XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold is currently trading near its all-time high (ATH) and the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel.
This zone has acted as a strong resistance area, where price has been rejected multiple times in the past.
As long as price remains below this resistance, a bearish reaction is expected.
The base case is a pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which serves as the minimum downside target.
If price breaks above the channel top, prints a new high, and a strong candle closes above the resistance zone, the bearish scenario targeting the channel low will be invalidated.
With the year-end approaching, low liquidity conditions increase the probability of fake breakouts and false moves.
Extra caution and confirmation are required before taking any breakout trades.
Please Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Harmonic Patterns
Elise | XAUUSD – 30M -Liquidity Sweep → Trend Continuation SetupOANDA:XAUUSD
The sharp downside spike into 4308 was a liquidity grab, not a breakdown. Buyers stepped in aggressively, flipping momentum and pushing price back into a controlled bullish leg. Current pullback is corrective, not impulsive — suggesting continuation toward higher resistance if structure holds.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
As long as price holds above 4332–4335, upside remains active toward:
🎯 4350
🎯 4365
🎯 4375 (Major Resistance Zone)
❌ Bearish Case 📉 (Invalidation)
A clean break and close below 4325 opens downside toward:
🎯 4312
🎯 4308 (Liquidity Base)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4350 → 4365 → 4375
Support 🟢: 4335 → 4325 → 4308
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BITCOIN 'From Denial of the Bear Cycle to Bitcoin going to 0'We've been showing you since September why Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was structured to start a new Bear Cycle in October, mostly based on the very accurate 4-year Cycle Theory. Recently we've published analyses of the last indicators that practically confirmed that the market has already entered this Bear Cycle.
Today, with a combination of the Pi Cycle bands and the Aroon Oscillator, we basically display the investor mentality as the market transitions from Bull to Bear and again back to Bull.
First of all, even the 3W time-frame has confirmed that by breaking a closing a 3W candle below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), BTC confirmed in late October the start of the Bear Cycle. As you can see that happened before on December 27 2021, May 07 2018 and August 04 2014. Every time that happened, the Bear Cycle was a fact.
We are now within the 1W MA50 - Pi Cycle (green) Support trend-line Zone, which is part of the 'Denial of Bear Cycle' Phase, where the majority of the market doesn't/ can't accept the trend change. Below the Pi Cycle Support starts the 'Bitcoin going to 0' hysteria where the majority of the market starts turning from bullish to bearish, having accepted the Bear Cycle, making extravagant calls on Bitcoin's potential bottom.
This is when the very reliable Aroon Oscillator turns bearish below 0.00. Once this hits its Buy Zone, it has historically been a fair time to start buying again for the long-term. That is when bearishness across the market is at its peak and of course when smart money start buying massively again.
So do you think that's a good framework to follow? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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New Highs, No Sell-Off — Smart Money In?Based on the current news backdrop combined with the price structure on the chart , I continue to hold the view that XAUUSD is in a clear and healthy uptrend — not a temporary or emotional spike.
Gold setting a new all-time high around 4,400 shows that the market is strongly pricing in the likelihood of further Fed easing and future rate cuts . More importantly, after making new highs, price did not experience aggressive selling , but instead managed to hold at elevated levels — a clear sign that large capital flows are staying in the market, rather than this being a short-lived FOMO-driven move.
Looking at the chart, gold is moving cleanly along its ascending trendline , with consistent support from the Ichimoku system and dynamic support zones below. The recent pullbacks have been purely technical, allowing the market to “catch its breath” and absorb supply, without breaking the overall structure. This is a market that is moving strong — not overheating.
For me, the 4,380 zone remains a key support level. As long as price holds above this area, the bullish trend remains fully intact. In the short term, my preferred scenario is light consolidation at high levels, followed by a continued push to retest the 4,450 area.
In summary, I continue to favor BUY setups on pullbacks — not chasing price at the highs and never trading against the trend. When both fundamentals and technicals align, the most important skill is patience and discipline to stay with the trend, rather than trying to pick a top in a market that is clearly strong.
Elise | BTCUSD – 30M – Compression Below Major SupplyBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After a strong impulsive rally from the HTF demand zone (~86.8K), BTC transitioned into consolidation while respecting trend support. Multiple reactions from the trendline (purple circles) confirm buyer presence. However, upside progress is slowing as price meets heavy sell-side liquidity and supply overhead, increasing the probability of either a breakout or a rejection.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Continuation is valid only if price accepts above the major supply zone with strong candles and volume.
🎯 Target 1: 90,300
🎯 Target 2: 91,000
🎯 Target 3: 92,000
❌ Bearish Case 📉
Failure to break supply + loss of trendline support signals a pullback.
🎯 Downside Target 1: 88,000
🎯 Downside Target 2: 86,800 (HTF Demand)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 89,200 – 90,300
Support 🟢: 88,000 – 86,800
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
AUDUSD Pressured by the Trendline – Chasing BUYs Is Very RiskyOn the H4 timeframe, AUDUSD presents a very clear technical picture: the primary trend remains bearish / sideways-dow n , and the current upswing is more of a technical pullback into supply rather than a genuine trend reversal.
On the chart, price is being pressed down by a descending trendline drawn from prior highs. The zone around 0.6639–0.6640 acts as a key confluence resistance, aligning with the descending trendline and the Ichimoku / previous reaction area. This is the type of zone where price often tags, gets rejected, and reverses if buyers lack sufficient strength.
To the downside, 0.6600 stands as the nearest support and a logical downside target if rejection at resistance occurs. Therefore, in the short term, the high-probability scenario is: price rallies to test 0.6640 → gets sold → drops back toward 0.6600. Only if AUDUSD closes a strong H4 candle decisively above 0.6640 and holds above this level would there be a valid case for a broader bullish extension.
Wishing you disciplined and successful trading!
NZDUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off PullbackMomentum: Bullish
Price has bounced off the buy entry, which is acting as a pullback support. This level aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, adding significant confluence and strength to the zone.
Buy Entry: 0.5743
Overlap support
Slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 0.5710
Pullback support invalidation
Near the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 0.5822
Swing high resistance
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#Nifty Directions and Levels for December 22ndWhat to Expect Today?
> As per the structure, we can expect rally continuation. However, there could be some consolidation around the minor rejection zone.
> Because structurally, the long rally could be a 3rd wave, followed by a 4th consolidation wave if it rejects any resistance. So, I'm expecting a max 23% to 38% retracement in the minor swing if it rejects there.
> Note: The retracement should not break 38%. If it does, as usual, we could consider that a range market.
Sell the gold!!!In todays session we are ,omitoring GOLD for shorts. I know it has wrecked sellers but we are in major squeeze to the upside.Ou short entry is at 4412 stops above 4452 and targets bewlo 4181. First sign of the drop is LODNON IS BEARISH, NEW YORK IS BEARISH. Keep it locked and enjoy the holidays.
XAUUSD made new ATH! Time to short it?Gold (XAUUSD) made new All Time Highs (ATH) today, rising consistently within a Channel Up pattern since the November 18 Low.
On the short-term, a Sell Signal has emerged as not only is the price near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the pattern, but also the 1H RSI hit the 83.00 Resistance. The latter has been the point where the price topped on the previous two Higher Highs and pulled-back by -2.30% both times.
As a result, we expect the Channel Up to initiate a similar Bearish Leg, targeting 4330 (-2.30%).
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BITCOIN - time to buy bitcoin..BITCOIN (BTC/USD) has recently been stuck inside a triangle channel pattern and has struggled to break out for a few weeks. However, the price has recently broken a strong resistance level (the white trend line shown on the chart) - The price is currently above the trend line which acted as a strong resistance level and is now very likely to hit the next resistance zone which is labeled as the take profit level. buy BTCUSD now!
S&P500 mini Santa Rally up next on a 1H Golden Cross.S&P500 (SPX) is about to complete a Golden Cross today on the 1H time-frame. The last time it did that was on November 25, almost 1 month ago, while trading on the first Bullish Leg of the current Channel Up pattern.
Following the 1H Golden Cross, the index rallied to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension level, before turning sideways. As a result this could be the mini Santa Rally that the market is waiting, targeting 6920.
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Potential bearish reversal?Cable (GBP/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.3405
1st Support: 1.3199
1st Resistance: 1.3585
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Potential bearish continuation?Swissie (USD/CHF) could make a short-term pullback to the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.7933
1st Support: 0.7894
1st Resistance: 0.7965
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
GBPUSD | Bullish Breakout LoadingHello and well done to all my TradingView followers 👋✨
Wishing you disciplined, patient, and profitable trades 📈
🔹 Symbol: GBPUSD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar)
GBPUSD is one of the most volatile and technically responsive pairs in the Forex market. It reacts strongly to economic data and liquidity flows, often forming clear structures on higher timeframes. This makes it a solid choice for swing and mid-term traders.
📊 Technical Analysis (4H)
🔸 After a strong bullish move, price is currently consolidating above the ascending dynamic support (bullish trendline).
🔸 This trendline has been respected multiple times, confirming its validity.
🔸 The marked support zone can act as a healthy pullback area.
🔸 Above current price, a key 4H resistance level is in play. A confirmed breakout and consolidation above this level could open the path for further bullish continuation 🚀
📌 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Scenario One (More Likely):
Price may enter a mid-term ranging phase between support and resistance, build liquidity, and then continue higher after a confirmed breakout.
2️⃣ Scenario Two:
If current support holds and buying pressure increases, a direct bullish continuation from this zone is also possible.
🔼 As long as price remains above the dynamic support and key support area, the overall bias remains bullish.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Risk and capital management are the sole responsibility of each trader.
📊 What’s your view? (Poll)
❓ How do you see GBPUSD moving next?
🔘 Range first, then bullish continuation
🔘 Immediate bullish continuation from current levels
🔘 Bearish scenario is more likely
👇 Share your thoughts in the comments.
Wishing you consistent and profitable trading 🌱💚
🏷️ Tags (TradingView):
#GBPUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
#SupportResistance #TrendLine #Bullish
#SwingTrading #MidTerm #TradingView
euraud analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
UNITED HEALTH on its 2009 Support. Can it be saved or $175 is neUnited Health (UNH) almost hit in August its 1M MA200 (orange trend-line), a Support level that is intact since March 2009 and the aftermath of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis.
Since the Dotcom Crash, the stock has been trading within a multi-year Channel Up and the recent correction since the November 2024 All Time High (ATH), is technically its second Bearish Leg since the 2008 Housing Crisis.
The latter eventually dipped below the 1M MA200 and bottomed a little after on the 1M MA200 (red trend-line). Based on the 1M RSI, which hit the 30.00 oversold level and rebounded, the market may be in levels similar to July - August 2008. As a result, there is a high chance of breaking again below the 1M MA200 and if that happens, expect a bottom on the 1M MA200 again at $175, which would also be a -75.80% correction from the ATH, similar to the 2008 Bear Cycle. Only a break above the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) can restore the bullish trend, which has been intact non-stop from October 2010 to April 2025.
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Could we see a reversal from here?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level whcih is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the take profit.
Entry: 0.6645
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6676
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance
Take profit: 0.6571
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURJPY Short after bringing 200% from Breakout + Open GapEURJPY Short after bringing 200% from Breakout + Open Gap
since the open gap high was broken price up 200% the size of that breakout to the low of that movement, so those who buy the breakout and put them stop loss under the last low was making now 200% of the risk they took, that means many long positions is closing now in take profit and next move is a down movement and should try to close the gap
Elise | XAUUSD | 30M – Bullish Continuation StructureOANDA:XAUUSD
Following the impulsive breakout from the flip zone, price is consolidating within the channel. This consolidation indicates controlled bullish continuation rather than exhaustion. A shallow pullback toward channel equilibrium is expected before continuation higher.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Sustained price action above the flip zone and channel support may lead to further upside.
🎯 Target 1: 4,480
🎯 Target 2: 4,500
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A breakdown below the flip zone would invalidate the bullish structure.
🎯 Downside Target: 4,370 – 4,350
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4,480 – 4,500
Support 🟢: 4,370 – 4,350
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.






















