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Goldprediction

Gold faces a correction. Latest analysis.Analysts at Rabobank stated in a report that while threats to the Federal Reserve's independence have diminished the dollar's luster, it remains a major safe-haven asset, along with gold. The recent rise in gold prices has raised questions about the dollar's role as a safe-haven asset, she said. While the dollar faces risks, the depth of the US capital market means investors will be reluctant to abandon the greenback if geopolitical risks intensify. Gold experienced a volatile upward trend on Wednesday, stabilizing above 3985 before gradually rising, reaching a high of 4060 before retracing. Gold bulls are performing very strongly and are currently experiencing a volatile adjustment. If gold continues to rise, there is further room for growth. The lower support level will focus on around 4020, and further downward support will focus on the defensive price of $4,000. If the correction falls below 4,000, it means that the degree of retracement will be large, so stop loss in time and wait for the retracement to be completed. Overall, Quaid believes that gold remains in a bullish trend, and despite a minor correction, it is not yet over. Focus on the strong resistance range of 4050-4080 on the upside, and the support range of 4020-4000 on the downside. Trading Strategy: Place long orders in batches on a pullback to 4020-4010, with a stop-loss at 4000. Profitable range: 4050-4060-4080.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
Golden opportunity has arrivedGold has continued its strong upward momentum since breaking through the 4000 mark, reaching a high of around 4049. The market has hardly made any decent corrections, market sentiment has continued to be high, and bullish confidence has been infinitely magnified. However, the more emotional the stage is, the more we need to remain calm and rational. Structurally, gold has entered the end of an accelerated upward trend, and short-term indicators are obviously overbought. Although prices have hit new highs, momentum has not increased simultaneously, and there are signs of slight divergence, indicating that the upper space is gradually narrowing. Combined with the 4-hour structure, the 4050-4060 area is a period of strong pressure, and it may face a technical correction in the short term. In terms of operational thinking, you can consider shorting with a light position in the 4050-4060 area, and first target the 4020-4000 area. Conservative people can wait for the confirmation of the pullback before participating, and do not blindly chase the long position. Although gold is strong at present, it is not a mindless rise stage. The larger the bullish space, the deeper the adjustment will often be. At this time, risk control should be the core and planning should be the basis. Short-term short positions should only participate in structural corrections, and should not make impulsive trades that blindly fight against the trend. Steady execution, position control, and maintaining rhythm are the key to remaining invincible in extreme markets.If your recent operations are not ideal, or you are confused about how to grasp the rhythm, you are welcome to communicate with me at any time. I hope I can help you avoid detours and steadily improve your trading thinking and execution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
1
4050-4030 oscillation, bullish trend remains the main trendGold is currently still in a bullish upward trend. Our core trading strategy remains unchanged, and the key points I reminded you of earlier this morning must be carefully considered. Judging from the trend, gold in the US market is basically oscillating back and forth in the range of 4050-4030. I mentioned before that gold has repeatedly tested 4030. Once it falls below, gold may test the support range of 4020-4010 below in the US market. This has been marked in the chart. I believe brothers can see it very clearly. At the same time, we should still take precautions on the upside. As time goes by, we can pay moderate attention to the short-term channel pressure around 4065. Once gold stabilizes above 4050, it will definitely touch around 4065. On the downside, we continue to monitor a break of 4030. If, while waiting for gold to fall back to the support range, it first rises and hits the channel resistance, you can retest gold shorts based on market trends. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message for help. If you think Allen's analysis is helpful to you, you can give it some encouragement by clicking the like button.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
Gold is strong. There is no way to guess the high point.Gold's strong upward trend continues. As prices climb, fluctuations are increasing, but the overall trend is very clear. Upside potential has opened up, and the magnitude is even greater than expected, with a very sharp upward trend. On Wednesday, gold prices held steady at the 4,000 mark. Previous predictions suggested that a break above 4,000 would open up further upside potential. The current trend is in line with expectations, and the peak is nowhere in sight. There will most likely be a small adjustment after the rise, but you just need to follow the market trend and continue to adhere to the principle of following the trend. On the 4-hour chart, the price is currently range-bound and correcting at a high level, but the K-line remains relatively strong above the short-term moving average. This kind of trend has appeared many times recently, and the strength of the sideways fluctuation and pullback after the rise is not strong. It is highly likely that gold will continue to rise in the 4-hour trend. The only caveat is that the Federal Reserve meeting minutes may bring some uncertainty to the market. Trading strategy: Buy near 4035, stop loss at 4025, profit range: 4060-4080.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Market_Trader1
1
XAUUSD on swing upside (currently holding Rangebound)XAUUSD is still maintaining the bullish streak Trapping the traders on intraday basis. I will buy gold on every dip till my Traget 4080 What will I do Today? I'm watching XAUUSD although I took small buy trade at 4028 when market makes liquidity sweeps -My target will be $4065 & 4080 In extension !! Additional Tip: 4030-4025 us support area if H4 remains above then you can buy to our targets If H4 closed below 4025 then market will test 3980.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Will you follow the most precise layout on the entire network?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD As gold continued to rise during the day, it once touched around 4040, and the price of gold once again entered a new upward channel. There are two parts of support below. The first is the small support near 4015, and the second is near 3990, which is the top and bottom conversion point of yesterday. Buying on dips back to support is the primary strategy, but caution should also be exercised against a potential pullback. Because first of all, according to the information revealed by U.S. Senator John Thune, the Senate will vote again on two short-term appropriations bills on the 8th and discuss the progress of the government shutdown. Once the agreement is effectively reached and the US government is able to reopen, the previous risk aversion sentiment will be effectively alleviated and gold may fall back. Secondly, as a major gold holder, China’s holiday is about to end. Once the Chinese market returns, it will definitely have a significant impact on gold. Therefore, you should be more cautious in your operations from today to tomorrow. The upper channel pressure is at 4050-4060. If it touches the channel pressure, you can try to short gold with a light position. See below for more real-time updates👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Magician_G
Gold price broke the rising channel twice in 3 days. News： The dual support of closure and interest rate cuts The underlying logic of the current market is rooted in the amplification of fundamental uncertainty. The US government shutdown has lasted for a week, which has not only suppressed the release of economic data but also increased the market's sensitivity to Fed policy. Expectations of interest rate cuts have become one of the "twin engines," and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the October 29 meeting has risen to 95%, providing gold with the dual benefits of inflation hedging and reduced opportunity costs. Well-known institutional analysts pointed out that if the employment data released after the shutdown is weak, it will further consolidate bullish expectations. Geopolitical factors offer short-term flashpoints. The progress of Middle East ceasefire negotiations is attracting significant attention. If successfully concluded, it could shave 2-3% off the safe-haven premium, leading to a short-term price drop. Conversely, developments in eastern Russia and Ukraine or escalating tensions between Israel and Iran could instantly ignite bullish sentiment, pushing the price up to around 4050. Political fragmentation in Europe, such as the French budget crisis and leadership changes in Japan, are also considered undervalued variables: these events could weaken the euro, indirectly strengthening the dollar's relative strength and weighing on gold. Specifically: On Wednesday, the price of gold continued to hold above the $4,000 mark, which is in line with our bullish expectations. Channel members have made profits based on the signals. This trend represents two breakouts from the ascending channel over the past three trading days, marking the three fastest days of this upward trend. This acceleration undoubtedly marks a recent sentiment high for gold prices, which are often attractive points for profit-taking. The 4-hour chart of spot gold clearly outlines a strong upward trend. Since the recent low, the price has formed a "stair-step" upward structure. Each upward wave has been accompanied by a moderate increase in trading volume, indicating an orderly advance of long funds. The candlestick chart has broken through the upper Bollinger Band at 4030 and briefly touched the all-time high of 4040. This not only confirms a strong trend reversal but also reinforces the market's allocation to safe-haven assets. The moving average system also supports this view: the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) at 3866 is sloping upward and acting as dynamic support, while shorter-term moving averages such as the 4036 MA closely follow the price upward, forming a bullish formation and preventing the risk of price isolation at high levels. Strategy： Long Position4020-4025，SL:4010，Target:4050,4075
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Gold took off as expected, is 4,000 still far away? News： On Monday (October 6th), spot gold prices accelerated their upward trend during the Asian and European trading hours, rising as high as 1.59% before easing slightly to trade at $3,945 per ounce, up 1.38%. Gold has now achieved seven consecutive weeks of gains. Previously, gold broke out of a bull flag pattern around the time of Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole. Furthermore, despite currently high inflation, the market generally believes that the Federal Reserve will not abandon its already priced-in interest rate cut plan. This shows that the fundamental logic driving gold prices upward shows no sign of ending. 1) Interest Rate Path – The Federal Reserve's "two rate cuts" are almost priced in. This means further easing this year is almost a market consensus, and the "interest-free asset premium" that has persisted since early September has continued to strengthen, accelerating gold's move away from its trend inflection point. 2) Policy Uncertainty – The combination of a shutdown and data shortage. Due to the US government shutdown, a series of key macroeconomic data releases were delayed at the beginning of the month, significantly increasing short-term price discovery's sensitivity to "forward guidance" and official speeches. 3) Currency and Major Commodity Crossover – The "strong dollar, strong gold" scenario is replaying. Sanae Takaichi's victory in the Japanese Liberal Democratic Party leadership election has increased the market's probability of the Bank of Japan delaying further rate hikes. A looser yen carry trade has weakened the yen and supported the dollar. 4) Geopolitical Variables – The pulsed supply of risk events. On Europe's eastern flank, the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues; in the Middle East, the US President has urged Israel and Hamas to "move forward" with their peace plan. Both geopolitical risks remain elevated, and marginal increases in safe-haven demand are fueling the trend. 5) Intraday Catalysts - "Official Speeches Take Priority, Data Follows Later." Due to data delays, the market will focus more on the comments of FOMC voting members and key members. Short-term gold price drivers will be reflected in the fine-tuning of "words + expectations." Overall, fundamentals continue to provide a favorable environment for gold prices, and the probability of trend continuation is higher than that of a reversal. Specifically: On the daily chart, gold has been performing strongly since breaking through the $3,900 mark last week. For downward support, watch for $3,925, where gold prices hit resistance earlier this morning. After breaking through this level, prices retreated to test $3,925 before stabilizing and continuing their upward trend. Secondly, watch for $3,900, where gold prices stabilized after hitting resistance earlier this morning. For upward pressure, watch for the current intraday high of $3,950, also a historical high. Further gains suggest upward momentum, but there's no need to speculate on a top. The 5-day moving average and MACD indicator have formed a golden cross, while the KDJ and RSI indicators are crossing upward in overbought territory. Short-term technical indicators suggest continued bullishness, with gold remaining in overbought territory, indicating strong bullish sentiment. Strategy： Long Position3920，SL:3900，Target:3980,4000
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Channel Continuation SetupGold (XAU/USD) continues to trade within a strong ascending channel on the 30-minute chart, showing clear bullish momentum. Price action has respected the lower trendline support multiple times, confirming steady buying interest. Key Levels: Entry Zone: Around 4031 Target: 4051 Stop Loss: 4019 Technical Outlook: Gold maintains a solid uptrend structure with consecutive higher highs and higher lows. The price is currently consolidating near mid-channel, preparing for a potential push toward the upper boundary and target zone around 4050+. As long as price holds above 4020, the bullish bias remains valid. Trade Idea: Buy on minor pullbacks within the channel, aiming for the upper resistance line near 4051. A break below 4020 would invalidate the setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Gold has no high. Latest Analysis.Since the beginning of the year, driven by global trade tensions, market doubts about the Federal Reserve's independence and policy path, and ongoing concerns about the health of the US fiscal system, international gold prices have surged over 50%, breaking through the $4,000 per ounce mark for the first time in history. Delays in US economic data due to the risk of a government shutdown have further exacerbated market uncertainty, adding fuel to gold's surging rally. Technically, gold prices maintain a stable bullish pattern on the daily chart. Although showing signs of fatigue after consecutive surges, no top has been signaled. The 1-hour chart shows that gold prices are moving higher amidst volatility. Any pullback will likely find buying support at key support levels, maintaining the short-term upward trend. The 4-hour chart shows that although the RSI indicator has entered overbought territory, suggesting the risk of a pullback, prices remain firmly above all moving averages. The bullish alignment of the moving averages provides solid technical support for the upside. Looking back at Tuesday's performance, the market has demonstrated strong resilience after reaching a record high. The price of gold surged and then fell back to test the support below, and then rebounded quickly. This clearly demonstrates the strong demand for bargain-hunting in the current market. Overall, the overall upward trend in gold prices remains solid. In terms of operating strategy, it is recommended to arrange long orders after a callback. In the short term, focus on the resistance level of 4040. If it is successfully broken, resistance will shift to the 4050-4070 range. The short-term support below will first focus on the $4020 to $4010 support, and the more critical defensive level is around $4000. Any pullback toward this support area could provide an opportunity for a new round of long entry.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Market_Trader1
XAUUSD: Uptrend remains strongOANDA:XAUUSD still maintains a strong uptrend despite sudden pullbacks with heavy selling pressure thanks to immediate recoveries and the continuous formation of a higher-high/higher-low (HH/HL) structure. Up to the present time, bullish momentum is still sustained throughout sessions. However, with a large number of Longput contracts having been pushed into the market by CME traders, a sharp correction may occur in the coming sessions. Prices continue to push higher. However, bullish momentum has significantly weakened on the 15m timeframe. A large number of Longput contracts have been pushed into the market by CME traders from the previous session and in today’s session to guard against a sudden decline. => Therefore, a sharp correction may be about to occur in the near term. There is still a considerable amount of Longcall contracts placed at the zone , therefore price may still have a push up into this price area. In my opinion, we should continue to stand aside in today’s session and wait for clearer confirmation from the market. Resistance: Key support: , Strong support: The above are the levels where, the market will have certain reactions. You can take short scalping trades when price taps these support/resistance zones. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its strong bullish run, extending gains above 4000, with price now approaching the 4046 resistance level. Momentum remains firmly in buyers’ hands with no clear signs of exhaustion so far, although price is now moving into overextended territory following several strong impulsive moves. If bullish momentum remains strong and buyers manage to break above the 4046 resistance, price may extend toward the 4064 level. However, failure to clear 4046 could trigger a pullback toward lower support zones. Immediate support sits at the First Reaction Zone (4000–3970) — a natural area for a short-term pullback if price starts to cool off. Deeper retracement zones are found around 3937 and 3909, where the broader uptrend could rebuild momentum should short-term profit-taking intensify. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4046 4064 4080 Support: 4020 4000 3970 3937 3909 🔎Fundamental Focus | October 8, 2025 All eyes are on the FOMC Meeting Minutes later today, scheduled for 8:00 pm (GMT+2). Despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, the Fed’s communications remain unaffected since it operates independently. Several Fed officials — including Mester, Barr, Goolsbee, Logan, and Kashkari — are also speaking throughout the day, which could add volatility. ⚠️ Stay cautious — sentiment remains headline-driven amid the shutdown and multiple Fed speeches today.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Gold 1H – Bulls Seek Re-Entry Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold extends its advance above $4,030 as traders position ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes and key U.S. inflation expectations data. The metal remains supported by persistent geopolitical risk and renewed central-bank demand, while Treasury yields hover near monthly lows. However, sentiment is mixed after the IMF warned of slower global growth, keeping the dollar steady and prompting potential short-term corrections before continuation. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price structure shows a clean Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside following a higher-low formation. The market is currently reacting near premium liquidity at 4068–4066, where a rejection could trigger a retracement toward the discount buy zone at 3969–3971 before resuming the bullish leg. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3969–3971 (Discount Demand / FVG) – potential re-entry area for continuation buyers. 🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4066 (Premium Liquidity) – possible engineered sweep zone for short-term sellers. 🔑 Key Levels • BUY Zone: 3969–3971 (main support 3960) • SELL Zone: 4068–4066 (liquidity pool) • Psychological Resistance: 4070 • Intraday Pivot: 4035 💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3969–3971 SL: 3960 TP: 3980 – 3990 – 4005 – 4020 – 4035+ 🔴 SELL ZONE: 4068–4066 SL: 4075 TP: 4050 – 4035 – 4020 – 4000 ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Expect liquidity sweeps near 4068 before the U.S. session. Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (ChoCH / BOS) before entry. Volatility may spike around the Fed minutes, so partial profits and tight stop management are advised. ✅ Summary Gold remains structurally bullish above 3960, with intraday retracements likely before continuation. Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates buy reactions around 3970 and short-term rejections at 4068, aligning with the current SMC structure and macro catalysts ahead of FOMC updates. 🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for live setups, liquidity plays, and real-time gold structure updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
16
4015 can go long, 3990 is bullish if not brokenAs expected, gold continued its strong upward momentum, breaking through the 4,000 mark in the Asian session and nearly reaching 4,040. But from the news point of view, gold has now come to a critical moment. According to information revealed by U.S. Senator John Thune, the Senate will vote again on two short-term appropriations bills on the 8th and discuss the progress of the government shutdown. This will be the Senate's sixth attempt to pass a temporary spending bill to end the federal government shutdown. The previous government shutdown sparked market panic, leading many investors to flock to the gold market. If the government can be reopened this time, it will effectively alleviate risk aversion and cause gold prices to correct. On the contrary, the impact of continued closures and geopolitical factors may even cause gold to rise again. Judging from the current gold trend, a new upward channel has been formed. Our trading strategy still focuses on long gold and short gold as a supplement. Then we should first focus on the small support of 4015-4010. When it falls back to here for the first time, we can try to go long with a light position. If it breaks, stop loss in time and pay attention to the important support of 4000-3900 to go long on gold. But it is worth noting that we must be wary of the possible rise and fall of gold today. The first reason is whether the US government shutdown issue can be resolved. The second reason is that China’s holiday is about to end. As a major gold holder, once it returns, the impact on the market will definitely be significant. On the upside, focus on the channel resistance level of 4050-4060. If gold rises near this resistance level, consider shorting it appropriately based on market conditions. For more real-time updates, please follow my profile
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell
GU, UJ & Gold Weekly Outlook | Key Levels & Trade Plan |Oct 6–10This week’s market outlook is packed with opportunities and risks. In this video, I walk you through my personal chart structures on GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold, showing you the levels I’m watching, what they reveal about market sentiment, and how I’m planning my trades for the week. By the end of this video, you’ll: ✅Understand the key support and resistance zones driving price action. ✅See how I balance fundamentals and technicals in real time. ✅Learn why structure is my guide, not predictions. ✅Get a practical roadmap to approach the week with confidence. ⚠️ This isn’t a signal service; it’s my personal trading map, shared to help you think and trade smarter. 🔔 I’ll also be dropping updates in the comments section as the week unfolds, so keep an eye there for my real-time thoughts.
by darcsherry
1
"Gold 'Buy the Dip' Opportunity Targeting the $4,000 Level" Technical Analysis This is a classic bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: Prevailing Trend: The chart shows a strong bullish impulse wave, indicated by the series of large green candles. This establishes the short-term trend as upward. Corrective Pullback: After reaching a local high (around $3,980), the price is currently in a corrective phase, pulling back towards a potential support level. This is normal and healthy price action in an uptrend. Support Zone: The red rectangle you've highlighted from approximately $3,950.00 to $3,956.00 is a well-defined area of potential support. This zone represents a previous level of consolidation and the base of the last major push upwards, making it a likely area for buyers to step back in. Trade Idea: The projected path you have drawn suggests an expectation that the price will dip into this support zone, find buying pressure, and then continue its upward trajectory. This is often referred to as a "buy the dip" strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Gold: Buy near 3960, target 3999-4060Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday's daily chart of gold began with a correction, but continued to rise in the US market. This rhythm is consistent with our analysis yesterday of a correction followed by an upward trend. Today's outlook remains bullish. Gold is approaching 3999 in the Asian session, and a break above 4000 is a foregone conclusion. This surge in gold prices has dazzled the world. What does 4000 mean in terms of historical significance for gold? In September 2022, it was still around 1640, a rise of over 2000 in almost three years. The situation between Russia and Ukraine has begun to surge, and the Middle East situation has further fueled its rise. The Federal Reserve has recently implemented a series of monetary policies to further support its rise. In the long term, there is no longer any peak in gold prices. We believe the long-term trend is still upward. Lao Gu believes that bullish performance will continue at least in October. Today, we will focus on the gains and losses of 4000. If gold breaks through 4000 recently, we could consider buying. If it corrects first, we could focus on the minor support level at 3960. This level represents yesterday's hourly low, short-term moving average support, and a buy order level for the Asian session. We won't consider selling today, as the support level was already broken yesterday. Support levels are 3960 and 3940, resistance is 4000, and 3960 is the dividing line between strength and weakness. Fundamental Trend: The recent US government shutdown has been the biggest shock to the market, and its impact has been swirling around it. Trading Recommendation: Gold: Buy near 3960, target 3999-4060
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenBigAge
The era of gold at $4000! Analysis of today's gold price trends!Market News: In early Asian trading on Wednesday (October 8), London gold prices continued their upward trend, with futures slightly hitting a new all-time high of $4,026. Spot gold briefly climbed to $3,999, just shy of $4,000, reflecting strong market demand for gold. The primary trading venue for spot gold is the London over-the-counter market, which has become the benchmark for global gold pricing. The continued rise in international gold prices stems from investors' instinctive avoidance of uncertainty. When stock and bond market volatility intensifies, gold naturally becomes the preferred safe haven for funds. The chaotic US government shutdown, with no sign of a resolution in the near term, has provided solid buying support for gold. Multiple factors, including continued increases in holdings by multiple central banks, have combined to drive a steady rise in international gold prices. Technical Analysis: Gold continues to operate in a trend-buying structure, with trend-driven buying approaching the $4,000 mark. The weekly chart saw eight consecutive positive days, with the RSI indicator reaching the overbought zone above 80. The daily chart's consecutive positive days saw gold prices close strongly above 3990, with the RSI also above 80. Technically, watch for a sharp correction after the all-time high reached around mid-October. Today's trading strategy and trend layout remains focused on buying on dips! The gold bull market continues to surge, and dips in gold continue to offer buying opportunities. Gold is currently maintaining a relatively stable upward trend along its short-term moving average on the 4-hour chart. The bottoming out after yesterday's US trading session also completed the technical pattern correction. While gold is currently fluctuating at a high level, further highs are almost certain to occur. We've seen this kind of technical pattern and movement quite a bit over the past period! In the short term, it remains a relatively strong trend with high fluctuations. Trading Strategy: Short-term gold buy at 3980-3983, stop loss at 3972, target at 4010-4030; Short-term gold sell at 4043-4046, stop loss at 4055, target at 3990-3970; Key Points: First support level: 3983, second support level: 3974, third support level: 3962 First resistance level: 4006, second resistance level: 4017, third resistance level: 4028
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenBigAge