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Harmonic Patterns

Bullish momentum to extend?Aussie (AUD/USD) could fall towards the pivot, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6813 1st Support: 0.6753 1st Resistance: 0.6937 The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Long
by IC Markets
1
BTC - an ICT and Wyckoff illustration of the current rangeWe have a lot going on in this chart, so let's simplify it. When you start looking at time based liquidity, the charts simply start making sense... I have a completely free indicator called "Time Liquidity a Zulu Kilo Indicator" that will help you make sense of ICT much faster than any other indicator. -We have consolidation which is a tell-tale sign that large hands want to control a very specific area, which will be extremely important in the future (for a far bigger move). -Price manipulated above a previous monthly high, into a higher timeframe weekly FVG, which then reversed and created an IFVG while simultaneously creating displacement down AND confirming below a CISD level. -This is also setting up a type 1 distributive Wyckoff schema, with the UT (upthrust) as the manipulation, the Wyckoff upper range setting the tone for a return to OTE (optimal trade entry). Pretty much every check box has been checked for us to be able to take a short position from 93k to 96k. -Manipulation above a higher timeframe (in our case monthly) into a high timeframe FVG - CHECK -Price broke below the displacement created on the way up (iFVG), and then created displacement to the downside (FVG) while broaching the CISD (Change in state of delivery / which is yet another validation of bearish intent). CHECK Price should now retrace into the 68% - 79% OTA (optimal trade entry) and reverse below the yearly open. As I've previously written on this subject, I believe that we have one more strong bullish move before a much deeper, larger and significant Bitcoin crash THIS YEAR that will test around the 50k price levels... We WILL be looking for bullish moves below 74,500 (another manipulation possibility below the yearly lows).
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by Zulu_Kilo
Nifty 50 Analysis Target For Bearish Momentum Stop Here Sure 👍 Here is the **Nifty 50 Components list (in English only):** --- ## ✅ Nifty 50 Companies List ### **Banking & Financial Services** * HDFC Bank * ICICI Bank * State Bank of India * Axis Bank * Kotak Mahindra Bank * Bajaj Finance * Bajaj Finserv * Shriram Finance ### **Information Technology (IT)** * Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) * Infosys * HCL Technologies * Wipro * Tech Mahindra ### **Oil, Gas & Power** * Reliance Industries * ONGC * NTPC * Power Grid Corporation of India ### **FMCG (Fast Moving Consumer Goods)** * Hindustan Unilever (HUL) * ITC * Nestlé India * Britannia Industries ### **Automobile** * Maruti Suzuki India * Tata Motors * Mahindra & Mahindra * Hero MotoCorp * Bajaj Auto * Eicher Motors ### **Metals & Mining** * Tata Steel * JSW Steel * Hindalco Industries * Coal India ### **Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare** * Sun Pharmaceutical Industries * Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories * Cipla * Divi’s Laboratories * Apollo Hospitals ### **Cement & Infrastructure** * UltraTech Cement * Grasim Industries * Larsen & Toubro (L&T) ### **Telecom** * Bharti Airtel ### **Others** * Adani Enterprises * Adani Ports & SEZ * Asian Paints * UPL --- ⚠️ *Note:* Nifty 50 constituents are reviewed **twice a year (March & September)** by NSE, so the list may change slightly over time. If you want, I can also provide: * Nifty 50 sector weightage * Latest updated list in table format * Nifty 50 historical returns * Best stocks for long-term investment
NSE:NIFTYShort
by TheGoldenFarmsofEquity
GOLD XAUUSDGOLD 5096-5100 was a complete reaction as predicted on Friday. KEY DEMAND FLOOR 4965-4960 KEY DEMAND FLOOR 4847-4840. OR FOLLOW THE STRUCTURE. STRUCTURE NEVER LIES. am watching 4500-4496 zone a strong demand floor Geopolitical Tensions US President Donald Trump's insistence on acquiring Greenland, including threats of force and tariffs on opposing European nations, has sparked US-Europe friction. French President Macron's rebukes and potential suspension of US-EU trade deals have weakened the dollar, boosting gold's appeal to foreign buyers. Economic Factors A softer US dollar makes gold cheaper globally, while expectations of steady Federal Reserve rates—despite labor improvements—favor non-yielding assets like gold. Central banks in China and India continue aggressive gold buying, adding structural support. Future Outlook Prices may climb toward $5,000-5024k AND extend into 5070k zone if tensions persist and the dollar stays weak, though stronger US data could cap gains. the dollar index is holding daily support at 97.935$ and during newyork today buy candle kept yesterday demand floor and we are seeing GOLD price into systematic correction from 4890-4880 zone .if they insist on daily buy floor then we will be watching 4900 which is a pathway to 5000-524k and more advanced buying based on the trendangle strategy. WHAT IS GOLD ??? Gold (Au) is a chemical element and dense, malleable transition metal prized for its lustrous yellow hue, exceptional conductivity, and resistance to corrosion. History as Store of Value Gold has served as a store of value for over 6,000 years, from ancient Egyptian tombs (c. 4000 BCE) symbolizing immortality to Lydian coins (600 BCE) enabling standardized trade across empires like Rome (aureus) and Byzantium (solidus, stable 700+ years). The 19th-century gold standard anchored global currencies until 20th-century abandonments, yet gold retains purchasing power Tier 1 Status Clarification Gold classifies as a Tier 1 asset under Basel III banking rules , with 0% risk weighting for physical bullion, equivalent to cash for capital reserves, enhancing bank balance sheets amid fiat volatility. This elevates it from prior Tier 3 status, affirming its role as "money again. HOW DOES THE DOLLAR INDEX AFFECT THE PRICE ACTION AND DIRECTIONAL BIAS ?? The US Dollar Index (DXY) exhibits a strong inverse relationship with global gold prices, where a stronger dollar typically depresses gold values and a weaker dollar boosts them. Core Mechanism Gold trades in US dollars worldwide, so dollar strength raises gold's cost for non-US buyers, curbing demand and lowering prices. A weaker dollar reduces this barrier, making gold cheaper and spurring purchases from international investors. Correlation Strength Historical data shows a negative correlation coefficient of -0.40 to -0.80, meaning 40-80% of gold's movements often align inversely with DXY changes. Interest rate differentials amplify this: Fed hikes strengthen the dollar and hurt non-yielding gold, while cuts weaken it and favor gold. Influencing Factors Geopolitical risks or inflation can override the link temporarily, but dollar dynamics remain the primary driver in most cycles. For instance, recent dollar weakness from de-dollarization trends has fueled gold rallies. the brics nation are busing buying GOLD.this is the year of GOLD as the new money backed by physical GOLD ,this is why all BRICS CENTRAL BANKS are stocking the yellow bullion. #GOLD #XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Bullish continuation?Gold (XAU/USD) could fall towards the pivot, then bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 4,864.86 1st Support: 4,690.83 1st Resistance: 5,111.04 The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by IC Markets
Key resistance ahead?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 211.96 1st Support: 208.94 1st Resistance: 214.29 The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Short
by IC Markets
NASDAQ NQ A Breakout Can Come, Wait For The ConfirmationAs I posted earlier, all of our FCP levels and zones have been working great and have given us tremendous opportunities. Now NQ is back at the upper zone and the momentum is looking great. If this breakouts we can test previous high and possibly go to all time highs. I have updated a few new levels on the chart. Trade what you see, wait for the confirmations and manage the risk as always. Follow for more. Please support this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
SKILLING:US100
by vikinsa
2
Insulet Corporation (PODD)Insulet Corporation (PODD): A Strong Buy Anchored by Platform Dominance, Strategic Execution, and Robust Financials Insulet Corporation (PODD), a leader in innovative insulin delivery systems, is strategically positioned for sustained growth in the coming quarters. The company’s trajectory is being powered by the exceptional market adoption of its flagship Omnipod 5 platform, disciplined execution against long-term strategic priorities, and a rock-solid financial foundation. While macroeconomic headwinds and product concentration present inherent risks, the confluence of operational strength, market expansion, and upward earnings revisions makes PODD a compelling investment case, as reflected in its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). Investment Thesis and Market Performance Insulet’s focus on driving penetration, deepening its competitive moat, unlocking new market opportunities, and scaling profitably is yielding tangible results. This execution is mirrored in its stock performance, which has risen 10.6% over the past year, significantly outperforming its industry’s modest 1.5% growth. Although this trails the S&P 500’s 18.9% gain, it underscores the stock’s resilience and growth within its sector. With a market capitalization of $20.19 billion and an earnings yield of 1.7%—far superior to the industry average of 0.2%—the company demonstrates efficient value generation. Furthermore, PODD has a stellar track record of exceeding earnings expectations, delivering an average positive surprise of 17.8% over the last four quarters. Core Growth Drivers: The Omnipod 5 Ecosystem and Strategic Execution Omnipod 5: A Market Share Catalyst: Insulet’s Omnipod 5 is a transformative product, distinguished as the only FDA-cleared, fully disposable, pod-based Automated Insulin Delivery (AID) system. Its superior on-body wearability, simplicity, and broad accessibility continue to drive rapid adoption. The platform is a key growth engine internationally, where Q3 2025 revenues surpassed $200 million for the first time, fueled by the Omnipod 5 rollout. In the critical U.S. market, Omnipod revenues grew an impressive 25.6%, exceeding guidance, driven by strong demand across both Type 1 and, notably, Type 2 diabetes populations. The expansion into the Type 2 segment is a monumental opportunity, commercially opening the system to an estimated 5.5 million additional people in the U.S. alone. Multi-Pronged Strategic Expansion: Insulet is executing a comprehensive growth strategy: Commercial Investments: The company is ramping up demand generation through direct-to-consumer (DTC) campaigns and mass media to boost global brand awareness. Platform Innovation: To maintain its technological edge, Insulet continues to enhance Omnipod 5 with key sensor integrations (Dexcom G6/G7, Abbott FreeStyle Libre 2 Plus) and has launched the Omnipod 5 App for iPhone. The pipeline is robust, with the STRIVE pivotal trial for a next-gen hybrid closed loop and the EVOLUTION 2 study for a fully closed loop in Type 2 diabetes underway. Operational Scaling: Significant capacity investments at manufacturing facilities in Acton and Malaysia, coupled with the integration of AI and cloud-based tools, are designed to streamline service operations and support global scale. Financial Resilience: Insulet’s balance sheet provides a substantial buffer. The company ended Q3 2025 with a strong liquidity position of $757.4 million in cash and cash equivalents against minimal current debt of $80 million. This financial health is a critical advantage in navigating economic uncertainty. Long-term debt stood at $935 million, showing a slight sequential decrease. Acknowledged Risks and Challenges Despite the strong outlook, investors must consider several risk factors: Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Volatility: Global economic uncertainty can pressure demand, intensify competition, and lengthen sales cycles. Persistent supply chain disruptions and reliance on third-party suppliers, particularly in China, expose the company to risks from political instability, labor issues, and rising tariffs—the reinstatement of which is expected to increase product costs through 2025. Product Concentration Risk: Insulet’s financial performance remains heavily dependent on the Omnipod System. Any material decline in market acceptance or adverse changes affecting its sales could significantly impact results. Additionally, international expansion introduces exposure to adverse currency fluctuations. Earnings Estimate Momentum and Technical Perspective The fundamental optimism is crystallizing in analyst projections. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Insulet’s 2025 EPS has risen 6.3% over the past 30 days, a clear signal of strengthening confidence. Revenue estimates for 2025 stand at $2.69 billion, implying a substantial 30% year-over-year growth. From a technical analysis standpoint, the chart reveals three defined Fibonacci retracement levels that could serve as crucial support zones during any market pullbacks, providing strategic reference points for entry or risk management: Primary Support Zone: $240.22 - This level, corresponding to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, represents a key midline support and a likely area for consolidation and renewed buying interest. Secondary Support Zone: $267.21 - Aligning with the 0.382 retracement, this zone indicates a shallower, healthier pullback within a strong uptrend if price holds above it. Tertiary Support Zone: $213.22 - The 0.618 retracement level represents a deeper retracement support, often considered the last defense for a bull trend before a potential reversal. Conclusion Insulet Corporation (PODD) presents a compelling investment narrative centered on a dominant growth platform, meticulous strategic execution, and financial strength. The upward revision in earnings estimates and the stock’s Strong Buy Zacks Rank underscore the positive fundamental trajectory. While macroeconomic and concentration risks warrant monitoring, the company’s initiatives to expand its total addressable market, innovate its platform, and scale operations globally position it well for long-term value creation. For investors, the combination of strong fundamentals, positive estimate momentum, and clear technical support levels offers a structured framework for evaluating this high-potential medical technology leader.
NASDAQ:PODDLong
by KalaGhazi
2
RR - Nearly time to go long on Robotics?I like to make trades at the confluence of a number of factors. I think RR is nearly at some of those points so I'm going to open the idea - and we'll journal this like usual. ** Important: I am not long yet, and don't yet recommend it. Let's look at the support: 1. The lower trendline. My lower trendline is actually lower than it could be (there are other trendlines that indicate a higher point, but I like to be safe. We need to hold this trendline which is currently about $3 2. The 200 day EMA is at $3.22. Also really good support. 3. The POC is currently at $3.18. Again, really good support. 4. It does also look like that head and shoulders pattern from October is complete. 5. If we don't hold that $3 support the next support is around $2.30. But, that current $3 support would become resistance, and we'd be likely be stuck down there. So we need to hold that $3. The resistance: 1. That upper trendline has held strong. It's been touched multiple times and each time bounced down with some volume - indicating it's still strong. Before going long here we need to break that trendline. 2. After earnings we found resistance at $4.60. That will be an important level to break. After that breaks and holds, the next resistance is likely the right shoulder and that volume node at about $6 The trade plan goes as follows: 1. Go long if: 1a. We break the upper trendline. 1b. Or we bounce off the 200day or POC. 2. Ideally, we drop a bit more down to about $3.30, then bounce with some momentum and break the trendline. If 1a happens, I'll likely sell puts, happy to own if they get exercised. If 1b happens, I'll buy LEAP Calls and potentially play with some synthetic covered calls. My target price is $5.80 - just before that $6 resistance. I'll update weekly - or if I got long.
NASDAQ:RRLong
by brendanvanson
Bullish momentum to extend?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3547 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3458 Why we like it: There is a pullback support lwvwl. Take profit: 1.3714 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by Vantage
Bullish continuation?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.1806 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.1748 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonaci retracement. Take profit: 1.1908 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by Vantage
BTCUSD – 1H Long Setup AnalysisBTCUSD – 1H Long Setup Analysis Educational purpose only Market Context Price formed a weak low near 87,300 and is showing a short-term recovery. Structure indicates a possible corrective bounce after the recent sell-off. Price is trying to hold above short-term EMAs, suggesting early bullish strength, but higher resistance remains overhead. Long Setup (Bullish Scenario) Entry zone (pullback / hold area): 87,600 – 87,800 This area aligns with short-term support and recovery structure. Stop Loss (SL) Stop Loss: 87,200 Below the recent swing low and invalidation of the bullish idea. Targets Target 1: 88,450 – 88,650 Target 2: 89,400 – 89,700 Extended Target: 90,300 (previous supply / resistance zone) Invalidation A strong 1H close below 87,200 would invalidate the long setup and may open further downside. Summary Long idea is counter-trend / recovery-based. Works best with confirmation and support hold. Conservative approach: partial profits near first resistance. For educational purposes only.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Harry_Megat
TheGrove | GBPUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPUSD is moving in an UP and broke Support line The chart broke through the dynamic Support line and we expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GBPUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
Long
by TheGrove
10
AeroVironment's High-Stakes Pivot Meets a Critical SetbackAeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ: AVAV), a leader in tactical unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) and a rising player in the defense space economy, is facing a pivotal and potentially precarious moment. The stock, which has been a standout performer buoyed by modern warfare trends and elevated defense spending, is now grappling with a significant project-specific setback that casts a shadow over its ambitious expansion and premium valuation. The company, famously endorsed by CNBC's Jim Cramer who acknowledged liking the stock while cautioning about its "incredibly expensive" price, has ridden a powerful wave. Its portfolio of loitering munitions (often called "kamikaze drones") proved highly effective in the conflict in Ukraine, solidifying AeroVironment's reputation as a critical supplier for contemporary asymmetric warfare. This success catalyzed a strategic pivot beyond drones into the adjacent and high-growth arena of space and cyber systems, aiming to capture more of the Pentagon's budget focused on next-generation capabilities. The Golden Promise and the BADGER Snag Central to this expansion is the company's work on advanced satellite communication and management systems, such as the "Golden Dome" and the BADGER ground support system. The BADGER system, in particular, represents the frontier of military space tech—designed to manage constellations of small satellites with enhanced resilience to jamming and cyber attacks. Contracts in this domain with entities like the U.S. Space Force have fueled investor optimism, contributing to the stock's impressive ~70% gain over the past 12 months. However, this week brought a sobering development. The U.S. government issued a work stop order on two BADGER systems, initiating a renegotiation of the contract due to newly identified required capabilities. The critical risk factor is the fixed-price nature of this development contract. Unlike cost-plus agreements where the government bears the burden of overruns, fixed-price contracts place the full financial risk of development delays and cost overruns squarely on the contractor. For AeroVironment, this means the potential for the BADGER program—a project that could be worth hundreds of millions or even billions in revenue—to become a major profitability drain if technical challenges prove more costly than anticipated. This news triggered a sell-off, reflecting investor fears of compressed margins and execution risk. Valuation and Financials Under the Microscope The setback arrives at a time when AeroVironment's valuation metrics were already stretching into high-risk territory. Even after the recent pullback, the company commands a market capitalization of approximately $15 billion. It trades at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 8.6, a premium multiple that demands near-perfect execution and robust profit growth to justify. Financially, the picture is mixed. The company has demonstrated spectacular top-line growth, increasing revenue by roughly 250% over the last five years. Yet, this growth has not consistently translated to the bottom line; AeroVironment has struggled to generate sustained operating profitability. As the company enters 2026, the core question for investors is whether it can transition from a high-growth, high-burn story to a profitable one. The BADGER contract renegotiation directly threatens that narrative, introducing the possibility of significant cost overruns that could extend its unprofitability and erode cash reserves. Technical Perspective: Mapping the Risk Zones From a technical analysis standpoint, the sharp rally and subsequent decline create defined Fibonacci retracement levels that chart watchers are monitoring for potential support. These levels, derived from the stock's previous major upswing, are: 0.5 (50%) Retracement: $259.43 - This represents a moderate pullback and a key level for the bullish trend to hold. 0.618 (61.8%) Retracement: $222.29 - The "golden ratio" retracement, a deeper but common pullback zone in strong trends. 0.786 (78.6%) Retracement: $169.41 - A deep retracement that would signal a severe weakening of the prior uptrend and could indicate a more fundamental re-rating of the stock. These zones provide a roadmap for potential areas where selling pressure may abate, but a breach of the deeper levels would likely correlate with deteriorating fundamental news on the BADGER program or earnings. Conclusion: A High-Risk Inflection Point In summary, AeroVironment stands at a high-stakes inflection point. The company's strategic vision to dominate the nexus of drones, space, and cyber is compelling and aligns with clear Department of Defense priorities. However, the BADGER contract setback is a stark reminder of the execution risks inherent in developing cutting-edge, fixed-price military technology. Combined with a premium valuation and a historical lack of profitability, this introduces substantial uncertainty for 2026. While the recent drawdown may attract value-oriented or speculative investors, the stock remains risky. The path forward depends heavily on the outcome of the government renegotiation, the company's ability to manage development costs, and its success in finally converting impressive revenue growth into durable profits. Until there is greater clarity on these fronts, particularly regarding the financial impact of the BADGER program, caution is warranted. Investors should view the defined Fibonacci support levels not as automatic buy signals, but as potential waypoints in a volatile re-assessment of the company's risk-reward profile.
NASDAQ:AVAVLong
by KalaGhazi
Gold: Extended Its Strong Uptrend TodayGold extended its strong uptrend today, gapping up and surging in the Asian session then consolidating at highs. It broke through the key psychological level of 5000 and hit a new all-time high, with the bullish trend dominating the market. However, the risk of a pullback is rising amid overbought conditions. The primary trading approach is to buy the dips on corrections with strict control over chasing highs. Short-term (Intraday Core) Support levels: 5030 (strong support, the lower edge of intraday consolidation and key defensive level for pullbacks); 5000 (critical psychological support, a break below this integer level will trigger short-term selling pressure). Resistance levels:5110 (critical psychological resistance, a breakout will further open up upside momentum). Medium-term (Swing Reference) Support level: 4960 (bull-bear pivot support, the level of the previous consolidation platform, a break below may trigger a deep pullback in gold prices). Resistance level: 5150 (trend resistance, the extension of the all-time high, with no significant technical resistance above this level). Trading Strategy: Buy 5040 - 5050 SL 5030 TP 5080 - 5090 - 5100 Sell 5100 - 5090 SL 5110 TP 5070 - 5060 - 5050
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Alistair_Analyst
4
DXY DOLLAR 4HRDOLLAR SUPPYROOF=98.428 SUPPLYROOF=97.881 DEMANDFLOOR=96.849 The DXY, or U.S. Dollar Index, measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six major foreign currencies. A rising DXY signals dollar strength, while a falling index indicates weakness. DXY Composition The index weights currencies as follows: euro (57.6%), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%). Created in 1973 by the Federal Reserve, it uses a geometric average formula to track dollar performance relative to these trade partners. Impact on Gold DXY and gold prices show a strong inverse correlation, often 73-95% negative. When DXY rises, a stronger dollar makes gold pricier for foreign buyers, reducing demand and pushing prices down; a falling DXY has the opposite effect. Impact on Forex DXY directly influences USD pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD, where a higher index weakens these pairs as the dollar strengthens. It also affects USD/JPY positively and serves as a gauge for overall market risk sentiment and Fed policy effects. #DXY #DOLLAR
TVC:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub