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USOIL BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL rejected the 3H supply after taking buy-side liquidity, producing strong bearish displacement. With order flow turning lower, price is likely to seek the sell-side liquidity resting at the marked target zone. Time Frame: 3H
LONG🚀
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CLS CADCHF Analysis – Monthly, Daily, 1H📊 CLS CADCHF Analysis – Monthly, Daily, 1H
**Monthly (M):**
- A Clean Low Sweep (CLS) has been formed.
- The second candle is already confirmed.
**Daily (D):**
- Price has not yet reached the 50% retracement level.
- A Daily CLS has been formed.
- The second candle is currently developing.
**1-Hour (1H):**
- Market Structure Shift (MSS) has occurred.
- Price has already reached the 50% level.
**Trade Plan:**
- I’m waiting for price to retrace into the 61%–80% zone of 1H CLS before entering a long position.
- Target 1 (TP1): The 1H CLS range.
- Target 2 (TP2): 50% of the Monthly CLS, which aligns with a Key Level Fair Value Gap (KL FVG) and Key Level Previous Monthly Low (KL PML).
**Order Flow:**
- Currently bearish, so the ultimate goal is a conservative 50% retracement from the Monthly CLS.
OANDA:CADCHF
Mentor :
@David_Perk
AUDNZD FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅AUDNZD rejected the 2H supply after taking buy-side liquidity, showing bearish displacement. With order flow shifting lower, price is likely to target the sell-side liquidity resting at the marked demand zone.
———————————
Entry: 1.1510
Stop Loss: 1.1524
Take Profit: 1.1490
Time Frame: 2H
———————————
SHORT🔥
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GBP-CHF Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF is reacting inside the horizontal supply after collecting buy-side liquidity. Bearish displacement suggests sellers may take control, targeting the sell-side liquidity resting at the TP zone.Time Frame 3H.
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Stop Loss: 1.0626
Take Profit: 1.0555
Entry: 1.0598
Time Frame: 4H
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Sell!
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EUR/USD – Buy Setup DevelopingThe EUR/USD is now showing potential for a buy opportunity after sweeping the trendline liquidity. The pair appears ready to rebound from the 1.15162 level, which aligns with a 1-hour Order Block—adding further confluence for a bullish reaction.
This area may serve as a strong support zone, suggesting a possible upward move if price holds above it.
EUR/USD Analysis – Potential Buy OpportunityThe EUR/USD pair may start moving upwards to fill the liquidity void left during its decline over this week.
If a 15-minute candle closes above 1.15379 or inside this Order Block , this could present a good buying opportunity, with potential for the price to continue rising toward the Liquidity void
Keep a close eye on price action and ensure proper risk management before entering any trade.
GOLD FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅GOLD respected the local demand after sweeping sell-side liquidity, showing bullish displacement. With short-term order flow shifting upward, price may aim for the buy-side liquidity resting at the higher supply zone.
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Entry:4,071$
Stop Loss: 4,030$
Take Profit: 4,135$
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
LONG🚀
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NZDJPY: Premium Short Setup Below 89.00 – Seasonality + COT1. Macro Outlook
NZDJPY remains a cross strongly driven by risk dynamics: NZD typically behaves as a risk-on currency, while JPY is a classic risk-off safe haven. The current global environment — characterized by slowing economic momentum, yield volatility, and speculative position rotation — generally supports downside pressure on the cross, although with less linearity compared to the previous quarter.
2. COT (Commitments of Traders)
JPY
Non-commercial traders remain clearly net-long JPY, reflecting a structural preference for Yen strength.
However, weekly changes show:
• –8,589 long contracts closed
• +9,446 new short contracts added
→ This indicates profit-taking and a reduced bullish aggressiveness on the Yen.
NZD
Speculators remain heavily net-short NZD (44k shorts vs 23k longs).
But last week’s flows show:
• +11,287 new longs
• +10,792 new shorts
→ A rebalancing phase rather than a trend reversal; signals uncertainty.
COT Conclusion:
The structural bias remains bearish for NZDJPY, but the pro-Yen speculative impulse is slowing. This increases the likelihood of a short-term bullish retest before further downside continuation.
3. Seasonality
JPY
Historically strong in November–December.
NZD
Neutral-to-weak in November; slightly positive in December but unstable.
The seasonal differential favors NZDJPY weakness between late November and early December, consistent with a move back toward autumn lows.
4. Retail Sentiment
• 83% short
• 17% long
This extreme bearish clustering among retail traders increases the probability of a short-term upside squeeze before macro-consistent downside resumes.
Implication:
⚠️ Avoid selling in the middle of the range
✔️ Only sell from premium levels and with confirmation
5. Price Action
Since August, the pair has been trading inside a structural 84.8–89 range, with highs losing quality and repeated lows — a classic distributive profile.
The recent bounce into 88 pushed price back into upper supply without breaking bullish structure, creating an ideal setup for selling rallies.
RSI remains neutral/slightly bullish but fails to confirm a new high, suggesting a potential bearish divergence that supports the short bias.
🔻 Primary Bias: SHORT below 88.70–89.00
EURUSD PULBACK AHEAD|SHORT|
✅EURUSD rejected the 4H supply after taking buy-side liquidity, showing strong bearish displacement. With order flow shifting lower, price is expected to target the sell-side liquidity resting at the marked zone. Time Frame 4H.
LONG🚀
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NZDCAD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅NZDCAD NZDCAD rejected the 2H supply after collecting buy-side liquidity, forming strong bearish displacement. With order flow shifting lower, price is expected to drive toward the sell-side liquidity at the marked target zone. Time Frame: 2H
SHORT🔥
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EURUSD Short Setup if Key Level BreaksIf the EURUSD manages to break below the 1.15243 level, a potential short opportunity may develop around 1.15273. However, this setup is not confirmed yet, and the key element here is patience and proper validation.
For this scenario to become valid, the market must first close a 15-minute candle below 1.15243. Such a close would indicate that the price has successfully broken through the level and is showing signs of rejection from the 15-minute orderblock, suggesting that sellers are stepping in with intention.
This type of confirmation is essential because it filters out false breaks and ensures that the market is truly shifting momentum. If this rejection is validated, then the retest of 1.15273 could provide a precise and clean entry for short setups, with structure and liquidity alignment supporting the move.
Until that break and close happen, the level remains a potential reaction point rather than a confirmed bearish continuation signal. As always, waiting for clear confirmation helps avoid entering the market prematurely, especially during periods where liquidity sweeps are common.
Bitcoin - Relief rally is imminent!Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown strong downward pressure over the past several days, yet it is beginning to display early signs of stabilization within key higher-timeframe fair value gap zones. Even though the current market structure remains bearish, several technical elements are aligning that suggest the potential for a relief rally. With multiple patterns and liquidity levels converging, the market may be preparing for a temporary upside correction before determining its next major direction.
Weekly FVG
On the weekly timeframe, BTC recently tapped into the weekly fair value gap and filled roughly fifty percent of this imbalance. This partial fill often indicates that the market is collecting liquidity before initiating a larger move. As a result, this weekly FVG acts as a strong demand zone where buyers tend to become active again, offering an area where price often stabilizes, even if only temporarily. The reaction here suggests that BTC may be forming a short-term base.
Daily FVG
On the daily timeframe, another fair value gap is present, and it aligns almost perfectly with the weekly zone. Above current price action lies a clear descending trendline, which is likely to act as resistance on any upward push. The combination of the daily FVG and the downward trendline creates a technically significant decision point. If BTC reaches this area, it may face renewed selling pressure, making this zone crucial for determining whether the market can extend higher or whether the downtrend will reassert itself.
4H Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, BTC has formed a falling wedge, a pattern that is typically considered bullish. Initially, price broke downward out of the wedge, which seemed like a continuation of weakness. However, BTC quickly moved back into the structure, signaling a fake-out. This type of movement often occurs when liquidity is collected beneath the pattern before a reversal begins. The return into the wedge strengthens the case for a short-term upward correction, suggesting that buyers may be gaining traction.
Relief Rally
The first zone to watch lies just above the current price level, where a 4-hour bearish FVG overlaps with the descending trendline. This confluence is likely to act as immediate resistance, making an initial rejection from this level highly plausible. After a potential rejection, price may revisit the bullish 4-hour FVG below, where buyers are expected to step in again. From this supportive zone, BTC could attempt to break through the descending trendline and continue higher toward the upper 4-hour bearish FVG around the 98,000-dollar region. This serves as a logical target for a relief rally, should momentum continue to build.
Conclusion
BTC is currently positioned within an important higher-timeframe demand zone, strengthened by the overlap of both the weekly and daily FVGs. Although the broader market structure remains bearish, the fake-out within the falling wedge on the 4-hour chart signals that a relief rally may be developing. The immediate resistance above price will provide the first major test. If Bitcoin finds renewed momentum from the bullish 4-hour FVG and successfully breaks the descending trendline, an upward move toward 98,000 dollars becomes increasingly realistic. For now, BTC appears to be setting the stage for a corrective bounce, with key levels offering clear guidance on how this scenario could unfold.
EURUSD 19 Nov – Bullish Structure IntactEURUSD remains in a bullish structure, as the low at 1.15629 has not been broken yet. This increases the likelihood that the level will hold, with a potential price reaction around 1.15665, which also aligns with a downtrend line that has recently been broken
If buyers step in, the first target would be a break above 1.15972
Whether the pair will continue higher beyond that level will depend on the market’s reaction once the price reaches this zone.
Gold still in it's year-end range, good scalping opportunitiesThis year's high is in, the same forecast as last year if you watched with me this time last December.
We can expect that the new year candle will target the previous high quickly and swiftly as always, but until then we scalp this year-end wick range using LTF OB/FVGs for minimal pip TPs
EURJPY FREE SIGNAL|LONG|
✅EURJPY broke cleanly above the key level with strong bullish displacement, confirming a shift in orderflow. A retracement into the breakout zone can offer premium entry before targeting the inefficiency above.
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Entry: 180.071
Stop Loss: 179.785
Take Profit: 180.499
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
LONG🚀
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NZDCHF STRONG BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅NZDCHF broke above the 2H demand, taking sell-side liquidity and showing strong bullish displacement. With structure shifting upward, price is likely to extend toward the buy-side liquidity resting at the marked target zone.Time Frame 2H.
LONG🚀
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QuickScalp at #EURUSD 📌 Market Insight: {#EURUSD }
⚠️ Risk Assessment: {High}
🚀 Approach:
Not a Good time to Trade but lets have it at watchlist ... just need a valid Momentum Structure at LTF . ... QuickScalp
will wait for the setup ... just for next 30-45 mins ... if nothing happen will back tomorrow .
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #GBPJPY #MarketAnalysis #TradingSetup #RiskManagement #GOLD #Scalper #NQ #EURUSD






















