ISM & ADP Data – Pivot at 3,544 in FocusGold – Overview
Gold’s record-breaking rally saw profit-taking, with traders now awaiting direction from today’s ISM and ADP data, which are expected to drive volatility.
Technical Outlook:
📉 Bearish scenario: While trading below the pivot at 3,544, price may drop to 3,527. A confirmed 15M close below 3,527 would extend the move toward 3,512 → 3,498.
📈 Bullish scenario: Stabilization above 3,545 would support a corrective move toward 3,557. A confirmed 30M/1H close above 3,557 would accelerate bullish momentum toward 3,574 → 3,588.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 3,544
Support: 3,527 – 3,512 – 3,498
Resistance: 3,557 – 3,574 – 3,588
Bias: Bearish while below 3,544; bullish correction begins above 3,545 with momentum strengthening on a breakout above 3,557.
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3579.7 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 3586.7
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3568.5
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today's trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’m watching silver closely for a potential short setup. Price action suggests a possible head and shoulders formation, but I’m still waiting for confirmation from key variables before committing. For example:
- I’d like to see the current 1H candle close within my range
- Lower volume on the right shoulder compared to the left.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/reward = 3.0
Entry price = 40.88
Stop loss price = 41.14
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 40.17
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 39.77
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Patience is a trading edge. Waiting for confirmation before entering means fewer trades, but higher-quality ones.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts – I would like to hear them.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Gold Analysis – 15-Minute Timeframe (September 5 , 2025)As observed, price approached our order block with a compressed structure, indicating controlled momentum. Along the way, several liquidity zones were formed, which may act as magnets for price movement.
For this position, we’re using a trailing stop to manage risk and maximize potential gains. As long as the price continues in our favor, we’ll stay aligned with the trend.
Good Luck
XAUUSD Can it really get to $8000???Gold (XAUUSD) has been practically on a non-stop rally since the last time it tested its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) 2 years ago (October 2023). It is no coincidence that the result of such a test was an aggressive rally, as this level has historically been Gold's long-term Support and what separates its Bull from its Bear Cycles.
More specifically, Gold has started trading within a multi-decade Channel Up since the August 1993 High. It first Bear Cycle (red Rectangle) started then end finished the moment it touched the pattern's bottom. Shortly after, the price broke sustainably above the 1M MA50, confirming the new Bull Cycle in the form of an internal (green) Channel Up.
This phase peaked a little above the 3.618 Fibonacci extension. That was when the latest Bear Cycle started, which again broke below the 1M MA50 and has been very similar in symmetrical terms to the first one. The new Bull Cycle started after the August 2018 Low.
With the use of the Time Cycles, we can estimate that in October 2029 the current long-term Bull Cycle might end. This doesn't mean that there won't be a sizeable correction until then, but the long-term bullish trend should stay intact.
By October 2029, contact with the Channel's top should have hit $8000, which is still marginally below the current 3.618 Fibonacci extension. This suggests that each of Gold's Time (Super) Cycle is approximately 18 years.
If such a continuous rise is materialized that doesn't only gives meaning to Gold's use as a 'safe-haven' but should also tell us a lot about future inflation and deliver a warning to economies and especially central bank strategy implementation.
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XAUUSD Intraday Technical Analysis – September 5, 2025Gold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating around 3,551 USD/oz after a strong bullish impulse earlier in the week. The H1 chart shows clear structure respecting Fibonacci retracements, EMA zones, and trendline confluence.
Price Action & Structure
After a breakout and BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside, price is moving within a corrective ABC pattern.
Wave (A) formed a push up, (B) corrected down toward EMA support, and (C) is expected to test the resistance zone 3,565 – 3,580 USD.
The shaded purple box above represents a liquidity zone / weak high, where a potential rejection can occur.
EMA & Trendline Confluence
Price is currently supported by the EMA cluster (20 – 50 – 100) around 3,542 – 3,550 USD.
The ascending blue trendline is holding as dynamic support – a break below it may trigger deeper retracement toward 3,518 – 3,503 USD.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 3,567 – 3,580 (weak high liquidity zone)
Next Resistance: 3,600 psychological level
Immediate Support: 3,542 – 3,550 (EMA confluence)
Deeper Support: 3,518 – 3,503 (Fib 50% + EMA 200)
Major Support: 3,476 (demand zone + previous structure)
Trading Strategy
Bullish Scenario:
As long as price holds above 3,542, buyers can aim for 3,567 – 3,580.
Break and close above 3,580 may open the way to 3,600 – 3,615.
Bearish Scenario:
Rejection at 3,567 – 3,580 with bearish confirmation (RSI divergence + bearish engulfing) can trigger a short setup targeting 3,518 – 3,503.
If broken, expect extension toward 3,476.
RSI Outlook
RSI on H1 is cooling off after previous overbought signals, suggesting possible short-term retracement before continuation.
- Summary: Gold is in a short-term bullish corrective move, but upside may be capped at 3,567 – 3,580. Traders should watch for rejection at this zone for potential short setups, while above 3,542 the trend bias remains bullish.
GOLD → ATH retest before NFP. High risk level...FX:XAUUSD remains in a bullish trend, but short-term dynamics depend on NFP. A break above $3578 will open the way to new highs, but profit-taking at record levels could increase volatility.
Gold remains strong ahead of US NFP data, which may confirm the Fed's policy easing. Weak data (forecast: +75K new jobs) will reinforce expectations of a rate cut and support gold. However, the risk of a correction is quite high, and any nuances could trigger liquidation. Weak employment data, namely rising unemployment and low ADP figures, are strengthening bets on a Fed rate cut, which overall only increases interest in the metal.
Resistance levels: 3564.5, 3578.5
Support levels: 3545.9, 3526, 3508
NFP data will determine the short-term trend. A weak report will lead to growth to $3600+, while a strong report will lead to a correction to 3450-3400. Technically, I expect a correction after the local bullish structure breaks down. It is not worth trading on the news; it is better to wait 20-40 minutes after the release to make decisions based on fundamental data.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Technical Analysis – The Pullback DeepensHi everyone, let’s take a closer look at XAUUSD today!
Gold is still trading inside a broad upward channel, but momentum has slowed and the market is now in a corrective phase. After a strong rally, the pullback looks natural — with eyes on the 3,500 zone, where multiple supports converge: horizontal, trendline, and the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
This area is the real battleground. Hold the line, and buyers may step back in with force. Lose it, and the bullish structure breaks, paving the way for a deeper decline.
Stay sharp, validate your setups, and keep risk under control.
Good luck out there!
XAUUSD Analysis - FSX🔍 1. Technical Analysis (5-Minute Chart Review)
Price Structure
Price is currently at $3,549.71, having bounced twice off the $3,545.40 support and lower $3,542.26 support.
We're seeing short-term bullish rejection wicks near those support levels, suggesting buying interest.
Trend
On this intraday (5-min) chart: The market made a lower high and lower low, indicating a short-term downtrend, but this is being tested.
There's a potential reversal pattern forming (double bottom or inverse head-and-shoulders near $3,542 area).
Key Levels
Support:
$3,545.40 → Recent double rejection, acting as short-term support
$3,542.26 → Stronger horizontal support, tested multiple times
Resistance:
$3,551.30–$3,552.00 → Immediate resistance (previous lower high)
$3,557.00–$3,560.00 → Major intraday resistance (top before breakdown)
Indicators (Implied)
You have the "Buffett-Ackman RSI Support/Resistance Strategy" on — not shown directly, but the levels drawn seem to support RSI-based oversold zones near support.
Short-term candles are shrinking in body with long wicks → sign of buyer absorption of selling pressure.
🌐 2. Fundamental Analysis (As of Sept 5, 2025)
Macro Backdrop
USD Strength: Likely remains strong due to higher interest rates by the Fed (continuing 2024 tightening).
Inflation: If inflation remains sticky, it supports USD but also Gold due to its inflation hedge.
Geo-Political Risks: Any tensions (Russia/Ukraine, China/Taiwan) can spike gold as a safe haven.
Bond Yields: Rising yields pressure Gold due to opportunity cost of holding it. If yields cool, gold rallies.
Upcoming Events to Watch
US NFP (Jobs Data): If weak, USD drops and Gold may pump.
Fed Commentary: If dovish, bullish for gold.
CPI or PCE Inflation Data: Any downside surprise could trigger upside in Gold.
✅ 3. Trade Plan (Pro Setup)
🟢 Trade Idea: Long (Buy) XAUUSD – Countertrend Intraday Reversal
Entry: $3,546.00 (Buy limit just above the strong support zone)
Stop Loss: $3,540.50 (Below key swing low and liquidity zone)
Take Profit 1: $3,552.00 (Intraday resistance)
Take Profit 2: $3,557.00 (Key structure resistance)
Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5 minimum
🛡️ Reasoning:
Bullish rejection wicks on support zone ($3,542–$3,545)
Possible RSI oversold condition
Double bottom / consolidation = base formation
Risk tightly defined below structure
Fed uncertainty and safe haven bids can cause sudden spikes
⚠️ Alternative Scenario – If It Breaks Down
If $3,542.00 breaks convincingly with volume, then:
Flip bias short
Sell Below: $3,540.00
Target: $3,532.00–$3,528.00
Stop: $3,546.00
Reason: Clear breakdown of structure with liquidity hunt done
Gold before NFP (what are the new targets?)Gold has recently reached a new all-time high at $3,578. In my view, today's NFP and Unemployment Rate generally favor the U.S. dollar, which could initially push gold lower toward the $3,500 level — a key psychological round number. However, in the bigger picture, gold still looks bullish both technically and fundamentally, especially with the Federal Reserve expected to start cutting interest rates soon. This could eventually drive prices higher, potentially toward $3,600 and beyond to new record highs.
short term targets: 3535 - 3527 - 3510
keep an eye on news...
Do not forget risk management.
good luck
GOLD Will Go Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,341.21.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,450.36 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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