NZDUSD 1๐ NZDUSD โ Buy Limit (Professional Analysis)
Entry: 0.59600
Stop Loss: 0.58400
Take Profit: 0.60800
Market Structure & Bias
NZDUSD is currently in a clear bullish market structure on the H4 timeframe, characterized by consecutive higher highs and higher lows. Price has shown strong impulsive movement to the upside, indicating sustained buying pressure. The overall directional bias remains bullish, with expectations of continuation following a healthy pullback.
Technical Confluence
Price is approaching a previous resistance zone turned support around the 0.59600 level, aligning with the buy limit entry.
The level coincides with a bullish pullback area within the current uptrend, suggesting potential demand absorption.
Recent bullish momentum shows strong displacement, increasing the probability of continuation after retracement.
The entry sits near a minor demand zone, where prior buying interest was evident.
Overall price action suggests buyers remain in control, with pullbacks being corrective rather than impulsive.
Risk Management
The stop loss at 0.58400 is placed below the key structural low, invalidating the bullish setup if breached. This placement protects against deeper retracements while allowing sufficient room for price to react.
The take profit at 0.60800 targets the next significant resistance area, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio and aligning with trend continuation objectives.
Trade Expectation
Price is expected to pull back into the 0.59600 demand area, find bullish support, and resume the upward move toward the 0.60800 target. As long as price holds above the defined stop loss, bullish continuation remains the primary expectation.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management and ensure the trade aligns with your personal trading plan and risk tolerance.
Harmonic Patterns
Silver - Here comes the bullrun top!โ ๏ธSilver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ) creates its final top now:
๐Analysis summary:
Silver still remains totally bullish. But Silver also remains totally overextended and the metal is also approaching the final resistance trendline. With all of this short term weakness, this might be the final top on Silver. Just please wait for bearish confirmation.
๐Levels to watch:
$100
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD)The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) finds itself navigating a period of pronounced turbulence, underscored by a sudden and concerning leadership shuffle at the highest financial level. In a press release issued early Monday, the advertising technology company announced the immediate departure of Chief Financial Officer Alex Kayyal. The company provided no reason for his exit, which comes after an exceptionally brief tenureโKayyal had joined The Trade Desk's Board of Directors in February 2025 and was appointed CFO just over five months ago, in August 2025. This marks the company's second CFO transition in less than six months, following the departure of longtime CFO Laura Schenkein in mid-2024, raising significant questions about stability within the C-suite.
To manage the transition, The Trade Desk has appointed Tahnil Davis as Interim CFO. Davis, the company's current Chief Accounting Officer, brings 11 years of institutional knowledge to the role, a factor CEO Jeff Green highlighted in an attempt to reassure stakeholders. In the same announcement, management sought to preempt concerns about operational or financial health by explicitly reaffirming its previously issued fourth-quarter 2025 guidance. Despite this move, the market reacted negatively, with shares falling sharply on the news. The abrupt nature of the departure, particularly its timing after the close of Q4 but before the earnings report, inevitably fuels speculation about potential undisclosed issues, even as the company insists its financial trajectory remains on track.
This leadership volatility compounds the existing challenges facing The Trade Desk. The company, once a paragon of consistent execution with a 33-quarter streak of meeting or exceeding guidance, has been in a perceived turnaround phase since stumbling early in 2025. CEO Jeff Green attributed the initial miss to "a series of small execution missteps," but the competitive landscape has grown increasingly fierce. Well-capitalized giants like Amazon are expanding their presence in the adtech space, leading some investors to fear The Trade Desk is losing ground. This sentiment is reflected in the stock's precipitous decline, which has fallen roughly 75% since the start of 2025, evaporating a significant portion of its market capitalization.
The reaffirmed Q4 guidance itself reveals underlying business pressures. The forecast calls for revenue of at least $840 million, representing year-over-year growth of at least 13%. This figure confirms a continued deceleration from the 18% growth posted in Q3 and 19% in Q2. While management points to tough comparisons against a politically charged 2024 advertising cycle, the consistent slowdown is a headwind for a stock traditionally valued on high growth expectations. Furthermore, the decision to merely reaffirmโrather than raiseโguidance may disappoint investors hoping for a positive surprise to catalyze a recovery.
Beyond growth and leadership, The Trade Desk contends with a valuation that remains elevated despite the steep share price decline. With a price-to-earnings ratio hovering around 40, the stock still prices in a significant growth premium. For the investment to justify its current multiple, The Trade Desk must demonstrate a reacceleration of revenue growth in 2026, successfully navigate the intensified competitive landscape, and restore confidence in its management stability. The repeated CFO changes undermine that confidence, suggesting potential internal discord or disagreements over financial strategy, even if the official guidance remains unchanged.
From an investment strategy perspective, some traders are identifying potential entry and exit points based on the stock's severe correction. A defined "buy zone" is noted around the $20 level, which would represent a further significant decline from current prices and could be seen as a deep-value or contrarian entry point for those believing in the company's long-term foundational strengths in the digital ad-buying platform market. The suggested "take profit" target is set at $60, a level that would represent a substantial recovery but still remain far below the stock's historical highs, acknowledging the changed market perception and growth profile.
In summary, The Trade Desk is at a critical juncture. The abrupt CFO departure is a glaring red flag that amplifies existing concerns about slowing growth, fierce competition, and a premium valuation. While the reaffirmation of guidance offers a sliver of operational stability, it does little to address the core issues of leadership continuity and growth reacceleration. Investors are left to ponder whether this is a temporary run of bad luck and execution errors, as management suggests, or the beginning of a more fundamental decline in the company's competitive edge and cultural stability. The upcoming Q4 earnings report and the subsequent search for a permanent CFO will be pivotal events in determining the answer.
Critical Metals Corp. (NASDAQ: CRML)Critical Metals Corp. (NASDAQ: CRML) has emerged as one of the market's standout performers, rallying significantly on the back of strategic international expansion news and heightened geopolitical focus on its core asset. The stock surged 11.7% on Friday to close at $20.62, marking a second consecutive day of substantial gains and cementing a remarkable one-month rally of over 123%.
The immediate catalyst for the recent surge was the company's announcement of a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Tariq Abdel Hadi Abdullah Al-Qahtani & Brothers Company (TQB) in Saudi Arabia. The agreement outlines plans to establish one or more joint ventures for developing and operating a rare earth processing plant and refining facility within the Kingdom. This facility is strategically designed to process concentrate from Critical Metals' flagship Tanbreez Rare Earth Project in Greenland, in which the company holds a 42% ownership stake. This Saudi initiative represents a pivotal step in building a geographically diversified, integrated supply chain, moving raw material from Greenland to a U.S.-allied partner for processing, with the end goal of supplying finished products to the United States.
This expansion news builds upon and validates a series of prior strategic moves. The company has now entered into four separate non-binding term sheets for the offtake of rare earth concentrate from Tanbreez. Importantly, with this latest Saudi agreement, Critical Metals has secured potential offtake arrangements for 100% of the project's planned rare earth concentrate production, providing investors with significant visibility into future revenue streams. The specific focus of the Saudi joint venture is to supply the U.S. military-industrial sector, positioning CRML as a potential key strategic supplier to the American defense establishment.
The investment thesis for Critical Metals is inextricably linked to high-stakes geopolitics and the global scramble to secure critical mineral supply chains independent of China. Recent discussions and policy ambitions from the U.S. Trump administration regarding the potential acquisition of Greenlandโa territory rich in critical mineralsโhave thrown a spotlight on the region and its resources. While such a geopolitical move is complex and faces international opposition, the mere discourse has underscored Greenland's strategic value and, by extension, the value of assets like the Tanbreez project. This political backdrop has catalyzed intense investor interest in CRML as a direct beneficiary of Western efforts to onshore or "ally-shore" supplies of materials vital for national security, advanced weapons systems, electric vehicles, and renewable energy technologies.
The Tanbreez project itself is notable for its mineralogy. The company highlights that approximately 27% of its total rare earth elements are heavy rare earths (HREEs), such as dysprosium and terbium. These are particularly scarce, high-value elements crucial for permanent magnets in high-performance motors and defense applications, giving the deposit an advantageous profile compared to many peers that are predominantly light rare earth-focused. The project has also received the necessary approvals to begin construction of its pilot-plant facility in Greenland.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock's meteoric rise warrants a close look at its chart structure. Following the powerful uptrend, key Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent low to the recent high provide potential support zones at $16.68 (50% retracement), $13.03 (61.8% retracement), and $7.84 (78.6% retracement). These levels could become relevant during any market pullbacks or periods of consolidation. However, chart analysts also note the formation of a larger-scale double-top pattern dating back to February 2024. This long-term pattern typically indicates a major resistance level and can signal a potential reversal or significant pause in the uptrend if the price fails to break decisively above the previous highs.
In summary, Critical Metals Corp. is riding a powerful wave driven by a confluence of strategic partnerships, complete offtake coverage for its flagship project, and its central position in a geopolitical narrative focused on resource security. The company is transitioning from a development story to one with a clear pathway to production and sales, specifically targeting the strategic U.S. defense market. While the fundamental prospects appear brightened by these developments, investors must balance this optimism with the recognition that the company's agreements are still non-binding, its projects are in development stages, and the stock's technical picture shows signs of both extreme momentum and potential long-term resistance. The coming months will be critical as the company works to convert term sheets into binding agreements and advance construction in Greenland and Saudi Arabia.
TMC Options Swing โ Institutional Call Flow Inside๐ TMC Weekly Trade
Direction: Bullish / Call
Instrument: TMC $8.00 Call
Expiry: Feb 6, 2026 (Friday)
Entry Zone: $0.38 โ $0.46
๐ฏ Targets
Target 1: $0.58 (+25%) โ scale 50%
Target 2: $0.74 (+60%+) โ let runner ride
Risk:
Stop loss: $0.35 (-25%)
Hard exit: Closing below 50-DMA ($6.86) or failure to reclaim VWAP $8.58
Institutional call flow shows 30 unusual calls โ bullish signal
Let remaining 50% ride with trailing stop 15% from peak
Monitor resistance cluster $9.00 โ $10.05
JBLU Gamma Squeeze Potential โ Weekly Trade๐ JBLU Weekly Trade
Direction: Speculative bullish / Call
Instrument: JBLU $5.50 Call
Expiry: Feb 6, 2026 (Friday)
Entry Zone: $0.11 โ $0.12
๐ฏ Targets
Target 1: $0.14 (+25%) โ scale 50%
Target 2: $0.19 (+60%+) โ let runner ride
Risk: Stop loss: $0.085 (-25%)
Hard exit: JBLU below $5.00
Trade information:
Small size only โ moderate conviction & earnings catalyst
Monitor earnings reaction closely
QS V4 ELITE: GOOGL Bullish Swing Trade๐ GOOGL Swing Trade (1โ4 Weeks)
Instrument: GOOGL $330 Call
Expiry: Feb 20, 2026
Entry Zone: $3.50 โ $4.50
๐ฏ Targets
Target 1 (scale 50%): $5.00 (+11โ43%)
Target 2 (runner): $6.50 (+45โ86%)
Risk:
Stop loss: $2.50 (-29% to -44%)
Hard exit: If GOOGL closes below 50-DMA ($312.71)
Enter on bullish confirmation above VWAP ($328.25) with volume
Use trailing stop 20% from peak profit for runner
Moderate position size due to low volatility/time decay
TSLA Set to Rip โ Speculative Swing Call!๐ TSLA Swing Trade (1โ4 Weeks)
Instrument: TSLA $445 Call
Expiry: Feb 20, 2026
Entry Zone: $8.50 โ $10.50
๐ฏ Targets
Target 1 (scale 50%): $15.00 (+50%)
Risk: Stop loss: $6.00 (-40% from mid-entry)
Hard exit: Option premium hits stop or expiry
Trade Rules:
Enter after bullish candle above 50-DMA ($442.36) with volume
Avoid pre-earnings due to IV crush
Scale 50% at Target 1, move stop to breakeven
NVO Alert: Quick Downside Opportunity๐ NVO Weekly Trade (Speculative Bearish)
Direction: Short / Put
Instrument: NVO $62 Put
Expiry: Jan 30, 2026 (Friday)
Entry Zone: $1.65 โ $1.72
๐ฏ Targets
Target 1: $2.06 (+25%) โ scale 50%
Target 2: $2.64 (+60%+) โ use trailing stop
Risk: Stop loss: $1.29
Hard exit: NVO above $64.16
Notes / Rules
Small position โ speculative trade
Move stop to breakeven after Target 1
Monitor for short-term resistance around $64
Exit fast if price breaks above resistance
QS V4 ELITE: HIMS Bearish Continuationโก QS V4 ELITE: HIMS (WEEKLY)
Buy: HIMS $30.50 Put
Expiry: Jan 30, 2026 (Friday)
Entry: $0.80 โ $0.90
โฌข KATY AI: MULTI-DAY VECTOR
Bias: Bearish | Probability: 63% | Projected Move: -2.0%
Katy AI predicts a measured decline to $30.07, signaling a bearish multi-day vector. While confidence is moderate (63%), this aligns with the stock's position well below its key moving averages ($35.06 50-DMA, $45.83 200-DMA), suggesting the path of least resistance is lower in the near term.
Tactical Observation: Price ($30.69) is trading just below the pivotal $30.70 level and above the daily VWAP ($29.87). A break below $30.50 could accelerate a move toward the $29.87 VWAP and the stronger $27.96 support. The lack of a clear gamma wall provides less friction for a down move.
โฌข OPTIONS FLOW INSIGHT
Options flow shows a balanced but active market with 47 unusual puts and 48 unusual calls. The chain reveals notable put volume at the $30.5 and $32.0 strikes, indicating institutional hedging or bearish positioning.
ACTION: BUY PUTS
| Execution Parameter | Institutional Target |
|:--------------------|:---------------------|
| INSTRUMENT | $30.50 PUT |
| EXPIRY | 2026-01-30 |
| ENTRY ZONE | $0.80 - $0.90 (PREMIUM PRICE) |
| TARGET 1 | $1.00 (+25%) |
| TARGET 2 | $1.44 (+60%+) |
| STOP LOSS | $0.68 (-25%) |
RISK GRADE: MODERATE
โข THESIS ERROR: A daily close above the $31.00 resistance level and the VWAP ($29.87) would invalidate the immediate bearish structure and suggest a short squeeze.
โข EXIT PROTOCOL: Scale 50% at Target 1; Move Stop to Breakeven. Use a trailing stop (e.g., based on the underlying stock breaking above its 5-minute 9 EMA) for Target 2.
QS V4 ELITE: SLV Mean-Reversion Short๐ SLV Weekly Trade
Direction: Bearish pullback
Buy: SLV $100 Put
Expiry: Jan 31, 2026
Entry: $6.40 โ $6.60
๐ฏ Targets
Target 1: $8.00
Target 2: $10.40
๐ด Risk
Stop loss: $4.80
Hard exit: SLV above $106.70
โ ๏ธ Trade Rules
Take 50% profit at +25%
Move stop to breakeven after Target 1
Use trailing stop for runner
Exit fast if price keeps making new highs
QS V4 ELITE: PLTR Speculative BouncePLTR Weekly Trade
Direction: Speculative bounce
Buy: PLTR $170 Call
Expiry: Jan 30, 2026 (Friday)
Entry: $2.75 โ $2.95
๐ฏ Targets
Target 1: $3.50
Target 2: $4.50
๐ด Risk Stop loss: $2.10
Hard exit: PLTR below $165
Trade Rules: Small size only
Take profit fast if +25%
If price stalls near $170โ172, be ready to exit
SOFI Weekly Speculative Bounce๐ SOFI Weekly Trade
Direction: Speculative bounce (high risk)
Buy: SOFI $26 Call
Expiry: Jan 30, 2026
Entry: $1.05 โ $1.07
๐ฏ Targets
Target 1: $1.31
Target 2: $1.68
๐ด Risk
Stop loss: $0.79
Hard exit: SOFI below $23.52
โ ๏ธ Trade Rules
Small size only
If up +25%, take profits
If no bounce, exit fast (theta risk)
BTCUSD โ Very Simple Market Idea (4H)BTCUSD โ Very Simple Market Idea (4H)
This is the Bitcoin 4-hour chart.
The market is moving down. Price is making lower highs and lower lows. This means the trend is bearish.
Price fell strong before. Now price moved up a little. This move is only a small pullback.
The grey zone above is resistance. Sellers can enter from this area. Price may go down again.
The blue zone below is support. Price can bounce for a short time. If support breaks, price can fall more.
GOLD XAUUSDGOLD 5096-5100 was a complete reaction as predicted on Friday.
KEY DEMAND FLOOR 4965-4960
KEY DEMAND FLOOR 4847-4840.
OR FOLLOW THE STRUCTURE.
STRUCTURE NEVER LIES.
am watching 4500-4496 zone a strong demand floor
Geopolitical Tensions
US President Donald Trump's insistence on acquiring Greenland, including threats of force and tariffs on opposing European nations, has sparked US-Europe friction. French President Macron's rebukes and potential suspension of US-EU trade deals have weakened the dollar, boosting gold's appeal to foreign buyers.
Economic Factors
A softer US dollar makes gold cheaper globally, while expectations of steady Federal Reserve ratesโdespite labor improvementsโfavor non-yielding assets like gold. Central banks in China and India continue aggressive gold buying, adding structural support.
Future Outlook
Prices may climb toward $5,000-5024k AND extend into 5070k zone if tensions persist and the dollar stays weak, though stronger US data could cap gains.
the dollar index is holding daily support at 97.935$ and during newyork today buy candle kept yesterday demand floor and we are seeing GOLD price into systematic correction from 4890-4880 zone .if they insist on daily buy floor then we will be watching 4900 which is a pathway to 5000-524k and more advanced buying based on the trendangle strategy.
WHAT IS GOLD ???
Gold (Au) is a chemical element and dense, malleable transition metal prized for its lustrous yellow hue, exceptional conductivity, and resistance to corrosion.
History as Store of Value
Gold has served as a store of value for over 6,000 years, from ancient Egyptian tombs (c. 4000 BCE) symbolizing immortality to Lydian coins (600 BCE) enabling standardized trade across empires like Rome (aureus) and Byzantium (solidus, stable 700+ years). The 19th-century gold standard anchored global currencies until 20th-century abandonments, yet gold retains purchasing power
Tier 1 Status Clarification
Gold classifies as a Tier 1 asset under Basel III banking rules , with 0% risk weighting for physical bullion, equivalent to cash for capital reserves, enhancing bank balance sheets amid fiat volatility. This elevates it from prior Tier 3 status, affirming its role as "money again.
HOW DOES THE DOLLAR INDEX AFFECT THE PRICE ACTION AND DIRECTIONAL BIAS ??
The US Dollar Index (DXY) exhibits a strong inverse relationship with global gold prices, where a stronger dollar typically depresses gold values and a weaker dollar boosts them.
Core Mechanism
Gold trades in US dollars worldwide, so dollar strength raises gold's cost for non-US buyers, curbing demand and lowering prices. A weaker dollar reduces this barrier, making gold cheaper and spurring purchases from international investors.
Correlation Strength
Historical data shows a negative correlation coefficient of -0.40 to -0.80, meaning 40-80% of gold's movements often align inversely with DXY changes. Interest rate differentials amplify this: Fed hikes strengthen the dollar and hurt non-yielding gold, while cuts weaken it and favor gold.
Influencing Factors
Geopolitical risks or inflation can override the link temporarily, but dollar dynamics remain the primary driver in most cycles. For instance, recent dollar weakness from de-dollarization trends has fueled gold rallies.
the brics nation are busing buying GOLD.this is the year of GOLD as the new money backed by physical GOLD ,this is why all BRICS CENTRAL BANKS are stocking the yellow bullion.
#GOLD #XAUUSD
EURCHF: Ready For Another Bullish Movement?EURCHF: Ready For Another Bullish Movement?
EURCHF tested the bottom of the falling channel, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
After finding strong support at the structure zone, the buyers could appear again, pushing the price toward the mid-range resistance.
The first key target is located around 0.9340, where the previous structure aligns with fresh resistance. A successful break above that level could open the door for a continuation toward the upper targets
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! ๐
โค๏ธ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment โค๏ธ
DXY DOLLAR 4HRDOLLAR SUPPYROOF=98.428
SUPPLYROOF=97.881
DEMANDFLOOR=96.849
The DXY, or U.S. Dollar Index, measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six major foreign currencies. A rising DXY signals dollar strength, while a falling index indicates weakness.
DXY Composition
The index weights currencies as follows: euro (57.6%), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%). Created in 1973 by the Federal Reserve, it uses a geometric average formula to track dollar performance relative to these trade partners.
Impact on Gold
DXY and gold prices show a strong inverse correlation, often 73-95% negative. When DXY rises, a stronger dollar makes gold pricier for foreign buyers, reducing demand and pushing prices down; a falling DXY has the opposite effect.
Impact on Forex
DXY directly influences USD pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD, where a higher index weakens these pairs as the dollar strengthens. It also affects USD/JPY positively and serves as a gauge for overall market risk sentiment and Fed policy effects.
#DXY #DOLLAR
USDJPY Strongest Buy Signal in 4 months on the 1D MA100.The USDJPY pair has hit its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in more than 4 months (since September 17 2025), which was the last Higher Low exactly at the bottom of the 9-month Channel Up.
With the 1D RSI oversold, exactly like when the Channel Up started on April 21 2025, we treat this as the strongest long-term buy opportunity towards a potential Resistance (July 03 2024 High) test. As a result, we turn bullish here targeting 162.000.
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Sensational Gold Crash Coming over the next monthsHello Everyone,
over the next months, we will experience a sensational crash with Gold moving back to 2000 Usd.
Given the volumes, most probably strong hands are distributing to retailers who are buying at the top. These levels will not be tested back at least for the next 10 to 15 years.
Greetings.
Simone
Silver Bells, Silver Bells, Silver all the way...Silver Bells, Silver Bells
Silver all the way
Oh what fun it is to ride
"in a One Horse" open sleigh
Silver Bells, Silver Bells
Silver all the way
Oh what fun it is to ride
"in a One Horse" open sleigh
Dashing through the snow
"In a One Horse" open sleigh
Over the hills we go
Laughing all the way
Bells on Bobtails ring
Making spirits bright
What fun it is to ride and sing
A Silver song tonight...
Happy Silver New Year!
NZDCAD โ 1H Chart AnalysisPrice is moving within a well-defined bullish channel, maintaining a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. After a strong impulsive move up, a short-term pullback toward the mid / lower part of the channel is possible before trend continuation.
โข Bias: Bullish
โข Market Structure: Higher highs & higher lows
โข Support: 0.8190 โ 0.8175 (channel support / prior structure)
โข Upside Target: 0.8235 โ 0.8280 (upper channel & resistance)
โข Invalidation: Break and close below channel support
As long as price holds above support, the expectation remains for a pullback followed by continuation toward the upper channel.
Trade idea is based purely on market structure and price action.
Not financial advice. Always manage risk.
LTC/USDT 30M Short-Term๐ 1) Market Structure (Price Action)
The market is consolidating/accumulating between ~67.2 and ~70.1.
Previously, there was a strong decline, then range trading with false breakouts.
Currently, the price has rebounded from the ~66 low and is making a higher low โ short-term bullish.
๐ This looks like a retest of the range bottom โ a push to the middle of the range.
๐งฑ 2) Key Levels (Your lines are well marked)
๐ด Support Levels
67.20 โ the most important local support (range low).
64.89 โ a strong swing low (if 67 breaks โ decline here).
63.14 โ the bulls' last defense.
๐ข Resistance
69.37 โ mid-range, local S/R flip.
70.11 โ key range high.
71.60 โ strong HTF resistance (if it breaks 70 โ target).
๐ 3) Trend (moving average)
The green MA (probably the 200 EMA/SMA) has been acting as dynamic resistance previously, and now the price is starting to hold above it โ bullish short-term.
Structure:
low โ higher low โ test resistance = breakout potential.
โก 4) RSI + Stoch RSI
RSI (lower panel)
RSI ~55โ60 โ bullish momentum (above 50).
No overbought โ room for further upward movement.
Stoch RSI (middle panel)
Oscillates, but not to an extreme โ no dump signal.
If it crosses upwards >80 โ a scalp short signal (at 30m).
๐ง 5) Scenarios (most important)
๐ข BULLISH SCENARIO
Condition:
Close of the 30m candle above 69.40
Targets:
70.11
71.60
73+ (if a breakout range on HTF)
๐ This will be a consolidation breakout โ an impulsive move.
๐ด BEARISH SCENARIO
Condition:
Rejection of 69.4 + return to below 67.9
Targets:
67.20
64.89
63.14
๐ This will be a classic range fake breakout โ dump to the lower zone.
๐งจ 6) What do I see as smart money?
A liquidity grab above 69.5โ70 is very likely, followed by a dump.
Market makers like to:
break resistance
collect longs
dump to range low
๐ฐ 7) Trading setup (pro)
๐ LONG scalp
Entry: 69.4 breakout retest
SL: 68.8
TP1: 70.1
TP2: 71.6
๐ SHORT swing (better R:R)
Entry: 70โ71 rejection
SL: 71.8
TP1: 67.2
TP2: 64.9






















