BITCOIN Has this huge Bearish Divergence started the Bear Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to be under heavy pressure in the past 4 weeks since the October 06 All Time High (ATH) and finds itself battling to hold the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. That trend-line has been basically the Support of this Bull Cycle since March 2023, and acted as the most optimal long-term buy level.
 ** Has the Bull Cycle ended? ** 
However this Bull Cycle may have very well come to an end already as the 1W RSI has been long exhibiting the same kind of bearish pattern (Lower Highs trend-line), while also having completed the 4-year Cycle, that all previous Bull Cycles formed on their respective tops. This is a huge Bearish Divergence formation as it goes against the price's Higher Highs, indicating trend exhaustion.
As you can see that 1 RSI Lower Highs trend-line formed the November 2021, December 2017 and December 2013 Cycle Tops. Even worse, the current Lower Highs trend-line has been going on since the March 11 2024 High. If BTC closes a 1W candle below its 1W MA50, it has greater probabilities to confirm the start of the new Bear Cycle as all previous ones did on such break-out.
 ** If yes, how much can it drop? ** 
Now, it might not be too relevant at this time yet, but as far as how low the Bear Cycle can go to before it bottoms, there are three potential levels of interest where long-term investors can Dollar Cost Average (DCA).
The January 2015 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Then the December 2018 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous bottom. The last Bear Cycle has its bottom below the 1W MA200 and on the next Fib in line, the 0.5 level. The decline on each Bear Cycle that followed decelerated and was less than the previous (-86.70% to -84.19% to -77.22%).
If the new Bear Cycle has already started then the first level for a potential bottom is again the 0.382 Fib around $58000 where contact may potentially be made with the 1W MA200 as well. If it follows the previous Bear Cycle and bottoms on the 0.5 Fib, it will also be below the 1W MA200 around $45000. If on the other hand it goes a Fib level further, as the last two Cycles did, we are looking at the 0.618 Fib as a potential strong bottom candidate around $35000. That will also be a -70.76% decline from the Top, which will be -7% less than the previous Bear Cycle, which is also the difference that the 2022 Bear Cycle had from the 2018 one.
So what do you think? Has the Bull Cycle ended already and if yes, how low can the new Bear Cycle go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Harmonic Patterns
Bitcoin - This chart is crumbling!⛔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates a massive top: 
  
 🔎Analysis summary: 
 All the previous cycles on Bitcoin have been lasting about 1,000 days. And exactly three years ago, Bitcoin retested the previous all time high, starting the next bullrun. If we soon see bearish confirmation on Bitcoin, this crypto will lead to another insane bloodbath. 
 📝Levels to watch: 
 $100,000 and $50,000 
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTC Analysis 30/10/2025BTC / USDT 
Bitcoin is forming a massive ascending wedge pattern, a bearish pattern currently undergoing a bearish retest.
The 200-day EMA is a significant support level and has been tested multiple times in the past few weeks. The more it is retested, the weaker the support becomes.
The sharp drop on October 10th impacted the market's direction.
Bearish targets for this scenario:
First support: 103,000 - 100,000
Major support: 94,000 - 89,000
Summary: The market is currently bearish, and we can revise our analysis if Bitcoin manages to stabilize above 117,000.
GBPAUD Textbook Bear FlagGBPAUD price had been falling sharply, sellers were in full control, driving the market lower with strong bearish momentum.
Then came a pause. Price started climbing slowly, forming a rising channel. That’s the bear flag. Buyers are trying to recover, but it is weak and hesitant, every push higher is met with selling pressure.
Inside that flag, sellers are waiting for signs of exhaustion. And if price breaks below the structure strongly, that’s the confirmation we need.
I am expecting another impulsive leg down in the direction of the main trend, at around 1.9856.
With this kind of pattern, usually the stop-loss is placed just above the flag.
Keep in mind that this is just an idea, not a trade and not financial advice.
XAGUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Silver ?
Silver entered a corrective phase following its recent rally and is now trading below the resistance zone and the broken trendline.
This structure suggests weakening bullish momentum and a potential continuation to the downside once the pullback completes.
We expect price to complete a pullback toward the broken zone and then resume its downward movement toward the identified support levels.
 As long as silver remains below the resistance and trendline, the bearish bias stays valid.
A confirmed break and close above resistance would invalidate this scenario.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
EURUSD Plunges: Hawkish Fed Crushes the Euro?Hey traders, let’s take a look at EURUSD — the market is revealing an exciting opportunity for the sellers!
After the September meeting, the Fed emphasized its “data-dependent” stance, signaling it’s not ready to ease policy while the U.S. economy remains solid. This reinforces expectations that the  USD will stay strong , as the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer. As the dollar gains momentum,  EURUSD faces clear downward pressure. 
On the H4 chart, the price is clinging to a descending trendline that has rejected three previous attempts to break higher — each touch has been sharply sold off. Currently, EURUSD trades around 1.1560, below the 1.1600 resistance, which acts as a potential  bull trap . The likely scenario: a mild pullback toward 1.1600 before continuing lower to the 1.1520 support zone. A break below that level could open the door toward 1.1450.
In summary, the  overall trend for EURUSD remains bearish . With the Fed maintaining its hawkish stance, every rebound is simply a chance for sellers to enter at better prices. Stay disciplined, follow the trend — the market rewards those who have patience!
USD/JPY Rejection Expected from Key Resistance ZoneThis USD/JPY 1-hour chart shows price approaching a resistance zone around 154.8–155.0. After a recent bullish breakout (BoS), the analysis suggests a potential pullback from this resistance area, with a short-term bearish target around 153.300. The setup implies a possible short trade opportunity if price rejects the resistance zone.
LINKUSD Massive Head and Shoulders starting the new Bear Cycle. Chainlink (LINKUSD) has been steadily rising within a Channel Up during this Bull Cycle but on the recent August 18 2025 High, it failed to make a Higher High and got rejected instead.
The Channel Up seems to have transitioned into a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, while the 1W RSI has been on a Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs trend-line against the price's Higher Highs).
We saw a similar H&S forming at the end of the previous Bull Cycle (2021), which essentially paved the way to the 2022 Bear Cycle. Symmetrically it appears to also work quite well as right now we are on a similar spot (1W MA50, blue trend-line) as November 2021.
The two Bear Cycles of LINK declined by -88.90% and -90.00% respectively. As a result, if history repeats, we are looking at a potential bottom at at least $3.500 (-88.90%).
Do you think that's a realistic expectation?
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XAUUSD – After Powell’s Speech, Gold Is Losing Its Shine!The gold market has entered a tense phase after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks on October 29. Although the Fed cut rates by 0.25% as expected, Powell maintained a  cautious and slightly hawkish  tone, leading investors to doubt the possibility of an aggressive easing cycle ahead. As a result, the USD strengthened while gold lost its upward momentum — a clear signal that the  bearish trend is taking control. 
On the H2 chart, gold is moving within a  well-defined descending channel , consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. Each attempt to retest resistance has been met with strong rejection, confirming that sellers remain in control.
The 3,960,000 zone is acting as a key resistance level where price could bounce slightly before continuing its decline. If this level fails to break, the next bearish targets lie around 3,850,000 and deeper towards 3,790,000, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel.
With the current technical setup and market sentiment favoring the USD,  every pullback in gold is merely an opportunity for sellers to take action. 
 When Powell says “cautious,” the market hears “sell gold!”
ETH/USDT: Price Decline Warning, Caution for Buy Opportunities!The ETH/USDT pair is currently facing clear downward pressure after failing to break through the strong resistance at 4,150.00. The 4-hour chart shows that Ethereum is moving in a short-term downtrend, with prices heading towards the important support level of 3,780.00. The strong rejection from this area indicates that the current market sentiment is leaning towards selling.
The market's cash flow also reflects short-term distribution, and the RSI indicator shows that ETH has previously entered overbought territory, and may continue to correct downward. These factors suggest that Ethereum could continue to face selling pressure, especially if the support levels are not strong enough to hold the price.
 Impact of Recent News: 
 1. Australia's Core Inflation Data Rises Sharply:  Australia's core inflation index increased by 1.0% in Q3, exceeding the forecast of 0.8%. This reduces expectations of a near-term rate cut and could affect ETH/USDT if the USD strengthens.
 2. Expectations on U.S. Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy:  The market expects the Fed to maintain high interest rates, which could strengthen the USD and put downward pressure on ETH/USDT.
 Conclusion:  Given the current downtrend and pressure from technical indicators, ETH/USDT is likely to continue decreasing over the next 48 hours. However, traders need to be cautious and closely monitor the support level at 3,780.00. If the price shows strong signs of recovery from here, it could present a good opportunity to enter the market.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Rebound from Key Support Zone This chart shows the BTC/USD (1-hour) price action with key support and resistance levels. Bitcoin is currently trading near $107,904, slightly above a highlighted support zone around $107,629–$107,000. The analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal from this support, with projected upside targets at $109,028, $110,093, and $111,075.
Gold as of the momentGold continues its bullish run, pushing toward the $4,050 mark — momentum remains strong as investors rally behind the trend.”
Gold is eyeing $4,050, extending its bullish momentum! Market sentiment stays optimistic as demand strengthens.”
“Bullish energy in the gold market! Prices are climbing toward $4,050, reflecting growing investor confidence.”
SYRUPUSDT Forming Falling WedgeSYRUPUSDT is currently showing a falling wedge pattern, a strong bullish formation that typically signals the end of a downtrend and the potential beginning of an upward breakout. The price has been tightening within the wedge, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are gradually accumulating positions. The volume remains good, confirming that interest in this pair is steadily building. Once SYRUPUSDT breaks above the wedge resistance, a potential 90% to 100%+ gain could be on the horizon as momentum shifts in favor of the bulls.
This setup reflects a common accumulation phase where investors quietly enter before a strong bullish rally. The narrowing of the wedge often precedes explosive price action, especially when combined with healthy trading volume. The technical outlook is promising, with multiple indicators hinting at bullish divergence and an imminent breakout that could spark renewed market attention toward SYRUPUSDT.
Investors are increasingly taking interest in this project as it positions itself for a strong rebound within the broader crypto market. With improving sentiment and technical alignment, SYRUPUSDT has the potential to deliver substantial upside once confirmation of the breakout occurs. Traders will likely watch this level closely for a decisive move, as a confirmed breakout could trigger a sharp rally supported by volume and market participation.
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XAUUSD – “A Tailwind from the Fed” Ignites Gold’s Rally!Hey traders,
After the Fed officially  cut interest rates , gold reacted sharply, jumping nearly  2%  on October 30. This isn’t just a short-term boost for the bulls — it’s a clear signal that  capital is flowing back into safe-haven assets , especially as the U.S.–China trade uncertainty continues to linger.
On the 4H chart, price action remains within a  medium-term descending channel , but the 3,950 – 4,000 zone is turning into a  strong accumulation area . Buyers are clearly defending this zone before a potential  breakout toward the 4,150 resistance. 
If price holds above 3,950 and breaks through the upper boundary of the channel, a bullish reversal could be confirmed, paving the way toward 4,200 and beyond.
 Trading plan (for reference): 
 Buy on dips around  3,950 – 3,970.
 Targets:  4,150 – 4,200.
 Stop loss:  Below 3,930.
The Fed has just turned on the green light, and the market seems ready — gold may be gearing up for its next leg higher.
Buckle up, because the XAUUSD train might be about to depart!
Dow Jones – Bearish Leg Expected Toward 46,500   
After several attempts to hold above the 48,000 zone, the **Dow Jones Index (US30)** is showing clear signs of exhaustion on the higher timeframes.
The current market structure suggests a potential **corrective move toward 46,500**, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and previous demand zone.
If the 47,800–48,000 resistance area continues to hold, sellers are likely to push the price lower in the coming sessions.
A clean break below **47,200** could confirm further downside momentum.
⚠️ I’ll be watching the 46,500 area for potential reversal signals or signs of accumulation.
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EURJPY Forming Bullish ContinuatiomEURJPY is showing strong bullish continuation momentum after successfully retesting the previous resistance zone near 175.500–176.000, which has now turned into a solid support area. The market structure remains clearly bullish on the daily chart, with higher highs and higher lows forming consistently. The recent breakout and retest pattern signals renewed buyer strength, suggesting the potential for price to extend toward the 180.000–182.000 zone in the coming sessions. As long as price holds above the 176.000 level, the bullish bias remains firmly intact, favoring continuation trades to the upside.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro has gained fresh momentum due to increasing optimism surrounding the eurozone’s inflation stabilization and the European Central Bank maintaining a steady monetary stance. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose policy and yields remain low compared to European rates. This divergence in monetary policies continues to drive investors toward higher-yielding currencies like the euro, fueling upward momentum in EURJPY.
Technically, momentum indicators support the bullish outlook, and any short-term pullback into the 176.000–176.500 region may provide an ideal buying opportunity. Traders are likely positioning for a continuation of the current trend, targeting higher liquidity levels toward 181.500 and 183.000 in the medium term. The overall sentiment remains positive for EURJPY, and the pair could continue to deliver profitable setups for trend-followers as the market sustains this strong upward trajectory.
EURUSD Daily Outlook — Bearish Retracement Toward Sell-Side Liqu
On the monthly timeframe, EURUSD still holds a bullish target, but before the next major upward leg, I believe the market needs a retracement phase.
Looking at the daily timeframe, the structure currently supports a bearish bias. Price has been respecting bearish PD Arrays while failing to sustain bullish PD Arrays, suggesting that bearish order flow remains dominant for now.
In my view, we can expect the market to move downward toward the sell-side liquidity before any potential bullish continuation begins.
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ROCKET LAB has topped. Sell signal on Bearish Divergence.Last time we took a look at Rocket Lab (RKLB) was more than 5 months ago (May 12, see chart below) where we gave a Buy Signal exactly on the 1D MA50 and the price instantly reacted with a rebound, easily hitting our $32.00 Target:
  
This time we are getting a Sell Signal on the chart as despite the stock's Higher Highs, its 1D RSI has been trading under Higher Lows since July 17, exhibiting a Bearish Divergence. The last similar Bearish Divergence was seen on January 24 2025, which was RKLB's previous Channel Up Top.
That signal triggered a correction that extended all the way back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) before bottoming. As a result, we are now turning bearish on Rocket Lab, targeting $40.00 (Fib 0.382).
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