OANDA:XAUUSD has broken out of the downtrend after the 1260 rejection and with hourly timeframe moving averages confirming the trend change. Bulls are still in the game and it looks like it will have another try against the Wall of Trump resistance. No big positions as of yet as I expected a pullback that didn't materialize and it consolidated for 2 days...
The dollar index on the daily chart you can see that we are now in a key area where it is testing resistance from February and November 2015, due to recent results from the US raising interest rates this has caused concern for investors and we have seen a big sell off, I believe we may see a big sell off again after the pullback to 99.26 0.382 fib or even gain...
Possible structure for Gold If analysis is correct look to short 1237 (Monthly Pivot) with a target of 1180 then back to 1200. From 1200 I expect 1080, unless bull is re-woke. Happy Trading!
FX_IDC:XAUUSD now has a bullish daily hammer courtesy of Janet Yellen after being rejected from 1260 level. If the bullish momentum continues then FX_IDC:XAUUSD might have the weapon it needs to break that wall and the cluster of moving averages but it needs to get back to the fight. Entry: 1229.02 SL: 1227(Moved to 1229.5) TP: (tp1) 1246 (tp2) 1251 (tp3)...
The DXY US Dollar Index has gapped into interim resistance following an intense round of FEDspeak seemingly aimed at boosting expectations of a March hike. Chance of a March hike was less than 33% just a few weeks ago, but both voting and non-voting members have embarked on a full blown communications offensive over the past week, pushing expectations up above 60%...
The Aussie finished Friday lower, printing Dark Cloud Cover on back of stronger than expected annual wage growth in the US. Reversal candle occurred at falling wedge resistance / former support confluence and pair looks set to resume lower. Initial support is the .7296 - .7283 hourly zone, with a break below there confirming the top and targeting the lows above...
Dollar Yen has broken out of wedge consolidation in quiet post-Christmas trade and looks set to continue higher. Pair has been trending up at an average of 250 pips per week for the past 7 weeks, but has been stuck in consolidation since setting a new 10 month high on the 15th of December. Today's break above the wedge top opens the path to 118.66, with further...
Hello, NZD/USD downtrend taking shape, price is pulling back, will look for short position as soon as pull back momentum will decrease, probably rejecting 50 EMA and 0.382 fib, even though given the current acceleration I'd say it could even reach 0.5 or 0.618, while waiting for Fed's rate hike. Either way keep your eyes peeled and be ready to get in the trend!
The cable continues to consolidate in the relative calm following the October flash crash. Pair is currently hovering above a minor trend-line, extending off of the October 28 low and may find support here and continue to range over the short term. Over the medium term; we're looking for a move lower, followed by bearish continuation and seeking to position...
The Aussie broke through long term channel support in mid-November; falling nearly 300 pips in 3 days, before finding support above 73. Pair has since retraced approximately 61.8% of the decline from 7580 and is testing the .7440 - 75 former support zone. We are looking for a turn lower from here and an eventual break below the 5 month low at 7285. Alternatively;...
Buy limit order at 1.29484, SL 1,28600 TP 1.32500 RISK REWARD 1 TO 3. IMPOSSIBLE TO SEE
Dollar pushing up, BOJ could show helicopter, but speculation from big bosses is bigger than for interest rate decission from FED.
Catching USDJPY burst from the 101.00 level on the excellent July NFP number and possible heading towards the 103.00 level. "How I Flip My Account FIVE Times in 365 Days (2016)" Journal on Forex Factory www.forexfactory.com
FOMC Lockhart was the 4th Fed this week to imo be relatively Hawkish with his words, most notably reinforcing with the others brexits near-term stability saying "Doesn't Expect 'Brexit' to Have Near Term Impact on Economy" and " So Far 'Brexit' Reaction Largely Orderly". Most interestingly though was Lockharts view on the FOMC's positioning for future rate...
The best Idea to play BOJ and FOMC from a risk-averse perspective is to own both in a Long Straddle Strategy Dynamic Straddle: Long USDJPY & Short GBPJPY - TP from volatility & Event likely hoods TP levels = cannot be greedy else you may miss one trades exit point so <25 pips when it goes in your direction for each - total TP = 50pips as 2*25pips Reasoning...
This article compares the price and technical analysis of GBPUSD in the 10-weeks leading into the two events in order to gain an execution-able advantage going into the UK EU Referendum taking place on the 23rd June 2016. Price Action and Trends Scottish UK REF - 10 weeks = 14.July.14 to 18.Sep.14 - The first 8 of the 10 weeks GU traded extremely bid, ...
This article compares the price and technical analysis of GBPUSD in the 10-weeks leading into the two events in order to gain an execution-able advantage going into the UK EU Referendum taking place on the 23rd June 2016. Ranges Scottish UK REF - 10 weeks = 14.July.14 to 18.Sep.14 - GU started the period at 1.7000 and closed the period at 1.64000, with...
As I show in this chart, fiber could go down till 1.11X till June. After that it will make some corrective structure that will end with a buy or sell on breakup. Regards and happy trading!