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Nasdaq Composite Index CFD

E.L.E.2Just another day at the office... Plotting the SPX median line shows something quite ordinary. No problem is apparent. All is well in the financial markets. Classic candle charts hide the truth, as I have many times explained. SPX now prints a bear 2M bar on the 3-line-break chart. This simply means that a bearish engulfing has taken place on a significantly large timeframe. These things come up rarely. They must not be ignored. ... Extinction Level Event 2 On the main chart we see a massive RSI divergence taking shape. Coupled with a massive bearish engulfing, fear is beginning to hit. Too much has accumulated in Big Tech. (Notice the bull confirmation) SPX Democracy is at a multi-year low. The XLK vs SPY ratio has reached the 2000 levels. (Notice the bear confirmation) The .com bubble burst is coming again. No big stock is safe from this event... MSFT META There is really no point showing more. If you get it, you get it. Mayday Mayday Mayday Brace for impact
SP:SPX
by akikostas
(Personal Savings vs IXIC) * Purchasing Power of USD (Personal Savings vs IXIC) * Purchasing Power of USD I noticed Personal Savings is very bearish, near 2011 levels. So I multiplied the Purchasing Power of USD by DXY and the IXIC, Composite Index. So it's a more fair comparison of value to the past. Then I adjusted the Decimal Places, so they would be in the same scale, for better comparison. As the arrows point out, when Personal Savings falls below the Andrew's Pitchfork Median, Bear markets start. With Unemployment up, and a dead housing market, this is a bad sign.
FRED:PMSAVEShort
by Nicklaus68
2
THE FREAKY SEVEN IS SET TO CONTINUE ITS CHEMICAL TRIP. SOON...US stock indexes closed mixed on Monday as investors awaited a massive wave of data this week. 171 companies within the S&P 500 are set to report their second-quarter earnings results this week, and expectations are high given the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) 16% year-to-date rally. Some of the biggest companies including Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon will report results this week. I won't sing you lullabies about expected numbers. The major technical graph indicates that 50-Day SMA already done & fully retested. The next one chase is IXIC 125-Day SMA & all the way below, as much as it possible.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by PandorraResearch
SPX | The Sleeping PilotTraders have made the ultimate mistake, they were caught sleeping on the steering wheel. And after missing the trend, they attempt to enter it again, only to realize that they have trapped themselves. A question arises: Were they sleeping or are they performing a suicide attack? SPX is like a sharp kamikaze plane. Perhaps of Japanese origin, closing in to Perl Harbor. A wise one should never cut towards them. A knife pointing upwards can only kill bulls. If they wish prices to go up, they must turn the knife down, to kill any bears that step in their way. But it seems though the markets are not wise right now. A successful kamikaze is a fearless kamikaze. All was well when the soldier was certain of their attack. SPX has been moving in perfect correlation with fearless index, aka VVIX / VIX ratio (orange line). But now they have second thoughts. And that is their weakness. SPX is heading upwards with growing fear right now. VVIX/VIX is the thought, SPX is the action. We are in a jet lag, in no mans land. The seconds before the pilot moves the joystick back instead of forward. This is not the first time we are dealing with a soldier who is having second thoughts. Once in 2018... ...another one in 2020... ...and finally in 2021. This fight is almost over for the bulls. Question is: Who will win the war? Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori P.S. Many have made jokes about the POTUS as being sleepy. Never call someone something you don't want to be called yourself.
SP:SPX
by akikostas
9
The Apple DominionThe weakest minion can terminate the Apple dominion. Apples, like all fruit, are born to serve two purposes. To spread the apple species and to feed birds, worms and humans. The life of the apple is interesting to watch. It began as a tiny seed in the fields of NASDAQ in 1980, weighing at $0.39 (or grams). Now the apple has grown to be almost 800 grams. That is record heavy for an apple. (There have been several stock splits that lowered the price of each apple) The miracle of nature is, that a tiny cell can multiply thousands upon thousands of times. In this case, our apple fruit has grown almost 2000x since its birth. We have fed off of apples for a long long time. The consumption of apples (measured in pieces) reached its peak in 2010. Most who needed to eat a single apple, have eaten it. Volume is significantly decreasing. This apple fruit is now massive in size. No sane person would eat 800 grams of apple in an evening. Of course volume has significantly weakened. Now with a single apple you can feed an entire family. To make some sense of the real need for apples, we have to consider the daily consumption of apples in grams, not in a piece-by-piece basis. This indicators makes a very simple calculation. It multiplies volume with the logarithm of price. If we wish to compare price to volume, we must convert them both in the same scale. Volume is linear, while price is logarithmic. To compare apples to apples, price must be turned into a linear number. An interesting phenomenon takes shape right in front of our eyes. Apple consumption reached its peak in 2008. From then, the market is getting progressively more saturated in apples. Think about it. Everyone who needed an apple, has eaten one. There is almost nobody left who has never eaten an apple. Up until 2008, most the majority of apples went into our mouths. Now, the majority of apples will have to evacuate through the back door. Consumers have eaten too much of everything, not just apples. Similar saturation problems occur in the wider feed (equity) market. Stepping aside from the wider eating problem, we can perform some more analysis on recent price action of apples. To further support the following analysis, I will consult some professionals. Robert D. Edwards, John Magee and W.H.C. Bassetti. In their book called "Technical Analysis of Stock Trends (Eleventh Edition)", in page 62 there is an incredible chart. As it turns out, Head-and-Shoulders patterns can be non-normal. With many bumps for heads and shoulders. This chart will be used as a guideline for recent apple prices. These charts are too similar to ignore. Truth is usually hidden right under our noses. We may choose to ignore it, but it still exists. While the NL (Neck Line) trend is intact, a wider trend is at risk. Even if price tries to cloud your judgement using fakeouts, you must stay strong in your view. And if you are afraid of being wrong, you must find more ways to prove that you are not an elephant. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
NASDAQ:AAPL
by akikostas
16
The Dot-AI BubbleSpeculative bubbles excite traders and investors alike. NVDA is the absolute winner of the AI craze. Craze is the sentiment of the market cycle peak. After craze and euphoria, fear and denial will inevitably flood our minds. It is nothing more than the never-ending cycle of the economy. A simple line drawn on a chart spells the ultimate demise for speculation. NVDA is making all-time-highs. Its performance/momentum however is showing alarming signs of weakness. Beware. Not all is as it seems. The very nature of a Bubble is that it defies all measurable mathematics. NVDA wants more. It wants everything. Just like any other corporation would. For capitalism, more equals more. NVDA aims to swallow the entire money supply. Improbable as it may seem, physics theoretically allows that. Divergence is one of the most misunderstood concepts in analysis. Divergence is not describing a future weakness. It describes the current weakness. NVDA is moving so fast, that its bear market is itself growing exponentially. If NVDA is now moving slower now than it was in 2015-2018, how fast is it trying to go? NVDA remembers the explosiveness of that period, and is trying everything to repeat it. Prices and investors have memory. Both however forget the well-known saying. Past performance does not guarantee future performance. This is the Achilles' heel of prices. They promise what they cannot deliver. Price will reach as high as possible, for as long as there is a willing buyer to take the bait. For capitalism, more is better, at all costs. The ultimate cost will certainly be paid. The last buyer will be the last NVDA bear who will give-in the mania. And that will mark the end. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
NASDAQ:NVDA
by akikostas
20
Liquidity Crisis may happen, Market TOPPED OUTLiquidity Crisis may happen most of hedgefund did buying treasury bond and then treasury bond margin loan , so they made almost 50x leverage on bond market times over and over now only t-bill s gonna be recognized as collateral so t-bill market happend this method But NFP is too strong, FED didn't do Rate Cut now So t-bill is bubbled now, we are gonna kill it and stock market just knew there's plenty of liquidity until today Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked. So market topped out
TVC:NDQShort
by newjeansoldjean
5
Silicon Valley's Lab RatCrypto is an experiment. A new way for illegal payments to be more accessible to the masses. Decentralization is a fancy way of saying that Bitcoin is digital black money. Black is the color banks are allergic to. Is Bitcoin strong enough to battle against Banks? To follow its paradigm, 23 thousand more coins have been opportunistically created. Each one of them attempts to get a piece of the black market pie. There is no law that forces Bitcoin to be an ever-growing commodity. There is no law that forces it to go to waste. The only law behind it is supply and demand. And if you have been paying attention, we haven't had much supply up here... If you want this coin to grow further, you must see where the majority of buyers are at. In this case, the buyers are quite lower. Now we are in a zone where the excitement of a Bitcoin ETF is clouding your judgement. If you clear your mind, you will realize that we are in the same story over and over again. An eternal attempt to trap buyers and sellers in the wrong place. The main chart calculates an extremely simple quantity: How much more expensive is the next contract than the current one? This is one of the ways to calculate bullishness/bearishness in market. Now it is in an all-time high. In similar levels to March of 2021. And boy this is bad news. Notice a similarity??? Let me explain further... No words need be spoken. A classic redistribution pattern appears in both cases. And the pattern is eerily similar. In the end, it is déjà vu. Further analysis: Human psychology is independent of instrument or timeframe. Déjà vu, over and over and over again... Bitcoin may be Silicon Valley's Lab Rat. Don't be Bitcoin's Lab Rat. A serious trader must be neither excited nor fearful. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
CME:BTC2!
by akikostas
30
Charts believed to influence the coin marketHello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (IXIC chart) Among the charts that are considered to have an impact on the coin market, the most referenced chart is the NASDAQ index chart. (NAS100USD chart) However, since the coin market operates 24 hours a day, you usually see the NAS100USD chart, or futures chart, rather than the IXIC chart. Since NAS100USD has just renewed its new high (ATH), it is not easy to predict its future movements. (1M charts) Accordingly, future movements should be predicted through the Fibonacci retracement ratio. If you think it has an impact on the coin market, the NASDAQ index chart must maintain an upward trend in order to maintain the upward trend of the coin market anyway. -------------------------------------------- (DXY chart) Among the charts that are believed to have an impact on the coin market, there is also the DXY chart. If DXY maintains an upward trend, it can be interpreted that the investment market is slowly slowing down and is likely to enter a recession. Accordingly, if it rises above 105.873, it is highly likely that the investment market will enter a recession. I think it should be maintained below 102.089 for the investment market to become active. Therefore, if DXY rises, it can be interpreted that the coin market is likely to decline. Conversely, if DXY falls, it can be interpreted that the coin market is likely to show an upward trend. ---------------------------------------------- (XAUUSD chart) I think there are many people who see the XAUUSD chart as having an impact on the coin market. If XAUUSD maintains an upward trend, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that the coin market will also maintain an upward trend. Conversely, if XAUUSD shows a downward trend, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that the coin market will also show a downward trend. (1M charts) Since XAUUSD is also updating the new high (ATH), it is necessary to make predictions using the Fibonacci ratio. ------------------------------------------------ I don't think it's a good idea to predict the trend of BTC through the charts above, but it's better to check them only as a reference because they are likely to have an impact if many people refer to them. In order to know BTC price changes, that is, trends in the coin market, you must ultimately understand the flow of funds. This is because it is highly likely that the trend will ultimately be determined by whether funds are flowing into or out of the coin market. Therefore, the charts that should be considered more important than the charts above (IXIC, NAS100USD, DXY, XAUUSD) are the USDT and USDC charts. Stablecoins such as USDT and USDC will play the main role in moving funds. Among them, USDT can be seen as having a great influence on the coin market because it has the largest number of trading pairs supported by exchanges around the world. Therefore, it can be interpreted that if USDT continues to maintain its upward gap, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend. When you trade in the coin market, a candle is created on the USDT or USDC chart. I believe that when funds flow into or out of the coin market, a gap occurs. It's a good idea to understand these points and look at the charts. No matter what you refer to, the trend will ultimately be determined by whether you receive support or resistance at the support and resistance points on the chart of the item, coin, or token you are trading. Therefore, before looking at the charts above, you must have marked support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts of the chart you wish to trade. Since we are traders, not analysts, we only need to create a trading strategy and trade using the support and resistance obtained through chart analysis. Anything more than that will only end up influencing your subjective thoughts and creating trading strategies in the wrong direction. Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- - The big picture The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K. This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 13401.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points upward. Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched. If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment. ** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA. How to display (in order from darkest to darkest) More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA ** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own. ** This chart was created using my know-how. ---------------------------------
OANDA:NAS100USD
by readCrypto
Abnormal DistributionGoing against the norm. Modeling stock markets using non-normal distributions. That is the only way to take into account the massive volatility that markets can reach. arxiv.org Laplace Distributions manage to analyze prices better than normal ones. It is, as if, stock market is not normal, as in abnormal. As if it defies all physics. 2020 surely suggests that. Rest assured, 2020 was not the worst violation of "normal" physics. The 2020 Swan may have made headlines, but 2008 is surely unforgettable for young and old alike. It is an example of how deep and unpredictable a crisis can become. Before the crisis, a plausible risk assessment would give us the following region. This assumption would end up catastrophic. A 2-sigma difference may not seem much, but it ended up being a 40% gap. The 2020 crash shown before, reached a 6-sigma deviation in a shorter timeframe than the following ones. Comparing apples-to-apples with the other charts, 2020 was less than 2-sigma on 300-month length. Suddenly, 2008 looks, and was in fact, more painful than 2020. Sticking to the same interval (monthly) of analysis and with the same length, we go back in time, in 1980s, just after stagflation ended. Once again, investors were baffled to see markets grow and grow, above all expectations. Curiously, Black Monday occurred on the exact 4-sigma limit on the 300M length. Moving swiftly on, we reach the "Roaring '20s". Spoiler Alert, the same happened. Price reached above any possible expectation . An investor in 1926 would do an analysis based on their historical data. They could not have known the future price action. The 2-sigma channel we drew in 1926 ended up deviating up to 6-sigma. As we all know, The Great Depression followed up. That was a similar >6-sigma event. Price reached below any possible expectation . If you believe 2-sigma is all that Dow can do, don't think twice... ...think quadruply (as in 4-sigma) The 2-sigma limit was dwarfed... ...from the scale of the events that followed. After all, stock markets must go in places where nobody believes possible. No second thoughts must flood our minds to reach the top. All hope must be lost to reach the bottom. Extra Charts: A small-looking but deadly bear trap could be all it takes to create a massive bubble. Dividing by M2SL reveals that equities are not that overpriced. They are sitting comfortably at the mean. Has Big Tech grown enough? For 20 years, consumers were the result of the growth of these companies. Now, governments need digital payment systems, digital identities, IoT. All of these will come mainly from existing corporations, not so much from government production. The .com bubble was uncharted territory for technology. Now, supply has developed, and believe it or not, we are still in charted territory. The IXIC/SPX ratio (technology dominance) hasn't even managed to make an all-time high. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
DJ:DJI
by akikostas
9