Bullish bounce off 61.8% FIbonacci support?Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 1.1654
1st Support: 1.1623
1st Resistance: 1.1711
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The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Harmonic Patterns
Bullish momentum to extend?GBP/USD is falling towards the pivot, which is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3354
1st Support: 1.3297
1st Resistance: 1.3453
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
USD/JPY Bearish Pressure Below Key Resistance ZoneUSD/JPY is holding below a key intraday resistance zone on the H4 timeframe, maintaining a bearish tone after recent weakness in the dollar. Price has been forming lower highs, signaling continued selling pressure.
As long as the pair trades below this resistance area, the short-term bias remains bearish, with potential for a move toward the nearest demand zone. A clean breakdown beneath current support could accelerate the bearish flow and open the door to deeper liquidity levels.
If buyers manage to reclaim the resistance zone, the bearish structure would weaken, and a corrective move toward the next supply area would become more likely.
EUR/USD Bullish Structure Above Key Intraday SupportEUR/USD is maintaining a bullish structure on the H4 timeframe, supported by a series of higher lows after yesterday’s dollar weakness. Price is holding above a key intraday support zone, keeping short-term order flow in favor of buyers.
If the pair continues to respect this support area, the next objective remains a retest of the nearest resistance zone, where liquidity was previously swept. A breakout above that resistance could open the path toward the next major supply zone.
However, if price breaks back below the current support area, bullish momentum would weaken, and a deeper pullback toward the lower demand region becomes likely.
BTCUSD Key Levels in Play — 94K Support Under PressureBitcoin is consolidating after its strong rally toward the 126K all-time high, and price is now rotating inside the 90K–94K zone. The structure remains corrective, and BTC is currently retesting a major support area around 90K.
If bulls fail to defend this zone, the next downside liquidity pockets sit at 88K–86K and then the heavier demand region at 83K–85K. Losing these levels would confirm a deeper corrective cycle.
On the upside, BTC needs a clean break above the 94K–95K supply zone — which previously triggered a sharp rejection — to re-establish bullish momentum. A sustained breakout could open the path toward 100K and potentially higher mid-term targets.
Overall, Bitcoin is in a ‘decision phase,’ and whichever side takes liquidity first (90K or 95K) will likely set the tone for the coming weeks.
Gold is experiencing a volatile upward movement.Gold's Macro Drivers: Central Bank Policy Divergence + Strategic Buying, Unshakable Long-Term Support
1. Global Central Bank Policy Divergence: Cross-Market Hedge Opportunities
The current global monetary policy landscape is characterized by distinct divergence — developed economies lean toward easing while some emerging markets maintain tight stances, creating a favorable "risk-hedge + liquidity support" environment for gold.
- Divergent Policy Paths Take Shape: The Federal Reserve has continued its rate cut cycle, while the European Central Bank keeps rates unchanged but signals "adequate policy readiness" for potential adjustments . New Zealand’s central bank has cut rates to 2.25% and hinted at further easing. In contrast, emerging markets like Kazakhstan (benchmark rate 18%) and Turkey maintain tight monetary policies to curb inflation and stabilize their currencies .
- Dollar Weakness Provides Exchange Rate Support: This policy split undermines the dollar’s ability to sustain strength. The dollar index’s trend is constrained by the Fed’s easing cycle on one hand, and emerging markets’ high interest rates limiting capital outflows on the other . As gold is dollar-denominated, a weakly trending dollar reduces purchasing costs for non-dollar holders, directly boosting global gold demand .
- Dual Protection from Easing and Tightening: The "developed market easing underpinning + emerging market tightening risk hedging" pattern optimizes gold’s risk-reward profile. Easing policies inject liquidity into global financial markets, lifting asset valuations including gold . Tightening in emerging markets reflects lingering global economic risks, enhancing gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset — creating a scenario where gold benefits from both liquidity abundance and risk aversion .
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2. Sustained Central Bank Gold Buying: Unbreakable Strategic Support
Global central banks’ structural gold purchases have become the core pillar of gold’s long-term bullish trend, forming a "floor" that prevents sharp price declines regardless of short-term market fluctuations.
- Prolonged and Intensified Buying Momentum: China’s central bank has increased gold reserves for 13 consecutive months, adding another 30,000 ounces in November 2025, pushing its total holdings to a record high of 7412 . Global central banks net purchased 53 tons of gold in October, a 36% month-on-month increase, with Poland, Brazil and other countries ramping up purchases . From 2022 to 2024, average annual net central bank gold purchases reached 1073 tons, doubling the proportion of global gold demand compared to the previous decade .
- Near-Universal Consensus on Future Buying: A World Gold Council survey shows 95% of participating central banks plan to continue increasing gold reserves in the next 12 months . This strategic allocation is driven by the need to diversify foreign exchange reserves amid geopolitical tensions and weakened dollar credibility, making it resilient to short-term interest rate fluctuations .
- $4195-$4200: Consensus Buying Cost Zone: This price range has become the recognized entry point for global central banks . Historical data confirms that gold prices rarely fall below central banks’ average buying costs for extended periods — when London gold briefly dipped below $4200 in December 2025, it quickly stabilized at $4196.37 due to central bank buying support . This consensus zone acts as a strong technical and fundamental floor, with extremely low probability of a sustained breakdown .
Gold trading strategy
buy:4190-4200
tp:4210-4220-4240
sl:4180
PIOC - PSX - Technical AnalysisPIOC on monthly TF, after making a Cup & Handle pattern has started its bull run in June 2023 which is still going strong.
RSI is almost in the same region since Nov 2023 and therefore it points to somewhat constant and upward buying sentiments in this SCRIPT. Also on monthly TF there is a hidden bullish divergence, which may cause a sudden pumping up of the price.
As per AB=CD pattern TP can be 364 and as per Cup&Handle pattern, TP can be 404 which is even higher.
Trade values:
Buy-1 : 291 (CMP)
SL: 260
TP1: 364
TP2: 404
XAUUSD Bullish Momentum Strengthens After Fed’s Dovish SGold extended its bullish momentum after yesterday’s dovish Fed tone and rate cut, which aligned perfectly with the existing market structure. Prior to the news, XAUUSD had already been forming higher lows and respecting the ascending trendline on H4, signaling strong underlying demand.
Price is currently trading above the 20/50 EMA on H1 and H4, confirming bullish order flow. As long as gold holds above the 2290–2300 demand zone, the bias remains bullish with targets resting at the liquidity clusters around 2335 and 2350.
The Fed event didn’t create the trend— it simply accelerated a bullish impulse that structure had already been preparing for.
GBPJPY SELL SETUP📌 Trade Plan (GBP/JPY – Short Setup)
🔻 Entry Reason
Clear BOS to the downside, confirming bearish structure.
Price is pulling back into a supply zone (red zone) that caused the break of structure.
You’re looking to enter as price mitigates the supply zone and shows rejection.
🔻 Entry
Sell inside the 208.80–208.90 supply zone (upper red box).
Aggressive entry at mitigation or conservative entry after bearish confirmation candle.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL)
Above the supply zone: 209.00–209.05
🎯 Take Profit (TP)
Target the next liquidity area / downside imbalance:
207.50–207.45
This is the projected downside zone shown by the blue arrow.
📉 Why This Trade Makes Sense
Bearish BOS → confirms sellers in control.
Price returning to the origin of the sell-off → ideal supply mitigation.
Expecting continuation toward fresh liquidity below.
Heading towards 61.8% Fibonacci resistanceEUR/GBP is rising towards a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level, taking us to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8770
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8799
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8714
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
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DXY: Bearish Structure Confirmed After Fed’s Dovish Shift“DXY confirms a bearish structure after breaking below the mid-term ascending channel. Yesterday’s Fed rate cut and the unexpectedly dovish tone acted as a catalyst for a decline that was already visible in the chart through weakening momentum and a series of lower highs on the H4 timeframe.
Price is trading below the 20/50 EMA on both H1 and H4, keeping short-term order flow bearish. As long as DXY remains under the 104.20–104.40 supply zone (the origin of the last impulsive drop), bearish continuation remains the primary scenario toward 103.10 and 102.70 liquidity levels.
The news didn’t create the trend — it simply accelerated a technical breakdown that was already in motion.”
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDJPY🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDJPY currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 156.504
💰TP: 159.160
⛔️SL: 155.225
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
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💬 Description: The US dollar made the expected correction following the Fed's interest rate decision, but this doesn't change anything over the long term, and a strengthening of the American currency is expected. The Japanese yen is practically the best candidate for this likely strengthening. Technical and fundamental factors suggest a strengthening of the currency pair toward 159. Currently, a short-term trade can be considered near the POC (point of control) level, specifically via an upward breakout.
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CRUDE (USOIL) – (1H) Bullish LCM Structure in PlayPrice has completed a clean Liquidity Cycle Model sequence:
1. Liquidity Sweep
Market swept the major low at 5780, clearing the downside liquidity and tapping a higher-timeframe demand.
2. Reversal Phase
Following the sweep, price reclaimed the 5811–5816 refined demand zone, creating a solid bullish shift.
3. Continuation Setup
The current pullback is respecting the refined OB at 5825 – 5810, forming the basis for continuation.
🔹 BUY SETUP (LCM)
Entry Zone: 5825 – 5815 (White Line)
Intraday Invalidation: Below 5785
hard Invalidation: Below 5760
🎯 TARGETS
TP1: 5945 Mid-range supply flip
TP2: 6025 Imbalance fill + next structural level.
TP3: 6225 – major HTF resistance and full LCM continuation target.
📌 Summary
Price swept the lows, reclaimed structure, and is now positioned for bullish expansion as long as the refined demand at 5815 holds. A break above 5890’should unlock continuation toward 5935 and 6034.
LCM rewards patience, not prediction
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