Harmonic Patterns
Bullish bounce of 38.2% Fib Support?Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1610
1st Support: 1.1565
1st Resistance: 1.1669
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 98.83
1st Support: 98.40
1st Resistance: 99.53
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Bullish Momentum Accumulates, Breakout ImminentCurrent Market Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Accumulates, Breakout Imminent
The market is currently trading within a consolidation range of $87,500 - $92,000. At $90,900, which lies in the upper - middle part of this range, it boasts an optimal layout advantage characterized by clear support and accessible resistance.
The core support levels below are well - structured. The $89,000 - $89,500 range serves as a recent high - volume trading zone. Meanwhile, the $87,500 - $88,000 zone has demonstrated robust buying interest amid recent sharp pullbacks. After two rounds of tests, prices rebounded rapidly to recover lost ground here, making this zone a critical lifeline for bullish defense. On the resistance front, focus centers on the $93,000 - $94,000 interval. A successful breakout above this range will unlock upside momentum, paving the way for a rebound toward $95,000 — the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level .
The daily chart shows distinct signs of strengthening. The RSI indicator has recovered from the previous oversold zone to the neutral territory. Having broken free from the weak trend without entering the overbought zone, there remains ample room for further upside. For the MACD indicator, the green bars have been continuously narrowing, and the fast and slow lines are on the verge of forming a golden cross . This indicates that selling pressure is gradually fading, and bullish momentum is initially building up.
The key moving average system provides solid support. The 200 - hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) hovers around $88,000, with its downward slope becoming increasingly gentle — a signal that selling pressure is abating . Currently, prices are firmly standing above the Middle Band of the Bollinger Bands at $89,300, confirming the short - term strong price structure .
On the 4 - hour chart, the 15 - period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $90,460 acts as immediate support . Notably, the Bollinger Bands are clearly contracting, which signals that a breakout move is imminent. Historical data reveals that after the emergence of such technical patterns, the probability of a short - term rebound exceeds 70%.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy:90000-91000
tp:92000-93000-95000
sl:89000
NQ TOWARDS ALL TIME HIGHS Technical Analysis (Bullish Bias With Key Levels)
Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ) continue to show a bullish structure as long as price holds above the 25539 support zone. The market has been forming higher lows on the intraday timeframes, signaling continued buyer interest near liquidity pockets. Your bullish target at 25822 aligns with the current momentum, as price has been respecting trendline support and rotating upward from demand zones created during previous New York sessions. A clean break and hold above 25822 could open the door for an extension into the next liquidity cluster, allowing buyers to push toward psychological levels above 25900.
However, despite the bullish bias, the 25539 support remains the critical line in the sand. If this level fails, it would signal that the market has accepted lower pricing and that sellers have absorbed buy-side liquidity. A decisive break below 25539—especially accompanied by high volume—would likely trigger short-term momentum shorts targeting the imbalance zones created during the last leg up. This shift would invalidate the bullish structure and potentially initiate a deeper retracement toward the previous week’s value area. Until then, bulls remain in control, but the reaction at 25539 will determine whether the trend continues or flips.
Fundamental Analysis
From a macro perspective, NQ remains supported by strong fundamentals driven primarily by the performance of large-cap tech companies, resilient corporate earnings, and ongoing investor expectations for future rate cuts. The Federal Reserve’s tone has recently shifted more dovish, indicating that although inflation remains sticky, monetary easing is still on the table for the upcoming quarters. This keeps growth sectors—especially technology—attractive, as lower interest rates improve future earnings projections and strengthen valuation models for high-beta stocks.
At the same time, markets remain sensitive to macroeconomic data releases such as CPI, PCE, and labor-market readings. Any upside surprise in inflation or stronger-than-expected employment data could temporarily pressure NQ, as it may delay the Fed’s easing timeline. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and shifts in semiconductor policy remain potential sources of volatility. Overall, while short-term fluctuations are expected, the fundamental backdrop continues to favor higher prices for Nasdaq-focused assets, supporting your bullish outlook until key support levels fail.
Broadcom Rides the AI Wave, Fueling Nasdaq's AscentSemiconductor titan Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) emerged as a key catalyst driving the Nasdaq Composite significantly higher during a robust trading session for the technology sector. This bullish momentum was fueled by a confluence of positive developments within the artificial intelligence ecosystem, directly benefiting Broadcom's strategic positioning.
The optimism was ignited over the weekend by affirming analyst commentary regarding Alphabet (Google)'s advancements in AI. As a critical supplier of custom networking and AI accelerator chips for Google's data centers, Broadcom stands as a direct beneficiary of the search giant's accelerated investments. This sentiment was further amplified by e-commerce and cloud behemoth Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), which unveiled ambitious new plans to commit tens of billions of dollars toward AI infrastructure. Given Broadcom's established role as a supplier for custom silicon solutions, this announcement signals a powerful, forward-looking demand driver for its semiconductor business.
While a segment of the market maintains a prudent long-term perspective, cautiously watching for any potential saturation or deceleration in the torrent of AI capital expenditure, the immediate reaction to concrete, large-scale investment announcements remains overwhelmingly positive. These deals serve as tangible validation of Broadcom's growth trajectory and its entrenched role in the foundational infrastructure of the AI revolution.
Technical Perspective and Price Outlook
From a chart analysis standpoint, Broadcom's technical setup presents a compelling case for continued strength. The stock is demonstrating remarkable resilience, consolidating above a key Fibonacci support level. Specifically, the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $327.85 has acted as a reliable springboard, confirming a strong base of buyer interest at that price point.
This robust foundation, underpinned by powerful fundamental tailwinds, provides a confident outlook for the stock's upward trajectory. Our analysis projects a strong and positive target zone between $400 and $440. Given the potent combination of sector-wide momentum and the company's firm-specific catalysts, we anticipate a high probability that AVGO will challenge and test this target range in the foreseeable future. The confluence of strong fundamentals and a bullish technical structure makes Broadcom a standout contender for continued outperformance.
The bearish trend of gold is clear.(I) Technical Side: Clear Breakdown Signal, Bearish Structure Formed
A classic bearish divergence has emerged on the daily chart: gold prices have made higher recent highs, but the RSI indicator has continued to decline, reflecting exhausted bullish momentum .
On the 4-hour chart, the 5-day moving average (MA5) has crossed below the 20-day moving average (MA20) to form a death cross. Gold prices have broken below the ascending trend line support, and the Bollinger Bands have started to open downward — a pattern consistent with a breakout short position after consolidation.
The key support level of $4,185 has failed. Only weak support exists around $4,170 below; a break of this level will trigger accelerated pullback . On the hourly chart, the MACD death cross persists with expanding green momentum bars, confirming a clear short-term downward trend.
(II) Fundamental Side: Concentrated Bearish Factors, Weakened Support Logic
Market expectations for a Fed rate cut in December have reached 87%. After overpricing, there is a risk of "buy the rumor, sell the fact" — a classic Wall Street trading pattern where prices fall once anticipated policies are realized .
The Fed has entered its pre-meeting blackout period, with no new dovish signals emerging. This has fueled rising willingness among capital to take profits.
Geopolitical tensions have not escalated: the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East situation remain stable, leaving safe-haven demand without incremental catalysts . Additionally, speculative net long positions in gold remain at elevated levels, creating short-term liquidation pressure from crowded trades .
Gold trading strategy
sell:4190-4200
tp:4180-4170-4150
sl:4210
Wait for the callback to endFrom the previous analysis, price respected the marked bottom and followed through toward the 4222–4250 USD target zone. We now have a clean breakout, a successful retest, and stabilization, with price starting to form a fresh re-accumulation structure above the prior range.
At this stage, the market is showing strong bullish intent, but for the next leg higher, we still require a liquidity sweep—a controlled dip to grab resting orders—before GOLD gears up for the next expansion.
Once liquidity is collected, the structure supports a continuation move toward a new ATH, potentially before year-end if momentum maintains.
(NVDA) Complex China Saga and Strategic ImplicationsRecent developments surrounding Nvidia’s ability to sell advanced chips in China highlight the profound geopolitical and commercial challenges facing the AI semiconductor leader. The announcement of a deal by the Trump administration to allow the sale of its H200 chip to "approved customers" in China represents a significant, yet highly conditional, policy shift.
The Shrinking China Footprint and Revenue Impact
The data underscores a dramatic contraction in Nvidia's China business, a direct result of successive U.S. export controls. For the latest quarter, Nvidia's revenue from China stood at $2.8 billion, accounting for just 5% of its total sales. This figure is starkly lower than:
The $8.4 billion Wall Street had projected for the quarter.
The 13% of overall revenue China represented in the previous fiscal year.
This decline illustrates the substantial financial toll of the regulatory environment. In contrast, Nvidia's revenue from the United States ($39.2 billion) and Taiwan ($13.8 billion) demonstrates where its growth momentum has decisively shifted, fueled by global demand for AI data center infrastructure outside of the restricted Chinese market.
A Rollercoaster of Regulatory Actions
The path to the current "approved customers" deal has been fraught with volatility:
The April Ban: An unexpected move by the Trump administration in April effectively banned sales of the H20 chip to China, causing a significant stock sell-off and an estimated $2.5 billion in lost Q1 revenue.
The August Deal: Following intensive lobbying by CEO Jensen Huang, President Trump agreed in August to grant export licenses. However, this came with an unprecedented condition: Nvidia would be required to share 15% of its China revenues with the U.S. government.
Chinese Retaliation: In a complicating twist, Chinese regulators subsequently moved to ban domestic tech firms from purchasing the very H20 chips Nvidia was now licensed to sell, reflecting the tit-for-tat nature of the tech war and potentially undermining the value of the U.S. concession.
Nvidia's CFO, Colette Kress, encapsulated the company's position, stating disappointment over being unable to ship "more competitive" products to China while committing to continued engagement with both governments to advocate for global competitiveness.
Strategic and Market Implications
This situation places Nvidia in a delicate balancing act. The new deal potentially opens a narrow channel for revenue, but under terms that cede a portion of profits and face demand-side uncertainty from Chinese buyers. The company's strategy appears to be one of resilient diversification, having successfully reallocated its immensely sought-after supply to other global markets, as evidenced by its monumental U.S. and Taiwan revenue figures. The long-term risk remains that prolonged restrictions could accelerate China's drive for semiconductor self-sufficiency, creating future competitors.
Technical Perspective and Key Levels
From a chart analysis standpoint, following the significant news-driven price movements, key Fibonacci retracement levels have emerged as critical technical supports for Nvidia's stock:
First Support Zone: $182.53 (0.236 Fibonacci Level)
This represents the initial level where buyers may step in to defend the prevailing trend during a pullback. Holding above this zone would suggest underlying strength remains intact.
Second & Stronger Support Zone: $164.20 (0.382 Fibonacci Level)
This is identified as a more significant support area. A test of this level would indicate a deeper correction, and its ability to hold would be a crucial test of the stock's structural bullish foundation amid ongoing geopolitical headlines.
Conclusion
Nvidia's navigation of the U.S.-China tech conflict is a masterclass in managing geopolitical risk. While the new "approved customers" deal provides a partial and costly relief valve, the company's financial performance proves its growth is no longer dependent on the Chinese market. Investors must weigh the incremental benefit of reopened, albeit diminished, China sales against the persistent risks of regulatory whiplash from both nations and the long-term strategic decoupling of the tech ecosystems. The stock's trajectory will likely continue to be influenced by these macro forces, with the identified technical support levels serving as important gauges of market sentiment through the volatility.
“AVGO Trading Signal: SHORT | Katy AI Shows Downside MomentumAVGO QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction 2025-12-08
QuantSignals Katy AI Stock Analysis
Analyzed 1 stock(s): AVGO
AVGO Analysis
Current Price: $401.58
Final Prediction: $397.05 (-1.13%)
30min Target: $397.57 (-1.00%)
Trend: BEARISH
Confidence: 57.5%
Volatility: 16.6%
🎯
TRADE SIGNAL:
Direction: SHORT
Entry: $401.58
Target: $397.96
Stop Loss: $407.60
Expected Move: -1.13%
Summary: Generated 1 trade signals from 1 successful analyses out of 1 symbols.
AMD Weekly Forecast: Bearish Katy Prediction Overrides Bullish F📉 AMD — PUT Signal (High-Conflict Bearish Play) Date: 2025-12-08
Katy AI shows a clear bearish trajectory despite bullish weekly momentum and bullish options flow.
🎯 PUT Trade Setup
Direction: PUT
Strike: $220P
Entry: $0.45 – $0.47
Target 1: $0.90
Target 2: $1.35
Stop Loss: $0.23
Expiry: 2025-12-12 (4 days)
Position Size: 2% (high risk)
🧠 Why PUT?
Katy AI Prediction
Predicts drop toward $217.47 (-2.48%)
Extends to $216.03 (-3.13%) by Tuesday
168-point projection = consistent downside path
Technical Signals
RSI 77.9 (overbought) → reversal risk
Price $223 above VWAP → divergence
Resistance $224.17 is holding
Support $214.14 → room to fall
Flow Sentiment
Options flow very bullish (PCR 0.38)
But Katy bearish → contrarian put setup
⚠️ Risk Warning
HIGH RISK setup due to LLM vs Katy conflict
Fast exit required if bullish flow accelerates
Strict stop loss recommended
NBIS Weekly CALL Play: Early Pump Targeted Before the DropNBIS Weekly Signal | 2025-12-08
🔥 Market Mood: Mixed Momentum
📈 Indices: S&P and Nasdaq showing mild bullish bias
💵 Volatility: Cooling off — traders favor short-term breakouts
🧠 Flow Sentiment: Calls slightly outweigh puts (mildly bullish)
🏦 Macro: No major Fed events today → smoother intraday setups
🎯 Spotlight Trade Idea (General Template)
(Works for any stock — tell me a ticker and I’ll customize it.)
Setup Type: Momentum Scalping
Direction: LONG (high-volume breakouts)
Ideal Entry: At retest of support / VWAP bounce
Target Range: +0.8% to +1.5%
Stop Loss: Below VWAP or -0.5%
Confidence: Moderate (50–60%)
Timeframe: 5–30 min candles
🧠 Why This Works Today
Market volatility is low → breakout patterns cleaner
Options flow is leaning bullish → supports long scalps
High-volume names (NVDA, AAPL, TSLA, META) showing strong tape action
Algorithms heavily targeting liquidity pockets → fast moves
⚠️ Risk Notes
Avoid chasing extended candles
Respect stop losses
Liquidity thinner near close → extra slippage risk
MSFT Swing Buy Setup — Multi-Factor Bullish Confirmation📈 MSFT QuantSignals V3 Swing Analysis | 2025-12-08
MSFT Swing Signal — 2025-12-08
• Direction: BUY CALLS
• Confidence: 65%
• Horizon: 18 days → 2025-12-26 expiry
• Strike Focus: $460.00
• Entry Range: $33.70
• Target 1: $49.80
• Stop Loss: $23.50
• 1W Move: +1.49%
• 2W Move: +2.15%
• Volume: 1.0× vs prior swing
• Swing Range: $480.08 – $492.30
⚠️ Moderate Risk: Consider reducing position size due to moderate confidence.
🎯 TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence Level: 65% (MEDIUM)
Conviction: Medium
⚠️ KATY–LLM CONFLICT DETECTED
Conflict: Direction
LLM Recommendation: BUY CALLS
Katy AI Chart Prediction: BUY PUTS (-1.40% predicted move)
Katy Confidence: 50%
Proceed with caution — signals do not fully align.
🧠 ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Katy AI Outlook
Predicts STRONG_BULLISH trajectory targeting $520+ within 3 weeks
Driven by earnings momentum + AI leadership catalysts
Technical Analysis
Resistance: $493.50 (today’s high)
Support: $482.87 (VWAP)
Trading near 90% of swing range → potential breakout
Bullish divergence across momentum indicators
No major candlestick reversal patterns detected
Market Context
Overall Market: STRONG BULLISH
SPY: Bullish
QQQ: Bullish
Strong alignment with tech-sector momentum.
News Sentiment
Bullish — MSFT featured in favorable TA articles
Instacart x ChatGPT partnership strengthens MSFT AI dominance
Options Flow
PCR 1.31 → bearish-leaning flow
Heavy volume at $420 puts suggests hedging rather than bearish direction
Low theta decay ideal for swings
Risk Level: MODERATE
Watch for clean breakout above $493.50.
💰 TRADE SETUP
Expiry: 2025-12-26 (18 days)
Recommended Strike: $460.00 (0.881 delta — balanced)
Entry Range: $33.10–$34.30 (use exact real-time bid/ask)
Target 1: $49.80 (+50%)
Target 2: $66.40 (+100%)
Stop Loss: $23.50 (-30%)
Position Size: 3% of portfolio
AAPL 1-Month Projection: Low-Volatility Neutral PatternAAPL QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction 2025-12-08
QuantSignals Katy AI Stock Analysis
Analyzed 1 stock(s): AAPL
AAPL Analysis
Current Price: $276.54
Final Prediction: $276.97 (+0.16%)
30min Target: $277.86 (+0.48%)
Trend: NEUTRAL
Confidence: 49.3%
Volatility: 5.7%
Summary: Generated 0 trade signals from 1 successful analyses out of 1 symbols.
Gold Price Expected to Fall: $4150Gold Price Expected to Fall: $4150
As shown on the 2-hour chart:
We saw a false breakout in gold prices, followed by a decline today.
But is it truly stable?
Is the downtrend really safe?
At least in today's trading, we've made a respectable profit of $3200 per lot.
Continuing our trend-following strategy:
We now judge the probability of a genuine breakout in gold prices to be over 70%.
Based on this assumption:
Effective Resistance Level for Gold: $4200-$4190
Effective Support Level for Gold: $4180
The current trading strategy is very clear:
Sell: $4190
Stop Loss: $4205
Take Profit: $4150-$4100
There are countless profitable strategies and trading methods.
But from a technical analysis perspective, this strategy is currently the most cost-effective.
We believe the gold price will fall below $4150.
Therefore, this strategy is ideal.
You can understand my trading rhythm by viewing my real trading records on my channel. Through long-term practice and trading experience, my trading philosophy and methods have proven highly effective for me.
I have led my team to achieve an average weekly return of nearly 100 points.
We only release 1-2 high-quality signals per day.
But fewer signals do not mean less profit.
In fact, our pace is very slow and relaxed.
Now, we will continue to observe whether the gold price will fall as we expect and reach the next target: $4150.
Bitcoin - The classic bullrun top creation!🗿Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) created the bullrun top:
🔎Analysis summary:
A couple of weeks ago, Bitcoin retested a major decade long resistance curve. Since Bitcoin then already created bearish confirmation, we are currently seeing an expected crackdown. Considering all the underlying trends, this bearish cycle is still not over yet.
📝Levels to watch:
$70,000 and $50,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
SOFI Short-Term Upside Alert | Katy AI Predicts GainSOFI QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction 2025-12-05
QuantSignals Katy AI Stock Analysis
Analyzed 1 stock(s): SOFI
SOFI Analysis
Current Price: $27.35
Final Prediction: $27.61 (+0.93%)
30min Target: $27.68 (+1.20%)
Trend: BULLISH
Confidence: 56.2%
Volatility: 15.9%
🎯
TRADE SIGNAL:
Direction: LONG
Entry: $27.35
Target: $27.55
Stop Loss: $26.94
Expected Move: +0.93%
Summary: Generated 1 trade signals from 1 successful analyses out of 1 symbols.
COIN Short-Term Pullback Alert | Katy AI Predicts DowntrendCOIN QuantSignals Katy 1M Prediction 2025-12-08
QuantSignals Katy AI Stock Analysis
Analyzed 1 stock(s): COIN
COIN Analysis
Current Price: $274.60
Final Prediction: $271.38 (-1.17%)
30min Target: $272.27 (-0.85%)
Trend: BEARISH
Confidence: 57.9%
Volatility: 14.9%
🎯
TRADE SIGNAL:
Direction: SHORT
Entry: $274.60
Target: $272.02
Stop Loss: $278.72
Expected Move: -1.17%
Summary: Generated 1 trade signals from 1 successful analyses out of 1 symbols
Smooth Curves in a Volatile MarketThe week of Monday 21st November 2022, following a descent from its all-time high of £3.01 trillion, the total crypto market cap registered a low of £727.58 billion.
On the week of Monday 27th March 2023, the 14-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossed above £1.02 trillion.
On Monday 11th December 2023, the SMA crossed £1.25 trillion.
On Monday 22nd January 2024, it crossed above £1.48 trillion.
On Monday 4th March 2024, it continued upward and crossed £1.75 trillion.
By Monday 22nd April 2024, the SMA crossed £2.22 trillion.
It reached a local peak at £2.39 trillion and began turning downward on Monday 3rd June 2024, crossing back down through £2.22 trillion as it declined.
On Monday 19th August 2024, it touched £2.11 trillion and began to turn back up, starting its upward curve on Monday 21st October 2024.
It crossed back above £2.22 trillion on Monday 11th November 2024.
The rise continued, and on Monday 6th January 2025, the SMA crossed above £3.01 trillion.
On Monday 17th February 2025, it reached a local high at £3.3 trillion, and began to turn downward, crossing £3.01 trillion again on Monday 31st March 2025.
The SMA completed its downward move and began turning upward again on Monday 5th May 2025, and on Monday 23rd June 2025, it crossed above £3.01 trillion once more.
On Monday 14th July 2025, the SMA crossed £3.33 trillion,
then £3.49 trillion on Monday 11th August,
and £3.65 trillion on Monday 1st September.
It reached a new local high at £3.82 trillion on Monday 20th October 2025, before turning down again and crossing below £3.65 trillion on Monday 24th November 2025.






















