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S&P500 Index Guess for 2026 Using Wall Street Ests S&P 500 Index 19 hours ago S&P500 Index Guess for 2026 Using Wall Street Ests 1 1 Grab this chart 256 19 hours ago Wall Street each January makes an estimate for the year ahead S&P500 Index, the largest index used for indexing returns and for managing capital. It's a fascinating practice to take a 'snapshot' of the mentality of the collective wisdom of Wall Street brokerage firms. These are the top 12 brokers in the US which guide portfolio managers globally. I included the long term average of 9%-10% as a reference so you can see that in 2025 Wall Street was bullish and clustered right around the average return as shown by the cluster of black rectangles. Oddly, the previous year estimates seem to have a "value support" function too where the market held on the pullback in the first quarter of 2025 at the level of the 2024 guesses. See for yourself how this worked in 2025. You can also see that the cluster of guesses around 6600 in the SPX created multiple rounds of volatility in the fall of 2025 as the market ran into selling at the "common guess level". This turbulence could have been the result of people either raising cash or rotating from growth to value stocks in the 3rd-4th quarter. So, on initial glance for 2026, I think the mid-term elections will have the most impact on the market and the uncertainty will cause sideways action through the year and finish with a sub-average, but positive year. IF we go under 6400, then I could see the market head down to 6200-6000 where I had seen it for last year. Either way, stay tuned as I update this "guess" along the way as I have done in years past. Overall, the batting average is quite good, but decide for yourself. Wishing you all a healthy and successful 2026! Tim West January 6, 2026 2:16PM EST (hidden since yesterday due to additional scripts accidentally left on the chart hidden)
EIGHTCAP:SPX500Long
by timwest
3
Guess?, Inc. Reports Fiscal Year 2025 Fourth Quarter ResultsGuess?, Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:GES ) a company that designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children- operating through five segments: Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and Licensing, reports fiscal year 2025 fourth quarter results. Reports Highlights Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Results: Revenues Increased to $932 Million, Up 5% in U.S. Dollars and 9% in Constant Currency Delivered Operating Margin of 11.1%; Adjusted Operating Margin of 11.4% GAAP EPS of $1.16 and Adjusted EPS of $1.48. Full Fiscal Year 2025 Results: Revenues Increased to $3.0 Billion, Up 8% in U.S. Dollars and 10% in Constant Currency Delivered Operating Margin of 5.8%; Adjusted Operating Margin of 6.0% GAAP EPS of $0.77 and Adjusted EPS of $1.96 Full Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook: Expects Revenue Increase between 3.9% and 6.2% in U.S. Dollars Expects GAAP and Adjusted Operating Margins between 4.3% and 5.2% and 4.5% and 5.4%, Respectively Expects GAAP EPS between $1.03 and $1.37 and Adjusted EPS between $1.32 and $1.76 Plans to Execute Business and Portfolio Optimization Expected to Unlock Approximately $30 Million in Operating Profit in Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Performance In 2024, Guess?'s revenue was $3.00 billion, an increase of 7.88% compared to the previous year's $2.78 billion. Earnings were $60.42 million, a decrease of -69.15%. Analyst Forecast According to 5 analysts, the average rating for GES stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $21.6, which is an increase of 115.14% from the latest price. As of the time of writing, NYSE:GES shares closed Thursday's session down 11.78% extending the loss to Friday's premarket trading down by 2.38%. With a weaker RSI of 38, should trades open, NYSE:GES shares might break the 1-month low pivot and dip to the $7 support point. About $2.85 trillion was wiped out from the US stock market yesterday.
NYSE:GESShort
by DEXWireNews
2025 S&P500 Forecast Guess by Tim WestI included 2024's guess that I posted here in January last year which turned out to be quite accurate in terms of "action" and "direction". The volatility the market saw with wild swings back and forth was outlined on here as we reached the clusters of guesses from Wall Street estimates. This is an old technique that I learned from Ken Fisher of Fisher Investments and from Forbes Magazine. His wise and witty insights were the foundation of my investment strategy when I started investing in the mid 1980's. Basically, when you see what the "market expectations" are for a market like the FOREXCOM:SPX500 or S&P500 Index, you can then figure out what needs to happen to get the market to their estimates and realize the market will go to somewhere else other than their guesses. With 2024 showing a majority of "less than historical average" forecasts and more downside forecasts, it was quite clear that the market could easily outpace or outperform those forecasts. Now that 2025 shows that analysts are looking for an average year or more, I think it is safe to say that we won't get an average year. We now have a rising US dollar, which hurts overseas earnings. We also have higher energy prices which also hurts earnings. And yet we have plenty of cash on the sidelines as everyone who missed the rally is hoping to buy on a decline and others are just happy to earn 5% on their cash balances thanks to an ultra-tight Fed (compared to the last 20 years). So, I expect more of the same that we have seen in January and I also expect sharp declines if we get any moves above the highs and up towards 6500 on the SPX.
EIGHTCAP:SPX500
by timwest
15
GES- BULLISH SCENARIOGuess? Inc., ticker symbol GES, released its first-quarter fiscal 2024 results, surpassing market estimates for both revenue and earnings. However, compared to the previous year, both metrics experienced a decline. The company's international business exhibited strength during the quarter. This, coupled with solid product margins and effective cost-control measures, helped mitigate the challenges faced by the Americas Retail business due to reduced customer footfall in stores. Guess? has been successful in enhancing its brand image and maintaining a strong global distribution network, benefiting from its diversified business model. Looking ahead, management remains positive about fiscal 2024, anticipating low single-digit growth in revenue. Additionally, they expect strong profitability and robust cash flow generation. Following the earnings announcement, Guess? shares saw a 1.3% increase during the after-market trading session on May 24. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NYSE:GESLong
by legacyFXofficial
YETI - impulse waveOutcome Predictions - (pink) price continues with uptrend until after earnings report. stock hits price high for wave again before correction and EMA folding over before 5th wave - (blue) EMAs fold over now with larger drop to $62 - (purp) correction already over Patterns - two nearly identical bull runs - may have already seen same $12.50 drop twice - third stair would create 5 wave uptrend - steady and significant earnings growth for last 3 years Other Factors - extremely strong brand - dominance in general market sustained by dominance in specific markets (eg. fishing), unlike competitors (hydro flask) - upcoming earnings report Doubts - the patterns I mentioned are kinda silly - no major signals, these are pretty much wild guesses *** WARNING *** I am very new to this, don't trust me!
NYSE:YETILong
by jsobusername
Just a guess, not an analysis.So, a good guess is as good as a formal job. Here I guess that the indecision here is due to a price rising too fast. As TFUEL's price is sitting up there about 60% from the lowest price seen here, the buyers will only proceed to jump in at a possible lower level. Just a guess. ______________________________________________________________________ Please, don't take my writings as Financial Advice. They are made for Educational purposes only. It is strongly recommended for every individual to double check everything before making any serious investment in any endeavour.
by Claudio18
Camarilla pivots Wild guess for coming PASo this is not financial advice. I come to this guess because we have a tiny channel on the daily levels just under the pivot point. If we break the pivot I think the daily could swing high and take us up to low 10kish. that is where both the weekly and monthly top range level is (10.2-10.4) for max resistance. And since it is early In the week I think perhaps we will correct it from there. seems like a fitting hunt and false break out on low time frame traders shifting into a suitable early weekly and monthly Range downside play for proper correction. From there we maybe could see if it holds up... IF it happens.
by Gunslinger2005
GUESS Key Level Broken| Bearish Retest| Volume Climax Evening Traders, Today’s technical analysis will be on GUESS, breaking major structural support and confirming a bearish retest, Points to consider, - Bear Trend (consecutive lower highs) - Structural support breached - Confirmed S/R Flip - RSI oversold - Stochastics in lower regions - Volume climax evident GUESS has been in an established bear trend with consecutive lower highs, a new local low has been confirmed with its recent wick down. Weekly structural support has been breached; this is a high timeframe support, broken with convincing volume with a confirmed bearish retest. Bulls were not able to break above the now resistance – confirming the S/R flip. RSI is currently oversold; a reversion back to neutral territory is highly probable. The stochastics on the other hand is in the lower regions, can stay trading here for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the upside. Volume climax is evident, signalling a temporary bottom is in; however this is likely to change due to the confirmed S/R flip. Overall, in my opinion, Guess is likely to test lower lows upon breaking key structural support. This is also combined with the greater economic situation; the retail sector is largely hit. What are your thoughts? Please leave a like and comment, And remember, “Don't blindly follow someone, follow market and try to hear what it is telling you.” ― Jaymin Shah
NYSE:GESShort
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
2