GOOGLE Bull Cycle running out of steam. Be ready to sell.It's been exactly 2 months (September 05, see chart below) when we last had a look at Google (GOOG) giving a strong break-out Buy Signal that methodically hit our $275 Target:
This time we look at the stock from a much longer term perspective on the 1W time-frame, where it is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up that started on the COVID crash (March 2020).
This is a major Sell Alert as the 1W RSI is also printing a Double Top formation similar to the November 15 2021 Top. Given that +125% rallies have been the most common long-term sequences of this pattern, we believe that any price above $300 is a major Sell for Google.
The strongest long-term Support and Target of correction sequences/ Bearish Legs has been the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and this is our Target for 2026. We estimate that a potential contact with the 1W MA200 can be made at around $180 (also marginally above the 0.5 Fibonacci level from the bottom of the previous correction). A contact with the 1W MA200 will be our next long-term Buy on Google.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Google (Alphabet)
Google pullback still in play, local chartWave III continues but price looks exhausted and may trap late investors causing them to capitulate lower later.
Wave (5) of III is likely to complete with a throw-over of the upper channel boundary. Wave IV has an expected retracement target of the 0.382, $222, filling the gap left and meeting the daily 200EMA.
Daily RSI has printed bearish divergence from overbought.
Continued upside hasa target of the R3 pivot, $358.
$GOOG | Alphabet Google | The Everything Tech CompanyAlphabet NASDAQ:GOOG is the everything tech company. Do your future self a favor and get some. Yes, it will crater as soon as you buy it. Your short-term future self will cry and whine and throw a fit and try to panic sell. But your far future self will appreciate it.
Robots? Had backflipping robots years ago
Internet? Been scraping that for decades.
AI? We summoned the great prompter into existence.
Nvidia GPUs? Pshhh... We've got TPUs bruv
Gold teeth? Check.
Performance enhancing drugs? Check the squats broh
You winning son? Close the door dad. I'm busy buying NASDAQ:GOOG
We buyin dips. We buyin corrections. We buyin crashes.
Check the target for our first add level.
Breaking: Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: $GOOG) Spike 12% TodayThe share price of Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) Spike 8% on Thursday early market trading breaking out of a bullish flag pattern.
The asset is currently overbought as seen by the RSI at 83, making it poised for a reversal in the short term. Adding to the bullish thesis, NASDAQ:GOOG is trading above key MA respectively.
In another news, Google parent Alphabet
is planning a “significant increase” in spend next year as it continues to invest in AI infrastructure to meet the demand of its customer backlog, executives said Wednesday.
The company reported its first $100 billion revenue quarter on Wednesday, beating Wall Street’s expectations for Alphabet’s third quarter. Executives then said that the company plans to grow its capital spend for this year.
“With the growth across our business and demand from Cloud customers, we now expect 2025 capital expenditures to be in a range of $91 billion to $93 billion,” the company said in its earnings report.
GOOG | The Year of Quantum | LONGAlphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in software, health care, transportation, and other technologies. It operates through the following segments: Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services segment includes products and services, such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. The Google Cloud segment refers to infrastructure and platform services, collaboration tools, and other services for enterprise customers. The Other Bets segment relates to the sale of healthcare-related services and internet services. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.
Is Google Entering Distribution? (GOOG, GOOGL Analysis)⚡ Overview
Recently, the charts of all major tech giants — Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft — have started to look almost identical.
Each of them seems to be either topping out or entering what looks like a distribution phase.
In this post, I’ll share my technical and fundamental outlook on Google (GOOG, GOOGL), along with the key risks and price zones I’m watching as a trader.
💡 Fundamental View
From a fundamental perspective, Google still looks strong:
The P/E ratio has been growing steadily.
Revenue continues to rise.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares for years.
So fundamentally, this is not a bubble.
By Peter Lynch’s fair value formula, Google remains fairly valued, maybe even with a modest upside left.
However, strong fundamentals don’t always mean big growth ahead — especially when the market has already priced in perfection.
And that’s typically when the distribution phase begins.
📈 Technical View
According to Elliott Wave Theory, Google seems to be completing the fifth sub-wave within a larger third wave —
a structure that often marks the final stage before a distribution or correction phase.
On the long-term chart, price is now approaching the upper boundary of the rising channel,
with limited upside potential — possibly up to $430–$450, which represents the top zone.
Beyond that, the probability of continued growth drops sharply, while correction risk increases significantly.
⚙️ Market Structure
When analyzing the volume profile, the largest accumulation zone sits around $15 – $16 —
that’s where long-term investors entered 15 years ago.
Those early buyers are now sitting on massive unrealized profits,
and many are gradually distributing (selling) positions into current strength.
Meanwhile, retail traders often see the ongoing move as “more upside ahead.”
But in reality, this could be the final buying climax before a deeper correction.
🧩 Cycle Context
Interestingly, the same pattern is visible across Apple, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft.
It’s not just about one stock — the entire Big Tech segment appears to be entering a similar maturity stage of the cycle.
That’s why I believe Google could soon transition from markup to distribution,
followed by a potential multi-quarter sideways or corrective phase.
💬 What’s your take? Do you think Google will reach $400 before correcting — or has the top already formed?
👇 Share your view in the comments.
Today's Market Wrap: Fed, Gold, and Earnings – 29/10/2025The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, marking the lowest level since 2022. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at a possible pause in further rate cuts for the rest of the year. Still, the S&P 500 gained 0.2%, and the Nasdaq gained 1%, both hitting fresh record highs.
Gold remained flat at $3,950 an ounce after Powell warned that a December rate cut is not guaranteed. Potential progress on the US-China trade framework has also reduced some safe-haven demand.
In corporate earnings, Microsoft beat expectations but saw a ~2.5% drop in after-hours trading due to a slight miss in cloud revenue. Meta posted strong results but fell ~8% after hours, driven by concerns over capital expenditure. Alphabet exceeded earnings and revenue forecasts, with strong performance across Search, YouTube, and Cloud, sending shares up ~5% in after-hours trading.
GOOGL Alphabet Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GOOGL before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GOOGL Alphabet prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 305usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $8.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Google ready for higher!I am liking the look of NASDAQ:GOOG for another push to all time high before lower to complete macro elliot wave 3.
Wave 4 has typical target of the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement which sits at the previous all time high and also fils the gap left and meets the daily 200EMA! Lots of confluence and ill be buying here if we get it.
Daily Rsi has crossed bullishly from below the EQ.
Safe trading
Google Gap fill + wave 4?Google has had a great run into price discovery in wave III uptrend but now appears exhausted and ready for a short term pullback setting up new signals.
The gap looks likely to be filled as coinciding the wave IV Fibonacci targets and the S1 daily pivot.
RSI is making its way into oversold with plenty of room to fall. Price may fal as far as the 0.382 Fibonacci and retest the previous all time high!
Safe trading
Alphabet (GOOG) Forms Bull FlagAlphabet’s recent price action suggests a brief consolidation phase following a powerful uptrend. After a sustained advance through late summer, price has developed a bull flag pattern — a downward-sloping channel (highlighted in blue) forming just below recent highs, often seen as a continuation setup within strong trends.
The 50-day SMA (blue) continues to rise sharply above the 200-day SMA (red), confirming the broader bullish structure. Price remains comfortably above both moving averages, reinforcing underlying strength despite short-term pullback behavior.
Momentum indicators show mixed signals typical of consolidation:
The MACD has flattened slightly, with the signal lines converging but still holding in positive territory, indicating a temporary slowdown rather than a full reversal.
The RSI (14) has eased from overbought levels to around 63, suggesting that buying pressure has cooled but remains generally supportive of the trend.
Overall, Alphabet’s chart maintains a constructive technical setup. The bull flag pattern, combined with rising moving averages and resilient momentum, indicates that the broader uptrend remains intact pending a confirmed breakout from the consolidation channel.
-MW
GOOG Alphabet Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GOOG before the previous rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GOOG Alphabet prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 170usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-7-18,
for a premium of approximately $4.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GOOGL Alphabet Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GOOGL before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GOOGL Alphabet prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 215usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-1-16,
for a premium of approximately $8.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Google Likely On SupportGOOGL is likely finding support on $174. It's following the panic trend right now as almost everything Computer/Tech has been sold deep into support bids. GOOGL finding support here along with AMZN at $214 leads to my theory IXIC is ready to break resistance.
If it fails to hold $174, then the major support at $148 should lift it back up towards it's final target (or next major support) of $252.
Good luck!
Google has reached it's stretch level👉 The rubber band is stretched 📉💥🐍
👉 Euphoria is at it's top 🚀💸🌕
👉 Greed eats brain 💰🤑👐
So, why not taking a casual short?
Let's say, with some ITM Put Options, just to define the risk?
Because if I short the UL, there's still a chance that greed and euphoria goes nuts and gaps way above the U-MLH.
So, let's give it time to mature, like a good old Whiskey §8-)
Cheers 🥃
GOOGLE Massive weekly break-out! Is $275 next?Last time we took a look at Google (GOOG) was 3 months ago (May 29, see chart below), giving a strong buy signal within its then Channel Up, that hit our $197.00 Target in less than 2 months:
This week the stock has broken above its April - August 2025 Channel Up, soaring on the very positive news, breaching the $230.00 barrier. In fact, the whole 2024 - 2025 price action resembles the pattern of 2018 - 2019 up until the current break-out.
In April 29 2019 the price opened downwards massively, the opposite of what occurred now. After it found Support and rebounded a month later, Google eventually started a new long-term rally that almost reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
We will apply a similar structure as we move forward, expecting the current fundamental euphoria to recede on the short-term, with our optimal technical buy being near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). After that, our long-term Target will be $275.00 (just below the 1.618 Fibonacci extension).
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Google clear for take off? Elliot Wave adjusted!NASDAQ:GOOG Google shot up on the open into price discovery invalidating the pullback scenario and suggesting we are in a strong wave 3. Don't step in front of this moving train! gaps don't have to be filled if they are runaway gaps!
Daily RSI is significantly overbought and price is far above the mean so a short term reversal is still expected though not guaranteed! We expect a test of the all time High Volume Node as support at least, $207
Safe trading
$GOOG $226 Premarket! 2.61 Golden Pocket Above for Puts Well what do we have here? We have Taz taking a peak at the GOOGLE pop 👀 would you just look at it? If you put the fib right at the last high and low, you get a nice Golden Pocket Target Above at $228.97 …
Now let’s be clear here. Congrats to the Bulls in my Room that saw that Alert from the Bot and Hopped in with the Big Boys.
For now, it’s time to go with tie short side imo. If we can get a tap of that 2.61 pocket above, I’ll swing something to the downside for next week. Targets would include a Gap fill. If not, then I will be patient and possibly not even enter. I would rather optimal entry. Then forced entry. Have a good one yall.
Alphabet (GOOGL) Shares Set an All-Time HighAlphabet (GOOGL) Shares Set an All-Time High
As the chart of Alphabet (GOOGL) shares shows, the price in August exceeded the February high. For the first time in history, the close price moved above $210.
The positive market sentiment is being driven by the development of AI technologies, as well as Alphabet’s (GOOGL) ambition to maintain a leading position in this field. Among the latest news, it is worth noting that Meta Platforms (META) has signed an agreement to use Google Cloud’s infrastructure for its AI projects, which is expected to bring Alphabet around $10 billion in revenue.
Technical Analysis of GOOGL Shares
In the long-term context, price fluctuations are forming an ascending channel (shown in blue). After falling to the lower boundary in early April (when Trump first announced his tariffs), the balance of sentiment shifted, and the price has since been moving within a new medium-term ascending channel (shown in purple), approaching the upper boundary of the blue channel.
At the same time, we can make the following observations, which generally point to a bullish market:
→ the price has confidently broken above the median line of the long-term channel;
→ the price has consolidated above the psychological level of $200, which acted as resistance at the start of the year;
→ this summer, the price has been trading near the upper boundary of the medium-term channel, highlighting strong demand – short-term declines towards the median line of the medium-term channel have quickly attracted buyers;
→ in August, the $205.75 level switched its role from resistance to support.
From a bearish perspective, the RSI indicator is showing signs of divergence, suggesting that the rally may be running out of steam. However, it seems that more significant drivers would be needed to shift the current positive sentiment:
→ Technically, Alphabet’s (GOOGL) share price reaching the upper boundary (which looks realistic given the bullish factors listed) could motivate buyers to take profits.
→ Major economic news, such as a change in the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Google Elliot Wave count adjustedNASDAQ:GOOGL appears to be completing a motif wave 3 with a push into all time high on overbought bearish divergence in the RSI. This would align with 2.618 Fibonacci extension target, a high probability ending point for wave 3.
Wave 4 would be expected to terminate at the nested wave (4) which aligns with triple support - Daily Pivot, High Volume Node and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement. The ascending 200EMA may come to meet price at this point adding confluence.
For now the trend remains up.
Safe trading
$GOOG Eyes Breakout Above $198Currently at $197.12, NASDAQ:GOOG is trading above both its 50-period SMA (~$196.00) and 200-period SMA (~$192.50) on the 30-minute chart. The trend remains bullish with support holding firm at $192.50, and bulls are watching closely as the price flirts with resistance near $198.75. This steady grind higher signals strength and trend continuation. Using UltraAlgo Optimizer to catch the next gorgeous set-up — charting tomorrow’s giants with UltraAlgo






















