Harmonic Patterns
SPELL/USDT — Falling Wedge: Is a Big Reversal on the Horizon?The SPELL/USDT (2D – Binance) pair is currently forming a large Falling Wedge pattern, a classic technical formation that often signals the end of a prolonged downtrend and the potential beginning of a bullish reversal.
Since the early-year peak, SPELL has been locked inside a downward-sloping channel, consistently printing lower highs and lower lows. However, each drop toward the wedge’s lower boundary has triggered buying reactions, hinting that accumulation may be taking place quietly among strong hands.
Now, as price moves closer to the apex of the wedge, volatility is compressing — setting the stage for a decisive breakout or breakdown.
This is the make-or-break zone for SPELL.
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Pattern & Key Levels
🔹 Main pattern: Falling Wedge (potential bullish reversal setup).
🔹 Current price: Around 0.0003138 USDT.
🔹 Critical support: Lower wedge boundary and the historical low at 0.0001651 (strong invalidation level).
🔹 Key resistance / breakout targets:
0.0004630 → initial breakout target
0.0005799 → structural shift confirmation
0.0007649 → mid-term target
0.0017355 → extended target if momentum accelerates
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Bullish Scenario
1. Breakout Confirmation:
A strong 2D candle close above the descending resistance line with a clear rise in volume would confirm a potential trend reversal.
2. Retest for Validation:
After the breakout, a retest of the former resistance (now turned support) could offer a low-risk entry opportunity.
3. Progressive Targets:
Target 1: 0.0004630 — first reaction zone
Target 2: 0.0005799 → 0.0007649 — continuation targets
Extended Target: 0.0017355 — possible in a strong altcoin rally
4. Momentum Confirmation:
Sustained volume growth + higher closes above the wedge will reinforce bullish sentiment.
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Bearish Scenario
1. Rejection at Upper Wedge:
Price fails to break the upper resistance and faces rejection → potential retest of the lower wedge line.
2. Breakdown Below Support:
If SPELL closes below the wedge and loses 0.0001651, it would confirm continuation of the macro downtrend.
3. Downside Targets:
Initial support zone between 0.00022 – 0.00018, then down to 0.0001651 if selling pressure intensifies.
4. Bearish Confirmation:
Rising sell volume and strong candles below support would indicate distribution and further downside risk.
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Conclusion
SPELL has been trapped in a multi-month descending wedge, and now approaches a critical decision point. Historically, such wide wedge formations often precede explosive reversals when breakout confirmation is supported by volume.
However, if the price fails to break out and instead closes below support, the bearish continuation remains in play.
This is the decisive moment for SPELL:
📈 Breakout → potential trend reversal.
📉 Breakdown → extended bearish continuation.
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Technical Notes
Wait for 2D candle confirmation and volume validation before acting on a breakout.
Use multi-timeframe confluence (4H + 1D) for better entry confirmation.
Apply strict risk management due to SPELL’s volatility and low liquidity nature.
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#SPELL #CryptoAnalysis #Altcoin #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #BullishSetup #BreakoutWatch #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #CryptoChart #AltcoinReversal
$TON Support Rebound, Telegram Token Takeoff?BINANCE:TONUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TON Support Rebound, Telegram Token Takeoff? 📊📱
TON's 1H trend bullish, firmly bouncing from key support ~1.95 with volume surge—ecosystem bulls defending!
High hold probability, breakout above 2.35 resistance targets 2.50.
Deeper dip risk low (watch 1.90), but trail stops.
RSI ~54 (momentum build), 50 EMA crossover, MACD positive.
TON to the moon! 🚀
#TON #CryptoTrading #Altseason
AUDNZD Massive sell opportunity.The AUDNZD pair has been trading within a 5-year Channel Up since the March 2020 COVID flash-crash. The pattern has been on its latest Bullish Leg since the April 21 Low and just hit this week the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the Channel.
The 1.0 - 0.786 Fibonacci Zone has started the pattern's two Bearish Legs. The market already favors selling inside this Zone, with the Risk/ Reward ratio very appealing with the most optimal Sell Signal being when the 1W RSI touches its long-term Higher Highs trend-line.
If that happens with the pair around the 0.786 Fib, our Target will be 1.12000 (Fib 0.382). If it happens with the pair closer to the 1.0 Fib, our Target will be 1.11000 (Fib 0.236).
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EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
The price is currently reacting off the sell entry, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. It is also trading below the descending trendline that has at least three confirmed touches in the past.
Sell Entry: 1.1599
Pullback resistance
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 1.1668
Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 1.1533
Pullback support
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
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Amd - Here comes the major reversal!👺Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is reversing right now:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed a very expected rally on Amd of about +250%. But right now, Amd is retesting a major resistance trendline. If we actually see bearish confirmation in the near future, the next bearmarket will start quite soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoin Consolidation Phase Extends Into New WeekIntroduction
ScandIndex reviews the continuation of Bitcoin’s consolidation phase as the cryptocurrency enters another week of subdued volatility and balanced positioning. Despite minor fluctuations within a defined price corridor, Bitcoin maintains its structural stability, supported by consistent liquidity and disciplined participation from both institutional and retail investors. The ongoing range-bound behavior underscores a cautious equilibrium, where traders are weighing macroeconomic signals and technical thresholds before committing to new directional trends.
The persistence of consolidation reflects a maturing market dynamic. ScandIndex reviews that participants are now prioritizing capital preservation and strategic allocation rather than speculative momentum. The stabilization in derivatives activity, steady funding rates, and controlled leverage levels all point to a well-balanced market environment. This tempered tone suggests that Bitcoin’s current trajectory is less about indecision and more about preparing the groundwork for the next significant move once external catalysts—such as macroeconomic data releases or liquidity infusions—materialize.
Technology & Innovation
Technological sophistication continues to underpin Bitcoin’s market integrity and resilience. ScandIndex reviews that algorithmic trading engines, powered by artificial intelligence and machine-learning models, have become critical in identifying and sustaining equilibrium during low-volatility phases. These systems analyze real-time order-book data, on-chain liquidity metrics, and exchange depth to optimize trade execution and balance order flow. As a result, price stability has improved even during periods of reduced market participation.
AI-based analytics also enhance predictive precision in identifying potential breakout zones. ScandIndex reviews that deep-learning algorithms, trained on historical volatility and transaction clustering, can detect early structural imbalances that may signal impending directional change. Such advancements enable traders to operate within a framework of probabilistic modeling rather than speculative anticipation.
Additionally, blockchain technology itself continues to evolve toward greater efficiency and transparency. The integration of automated data feeds, proof-of-liquidity protocols, and decentralized monitoring dashboards ensures that market participants maintain visibility into liquidity concentration and transactional health. ScandIndex reviews that this integration of analytics and infrastructure represents the cornerstone of Bitcoin’s stability—where data transparency reinforces confidence and prevents disorderly market behavior.
Growth & Adoption
Even as the market consolidates, Bitcoin’s adoption metrics continue to expand, reinforcing its long-term foundation. Institutional investors have maintained steady exposure, leveraging structured derivatives and risk-managed strategies to capture volatility cycles without overexposure. ScandIndex reviews that fund managers increasingly view Bitcoin as a long-term hedge and portfolio diversifier, using algorithmic rebalancing models to optimize exposure in response to macro conditions.
Retail participation has also matured significantly. The prevalence of automated trading tools and educational analytics platforms has empowered traders to engage with improved risk discipline. ScandIndex reviews that average holding durations have increased while margin exposure has decreased, signaling a behavioral shift from speculative activity to measured accumulation. This steady engagement underscores Bitcoin’s growing perception as a stable component within diversified investment portfolios rather than a high-risk asset.
In parallel, infrastructure development continues to strengthen adoption. Enhanced custodial solutions, cross-chain interoperability, and fintech integration have made Bitcoin increasingly accessible across payment systems and settlement networks. ScandIndex reviews that these advancements have extended Bitcoin’s relevance beyond speculative trading into broader financial and technological ecosystems. Despite temporary stagnation in price movement, these ongoing structural developments demonstrate consistent progress in the underlying adoption curve.
Transparency & Risk Management
Transparency and risk oversight remain central to Bitcoin’s evolving framework. Exchanges and institutional service providers are now operating with higher accountability through proof-of-reserves mechanisms, automated audits, and blockchain-based transparency reports. ScandIndex reviews that these initiatives help mitigate systemic risk and establish stronger trust among participants, particularly during consolidation periods when market momentum is limited.
AI-driven risk management systems have further improved resilience by continuously monitoring market stress indicators. These include leverage ratios, order imbalance metrics, and real-time funding discrepancies across exchanges. ScandIndex reviews that such systems are capable of early detection of liquidity distortions, allowing participants to adjust exposure before volatility spikes. This proactive oversight reduces the likelihood of cascading liquidations and contributes to a more orderly trading environment.
Regulatory clarity has also played a vital role in fostering confidence. As oversight frameworks become more standardized, institutions are aligning operational practices with compliance expectations. ScandIndex reviews that this evolution toward transparency and governance is positioning Bitcoin within the same credibility framework as traditional financial assets. Together, these measures demonstrate that the market’s ability to manage and distribute risk has significantly improved compared to previous cycles, further reinforcing its structural durability.
Industry Outlook
From an industry perspective, Bitcoin’s extended consolidation reflects broader patterns of cautious positioning across global markets. The interplay between moderating inflation, shifting interest-rate expectations, and re-emerging risk appetite continues to shape liquidity conditions. ScandIndex reviews that Bitcoin’s subdued volatility mirrors the tone of traditional financial markets, where investors are awaiting macro clarity before committing to directional expansion.
Market correlations indicate that Bitcoin remains sensitive to shifts in global liquidity flows and investor sentiment. However, structural resilience and expanding institutional infrastructure provide a stabilizing counterbalance. ScandIndex reviews that, historically, such prolonged consolidation periods have served as preparatory phases preceding renewed volatility. Once liquidity catalysts—such as monetary easing or capital rotation—emerge, the groundwork established during these quiet phases often supports stronger, more sustainable trends.
Looking ahead, the convergence of technology, governance, and disciplined participation is expected to define the next phase of Bitcoin’s evolution. ScandIndex reviews that as the market continues to align with data-driven frameworks and transparent practices, its long-term trajectory will increasingly mirror the characteristics of traditional asset classes while retaining its decentralized foundation. This synthesis of innovation and stability sets the stage for a more mature and strategically aligned digital-asset market.
Closing Statement
As Bitcoin’s consolidation extends into another week, the balance of discipline, transparency, and technological precision continues to anchor the market—setting the tone for a controlled, data-informed transition toward its next phase of momentum.
Bitcoin Setup Suggests Potential Trend ContinuationIntroduction
NiagaraHub reviews the latest Bitcoin market structure, observing that current technical and momentum indicators point toward a potential continuation of the prevailing trend. After a period of consolidation, Bitcoin has maintained its position above critical support levels, signaling strength in underlying market demand. Liquidity metrics and exchange data suggest that both institutional and retail traders are cautiously re-engaging, contributing to a gradual improvement in volume depth and directional clarity.
This setup comes amid a broader environment of macroeconomic stability and measured risk appetite. NiagaraHub reviews that Bitcoin’s resilience, despite fluctuating sentiment, reflects increasing market maturity. Traders appear to be positioning for sustained movement, with derivative positioning and spot accumulation indicating a cautiously constructive outlook. The stability in funding rates and low volatility compression reinforces the likelihood of continued trend alignment, provided external conditions remain favorable.
Technology & Innovation
Technological progress remains central to the evolution of digital-asset markets and their capacity to maintain stability during transitional phases. NiagaraHub reviews that AI-enhanced algorithmic systems are now instrumental in identifying market inflection points. These systems employ predictive analytics and pattern recognition to detect early signals of directional continuation, analyzing multi-dimensional data such as volume clusters, volatility shifts, and order-book asymmetries.
Machine-learning models are increasingly leveraged to optimize liquidity placement and mitigate execution risk. NiagaraHub reviews that by using reinforcement learning techniques, trading algorithms can adapt to changing market environments in real time, allowing for more efficient distribution of capital across exchanges. This adaptive technology supports smoother price transitions and reduces market distortions caused by concentrated order flows.
Additionally, advancements in blockchain data analytics have improved visibility into on-chain capital behavior. Through AI-based transaction mapping, analysts can monitor accumulation patterns, exchange inflows, and dormant wallet activation to gauge long-term sentiment. NiagaraHub reviews that these insights allow traders to assess whether recent accumulation phases align with sustainable upward momentum or short-term positioning. The synergy between algorithmic intelligence and blockchain transparency continues to enhance decision-making precision across the Bitcoin ecosystem.
Growth & Adoption
Bitcoin’s structural growth continues to be supported by expanding participation across multiple market segments. Institutional interest remains steady, with asset managers and algorithmic funds integrating Bitcoin into diversified strategy portfolios. NiagaraHub reviews that this shift reflects an increased reliance on quantitative risk frameworks rather than speculative exposure. As Bitcoin’s infrastructure aligns more closely with traditional market standards, its appeal as a long-term strategic asset continues to broaden.
Retail engagement, though more cautious than in earlier bull cycles, has demonstrated consistency. The availability of data-driven tools, educational analytics platforms, and fractional investment access has encouraged more disciplined market participation. NiagaraHub reviews that this behavioral change has moderated volatility and contributed to the measured pace of trend formation. Traders are now approaching market entries with greater focus on liquidity management, position sizing, and technical validation, strengthening the overall structure of market dynamics.
Moreover, adoption extends beyond trading into financial and technological ecosystems. Payment platforms, digital custodians, and decentralized applications continue to integrate Bitcoin as a core settlement asset. NiagaraHub reviews that this integration reinforces Bitcoin’s dual function—as both a speculative asset and a financial utility. The expansion of use cases, alongside scalability solutions such as second-layer protocols, ensures that Bitcoin’s relevance grows even when short-term market conditions appear neutral.
Transparency & Risk Management
Transparency and structured risk control remain essential to sustaining confidence across Bitcoin markets. In recent quarters, proof-of-reserves frameworks, on-chain verification systems, and audit transparency have become standard practice for major exchanges. NiagaraHub reviews that these initiatives provide traders with real-time insights into exchange solvency and liquidity health, reducing systemic risk and improving overall accountability.
Risk management frameworks are also evolving through AI integration. Automated systems now assess leverage distribution, funding differentials, and volatility clustering to prevent disorderly liquidation cascades. NiagaraHub reviews that these systems enhance resilience during rapid market movements, providing dynamic margin recalibration and real-time exposure tracking. Such data-centric mechanisms ensure that markets operate with higher structural discipline, even amid speculative phases.
Regulatory developments have further reinforced market integrity. Enhanced compliance oversight and standardized reporting frameworks are aligning crypto operations more closely with institutional finance. NiagaraHub reviews that this alignment reduces uncertainty and promotes transparency, encouraging participation from professional investors who demand verifiable accountability. Together, these improvements strengthen Bitcoin’s credibility as a globally traded financial instrument capable of maintaining long-term structural balance.
Industry Outlook
From a broader industry perspective, Bitcoin’s technical posture suggests that the market remains in a recovery and reaccumulation phase. Volatility metrics continue to compress, signaling equilibrium before potential expansion. NiagaraHub reviews that such conditions often precede directional continuation, as compressed ranges provide the foundation for measured breakout scenarios. Traders are closely monitoring liquidity clusters near established resistance levels, where breakout confirmation could validate a continuation of the prevailing trend.
Macroeconomic conditions remain moderately supportive, with improving liquidity indicators and stable interest-rate expectations contributing to risk-on behavior across asset classes. NiagaraHub reviews that Bitcoin’s correlation to equities and other risk assets has remained stable, but its independent momentum profile has strengthened as market-specific factors—such as network activity and exchange liquidity—take precedence. This decoupling reinforces Bitcoin’s positioning as both a speculative and strategic asset class.
Long-term, the convergence of AI-driven analytics, improved regulatory structures, and continued institutional adoption points toward a more resilient and transparent market environment. NiagaraHub reviews that the digital-asset ecosystem is entering a phase where technology and governance operate symbiotically, reducing systemic fragility. As capital flows stabilize and transparency deepens, the foundation for trend continuation grows increasingly robust.
Closing Statement
As Bitcoin’s consolidation gives way to renewed momentum, the balance of disciplined participation, technological refinement, and structural transparency continues to guide the asset’s path—signaling that measured growth, rather than speculation, now defines its evolving market rhythm.
Gold Moves Exactly as PlannedHey traders!
In my previous analysis, I mentioned that I expected a price correction — and gold perfectly followed the plan, dropping from 4150 to 4096, giving us a great profit!
As anticipated, the bullish move has now started, aiming for the target shown on the chart.
Follow me for more updates and fresh analyses! 🚀💰
BITCOIN TO $130,000 - $140,000Hello! It's me again!
My friends, it seems that BTC's price action is clearly indicating its trend and direction. Of the last five candles on the weekly chart, four have shown a very clear indication: there are buyers on the downside, it has remained above the 55-week moving average, and we've seen very strong support around $103,000.
It's also true that the uptrend on the weekly chart is already quite worn out. It has been quite long and has remained solid until now; however, this could be the bullish move that ends the trend.
At the moment, the technical analysis is simple and very clear: we are within the lower range of an upward move (I bought at $109,900 six weeks ago and I plan to hold since the movement is clear).
In conclusion, Bitcoin will be looking for the $130,000 range and, at most, $140,000. The final upward move is about to begin.
See you later! And remember, this isn't advice, it's just an opinion.
BITF / DailyNASDAQ:BITF — 📊Technical Update (Daily)
The market should be in a very late stage of the correction in Minor Wave 4, unfolding through a Double Zigzag retracement and finding support near the apex of the equivalence lines, around the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
As depicted on the chart, Wave (c) within Minute Wave ⓨ appears to have formed an Ending Diagonal — suggesting that the correction in Minor Wave 4 is nearing completion around the apex of the equivalence lines, likely within the next session.
Sometimes, patience is the key!! 🕒
No significant change to the NASDAQ:BITF technical outlook.
The near-term bullish structure remains intact. In my view, there is sufficient space between the convergent and divergent equivalence lines to project the next advance — with Intermediate Wave (3) anticipated to re-extend through Minor Wave 5, targeting around $8.55🎯, implying an estimated +164%📈 upside into early December.
🔖 It’s worth noting that the equivalence lines form a core component of my personal framework, which I apply through my Quantum Models methodology.
#QuantumModels #EquivalenceLines #Targeting #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #ElliottWave #WaveAnalysis #TrendAnalysis #StocksToWatch #FibLevels #FinTwit #Investing #MiningStocks #BITF #Bitfarms #DataCenters #BitcoinMining #CryptoMining #AIStocks #HPC #AI #BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSD NASDAQ:BITF CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
ELI LILLY to soon start a correction towards $700.Eli Lilly (LLY) has made new All Time Highs (ATH) this month, extending the impressive rally since the August Low near the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
The multi-year trend remains bullish within a Fibonacci Channel Up but practically the stock hasn't gotten out of its range since the July 2024 High, breaking in August below even its 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
This prolonged sideways trading resembles the July 2015 - July 2018 3-year consolidation phase, which broke upwards only after a 2nd test of the 1W MA200. Even the 1M RSI patterns between the two sequences are similar. Based on this (1M RSI), which is about to break above its MA for the first time since July 2024, we are in similar levels as February 2017.
As a result, we expect LLY to start a rather smooth correction towards its 1W MA200 again, targeting $700, where the next long-term buy opportunity may potentially emerge.
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#BTC 95-96K 3-DRIVE IS NOT EXCLUDEDMorning folks,
So, as we suggested BTC has shown healthy downside action out from 106K resistance area. Despite good news around shutdown, BTC shows limited reaction. Even more, I would say that 3-Drive pattern on daily chart is not excluded, down to 94-96K area.
This pattern fits well to idea of weekly H&S pattern ... On 4H in a few hours we could get a bearish grabber as well .
So, I wouldn't be too fast on long entry right now and prefer to wait for confirmation. It might be upside breakout of 108K area at least, just to erase all "bearish suspicions" around...
For short entry, if you want - try to catch the grabber or take position as close to 108K local top (and 2nd Drive top) as possible. This is invalidation point for bearish scenario.
Take care.
S.
CHINA A50 Bullish inside Channel Up aiming at 16650.China A50 index (CN50) has been trading within a 7-month Channel Up and is currently holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), while being on the 3rd Bullish Leg of this pattern.
The previous two both rose by around +16.50%, so given the similarities, we remain bullish on the index, targeting 16650.
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HYPERLIQUID Massive H&S targets $30 and $19 long-term.Hyperliquid (HYPEUSD) has formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a highly symmetrical structure that is has completed its Right Shoulder. At the same time, a Channel Down has emerged that is aiming for a -43.87% decline on the current Bearish Leg, similar to the previous one, targeting $30.00 short-term.
The H&S long-term Target is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which as you can see matches the 0.618 Fib from the April 07 bottom. That gives a $19.00 Target.
Notice the huge 1D RSI Bearish Divergence of Lower Highs since May 25, which further strengthens the long-term bearish trend.
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DOW JONES to new All Time Highs and won't stop there!Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within an aggressive Channel Up since October 03, which made today a new All Time High (ATH). This is its technical Bullish Leg following the Higher Low bottom near the 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
With a 4H MACD sequence identical to the previous Leg, it is possible to see a re-test of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) next but on the medium-term, a new Higher High of at least 48800 (the 1.5 Fibonacci extension as on the previous Bullish Leg) is expected.
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Bitcoin Tests Range Low, Reclaim Setup at $96K?Bitcoin price action continues to trade near the range low of its high-time-frame structure, hovering around the sub-$96,000 region.
This area represents a critical point where a deviation / failed auction setup could form — a scenario where price briefly breaks below support, captures liquidity, and then reclaims the level to initiate a strong rotation back into the established range.
- Range Low Test: Bitcoin is sitting near $96K, the bottom boundary of its macro range.
- Key Confluence: The zone aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci, increasing its technical importance.
- Deviation Potential: A sweep below $96K followed by a strong reclaim could form a swing-low reversal setup.
For this scenario to materialize, Bitcoin needs to show bullish volume support as price interacts with or reclaims the level. Without that influx, the risk of breakdown and continuation lower remains present.
If volume confirms and price reclaims the $96K region, Bitcoin could establish a new swing low and rotate back toward the mid-range and upper boundaries.
Bullish bounce off?GBP/USD has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support, and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3103
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.3013
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support level.
Take profit: 1.3259
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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WTI OIL Successive 1D MA50 rejections. Sell Signal.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Down with the price experiencing successive rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since the October 24 Lower High.
Given that the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level was also filled (as on the previous Lower High), we expect this inability to break above, to kickstart the new Bearish Leg.
As previously, the Target is the Support at $56.00.
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Bitcoin is poised for a surge, here's a buying guide!
Buy on 106K
TP1 109K
TP2 111K
TP3 114.5K
Bitcoin's ability to break through the $106K resistance level with compelling trading volume could signal an early sign of a recovery phase. Momentum could return, pushing prices towards the $110K–$112K area, especially if overall sentiment or macro catalysts are favorable. However, this will require a strong catalyst.
Micron Technology - The end will come soon!✂️Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) will create a top soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting back in mid 2025, Micron Technology retested a major confluence of support. This retest was followed by an expected rally of about +250%. But soon, Micron Technology will create a short term top formation, followed by a healthy correction towards the downside.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
ICP — Golden Pocket Retest: Reversal or Continuation Down?After a long period of accumulation followed by an extreme capitulation phase, ICP is finally showing signs of life again. The recent sharp rally managed to break through several mid-term supply levels, but now the price is retesting the most critical zone on the chart — the Fibonacci Golden Pocket (0.5–0.618) range between $5.26–$5.98.
This yellow box is not just another technical bounce zone — it’s the decisive point for ICP’s mid-term direction:
will ICP continue its recovery toward the former distribution area at $9.20 to $14.70,
or will it fall back into the depths below $2.00?
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Structure & Pattern
Phase 1: Sideways Accumulation (Early 2025)
The price moved sideways for months — a strong sign of silent accumulation by larger players.
Phase 2: Capitulation & Sharp Recovery
A deep breakdown followed by a vertical spike toward $15.58 shows a massive liquidity sweep — stop-losses were cleared out, and the market reacted with a relief rally.
Phase 3: Golden Pocket Retest (Now)
The price is retracing in a controlled manner back into the $5–$6 zone, now serving as a key confluence of horizontal structure and Fibonacci support.
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Bullish Scenario (Potential Reversal)
If the price can hold the $5–$6 zone and form a strong 2D candle closing above $6.50–$7.20, a new Higher Low structure will be confirmed — signaling the possibility of the next bullish leg.
Confirmation: Break & Retest above $7.20
Targets:
Target 1 → $9.20 (minor supply zone)
Target 2 → $14.70 (major resistance & previous high)
Momentum Clues: Increasing volume on green candles and a developing bullish RSI divergence.
This could mark the beginning of a mid-term reversal for ICP, with potential upside exceeding +140% from the current price (~$6.07).
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Bearish Scenario (Rejection Case)
However, if the Golden Pocket fails to hold and a 2D close below $5.00 occurs, the entire rally may turn out to be nothing more than a dead cat bounce.
In this case, ICP risks continuing its decline toward:
First support: $3.00
Major support: $1.80 (historical low and liquidity base)
A confirmed breakdown below $5.00 would indicate that the market structure remains fully under sellers’ control.
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Conclusion
The $5.0–$6.0 range is the most decisive level for the coming months.
If it holds and forms a higher low, ICP may enter a new bullish cycle — but if it breaks down, a new distribution phase could begin.
📊 The golden pocket will decide the next chapter: is this the start of ICP’s rebirth, or just another bounce before another collapse?
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Trading Plan
Aggressive Entry: Buy between 5.3–6.0, SL < 4.8
Conservative Entry: Wait for a Break & Retest above 7.20
Take Profit Targets: 9.20 → 14.70
Bullish Invalidation: 2D Close below 5.0
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