CADJPYMarket Structure
Trend Before Reversal
Strong bullish move from early October to mid-November.
Structure formed a rising wedge → classic exhaustion pattern.
Liquidity Trap Identified
Price spiked above 111.440, grabbed liquidity, then immediately reversed.
This is labeled “TRAP” on your chart.
Such moves usually mark:
→ End of bullish trend
→ Beginning of distribution
This kind of wick is typically engineered to trap breakout buyers before institutions reverse price.
Harmonic Patterns
XAUUSDOverall Market Structure
The higher-timeframe trend is bullish.
The corrective wave (A)-(B)-(C) has been completed.
Price made a BOS to the upside, confirming bullish momentum returning.
The recent wick into the liquidity pool around the swing high suggests:
→ Short-term pullback
→ Then continuation higher
Bitcoin Market Truth: Whales, Corrections, and the BraveHello my friends,
I have carefully analyzed Bitcoin for you.
Markets never move straight up; they progress with corrections. Whales often take profit along the way. Think of it like running a supermarket: you buy apples at the cheapest price so that when customers purchase from you, you make a profit. Whales use the same logic. They trick people into thinking prices are falling, but in reality, their goal is to balance supply and demand. They feed on the losses of others.
For me, the most suitable buying zone is between 85,000 and 74,000 dollars. From this range I will enter the trade, with my first target at 107,000 and my second target at 120,000 dollars.
This business belongs to the fearless and the brave. If you act out of fear of losing money, this is not for you. Those who cannot manage risk should look for other paths.
My dear friends, every single like you give is my greatest motivation to continue sharing these analyses. Thank you to all who support me—you are the reason I keep going.
Each of my followers is like family to me, never forget that.
⚠️ And remember this: In trading, don’t trust everyone who calls themselves a “trader.” Most of the people you follow don’t earn a cent in their real accounts. This is not an easy business. Around 90% of people lose consistently, while only about 10% make money regularly. Many YouTubers or influencers you see online don’t actually profit with their real money. In fact, some of the celebrities you follow come to me asking for analysis. I won’t expose names, but these are the facts.
Respect and love
XAUUSD SELL 4217On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD has stabilized and is trending upwards, with bulls holding the upper hand in the short term. Currently, attention should be paid to the resistance around 4217, which is a potential shorting entry point for a bearish bat pattern and is also within a previous supply zone. If the price breaks through the resistance around 4245, it will continue to rise.
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 155.293
- Overlap support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 154.365
- Overlap support
- 78.6% Fib retracement
Take Profit: 157.131
- Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
AUDUSD H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently within the bearish ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 0.64842
- Strong Pullback resistance
- 78.6% Fib retracement
- 161.8% Fib extension
- Fair Value Gap
Stop Loss: 0.65060
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 0.64514
- Overlap support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
GBPJPY H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud, and has broken past the previous ascending trendline.
Sell entry: 205.697
- Pullback resistance
- 50% Fib retracement
- 78.6% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 206.683
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 204.576
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
S&P500 H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 6,711.35
- Strong pullback resistance
- 78.6% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 6,785.20
- Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 6,641.93
- Overlap support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Competitive Currency Wars1. What Are Competitive Currency Wars?
A currency war begins when one country deliberately devalues its currency to make its exports cheaper and imports more expensive. This leads to:
Higher export competitiveness
Increased domestic production
Potential rise in GDP
Shift of trade deficits toward trade surpluses
However, once one major trading nation devalues its currency, others often follow suit to protect their trade position. This spiral of competitive devaluations becomes a “race to the bottom”, destabilizing capital flows and weakening global financial stability.
Currency wars are rarely declared openly. They typically unfold through monetary policy, interest rate cuts, quantitative easing, or direct market intervention.
2. Why Countries Engage in Currency Wars
A. To Boost Exports
A weak currency makes domestic products cheaper for foreign buyers. Export-driven economies—like Japan, China, and South Korea—often use currency policy to support global sales.
B. To Reduce Trade Deficits
Countries facing large trade deficits (like the U.S. historically) often accuse trading partners of manipulating exchange rates.
C. To Encourage Domestic Industrial Growth
Lower currency value attracts manufacturing demand, protects domestic industries, and supports job creation.
D. To Stimulate Inflation
If an economy is facing deflation (falling prices), a weaker currency increases import prices, pushing inflation into the system.
E. To Manage Debt Burden
A weaker currency reduces the real value of domestic debt, making repayment easier.
3. Key Tools Used in Currency Wars
Countries deploy several policy mechanisms to weaken or control exchange rates:
1. Monetary Policy (Interest Rates)
Lower interest rates reduce returns on investments in that currency, leading to capital outflow and depreciation. Central banks often use rate cuts to support domestic credit growth and weaken currency value.
2. Quantitative Easing (QE)
Central banks inject liquidity by buying government and corporate bonds. More money in circulation generally lowers currency value.
The U.S. Federal Reserve used QE heavily after the 2008 crisis.
Japan’s “Abenomics” relied on aggressive QE to weaken the yen.
3. Direct Currency Market Intervention
Central banks buy or sell foreign currency reserves to influence the local exchange rate.
Example: The People’s Bank of China has historically bought dollars to keep the yuan weaker.
4. Capital Controls
Governments may restrict money inflows or outflows to protect their currency from appreciation or depreciation.
5. Trade Tariffs and Economic Policies
Though not direct currency tools, such measures often accompany or provoke currency wars.
4. Historical Examples of Currency Wars
A. The Great Depression (1930s)
Countries abandoned the gold standard and devalued their currencies to gain export advantages. This period is often called the first modern currency war.
B. The Asian Financial Crisis (1997–98)
Thailand, Indonesia, and South Korea saw massive currency depreciations. Competitive moves followed as neighboring economies attempted to maintain trade competitiveness.
C. The U.S. vs China (2000s–2010s)
China was accused of keeping the yuan artificially low to boost exports. Tensions peaked around 2010–2015, intensifying global currency debates.
D. Post-2008 Global Financial Crisis
Massive global QE programs triggered competitive devaluations:
U.S. dollar weakened due to QE
Japan pushed yen down via Abenomics
Emerging markets reacted to defend their own currencies
This period is considered a modern example of global currency war dynamics.
5. How Currency Wars Affect the Global Economy
Competitive currency wars may offer short-term growth benefits to some nations, but they carry significant risks. Their impacts spread across:
A. Trade Balances
A weaker currency increases exports and reduces imports, but if multiple countries devalue simultaneously, the net effect becomes negligible. This leads to global trade instability.
B. Global Investment Flows
Currency uncertainty discourages foreign investment. Investors prefer stable currencies and predictable returns; currency wars increase volatility.
C. Inflation and Purchasing Power
Devalued currency raises import prices, leading to inflation. While mild inflation can stimulate growth, uncontrolled inflation reduces public purchasing power.
D. Commodity Prices
Commodities like oil, gold, and metals are dollar-denominated. If major currencies weaken:
Commodity prices rise in local currency
Import-dependent nations face higher costs
E. Stock Markets and Bonds
Currency weakening often boosts domestic stock markets as export-driven companies benefit. However, government bond markets may suffer due to capital outflows.
F. Geopolitical Tensions
Accusations of currency manipulation can escalate into:
Trade wars
Tariff battles
Diplomatic standoffs
For example, U.S.–China tensions over exchange rates influenced global trade policy for years.
6. Benefits of Currency Wars (Short-Term)
1. Export Boost
Helps domestic manufacturers stay competitive.
2. Economic Growth
Weaker currency can ignite growth during stagnation.
3. Job Creation
Export-dependent industries grow employment.
4. Debt Management
Real debt burden reduces with depreciation.
7. Risks and Long-Term Costs of Currency Wars
1. Global Instability
Currency wars destabilize global financial markets.
2. Retaliatory Devaluations
One country's move triggers others, amplifying volatility.
3. Imported Inflation
Higher prices for imported goods hurt consumers.
4. Financial Market Distortions
Capital flight, volatile stock markets, unstable bond yields.
5. Loss of Investor Confidence
If investors expect sustained devaluation, they withdraw capital.
6. Trade Conflicts
Countries may impose tariffs or sanctions, damaging global trade.
8. Are We in a Currency War Today?
In recent years, global economic conditions—such as rising U.S. interest rates, geopolitical tensions, inflation cycles, and post-pandemic stimulus—have created conditions resembling a currency war environment. Central banks are aggressively adjusting policies, and exchange-rate competition is visible among major economies like the U.S., China, Japan, and Europe.
9. Conclusion
Competitive currency wars represent a complex interplay of economics, politics, and global finance. While currency devaluation can offer short-term advantages such as export growth and inflation management, the long-term consequences often outweigh the benefits. Currency wars can ignite international tensions, distort global markets, and create instability for investors, consumers, and policymakers alike.
In a deeply interconnected world, sustainable economic growth depends more on cooperation than competitive devaluations. Countries must balance domestic priorities with global responsibilities, as excessive currency competition can ultimately harm all players in the global economic system.
UK100 H4 | Bearish Continuation SetupMomentum: Bearish
The price has rejected off the sell entry, which is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Sell entry: 9,593.59
Strong overlap resistance
Stop loss: 9,663.89
Pullback resistance
Slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 9,455.33
Pullback support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
SUI/USDT — Massive Accumulation or Full Capitulation?SUI is standing right at the gateway where its entire macro cycle will be decided.”
The weekly chart reveals something uncommon: a sharp drop, deep liquidity sweep, and precise retest of the historical demand zone at 0.75–0.60 — the exact area that launched SUI’s major rally back in early 2024.
Moves like this usually indicate that smart money is revisiting an old accumulation zone, testing whether institutional demand is still alive or completely gone.
And right now…
SUI is back where its big story originally began.
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🔥 Why the 0.75–0.60 Demand Zone Matters
Because this is the zone where:
The strongest historical sell-off was completely absorbed.
Large buyers first stepped in.
Institutional volume was concentrated.
And now: the zone where SUI’s macro trend will be determined again.
Price dropped into this zone with a large weekly candle, followed by a deep wick — a signature liquidity grab, meaning retail stop-loss orders have been taken out.
If demand reactivates here, SUI can enter a multi-month reversal phase.
If not… we enter capitulation territory.
---
📈 Bullish Scenario — “The Rebirth Case”
Bullish confirmation appears if:
Weekly forms a reversal candle / bullish engulfing inside the 0.75–0.60 block.
Volume spikes during the bounce.
Price reclaims 1.55, shifting structure from lower-high to neutral-bullish.
Upside targets:
1. 1.20–1.30
2. 2.20–2.50 (major supply zone)
3. 3.50+
4. Retest major high at 5.36 if momentum expands
If this unfolds, SUI could form a rare weekly V-shape accumulation return.
---
📉 Bearish Scenario — “The Breakdown Phase”
Bearish confirmation appears if:
Weekly closes below 0.60
Retest of 0.75–0.60 gets strongly rejected
This would flip the demand zone into new supply, signaling a macro distribution phase.
Downside targets:
0.40 (psychological support)
0.28 (final structural base)
0.20 in a worst-case capitulation wave
A breakdown here marks a confirmed lower-low on the weekly structure — a bearish macro reversal.
---
🎯 Key Patterns Observed
Liquidity Sweep + Rejection Pattern at major demand
Macro Lower-High Formation from the 5.36 peak
Potential Wyckoff Spring
Long wick = “Spring Test”
Market now waiting for confirmation
Liquidity Void in mid-range → large impulsive moves likely once direction is chosen
---
🪙 Core Insight — Short & Simple
SUI is currently in a macro decision zone.
The 0.75–0.60 block is the turning point that will decide whether this becomes:
a major long-term reversal, or
the beginning of a deep multi-month downtrend.
The weekly reaction from this zone will define SUI’s next big trend.
#SUI #SUIUSDT #CryptoTA #WeeklyChart #DemandZone #SmartMoneyConcepts #Wyckoff #LiquiditySweep #CryptoAnalysis #AltcoinOutlook #PriceAction
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.14869
💰TP: 1.14036
⛔️SL: 1.15401
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The US dollar continues to strengthen, and its upside potential is likely yet to be realized in the medium term. Against this backdrop, selling pressure on the euro remains high, and the 1.14000 target remains a seller's focus. The current accumulation just below 1.15500 offers a potential opportunity to consider short-term selling through a breakout of the lower boundary.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
AVAX/USDT - Heads Into Major Demand Zone — Bounce or Breakdown?AVAX is currently standing at one of its most critical decision points since 2023. After failing to hold its multi-year ascending trendline, the price finally broke down and closed the weekly candle below the structural level at $15.7. This isn’t a normal correction — this is a signal that the market structure has shifted, and AVAX is entering a survival phase.
But the story is far from over. Price is now sliding into a zone that has historically acted as a deep accumulation region:
$10.7 – $8.5
This yellow block is where large-volume buyers previously stepped in during the 2022 crash and later consolidated before major moves.
The long wick sweeping into this zone indicates early buyer activity — but not enough to reclaim structural levels yet.
Right now, AVAX is in the middle of a high-timeframe battlefield between two major outcomes:
Bullish Reversal Scenario → Price reclaims $15.7 and climbs back above the broken trendline.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario → Price loses $10.7, falls deeper into the accumulation block, and risks testing historical lows near $5.7.
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Bullish Scenario — (Reversal Trigger: $15.7)
A bullish reversal starts to form if AVAX can:
1. Bounce strongly from $10.7–$8.5, and
2. Close a weekly candle back above $15.7.
This would signal that significant accumulation has taken place and that smart money is re-entering the market.
Major upside targets become:
$20.80 → First structural resistance
$32.90 → Mid-range breakout
$54.30 → High-timeframe trend reversal confirmed
This is the “comeback path” for AVAX.
---
Bearish Scenario — (Breakdown Trigger: $10.7)
If AVAX fails to hold above $10.7 on the weekly, the long-standing demand zone collapses.
Downside implications:
Immediate drop toward $8.5
If $8.5 also breaks →
Price opens the door to a deeper decline toward the historical low around $5.7
This would confirm a major redistribution phase, not just a pullback.
---
Price Action & Market Structure
AVAX is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a weekly downtrend.
Breaking the ascending trendline marks a clear character shift.
The $10.7–$8.5 zone now acts as the final defense for bulls before entering a multi-year lower range.
Expect liquidity sweeps & stop hunts in this region — patience and weekly confirmation are key.
---
AVAX is now sitting inside a make-or-break zone that will determine its multi-month direction.
Hold $10.7–$8.5 → Potential strong reversal back toward $20–$30
Break below $10.7 → Deeper bearish continuation toward the $5.7 region
This is the type of price zone where professional traders wait for confirmation, not quick reactions.
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#AVAX #Avalanche #CryptoTA #AVAXUSDT #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #PriceAction #MarketStructure #CryptoOutlook #SupportAndResistance
usdchf🟦 USDCHF – Why I Prefer Longs (COT, Sentiment, Technicals & Contrarian Logic) 💡📈
Over the past weeks, USDCHF has been sending a very clear message across multiple dimensions — positioning, sentiment, and price action. When we combine all of them, the scenario points toward buy setups rather than sell setups.
Here’s the full breakdown 👇🔥
🧾 1. Commitment of Traders (COT) → Clear Bias Toward USD Strength
The latest COT report continues to show that large speculators and leveraged funds are favoring USD longs, while commercial participants hedge in the opposite direction.
For USDCHF, this creates a very important takeaway:
➡️ Smart money positioning supports USD buying, not USD selling.
➡️ CHF is being reduced on the long side.
➡️ This aligns perfectly with the upward bias we saw last week.
This alone doesn’t trigger an entry — but it provides context, and context is everything. 🎯
📊 2. Last Week’s Candle = Clear Buying Pressure
Last week ended with a strong bullish candle, showing persistent demand for USD across the board.
Even during intraday pullbacks, buyers stepped in with conviction.
This tells us:
✔️ The market is accepting higher prices
✔️ Demand is outweighing supply
✔️ Dips remain attractive buying opportunities
Momentum is shifting — not randomly, but with structure and volume behind it. ⚡
🔍 3. The Retail Trap (Fibonacci Confluence Zone)
Right now, the charts show something very interesting:
Retail traders are seeing the pair pull back into Fibonacci retracement zones (38.2–61.8).
And what does retail do in Fibonacci retracements?
➡️ They short. Every. Single. Time. 😅
Because they believe “price must go down from here.”
But the problem?
The macro, the COT, and the institutional flow all point the opposite way.
This is where Contrarian Theory becomes extremely valuable:
🟥 Retail sees a sell setup
🟩 Professionals see the liquidity they need to accumulate long positions
Bearish reversal off 61.8% FIbonacci resistance?Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 4,147.61
1st Support: 4,093.63
1st Resistance: 4,219.46
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bullish momentum to set to continue?Loonie (USD/CAD) could fall towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.4073
1st Support: 1.4034
1st Resistance: 1.4134
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bullish continuation?Swissie (USD/CHF) could make a short-term pullback to the pivot and could bounce to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 0.8030
1st Support: 0.7987
1st Resistance: 0.8109
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Could we see a bearish reversal?Cable (GBP/USD) is reacting off the pivot which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the swing low support.
Pivot: 1.3106
1st Support: 1.3012
1st Resistance: 1.3179
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?Fiber (EUR/USD) could rise towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.1567
1st Support: 1.1494
1st Resistance: 1.1623
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
DOGE/USDT - Momentum Shifts Toward the 0.105–0.093 Demand Zone?DOGE has entered one of its most decisive phases in recent months.
The chart shows the market has just lost one of its strongest technical pillars:
the primary ascending trendline that supported the entire multi-month rally.
Once that trendline broke, structure shifted from accumulation → distribution, and the momentum immediately favored the sellers.
DOGE attempted a recovery, but the retest into 0.183–0.208 was rejected aggressively, forming a classic failed bullish continuation pattern. This typically signals that market makers have chosen the lower liquidity zones as the next destination.
Price is now sitting around 0.151, caught between:
A freshly-confirmed resistance zone above, and
The major demand block at 0.105–0.093, one of the strongest historical accumulation zones on the chart.
This demand block is not random.
It is where high-volume positioning and historical liquidity clusters have repeatedly formed.
If DOGE drifts lower, this is where the next major battle will take place.
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Key Pattern Highlights
1. Trendline Breakdown + Failed Retest
A textbook sign of a trend transition from bullish to bearish.
A failed retest often leads to a continuation selloff.
2. Consistent Lower Highs
A clear representation of seller dominance and weakening bullish momentum.
3. Deep Liquidity Wick
The long downward wick signals liquidity hunting — often occurring before price seeks a major support level.
4. Compression Toward Demand
Price structure is tightening downward, a typical sign of distribution.
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Bullish Scenario
The bullish path is countertrend and requires strong confirmation.
Bullish structure only returns if:
1. DOGE closes above 0.183,
2. Reclaims 0.208 as support,
3. Retests the zone successfully without losing it again.
If these conditions are met, higher targets open:
0.260
0.290
0.395 (macro resistance zone)
Until then, every bounce remains a relief bounce, not a reversal.
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Bearish Scenario
This remains the structurally dominant scenario:
1. Rejection around 0.160–0.170,
2. Breakdown below 0.148–0.140,
Opens the door toward the main target:
🎯 0.105 – 0.093 (major demand zone)
If this zone fails, DOGE may hunt liquidity as low as:
🔻 0.072 — a macro support level visible on the chart.
Because the gap between these zones is wide, downward continuation can accelerate quickly if sell volume increases.
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> DOGE is trading below a trendline that once shaped its entire bullish structure.
The failed retest tells us the market still favors the downside.
Unless price reclaims 0.183–0.208, the primary scenario remains a continuation move toward the 0.105–0.093 demand zone — the key area that will determine whether DOGE prepares for a major rebound or extends its correction further.
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Bullish continuation setup?US Dollar Index (DXY) could fall to the pivot which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a multi-swing high resitance.
Pivot: 99.80
1st Support: 99.53
1st Resistance: 100.35
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.






















