Harmonic Patterns
EURNZD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP📌 Trade Plan (EURNZD – Short Setup)
🔻 Entry Reason
Clear CHoCH at the highs, signaling bearish shift.
Strong bearish displacement broke prior support.
Price is now pulling back into a key supply / resistance zone (previous support turned resistance).
Expecting continuation toward sell-side liquidity below.
🔻 Entry
Sell on rejection in the 2.0285–2.0310 resistance zone.
Prefer bearish confirmation (rejection / engulfing / lower-TF structure break).
🛑 Stop Loss (SL)
Above the resistance & swing high:
2.0355–2.0400
🎯 Take Profit (TP)
Target downside demand & liquidity:
2.0140–2.0100
(Aligned with the lower green demand zone and projected move)
📉 Why This Trade Makes Sense
Market structure flipped bearish (CHoCH).
Pullback into premium + supply
Clean impulse → retracement → continuation model.
Favorable risk-to-reward profile.
Nifty Upcoming Projection 29.12.2025Nifty, short for National Stock Exchange Fifty, is a benchmark stock market index in India. It tracks the performance of the top 50 large and liquid companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE).
## Key Features
Nifty 50 represents diverse sectors and serves as a key indicator of the Indian economy's health. Stocks are selected based on market capitalization, liquidity, and sectoral representation, with periodic reviews every six months.
## Calculation Method
The index uses a free-float market capitalization-weighted approach, where the weight of each stock reflects its available shares in the market. This provides a real-time snapshot updated during trading hours.
## Importance
Investors and fund managers use Nifty as a benchmark for mutual funds, ETFs, and portfolios to gauge market performance.
UKOILSPOT H1 | Potential Bearish ReversalBased on the H1 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to our sell entry level at 61.24, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 61.24, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 62.05, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
Silver’s Peak and the Hook - What next?The recent price action in silver has offered a textbook example of market structure, wave dynamics, and sentiment shifts. Trading at $76.04 at the time of writing, silver recently surged to a high of $83.75 before entering a sharp retracement. This pullback, commonly referred to as a "hook," follows a strong impulsive rally and raises important questions about what comes next—reaccumulation for another leg up or the early signs of a broader correction.
On the 30-minute timeframe, silver’s rally began near $64.5 and progressed in a well-defined five-wave Elliott Wave impulse. Each wave respected the boundaries of an ascending price channel, demonstrating disciplined bullish structure. The final push in wave five lifted silver into a marked “Area of Interest” zone just below $84, where price overextended beyond the upper boundary of the channel. This breakout, while exciting, also showed signs of exhaustion, particularly when volume surged—a sign that often precedes profit-taking or distribution by institutional participants.
The rally from the low to the peak represented nearly a 30 percent move in a relatively short time. As price reached $83.75, buyers hesitated and sellers took control. What followed was the formation of the "hook"—a steep retracement to a low of $75.83. Although sharp, this retracement is not necessarily a sign of a bearish reversal. In market psychology, such hooks are common as traders take profits, stop orders are triggered, and sentiment briefly shifts from euphoria to fear.
The psychology behind this hook is a classic pattern. During the wave five surge, traders experience excitement and FOMO, which often draws in retail participation late in the move. As the rally stalls, early buyers take profits, leaving those who bought late with quick losses. This creates a wave of selling pressure. Smart money, having exited at the peak, may now be watching for re-entry zones closer to key Fibonacci levels or structural supports. If price holds and consolidates between $75 and $76 with reduced selling volume, a bounce could initiate the next bullish wave. However, if the $75.36 zone fails decisively, the correction may evolve into a deeper ABC structure, retracing further toward $73 or even testing the base of wave four around $70.
From a forward-looking perspective, two major scenarios are in play. The bullish case requires price to hold above the 0.618 retracement and reclaim levels above $78.50 to signal trend continuation. A breakout above this minor resistance would signal renewed demand and open the door to retesting the previous high and potentially setting a new one. The bearish case would be triggered if the price breaks below $75 with conviction, leading to a retest of deeper structure and possibly initiating a broader trend correction toward $70 or below.
GOLD H1 | Could We See A Bounce?The price is reacting off our buy entry level of 4,444.83, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is at 4,519.14, which is a pullback resistance.
Our stop loss is at 4,417.57, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
AUDUSD H4 | Bullish Momentum To Extend FurtherThe price could fall to our buy entry level at 0.6674, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is at 0.6744, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Our stop loss is at 0.6646, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
USDJPY H4 | Heading into 61.8% Fib ResistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see the price rise to our sell entry level at 156.90, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is at 155.48, which is a pullback resistance, which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is at 157.70, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
USDCHF H1 | Bullish BounceBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see the price fall to our buy entry level at 0.7880, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.7906, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 0.7863, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
GBPUSD M30 | Bullish Bounce Off SupportThe price could fall to our buy entry level at 1.3471, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3508, an overlap support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is set at 1.3446, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (
Current Action and Scenarios and Overview EUR/USD I 12/29Current Action and Scenarios
Price Action: The price is attempting a minor recovery but is currently hitting the intersection of the descending trendline and the VAL zone.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to close above the trendline and 1.1766, it will likely continue dropping to seek lower liquidity.
Recovery Scenario: The bearish structure is only invalidated if the price decisively breaks the trendline and reclaims the POC (1.1775).
Summary: The technical bias is sell-on-strength. Look for short opportunities near the trendline or POC as long as the price remains capped by these resistances.
EURUSD H1 | Bearish Drop OffBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is rising towards our sell entry level at 1.1769, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1726, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is set at 1.1788, which is an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited ( ), Stratos Europe Ltd ( fxcm.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC ( fxcm.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited ( fxcm.com/au ):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
YTD 2025 Market Performance Overview by ProjectSyndicate
🟡 1. YTD 2025 Market Performance Summary
Below is a snapshot of major asset class returns through 2025 YTD:
📊 Performance Infographic – YTD Returns (2025)
• Precious Metals
◦ 🥈 Silver: +150%
◦ 🥇 Platinum: +147%
◦ 🪙 Palladium: +92%
◦ 🟡 Gold: +64%
• Equity Markets
◦ 📈 Nikkei: +27%
◦ 📈 DAX: +22%
◦ 📈 QQQ: +22%
• Cryptocurrencies (Risk Assets)
◦ 🪙 Bitcoin (BTC): –4%
◦ 🪙 Ethereum (ETH): –10%
Insight: Classic safe havens precious metals vastly outperformed equities and digital assets through 2025, reflecting both macro uncertainty and the ongoing demand for real assets.
🌟 2. Key Investment Themes for 2025
🔶 A. Precious Metals Rally
Performance Drivers:
• Elevated inflation expectations and rate cut prospects pushed investors into hard assets.
• Silver’s industrial demand (EVs, solar, electrification) amplified its gain vs. gold.
• Platinum & palladium benefited from supply constraints and vehicle emissions tech demand.
• Safe-haven demand lifted gold to multi-decade highs.
🤖 B. AI Technology Sector
While we don’t have precise index returns in this report for AI technology stocks, broad AI adoption drove significant equity performance — especially among semiconductor and AI platform leaders:
• NVDA Nvidia — continued leadership in AI compute.
• AMD — robust gains from data-center and AI client demand.
🧬 C. Biotechnology & Innovation
Biotech remains a structural growth sector due to:
• Aging demographics and healthcare demand.
• New drug modalities and AI-assisted discovery.
• Continued regulatory approvals of new therapeutic classes.
Although biotech performance varies by sub-sector, its role in diversified growth portfolios remains strong.
⚠️ D. Crypto Markets — Flat to Red
• BTC and ETH posted slight declines YTD, contrasting sharply with metals and equities.
• Cryptocurrencies did not act as “digital gold” in 2025 — failing to preserve value relative to hard assets.
Implication: Risk on/off dynamics favored traditional safe havens over digital assets this year.
📅 3. 2026 Gold Price Forecasts — Institutional Consensus
Gold closed 2025 at record highs, and analysts project continued strength in 2026, with a wide range of forecast scenarios:
📈 Gold Price Forecasts for 2026
Forecast Source 2026 Target Notes
J.P. Morgan Global Research ~$5,055/oz (Q4) Strong demand & diversification drivers.
JP Morgan Private Bank / Argonaut ~$5,200–$5,300/oz Elevated institutional demand scenarios.
Goldman Sachs ~$4,900/oz Supported by central bank demand and rate cuts.
Bank of America ~$5,000/oz Broad institutional view.
UBS ~$4,500 (mid-year) Moderately bullish.
World Gold Council (Bear Scenario) ~$3,360–$3,990/oz Bearish if reflation reduces safe-haven demand.
Macro Consensus / Technical Models ~$4,000–$5,300/oz Consensus range based on surveys and models.
Longer-Term & High Estimates $6,000+ More speculative long forecast.
🧠 4. Strategy & Portfolio Implications
📌 Safe Haven Allocation
Given the robust 2025 performance and continued demand drivers, consider maintaining allocations to:
• Physical gold & ETFs
• Silver & industrial metals exposure
• Mining equities and royalty companies
📌 Growth & Innovation Exposure
Balance metals and defensive positioning with growth via:
• AI & semiconductors
• Biotechnology themes
• Select equities in cyclical markets
📌 Crypto Positioning
Given flat/red performance in 2025:
• Reassess crypto allocations relative to risk tolerance.
• Focus on long-term structural adoption catalysts if retaining exposure.
🏁 5. Conclusion
2025 reinforced the case for diversification across asset classes.
• Precious metals delivered standout returns — driven by safe haven demand, supply constraints, and monetary dynamics.
• AI technology and biotech remain secular growth themes, offering upside in equity portfolios.
• Crypto assets lagged traditional hedges, highlighting continued market segmentation in risk assets.
• 2026 gold price forecasts are broadly bullish, though with a wide range of scenarios — from conservative to highly aggressive institutional estimates.
USDOLLAR H4 | Bullish Reversal Off 127.2% Fib SupportBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price has bounced off our buy entry level at 12.67, a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 12.72, a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 12.65, which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited ( fxcm.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd ( fxcm.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC ( fxcm.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited ( fxcm.com/au ):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Finger crossed for BTC 92.5K targetMorning folks, hopefully you've rest well.
Ok, BTC is started upward action, as we discussed, although not without adventures. Price action was very choppy on a think market. Now it seems, we have some impulse and hope that it will be enough at least until 92.5K target...
If you're interested with this setup, watch for 89.20K and 88.50K support levels to make a decision on entry. If BTC drops under 87.4K lows and erases the rally - deeper bearish action will happen. So, this fast short-term setup will be totally destroyed.
Take care,
S.
EURAUD Under Pressure | Key Levels to WatchHello and welcome to all TradingView traders 👋
I hope your trades are focused, disciplined, and profitable 📈
Today, I’d like to share a detailed technical outlook on EUR/AUD, which is currently trading around key technical zones and may offer interesting trading opportunities.
📌 EURAUD Overview
The EUR/AUD pair represents the Euro against the Australian Dollar, combining a European currency with a commodity-linked currency.
🔵 From a fundamental perspective:
Based on recent economic conditions and news, the Australian Dollar (AUD) is generally strengthening.
Improving economic data, global commodity demand, and relatively tighter monetary expectations from the Reserve Bank of Australia have increased AUD attractiveness compared to the Euro.
📈 Long-Term Trend Analysis
Looking at higher timeframes (Weekly & Daily):
The overall market structure is neutral to slightly bearish
Price action shows weakening bullish momentum
Selling pressure is clearly visible around higher price levels
➡️ As long as major resistance zones remain intact, the market bias favors sell-on-rallies.
📦 Current Market Condition (Daily Range)
On the daily timeframe:
🟡 Price is currently moving inside a well-defined range
Upper boundary acting as key resistance
Lower boundary acting as a strong support zone
The market is in a decision-making phase, waiting for a confirmed breakout from either side of the range.
📐 Key Levels & Chart Structure
🔹 Resistance Zone:
An area where price has been rejected multiple times, limiting upside momentum
🔹 Support Zone:
A strong demand area where buyers have previously defended the price
🔹 Range Structure:
The most effective strategy in this environment is trading between range high and range low with proper price action confirmation
🎯 Trading Scenarios
🔵 Scenario 1: Range Trading
Sell near resistance ⬇️
Buy near support ⬆️
Suitable for range traders
⚠️ Always place stop loss outside the range
🔴 Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown (Support Break)
If price confirms a daily close below the support zone:
📉
Continuation of the bearish move
Lower targets come into play
Pullbacks toward the broken support may offer sell opportunities
🟢 Scenario 3: Bullish Breakout (Resistance Break)
If price confirms a strong daily close above resistance:
📈
Market shifts into a bullish phase
Higher targets become active
Safer entries can be considered after a pullback
⚠️ Risk Management
✔️ Avoid trading without confirmation
✔️ Use proper position sizing
✔️ Always wait for the daily candle close
❗ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
All trading decisions are made at your own risk 🧠💼
📊 Your Opinion Matters
Which side do you think EURAUD will break from the range? 🤔
🔼 Bullish breakout
🔽 Bearish breakdown
💬 Share your view in the comments
🔖 Tags:
#EURAUD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
#RangeTrading #Breakout #FundamentalAnalysis
#TradingView #AUD #RiskManagement
Bullish momentum to extend?Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,379.38
1st Support: 4,211.75
1st Resistance: 4,684.35
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Potential bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 58.10
1st Support: 53.34
1st Resistance: 62.14
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party






















