XAGUSD with William Gunn Rule of 7XAGUSD and Gann’s Rule of 7 on the Monthly Chart
One of William Gann’s lesser-understood principles is the so-called Rule of 7.
In his writings, sequences of seven often mark sensitive zones for an existing trend, areas where price action tends to change character, not necessarily reverse, but frequently slow down, correct, or shift phase.
On the monthly chart of XAGUSD, an interesting structure appears:
the latest silver rally has unfolded in seven consecutive price cycles, each cycle roughly matching the size of the consolidation range that preceded the breakout.
Some important clarifications:
• A “cycle” here is defined as a measured expansion of the prior range, not a literal or rigid Gann textbook definition
• This observation is made on a monthly timeframe and is not intended for short-term trading
• The Rule of 7 is not a trigger, it is a contextual framework
The practical takeaway is not that price must reverse.
Rather, reaching the seventh cycle marks a zone where trend continuation becomes statistically less straightforward, and the probability of a change in behavior increases, whether through correction, consolidation, or structural slowdown.
As with most Gann work, the value lies in cycle recognition, not point prediction.
At this stage, silver appears to be approaching a maturity zone in both price expansion and structure, a place where risk assumptions deserve reassessment and certainty should be reduced.
Not a buy signal.
Not a sell signal.
But a level of context that deserves attention.
Harmonic Patterns
MICROSOFT on a short-term rebound before drop to $410.Around 3 months ago (November 06 2025, see chart below) we gave a Sell Signal on Microsoft (MSFT) targeting $450:
The signal was confirmed and the target got hit last week, with the price immediately rebounding as it hit the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the April 07 2025 Low.
This Low was also formed on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and based on the long-term Channel Up pattern that has been in effect for the past +4 years, is a natural technical rebound made half-way through a Bearish Leg.
Both previous Bearish Legs experienced similar rebounds when the 1W RSI hit (or approached) the 40.50 Symmetrical Support level and later resumed the dominant bearish trend. As you can see all Bearish Legs are in the form of a (red) Channel Down.
Once the bearish trend is resumed, we expect this Leg to seek the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is currently exactly at the bottom of the 4-year Channel Up and is where both previous Bearish Legs priced their bottoms on April 07 2025 and October 21 2022.
Assuming a minimum -26.20% decline (like the previous Leg) and not a -38.88% of the first one, we are targeting at least $410 next.
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$BZAI — Range Low + Bullish Gartley SetupPrice is currently trading near the bottom of its established range, aligning with a completed bullish Gartley harmonic pattern. This confluence suggests a potential mean-reversion move back toward the top of the range if support continues to hold.
Key technical factors supporting this setup:
• Price reacting at prior range support
• Completion of a bullish Gartley at the D-point
• Favorable risk/reward at current levels
• Structure favors rotation back into range highs
Trade idea:
Looking for continuation above local support with upside targets toward the top of the range. Invalidation occurs on a sustained breakdown below range support, which would negate the harmonic structure.
This setup is based on range rotation and harmonic symmetry, not breakout momentum. Patience is required for confirmation and follow-through.
⚠️ Not financial advice. For educational purposes only. Always manage risk.
Nvidia - The -25% correction starts now!✂️Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is about to create a correction:
🔎Analysis summary:
After Nvidia retested major support in mid 2025, we saw another rally of about +125%. But now, Nvidia is rejecting a major resistance trendline and is about to create bearish confirmation. Quite likely that Nvidia will create a major -25% correction in the future.
📝Levels to watch:
$140
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoin - This chart is not bullish yet!🎲Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) still remains beairsh:
🔎Analysis summary:
Bitcoin remains in an underlying bullish market. But looking at all the recent retests of resistance, it becomes quite likely that this is not the end of the bearmarket yet. Bitcoin will most likely create another move of -35% first in the next couple of weeks.
📝Levels to watch:
$65,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTC.D - Technical Analysis: Trendline Breakdown & Key LevelsWelcome to another Mubite technical update. Today we are focusing purely on the market structure of Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) on the 1H timeframe.
The index has just confirmed a significant structural shift that suggests a change in the immediate trend direction.
Here is the technical breakdown of the chart.
1. The Trendline Breakdown For several days, BTC.D has been respecting a steep ascending trendline (White Line), creating a series of higher lows.
The Signal: As shown on the chart, the price has now decisively broken below this trendline support. This invalidates the immediate uptrend structure on this timeframe.
2. The Immediate Support (Yellow Zone) The decline is currently approaching a critical demand cluster—the Yellow Zone located between 4,600 and 4,620.
Technical Importance: This zone previously acted as a consolidation base before the last leg up. We expect it to act as the first line of defense, potentially pausing the initial drop.
3. The Forecast: The "Break & Retest" Pattern Based on the breakdown, we are projecting a classic bearish continuation pattern, as illustrated by the white arrows:
Phase A (The Bounce): Upon hitting the Yellow Zone (4,600), we anticipate a bounce.
Phase B (The Retest): The index will likely attempt to rally back up to test the Broken Trendline. This trendline, which was previously support, should now flip to act as Resistance.
Phase C (Continuation): If the retest rejects at the trendline, it confirms the bearish structure, likely leading to a lower low below the yellow zone.
Summary
Trend: Bearish (Trendline Broken).
Key Support: 4,600 - 4,620.
Key Resistance: The underside of the ascending trendline.
Disclaimer: This analysis by Mubite is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk.
What is your technical bias on this chart? Do you see a bounce or a straight drop? Let us know below.
-TuffyCalls (Team Mubite)
XMR PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $462XMR PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $462
Currently $462
Targeting $455 or Down
(Trading plan IF XMR
go up to $474 will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
Gold trading plan!Yesterday gold went straight up without retracement again and reached 5110, after which reversed quickly and erased all the gains. It printed a daily pin bar. This is a sign of reversal in short term and a top for this month in my opinion. We should see strong correction in the following few days.
Therefore, I will look to sell from 5050 today, targeting 4914.
#XAUUSD | Gold – Daily Higher Timeframe Analysis 📊 **#XAUUSD | Gold – Daily Higher Timeframe Analysis 🥇**
⚖️ **We are now at a true make-or-break zone.**
Today’s **daily candle will decide the fate of gold**.
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🚀 **Bullish Breakout Scenario**
* ✅ If today’s **daily candle sustains and closes bullish above 4380–4382**
(the **previous lifetime high**),
* 💥 We could witness **one of the biggest moves ever in gold**.
📈 From that breakout zone, I’m expecting a **minimum ~10% move**,
🎯 which projects gold toward **4700–4900** in a **very short span of time**.
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⚠️ **Rejection / Pullback Scenario**
* ❌ If the daily candle **sweeps the previous lifetime high**
* 🕯️ And gives **strong rejection with a large upper wick**,
📉 That would signal a **temporary corrective move** toward:
* 📍 **4230–4179** → **Daily demand zone**
* 🟦 Along with a **small Daily FVG**, making it an **ideal buy-on-dips area**.
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📌 Daily close is the key
📌 Patience over prediction
📌 Let the higher timeframe decide the next major leg 🧠🔥
#XAGUSD Silver – Monthly Chart (Higher Time Frame Analysis Updat📈 #XAGUSD Silver – Monthly Chart (Higher Time Frame Analysis Update)
On the monthly COMEX chart, Silver has reached a historically critical zone — a level it has touched only three times since its inception on the forex market ⚡️
### 🕰 Historical Context
1️⃣ 1980:
Silver made its first-ever major peak around $48, followed by a massive correction all the way down to $5.
2️⃣ April 2011:
The metal created another lifetime high at $49.80, but history repeated itself — price crashed sharply, touching lows near $11.50 in subsequent years.
3️⃣ October 2025 (Current Scenario):
Silver has now printed a new high at $51.20, marking its third attempt in history to sustain above the psychological barrier of $50.
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### 🔍 Key Technical Outlook
Both previous times, Silver failed to sustain above $50, leading to deep corrections.
Hence, this time, we need to see at least 1–2 consecutive weekly candle closings above the $50–$51 zone to confirm a strong breakout and trend continuation.
Once that confirmation comes in, we could confidently plan fresh long entries, as this would signal a potential super-cycle rally in Silver 🔥
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### 🎯 Upside Projections
If Silver manages to hold above $50 convincingly, the next major targets on a higher timeframe would be:
* First Target: $60
* Extended Target: $68
This move could potentially open the doors for a massive long-term bullish phase, supported by both technical breakout and global precious metal demand fundamentals 💎
**#XAUUSD – Weekly Higher Timeframe Analysis**
## 📆
We have now extended our view from the **Daily** to the **Weekly timeframe** to get a broader and clearer market structure picture.
After creating a new **lifetime high at 4381**, gold faced **strong rejection** and printed **two consecutive bearish weekly closes**.
However, last week price reacted sharply from the **Weekly Fair Value Gap near 3886**, showing strong demand from that zone ✅
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### 🟥 **Bearish Scenario**
The level **3886** remains extremely crucial.
If this week gold faces heavy selling pressure and we see a **weekly close below 3790**,
then we may witness a **strong downside continuation** towards:
📍 **3460 – 3242 zone**
This area can act as a **major long-term buying opportunity** if price reaches there.
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### 🟩 **Bullish Breakout Scenario**
On the upside, if the weekly candle **closes above the previous ATH zone – 4380 to 4400**,
then we may see the start of a **fresh bullish leg** towards:
🚀 **4878 – 5000 zone**
A weekly close above this range would confirm a **continuation of the bigger bullish cycle**.
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### ✅ **Conclusion**
This week’s **weekly candle close is extremely critical**.
It will decide whether gold enters a **deep pullback phase** or **resumes its strong uptrend**.
Stay patient and follow structure, not emotions. 📊✨
**#XAUUSD Weekly Higher Time-Frame Analysis**📌 **#XAUUSD Weekly Higher Time-Frame Analysis**
The **weekly candle has closed strongly bullish**, which is a very important development.
Previously, **no weekly candle was able to close above the 4250–4260 zone**, but this week we finally got a **weekly close above it** — a clear sign that **strong bullish momentum is building**. 📈🔥
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### 🔺 **Upside Outlook**
On the weekly timeframe, our **major target comes around 4879**, based on the **advanced Fibonacci extension**.
However, for this move to unlock fully, we need a **weekly candle close above 4381**, which is the **previous lifetime high**.
A confirmed close above this level can open doors for a **very big bullish expansion**.
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### 🔻 **Pullback Buy Scenario**
On the downside, if price **pulls back and retests the 4250–4260 zone**,
this area — which was earlier a **very strong resistance** — may now act as **strong support**.
If price shows a **bullish reaction from this zone**, we can look for **buy opportunities**.
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🧠 **Summary:**
* Weekly close above **4250–4260** = bullish strength confirmed
* Weekly close above **4381** = pathway toward **4879**
* Retest of **4250–4260** = potential support-buy zone
Patience and higher-timeframe confirmation remain the key. 📊✨
Regis Corporation RGSP/E (TTM),~0.58x,SHOCKINGLY CHEAP ✅. Extremely low due to one-time tax benefits and accounting gains.
Forward P/E,~14.5x,Reflects a more realistic 2026 earnings forecast. MODERATE ✅.
Free Cash Flow,~$13.7 million,VERY GOOD ✅. They have 4 consecutive quarters of positive cash flow.
ROE,~98%,"PHENOMENAL ✅. Although skewed by small capital base
Debt/Equity,~0.59 (59%),MODARE ⚠️. Debt has come down significantly (was over 1.7 in 2024).
Revenue Growth,~28% (Q1 2026),EXCELLENT ✅.
Cash on Hand,~$15.3m,"MODARE ⚠️. Not much, but operationally sound."
FCF Margin,~6.5%,Stable for a service sector.
Quick Ratio,~0.85,LOW ⚠️. Liquidity is slightly squeezed in the short term.
Inst. Ownership,~45% - 50%,"MODARE ⚠️. There is interest, but it is not dominated by funds."
Current Ratio,~1.10,"MODARE ⚠️. They cover their liabilities, but without much of a buffer."
Analyst DCF,~$77.00,OVER-UNDERVALUED ✅. InvestingPro models show huge potential at ~$25 price.
Wall St Target,$31.50,Potential upside of ~25% in the short term.
Gross Margin,~37.6%,LOW ❌. Far from your 90% (typical for a brick-and-mortar business).
Sales Growth,~28%,
Altman Z-Score,~1.49,RISK ❌. Still in the financial instability zone.
Why is RGS an interesting bet now?
Supercuts Transformation: The company is modernizing its brand and digitizing its processes, which is already driving footfall.
Alline Acquisition: The acquisition of over 280 salons in late 2024 began to bear serious fruit in fiscal 2026, which explains the 28% jump in revenue.
Tax assets: They have huge accumulated tax credits from past losses, which means they won't pay real taxes on their profits for a long time.
Gold High-Range Consolidation Trading SignalsGold traded in a strong consolidation pattern at highs today, extending the recent bullish trend of six consecutive positive days. However, short-term overbought conditions are building pullback pressure, with market sentiment turning cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting.
Core Support Levels:5050-5060 (5-day MA + recent pullback low, heavy buying zone);
Secondary Support: 5010-5015 (intraday low + round number, dual psychological and technical support);
Strong Support: 4980-4990 (previous consolidation range, key defensive level for the bullish trend).
Core Resistance Levels:5090-5100 (intraday high + round number, concentrated short-term selling pressure);
Secondary Resistance: 5120-5130 (previous high extension, requires volume to break through);
Strong Resistance: 5150-5160 (trend extension, needs positive catalyst for a breakout).
Trading Strategy:
Buy 5050 - 5060
SL 5040
TP 5090 - 5100 - 5110
Sell 5090 - 5100
SL 5110
TP 5070 - 5060 - 5050
Stoneridge SRIInst. Ownership ~95%+ VERY HIGH ✅. Large funds (Citadel, BlackRock) hold almost everything.
DCF (Base Case): Fair value is estimated at around $11.50 - $12.80.
Simply Wall St DCF: They value the stock as 60% undervalued relative to long-term cash flows.
Wall Street Avg Target: $14.50 - $16.00. This represents over 130% upside potential from the current price (~$6.27).
USDCHF Oversold and approaching an 11-year Low.The USDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Down since its November 2022 High rejection on the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line). This month isn't only approaching the bottom of that pattern but also Support 1, which consists of the January 2015 Low (0.74250).
With the 1M RSI almost oversold and similar to December 2020 (every oversold 1M RSI has historically been a massive long-term buy signal), we don't technically believe that this decline has much more room to extend to, beyond at least the -17.86% of the previous Bearish Leg.
Instead, we treat this as an excellent long-term buy opportunity, with a first Target on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (again similar as the previous Channel Down rebound) at 0.83450. Note that this is more suited to long-term investors and not shorter term traders.
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ETH/USD — Bearish Bias Ahead of Fed DecisionETH remains under pressure after a sharp pullback to the 2770–2785 area. The rebound toward 2950 looks purely technical, while macro and regulatory uncertainty ahead of the Fed meeting keeps downside risks elevated.
Bias: Bearish below 2770
⸻
Key Levels
• Resistance: 3165 → 3359 → 3560
• Support: 2770 → 2656 → 2500
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Scenario 1 — Bearish Continuation (Primary)
• Trigger: Daily/4H close below 2770
• Entry: 2760 (SELL STOP)
• Targets:
• TP1: 2656.25
• TP2: 2500.00
• Stop-loss: 2855
• Timeframe: 5–7 days
Rationale:
Break of the former range floor (61.8% Fib) confirms continuation of the downtrend. Weekly structure favors further downside.
⸻
Scenario 2 — Bullish Rebound (Alternative)
• Trigger: Break and hold above 3165
• Entry: 3170 (BUY STOP)
• Targets:
• TP1: 3359.38
• TP2: 3560.00
• Stop-loss: 3040
Rationale:
Reclaim of the 50% Fib and BB midline would invalidate the short-term bearish setup.
⸻
Indicators
• Bollinger Bands: Sloping down
• MACD: Negative territory
• Stochastic: Rebounding from oversold
⸻
Conclusion:
ETH is testing a critical support zone ahead of the Fed decision. A confirmed break below 2770 likely accelerates selling toward 2656–2500, while bulls must reclaim 3165 to shift momentum.
Daily Major Forex Pair Scanning Session – 18 (27.01.25)Scanning multiple forex pairs to filter high-quality trade setups. No trades are forced—only structure-based opportunities.
Note: There may be a delay in this video due to upload processing time.
Disclaimer: FX trading involves high leverage and substantial risk, and losses can exceed your initial investment. This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trade at your own risk.






















