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Harmonic Patterns

GOLD NEW WEEK DIRECTIONAL BIAS GOLD 30MIN CHART IS GIVING ME 5145-5100 ZONE BUT WILL HAVE TO TOUCH 5010-5015 FIRST. MARKET STRUCTURE NEVER LIES. Geopolitical Tensions US President Donald Trump's insistence on acquiring Greenland, including threats of force and tariffs on opposing European nations, has sparked US-Europe friction. French President Macron's rebukes and potential suspension of US-EU trade deals have weakened the dollar, boosting gold's appeal to foreign buyers. Economic Factors A softer US dollar makes gold cheaper globally, while expectations of steady Federal Reserve rates—despite labor improvements—favor non-yielding assets like gold. Central banks in China and India continue aggressive gold buying, adding structural support. Future Outlook Prices may climb toward $5,000-5024k AND extend into 5070k zone if tensions persist and the dollar stays weak, though stronger US data could cap gains. the dollar index is holding daily support at 97.935$ and during newyork today buy candle kept yesterday demand floor and we are seeing GOLD price into systematic correction from 4890-4880 zone .if they insist on daily buy floor then we will be watching 4900 which is a pathway to 5000-524k and more advanced buying based on the trendangle strategy. WHAT IS GOLD ??? Gold (Au) is a chemical element and dense, malleable transition metal prized for its lustrous yellow hue, exceptional conductivity, and resistance to corrosion. History as Store of Value Gold has served as a store of value for over 6,000 years, from ancient Egyptian tombs (c. 4000 BCE) symbolizing immortality to Lydian coins (600 BCE) enabling standardized trade across empires like Rome (aureus) and Byzantium (solidus, stable 700+ years). The 19th-century gold standard anchored global currencies until 20th-century abandonments, yet gold retains purchasing power Tier 1 Status Clarification Gold classifies as a Tier 1 asset under Basel III banking rules , with 0% risk weighting for physical bullion, equivalent to cash for capital reserves, enhancing bank balance sheets amid fiat volatility. This elevates it from prior Tier 3 status, affirming its role as "money again. HOW DOES THE DOLLAR INDEX AFFECT THE PRICE ACTION AND DIRECTIONAL BIAS ?? The US Dollar Index (DXY) exhibits a strong inverse relationship with global gold prices, where a stronger dollar typically depresses gold values and a weaker dollar boosts them. Core Mechanism Gold trades in US dollars worldwide, so dollar strength raises gold's cost for non-US buyers, curbing demand and lowering prices. A weaker dollar reduces this barrier, making gold cheaper and spurring purchases from international investors. Correlation Strength Historical data shows a negative correlation coefficient of -0.40 to -0.80, meaning 40-80% of gold's movements often align inversely with DXY changes. Interest rate differentials amplify this: Fed hikes strengthen the dollar and hurt non-yielding gold, while cuts weaken it and favor gold. Influencing Factors Geopolitical risks or inflation can override the link temporarily, but dollar dynamics remain the primary driver in most cycles. For instance, recent dollar weakness from de-dollarization trends has fueled gold rallies. the brics nation are busing buying GOLD.this is the year of GOLD as the new money backed by physical GOLD ,this is why all BRICS CENTRAL BANKS are stocking the yellow bullion. #GOLD #XAUUSD
CFI:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
2
Wait for a pullback, then continue to go long on gold.Wait for a pullback, then continue to go long on gold. --------------------- Go long? Or go short at the high? The key is understanding that gold prices stabilizing above $5000 are supported by a combination of factors: monetary policy, capital flows, and geopolitical crises. Only by waiting for a genuine pullback and correction, patiently waiting for lower prices to buy, can you truly achieve trend-following trading. Intraday Trading Recommendations: 1. Currently, focus on the $5050-$5070 support level for gold. 2. Trading Recommendations: Buy Price: $5050-$5060 Stop Loss: $5045 Take Profit: $5100-$5135-$5150 3. Before using this strategy to go long, patiently wait for gold prices to consolidate sufficiently and confirm the validity of the $5050-$5070 support range. Strictly set stop-loss orders. Follow the trend. 4. Temporarily abandon the idea of ​​shorting. It's not that short selling can't be profitable, but currently, short selling goes against the trend, easily disrupting your original trading rhythm, interfering with your judgment and mindset, and ultimately potentially leading to losses. Gold prices have now entered uncharted territory. The main driver of the market remains risk aversion. On one hand, although Russia and Ukraine are negotiating, the territorial issue remains a major obstacle to reaching an agreement. The US and European countries have effectively severed relations over Greenland's transit rights. Although Trump has stated he will not use force to resolve this issue, other disputes are putting pressure on the market. The most serious of these is the new round of US pressure on Iran, even hinting at a 25% tariff on countries trading with Iran, while also deploying large numbers of troops in the Persian Gulf and the Middle East. Risk aversion has driven gold prices sharply higher. We will continue with our current trading rhythm. I will release 1-2 high-quality trading signals daily. My channel is free for a limited time. If you have any questions, please leave a message, and I will reply as soon as possible.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja99_Golden
2
GBPUSD Possible shortsRisk Entry vs Confirmation Entry - What Most Traders Get Wrong There are two valid ways to enter a trade, but they require two very different mindsets. 🔹 Risk Entry Taken before confirmation Best possible price Higher probability of being early or wrong 👉 This is anticipation, not confirmation. Risk must be reduced, not increased. 🔹 Confirmation Entry (H1 / M15) Taken after structure or momentum confirms Worse price, but better information Lower emotional stress 👉 This is reaction, not prediction. ⚠️ The common mistake: Traders take a risk entry …but manage it like a confirmation trade. Or they wait for confirmation …and hesitate because price already moved. Both are execution errors. 🧠 Professional approach: Choose your entry type before price gets there Align position size with entry logic Let higher timeframes (H1) define bias Use lower timeframes (M15) to time execution Sometimes the best trade is no trade, waiting is a position. 💬 Question for you: Do you prefer early entries with smaller risk, or confirmation with higher conviction?
Short
by Jabu_Souls07
EURUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving on Resistance area and is testing the upper boundary of an ascending channel and showing signs of rejection, we may see a corrective move towards lower support zones. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity EURUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
Short
by TheGrove
9
BITCOIN is done if it closes below the 1M Bollinger Basis.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading for the third straight month on the 1M Bollinger Bands Basis (black trend-line) and with only 5 days left to close the monthly candle, time is running out for a reversal. That's because every time in the past 12 years that BTC closed a 1M candle below the BB Basis, it initiated Phase 2 of the Bear Cycle, and right now the price is sitting under it. If it closes this way, Phase 2 should take it to at least the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has always been hit historically during a Bear Cycle and is in fact where the January 2015 and December 2018 bottoms got priced. Based on the last Bear Cycle though, we should even test the 1W MA350 (yellow trend-line), which is where the November 2022 bottom was formed. If that happens, the Bear Cycle should bottom around $50000, which falls exactly in the middle of the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone, again consistent with all previous Cycle bottoms. Notice that only when BTC reclaimed and closed above the 1W MA200 again (March 2023) was the new Bull Cycle confirmed. So what do you think? Will a 1M candle closing below the Bollinger Basis be that bad for Bitcoin? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
5
TheGrove | AUDUSD Sell | Idea Trading AnalysisYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified Resistance line USDCAD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level.. We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDCAD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
16
TheGrove | CADJPY Sell | Idea Trading AnalysisYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone CADJPY moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level.. We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity CADJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
3
XAUUSD: When War-Driven Capital Meets the AI Arms RaceThe gold market is entering a highly unusual phase — a phase where price action is no longer driven solely by charts , but by global power flows and systemic risk. Gold is benefiting directly from a wave of geopolitical-strategic buying . As global tensions escalate , nations are being forced to accelerate military spending, triggering massive demand for metals across the board. At the same time, the AI race is no longer just about technology — it has evolved into a geopolitical competition, where capital, infrastructure, and strategic resources are being injected at an unprecedented pace. In this environment, gold emerges as a “central asset” — serving both as a safe haven and as a real-time price of global instability. On the chart, price behavior clearly reflects the nature of institutional capital flow . Gold is moving within a well-defined ascending channel , with pullbacks that are fast, shallow, and orderly . Each time price dips into support, buying pressure immediately steps in , confirming that buyers remain firmly in control. The 5,070 zone acts as a critical buffer, while the 5,200 level above is not only a technical objective but also a major psychological milestone for the market. The most important takeaway right now is not how far price has already moved , but that the market has shown no real signs of distribution. There has been no aggressive sell-off, no structural breakdown , and no panic from the buy side. That reality points to one clear conclusion: the bullish trend still has room to extend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
39
Gold Vs Bitcoin- I don’t publish much these days and right now, it’s very difficult to analyze Bitcoin in isolation. - The market is currently heavily focused on metals, and retail investors usually rush into whatever is already pumping, which is precisely what you want to avoid. - This chart is not a prediction, but it can help identify good entry zones to accumulate more BTC. What we need is confirmation. Gold has formed a double top breakout and moved above $5,000. From here, regardless of whether gold continues higher, the key is to wait for a bearish divergence and then rotate. - When Bitcoin begins its next leg up, Gold.D should start to roll over. Until then, and until clear signals appear, the safest approach is to stay on the sidelines. Sometimes, the best trade is not to trade at all, just wait patiently for the right opportunity. Happy Tr4Ding !
by thecryer