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H-setup

NZDJPY to continue in the downward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry 5 negative daily performances in succession. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market. 50 1hour EMA is at 86.68. We look to Sell at 86.67 (stop at 87.01) Our profit targets will be 85.67 and 85.47 Resistance: 86.74 / 86.97 / 87.22 Support: 86.38 / 85.99 / 85.56 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
3
NZDUSD to find buyers at previous swing low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry The selloff is close to an exhaustion count on the intraday chart. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5875 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5900. We look to Buy at 0.5840 (stop at 0.5820) Our profit targets will be 0.5895 and 0.5900 Resistance: 0.5875 / 0.5895 / 0.6000 Support: 0.5850 / 0.5840 / 0.5825 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
1
Adobe (ADBE) — Daily — Double BottomSetup Pattern: Double bottom on the daily chart with two clear lows and a visible neckline. Timeframe: Daily Measuring rule (target) Measure the vertical distance from the bottoms to the neckline and add it to the breakout point. Using this method the measured target equals +$24.38 per share from the breakout. Entry & trigger - Enter long on a confirmed close above the neckline (daily close above neckline). - If you prefer an earlier entry, a volume-backed intraday break above the neckline can be used, but prefer a daily close for confirmation. Stop loss - Place stop loss just below the recent low (the second bottom). Use a few cents/pips buffer below that low to avoid noise. Position sizing & risk - Risk per share = entry price − stop loss price. - With the stop placed just below the recent low, risk per share is small and gives a risk/reward ratio ≈ 1.02 . Given the measured target of +$24.38, ensure your entry and stop sizing produce the stated R:R — example calculations below. Notes & trade management - Prefer a daily close above the neckline with increased volume for higher probability. - If price returns to retest the neckline, consider adding only if support holds and risk remains acceptable. - Trail stop to breakeven after a significant portion of the measured move is achieved (for example, after +50% of the $24.38 move).
NASDAQ:ADBE
by dPEngineering
XHB - Housing Is In Real Trouble - My Short explained🏠 Some Facts & Fundamentals first 🏠 The Fed has made its first rate cut in 2025, and more are expected if inflation remains under control. That could put downward pressure on long-term mortgage rates, which may give the market a little boost. Builders (like Lennar) are 🏚️ facing profit pressure 🏚️ due to affordability and are offering incentives (rate buydowns, other discounts) to spur demand. 📈 Now to the technicals 📉 Price went up to the Centerline. The 80% rule played out like textbook. Then it closed above the Centerline, and failed to move further up to the U-MLH, which is a loud 🚨 warning sign 🚨. And finally, we have a confirmed "Hagopian", when we close below the Centerline this Week. To me it's all perfect in line - I mean, the TA & Fundamentals. My plan is, to play XHB short with LEAP Options (182 Days) and take profit on the way down, which is at the Centerline, 1/4 Line and the L-MLH. Of cours I would bail out or hedge, if price open & close again above the Centerline on the weekly time frame Chart. ⚠️ Stay updated ⚠️ I will start something new in one or two weeks, so you better don't miss it and follow! §8-) ❤️ THANK YOU ALL ❤️ ...for the Boosts and Follow from this week. Your feedback is what makes it worth to post! I wish you all a relaxing and happy weekend §8-)
AMEX:XHBShort
by HowToChart
3
EUR/USD Trading Plans EUR/USD Trade Plan 1. Bearish Setup (higher probability right now) Entry: If price closes below 1.16945 on the daily chart. Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.1765 (recent resistance). Take Profit (TP): TP1 → 1.1500 (psychological level & prior demand) TP2 → 1.1135 (major demand zone marked on your chart). 📉 Risk/Reward: Good (approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on TP). --- 2. Bullish Setup (if support holds) Entry: If price rejects 1.16945 with a bullish engulfing or strong pin bar. Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.1640 (under support wick). Take Profit (TP): TP1 → 1.1867 (immediate resistance) TP2 → 1.2191 (major resistance / supply). 📈 Risk/Reward: Decent (1:2 if aiming for 1.2191). 3. Neutral Zone (wait mode) If price is stuck between 1.16945 – 1.1765, better to wait. That’s a “decision zone” → market could flip either way. ✅ Summary Bias: Short-term bearish after rejection at 1.2191. Main level to watch: 1.16945 (support). Best plan: Sell below 1.16945 → aim for 1.1500 → 1.1135. Buy only if bullish rejection candles form at 1.16945. ⚠️ Always use proper risk management (1–2% risk per trade max).
by Switczyfx
USD/CHF - Trade Setup 🕰 1H Structure Price has shifted bullish after a BOS and liquidity sweep. We’ve tapped into discount levels near the 71% retracement and held demand. 📊 Technical Breakdown MSS → BOS confirmed bullish intent. Demand zone sits at 0.7880 – 0.7900. Price cleared SSL liquidity and is now seeking upside inefficiency. Next magnet = 0.8000 – 0.8030 swing range. 🎯 Entry / Exit Zones Entry: Wait for a pullback into the 0.7880 – 0.7900 demand zone. Target 1: 0.7950 (intra-range). Target 2: 0.8000 – 0.8030 (swing range high). Invalidation : Break below 0.7860. ⚖️ Outlook Short-term pullback into demand → continuation bullish towards 0.8000+. Bias : 📈 Bullish continuation after retrace.
Long
by jamesibartram
EUR/USD 4H Trade Setup🔎 Bias Mid-term bullish continuation after corrective pullback into demand. 📊 Technical Breakdown Weekly/Daily: Structure remains bullish after breaking out of consolidation. 4H : Clear impulsive leg (i-ii-iii) with current correction into the 71% fib retracement. Demand zone: 1.1730 – 1.1770 aligns with BOS retest + liquidity sweep. Confluence : Trendline support + untested 4H demand. 🎯 Entry / Exit Entry zone : 1.1740 – 1.1770 demand Targets: TP1: 1.1860 TP2: 1.1960 TP3 (extended): 1.2050+ (wave (v) projection) Invalidation : Below 1.1685 ⚖️ Risk Management Risk only 1–2% per trade. Stop loss tucked under 1.1685 demand break. 📌 Outlook Expecting a corrective dip into demand before continuation higher. If demand holds → strong bullish wave (v) towards 1.20+. Bias: Pullback → Mid-term bullish 🚀
Long
by jamesibartram
NZDJPY to find sellers at the current market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment. Previous resistance located at 87.80. 87.70 has been pivotal. Short term oscillators have turned negative. We look for a temporary move higher. We look to Sell at 87.67 (stop at 88.00) Resistance: 87.66 / 87.88 / 88.13 Support: 87.32 / 87.16 / 86.80 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
1
Intel (INTC) silent accumulation pattern and projection of priceThe last time INTC broke out of its sideways range, it re-tested support three times. After that, price surged upward, pulled back to the Centerline (an 80% probability move), and then began accumulating again within a sideways coil — or “Battery,” as I like to call it (see the TSLA example). This setup looks similar now. In fact, we even have a stronger filter: Price must first break out of the downsloping red Fork. Once that happens, we can expect a re-test of the upper median line (U-MLH). That’s the point where I decide whether or not to take a position. My target is the Centerline of the grey “What If Fork.” I want to emphasize that the inventor of the Forks highlighted this idea in his original course: always project and think, “What if…?” That’s exactly what I do — and maybe it will help you as well. Let’s see if Intel’s “Battery” gives us a solid trade. §8-)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by HowToChart
Gold Trade Setup🕰 Weekly Structure Gold is still holding a bullish tone overall, with higher-timeframe demand zones supporting the structure. Momentum favors continuation as long as demand levels are respected. 📉 Daily View Price recently broke structure (BOS) and confirmed buyers stepping in. The daily demand zone is aligned with the 4H block, adding confluence for bullish continuation. ⏱ 4H Breakdown Price tapped into 4H demand around 3660–3670. Clean rejection with a strong impulsive leg breaking above resistance. Swing range remains intact with liquidity swept below before the move higher. Upside target zone sits near 3730s, offering a solid risk-reward (around 1:6). 🔍 Outlook Short-term pullbacks into 4H demand (3660–3680) = potential buy entries. As long as demand holds, mid-term outlook remains bullish toward 3730+. Failure to hold demand would re-open downside back into the swing range (~3640–3620). Bias : ✅ Short-term pullback → Mid-term bullish continuation.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by jamesibartram
1
NZDJPY to continue in the upward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Our short term bias remains positive. Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows. Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market. 20 4hour EMA is at 87.80. We look to Buy at 87.81 (stop at 87.48) Our profit targets will be 88.81 and 89.01 Resistance: 88.13 / 88.50 / 89.00 Support: 87.75 / 87.48 / 87.16 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
NZDJPY to find sellers at previous swing high?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail. 88.36 has been pivotal. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward. We look to Sell at 88.25 (stop at 88.58) Our profit targets will be 87.25 and 87.05 Resistance: 87.89 / 88.20 / 88.36 Support: 87.50 / 87.17 / 86.63 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
ES (SPX) Analyses for Thu, Sep 11 (CPI day)What matters tomorrow (fundamentals) CPI (Aug) at 8:30 ET — the BLS schedule shows the August CPI release Thu Sep 11, 08:30 ET. This is the day’s primary driver. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims at 8:30 ET — standard Thursday release; calendars show the event scheduled for Sep 11 at 08:30 ET. Treasury 30-yr bond auction — $22B long-bond sale Thursday (typically 13:00 ET). This can move yields into the NY afternoon and spill into equities. Context into the print: PPI (Aug) was released today (Sep 10); YoY +2.6% per data trackers/BLS release, keeping focus on CPI for confirmation. Markets are leaning toward a Fed cut at next week’s meeting. I’m using your 1D / 4H / 1H. Trend: Uptrend intact on 1D; price sits just beneath a “weak-high / premium” supply band. (1D shows fib extensions near ~6705 (1.272) and ~6799 (1.618) as far targets, not base-case for tomorrow.) 4H: Recent push into a red supply band then pullback; mid-range equilibrium roughly ~6,44x–6,45x. 1H: Resistance zone ~6,558–6,565 (your “Weak High” band). Prior highs around ~6,536–6,540 act as local pivot/PMH; below that, demand/discount blocks stack ~6,50x → 6,46x–6,44x. Scenario A — Disinflationary/soft CPI (yields down) Likely path: Early sell-side sweep into 6,51x → 6,49x discount → bullish MSS. Entry: Buy the 1–5m PD-array in discount after displacement. Targets: 6,536–6,540 → 6,558–6,565 (weak-high). Leave runner toward 6,57x–6,58x only if order-flow stays bid. Invalidation: 1–5m structure loses 6,49x and cannot reclaim. Scenario B — Hot CPI (yields up) Likely path: Buy-side sweep through 6,558–6,565 → failure → bearish MSS back below the band. Entry: Short premium PD-array after displacement down. Targets: 6,536–6,540 → 6,51x, stretch 6,49x then 6,46x–6,44x if momentum accelerates. Invalidation: Acceptance back above 6,565 with bullish structure. Projections: ES futures are anticipated to respond within a 5-15 minute window following the 8:30 AM release, with intraday movements likely intensified by algorithmic trading and stop-hunting activities. Historical analysis of the past 6 CPI events indicates an average end-of-day ES move of approximately +0.76% in response to ±0.1% deviations from forecasts. The prevailing volatility suggests that implied moves, derived from options data, are forecasting a swing of around 0.5-1% (equivalent to ±30-60 points from current levels), though actual market responses have been known to exceed these expectations in the event of surprises. In the pre-release phase, spanning overnight to pre-market hours (approximately 4:00-9:30 AM ET), market participants are likely to observe a consolidation or mild upward bias within a range of 6480-6575, building upon today’s record highs. The light trading volume may lead to false breakouts around critical levels. Traders are currently positioning for a "failed breakdown" pattern, wherein an initial dip below recent lows could trigger stop-loss orders, followed by a swift reversal higher if market sentiment remains intact. As the clock strikes 8:30 AM ET, high volatility is expected, with the potential for a 20-40 point gap open or sharp spike. A common occurrence is an initial downside flush aimed at testing liquidity (for instance, dipping below 6500) before a definitive market direction is established. Whipsaw action is likely as news headlines emerge, with particular focus on the core CPI data, which will be pivotal for determining sustained market trends. Good Luck Everyone!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
HG - Copper Setting Up For A Long Opprtunity At Extreme📊 Fundamentals first: - Short-term: The copper market is turbulent—marked by sharp price spikes, crashes, and global shifts in stock levels. - Medium-term: Despite forecasted surpluses from ICSG, technology innovations and steady demand (especially from China and green sectors) may underpin prices. - U.S. risk factor: The tariffs remain a major wildcard, likely restructuring trade flows, increasing domestic input costs, and distorting global price differentials. 📈 Now the Chart: P5/0 at the U-MLH marked the end, and price dropped into the void. Now, at the L-MLH we see support has built up. The momentum we see now will probably lead in a pullback before the potential massive run-up to the Centerline. 💡 If the trading God gives me a pullback, I am willingly risk my 0.5% in this trade to make at least 4x more. 🦊 Happy new week to all §8-)
COMEX:HG1!Long
by HowToChart