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Harmonic Patterns

Gold Price Fluctuation Range: $4180-$4050Gold Price Fluctuation Range: $4180-$4050 Conservative Strategy: Buy low and sell high within this range As shown in the chart: Gold prices have shown signs of weakness. The recent upward trend has already absorbed related news, and gold prices may continue to fluctuate within the $4180-$4050 range this week. Therefore, our strategy is very clear: 1. For short positions, please set a stop-loss order near $4185. If you feel that setting a stop-loss order now is too large, you can place the order in stages and control the order size. Alternatively, you can wait for the price to rise and encounter resistance before shorting at a more suitable price. 2. For long positions, please pay attention to the following support levels: $4120-$4110, $4080-$4100, and $4050-$4060. Establishing long positions based on the support areas of these three ranges is a very reasonable intraday trading strategy. Final stop-loss price: $4045.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Katyusha20251118
Bullish Alt wave structure target 643/665 in QQQ based on VXNThe chart posted below is my Alt bullish wave structure we can count it two ways first it was a simple zig zag down from 639 to 580 a 9.3 % decline and an ABC flat also 9.3 % decline I will look for a 14.3 % rally off the low of 580 zone It should take about 15 TD to form the Blowoff top based on Put /call models and NASI forming support in the minus -500 zone over the last 5 years . and the HIGH QQQ VIX VXN . I have moved back again into a position long calls mid year 2027 Only as we are at downtrend lines in qqqe qqqj and rsp as of this post I alos have major support in IGV now
PYTH:QQQ
by wavetimer
Continue shorting gold, stop loss at 4155Continue shorting gold, stop loss at 4155 As shown in the chart: Current resistance: 4150 Current support: 4110 I still choose to short. I believe gold prices are unlikely to rise further. Strategy: Sell: 4135-4140 Stop loss: 4155 Take profit: 4110-4100-4080 Analysis Summary: Gold prices are currently in a key trading range, with the market's focus on expectations of a Fed rate cut. Fed officials have released dovish signals, and the market expects a rate cut in December, with a probability exceeding 80%. US retail sales data fell short of expectations, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) remained stable, suggesting a possible economic slowdown and increasing the likelihood of a rate cut. Gold prices are in a clear trading range (4110-4150 is the key range). 1. Trading Strategy Within the Current Range: Until the price breaks out of the current trading range, a buy-low-sell-high strategy can be employed. Key Resistance Level: Approximately $4150. This area is the convergence point of recent rebound highs, forming strong resistance. Key Support Level: Approximately $4110. This area is the recent low, forming short-term support. Strong support also exists in the $3971-$4020 area. Buy near support: When the price retraces to around $4110 and shows signs of stabilization (e.g., a bullish candlestick pattern), consider establishing a long position. Sell near resistance: When the price rallies to around $4150 and encounters resistance, consider establishing a small short position. 2. Post-Breakout Strategy The consolidation phase will eventually end; preparations need to be made for a breakout. Upward Breakout Confirmation Signal: If gold prices strongly break and hold above $4150, especially if they further break through $4185, the consolidation pattern may be broken, and potential upside potential expands. At this point, consider going long, following the trend, with a target price of $4190 or even higher. Downward Breakout Confirmation Signal: If gold prices decisively break below $4110, especially below $4020, or even the psychological level of $4000, it indicates strengthening downward momentum. At this point, be wary of the risk of further declines to the $3970 support level, and consider shorting on rallies. When trading within a range, a stop-loss order can be placed approximately 20 pips away. After a breakout, a stop-loss order can be placed in the opposite direction of the breakout point to guard against false breakouts.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber8
POLKADOT – LONG SETUP - LOADING SHORT SQUEEZE POTENTIALTraders, $Polkadot is close to forming a high probability long setup, but it is not confirmed yet. Here is the compact breakdown. WHY DOT IS SETTING UP Since 08 November price has been grinding down Spot CVD, Coin Margined CVD and Stablecoin Margined CVD all fell with price which confirms real sell pressure On 21 November the lows were swept Today price tapped 2.220, the pivot level, and reacted But we are still trading below 2.250, which means the squeeze setup is not active yet Why the sweep matters On Bybit around 915k Coin Margined short contracts opened into the low. Coin Margined shorts use DOT as collateral which means when DOT rises they take a double hit. The short loses value and their collateral also loses value. This makes them far easier to liquidate once price reverses. But price must reclaim the key level to trigger this effect. THE KEY LEVELS 2.220 = the pivot This is where price reacted This is the 1.113 extension of the 04 November to 08 November move This marks the completion of the downside rotation 2.250 = the trigger This is the level price must reclaim and trade above Above 2.250 shorts begin to go underwater Above 2.250 the squeeze becomes active Until $Polkadot trades above 2.250 the setup remains unconfirmed. GAMEPLAN Wait for two 30 minute candle closes above 2.250 This confirms the reclaim and activates the long setup Look for a retest of the 2.240 to 2.250 zone If buyers defend that retest it is the clean entry As long as DOT stays below 2.250 this is only a potential setup Falling back under 2.200 weakens the idea and requires reassessment TARGETS IF CONFIRMED If $Polkadot reclaims 2.250 the upside targets are: 3.675 3.877 4.063 4.327 Each level is a point to reassess momentum and structure. FINAL VIEW DOT swept the lows and trapped a large block of Coin Margined shorts. The pivot at 2.220 has been touched, but the real trigger is 2.250. Only once price reclaims and trades above 2.250 does the squeeze structure become active. Until then it remains a potential high probability setup that requires confirmation. Until the candles speak again, ThetaNomad ----------- If this helped you read the flow, drop a like and a comment None of this is financial advice
Long
by ThetaNomad
3
Gold prices are under pressure around $4150; shorting today?Gold prices are under pressure around $4150; shorting today? Currently, international spot gold prices are fluctuating at a high of $4130 per ounce. Previously, on November 24th, gold prices rose 1.75% to $4136, and reached a high of $4155 during Asian trading hours on the 25th. Technical Analysis: Currently, gold prices are in a short-term consolidation but slightly bullish pattern, showing a tendency to break out of the recent trading range. 1: New York Fed President Williams stated that "interest rates may fall in the near term"; Fed Governor Waller believes the weak job market is sufficient to support another rate cut in December—✅Bullish. 2: The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has risen sharply from less than 40% a month ago to 70%-80%—✅Bullish. 3. The US government shutdown has ended, and a large amount of delayed data (PPI, retail sales, etc.) will be released this week—⚠️Uncertainty exists. 4. The decline in the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) balance injects liquidity into the market, ensuring a continued decline in the Single Term Funding Rate (SOFR) – ✅ Positive. The above summarizes the reasons for the recent rise in gold prices. However, it should be noted that news releases are always delayed. The current rise in gold prices has already reflected these positive factors. Intraday Trading Strategy and Suggestions: Core Support Levels: $4100, $4070, $3971-$4004 range Key Resistance Levels: $4150, $4200, $4240 Trend Assessment: Gold prices may rebound further. Long Strategy: If gold prices hold the $4100 support level, a small long position can be established, with a target price of $4150-$4200. Short Strategy: If gold prices fall below $4100 and fail to rebound, they may test the $4070 support level. Breakout Strategy: If gold prices effectively break through the resistance level of $4150, consider adding to your position, with a target price of $4200. Regarding trading strategies, a range-bound approach is recommended, closely monitoring whether gold prices break through the key support level of $4100 and the resistance level of $4150. Pay close attention to the US economic data released this week and speeches by Federal Reserve officials, as these could act as catalysts for market direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja00_Golden
Pi Network (PI) Update, bullish reversal?Pi Network is developing a clear accumulation range above the $0.21 zone, showing stability after a period of corrective movement. Higher lows forming beneath the point of control indicate that buying pressure is gradually building. As long as PI continues to hold above this support region, the structure leans toward a potential rotation into higher resistance levels. A decisive reclaim of $0.26 would strengthen the bullish case and increase the probability of expansion toward the upper boundaries of the range. Key Points - Accumulation forming above key support - Higher lows showing improving internal structure - Break above $0.26 may open the path to higher resistance What to Expect If Pi Network reclaims $0.26 with strong volume, a rally toward $0.28–$0.29 becomes more probable. Failure to hold $0.21, however, would weaken the current accumulation zone and delay further upside attempts.
OKX:PIUSDLong
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
Why Manual Forex Trading Is Officially Dead 📘 Why Manual Forex Trading Is Officially Dead — And AI Will Bury It in 2026 ________________________________________ 1. 🚨 Executive Summary Manual FX trading is not merely declining—it is entering its terminal phase. As of 2025, the confluence of record-low volatility, crushed daily ranges, shrinking spot volumes, and hyper-efficient AI execution frameworks has dismantled the edge discretionary traders once possessed. Regulators report that 74–89% of retail CFD/FX traders lose money, with internal broker statistics showing even higher failure rates—often pushing the informal industry estimate of 90–95% account blow-up rates. The structural market environment now exacerbates those figures: less movement, tighter spreads, and faster AI-driven price formation leave no oxygen for manual decision-making. The verdict is clear: manual FX trading is no longer a competitive activity—it's an anachronism. ________________________________________ 2. 📉 Structural Breakdown of FX in 2025: A Market That No Longer Moves The fundamental requirement for profitable manual FX trading—price movement—has been suppressed. According to multiple 2023–2024 analyses (Reuters, BIS), FX markets entered a multi-year period of historically subdued volatility, with the CVIX (Currency Volatility Index) sitting near multi-cycle lows. Major pairs like EUR/USD and USD/JPY are posting 1/3 to 1/2 of their historical daily ranges, compressing intraday opportunity. What used to be 80–120 pip swings are now 30–50 pip oscillations dominated by micro-structure noise rather than directional moves. In this environment, manual traders have insufficient statistical runway to generate returns, while AI systems can still monetize tiny dislocations at millisecond speed. ________________________________________ 3. 🌊 Trading Volumes & Liquidity Concentration: The Game Has Moved On The 2022 BIS Triennial Survey already documented a shift: spot FX volumes stagnated while swap and forward activity increased, driven by hedging and treasury optimization rather than speculative flows. By 2025, institutional venues show continued softness in spot volumes, and even the leading eFX platforms reported lower activity during prolonged volatility droughts. This matters because: • Lower volume = fewer sustained directional trends • More volume concentrated among algos = fewer exploitable inefficiencies • Liquidity providers internalize flow before it ever becomes visible to retail charts Manual trading can’t survive structural liquidity centralization reinforced by machine execution. ________________________________________ 4. 💀 Retail Traders Are Already Inferior Competitors and the Data Shows It Manual traders are not just competing against the market—they are competing against: • Prime brokers running internal AI risk engines • HFT firms reading order books at microsecond resolution • Banks using reinforcement-learning execution algos ESMA’s regulatory disclosures show 74–89% of retail FX/CFD accounts lose money, but internal broker studies often cite 90–95% destruction rates, especially when volatility is muted. The brutal truth: manual traders blow up because the game is no longer designed for human reaction speed or intuition. ________________________________________ 5. 🤖 AI & Algorithmic Dominance: The 2026 Regime Shift By 2026, FX will be AI-first, not human-first. Institutional adoption of AI execution is growing double digits annually (per GMI, GrandView), and retail brokers are already rolling out AI-assisted trade generation, AI signal clusters, and AI risk models. AI advantages include: • Predictive ability using LSTM/transformers trained on terabytes of tick data • Zero-latency execution across fragmented liquidity pools • Ability to profit in low-volatility regimes via microstructure edge • Adaptive models that rewrite themselves every 24 hours • No fatigue, no bias, no emotional degradation In contrast, manual traders operate on slow cognition, subjective pattern recognition, and outdated chart heuristics. This is not a fair fight. Manual trading is no longer a skill—it's an obsolete hobby. ________________________________________ 6. 🧩 Contrarian Insight: Manual Trading Isn't Just Dying—It’s Being Engineered Out Here are non-obvious, high-conviction insights that institutional investors should consider: (1) Market makers WANT low volatility Low volatility increases internalization efficiency and reduces hedging costs. Human traders thrive on chaos; AI thrives on order. Who does the system favor? (2) AI reduces liquidity available to humans Liquidity is increasingly “dark” inside internal matching engines, meaning price discovery happens before retail traders ever see the candle. (3) Manual trading can’t survive the “fractionalization” of edge AI doesn’t need large moves—it monetizes micro-micro-inefficiencies in ways humans never could. (4) Spread compression kills human R:R ratios With 0.1–0.3 pip spreads on majors, AI can scalp micro-spreads—humans cannot. (5) Behavioral inefficiencies have been minimized Classic manual strategies—breakouts, fib levels, candlestick patterns—worked because humans created predictable behavioral cycles. Now? AI models detect and arbitrage those behaviors instantly. The most contrarian conclusion? Manual trading didn’t die naturally—the market evolved to eliminate it. ________________________________________ 7. ⏳Why 2025–2026 Is the Final Cutoff Point Three forces collide in this window: 1. Volatility compression (structure-driven, not temporary) 2. AI adoption exceeding human adaptability 3. Retail traders facing the worst statistical environment in 15 years This is the first time in FX history where: • Human intuition has zero measurable edge • AI dominance is irreversible • Market conditions structurally reject manual trading The past cycles always argued “vol will return.” In 2025–2026, that is no longer a credible investment thesis. ________________________________________ 8. 📈 Implications for Investors & Brokers Investors should allocate to: • AI-driven FX funds • ML-enhanced macro strategies • Data infrastructure feeding predictive FX models Brokers should: • Pivot to AI-based trading tools • Monetize analytics subscriptions • Shift away from promoting discretionary trading education The firms that expect a retail manual trading revival will be structurally misaligned with market evolution. ________________________________________ ________________________________________ 🔥 Final Conclusion: Manual Traders Will Be Left Behind in 2026 The logic is now overwhelming: low volatility + low ranges + reduced volumes + AI dominance = endgame for manual FX trading. Human discretionary trading cannot survive in a marketplace designed for—and increasingly ruled by—data-driven, sub-millisecond, self-learning AI engines. Manual traders in 2026 will not fight the bots. They will simply be trading inside a system architected by the bots, reacting slowly to patterns that no longer exist. The era is over. The market has moved on.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
33
Update on the watchlist analysis USDJPYSince our last analysis, the price hasn’t made any significant moves and is waiting for news. The price is pulling back at support. Overall, our plan for this pair is long only; short positions don’t make sense because the underlying trend is bullish. A buy stop is a good option, and the trigger is still open. If you’re monitoring the chart, you might find an earlier entry trigger on a lower timeframe, which is possible. If you want, we can also provide a 15-minute timeframe analysis to spot a lower-timeframe trigger.
Long
by PouyanFa
Update on the watchlist analysis CADCHFAccording to our watchlist, the price that has been trapped within the range has now reached the top of the range. Looking back, you can see the price tried several times to break the range resistance but failed. Plan A (preferred): Wait for the price to move back to the bottom of the range and trigger our short entry, as the overall trend behind this range is bearish. Plan B: If the range top breaks and is confirmed on the 4H timeframe (not lower), we can enter a long position. Currently, the price has pulled back to the zone we identified, but the trigger has not yet fired. You can either: Place a sell stop so that if news causes a sudden big candle down, we don’t miss the trend. Or set an alert and monitor closely.
Short
by PouyanFa
BITCOIN:LIVE TRADEHello friends considering the decline we had, the sellers made a bottom and the buyers came in. The sellers again broke the previous bottom with strength and made a bottom, and the buyers came in and raised the price and succeeded in hitting a higher ceiling. And in the pullback, the open price is supported and here we can enter a buy transaction considering the support of buyers and hitting a higher ceiling, of course with risk and capital management and be careful not to make emotional decisions. *Trade safely with us*
Long
by TheHunters_Company