#Banknifty Directions and Levels for Jan 9What to Expect Today?
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty took a decline. Still, their structures seem a little different.
Current View:
Based on the structure, the Nifty current view suggests: If the market opens with a decline, we can expect a minimum correction in the pullback zone. After that, if the market consolidates or breaks this level, we can expect further correction. On the other hand, if it faces solid rejection, it could bounce back with a minimum of 23% to 38% in the minor swing.
The Bank Nifty current view is similar to Nifty's—there are no big changes.
Alternate View:
for nifty, The alternate view suggests: If the market opens with a pullback, it could reach the 38% to 50% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. However, this is a major resistance area, so we can mostly expect rejection there.
Bank Nifty's alternate view differs slightly: If the market pulls back and sustains around the immediate resistance level, we can expect further continuation. This is because the structure seems like a diagonal pattern, so a breakout could lead to a long wave.
Note: Please confirm the proper resistance breakout.
Harmonic Patterns
Elise | BTCUSD – M30 | Bearish Structure ContinuationBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After a strong impulsive rally from the accumulation zone, BTC failed to hold higher structure and printed a decisive bearish continuation move. The breakdown was followed by weak retracements, indicating a lack of strong buying interest. Current price action suggests distribution within the channel rather than reversal, with sell-side liquidity still exposed below recent lows.
Key Scenarios
❌ Bearish Case 📉 (Primary)
– Rejection from descending channel resistance
– Continuation below recent structure lows
🎯 Target 1: 90,500
🎯 Target 2: 89,200
🎯 Target 3: Sell-side liquidity below range lows
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 (Conditional Only)
– Strong impulsive move with acceptance above the last lower high
– 30M close above channel resistance required
🎯 Upside targets valid only after structure reclaim
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: Descending channel upper boundary
Support 🟢: Range low / sell-side liquidity zone
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
Elite | BTCUSD – 1H | Market Structure & Key Reaction ZoneBITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
After a strong impulsive rally toward the 95,000 resistance region, BTCUSD entered a corrective phase. The current decline shows controlled selling pressure rather than panic distribution. Price is consolidating around a key demand zone, suggesting potential absorption of sell-side liquidity before the next directional move.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the demand zone and shows acceptance, continuation targets remain:
🎯 92,500
🎯 94,800
🎯 96,000+
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A clean breakdown and sustained close below the demand zone would invalidate the bullish continuation and expose downside toward the lower range support.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 92,500 – 95,000
Support 🟢: 89,000 – 90,000 (Key Demand Zone)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
CHEVRON 53-year Channel Up for longterm investors can dazzle youChevron (CVX) has been trading within a 53-year Channel Up since January 1973. This is the epitome of long-term investing as the pattern has given excellent correction periods (Bear Cycles) to buy for the long-term and Higher Highs to sell and take profit.
During the first years, its Bull Cycles that ended in Higher Highs have been very aggressive, with all three reaching (and even exceeding) the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. In more recent years after the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis, the two out of three major Bull Cycles (Bullish Legs for the Channel Up) merely reached the 1.382 Fib. All of the Bearish Legs, however, declined by around the same rate (-46.89%, -48.62% and -50.78%). The last two even hit the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line).
As a result, if we assume we will have the minimum of a Bear Cycle Chevron has seen inside this pattern which was the Dotcom's -41.55%, we can expect the current correction to marginally break below the 1M MA200 again to $112.00. However a Target on the 1M MA200 around $120.00 would perhaps be more fair.
The most efficient Buy Signal through this 53-year pattern, ha been when the 1M RSI hit 38.00. As you can see this has happened 7 times, providing the best level to enter for a long-term investor. Consequently, if the 1M RSI hits 38.00 before the stock hits $120.00, it is a good idea for long-term buyers to enter regardless.
The Target then is again the 1.382 Fibonacci extension at around $235.00.
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DAX entered its 7-month Resistance Zone. Will it decline again?DAX (DE40) just entered its 7-month Higher Highs Zone, which has been the technical Resistance of a long-term Ascending Triangle that started on the May 27 2025 High.
With the 1D RSI overbought (above 70.00), the conditions for a new medium-term sell opportunity have emerged. All previous five Bearish Legs of this Triangle have been fairly symmetrical, with the lowest being -5.07%.
We expect at least a repeat of that, which gives us a 24100 Target that may coincide with a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1W MA50 (red trend-line) test. The latter is the market's long-term Support and will decide the trend for 2026.
If the 1D RSI hits 40.00 though before the price hits 24100, we will take profit on the sell regardless, as that has been the RSI's Symmetrical Support for the entirety of the Ascending Triangle.
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GBPUSD Channel Down starting new Bearish Leg.The GBPUSD pair has been trading within a 6-month Channel Down and appears to have just started its new Bearish Leg as Tuesday's Lower High was priced exactly on its top.
As the same time, it almost hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where the previous (September 17 2025) Lower High was formed, while also the 1D RSI is on the decline after marginally turning overbought (above 70.00).
As a result, we expect the pattern's new Bearish Leg to unfold and can be confirmed as soon as the price breaks below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The previous two Bearish Legs declined by -4.70% and -5.24% respectively, and in both cases the 1D RSI hit the 30.00 oversold barrier.
A new -4.70% decline would target 1.2930, but since this time the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) is in the way, which is the market's long-term Support, we expect a more fair Target to be 1.3050 until we can confirm further downside.
If the 1D RSI hits 30.00 before the price reaches 1.3050, we will take profit regardless.
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Bitcoin continues to display distribution, lower?Bitcoin continues to display distribution characteristics after another clear rejection from the $94,000 range high, a level that has capped price since early December. Multiple failed attempts to reclaim this resistance highlight the presence of consistent supply, preventing a sustained breakout and reinforcing the broader range-bound environment.
Following the latest rejection, price has now accepted below the Point of Control, a key development from a market profile perspective. Acceptance below this high-volume node suggests sellers are regaining short-term control, increasing the probability of rotational price action toward lower value.
Key Technical Observations:
- Repeated rejections at $94,000 confirm range-high resistance
- Price trading below the Point of Control weakens bullish continuation
- Downside rotation opens toward the $80,000 range low
From a price action standpoint, upside attempts lack impulsive follow-through, while downside moves are cleaner and more technically efficient due to thinner liquidity below current levels. This dynamic supports the idea of continued range rotation rather than trend continuation.
As long as Bitcoin remains capped below $94,000 and fails to reclaim the Point of Control on a closing basis, the path of least resistance remains lower. A move toward $80,000 would represent a continuation of the broader consolidation phase, not a breakdown, unless support is decisively lost.
Bittsensor TAO price analysis#TAO is still trading in a tight consolidation zone, and honestly — this structure looks very intentional.
There’s a strong feeling that someone is quietly building a large position here.
The price behavior reminds a lot of early-stage CRYPTOCAP:ETH , when it spent months moving sideways before the real expansion phase.
🔹 Minimum scenario:
A clean range trade OKX:TAOUSDT.P between $250 – $500, which already gives nearly 100% volatility without any global trend.
🔹 Maximum scenario:
= wait for a confirmed breakout and consolidation above $470
= continue gradual accumulation
= and then hold mid-term, targeting at least $1800
📈 This scenario only works if the broader market doesn’t break down — but structurally, #TAO looks very healthy.
🤔 Do you believe #Bittensor can become one of the core AI-crypto narratives of this cycle, or is this just another hype phase?
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🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
ZEC PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $436ZEC PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $436
Currently $436
Targeting $423 or Down
(Trading plan IF ZEC
go up to $455 will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
BTC | 4HCRYPTOCAP:BTC — 4H Zoom-In
Trend Reversal | Advance Progression
BTC has found strong support along the newly generated Q-Structure λ₆ near its confluence zone.
The bullish case remains intact, contingent on the resumption of the advance through Minor Wave 3, with the near-term Q-Target ➤ $104,444.44 💫.
🔖 This outlook is derived from insights within my Quantum Models framework.
🔖 The potential trend reversal has been projected since Nov. 15, during the BTC decline.
NZDUSD H4 | Bearish BreakoutBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is breaking out of our sell entry level at 0.5743, which is an overlap support.
Our stop loss is set at 0.5771, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 0.5690, which is a pullback support slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
AUDUSD – 15MClear sell-side liquidity sweep below equal lows
Strong displacement up, showing buyers stepped in.
Price reacted from a demand / discount zone.
Bias: Bullish continuation.
Look for buy on retracement into 0.6685–0.6695.
Invalidation: Below 0.6660 (clean break and close).
Structure has shifted short-term. Patience for the pullback. Let price come to you.
Novo Nordisk's (NVO)Based on a detailed technical analysis of Novo Nordisk's (NVO) stock in the context of its recent groundbreaking commercial and regulatory developments, including the U.S. launch of the oral Wegovy pill and its availability on Amazon Pharmacy, several key Fibonacci retracement levels have emerged as critical support zones. These levels provide a framework for assessing potential consolidation areas following the stock's significant uptrend, which has been fueled by the transformative GLP-1 market expansion.
Detailed Technical Support Zones:
The stock's strong performance, driven by sustained demand for its obesity and diabetes portfolio and the strategic launch of a pivotal new oral formulation, may experience periods of profit-taking or sector-wide volatility. Applying Fibonacci retracement analysis to the relevant bullish impulse wave reveals three primary technical support levels where buyer interest has historically resurfaced:
The Initial Momentum Support Zone (0.236 Fibonacci Level at $67.88):
This level, at $67.88, represents the first and most shallow tier of potential support. A retracement to this zone would indicate a mild consolidation within a firmly established long-term bullish trend. Holding above this point would suggest that the underlying momentum driven by Wegovy's oral launch and expanding market access remains robust, with investors viewing any minor dip as a buying opportunity. It acts as the frontline defense for the current bullish phase.
The Intermediate or Structural Support Zone (0.382 Fibonacci Level at $83.22):
The $83.22 level is a crucial mid-level retracement point often watched by technicians for a deeper, yet still healthy, correction. A pullback to this zone would allow the stock to digest its gains more thoroughly, potentially aligning with broader market fluctuations or temporary sector revaluations. This area is likely to attract substantial attention from institutional investors seeking to build or increase positions in a market leader at a more measured valuation, reinforcing its role as a core support pillar.
The Major Trend Support Zone (0.5 Fibonacci Level at $95.62):
The $95.62 level, corresponding to the 50% retracement, is a psychologically and technically significant threshold. A decline to this depth would signal a more substantial correction, potentially triggered by macroeconomic headwinds or competitive concerns. However, it is precisely at this level that the fundamental long-term thesis for Novo Nordisk—its dominant market share, extensive pipeline, and now a diversified product form (injectable and oral)—would be severely tested. Holding this support is paramount for maintaining the primary bullish trend structure. A decisive breakdown below $95.62 would raise caution flags, suggesting a potential period of extended consolidation.
Fundamental Context and Confluence:
These technical levels must be evaluated alongside the company's powerful fundamental catalysts:
First-Mover Advantage in Oral GLP-1s: The launch of oral Wegovy captures a new patient segment averse to injections, potentially expanding the total addressable market.
Strategic Distribution: Partnerships with Amazon Pharmacy, CVS, and digital health providers like LifeMD significantly enhance product accessibility and convenience, a key driver for chronic medication adherence.
Pricing and Policy Framework: Participation in programs like TrumpRx, while not influencing approval, demonstrates engagement with systemic cost concerns and may support broader insurance coverage over time.
Sustained Market Growth: Operating within a GLP-1 market projected to reach $95 billion by 2030 provides a long-term growth runway that underpins investor confidence.
Therefore, moves toward these Fibonacci supports may be interpreted not merely as technical reactions, but as potential entry points for investors focused on the multi-year growth narrative of Novo Nordisk's obesity and metabolic franchise.
Conclusion:
In summary, while Novo Nordisk's stock is positioned at the forefront of a high-growth pharmaceutical sector, the identified Fibonacci retracement levels at $67.88, $83.22, and $95.62 provide a structured map for potential volatility and support. The $83.22 (0.382) level is particularly strategic as a balanced retracement area. The convergence of a major new product launch, expanded distribution channels, and a vast market tailwind provides a solid fundamental backdrop, suggesting that any retracements toward these defined support zones could be met with renewed institutional buying interest, as investors capitalize on opportunities within a confirmed long-term growth story.
CIFR Short-term analysis | Trading and expectationsNASDAQ:CIFR
🎯 Wave d of the triangle may still be underway, wave e is expected to end at the daily pivot where price currently sits, above the daily 200EMA, showing the uptrend is still intact but flattening.
📈 Daily RSI bullish divergence has failed to play out, showing the bears are in control.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if price falls below wave C, $12.50, suggesting a deeper retracement
Safe trading
BTC | 4HCRYPTOCAP:BTC — 4H Zoom-In
Trend Reversal | Advance Progression
BTC retraced in Minor Wave 2 slightly beyond the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Following the initial advance, price has established support along the Q-Structure λ₅ within the divergent zone.
The bullish case remains technically intact, with a continued advance through impulsive Minor Wave 3 projected and a near-term Q-Target ➤ $104,444.44 💫, generated by
Q-Structure λᵣ.
🔖 This outlook is derived from insights within my Quantum Models framework.
🔖 This potential trend reversal has been projected since Nov. 15, during the BTC decline.
BITCOIN Realized Price shows where the bottom might be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has always priced its bottom below its Realized Price (red trend-line) on every signal Bear Cycle it had.
In fact the bottom was considerably lower than the Realized Price. The last two Bear Cycles (2022 and 2018) have had fairly similar bottoms, dropping by -33.80% and -35.45% respectively from the moment the price broke below the Realized Price.
Based on where the Realized Price is now (which by the time BTC hits it, will be lower) a rounded up -30% decline would have us reach $39000. The Realized Price deviation band (orange cloud) however would be just under $45000 towards the end of the year (which is roughly when we expect the Bear Cycle to end)
As a result, a fair bottom zone could be $45000 - $39000.
Do you think that's a feasible level to expect? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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USOIL
USOIL PRICE TO RISE TO 74$ MARK IN 2026
WHAT IS USOIL???
USOIL refers to West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, a benchmark light sweet crude primarily sourced from Texas and traded on the NYMEX (symbol: CL). It's the most common reference for U.S. oil prices in trading platforms.
Key Characteristics:
Grade: Light (API gravity ~39°), sweet (low sulfur ~0.3%).
WHAT IS SPR??
SPR stands for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the U.S. government's emergency stockpile of ~413 million barrels of crude oil stored in underground salt caverns along the Gulf Coast.
Key Facts:
Purpose: Protects against supply disruptions (wars, hurricanes, embargoes) by releasing oil to stabilize prices/fuel supply.
Established: 1975 post-Arab Oil Embargo.
Capacity: 714 million barrels max; currently ~58% full after 2022 drawdowns.
Operations: Managed by DOE; releases auctioned to refiners (e.g., 180M barrels 2022).
Market Impact: Releases can cap price spikes; refilling signals confidence in ample supply.
Relevant to your oil trading: SPR levels influence WTI (USOIL) volatility alongside inventories/OPEC+.
Key Factors Affecting Oil Prices (2026 Outlook)
the current Geopolitics in Middle East tensions and sanctions (Iran/Venezuela) will always be bullish and the De-escalation by Trump talks restore bearish bias.
2)OPEC+ Production Discipline and limiting supply's will be bullish
#usoil #oil
FXSUSDT Forming Falling WedgeFXSUSDT is forming a clear falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 140% to 150% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
This falling wedge pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching FXSUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in FXSUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
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USDCAD H4 | Bearish Reversal Off 50% Fib ResistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off our sell entry level at 1.3887, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Our stop loss is set at 1.3933, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3809, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (






















