AGQ projects to $405 SILVER 2X ETFYet to breakout from this W pattern.
What Is the W Pattern?
The W Pattern is a bullish harmonic pattern found on most stock charts at some point in time. Think of the letter “W” and imagine what this pattern might look like. It is characteristic of a bounce and retest of a key support area, commonly referred to as a double-bottom formation.
When this pattern forms on a chart, it usually indicates a trend reversal. Between the two bottoms, there is a level of resistance about halfway between the two tops. As a result, this is key, as it indicates a retest of the bottom support before rising higher into the newly formed uptrend.
Now you see it.
What do you think of this chart pattern and price targets?
Harmonic Patterns
USOIL M30 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 61.202
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 60.900
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 61.660
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.19043
💰TP: 1.19701
⛔️SL: 1.18587
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The US dollar remains under pressure early this week, and this trend is likely to continue until at least mid-week. Against this backdrop, euro buyers are effectively pushing toward resistance at 1.18960, which will likely lead to an upward breakout toward 1.19 and 1.2. A buy entry is being considered through a breakout.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
BTCUSD H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 88,609.51
- Pullback resistance
- 50% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 90,503.73
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 86,366.00
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
ETHUSD H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 2,908.13
- Pullback resistance
- 50% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 2,986.58
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 2,800.01
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
EURCHF H4 | Bearish Reaction Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 0.92530
- Pullback resistance
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- Fair value gap
Stop Loss: 0.92986
- Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 0.91913
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Gold expect mixed and volatile trading close to the formation taGold continues to trend higher, making consecutive record-breaking peaks while holding within a bullish channel formation.
Trendline resistance is currently located at $5,190.
We will complete an AB=CD formation at $5,122.
Yesterday's dip to the downside resulted in the gap open from Sunday at $4,987 being closed
Support is located at 4775
Conclusion: although there is no clear indication of a change of trend, with the formation target in proximity, there's ample scope for consolidation. Expect mixed and volatile trading
AUD/USD leaves a gap-open at 0.6896; gaps tend to be closed We need to move over to a medium-term chart to see what is going on.
The last move higher from the 0.6663 swing low was aggressive. This is a common trait in the 3rd wave of a bullish Elliott Wave count.
We have a gap open from Sunday at 0.6896. Gaps tend to be closed.
Further support is not seen until 0.6788.
We have a 261.8% extension level located at 0.7051.
Conclusion: we will likely see a gap closure before the Fed interest rate decision. I can see no technical reason for a change in the bullish trend. It should also be noted that this chart suggests further risk on attitude toward stocks
GBP/USD continued upward momentum from the 1.3401 swing lowWe have seen an impulsive move to the upside from the 1.3401 swing low, moving through the previous resistance of 1.3568. The daily chart highlights a breakout of the Expanding Wedge formation. This pattern has a measured move target of 1.3789. We have a 261.8% extension level in proximity at 1.3730.
Support is located at 1.3518
Conclusion: I would expect a period of consolidation up to the Fed meeting. The bias remains bullish, and I look for 1.3789 to be achieved
AVAX: Poised for a Major Bullish SurgeAVAX: Poised for a Major Bullish Surge
AVAX is currently retesting a long-standing support area that was previously respected in both June and January of 2021. The zone between $9–$12 has acted as a strong floor for several years and has not been decisively broken. This suggests that downside risk may be limited in this region.
On the daily chart, AVAX has already completed a bullish structure, increasing the probability of a future upward move.
⚠️To be clear, I am not expecting an immediate rally, but this is the area I’m monitoring closely for a potential long-term accumulation or trading opportunity.
I’m focusing on realistic targets that the price has successfully reached in the past:
Key Targets:
$32.5
$44
$53
You may find more details in the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
EUR/USD consolidates within a fourth wave before the Fed meetingThe weekly chart shows the major currency pair in a sustained period of consolidation since June 23. This would suggest we see a spike to the upside to take out weak stop losses.
The four-hour chart highlights a gap open from Sunday at 1.1828. We have a 261.8% extension level at 1.2081
Conclusion: I would expect a continued period of consolidation up until tomorrow's Fed meeting. Gaps tend to be closed. Elliott Wave analysis suggests we are currently consolidating within a fourth wave. The bias remains bullish, and I look for dips to find buyers
Dockyard at a critical turning point,watch the next move closelyBased on the current technical analysis, Dockyard’s share price shows a strong potential upside toward the LKR 180–190 range. The RSI indicates improving momentum from lower levels, while the MACD suggests a possible bullish crossover, supporting the likelihood of a near-term price recovery.
Unlocking Currency Derivatives: A Complete Guide1. What Are Currency Derivatives?
Currency derivatives are financial contracts whose value is derived from an underlying currency pair, such as USD/INR, EUR/USD, or GBP/JPY. Instead of exchanging physical currencies immediately, these contracts allow parties to lock in, hedge, or bet on future exchange rates.
They are primarily used by:
Importers and exporters
Multinational corporations
Banks and financial institutions
Hedge funds and traders
Central banks (indirectly)
At their core, currency derivatives transfer foreign exchange risk from those who want to avoid it to those willing to take it.
2. Why Currency Derivatives Exist
Currency markets are influenced by:
Interest rate differentials
Inflation expectations
Trade balances
Capital flows
Geopolitical events
Central bank policies
These forces can cause sharp and unpredictable currency swings. For example, a sudden rate hike by the US Federal Reserve can weaken emerging market currencies overnight.
Currency derivatives exist to:
Hedge risk – protect against adverse currency movements
Speculate – profit from expected currency changes
Arbitrage – exploit price inefficiencies between markets
Enhance returns – optimize cash flow and balance sheet exposure
Without derivatives, global trade would be slower, costlier, and far riskier.
3. Types of Currency Derivatives
3.1 Currency Futures
Currency futures are standardized contracts traded on exchanges. They obligate the buyer and seller to exchange a fixed amount of currency at a predetermined rate on a future date.
Key features:
Exchange-traded
Transparent pricing
Daily mark-to-market
Margin-based trading
Example:
An Indian importer expecting to pay USD in three months buys USD/INR futures to lock the exchange rate.
3.2 Currency Forwards
Currency forwards are customized over-the-counter (OTC) contracts between two parties to exchange currencies at a future date.
Advantages:
Flexible size and maturity
Tailor-made hedging
Disadvantages:
Counterparty risk
Less liquidity
No daily settlement
Forwards are widely used by corporations for precise hedging needs.
3.3 Currency Options
Currency options give the holder the right but not the obligation to buy or sell a currency at a specified rate before or on a certain date.
Two types:
Call option – right to buy currency
Put option – right to sell currency
Why options are powerful:
Limited downside risk
Unlimited upside potential
Flexible hedging
Trade-off:
Options require paying a premium, which can be expensive during volatile periods.
3.4 Currency Swaps
Currency swaps involve exchanging principal and interest payments in different currencies over time.
They are used mainly by:
Large corporations
Banks
Governments
Swaps help manage long-term funding and interest rate exposure across currencies.
4. Hedging with Currency Derivatives
Hedging is the most important real-world use of currency derivatives.
Example: Exporter Hedging
An Indian exporter expecting USD inflows fears INR appreciation (which reduces rupee revenue). By selling USD futures or buying USD put options, the exporter locks in profitability regardless of market movements.
Key Hedging Goals:
Protect margins
Stabilize cash flows
Improve financial planning
Reduce earnings volatility
Effective hedging is not about predicting markets—it’s about reducing uncertainty.
5. Speculation and Trading Opportunities
Currency derivatives are also popular among traders due to:
High liquidity
Leverage
Macro-driven price movements
Speculators use:
Interest rate expectations
Central bank commentary
Inflation data
Risk-on / risk-off sentiment
However, leverage magnifies both gains and losses. Without discipline, currency trading can quickly become destructive.
6. Pricing and Valuation Basics
Currency derivatives pricing is driven by:
Spot exchange rate
Interest rate differential between two currencies
Time to maturity
Volatility (especially for options)
For futures and forwards:
Forward Rate ≈ Spot Rate ± Interest Rate Differential
For options:
Volatility is the most critical variable
Time decay (theta) erodes value
Implied volatility reflects market expectations
Understanding pricing helps traders avoid overpaying for risk.
7. Risks Involved in Currency Derivatives
Despite their usefulness, currency derivatives carry risks:
Market risk – adverse currency movements
Leverage risk – amplified losses
Liquidity risk – inability to exit positions
Counterparty risk – especially in OTC contracts
Model risk – incorrect pricing assumptions
Risk management is not optional—it is the foundation of survival.
8. Role of Currency Derivatives in the Global Economy
Currency derivatives:
Enable international trade
Stabilize corporate earnings
Improve capital allocation
Enhance market efficiency
Reflect global macro expectations
They act as a bridge between monetary policy and real economic activity. When central banks move rates, currency derivatives react instantly—often before spot markets.
9. Currency Derivatives in Emerging Markets (Like India)
In emerging markets:
Volatility is higher
Regulatory oversight is stronger
Hedging demand is structural
India’s currency derivatives market has grown rapidly due to:
Rising exports and imports
Liberalized capital flows
Sophisticated corporate treasuries
Retail participation in futures and options
Regulators aim to balance market development with systemic stability.
10. Unlocking the True Power of Currency Derivatives
To truly unlock currency derivatives:
Use them with a clear objective
Understand the macro context
Respect leverage
Prioritize risk over returns
Choose the right instrument for the right exposure
Currency derivatives are not gambling tools—they are precision instruments. In skilled hands, they reduce risk and unlock opportunity. In careless hands, they magnify mistakes.
Final Thought
Currency derivatives sit at the intersection of economics, finance, and geopolitics. Mastering them means understanding how money moves across borders—and how power, policy, and psychology shape exchange rates. Those who unlock this knowledge gain not just trading tools, but a global financial lens.
US2000 H1 | Bearish Reversal SetupBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price rise towards our sell entry level at 2,692.02, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 2,738.46, which is a swing high resistance.
Our take profit is set at 2,626.00, which is a multi swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
Emerging Markets and Capital FlowsEmerging markets (EMs) are economies that are in the process of rapid growth and industrialization. Unlike developed economies, they are characterized by structural transformations, rising productivity, increasing integration with the global economy, and improving financial markets. Examples include countries like Brazil, India, China, South Africa, and Mexico, among others. These markets often offer higher potential returns for investors due to their growth trajectories but come with higher risks, including political instability, currency volatility, and lower levels of financial market development.
Capital flows refer to the movement of money for the purpose of investment, trade, or business production. These flows can be broadly categorized into foreign direct investment (FDI), portfolio investment, and other flows like loans or trade credits. Capital flows play a pivotal role in emerging markets because they provide the financial resources necessary for investment, economic expansion, and development. Conversely, sudden reversals of these flows can lead to crises, as seen in the 1997-98 Asian Financial Crisis and the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.
Types of Capital Flows in Emerging Markets
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI):
FDI refers to long-term investments by a foreign entity into a country’s productive assets, such as factories, infrastructure, or technology. Emerging markets often attract FDI because they offer lower labor costs, access to raw materials, and growing domestic markets. FDI is considered relatively stable compared to portfolio flows because it reflects a long-term commitment and is less susceptible to sudden withdrawals. For example, India’s IT and manufacturing sectors have attracted substantial FDI over the last two decades.
Portfolio Investment:
Portfolio flows include investments in stocks, bonds, and other financial instruments. These flows are often more volatile than FDI because they can be quickly withdrawn in response to changes in interest rates, exchange rates, or market sentiment. Emerging markets are particularly sensitive to portfolio flows because large inflows can boost stock and bond prices, while sudden outflows can trigger liquidity crises. For instance, during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, EMs experienced sharp outflows of portfolio capital, causing currency depreciation and market stress.
Other Flows:
Other capital flows include loans, trade credits, and official financing from multilateral institutions like the IMF or World Bank. These flows are crucial for infrastructure projects, budgetary support, and financial stability. Emerging markets often rely on these flows to fund development projects, especially in sectors like energy, transport, and social infrastructure.
Drivers of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets
Several factors determine why investors move capital to emerging markets:
Economic Growth Prospects:
Rapid GDP growth is a major attractor for foreign investors. High growth rates signal expanding markets and higher potential returns on investment. For instance, China’s double-digit growth in the 2000s drew massive foreign investment across manufacturing, real estate, and technology sectors.
Interest Rate Differentials:
When developed countries maintain low interest rates, investors search for higher yields elsewhere, often in EMs. This “carry trade” involves borrowing in low-interest currencies and investing in high-yielding assets in EMs. For example, after the global financial crisis, investors poured capital into emerging market bonds due to low returns in the US and Europe.
Exchange Rate Expectations:
Investors are often attracted to countries where they expect the currency to appreciate. Capital inflows can strengthen the local currency, which can boost returns for foreign investors. Conversely, fears of currency depreciation can trigger rapid outflows.
Global Risk Appetite:
The global financial environment significantly impacts capital flows. In periods of optimism, investors are willing to take higher risks, leading to surges in capital to emerging markets. During times of global uncertainty or crises, these flows often reverse sharply.
Structural Reforms and Policy Credibility:
Emerging markets that implement reforms—such as improving corporate governance, liberalizing financial markets, and ensuring policy stability—tend to attract more stable capital flows. Investors value predictability, transparency, and regulatory clarity.
Impacts of Capital Flows on Emerging Markets
Capital flows can have profound economic, financial, and social impacts on emerging markets:
Positive Impacts:
Economic Growth: Capital inflows provide funding for investment in infrastructure, technology, and industry, supporting economic growth.
Financial Market Development: Inflows can deepen capital markets, increase liquidity, and encourage innovation in financial products.
Exchange Rate Stabilization: Moderate inflows can help strengthen the local currency and reduce financing costs for imports and debt.
Job Creation and Skills Transfer: FDI, in particular, brings technology, managerial know-how, and employment opportunities.
Negative Impacts:
Volatility and Risk: Sudden surges or reversals in capital flows can destabilize markets. For example, speculative inflows may inflate asset prices, while rapid outflows can cause financial crises.
Currency Appreciation: Large inflows can overvalue the local currency, making exports less competitive and potentially leading to trade imbalances.
Debt Vulnerability: Borrowing from foreign sources exposes EMs to exchange rate and refinancing risks, especially if the debt is short-term.
Challenges and Risks in Managing Capital Flows
Emerging markets face unique challenges in managing capital flows effectively:
Macroeconomic Management:
Rapid inflows can lead to overheating, inflationary pressures, and asset bubbles, while sudden outflows can trigger recessions. Policymakers often rely on monetary policy tools, such as interest rate adjustments, to manage these pressures.
Exchange Rate Stability:
Many EMs operate in partially liberalized currency regimes. Sudden inflows can lead to excessive currency appreciation, hurting exporters. Conversely, outflows can devalue the currency, increasing foreign debt burdens.
Capital Controls and Regulation:
Some countries use capital controls, taxes on short-term flows, or restrictions on certain types of investments to reduce volatility. However, these measures can deter long-term investment if not implemented carefully.
Global Interdependence:
EMs are highly sensitive to global financial conditions. Changes in US Federal Reserve policy, geopolitical tensions, or global commodity prices can trigger large-scale inflows or outflows, complicating domestic policy.
Recent Trends in Emerging Market Capital Flows
In the past decade, several trends have shaped capital flows to EMs:
Rise of Institutional Investors:
Pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and mutual funds increasingly invest in EMs, providing relatively stable capital compared to retail or speculative investors.
Digital Financial Integration:
Fintech and digital platforms have eased cross-border investments, increasing portfolio flows and retail participation in EM markets.
Diversification from Developed Markets:
Low yields and sluggish growth in developed economies have driven investors toward EM equities and bonds, particularly in Asia and Latin America.
Geopolitical and Economic Shocks:
Events like the COVID-19 pandemic, US-China trade tensions, and energy price fluctuations have caused periods of volatile inflows and outflows, highlighting the sensitivity of EMs to external shocks.
Policy Implications for Emerging Markets
To maximize the benefits of capital flows while minimizing risks, policymakers in EMs need a balanced approach:
Macroprudential Regulation:
Developing strong regulatory frameworks for banks, capital markets, and foreign exchange can mitigate systemic risks.
Monetary and Fiscal Coordination:
Coordinated policies can reduce inflationary pressures and maintain stability during periods of volatile inflows.
Encouraging Long-term Investment:
Favorable incentives for FDI and stable, predictable regulations can attract long-term capital that contributes to sustainable growth.
Building Reserves:
Maintaining adequate foreign exchange reserves provides a buffer against sudden capital outflows and currency shocks.
Regional Cooperation:
EMs can benefit from regional arrangements, such as swap lines, to enhance financial resilience.
Conclusion
Emerging markets represent dynamic opportunities for growth, but they also come with challenges in managing capital flows. Inflows of foreign capital can finance development, stimulate economic activity, and deepen financial markets. However, volatility, speculative flows, and dependence on external financing can amplify risks. Effective policy management, regulatory oversight, and structural reforms are essential for ensuring that capital flows contribute to sustainable growth rather than financial instability. As globalization deepens and financial markets become more interconnected, understanding the nuances of capital flows is critical for both policymakers and investors seeking to navigate the complexities of emerging market economies.
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EUR/USD has successfully broken above the descending trendline as well as a key resistance zone, confirming a bullish breakout on the daily timeframe.
At current levels, price is approaching a resistance area. Therefore, a short-term correction is likely, with a potential pullback toward the broken trendline and former resistance zone.
As long as price holds above this reclaimed area, the pullback can be considered corrective, and bullish continuation toward higher targets remains the preferred scenario.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
UK100 H1 | Bullish RiseBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is reacting off our buy entry level at 10,183.34, which is an overlap support.
Our stop loss is set at 10,132.53, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 10,272.06, which is a swing high resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
BSE LTD | Swing Trade Update | BTR Sell Signal (23 Jan 2026)📅 Date: 23 Jan 2026
📉 Signal: BTR Generated SELL
📊 Outcome Today: No Movement → No Profit, No Loss (Neutral Day)
BSE LTD triggered a BTR Sell Signal on 23 Jan 2026, however price remained range-bound throughout the session. Lack of follow-through confirms indecision, not signal failure.
This is a classic example of patience over prediction — staying in the trade only while structure confirms.
🎯 Swing Targets (Downside):
Target-1: 2662
Target-2: 2642
Technical Observation:
Price consolidating near signal zone
Momentum cooling but breakdown confirmation still pending
Expansion expected once range resolves
📌 Trade Management:
Maintain position only below sell-signal zone
No aggressive action until directional expansion
Risk remains predefined — discipline intact
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Markets involve risk. Follow your own risk management.
ETHUSD H1 | Potential Bullish ReversalThe price is falling towards our buy entry level at 2,880.38, which is a pullback support.
Our stop loss is set at 2,781.26, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 3,045.57, which is sn ovrlap resistance that is slightly below tthe 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
BCHUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportThe price is falling towards our buy entry level at 578.39, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 561.98, which is a multi-swing low support.
Our take profit is set at 600.45, which is a multi swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
Adani Green Energy LimitedShare price declines in Adani Group names following regulatory/legal developments involving the U.S. SEC that spooked investors, leading to sharp sell-offs
From early January levels near ₹1,030+ to ₹1,040+ to ~₹770–₹780 by 23 Jan 2026, the stock declined roughly 20-25% over the month.
The stock showed a relatively moderate downtrend, with daily small declines reflecting weakening momentum.
21–23 January: There was heightened volatility and large drop, with a short-term bounce attempt on 22 Jan, then a steep decline on 23 Jan.
By 23 Jan, price was trading near its 52-week low region (~₹758) versus the high near ₹1,177 in the past year, indicating significant relative weakness.
Have marked some important levels for Adani Green
647 - 531 seems good zone to accumulate on SIP mode...
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Heading towards 38.2% Fib resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 155.63
1st Support: 152.96
1st Resistance: 157.19
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