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Headandshouldersformation

H&S Scenario on 4H | Jobless Claims could decideFX_IDC:XAUUSD H&S SCENARIO Until Thursday morning, trader sentiment about another rate cut was around 80%-90% in favor, but the sentiment on the Gold price since the beginning of the week has been highly undecided 🤔 due to several economic data releases which were not strong enough to give Gold a clear direction. Data: ( Actual | Forcasted | Previous) Monday, December 1, 2025 🗓️ S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov) 52.2 | 51.9 | 52.5 ⬆️ ISM Manufacturing PMI (Nov) 48.2 | 49.0 |48.7 ⬇️ ISM Manufacturing Prices (Nov) 58.5 | 59.5 | 58.0 ⬇️ Fed Chair Powell's speech omitted any important mentions of economic conditions or the rate cut process, focusing instead on the political processes surrounding the selection of a new Chair. 🏛️ Tuesday, December 2, 2025 CPI (YoY) (Nov) 2.2% | 2.1% |2.1% ⬆️ Wednesday, December 3, 2025 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Nov) -32K | 5K | 47K ⬆️ S&P Global Services PMI (Nov) 54.1 | 55.0 | 54.8 ⬇️ ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Nov) 52.6 | 52.0 |52.4 ⬆️ ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Nov) 65.4 | 68.0 | 70.0 ⬇️ U.S. President Trump Spokes about drugs and car costs mostly 🗣️ If the Gold price continues to decline past $4225 and reaches the Neckline support at around $4174 - $4179, then a further drop could send the price breaking through the Neckline and Gold could drop primarily to $4110, and secondarily down to the $4070 to $4020 mark. 📉 The Initial Jobless Claims announcement at 8:30 AM ET on Thursday, December 4, is expected to determine the next step for Gold and potentially provide a clear direction. 📰 If the actual Initial Jobless Claims figure is higher than expected, this could push Gold back toward the $4250 resistance level. ⬆️ Conversely, if the figure is lower, I anticipate the price will either fall or continue to trade sideways in the $4186 - $4225 range. ⬇️ ⚖️ The Initial Jobless Claims data may be ineffective in driving Gold's price due to the significant economic data releases scheduled for Friday, December 5. ⚠️ Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Sep) Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Sep) The technical analysis regarding the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern is primarily a trader-driven sentiment result. While it typically acts as a reversal signal following a recent uptrend, the pattern on higher time frames (such as the 4-hour chart) does not always offer a clear direction, and the price does not consistently follow its implications. Keep this in mind and monitor economic data releases closely. My bias remains bearish until a clear market shift occurs. Buy for Sell: $4200 - $4215 Late entry could be $4179 when Initial Jobless Claims look good. Stop Loss: $4230 TP 1: $4167 TP 2: $4153 TP 2: $4116 TP 3: $4070 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
3
BTCUSD can crash to 24k if ABC correction occurs BTC experiencing the effect of Dead cross at 110000 USD ,which can drag upto 74500 and a support can take place due to price convergence and RSI divergence setup. If price bounce backed from 74500 around ,then it can reach 0.386/0.618 around 106000 and 108000 USD. A third try to breach 74500 can break the support and can take leap towards 24k making it drag down of 82% which BTC achieved back in 2017- 2018 . Disclaimer: this is purely based on previous trends study and speculations according to price moments .i recommend to make your own study before investing or consult your financial advisor .
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Zakir-Ahmed
1
ETH — Using Fibonacci for High-Precision TradingUnderstanding Tools, Confluence & Today’s Setup I’ve been getting a lot of DMs asking what the best indicator is.
The truth? There is no universal “best indicator” because indicators are tools, and every tool serves a different purpose. Trading is like carrying a toolbox: the skill isn’t in having the tools, but in knowing when and how to use them. Educational Segment: Why Fibonacci Should Be Your Foundation After years of studying different systems, I’ve come to a very simple conclusion: 👉 Fibonacci tools are the most powerful and reliable in my entire arsenal. Why? They help you spot reversal zones with precision They work across all market conditions They are rooted in natural ratios that markets consistently gravitate toward They create predictable targets, retracements, extensions, and even timing when used correctly Indicators like oscillators etc. are best used as confirmation, not as the primary signal. If I had to pick one indicator besides Fibonacci, it would absolutely be the VWAP. Why the Anchored VWAP Is Incredibly Underrated It shows where true volume-weighted market support + resistance lies It adapts dynamically It works extremely well as a dynamic support/resistance line It is fantastic as a trailing stop-loss tool It helps identify institutional footprints in price structure Fibonacci + VWAP is one of the strongest forms of confluence you can build. ETH Technical Breakdown Today, ETH attempted a breakout but the move failed, and the rejection was clean. ETH rejected at the anchored VWAP aligned with Fibonacci reversal zone: ETH tested the anchored VWAP near $3,090 twice, coinciding with the 1.136–1.272 Fibonacci Reversal Zone. This confluence acted as a strong resistance, leading to a swift selloff soon after. Key Confluence Level Below: My next major downside target lines up with a cluster of confluences: 1.6-1.666 Fibonacci extension 0.5 Fibonacci retracement Anchored VWAP (green support line) Liquidity zone (demand area) 0.618 Fibonacci speed fan support Educational Takeaway → Confluence Is King If there’s one lesson to internalize: The more factors that align at the same level or zone, the higher the probability of a successful trade. This ETH range has provided several high-quality setups for anyone who understands how to read price through Fibonacci. Final Notes ETH remains in a well-defined trading range use confluence, stay patient, and let the market come to your level. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Short
by SiDec
3
BTC Euphoria to Fear: Is This the Start of the Bitcoin Winter?Is the Bitcoin bear market here? A deep dive Into cycles, tech risks & what comes next. Bitcoin has now dropped –36% from its all-time high in just 46 days, and naturally the big questions emerge:
Has the bear market officially begun?
How long could it last?
And what catalysts could accelerate it? Let’s break this down from cycle structure to macro-technological risks. BTC Has Turned Bearish Across All Major Timeframes Bitcoin is now trading below the yearly open at $93,576, flipping all major timeframes into bearish alignment (from the daily to the yearly). Monthly MACD Bearish Cross Incoming The monthly MACD is set to print a bearish crossover this month.
The last bullish MACD phase lasted 28 months, which has now ended → a strong macro signal. Cycle Timing: What History Says Historically, Bitcoin bottoms approximately one year after the top: 2017 → 2018: 363 days 2021 → 2022: 376 days If the current cycle repeats, the macro bottom may form around: October 2026 The previous bull market lasted 1061 days, this one 1050 days → almost identical.
This strongly supports the thesis that the cycle has already peaked. How Low Could Bitcoin Go? Macro target: 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement → $39,173 Aligning with: Half-year 21 EMA confluence Macro corrective structures Prior cycle bear market depth Historical Precedent: The 2022 Bottom Zone Back in 2022, Bitcoin spent 210 days (over 7 months) consolidating at the bottom of the bear market.
This was especially clear on the weekly timeframe, where price formed a clean multi-month accumulation range. Weekly TF: Daily TF: This is crucial context: 👉 The market gave more than half a year to load up at the bottom. No chasing, no rushing → anyone paying attention had time to scale into positions for the next cycle. The 2025 Macro Top Landed Perfectly in the 1.618–1.666 Fib Target Fib 1.618–1.666
→ $122,056 – $125,218 This area was the ideal sell zone, and Bitcoin respected it perfectly. What happened after hitting the Fib target? The market entered a 3-month distribution phase, giving plenty of time to: scale out take profit derisk rotate into stablecoins or simplified portfolios Then came the aggressive sell-off → classic macro cycle behavior. Macro Catalysts That Could Drive the Bear Market Deeper 1️⃣ Quantum Computing Acceleration A credible quantum breakthrough (or even a strong rumor) could trigger systemic fear.
Bitcoin’s ECDSA signatures are theoretically vulnerable to quantum attack models. 2️⃣ Fast-Paced AI Threats AI is accelerating: algorithmic optimization cryptographic analysis zero-day discovery hardware design The risk matrix is evolving faster than coding standards can update. 3️⃣ Regulatory Momentum Expect: stablecoin restrictions exchange tightening AML/KYC global enforcement This would accelerate risk-off behavior. Technical Confluence: Where BTC Is Now Monthly 21 EMA/SMA → 86.6K Current support test. Quarterly (3M) 21 EMA/SMA EMA: $58.5K SMA: $53.5K Strong structural support zone. Half-Year (6M) 21 EMA/SMA EMA: $39.5K SMA: $29.8K The EMA aligns perfectly with the 0.786 retracement → $39,173. Remember that the EMA/SMA levels mentioned are dynamic and will continue to shift over time as new price data comes in, so these confluence zones will gradually adjust. Additional Confluence: Potential Head & Shoulders (Bars Pattern Symmetry) A potential Head & Shoulders Pattern is forming in symmetry with the previous bull market top, as shown through the bars pattern overlay. Trading Playbook: Short the Bull Trap The most likely scenario: BTC bounces into $95K–$100K → traps late bulls → rejects → cascade lower Targets: TP1: $76K TP2: $70K Remaining: trail into $65K → $58K → $39K Final Outlook Bitcoin is now deeply aligned with a macro reversal: Perfect Fib 1.618–1.666 top Break of yearly open Cycle timing consistent Monthly MACD turning bearish Quantum + AI risk factors accelerating Structural confluence targets $70K → $40K Pattern mirroring the previous cycle top _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Short
by SiDec
9
Kalyan Jewellers : Possible Head & Shoulders Pattern ?This is the daily timeframe chart of Kalyan Jewellers. The stock is moving within a well-defined parallel channel, with a strong support zone near the 440–460 range, which has already been respected as the stock bounced back from this level. Currently, the stock is providing price-action support near the 470–480 zone. If this level sustains and a bullish move begins from here, it will confirm that the stock has formed a Head & Shoulders pattern. The potential target for this pattern lies in the 640–650 range. Thank You !!
NSE:KALYANKJILLong
by FiveCircles
Ardmore Shipping Corp - Exciting Chart Pattern Disclaimer: This post is purely based on technical chart analysis and is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Please do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Last Year in May 2024, stock price was at nearly $23. from that level it fall to $8.5. During this fall and rise, stock has made an inverted Head and Shoulder Chart Pattern. According to my analysis , i have marked some of levels on the chart for reference. Please share your thoughts. Best wishes.
NYSE:ASCLong
by CandleQuest
1
Lucky Cement Ready for Major Upside | Demand Tested, Supply NextHello Billionaires!! Lucky Cement (LUCK) has successfully completed its Head & Shoulders pattern, reaching into the demand zone and now showing early signs of reversal momentum. 📊 Technical Breakdown: ✅ Head & Shoulders completed — possible end of distribution phase 💎 Demand zone tested and held strong 🔷 Triangle pattern breakout forming 🎯 Targeting Complete Supply Zone (550–560 PKR) 🧠 Smart Money structure: accumulation → expansion → distribution ⚡ Possible Scenario: Short-term retracement toward demand to grab liquidity before a strong impulsive move toward the major supply zone. 💬 Watch for bullish confirmations near 430–435 PKR for a potential rally toward 550+ PKR.
PSX:LUCKLong
by AliyanFX
MARA: shoulders done, now walk toward the targetOn the daily chart, MARA completed a textbook inverse Head & Shoulders reversal with a clear breakout above the descending trendline. A corrective pullback followed, and the price is now heading into the key buy zone at 15.21–15.77 - aligning with the 0.72 and 0.79 Fibonacci retracements, and the upper boundary of the broken channel. This is the area to watch for a potential continuation of the bullish impulse. Volume on the breakout was above average, confirming strong buyer interest. The EMAs are trending below the price, supporting the upward structure. The first target is located at 21.57 (previous resistance), with a potential extension to 28.77 (Fibonacci 1.618). Fundamentally, MARA remains highly correlated with BTC and crypto sentiment. As interest returns to crypto-related assets due to ETF flows and possible Fed easing, mining stocks like MARA gain attention. Recent reports also show improved production efficiency and lowered costs - a tailwind for bulls. Tactically, the best setup would be a confirmed reaction from the buy zone — whether a strong candlestick formation, volume surge, or reclaim of a key level. If that happens, aiming for 21.57 and 28.77 becomes a solid plan. The pattern played out - now it's time for the market to walk the talk.
NASDAQ:MARALong
by TotoshkaTrades
3
AMAT 1W: Retesting the Neckline Before the Next Move?On the weekly chart, Applied Materials (AMAT) has completed a clean inverted head and shoulders breakout around $226, and is now pulling back to retest the neckline zone near $200–211. This area acts as strong support. If buyers defend it, the bullish pattern stays valid, with a projected target around $277, matching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. From a fundamental perspective, AMAT remains a key semiconductor player, benefiting from ongoing demand for chip-making equipment. The pullback looks more like a healthy pause than weakness - a classic chance for latecomers to re-enter. Funny enough, the “head and shoulders” pattern, known for signaling tops, is doing the exact opposite here - apparently, even the market likes a good plot twist.
NASDAQ:AMATLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Short! Short! USDCAD - Double Head and Shoulder PatternI have identified a clear head and shoulders pattern forming within a larger head and shoulders structure on the daily timeframe for USD/CAD, indicating a potential bearish reversal. From a fundamental perspective, several key factors are contributing to the current weakness in the Canadian dollar against the US dollar: Canada's labor market showed significant weakness in August 2025, with a notable loss of 65.5 thousand jobs and a rise in unemployment to 7.1%, the highest in years. This has increased market expectations for monetary easing from the Bank of Canada (BoC). Although core inflation remains above target, the weak jobs data is pushing the BoC towards potential rate cuts or a more accommodative policy stance, which weighs on the Canadian dollar. The market is currently pricing in a very high chance (around 98%) of an additional rate cut by the BoC in September, following previous reductions to 2.75%. This dovish stance contrasts with the Federal Reserve’s more cautious or hawkish approach, creating a wider interest rate differential that supports US dollar strength. Additionally, declining oil prices, a major export for Canada, are exerting further downward pressure on the CAD. While recent US economic data has been mixed, the Fed is generally seen as less dovish than the BoC, sustaining demand for the USD. Trade tensions and geopolitical risks between the US and Canada add to concerns over Canada’s growth outlook, contributing to CAD depreciation risk. Trade Tip A strong close below the Entry line will be a perfect entry /4hr TF Stoploss : Above the Left Shoulder (Red Rectangle) In summary, the combination of a weakening Canadian economy, dovish BoC bias, lower oil prices, and interest rate divergence between the US and Canada all support a bearish outlook for USD/CAD, which aligns well with the bearish head and shoulders pattern I have spotted on the chart. Not an Investment Advise
Short
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
XAUUSD Trade Plan Follow UpThe threat of a U.S. government shutdown is intensifying, heightening the stakes and sustaining elevated gold prices in the wake of recent Federal Reserve and President Trump speeches. Additionally, U.S. jobless claims data is set for release this morning, with the forecast at 240,000 compared to last week's 264,000. If jobless claims come in better than expected (i.e., below 240,000), it could pave the way for an ABC correction in gold prices. Finally, monitor the PCE report scheduled for this Friday, with a forecast of 2.6% year-over-year for the core measure and a previous reading of 2.9%.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Michael_Harding
SOXL 1D — With a base like this, the ride’s worth itOn the daily chart of SOXL, since early March, a textbook inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed and is now in its activation phase. The left shoulder sits at $16.67, the head at $7.21, and the right shoulder at $15.11. The symmetry is classic, with volume stabilization and a narrowing range — all the elements are in place. The key moment was the breakout through the descending daily trendline around $19.00. Price didn’t just pierce the level — it held above it, signaling a phase shift. There was an attempt to break through the 0.5 Fibonacci level at $19.60, which led to a pullback — not on heavy selling, but on decreasing volume. This wasn’t a rejection, it was a pause. This pullback serves as a retest of the breakout zone and the 20-day moving average. The overall structure remains bullish: price stays above all key EMAs and MAs, RSI climbs past 60, and the candlestick structure is stable. Volume rises during up moves and fades during pullbacks — classic signs of reaccumulation. The measured target from the pattern is $32.00, calculated from the head-to-neckline height projected from the breakout point. As long as price holds above $18.40, the setup remains intact. A break above $19.60 with confirmation would open the door to acceleration. This isn’t a momentum play — it’s a setup months in the making. The structure is there, the confirmation is there, and most importantly — the price behavior makes sense. With a base like this, the ride ahead looks worth taking.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by TotoshkaTrades
4
DRIFT — No More Drifting, Breakout ImminentDRIFT has been trading sideways in a 226-day range, capped by resistance at $0.75. The POC of this entire range sits at $0.6, and price is currently trading above it at $0.62. Volume spikes within the range show solid participation, and the structure is starting to resemble a Head & Shoulders formation with a neckline at $0.75 that needs to break. Bullish Confluence (Support Zone) Trading above: 21 Daily EMA ($0.593) / SMA ($0.592) 21 Weekly EMA ($0.577) / SMA ($0.549) 200 Daily EMA ($0.5828) / SMA ($0.5483) Monthly Open → $0.5888 0.618 Fib retracement of current move → $0.5987 (long trigger) Clear invalidation: below weekly 21 SMA ($0.549) / daily 200 SMA ($0.5483) Resistance Confluence (Target Zone $1.3–$1.38) nPOC of the end 2024 / early 2025 trading range → $1.3 0.786 Fib retracement → $1.2935 0.382 Fib retracement of entire downtrend → $1.3056 0.618 Fib retracement of smaller wave → $1.3677 Yearly Open → $1.3664 500M Market Cap → $1.38 📌 This creates a resistance cluster between $1.3–$1.38, an ideal take-profit zone and potential short opportunity. 🟢 Long Setup Idea Entry: $0.62–$0.60 (ladder in near confluence with Fib + support levels) Stop: Below $0.55 (weekly 21 SMA/ daily 200 SMA invalidation) Targets: TP1: $1 TP2: $1.3 Potential Gain: +115% Quick Take If $0.75 breaks, DRIFT could move quickly toward $1.3–$1.38, a zone stacked with resistance and confluences, the perfect place to secure profits/look for a short setup. Key Levels Support: $0.62–$0.60 (Fib + POC + EMAs) Resistance: $0.75 neckline, then $1.3–$1.38 (confluence cluster) 🔍 Indicators used LuxAlgo — Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored) DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the weekly 21 EMA/SMA. Fair Value Trend Model → Calculates a regression-based fair value curve ➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Long
by SiDec
Yes the chicken man - PPC Short?PPC is at the bottom of a monthly box and at VAL of the daily and weekly anchored volume profile. It could catch a bid here and retest $45.60s(VPOC). If the retest ends in a rejection of that area, and a daily close below the previous low around $41.95 then I expect short continuation and validation of the H&S. I would especially like this trade after a retest and rejection of box bottom around $43.41 - $43.30. My targets would be 40.11, 38.98, 37.27,35.96 then 33.72.
NASDAQ:PPC
by The_Villain_777
4
Build-A-Bear WorkshopClassic ChartWizards setup. NYSE:BBW ChartWizards first reported on NYSE:BBW around $22 back in 2022, buying the clean Head & Shoulders FAILURE breakout that most ignored. Since then, BBW has been one of the most consistent secular uptrends we’ve tracked, grinding higher through 2023–24 with textbook pullbacks and measured breakouts. In mid-2025 we flagged the move through $38 as a fresh all-time high and a technical validation of our multi-year bullish stance. Fast forward to September 2025, and the stock has exploded to $71, a more than 3x move from entry. I’ll say it again: I’m biased, but I don’t think anyone has covered this name better than we have. This is the kind of chart that defines what Chart Wizards is all about.
NYSE:BBW
by jBTCkingaling
DIXON Clears ₹17,000! Strong GDP Data Fuels Momentum...DIXON has been consolidating in a bullish structure over the past few weeks, forming an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe – a strong reversal signal that often precedes major trend shifts. 📈 Technical Breakout: Today, the stock broke above the ₹17,000 neckline resistance with strong volume and closed 5.3% higher intraday. This breakout candle confirms buyer dominance and signals a potential shift into a sustained uptrend. 🔍 Trade Plan: * Entry Zone: Look for a retest of ₹17,000 for a safer entry. * Stop-Loss: ₹16,450 (recent swing low & neckline support). * Target Levels: * 🎯 ₹18,200 – Near-term resistance based on recent price action. * 🎯 ₹19,000 – Next significant supply zone. * 🎯 ₹20,200+ – Medium-term target based on pattern projection. 🌐 Fundamental Tailwind: India’s strong GDP growth data has boosted investor confidence, providing a macro push that aligns with DIXON’s bullish breakout. The confluence of technical strength and economic optimism increases the probability of a strong follow-through rally. 📊 Takeaway: This setup combines a clear breakout, defined risk levels, strong volume confirmation, and positive macro sentiment – an ideal scenario for trend-following traders.
NSE:DIXONLong
by Kartik_Elkunchwar