BITCOIN - Buy nowBITCOIN (BTC/USD) has recently been stuck inside a triangle channel pattern and has struggled to break out for a few weeks. However, the price has recently broken a strong resistance level (the white trend line shown on the chart) - The price is currently above the trend line which acted as a strong resistance level and is now very likely to hit the next resistance zone which is labeled as the take profit level. buy bitcoin!
Harmonic Patterns
Gold Technical Outlook: Gold
📈 Upside Scenario (Bullish)
The current trading level is around the break-even point of 4180. We can note that the current trend suggests trading around this break-even point with a bullish direction aiming to reach the resistance line at 4218.
Confirmation: Breaking the resistance line at 4218 and closing a 1-hour candle above it will fully support the upside trend.
Targets: The movement will be towards reaching the levels of 4245 and 4265.
📉 Downside Scenario (Bearish)
If the price manages to make a correction and breaks the break-even point of 4180 downwards, the trend will become bearish, aiming to reach the support line at 4165.
Continuation: To continue the descent towards the level of 4145, the 4165 support level must be broken.
Summary of Key Levels
Break-even Area: 4180
Upside Targets: 4218, 4245, 4265
Downside Targets/Supports: 4165, 4145
Interest Rate Decision and DXY – 1-Week - Tradertilki AnalysisMy friends,
Today, the most important fundamental news from the U.S. will be the interest rate decision.
This data will determine the direction of both gold and cryptocurrencies.
If there is an interest rate cut, gold and bitcoin will rise; if there is a rate hike, gold and bitcoin will fall.
Before approaching other trades today, I believe it is beneficial to wait for this important news release.
If DXY manages to break above the 101,550 – 99,143 levels, the first level it will want to test is 103,360.
My friends, I share these analyses thanks to each like I receive from you.
Your likes increase my motivation and encourage me to support you in this way.🙏✨
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USDCAD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDCAD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Latest gold trading signalsFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a new monetary policy press conference. With the market nearly certain that the Fed will cut interest rates this week, some analysts believe the Fed will implement a "hawkish rate cut," meaning that although rates will be cut, the wording of the statement, median forecasts, and Powell's remarks may all suggest a higher threshold for further rate cuts.
If the Fed's stance prompts the market to lower its expectations for two to three rate cuts next year, the dollar may find support. Traders are hesitant to act until they receive more clues about the Fed's rate cut path, focusing instead on the latest economic forecasts and Powell's press conference.
On the 4-hour chart, the candlestick is currently trading near the previous resistance zone along the short-term moving averages. However, the pullbacks during the session have been weak and short-lived, suggesting a continued slightly bullish trend in the short term. However, attention should be paid to potential short-term corrections.
Gold Trading Recommendations:
1. Sell gold in batches around 4220-4225 with 20% of your capital, stop loss at 8 points, target 4205-4195, break below to 4190.
2. Buy gold in batches around 4185-4190 with 20% of your capital, stop loss at 8 points, target 4210-4220, break above to 4230.
GBPJPY H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Overlap SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 208.282
- Overlap support
- 78.6% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 207.830
- Pullback support
- 50% Fib retracement
Take Profit: 208.797
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Algo's Logic: Why price moves ''crazy'' with red folder news?WHY PRICE MOVES LIKE THIS
The market is not a chaotic auction of buyers and sellers seeking fair value; it is a highly engineered delivery system designed to seek and destroy liquidity. The current consolidation you see is not indecision; it is a 'Liquidity Coil'. The algorithm is purposefully compressing price action ahead of the 'Red Folder' events to engineer a 'Straddle Inducement'.
By keeping the range tight, the Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm (IPDA) encourages retail traders to place tight buy-stops above the range and tight sell-stops below it. This creates two massive pools of liquidity—fuel for the machine. The news event is not the cause of the move; it is the 'Key' that unlocks this volatility. The initial move is almost always a 'Judas Swing'—a fraudulent manipulation designed to trigger one side of these stops (usually the sell-stops below) to harvest the necessary liquidity to fuel the *real* move in the opposite direction. We do not trade the news; we trade the algorithmic reaction to the liquidity harvest.
THE THESIS
The algorithm is currently in a 'Suspended State' of pre-event accumulation utilizing the impending volatility of the Macro Data Injection to engineer a classic 'Judas Swing' manipulation. The narrative is strictly governed by the 'Seek and Destroy' protocol: The market will utilize the news release to aggressively harvest the internal Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) resting below the 25,550.00 shelf to fuel the terminal expansion towards the external Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) at 25,900.00.
THE EXECUTION VECTOR
Entry: 25,525.00 (Buy Limit / Post-News Reclaim)
Stop loss: 25,380.00 (145.00 points)
Take profit: 25,950.00 (425.00 points)
Risk to reward ratio: 2.93R
THE CAUSAL RATIONALE
The Pre-News Narrative (The Trap)
Current price action (25,650.00) is a 'Volatility Compression' zone. The algorithm is holding price in a narrow range. Do not trade the drift. The drift is the bait. The algorithm is waiting for the 08:30 AM / 10:00 AM timestamp to unlock the high-velocity engine. The 'Red Folders' are simply the authorized time windows for the Market Makers to reprice the asset.
The News Event (The Judas Swing)
Upon the data release, expect an immediate, violent displacement. The highest probability vector is a 'False Bearish Breakout' (The Judas Goat). The algorithm will likely spike price DOWN into the 25,550.00 - 25,500.00 region. This serves two purposes:
1. Trigger the sell-stops of the overnight longs.
2. Induce breakout sellers to provide the necessary Buy-Side liquidity for the Smart Money to fill their long orders at a discount.
The Post-News Expansion (The Real Move)
Once the SSL is harvested and the 25,500.00 region (Bullish Order Block / FVG) is mitigated, look for an impulsive reclaim of the 25,600.00 level. This 'Sponsorship' signal confirms that the low is in, and the algorithm will switch to a 'Low Resistance Liquidity Run' targeting the clean highs at 25,900.00.
THE INVALIDATION (THE OMEGA POINT)
The bullish news model is ontologically corrupted if the news candle displaces below 25,380.00 and *sustains* acceptance there (15-minute close). A simple wick is not invalidation; it is a feature. But a closure below this level implies the macro data has triggered a 'Risk-Off' regime shift, targeting deeper discount arrays at 25,000.00.
KEY TRAJECTORY WAYPOINTS
Target 1: 25,750.00 | Type: Equilibrium / Initial Rebound | Probability: 90%
Target 2: 25,900.00 | Type: External Buy-Side Liquidity | Probability: 75%
Target 3: 26,100.00 | Type: Blue Sky Expansion | Probability: 40%
THE SHADOW REALITY
A 30% probability exists for the 'Bull Trap' scenario. In this reality, the news spikes price UP first into 25,850.00. If the first move is UP, fade it. The algorithm rarely gives the true move first during high-impact news.
ETHUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 3,226.27
- Pullback support
- 50% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 3,083.94
- Multi-swing low support
Take Profit: 3,380.09
- Overlap resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
TESLA Is December seasonality about to hit it hard?Tesla (TSLA) has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up and has been on a Bullish Leg since the April 07 market low. Not everything on its long-term outlook is positive though as December in the past 5 years, holds a bearish seasonality for the stock as it has aggressively declined.
A 1W MACD Bearish Cross was always present during these times and so is today. With the price trading under a familiar Lower Highs trend-line as in 2023, we see strong probabilities that Tesla starts a new long-term correction. The minimum drop on these corrections has been -50% so a repeat of that would put the price exactly at the bottom of the Channel Up at $236, with only the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) in support.
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XAUUSD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 4,196.01
- Pullback support
- 38.2% Fib retracement
- 61.8% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 4,178.87
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 4,214.5
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
GBPUSD | Prices Continue Uptrend✅ Short-Term Price Direction (H4):
After a sharp decline from its peak, the H4 movement indicates a strong short-term uptrend from the recent low around 1.2100 - 1.2200. The price has created a series of clear Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
The price is currently consolidating below Short-Term Resistance around 1.3100 - 1.3200, which is also the Low Volume Node (LVN) on the Daily Volume Profile. This indicates potential uncertainty after the rapid rise.
This consolidation is occurring within the newly formed High Volume Node (HVN) area on the H4 (around 1.2900 - 1.3000), which serves as strong Short-Term Support.
Short-Term Bias: Bullish (Upward), as the HH and HL structures on the H4 are still intact.
✅ H4 Key Levels:
- Short-Term Resistance (Consolidation Top): Around 1.3100 - 1.3200.
- Short-Term Support (HVN/HL): Range 1.2900 - 1.3000 (Important).
- H4 Value Area Low: Around 1.2700.
✅ Potential Scenarios
- Strong Bullish Scenario: Price successfully breaks through and maintains above the Short-Term Resistance at 1.3200, paving the way for a test of the Daily POC at 1.3400 - 1.3500.
- Correction/Reversal Scenario: A break and close below the Short-Term H4 Support (1.2900) will invalidate the H4 bullish bias and could lead to further declines to test the H4 Value Area Low at 1.2700 and the Daily Key Support.
ETHUSD H1 | Bullish Breakout Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 3,129.51
- Pullback support
- 23.6% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 3,075.69
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 3,225.90
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
GBPJPY M30 | Bullish Continuation Momentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 208.11
- Overlap support
- 50% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 207.825
- Pullback support
Take Profit: 208.712
- Swing high resistance
- 61.8% Fib projection
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
NZDUSD M30 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 0.5783
- Overlap Support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 78.6% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 0.57770
- Multi-swing low support
Take Profit: 0.5798
- Swing high resistance
- 100% Fib projection
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
FTSE 100 SHINES BRIGHT, WITHIN A WHISKER OF 10000 EPIC MILESTONEThe FTSE 100 index TVC:UKX is on track for one of its strongest years in decades in the year 2025, delivering a total return of about 18% year‑to‑date and trading just below the round and psychologically important 10,000‑point level by December, 2025.
This rally has been powered by a mix of miners, financials, and select growth names, with a handful of stocks delivering triple‑digit returns and heavily influencing the index.
2025 returns and 10,000 milestone
The FTSE 100 has returned roughly 20% in 2025 including dividends, making it the seventh‑best year on record and the strongest since the post‑financial‑crisis rebound.
By the middle of November, 2025 the index had climbed to around 9,930 points, described as “within a whisker” of 10,000 , and had outperformed major US indices (like S&P 500 SP:SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI ) over the year.
Forward‑looking models cited by analysts place many year‑end projections in the mid‑9,000s, underlining that 10,000 is more a timing than a feasibility question if earnings strength persists.
From a structural standpoint, supportive global policy, reasonable valuations, and strong contributions from commodities and financials have underpinned the surge, while the high dividend yield continues to attract both domestic and international investors. The index’s heavy overseas revenue exposure also means that periods of sterling softness have translated into stronger reported profits in 2025, magnifying gains.
Top 5 performers in 2025
Different datasets cut “top” slightly differently, but across major sources the standout FTSE 100 winners in 2025 cluster around a similar, defence-related, group of stocks:
Fresnillo LSE:FRES - precious‑metals miner with a total return around 345%, benefiting from a powerful rally in gold and silver prices and improved operational performance.
Technically saying, Fresnillo stock shows 7 consecutive Bull quarters in a row, as epic breakthroughs of 200-month SMA and multi-year highs has recently occured.
Either precious metals shine bright in 2025, their year-to-date returns definitely are not about "quadruppling in price".
This is why Fresnillo stock feels like 'a repeat mode' of 'MSTR v. 2024'... isn't it.
Airtel Africa LSE:AAF – telecoms and mobile money group with about 171% return, driven by rapid earnings growth, financial inclusion trends, and rerating from previously depressed valuations.
Technically saying, Airtel Africa stock shows 4 Bull consecutive quarters in a row, as epic breakthrough of multi-year highs has recently occured.
Babcock International LSE:BAB – defence and engineering group described as the best‑performing FTSE name earlier in the year, up roughly two‑thirds by May and supported by defence spending tailwinds and balance‑sheet repair.
Technically saying, Babcock International stock shows its best ever calendar year, with nearly 140% YTD return in the 2025.
Rolls-Royce Holdings LSE:RR. - one more defence and engineering group that develops and delivers complex power and propulsion solutions for safety-critical applications in the air, at sea and on land.
Technically saying, Rolls-Royce Holdings stock has nearly doubled in price in 2025, and printed more than 10x over the past 3 years.
Antofagasta LSE:ANTO - is a copper mining group with significant by-product production and interests in transportation. The Group creates value for its stakeholders through the discovery, development and operation of copper mines.
Antofagasta stock has also nearly doubled in price in 2025, following multi-year Bull vibe.
A broader “next tier” that often appears in top‑15 lists includes Next and Games Workshop each returning more than 50% and highlighting the role of retail, niche consumer brands, and copper in the 2025 upswing.
These stocks’ outperformance reflects a combination of cyclical leverage to commodities and defence, structural growth (mobile money, gaming IP), and market rerating from previously low multiples. Their weight in the index means they have had an outsized effect on the FTSE 100’s approach to 10,000.
Key drivers: 2026 fundamentals
Into 2026, large banks and brokers broadly expect the FTSE 100 to “grind higher” rather than explode upwards, with central scenarios pointing to moderate index gains supported by improving earnings and still‑reasonable valuations.
One major house outlines a base case of steady profit growth and a wider spread of contributors, moving away from the narrow group of 2025 winners, while an upside scenario sees the index potentially reaching around 10,800 by December 2026 if global growth accelerates, financial conditions ease, commodity prices remain firm, and sterling weakens.
Fundamentally, several factors look supportive: gradual interest‑rate cuts would relieve pressure on rate‑sensitive domestic sectors; 75–80% of FTSE 100 revenues are generated abroad, so a softer pound would lift reported earnings; and multi‑year capex programmes in energy and defence, such as SSE’s planned £33 billion investment and BAE Systems’ large export contracts, provide visible revenue pipelines.
Offsetting this, downside scenarios focus on risks of a global slowdown, stubborn inflation keeping rates elevated, falling commodity prices, and a stronger pound, which could pull the index back toward the low‑7,000s.
Technical picture into 2026
Technically, analysts describe the FTSE 100 in a mature but still constructive uptrend, with long‑term charts showing a breakout above prior resistance zones in the mid‑9,000s and potential for an extension toward roughly 10,500–11,000 if momentum is sustained.
One widely cited framework highlights an expanding wedge pattern, with 9,500 as a key breakout area and 7,000 as a major historical support zone that would likely attract buyers on any deep correction.
As the index hovers just below the 10,000 mark, that level functions as both psychological resistance and a potential springboard: a decisive weekly close above it, supported by rising volume and breadth beyond miners and financials, would strengthen the case for a attempt of 2026 bull leg.
Short‑ to medium‑term, the risk is that the 2025 rally has already priced in much of the near‑term earnings recovery, making the index more vulnerable to disappointments or sharp commodity pullbacks.
However, history suggests that once (and if) major indices convincingly clear big round numbers, those levels often become support rather than ceilings, especially when underpinned by improving macro data and ongoing dividend appeal.
The euro bulls are gathering their strength.Technical Side: Critical Support Battle, Clear Bull-Bear Dividing Line
The current price of 1.16260 resides at multiple technical junctures, with well-defined levels guiding the short-term trend:
Key Support Zones (Layered & Resilient)
1.Immediate Strong Support: 1.1618–1.1625A confluence of the recent rally’s starting point and a psychological integer level, forming a robust near-term defense. Price consolidation around this range reflects balanced buying interest.
2.Secondary Support: 1.1585–1.1590Aligns with the daily Ichimoku Cloud base, a key dynamic support level in technical analysis. A break below this zone would weaken the bullish structure.
3.Critical Support: 1.1547A make-or-break level for the current uptrend — sustained below this level could trigger a deeper correction toward lower technical targets.
Core Resistance Zones (Concentrated Supply)
1.Primary Resistance: 1.1664The peak of a double-top pattern, where previous failed breakout attempts have left concentrated selling pressure.
2.Key Resistance: 1.1682A confluence of the Bollinger Bands upper band and the upper edge of the prior consolidation range, representing the threshold for a new bullish leg.
3.Upside Target: 1.1720–1.1750Clear rally space opens up if 1.1682 is breached with volume confirmation, as the resistance zone transforms into a new support base.
Indicator Signals (Mixed but Bullish Bias Intact)
- 4-hour Chart: Price remains firmly above the Bollinger Bands middle band, confirming the bullish-dominated structure has not reversed.
- 1-hour Chart: Stochastic oscillator is in the overbought zone (above 80), signaling short-term profit-taking may lead to mild consolidation or a shallow pullback.
- MACD: Red momentum bars are narrowing on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating bullish momentum is temporarily fading — caution is warranted for a potential "fake breakout" without fresh momentum.
EUR/USD trading strategy
buy:1.16200-1.16300
tp:1.16600-1.16800-1.17000
sl:1.15900
The Bitcoin bulls are gathering strength to launch an attack.Capital Flows: Mid-Tier Whales Absorb Supply, Optimized Selling Pressure Structure
The capital landscape exhibits a "hidden opportunities amid divergence" characteristic: While some mega-whales (holding >10,000 BTC) have recently sold Bitcoin to rotate into Ethereum, mid-tier whales (holding 100–1,000 BTC) have maintained consistent accumulation — absorbing the supply from large holders. Data shows this mid-tier cohort has increased holdings by 9% over six months, emerging as a critical market backstop.
On-chain metrics reveal that the $93,500–$98,500 range has absorbed 1.5 million BTC, forming a dense accumulation zone (chip peak) that provides fundamental support for future rallies. More importantly, leveraged capital has undergone large-scale deleveraging: Bitcoin futures open interest has declined from recent highs, eliminating volatility risks from excessive speculation. The current capital structure is increasingly healthy, clearing obstacles for bullish momentum to accelerate.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy:91000-92000
tp:93000-94000-96000
sl:90000
The decline of gold is clear.Gold Short Strategy Analysis: Fundamental Weakness + Technical Bearishness, Downside Momentum Building
(I) Fundamental Side: Geopolitical Safe-Haven Failure, Short-Term Supply-Demand Imbalance
Geopolitical support for gold has completely collapsed: Events such as the Japan earthquake and border clashes between Cambodia and Thailand failed to trigger effective safe-haven buying. The market’s sensitivity to geopolitical risks has significantly declined, and coupled with progress in Gaza ceasefire negotiations, the geopolitical risk premium has continued to unwind.
The supply-demand dynamic shows short-term imbalance:
Short-term jewelry demand has dropped 19% year-on-year, leaving investment demand as the dominant driver. However, the withdrawal of speculative capital is weighing on overall demand.
While Russia announced restrictions on gold bar exports starting in 2026, long-term supply tightening expectations are unable to offset near-term selling pressure.
(II) Technical Side: Triple Top Divergence + Resistance Pressure, Bearish Structure Formed
A "triple top divergence" has emerged on the daily chart: Gold prices fluctuate at highs, but the MACD green momentum bars are expanding, the KDJ indicator lines are diverging downward, and the 5-day moving average (MA5) and 10-day moving average (MA10) show signs of a death cross after converging — signaling clear short-term correction pressure.
On the 4-hour chart:
Gold prices pulled back after hitting resistance at $4,207, failing to break the short-term resistance of $4,210. The Bollinger Bands have contracted and tilted downward, matching the "breakdown pattern after weak rebound" technical setup.
Key Levels: Multi-Layered Resistance vs. Fragile Support
Resistance Zones (Reinforced Layer by Layer)
Immediate resistance: $4,210 (intraday rebound high + MA5 suppression);
Strong resistance: $4,218–$4,220 (previous high-volume trading zone), a level tested multiple times without a breakthrough. Yesterday’s rally to $4,218 was followed by a sharp pullback, validating its effectiveness;
Critical resistance: $4,230 (upper edge of recent consolidation range).
Support Zones (Breakdown Risks Loom)
Immediate support: $4,190. A break below this level will trigger accelerated declines toward $4,170 and $4,150.
Gold trading strategy
sell:4220-4210
tp:4200-4190-4170
sl:4230
DOW JONES Is it starting a new Bear Cycle towards 40800?Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within a 4-year Channel Up since the start of the 2022 Inflation Crisis. One month ago it hit the top of this pattern and hasn't made a new High since.
This is increasingly alarming as the 1W RSI is on a Bearish Divergence under Lower Highs against the market's Higher Highs. Every time this took place within this pattern, the index corrected heavily and attempted a 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) test.
As a result, if Dow fails to make a new High, we expect the bearish sentiment to intensify and start a new Bear Cycle (Bearish Leg for the Channel Up) towards its 1W MA200 and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which was the Target of the previous correction. Based on that it is possible for the index to hit 40800 at the bottom of the Channel Up.
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