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Harmonic Patterns

BITCOIN 'From Denial of the Bear Cycle to Bitcoin going to 0'We've been showing you since September why Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was structured to start a new Bear Cycle in October, mostly based on the very accurate 4-year Cycle Theory. Recently we've published analyses of the last indicators that practically confirmed that the market has already entered this Bear Cycle. Today, with a combination of the Pi Cycle bands and the Aroon Oscillator, we basically display the investor mentality as the market transitions from Bull to Bear and again back to Bull. First of all, even the 3W time-frame has confirmed that by breaking a closing a 3W candle below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), BTC confirmed in late October the start of the Bear Cycle. As you can see that happened before on December 27 2021, May 07 2018 and August 04 2014. Every time that happened, the Bear Cycle was a fact. We are now within the 1W MA50 - Pi Cycle (green) Support trend-line Zone, which is part of the 'Denial of Bear Cycle' Phase, where the majority of the market doesn't/ can't accept the trend change. Below the Pi Cycle Support starts the 'Bitcoin going to 0' hysteria where the majority of the market starts turning from bullish to bearish, having accepted the Bear Cycle, making extravagant calls on Bitcoin's potential bottom. This is when the very reliable Aroon Oscillator turns bearish below 0.00. Once this hits its Buy Zone, it has historically been a fair time to start buying again for the long-term. That is when bearishness across the market is at its peak and of course when smart money start buying massively again. So do you think that's a good framework to follow? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
26
Elise | XAUUSD | 30M – Bullish Continuation StructureOANDA:XAUUSD Following the impulsive breakout from the flip zone, price is consolidating within the channel. This consolidation indicates controlled bullish continuation rather than exhaustion. A shallow pullback toward channel equilibrium is expected before continuation higher. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Sustained price action above the flip zone and channel support may lead to further upside. 🎯 Target 1: 4,480 🎯 Target 2: 4,500 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 A breakdown below the flip zone would invalidate the bullish structure. 🎯 Downside Target: 4,370 – 4,350 Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4,480 – 4,500 Support 🟢: 4,370 – 4,350 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
18
New Highs, No Sell-Off — Smart Money In?Based on the current news backdrop combined with the price structure on the chart , I continue to hold the view that XAUUSD is in a clear and healthy uptrend — not a temporary or emotional spike. Gold setting a new all-time high around 4,400 shows that the market is strongly pricing in the likelihood of further Fed easing and future rate cuts . More importantly, after making new highs, price did not experience aggressive selling , but instead managed to hold at elevated levels — a clear sign that large capital flows are staying in the market, rather than this being a short-lived FOMO-driven move. Looking at the chart, gold is moving cleanly along its ascending trendline , with consistent support from the Ichimoku system and dynamic support zones below. The recent pullbacks have been purely technical, allowing the market to “catch its breath” and absorb supply, without breaking the overall structure. This is a market that is moving strong — not overheating. For me, the 4,380 zone remains a key support level. As long as price holds above this area, the bullish trend remains fully intact. In the short term, my preferred scenario is light consolidation at high levels, followed by a continued push to retest the 4,450 area. In summary, I continue to favor BUY setups on pullbacks — not chasing price at the highs and never trading against the trend. When both fundamentals and technicals align, the most important skill is patience and discipline to stay with the trend, rather than trying to pick a top in a market that is clearly strong.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
30
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold is currently trading near its all-time high (ATH) and the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel. This zone has acted as a strong resistance area, where price has been rejected multiple times in the past. As long as price remains below this resistance, a bearish reaction is expected. The base case is a pullback toward the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which serves as the minimum downside target. If price breaks above the channel top, prints a new high, and a strong candle closes above the resistance zone, the bearish scenario targeting the channel low will be invalidated. With the year-end approaching, low liquidity conditions increase the probability of fake breakouts and false moves. Extra caution and confirmation are required before taking any breakout trades. Please Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HAMED_AZ
31
Elise | BTCUSD – 30M – Compression Below Major SupplyBITSTAMP:BTCUSD After a strong impulsive rally from the HTF demand zone (~86.8K), BTC transitioned into consolidation while respecting trend support. Multiple reactions from the trendline (purple circles) confirm buyer presence. However, upside progress is slowing as price meets heavy sell-side liquidity and supply overhead, increasing the probability of either a breakout or a rejection. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Continuation is valid only if price accepts above the major supply zone with strong candles and volume. 🎯 Target 1: 90,300 🎯 Target 2: 91,000 🎯 Target 3: 92,000 ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Failure to break supply + loss of trendline support signals a pullback. 🎯 Downside Target 1: 88,000 🎯 Downside Target 2: 86,800 (HTF Demand) Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 89,200 – 90,300 Support 🟢: 88,000 – 86,800 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
23
Gold Holding Key Structure – Bulls Preparing Next LegXAUUSD (Gold) – 30M Technical Analysis Market Structure Gold is moving inside a well-defined range, showing accumulation after a strong impulse. Previous manipulation spike (liquidity grab) above resistance failed, but price did not break structure, indicating strength, not weakness. The market is compressing → volatility expansion is near. Key Levels Resistance: 4,350 – 4,360 Range High (Breakout level): 4,365+ Support: 4,315 – 4,300 Invalidation: Below 4,290 Price Behavior Multiple rejections show buyers defending the range low. Equal highs were taken → liquidity cleared, preparing price for continuation. Current candles show higher lows, signaling bullish pressure building. Bias & Scenarios 🔹 Bullish Scenario (High Probability) Clean break and close above 4,365 Target zones: 🎯 4,380 🎯 4,400+ Momentum likely fast after breakout. 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Alternative) Failure to hold 4,315 Drop toward 4,290 – 4,270 for deeper liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sofia_Summer
6
Thin Liquidity, Gold Can Fly: Are You Buying at the Right Level?Hello traders, let’s continue with today’s XAUUSD outlook. Personally, I believe the primary trend of XAUUSD remains BULLISH , supported by both fundamental news and technical structure . However, in a thin holiday liquidity environment , the market may choose one of two clear scenarios below before confirming its next directional move. From a news perspective, gold has just printed a record high during the Asian session , driven by rising safe-haven demand amid escalating U.S.–Venezuela geopolitical tensions . With year-end trading volumes remaining light , defensive capital flows tend to amplify price swings, making gold more prone to sharp breakouts or fast pullbacks than usual. Scenario (1) – Direct continuation higher: If price holds firmly above the 4,480 area (support zone 1) and buying pressure remains steady, gold could push directly toward the 4,550 target. This is the trend-following scenario, favored when safe-haven sentiment stays dominant and no strong selling pressure appears at current levels. Scenario (2) – Deeper pullback, then rally: If the market needs to “cool off”, price may correct toward the 4,400 area (support zone 2). Should this zone be well defended, the pullback would likely be technical in nature, forming a stronger base for the next bullish leg toward 4,550. This scenario often unfolds when RSI eases and buyers step back in at more favorable prices. Conclusion: Regardless of which path the market takes, 4,550 remains the key short-term objective. The most important factor is discipline: buy only with confirmation at support, and avoid FOMO during strong holiday-driven volatility. Note: This is only a trading idea for reference. I’d be happy to hear your views—feel free to share your perspective or leave a comment below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
9
USDJPY: Sell the Rally, Chasing Is a Mistake?Hello traders, For USDJPY, I am currently leaning more toward a short-term BEARISH scenario. The key reason comes from Japan’s side: officials have repeatedly signaled their dissatisfaction with one-sided FX moves and left the door open for possible action if the yen weakens excessively. This keeps the market cautious about intervention risk , causing bullish momentum on USDJPY to lose traction. Looking at the chart, after a strong rally, price is now entering a cooling and consolidation phase , with repeated pullbacks being sold into . This is a typical corrective behavior: buyers are no longer pushing smoothly, while sellers step in aggressively whenever price rebounds into nearby resistance. The scenario I favor is SELL on rallies. Price may attempt another push toward the upper resistance area, but is likely to roll over and decline toward the nearest support . If selling pressure strengthens, the downside move could extend further before the market finds balance again. In summary, with news-driven psychological pressure weighing on buyers , I prefer to patiently wait for pullbacks to sell rather than chase price higher. The beauty of the market is simple: when you stay disciplined and wait for the right moment, the best opportunities often appear after periods of tight consolidation and hesitation.
Short
by Paradise_Noir
6
NZDUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off PullbackMomentum: Bullish Price has bounced off the buy entry, which is acting as a pullback support. This level aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, adding significant confluence and strength to the zone. Buy Entry: 0.5743 Overlap support Slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Stop Loss: 0.5710 Pullback support invalidation Near the 50% Fibonacci retracement Take Profit: 0.5822 Swing high resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Long
by Tradu
5
AUDUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisAUDUSD is moving on Resistance zone.. The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity AUDUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
Short
by TheGrove
5
XAUUSD made new ATH! Time to short it?Gold (XAUUSD) made new All Time Highs (ATH) today, rising consistently within a Channel Up pattern since the November 18 Low. On the short-term, a Sell Signal has emerged as not only is the price near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the pattern, but also the 1H RSI hit the 83.00 Resistance. The latter has been the point where the price topped on the previous two Higher Highs and pulled-back by -2.30% both times. As a result, we expect the Channel Up to initiate a similar Bearish Leg, targeting 4330 (-2.30%). --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
6
Potential bearish continuation?Swissie (USD/CHF) could make a short-term pullback to the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.7933 1st Support: 0.7894 1st Resistance: 0.7965 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Short
by IC Markets
3
Bullish momentum to extend?S&P500 (US500) could fall towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 6,825.54 1st Support: 6,798.23 1st Resistance: 6,890.05 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by IC Markets
3
Elise | XAUUSD – 30M -Liquidity Sweep → Trend Continuation SetupOANDA:XAUUSD The sharp downside spike into 4308 was a liquidity grab, not a breakdown. Buyers stepped in aggressively, flipping momentum and pushing price back into a controlled bullish leg. Current pullback is corrective, not impulsive — suggesting continuation toward higher resistance if structure holds. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 As long as price holds above 4332–4335, upside remains active toward: 🎯 4350 🎯 4365 🎯 4375 (Major Resistance Zone) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 (Invalidation) A clean break and close below 4325 opens downside toward: 🎯 4312 🎯 4308 (Liquidity Base) Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 4350 → 4365 → 4375 Support 🟢: 4335 → 4325 → 4308 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elise-Golden-Sparks
40
S&P500 mini Santa Rally up next on a 1H Golden Cross.S&P500 (SPX) is about to complete a Golden Cross today on the 1H time-frame. The last time it did that was on November 25, almost 1 month ago, while trading on the first Bullish Leg of the current Channel Up pattern. Following the 1H Golden Cross, the index rallied to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension level, before turning sideways. As a result this could be the mini Santa Rally that the market is waiting, targeting 6920. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot
1
Fluctuating upwardsCore Bullish Drivers 1.Macro Liquidity Tailwinds Provide a Floor: The Federal Reserve has embarked on an interest rate cut cycle and signaled continued easing through 2026, with the released liquidity underpinning risk assets. The "stealth quantitative easing" effect proposed by Coinbase analysts is gradually taking shape. As the Fed shifts from balance sheet reduction to net liquidity injection, it is expected to drive capital flows into the crypto market, providing the momentum for Bitcoin to break through the key psychological level of $90,000. Meanwhile, an uptick in U.S. initial jobless claims or weaker-than-expected CPI data intraday will reinforce dovish expectations, further boosting bullish sentiment. 2.Robust Support from On-Chain Value Zone: Bitcoin’s current MVRV Z-Score stands at 1.17, close to the long-term premium buying range of 1.10. Historical data shows that positions entered at this level yield an average annual return of 40%, attracting long-term capital to accumulate on dips. A dense buy wall exists in the $83,000–$85,000 range, which represents the cost basis of a large number of recent buyers, forming a strong technical support level. With the current price hovering above $88,500, bulls have ample buffer room. 3.Leverage Bubble Deflation Reduces Downside Risks: Open interest in the futures market has fallen back to April lows, with excessive leveraged positions already cleared out. Market froth has been fully squeezed, laying the groundwork for stabilization and upward movement within the current range. Additionally, 30% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply is held by long-term holders such as institutions. This segment of supply remains relatively stable, reducing the likelihood of sharp intraday sell-offs. Bitcoin trading strategy buy：87000-88000 tp:89000-90000-92000
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DylanGoldman
2
US30 H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud. Buy entry: 48,231.75 - Pullback support - 61.8% Fib retracement - 100% Fib projection Stop Loss: 48,105.22 - Swing low support Take Profit: 48,389.14 - Swing high resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TRADU:US30Long
by Tradu
1