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Bitcoin Daily Analysis – The Trend Is Our FriendGood morning, Guys, I’ve prepared a fresh Bitcoin analysis for you. 🔹 First off, I stand firmly behind my long-term targets of **127,000 – 137,000 – 146,000**. I previously shared these levels with you in a weekly analysis. 🔍 Now let’s shift to the 1-day chart: What is Bitcoin telling us right now? 📉 If the **112,000 level breaks downward**, we could enter a correction phase toward **102,000** or even **99,500**. I expect strong buying interest to return from those zones. 📈 After that, we’re facing a key resistance structure between **123,000 – 120,000**. But I believe this zone will also be broken—because we’re in an **uptrend**, and… 💬 **The trend is our friend. Never forget that.**
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDLong
by TraderTilki
102
Bitcoin - Shortterm correction in the bullish trend!Introduction The Bitcoin price action is currently moving within a structured range where both liquidity and fair value gaps (FVGs) are playing an important role in shaping potential market direction. By analyzing the chart, we can identify key areas of liquidity, resistance, and support that traders are likely to pay close attention to in the coming days. Understanding how price reacts around these zones will help anticipate whether bulls can maintain control or if bears will attempt to reclaim lost ground. Upside liquidity At the top of the range, we can see a clear liquidity area where price previously reversed. This liquidity pool represents buy-side liquidity, and the market could be drawn towards it as price seeks to sweep the highs. Liquidity is often targeted by the market before making a significant move in the opposite direction, which makes this area important to watch closely. Resistance from the 4h and daily FVG Before price can reach higher liquidity levels, it must contend with a strong resistance zone that overlaps with both the 4-hour and the daily fair value gap. This confluence strengthens the resistance, making it more likely that price will struggle to break through immediately. Traders will be watching for signs of rejection within this area, which could cause short-term pullbacks before any potential breakout. 4h FVG and CME gap support On the downside, the 4-hour fair value gap aligns with the CME gap, providing a strong support level. This zone acts as an attractive area for price to retrace into before continuing higher. It is common for the market to return to such imbalances to fill inefficiencies, so a temporary dip into this support could serve as a healthy retracement before bulls attempt to push price further upward. Bullish inversion Another critical development is the inversion zone, where previous resistance has now flipped into support. This shift highlights that bulls are taking control of the market structure, strengthening the overall bullish outlook. As long as this inversion level holds, buyers are likely to defend it aggressively, reducing the probability of a deeper breakdown. Final thoughts Overall, the market remains in a bullish posture with upside liquidity acting as a magnet, but significant resistance awaits at the overlapping 4h and daily FVG. Short-term pullbacks into the 4h FVG and CME gap support are likely before the next major move upward. If the bullish inversion continues to hold, we could see a strong push towards the higher liquidity zones, potentially targeting levels beyond 117,000. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether bulls can maintain this control or if resistance proves too strong. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
35
Gold Weekly Outlook (Sept 29 – Oct 3)Hello Traders, As we head into the final stretch of September, gold is approaching a critical technical juncture. With prices testing a key supply zone and momentum indicators running hot, traders are watching closely for signs of either continuation or reversal. This week could offer important clues about the broader trend heading into Q4. Let’s dive into the levels, catalysts, and scenarios that matter most. 🟡 Gold Summary (XAUUSD) Current Price: ~3760
Bias: Bearish–Neutral
Catalyst: NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) this Friday 🔑 Key Levels Resistance (Supply Zones): * 3770–3835 → Current ceiling (weekly supply) * 3895–3945 → Breakout confirmation zone Support (Demand Zones): * 3640–3600 → First major demand * 3560–3510 → Secondary support * 3480–3430 → Deeper shelf * 3250–3200 → Long-term institutional demand 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Favored unless breakout occurs) * Rejection at 3770–3835 → Targets: 3640 → 3560 → 3480 * RSI divergence + stretched EMAs support pullback 🔺 Bullish Scenario * Break and hold above 3820–3835 → Targets: 3850 → 3895 → 3945 * Weekly close above 3820 = strong continuation signal , opens up possibility of price targeting $4K. 📉 Intraday (H1–H4) * Structure: Bullish but weakening * EMAs stretched, RSI diverging * Tactical rejection at 3775–3795 opens downside * Breakout above 3795–3820 needed for further upside ⚔️ Decision Point 3760–3785 = Key battle zone * Rejection → Bearish retrace * Breakout → Bullish continuation ✅ Strategy: Wait for confirmation. NFP will likely trigger the move.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FX_Scrubbs
1
XAUUSD || GOLD ANALYSIS BASED ON SMART MONEY ORDERS (REAL TIME )🤖 GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (September 26, 2025) 🚀 Welcome to Trade with DECRYPTERS We break the charts down into clean levels so you can spot where smart money is buying 🟢 and selling 🔴. Keep it simple, stick to the plan, and let the levels guide your moves. 🟡 Gold Slips to $3,747 — Dollar’s Flexing Its Muscles! A stronger US dollar and mixed economic signals are pushing gold prices down. When the dollar gains, gold gets less attractive as it’s priced in dollars. Investors are watching closely! 🏦 Fed Says “No Rush” on Rate Cuts — Gold Feels the Heat! Strong US jobs data makes the Fed cautious about cutting rates soon. Lower rates usually boost gold, so this hesitation is bad news for prices. 🌍 Middle East Tensions Flare — Gold’s Safe-Haven Glow Shines! Rising conflicts and US-China trade worries make investors nervous, driving them to gold. As a safe-haven asset, gold prices get a lift when global risks spike. 📊 Jobs Report Looms — Will Gold Get a Break? Next week’s US jobs data could shake things up. If the report shows weakness, it might spark hopes for rate cuts, pushing gold prices higher. 🚀 US Economy Roars at 2.8% — Gold’s Not Impressed! Solid US GDP growth eases recession fears, making gold less appealing. Strong economies often reduce demand for safe-haven assets like gold. ⚡ Trump’s Tariff Threats Stir Chaos — Gold Loves It! Talk of new tariffs and global uncertainty keeps gold in demand. Investors turn to gold as a hedge when trade wars heat up. 🏛️ Central Banks Hoard 900 Tonnes — Gold’s Got Backup! Central banks are buying tons of gold to diversify reserves. This steady demand supports higher gold prices over time. ⚡⚡So what we are Expecting .. ? ⚡⚡ Current Price around 3744. 🟢 Buy Zone (3717–3698) Buyers waiting to load up. 3705 is the key bounce point 🔑. 🔴 Sell Zone (3777–3790) Sellers may step in hard here. Watch for a sharp push ⚡ into this zone before any drop. 📊 Todays possible Daily Range:- High of the day: 3792 ⬆️ Low of the day: 3703 ⬇️ CONCLUSION :- With today’s range between 3703–3792, price action near 3744 sits right in the middle. Key levels: Buy Zone 3717–3698 (bounce at 3705) and Sell Zone 3777–3790. Bias is slightly bullish 🟢, but confirmation will come only from reactions at these zones.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
1
Bitcoin Analysis: Key Level to WatchPrice sold off aggressively, and now it sits within a key reaction area. We can see price just tapped into the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the last leg up. This is the golden pocket, a place where markets tend to react often. Now look closely: price is showing early signs of rejection here, with wicks forming and momentum slowing down. If buyers step in here, and hold this zone that is our signals, targeting around the previous high. But if price breaks clean below it, that invalidates the bullish idea and we could see some more continuation lower.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TrendDiva
42
EURUSD - Bears are taking control!Introduction This chart analysis of EUR/USD highlights key price action concepts such as liquidity grabs, fair value gaps, and inversions on the four-hour timeframe. By examining how the market has been moving recently, we can better understand where price may head next and how institutional activity could be shaping upcoming moves. The following sections break down the liquidity sweeps, the bearish and bullish setups, and the potential implications for future price direction. Liquidity grab at the upside The recent price movement shows a clear liquidity grab to the upside, where price aggressively pushed higher to take out resting buy stops above previous highs. This kind of move is typical of market makers and institutions seeking liquidity before reversing the price. Once those stops are cleared, the market often lacks the momentum to sustain higher levels, which can be a precursor to a reversal or deeper retracement. Liquidity grab at the downside After the upward liquidity sweep, the market also executed a downside liquidity grab. Price dipped lower to target sell-side liquidity, running stops beneath previous lows before showing signs of reacting. These moves are designed to trap both breakout traders and late sellers, creating the liquidity necessary for the next larger move. This back-and-forth price action emphasizes how the market often seeks liquidity in both directions before deciding on a sustained trend. 4h bearish FVG A four-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed, which acts as a strong area of imbalance where price is likely to return. This zone provides a potential entry point for institutional traders looking to short, as it represents inefficiency in the market that has yet to be filled. As long as price respects this area and reacts bearishly upon re-entry, it strengthens the case for continuation to the downside. 4h bullish inversion At the same time, there is a four-hour bullish inversion level, where previous resistance has flipped into potential support. This area can act as a temporary base for price to consolidate or retrace before resuming its bearish trajectory. If the inversion holds, we might see short-term bullish reactions, but the broader market structure still favors sellers as long as the bearish FVG remains intact. Final thoughts Overall, the current EUR/USD setup suggests that the market is in the process of engineering liquidity on both sides before deciding its next major move. The upside and downside liquidity grabs confirm the presence of institutional activity, while the bearish FVG highlights a potential point of interest for further selling. The bullish inversion may offer temporary support, but the broader bias remains bearish until proven otherwise. Traders should watch how price reacts to the highlighted zones, as these areas are likely to provide the clearest signals for the next significant move. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
by Youriverse
30
REAL VS FAKE CHOCK🔹 1. Real Choke vs Fake Choke A **Choke** in ICT/SMC language usually refers to a **block of price action where liquidity is absorbed** and either the trend reverses or continues strongly. It is connected to the idea of **Order Blocks, IDM (Imbalance-Demand-Mitigations)** and **Liquidity Absorption**. ### ✅ Real Choke * Happens when **genuine liquidity is absorbed** by institutions (big players). * Price reacts to the choke level → gives a **clear displacement** in opposite direction. * Characteristics: * Strong rejection (impulsive move away). * Volume & imbalance support the move. * Leaves behind a valid **IDM / FVG / Order Block**. * Usually aligns with **higher timeframe POI** (HTF OB, FVG, BPR). 👉 **Effect**: Becomes the base for a **true reversal or strong continuation**. --- ### ❌ Fake Choke * Happens when price **pretends to absorb liquidity** but it’s just a **stop hunt / inducement**. * Market sweeps liquidity near choke level → then continues in original direction. * Characteristics: * Small/weak rejection, no real displacement. * No proper imbalance or absorption. * Often formed just to **trap retail traders** thinking reversal is coming. * Seen in **mid-range / liquidity inducement zones**, not at HTF POI. 👉 **Effect**: Leads to **continuation in same direction** after trapping liquidity. --- ## 🔹 2. Why IDM (Imbalance Demand Mitigation) is Important **IDM** is the footprint of institutions when they: * Absorb liquidity, * Create imbalance, and * Mitigate their positions later. It’s important because: 1. **Shows Institutional Interest** → IDM confirms that Smart Money actually participated. 2. **Validates Choke** → If choke has IDM inside it → higher chance it’s **real**. 3. **Gives Entry Points** → IDM zones often become mitigation levels (precise entries with low risk). 4. **Separates Fake vs Real** → Fake chokes usually have no IDM footprint. --- ## 🔹 3. Role of IDM in Reversal & Liquidity Absorption When market is reversing: * First, **retail liquidity is collected** (fake choke). * Then, institutions place **real choke + IDM** to absorb liquidity. * The IDM ensures that: * All **supply/demand imbalance** is cleared, * Institutions get filled, * Price is ready for a **clean reversal**. 👉 **In Short:** * **Fake choke** = liquidity grab. * **Real choke + IDM** = liquidity absorption + reversal base. --- ⚡So, the easiest filter is: * If a choke has **IDM (clear imbalance & mitigation footprint)** → it’s **real**. * If not → it’s just a **fake liquidity sweep**.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by amanagrawalofficial
GBP/USD Setup: Breakout or Fakeout at 1.3600 Key Level?🔎 Technical Analysis On the daily chart, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3550 after rejecting the dynamic support of the ascending channel. The key resistance lies at 1.3600. A daily close above this level could open the way towards 1.3700–1.3750, a strong supply zone. RSI remains in consolidation, far from extremes, suggesting more room for upside. Scenarios: Bullish: Break above 1.3600 → target 1.3700–1.3750. Bearish: Rejection below 1.3500 → retracement to 1.3400, extension to 1.3280. 📊 COT Report USD Index (CFTC 09/09/2025): Non-commercials added +5.5K longs and +6K shorts, net short remains dominant → slightly weak USD bias. British Pound: Non-commercials trimmed longs (-1.2K) and shorts (-748), but commercials added massive longs (+66K) → long-term bullish hedging on GBP. 👉 Overall: GBP supported, USD weak → bullish bias for GBP/USD. 📅 Seasonality September historically shows a neutral/slightly bearish tendency for GBP/USD (-0.3% average over 20 years). The 2-year model suggests a mid-September drawdown followed by recovery in October. 👉 Mixed bias: short-term weakness possible, but October seasonality favors GBP strength. 🧠 Retail Sentiment 63% short vs 37% long. Retail is heavily short – a classic contrarian signal, pointing towards a possible upside liquidity grab above 1.3600–1.3700. 📌 Trading Plan Primary bias: Bullish above 1.3500 targeting 1.3700–1.3750. Confirmations: COT favors GBP, retail short, bullish technical structure. Risks: September seasonality slightly bearish → potential pullback to 1.3450 before resuming higher.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
2