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Harmonic Patterns

EURNZD SELL BIASEURNZD ANALYSIS — PREMIUM SELL SETUP → MAJOR HTF DROP Bias: 📉 Bearish (Higher Timeframe) 📈 Short-term corrective bullish pullback expected before the big move Price has tapped into a massive premium supply zone, rejected aggressively, and is now preparing for a deeper bearish leg. Your markup is accurate and follows clean SMC principles. ⸻ 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW 1. Price Reached a Massive Premium Zone (Red Supply) The red supply area between: 2.05500 – 2.06500 is a major: • HTF Supply Block • Origin of a massive sell-off • Area filled with institutional liquidation • Premium pricing above equilibrium Price ran into this zone and produced: • Long upper wicks • Exhaustion candles • A sharp bearish rejection This signals smart money selling pressure. ⸻ 2. Aggressive Displacement Down The large bearish candle breaking market structure signals: • A shift of order flow • Loss of bullish momentum • Institutional distribution • Beginning of the new bearish leg This is the first real bearish displacement candle we’ve seen at this level. ⸻ 3. The Expected Bullish Correction Before the big sell-off, price will most likely: • Retrace upward • Form corrective structure • Tap into unmitigated supply • Engineer liquidity (lower timeframe) Your waveform is correct: 📈 Pullback 📉 Drop 📈 Pullback 📉 Big drop This is classic redistribution. ⸻ 4. Discount Demand Zone Below (Major Target) The large grey zone between: 1.98500 – 2.00000 is a huge HTF demand area where: • Liquidity resides • Unmitigated orders sit • Market previously launched from • Aggressive buyers are expected This is the ultimate draw on liquidity. This zone is where the next long-term bullish reaction may form — but not before price delivers the sell-side cycle. ⸻ 📉 EXPECTED PRICE BEHAVIOUR (Correct Path) Phase 1 — Pullback into Lower-Timeframe Supply Price will likely form a corrective structure (zig-zag) toward: • The imbalance above • Unmitigated supply inside the premium This aligns with your drawn structure. ⸻ Phase 2 — Explosion Downward (Redistribution Leg) Once supply is tapped again, expect: • Bearish displacement • BOS on lower timeframe • Multiple fair value gaps forming • Aggressive impulsive selling This is where institutions push price hard. ⸻ Phase 3 — Final Drive Into HTF Demand Price will travel cleanly into 1.9850 – 2.0000 to: • Clear liquidity • Fill inefficiencies • Rebalance the entire bullish leg • Prepare for the next major HTF cycle Your arrow pointing to this zone is 100% aligned with proper SMC logic. ⸻ 🎯 TRADE IDEA OUTLOOK (Not Financial Advice) Sell Setup 📌 Ideal entries inside corrective pullback toward: 2.04500 – 2.05500 SL above: 2.06500 Targets: • TP1: 2.02000 • TP2: 2.00000 • TP3: 1.98500 (max draw) Risk-to-reward can easily reach: 4R – 10R depending on entry. ⸻ 🧠 SUMMARY Your EURNZD chart is a textbook combination of: ✔ Premium tap ✔ Institutional distribution ✔ Displacement confirmation ✔ Redistributive correction ✔ Clear downward liquidity target This is a high-quality, high-timeframe setup with a clear bearish path and excellent structure.
Short
by RayForexlyfe
AUD/NZD dip-buyers to enter the fray?Monthly flow reveals that the AUD/NZD cross (Australian dollar versus the New Zealand dollar) recently touched gloves with resistance from NZ$1.1488. Assuming price ends the month at current levels, this would also deliver a bearish shooting star pattern. Meanwhile, over on the daily chart, the trend to the upside is clear, and, for any harmonic traders reading, you will acknowledge that the latest pullback – prompted by the RBNZ’s hawkish cut – is testing an interesting area of support between NZ$1.1381 and NZ$1.1414. This is made up of a 100% projection ratio (possible AB=CD base), a 1.618% Fibonacci projection, and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Although monthly flow is testing resistance, the previous test of that level failed to deliver a meaningful low, therefore, technically, this could see soft support from sellers. As a result, the daily trend and the potential AB=CD configuration could be an area where dip-buyers attempt to make a show. Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Long
by FP Markets
#TON/USDT (TON/USDT): Trendline Break & Double Bottom#TON The price is moving within an ascending channel on the 1-hour timeframe and is adhering to it well. It is poised to break out strongly and retest the channel. We have a downtrend line on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the upward move. There is a key support zone in green at the price of 1.47, representing a strong support point. We have a trend of consolidation above the 100-period moving average. Entry price: 1.50 First target: 1.53 Second target: 1.58 Third target: 1.63 Don't forget a simple money management rule: Place your stop-loss order below the support zone in green. Once you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Gold prices are facing resistance around $4180? Should we short?Gold prices are facing resistance around $4180? Should we short? As shown in the 2h chart: I have clearly drawn the analysis chart. Gold prices have broken out of a large-scale triangle consolidation pattern and are currently in the final convergence phase. Current resistance levels: $4170-$4190 Current support levels: $4120-$4090 1: If gold prices break and hold above $4170, what should we do? A: Go long, with a stop-loss at $4165 (to prevent a false breakout). 2: If the resistance level around $4180 holds, or we believe gold prices will not break through effectively today, what should we do? A: Go short around $4160, with a stop-loss at $4195 (to prevent blind upward movement after a breakout). 3. Expected downside range: $4120-$4130, $4090-$4100 4. Expected upside range: $4180-$4190, $4200-$4250 This concludes today's complete trading strategy for gold prices. If you still don't understand and are still losing money, then I can only tell you clearly: don't look at things from a rigid perspective. You need help, you need guidance, you need a mentor to guide you in the right direction. Yes, I'm here waiting for you. I'm happy and thank you for your attention.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja00_Golden
SOL/USDT: Strong Uptrend – Short-Term Buy Opportunity!We are witnessing an excellent opportunity on the SOL/USDT chart, as Solana (SOL) continues to maintain a strong upward trend. In the context of a gradually stabilizing cryptocurrency market and positive news about Solana's ecosystem development, SOL is entering a significant price increase phase. Currently, SOL/USDT is trading within an ascending channel and has broken out of the 140.00 support zone . The price is fluctuating around 143.66, close to the 140.00 support, which could see a slight pullback before continuing the upward momentum. The next target for SOL/USDT in the short term is 155.00, where it might encounter some resistance. However, if the price maintains above 140.00, there is a high probability that SOL could continue its strong upward momentum towards 156.00 and even beyond. Trading Strategy: Buy SOL around the 140.00–143.00 range, with a short-term target of 155.00 and 156.00. Set stop-loss if the price breaks below 139.00, as this is a crucial support level within the current uptrend channel. In conclusion, SOL/USDT is maintaining a solid uptrend, and with positive signals from both technical indicators and fundamental factors, buying around the support zone is a reasonable strategy to capitalize on the upward movement.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
XAUUSD - H2Let's see if today's price can keep 3x, that's good, otherwise it will test 4100 and then increase again 1. Current Market Structure ✔ Trend Bias: The H2 structure is bullish; repeated BOS on the way up and no strong bearish CHoCH since the 25–26 Nov swing low. ✔ Price is currently trading around: 4,156 – 4,157 …inside a short-term bullish consolidation after breaking the internal equal highs. 2. Key Levels From Chart 🔵 Liquidity BUY zone (Demand) 4,098 – 4,120 This is a strong accumulation zone + FVG + volume node. → If price retraces deep, this zone is the best high-RR buy setup. 🔵 Intermediate support 4,131 4,143 Expect price to react here on shallow pullbacks. 🔴 Liquidity SELL zone (Major supply) 4,238 – 4,247 This aligns with the previous major swing high + imbalance. → Market is clearly magnetized upward toward this area. 🔴 First reaction zone 4,194 – 4,200 Internal supply + FVG + diagonal trendline. → Expect a pullback or intraday distribution here. 3. Expectation Path (Based on your projection) Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation Likely path based on your structure: Small retracement toward 4,143 → 4,131 Bounce upward targeting 4,171 → 4,194 Deeper reaction at 4,194–4,200 zone (minor internal supply) Final push into 4,238 – 4,247 liquidity sweep This matches your arrow projection and current bullish momentum. 4. Alternative Scenario – Deep Retrace Into BUY Liquidity If price fails to hold 4,131: It will likely revisit the 4,098 liquidity BUY zone Expect strong accumulation there This would still be bullish unless the LOW at 3,998 – 4,000 gets broken
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Winlouh
Bullish bounce off key support?USD/CHF is falling towards this the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the our take profit. Entry: 0.8006 Why we like it:|There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 0.7968 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.8067 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by Vantage
Go long on gold in the 4125-4145 range! Act now!Gold prices performed strongly this week, rebounding after initially pulling back to around 4040. I promptly issued a buy signal at this low point, and gold prices subsequently rose as expected, successfully breaking through the 4100 level and continuing to climb. During the upward trend, it provided multiple buying opportunities. Influenced by a weakening dollar, gold prices continued to reach new highs, further validating the rationale for the current long strategy. Judging from the current trend, gold is showing a steady upward trend without significant pullback, indicating that the market has sufficient upward momentum and the market is operating healthily. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to continue to focus on buying on dips. The plan is to build positions in batches within the 4125-4145 range, strictly controlling position size and managing risk appropriately. The above are my personal thoughts! If they are helpful to you or you agree with my ideas, please like and follow to support me! All strategies have a limited lifespan. While referring to them, it's also important to closely monitor market changes. I will respond flexibly based on actual market fluctuations, and I will provide specific updates in the channel!
FOREXCOM:GOLDLong
by Martin_Trading_Guide
S&P 500 Bullish Continuation: P-Shape Profile long 11/27Description : 1. Market Structure: P-Shape Profile (Bullish) The current 15-minute chart displays a classic P-Shape Volume Profile. This structure indicates aggressive buying and short-covering, establishing a new value area at higher prices. The market has clearly accepted prices above the 6700 level. 2. Key Support Confirmation: The Retest We observed a clean Breakout and Retest setup. The Zone: The 6775 - 6780 area (marked by the Green Box) served as previous resistance and has now flipped into strong support. The Reaction: Price retraced to this zone and was immediately rejected (long lower wick), confirming that buyers are defending this level. This creates a solid "floor" for the next leg up. 3. Trade Plan (Long Bias) With the support at 6780 confirmed and momentum favoring the upside: Direction: Long / Buy Support / Stop Loss Zone: Invalidated if price closes below 6770 (Below the P-shape belly). Target: Looking for a continuation towards 6840 - 6850 as the market enters price discovery mode.
TRIVE:SP500Long
by YUHUNGTsai
Gold (XAUUSD) – Key Time Pivot Ahead, Potential Upside MoveGold is approaching one of the most important time pivot zones of the week. Based on a combination of Gann analysis, Harmonic patterns (ABCD), Time Cycles, and momentum structure, the market is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. ✅ Why a Bullish Move Is Likely Several major signals are aligning: 1️⃣ Time Cycle Confluence – Strong Pivot at 9 PM UTC+2:00 Multiple time cycles, Gann angles, and the hexagonal time-star all converge around the same time window. This type of confluence is rare — and usually marks the beginning of a new directional wave. 2️⃣ Corrective Structure Into Point D The recent move into the D-point shows corrective behavior, not impulsive selling. This indicates the market is preparing for a shift in direction. 3️⃣ Momentum Divergence RSI and MACD are showing clear bullish divergence, confirming loss of bearish strength. 4️⃣ Accumulation Instead of Distribution The last candles show: Smaller bodies Lower volume on the downside Long wicks This is typical accumulation behavior, not continuation selling. 🎯 Bullish Scenario (Primary Expectation) If the time pivot triggers as expected, gold may start a new upward wave with potential targets: 4170 4215 4270 Extension target: 4340 if strong momentum develops. A strong close above the micro-resistance confirms the bullish wave.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by hemaevx
EUR/USD: Awaiting Strong Uptrend from Fed Cuts & Ukraine TalksWith promising news that the Fed may soon cut interest rates, the USD is facing downward pressure. At the same time, negotiations surrounding Ukraine are providing significant support for the euro. Combined with the EUR/USD chart on the H4 timeframe, this presents an excellent opportunity for us to expect a strong uptrend for this currency pair. Chart Analysis and Technical Signals Currently, the price of EUR/USD is sitting in a key support zone around 1.1500. This area is confirmed by strong support from the EMA 34 and 89 lines. In the current context, the price is expected to move upwards, with the next target being the 1.1600 level, a significant resistance zone. We can see that after the price retraced to the 1.1500 support zone, if the price reacts well and does not break below 1.1520, this would be the ideal signal to open a buy position. Trading Strategy: Potential Buy Zone: When the price retraces to the 1.1500 level. Take Profit Target: Around 1.1600. Stop Loss: Below 1.1500.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
1
$EL Navigating a Technical Juncture Amidst Fundamental CatalystsEstee Lauder (EL) is currently at a fascinating technical crossroads, presenting a scenario with defined risks and a compelling potential reward structure. The stock is showing early signs of a potential trend reversal, making it one to watch closely as it approaches its next earnings catalyst. From a fundamental standpoint, the company is positioned ahead of its upcoming earnings report on February 3, 2026. Currently, EL holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). More notably, its Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) stands at +1.09%. This figure, derived from the difference between the Most Accurate Estimate of $0.82 per share and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.81, indicates a slight but positive bias toward an earnings beat. While not a dramatic catalyst in itself, this positive skew adds a layer of fundamental support to the technical picture. The technical landscape is where the most compelling narrative unfolds. The prolonged descending channel that has characterized EL's price action for some time is showing clear signs of dissolving. This breakdown of the previous bearish structure is the first critical step toward a potential new bullish phase. As this channel dissolves, a significant and classic reversal pattern appears to be emerging: a head and shoulders bottom. This pattern, if it completes, is one of the most reliable technical indicators of a major trend reversal from down to up. The formation of this pattern is a highly significant development that merits close observation for a confirmed breakout above the "neckline." Within this context, the key price levels are clearly defined: The Danger Zone: The most critical support level rests at $40. A sustained break below this level would likely invalidate the nascent reversal pattern and signal a resumption of the broader downtrend, making it a clear line in the sand for the bullish thesis. Primary Support: A stronger, more immediate support floor is established at $50. This level has historically acted as a battleground between buyers and sellers and is crucial for maintaining the integrity of the potential head and shoulders formation. On the upside, should the reversal pattern complete and a new bullish trend initiate, the Fibonacci extension tool provides clear profit-taking objectives: First Take-Profit Target: The initial target is projected at the 0.236 Fibonacci level, which corresponds to $125.27. This represents a significant resistance zone and a logical first objective for a new bullish impulse wave. Second Take-Profit Target: A more ambitious, secondary target is set at the 0.382 Fibonacci level, at $172.84. A move to this level would confirm a powerful and sustained recovery, potentially marking a return to prior highs. Adding an interesting backdrop, recent news highlighted the sale of a Gustav Klimt portrait from the collection of Leonard Lauder, the company's heir, for a record $236.4 million. While not directly impacting the stock's valuation, this event underscores the immense underlying value and legacy of the Lauder family, providing a subtle reminder of the brand's enduring prestige. In summary, Estee Lauder (EL) is teetering on the edge of a major technical reversal. The dissolution of the descending channel and the potential formation of a head and shoulders bottom pattern suggest that the prolonged downtrend may be exhausting itself. While the $40 level remains a critical danger zone, a successful hold above support at $50 could pave the way for a significant rally toward the $125 - $173 range in the medium to long term.
NYSE:ELLong
by KalaGhazi
UMAC QuantSignals V3: Contrarian Put Play – Bearish Momentum AheUMAC QuantSignals V3 Weekly 2025-11-26 Recommended Strike: $8.00 Entry Price: $0.55 Target 1: $0.90 (≈ 64% gain) Target 2: $1.20 (≈ 118% gain) Stop Loss: $0.30 (≈ 45% risk) Expiry: 2025-11-28 (2 days) Position Size: 2% of portfolio Confidence: 58% Weekly Momentum: BULLISH (+1.56% 1W) – note: conflict with Katy AI bearish prediction Flow Intel: Neutral Risk Level: HIGH – low Katy confidence (50%) + conflicting weekly momentum + short expiry Key Technical Levels: Resistance: $8.70 Support: $7.25 VWAP: $7.98 Katy AI Predicted Move: -8.32% to $7.33–$7.73 range Conflict: Katy predicts bearish puts while LLM guidance favors calls Timing Advantage: Price at 88.5% of weekly range; short-term decline expected; mid-week entry captures potential trend exhaustion. Notes: Tight stop relative to Katy’s stop level $8.58 2-day expiry requires precise timing Trade contrarian to weekly bullish guidance, follow Katy’s AI prediction Monitor updates closely; consider reducing position size due to conflict
AMEX:UMACShort
by quantsignals
QuantSignals V3 | Katy AI Contrarian MSTR Weekly PUT QuantSignals V3 Weekly Date: 2025-11-26 Current Price: $179.00 Weekly Momentum: Bullish (+4.27%) Flow Intel: Bearish (PCR 6.20) Trend: Mixed / Conflict Trade Signal: PUT Recommended Strike: $175.00 Entry Range: $1.91 – $2.05 Target 1: $3.50 (75% gain) Target 2: $4.50 (125% gain) Stop Loss: $1.20 (40% loss) Confidence: 58% Position Size: 2% of portfolio Expiry: 2025-11-28 (2 days) Analysis Summary: Katy AI predicts a bearish trajectory (-1.32%) with 168-point prediction series showing consistent downside momentum. Overbought RSI at 81.6 and 86% of weekly range high suggest potential reversal. Contradiction exists: Weekly momentum bullish but Katy AI and extreme PCR indicate bearish pressure. Options flow shows heavy institutional put buying (PCR 6.20). Risk level: Medium-High due to conflicting signals. Key Notes: Tight 2-day expiry limits time decay risk. Conservative stop protects against unexpected bullish breaks above $181.68. High-risk trade—use small position size due to uncertainty.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by quantsignals
Regeneron (REGN): Bullish Momentum Approved for DupixentRegeneron Pharmaceuticals ( NASDAQ:REGN ) is exhibiting a powerful bullish surge, a move catalyzed by significant fundamental news. This momentum is expected to propel the stock toward its defined technical targets. The primary driver is the recent decision by the European Commission (EC) to approve Regeneron and Sanofi's blockbuster drug, Dupixent (dupilumab), for the treatment of chronic spontaneous urticaria (CSU). This authorization is a substantial milestone, as it marks the first targeted therapy approved for this skin condition in the European Union in over a decade. CSU is a chronic and often debilitating inflammatory skin disease characterized by sudden, unpredictable hives and intense itch. While typically first treated with H1-antihistamines (H1AH), a substantial population of an estimated 270,000 patients in the EU alone continues to suffer from inadequate symptom control. Dupixent now offers a novel mechanism of action for these patients, as it is the only approved therapy that works by inhibiting two key proteins, IL-4 and IL-13, which are central drivers of the type 2 inflammation underlying CSU. This major regulatory expansion for one of its flagship products has ignited a strong bullish momentum in NASDAQ:REGN , breaking the stock out of its previous consolidation. The technical structure now appears exceptionally robust, providing a clear roadmap for the anticipated upward move. The chart reveals two critical Fibonacci-based support levels that should serve as foundations for this new leg higher: The primary support rests at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, corresponding to $630.39. This is a key zone where buyers have previously stepped in aggressively. A secondary, deeper support level is identified at the 0.786 Fibonacci level, near $472.49. A retracement to this level would represent a more significant pullback but would likely find strong institutional interest. On the upside, the path is defined by two clear take-profit targets, measured using Fibonacci extension levels: The first profit target is set at the 0.382 level, which aligns with $852.18. This represents a significant resistance zone and a logical initial objective for the current bullish impulse. The secondary and more ambitious target is projected at the 0.236 level, at $989.40. A move to this level would signify a powerful, sustained breakout and capture the majority of the trend. In summary, the confluence of a major positive regulatory catalyst for its key growth driver, Dupixent, and a technically sound chart setup with well-defined support and resistance zones, creates a highly compelling bullish case for Regeneron. The momentum is substantial, and the stock is well-positioned to reach its initial price targets in a relatively short timeframe.
NASDAQ:REGNLong
by KalaGhazi
QuantSignals V3 | SPY Speculative Call SetupSPY QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction 2025-11-26 Current Price: $681.33 Target: $685–688 (short-term, based on recent resistance & trend) Stop Loss: $678 (below immediate support) Time Horizon: 1–3 days (since Katy AI shows low confidence and small expected move) Rationale: Katy AI shows NEUTRAL with low confidence (46.4%), meaning the AI isn’t strongly bearish—so a small bullish bias could play out. Overall market sentiment (VIX ~20) suggests low-moderate volatility. Small position sizing recommended due to low conviction. ⚠️ Risk Warning: Low predicted movement means the probability of hitting your target is modest. Short expiry or small move can result in quick losses if SPY dips even slightly. Only allocate a small portion of your portfolio to this speculative call.
AMEX:SPYLong
by quantsignals