Gbp/Usd - Inverse Head & Shoulders Targeting Bullish BreakoutA potential bullish reversal is forming on GBP/USD in the 15-minute chart via a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
Pattern Details:
Left Shoulder: Formed with a minor pullback and recovery.
Head: A deeper dip indicating strong buyer absorption and bottoming.
Right Shoulder: Symmetrical pullback signaling the potential end of the bearish move.
Neckline: Marked by horizontal resistance (around 1.34395) — a confirmed breakout above this level may trigger bullish continuation.
Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: On breakout and close above neckline (~1.34400)
Target 1: Previous structural resistance (~1.34680)
Target 2: Extended move toward ~1.35070
Stop Loss: Below the right shoulder or neckline retest (~1.34186)
Analysis Notes:
This pattern suggests bullish momentum is building.
Confirmation needed via volume spike or candle close above neckline.
Risk-to-reward ratio is favorable for short-term intraday trade.
Head_and_shoulder
AUDUSD - H&SHI can see in AUDUSD chart below signs:
1- Inverse Head and Shoulders (Bullish Reversal)
2- Potential Shark Harmonic Pattern
3- Current Market Context: Recent technical analysis from mid-October 2025 suggests that AUD/USD is near a major support confluence zone (around 0.6450-0.6485) and some traders are looking for long (buy) setups, which aligns with your bullish view if support holds. However, other analysts noted a general downtrend and current bearish pressure due to factors like US-China trade tensions and potential RBA rate cuts.
Risk Management
As I rightly noted, any analysis can fail. Key risk management principles apply:
a- Confirmation is Crucial: Wait for a confirmed, sustained break above the neckline before assuming the pattern is active.
b- Set a Stop Loss: A typical stop-loss for an inverse head and shoulders is placed below the right shoulder to manage risk if the market reverses unexpectedly.
c- Use Other Indicators: Combine this pattern analysis with other technical indicators and fundamental news (e.g., upcoming Australian employment figures, RBA/Fed speeches) to increase reliability.
d- Capital Preservation: Always take care of your capital; leverage magnifies both profits and losses.
Kiwi H&S and strong Dollar confirm breakdown, eyes on PCE next!The Kiwi hit multi-month lows near 0.5750 following USD strength yesterday, as the dollar index was driven by upbeat US economic data following warnings by Fed Chair just on Tuesday.
The head and shoulders (H&S) pattern on NZDUSD has broken down, targeting the golden pocket for the time being, but the PCE data could offer a breather if it cools down.
Kiwi drop was driven by :
US jobless claims crush expectations (218K vs 233K expected)
US GDP revised to 3.8% from 3.3%, fastest growth in 2 years
RBNZ cutting cycle accelerates amid economic contraction
Tariff-related risk-off sentiment hammering high-beta currencies
Technical Setup :
Head & Shoulders targeting 61.80% or lower while trading below the neckline
Current price action near 0.5750 round support reveals pressure
Upside possible but hangs on PCE, with 38-50% retracement as a resistance zone
RSI is at near-oversold levels with more room to trend lower
Bias - BEARISH :
Entry: Below 0.5775 breakdown
Target 1: 0.5720 (immediate support)
Target 2: 0.5620 (78.6% Fib retracement)
Stop Loss: 0.5830+ (failed bounce level)
Risk/Reward: 1:2+ setup
Eyes on :
Today : US PCE inflation data
Oct 9 : RBNZ meeting (50bp cut possible)
Watch DXY strength continuation towards 100.00
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USDCHF: Strong Uptrend ? 👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:USDCHF ?
Today, USDCHF continues to show strong upward momentum after forming a clear head and shoulders pattern. Recently, the price has shown signs of breaking out of a consolidation phase, and the bullish trend may continue. With the US Dollar recovering and the Swiss Franc facing pressure from global uncertainties, the outlook for USDCHF remains optimistic.
If the price maintains its upward momentum, we could see further price increases in the short term. The support level at 0.800 remains crucial for any potential pullback, and this could be a good entry point for buying. The next target levels are the two resistance zones at 0.8067 and 0.8104.
💬What do you think about the trend of this currency pair? Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
Meta platforms, D ( Channel + 2 Fibonacci Extensions up & down )Hey Traders and Investors, I hope you all are doing well in your life.
market is nature's response and Price is the God .
Let's check the market with the help of natural levels tool : Trend Based Fibonacci Extension in addition with Trend Channel .
After forming almost a ' Head and Shoulders ' pattern on Daily chart, Meta platforms has given a pull-back ( base for Fib-Extension UP level tool on the right side , $690.51 ).
The Pull-back trend expect to continue till the retest level of 23.6% ( $765 ) of Fib-Extension UP level tool on the right side .
The most near level for the re-test is the 50% level ( $664.14 ) of Fib-Extension Down level tool on the left side , for a new UP trend Entry ( investors ).
Note: The marked Circle ⭕ enclosed candle is the important level candle, Up Trend channel's 50% trend line is intersecting with 23.6% of Fib-Extension UP level tool on the right side .
Keep on checking this Level for your future trading decisions.
" Buy 🟢 "above $731 with the stop loss🔻of $690 for the
🎯 Target 1: $765
🎯 Target 2: $811
🎯 Target 3: open.
" Sell 🔴 " below $664 with the stop loss🔺of $690 for the
🎯 Target 1: $634
🎯 Target 2: $590
🎯 Target 3: open.
Smart Levels is Smart Trading 👨🎓
⚠ RISK DISCLAIMER :
All content provided by "TradeWithKeshhav" is for information & educational purposes only.
It does not constitute any financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. All investments / trading involve risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results / returns.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Regards :
Team @TradeWithKeshhav
Happy Trading and Investing!
Range-Bound Rocket: BTC’s Coiled Spring Between S1 and R3-ATHRange Bound Rocket: BTC Loaded and Coiled for $120k Retest
Description:
BTC is now trading around $114,260, still inside the range I’ve flagged earlier. We reloaded at our previously posted support zones between $110k and $111k. That gives us a strong base.
I’m watching for acceptance above the $113k to $114k red box, which overlaps with the neckline of a potential reverse Head & Shoulders on the 4‑hour chart. It hasn’t triggered yet but we are in validation mode. (expecting a retest to 113k and then a break up) If we get a breakout with volume expansion and wide‑bodied candles, I’ll treat that as a valid activation. Target remains $119k and above.
This table shows how likely BTC is to stay above certain price levels over the next two weeks based on current volatility. These are not predictions, they represent statistically expected ranges based on price behavior.
2WK/Probability, Price Level, Meaning
90%, ~$96,700 BTC is very likely to stay above this level
75%, ~$103,200 BTC has a strong chance of staying above here
50%, ~$111,000 This is the midpoint, BTC has equal chance of being above or below
25%, ~$119,400 BTC has a one in four chance of closing higher than this
10%, ~$127,400 Only a small percentage of outcomes put BTC above this level
Key takeaways:
BTC is currently trading around $114,260, sitting just above our red resistance zone at $113,000 to $114,000.
Our first upside target, $118,000, lines up with the top 25 to 30 percent range of expected outcomes. This is reachable if the broader market stays supportive.
$120,000 sits closer to the top 20 percent threshold. BTC would need strong momentum and favorable macro data to push there in the next two weeks.
Downside probabilities
While the structure looks bullish, we should still consider these potential retracement levels:
Around 46 percent chance BTC dips below $110,000
Approximately 43 percent chance it drops under $109,000
Roughly 30 percent chance BTC trades below $105,000
These downside paths are consistent with our S2 and S3 support zones, which were successfully defended during the last major pullback.
What I'm doing and suggest :
Breakout confirmation:
I’m looking to add above $113k to $114k only if volume expands and candles show conviction, meaning minimal wicks and strong closes. Weak volume or upper wicks mean the breakout could fail. Main stop is back inside the range. Scalpers can use a tighter invalidation below $112.2k.
Reload zone:
A move into $110k to $109k is a statistically common retest. I’ll look for buyer defense and fading downside pressure to reload.
Volatility risk:
I'm already positioned long from our previously posted support zones around $110k to $111k, so I’m not actively adding or hedging right now. Into CPI and the Fed, I’m staying hands-off unless we get a clear breakout or strong market signal.
For those not in position:
Avoid chasing breakouts before the event
Look for confirmation or reaction post-data
If we get a volatility spike, retests of $110k to $109k are still statistically common and may offer a better entry
The goal is to avoid being overexposed heading into binary catalysts. I’m holding my current spot exposure and letting the trade breathe.
If no breakout forms:
I expect BTC to remain in a range between $111k and $118k. Support zones from prior posts maintained a bullish bias. If BTC consolidates below $114k but keeps forming higher lows, I’ll consider that ongoing accumulation.
Catalysts to monitor:
Nasdaq or NQ breakdown
• Tech strength: Nvidia up ~30% YTD on strong Blackwell Ultra demand, ADI and MX showing strength despite macro headwinds.
Jobless claims rising again
• U.S. jobless claims are rising to 237K, signaling labor market cooling. Continuing claims are easing but job additions in August were weak at just 22K. Recent wide downward revisions (~911K fewer jobs year-to-date) reinforce rate‑cut bets.
Geopolitical risk
• Geopolitical tensions remain tail‑risks.
Fed rate tone and CPI reaction
• Fed tone and CPI outputs are increasingly important as data is tilting soft and markets are pricing in easier policy.
• The USD’s trajectory matters. Further weakness helps BTC and tech space gain more cushion.
Tech remains a key driver. AI and semis continue to lead Nasdaq strength, and BTC still tracks equity moves closely. A soft dollar also reduces market drag and supports upside potential.
SILVER XAGUSD30 min TF Short Scalp
Silver is very bulish Just a pull back is what we can capture , very risky trade but Head & shoulder pattern is making it look good
Trade will be active once complete Bearish candle close below the neckline
Must book partial profit, Once achieve 50 % towards TP put your SL to tp , and partial profits
EURAUD upside is endingThe EURAUD bullish run may be coming to an end.
Price action has broken trend support and formed a head-and-shoulders trend reversal pattern.
From a fundamental perspective, the AUD is an attractive investment due to its stable inflation and robust GDP growth.
If EURAUD doesn't become bearish, we may see the price action form a consolidation.
OANDA:EURAUD FX:EURAUD
German DAX | Inverted Cup vs Inverted Head & ShouldersThe FX:GER30 continues to trade around critical technical levels, where multiple patterns are competing to determine the index’s next direction.
In the short term, the main risk remains with the inverted cup and handle pattern, formed above the weekly fractal support at €23,381, which could project a drop toward €22,483 (around -4%). A new daily fractal support has emerged at €23,281, adding pressure just below the previous support/neckline.
On the other hand, the index is also building the base of a potential inverted head and shoulders pattern, with its trigger lying in a breakout above the daily resistance at €23,782. If this breakout is confirmed, it opens the door for strong bullish momentum toward €24,400 (200% Fibonacci extension and the classical target of the pattern). This move could also validate a parallel consolidation channel, suggesting the formation of a bullish flag.
Key fractals to monitor
Weekly resistance: €24,654
Daily resistance: €23,782 (H&S neckline/resistance)
Intraday resistance: €23,742
Intraday support: €23,572
Weekly support: €23,381
Daily support: €23,281
The DAX is at a decision point:
Clear break below €23,281 → activates bearish scenario (target €22,483) .
Sustained breakout above €23,782 → validates bullish scenario (target €24,400) .
Safe Trades,
André Cardoso
Gold's Surge: What's Next for XAUUSD?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD ? Will the price rise or fall?
Recently, the gold market has witnessed an extraordinary price surge, with the price continuing to reach new milestones around $3,700. This increase marks the third consecutive session where gold has hit a new all-time high, solidifying its impressive growth in the current economic environment.
This sustained uptrend is occurring as market participants prepare for the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cut, with high expectations that the Fed will lower the benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points in the upcoming meeting, which is favorable for gold.
From a technical perspective, in the short term, the chart shows that gold has been consolidating for a certain period before breaking out strongly, and it is currently in a slight pullback toward the new support level.
With the current uptrend, we may find buying opportunities at pullback points near the new support zone, especially if the market shows consolidation at the current price levels. Any minor pullback could be just an opportunity to increase long positions.
What do you think about the trend of XAUUSD? Leave your thoughts in the comments!
Head & Shoulder breakout in Agilent stock pointing Bearish move
HEAD AND SHOULDER BREAKOUT -
price broke out of head and shoulder pattern with a strong confirmation indicating strong downward pressure for the stock.
Definition -
(i) Left Shoulder → price rise, then fall
(ii) Head → higher rise, then fall
(iii)Right Shoulder → lower rise, then fall again
EVENING STAR CANDLESTICK -
1 large green candlestick followed by 1 doji followed by 1 large red candlestick is called evening star which indicates downward pressure for the stock
TARGET -
120 level
Yes the chicken man - PPC Short?PPC is at the bottom of a monthly box and at VAL of the daily and weekly anchored volume profile. It could catch a bid here and retest $45.60s(VPOC).
If the retest ends in a rejection of that area, and a daily close below the previous low around $41.95 then I expect short continuation and validation of the H&S.
I would especially like this trade after a retest and rejection of box bottom around $43.41 - $43.30.
My targets would be 40.11, 38.98, 37.27,35.96 then 33.72.
Long Term Buy Position in GBPUSDICMARKETS:GBPUSD has completed Head & Shoulder on Daily Timeframe on 25th August 2025
In this trade, I will not follow any noise as it is a long term trade with high pips in Risk but even higher reward intact. I am waiting for this price action since one month but it is not triggering the cleaned Head and Shoulder's breakout at 1.3596.
I have placed a Buy Stop Order at 1.3596 with my SL at low of inversed right shoulder.
I will take two positions both at the breakout of right shoulder at 1.3596. Both position has 2% risk in total
Position 1 with 1 % Risk
Buy Stop: 1.3596
Stop Loss: 1.3388
TP: 1.3815
Position 1 with 1 % Risk
Buy Stop: 1.3596
Stop Loss: 1.3388
TP: 1.3815
Reverse Head & Shoulders Setup | Gold Spot | 15min | by Mohsen M
🔸 **Chart:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 15min
🔸 **Method:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Pattern Recognition
🔸 **Focus:** Reverse H&S, Order Blocks, TLQ, BOS
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Market Structure:** Bearish on higher TF
- **Short-Term Trend:** MSU (Market Structure Up)
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Confirmed — clean price delivery
- **Key Pattern:** Bullish **Inverse Head & Shoulders**
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder** perfectly forming within a high-value demand zone
2. Price reacted strongly from **Order Block (OB)** + TLQ marked at the bottom wick (Head zone)
3. BOS confirms bullish attempt to shift structure
4. Anticipating neckline break at ~3345 level for further upside
5. Potential resistance and liquidity resting above 3400 (HH region)
---
## 📌 Trading Plan (Pre-London Open / Monday 1:30 AM UTC+3:30):
- **Entry Idea:**
Watch for bullish confirmation after price stabilizes above Right Shoulder zone (~3300–3320)
Or re-entry on a retest of neckline after breakout
- **Stop Loss:**
Below "Head" and OB zone (~3260)
- **Take Profits:**
- TP1: Neckline break zone (~3345)
- TP2: 3400 – Liquidity pool
- TP3: Final HH sweep (~3420+)
---
## ⚠️ Alternate Bearish Case:
> If price breaks below the "Head" zone and OB fails to hold,
> → Expect bearish continuation to the next liquidity zone near **VTA @ 3200**
---
## ✅ Summary:
This is a clean **bullish reversal setup** using SMC logic and a classic H&S pattern:
**OB + TLQ + BOS + Efficient Market + Clear Pattern ➝ High-Probability Setup**
Structure: 🟥 Bearish (macro)
Trend: 🔼 MSU (micro)
Efficiency: ✅ Efficient
Pattern: 🟩 Inverse Head & Shoulders
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
DOT Daily After a strong downtrend, the price has stabilized around the 3.23 – 3.27 support zone, showing several bullish reactions from this area.
Recently, the price action has formed a Symmetrical Triangle structure, meaning volatility is tightening and energy is building up for a breakout.
The key resistance lies in the 4.40 – 4.65 zone (pink box), which could be the first target if the triangle breaks to the upside.
A breakout above the descending trendline (upper side of the triangle) with rising volume may signal the start of a strong bullish move.
On the other hand, if the triangle support and the 3.23 level are lost, the price may continue lower toward 3.00 and possibly 2.75.
The current Symmetrical Triangle can act as either a continuation or a reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. Given the recent bullish reactions at support and the market’s defense of the 3.2 zone, the probability of an upward breakout seems slightly higher.
❓ Do you think this triangle pattern could be a signal for a new bullish rally in DOT?
XAU/USD Technical Outlook – Short-Term Dip, Bigger Upside AheadHello guys.
It is what I see:
We can see that Gold is currently trading around $3,404, consolidating after a strong bullish move inside a rising wedge formation. The wedge has now broken out to the upside, and price action is showing a potential head and shoulders pattern near the top.
Head and Shoulders:
The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly visible, and the neckline is sitting around the $3,399–$3,400 zone. If price dips and retests this neckline, we could see a short-term bearish move toward the target of the head and shoulders around $3,399. This is a healthy pullback after the recent rally.
Bigger Picture (Wedge):
Even though we might see a short-term correction, the larger wedge breakout suggests continuation to the upside. The measured target of the wedge points toward $3,430, which lines up as the next resistance level.