EUR/USD About to Trap the Bears? Final Push Before the Drop! EUR/USD is showing a solid short-term bullish structure, with a move initiated from the demand base around 1.1560, fueling a strong rally toward the current level near 1.1770. Price is now approaching a significant supply zone between 1.1790 and 1.1875, previously responsible for the last major bearish swing. This area also aligns with projected Fibonacci levels (25%-100%), reinforcing its relevance as a possible inflection point.
This movement suggests there’s still room for price to push higher, likely completing the final leg of this bullish cycle before a more convincing short setup develops. At this stage, Fibonacci levels are not acting as firm supports, but rather as hypothetical pullback projections: once price enters the 1.1800–1.1875 area, it will be key to monitor for signs of exhaustion. A rejection here may initiate a bearish retracement toward 1.1670–1.1650, in line with the 62–70.5% fib levels.
Retail sentiment remains highly contrarian: 76% of traders are short, positioning themselves too early against the trend. This imbalance adds fuel for a potential continuation higher, as the market may seek to "squeeze" these premature shorts. Additionally, the COT report confirms growing institutional interest in the euro, with non-commercials increasing their net longs, while USD net long exposure continues to shrink.
Seasonality adds further confluence: late July is historically bullish for EUR/USD, suggesting one final leg up could materialize before a typically weaker August.
✅ Trading Outlook
EUR/USD is technically aligned for a final push toward the 1.1800–1.1875 premium zone, where a potential short opportunity may arise. The rally is currently driven by overextended retail shorts and supportive institutional flows. Only after price interacts with the upper supply zone should reversal signs be evaluated, with correction targets around 1.1670–1.1650. The ideal play: wait for confirmation of bearish intent in August, when seasonal weakness typically kicks in.
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NZD-JPY Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend but the pair is locally
Overbought so after the pair
Hits the horizontal resistance
Level of 88.900 we will be
Expecting a local bearish
Move down
Sell!
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CAD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-JPY made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 107.400 and we
Are already seeing a bullish
Rebound and we will be
Expecting a further local
Bullish move up
Buy!
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Bitcoin - Triangle pattern consolidation!The Bitcoin price action is currently coiling within a symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, as illustrated in the chart provided. After a significant bullish move earlier this month, BTC has now entered a phase of consolidation, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows. This has formed a triangle pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout as price nears the apex. The upper boundary of the triangle acts as dynamic resistance, while the rising lower trendline provides firm support. Given the preceding upward momentum leading into this consolidation, the bias slightly favors a breakout to the upside, though the market can always surprise.
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish case, Bitcoin would need to break convincingly above the descending resistance trendline. Should that occur, the next key level to watch lies within the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $120,500 and $121,400. This region represents an area of inefficiency where price moved rapidly in the past, and it is likely to attract selling pressure again. Bulls would ideally aim to reclaim this zone with strong momentum and potentially use it as support in a retest scenario. A successful retest of the triangle’s upper boundary could also trigger a liquidity grab above recent highs, particularly above the all-time high levels.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, a bearish breakout would involve BTC breaking below the ascending support trendline. If this happens, the most probable downside target would be the CME gap left behind from two weekends ago, located between $114,300 and $115,500. This price gap occurred due to the discrepancy between Friday’s closing price and Sunday’s opening price on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, often a magnet for price reversion. After this gap is filled, it is possible that BTC sees a short-term bounce to retest the triangle from below, before potentially continuing lower to address further imbalances in price action.
How to Confirm a Valid Breakout
Trading triangle patterns can be deceptive, as BTC often exhibits false breakouts designed to trap traders on the wrong side. To confirm a valid breakout, it's crucial to observe at least a few 4-hour candles closing decisively above or below the triangle boundaries. Additionally, breakout strength should be accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume. A breakout without volume confirmation is often a sign of a fake move, and entering trades under such conditions can be highly risky.
Final Thoughts
BTC is currently consolidating within this symmetrical triangle formation, signaling a period of indecision and potential volatility ahead. While both bullish and bearish scenarios are plausible, it is essential to wait for clear confirmation before committing to a position. Patience and discipline are key, especially when navigating patterns prone to fake-outs. For now, remaining on the sidelines until a confirmed breakout occurs may be the most prudent strategy.
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EURUSD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17463 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17589.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 24,219.59 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 24,099.27.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,393.33 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17463 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17589.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 39.520 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 39.416..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price made a
Bullish breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 39.10$
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅GOLD is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 3450$
After trading in an uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 3414$
SHORT🔥
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AUD-JPY Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY already made a
Bullish rebound from the
Strong horizontal support
Of 95.610 and as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up
Buy!
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NZD_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅NZD_USD is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.5980 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Bitcoin – Breakout Coming, But May Be a TrapBitcoin is trading within a well-defined bullish pennant structure on the 1H chart, with clear compression between a rising support and descending resistance. This pattern typically signals a continuation of the prior trend, but given the surrounding liquidity and recent FVG formation, the setup looks more nuanced. After a liquidity sweep earlier this session, price has rebounded and is currently respecting a newly formed 1H fair value gap within the pennant range.
Pennant Structure and Price Reaction
The consolidation is tight and clean, with buyers stepping in off the ascending trendline support. This area overlaps with a small FVG that has so far held as intraday support, suggesting active demand. Until this gap is violated, the structure remains intact and favors a breakout play to the upside. However, with a larger unmitigated FVG sitting just under 121,000 and a previous swing high forming a strong liquidity pool, the upside might be limited.
Buy Side Liquidity and Reversal Area
If price can push above the descending trendline, the next logical target is the buy side liquidity sitting around 120,800 to 121,200. That zone is also where sellers may step in, given it aligns with prior inefficiency and a probable stop hunt level. This makes it a high-probability reversal area. I expect price to take out that buy side before we get a meaningful shift lower again.
Displacement and FVG Reactions
Any clean displacement toward the upside, particularly into the 121k range, will be key to watch for rejection signs. Should we see rejection or an SFP at the liquidity zone, that would likely confirm the short-term top. At that point, I’d expect a return into the pennant or even a sweep of the trendline support again, setting up a deeper retracement.
Short-Term Expectations
In the immediate term, as long as price holds above the current FVG and trendline confluence, I expect Bitcoin to slowly grind higher and break out of the pennant. The objective is the liquidity above 120,800. Once that’s taken, I’ll be watching closely for signs of exhaustion or reversal patterns to get positioned short again.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is compressing within a bullish pennant and currently holding a fair value gap, suggesting bullish continuation in the short term. However, the real play may come after a sweep of the buy side liquidity near 121k, where I expect a bearish rejection and opportunity for downside positioning. The market structure remains neutral to bullish until that liquidity is tagged.
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EURNZD: Bullish Confluence Aligns for Buy Setups at Key ArraysGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURNZD, we identify that the current institutional order flow is bullish. With this bias in mind, we aim to capitalize on high-probability buying opportunities from key points of interest aligned with institutional behavior.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe is showing a clear bullish narrative. This bullish order flow is confirmed by the H4 timeframe, which is also delivering higher highs and higher lows—providing confluence between both the macro and intermediate timeframes. This alignment increases our confidence in seeking long setups.
Key Observations on H4:
Buy-Side Liquidity Sweep: Price recently took out H4 buy stops, which triggered a retracement into internal range price action.
Re-Delivered Re-Balanced Zone (RDRB): Price has now pulled back into a re-delivered, re-balanced array—a significant institutional level that typically offers low-risk buy setups. Given the nature of this zone, we do not anticipate a deeper pullback into the fair value gap (FVG), thereby treating it as a potential breakaway gap.
Draw on Liquidity: The next probable target is the external liquidity pool resting in premium prices. The market appears poised to gravitate towards that area.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Monitor the lower timeframes for bullish confirmations within the RDRB array.
Targets: The primary target is the engineered liquidity pool in premium prices.
For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/
Remain patient, trust the structure, and execute with precision as the bullish narrative unfolds.
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📈
EURJPY: MSS on H4 Signals Bearish Shift Toward Weekly FVGGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURJPY, we observe that a Market Structure Shift (MSS) has recently occurred on the H4 timeframe, indicating a potential change in directional bias. This suggests that price may begin to draw toward the Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), presenting a favorable opportunity to align with bearish order flow.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe currently shows an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) to the downside, acting as the primary draw on liquidity. This macro bearish draw adds weight to the idea of shorting the pair from premium levels. On the H4—our intermediate timeframe—we now have structural confirmation via a bearish MSS, aligning the two timeframes toward downside targets.
Key Observations on H4:
Bearish Order Block in Premium: Price has recently retraced into an H4 bearish order block situated within premium pricing. This zone acts as institutional resistance and is currently showing signs of rejection.
Confirmation Zone: This H4 bearish order block is being monitored for M15 confirmation entries, as we look for price to break lower from this key institutional level.
Engineered Support & Resting Liquidity: Just above the weekly FVG lies an engineered support zone—characterized by equal lows—suggesting that liquidity has been pooled there. This area serves as a high-probability draw for institutional price delivery.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Seek lower timeframe (M15) confirmation around the H4 bearish order block before initiating short positions.
Targets: The first target lies at the H4 internal liquidity pool within discounted pricing. The longer-term objective is the weekly FVG, where liquidity is likely to be delivered next.
For a detailed analysis, please watch this weeks Forex Outlook:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/
Maintain patience, follow your confirmation rules, and always adhere to sound risk management principles.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect 🏛️📉
US30: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 44,306.1 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 44,263.8..and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,392.264 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17083 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.17004..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 38.823 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 38.872.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USDCHF: Bearish Shift Offers Premium Selling ZonesGreetings Traders,
At present, USDCHF is exhibiting a clear shift in institutional order flow toward the bearish side. In response, we aim to align with this directional bias by identifying high-probability selling opportunities within premium price zones.
Higher Timeframe Context:
The weekly timeframe remains bearish, offering a macro-level bias. Price recently pulled back into the weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), a key internal range area. With this retracement complete, we now expect the market to begin its delivery toward external liquidity pools located in discounted price zones.
Key Observations on H4:
Market Structure Shift (MSS): USDCHF has recently presented a bearish MSS on the H4, confirming a change in the internal structure and further validating the bearish narrative.
H4 Fair Value Gap Rejection: Following the MSS, price retraced into a newly formed H4 FVG. This area now serves as a short-term institutional resistance zone.
Sell Opportunity Zone: This H4 FVG provides a valid zone to seek confirmation-based entries on the lower timeframes (e.g., M15), with the objective of targeting downside liquidity.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Look for short setups via confirmation on the M15 timeframe within the current H4 FVG zone.
Targets: Focus on internal liquidity pools within discounted price levels, with the broader objective being the external liquidity resting beneath recent swing lows.
For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📉
SILVER LOCAL SHORT|
✅SILVER has retested a key resistance level of 39.10$
And as the pair is already making a bearish pullback
A move down to retest the demand level below at 38.61$ is likely
SHORT🔥
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ETHEREUM Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
ETHEREUM is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the coin has grown
By more than 70% since the last low
So the coin is locally overbought
And after it retest the horizontal
Resistance of 4100$ we will be
Expecting a local bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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