EUR/USD - Fundamental Move (18.09.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern.
This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1744
2nd Support – 1.1704
Fundamental Updates :
Fed Chair Powell described this rate cut as a way to manage risks due to a weaker job market, and said there is no need to rush further rate cuts. The Fed's future plans suggest more rate cuts this year, but only one more in 2026.
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USDCAD H4 | Bullish reversalUSD/CAD has bounced off the buy entry which is an overlap support and could rise from this leve to the upside.
Buy entry is at 1.3791, which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.3770, whichis a pullback support.
Take profit is at 1.3880, which acts as a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bitcoin will break resistance level and continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market dynamic for Bitcoin has undergone a significant shift, with the prior bearish trend being invalidated by a strong breakout from a downward channel. This reversal has established a new bullish market structure, with the price action for BTC now being methodically guided higher within a well-defined upward channel. This pattern has been confirmed by multiple rotations between its support and resistance boundaries, originating from the 108400 - 109400 buyer zone. Currently, the asset is undergoing a healthy correction after testing the upper part of the channel, and the price is now approaching a critical confluence of support. This area is defined by the ascending support line of the channel and the major horizontal 109400 support level. The primary working hypothesis is a long, trend-continuation scenario, anticipating that buyers will defend this support confluence. A confirmed bounce from this area would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the primary upward trend. This move is expected to break through the intermediate 117500 resistance level. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 119600, targeting the upper resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
SOFR Futures: Understand Market Pricing for future Fed PolicyWith the Federal Reserve having just cut interest rates and guiding towards further cuts this year and through 2026, I have received several requests to explain how traders can understand for themselves what the market is pricing and expecting for Fed policy by a specific point in time.
Perhaps the more simplistic way to view what is priced or implied for the next FOMC meeting is to use the ‘FedWatch’ tool on the CME's website - www.cmegroup.com . This looks at the distribution of expectations for the next FOMC meeting, as implied in the fed funds futures pricing.
Interest rate futures can guide our understanding of what’s priced
One way traders can gauge the market’s expectations for future Fed policy—commonly referred to as “what is priced in”—is through interest rate futures pricing or in interest rate derivatives (interest rate swaps, for example). These are tradable instruments that allow investors and corporates to hedge their interest rate risk, while also giving speculators a vehicle to express views on where they see Fed interest rate policy at a specific point in time.
TradingView doesn’t offer pricing on IR swaps, but it does offer pricing on SOFR 3-month futures and Fed funds futures, both of which can be useful in understanding where the market sees policy risk. My preference is SOFR futures, as they are comparatively more liquid, especially in the further-dated contracts for 2026 and 2027 and are more heavily traded than Fed funds futures.
What is the SOFR rate?
SOFR is one of, if not the most important, markets in the entire financial ecosystem. It is the first derivative of markets and is worth taking a moment to familiarise yourself with.
SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) essentially represents the interest rate at which financial institutions lend cash overnight (and what borrowers pay), with borrowers pledging US Treasuries as collateral.
The Federal Reserve influences SOFR through its monetary policy settings, with the rate typically tracking within the Fed’s target corridor. This corridor is defined by the upper bounds and what the Fed pays banks on reserves (currently 4.25%) and the lower bounds and what the Fed pays financial institutions that lend overnight repo to the Fed (the ‘RRP rate’, currently 4%).
SOFR 3-month futures, therefore, reflect the market’s expectations of what the overnight risk-free rate will average over a defined three-month period at a forward point in time.
For example, the SOFR 3-month December 2026 futures contract (TradingView code: SR3Z2026 ) reflects the market’s expected average interest rate on overnight cash borrowing from December 2026 through to the contract’s expiration on 16 March 2027.
Since SOFR is guided by the Fed’s policy corridor, the futures price on that contract provides an indication of where the Fed could set interest rates at a given point in time.
Calculating the markets expectations for future Fed policy from SOFR futures
The price of SOFR 3-month futures moves dynamically through supply and demand, with rates traders reacting to economic data, Fed communications, sentiment in other markets (such as equities), and liquidity conditions. Upon expiration, futures are cash settled at 100 (or “par”), so the implied interest rate for a set contract is calculated as 100 minus the futures price.
For example, if SR3Z2026 trades at 96.99, the implied rate for the SOFR between Dec 2026 and 16 March 2027 is 3.01% (100 – 96.99). If the current SOFR spot rate (TradingView code: SOFR) is 4.38%, this therefore implies that the market is pricing 139 basis points of further Fed rate cuts by early 2027.
You can add all the SOFR 3-month futures contracts to a watchlist in TradingView, ordered by the contract period. For instance, starting with SR3U2025 (the September SOFR futures expiring on 16 December 2025).
As we see in the screenshot, based on today’s curve, the perceived low point—or the pricing for the “terminal” rate—in the Fed’s cutting cycle is seen in the December 2026 contract, at 2.99%.
Why is this useful for all traders?
Firstly, it provides a clear guide to the market’s view of future Fed policy and what is currently already discounted in interest rate markets. This matters because the USD, US Treasuries, equities, and even gold tend to move in line with—or inversely to—shifts in interest rate futures pricing.
If the market has fully priced in a rate cut, then when the Fed delivers that cut, the market reaction should be minimal. Conversely, if the market expects little or no cut and the Fed surprises by cutting rates, one can expect an outsized reaction in assets like the USD or US 2-year Treasury yields.
This makes SOFR futures incredibly helpful for traders across asset classes when managing risk around key data releases or Fed meetings.
They can also help assess perceived recession risk. If the Fed’s “neutral rate”—the equilibrium setting that is neither stimulatory nor restrictive—is 3%, and the market prices the terminal rate in the cutting cycle at the same level, this suggests a low probability of recession. A recession risk scenario would likely see the market pricing the Fed’s terminal rate well below 2.5%.
Given how often the question “how do I know what’s priced in?” comes up, I hope this offers a clear framework for assessing it through SOFR futures on TradingView.
Good luck to all
Potential bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which aligns with he 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 147.07
1st Support: 145.87
1st Resistance: 149
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
$SOLANA 250+ or bearish trend to 225/200With the recent solana pump, major profits have been taking place.
However, SOL stopped out at 249. Just under the Psychological level of 250.
On this chart we can see the following:
- Supply & Demand
- Anchored Volume
- Pattern: BF / BC /SR
- Two 4 hour FVG's below price, with HTF GP on the second FVG.
- One swing high & swing low
- OBV tool in place forming a bearish channel
- Psychological levels of 250, 225, 200
With these in place, we can see solana is looking pretty bearish now.
What comes up, must come down.
Solana is making a retest on the demand zone, which is also the resistance and golden pocket.
If price wicks and successfully rejects. We will definitely see 225.
A long with the Volume Anchor acting as a magnet for price to come back down as there has not yet been a retest.
But if it closes above the resistance, there is a greater chance of it breaking above the demand zone.
We will begin looking for shorting opportunities once solana fails to break above.
We will begin looking for long opportunities if solana succeeds in it's break above.
Right now, keep your eyes peeled.
We have movement incoming.
GOLD – Rebound Holds Above Key 3,655 PivotGOLD – OVERVIEW
Gold rebounded in early trade after Thursday’s decline, supported by buyers despite a stronger U.S. dollar and a cautious Fed outlook. The Federal Reserve’s September meeting signaled fewer rate cuts than markets had expected, keeping sentiment mixed but overall supportive for gold.
Technical Analysis
GOLD is trying to touch the support level before the next bullish movement, which is 3639.
🔹A confirmed 15-min or 1-hour close above 3666 will strengthen the bullish continuation toward 3676 and 3686.
🔹However, a 15-min or 1-hour close below 3655 would trigger a bearish correction toward 3639.
🔹A sustained break below 3639 opens the way for deeper downside to 3628 and 3612.
Key Levels
Pivot: 3655
Resistance: 3666, 3676, 3686
Support: 3639, 3628, 3612
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish drop offBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry at 3,655.23, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this levle to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,672.97, whichis a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,616.99, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EUR/USD - Rising Wedge Breakout @ H1 CMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD - Wedge Pattern Strong breakout - @ H1 with high volume. Expecting Strong Bearish outlook today and Fundamental also play major role today.
"The Fed is still signalling more rate cuts, but at the same time still sees okay growth, which is a positive combination for share markets"
The Fed reduced rates by a quarter point on Wednesday, as expected, and indicated it will steadily lower borrowing costs for the rest of this year, initially sending the dollar plunging.
Support by Likes and Comments.
Thank you.
US Dollar: Bearish! Buyside LQ Sweep Before Rate Cut?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 15 - 19th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD has a .25 basis point rate cut coming Wednesday. Will there be a manipulation of the buy side liquidity before prices turn downward? I am looking out for this fake out maneuver by MMs, being mindful the rate cut will weaken the USD against its counterparts. A short term move higher before the market turns bearish with the news announcements is more then possible.
Wait and react. Do not predict.
React and do not predict.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Continuation of bullish momentum?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 115,494.52
1st Support: 112,962.02
1st Resistance: 118,235.69
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD 4H Trade Setup🔎 Bias
Mid-term bullish continuation after corrective pullback into demand.
📊 Technical Breakdown
Weekly/Daily: Structure remains bullish after breaking out of consolidation.
4H : Clear impulsive leg (i-ii-iii) with current correction into the 71% fib retracement.
Demand zone: 1.1730 – 1.1770 aligns with BOS retest + liquidity sweep.
Confluence : Trendline support + untested 4H demand.
🎯 Entry / Exit
Entry zone : 1.1740 – 1.1770 demand
Targets:
TP1: 1.1860
TP2: 1.1960
TP3 (extended): 1.2050+ (wave (v) projection)
Invalidation : Below 1.1685
⚖️ Risk Management
Risk only 1–2% per trade.
Stop loss tucked under 1.1685 demand break.
📌 Outlook
Expecting a corrective dip into demand before continuation higher. If demand holds → strong bullish wave (v) towards 1.20+.
Bias: Pullback → Mid-term bullish 🚀
USD/CHF - Trade Setup🔎 Bias
Short-term bullish continuation after BOS confirmation.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1H Structure: Market broke structure (BOS) after sweeping liquidity below 0.7890.
Demand Zone : 0.7885 – 0.7900 aligns with 71% fib retracement and MSS reversal.
Liquidity : Sell-side cleared, price reclaiming higher order flow.
Targeting : Re-test of previous range highs + imbalance fill above 0.8030.
🎯 Entry / Exit
Entry zone: 0.7890 – 0.7900
Targets:
TP1: 0.7960
TP2: 0.8030
Invalidation : Below 0.7870
⚖️ Risk Management
SL below 0.7870
Risk 1–2% only, scaling partials at TP1
📌 Outlook
Clean structure shift, demand respected, and liquidity sweep complete. If bulls maintain control, upside continuation toward 0.8030 is on the cards.
Bias : Bullish continuation 📈
GBPUSD H4 | Setup for bearish dropThe Cable (GBP/USD) has broken out of the sell entry, which is an overlap support and oculd drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.3545, which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 1.3665, which acts as a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3394, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold Futures — Bearish Momentum Building After Fed CutGold continues to show weakness after the Fed’s 25bps rate cut. Price rejected the 1H FVG overhead and is pressing down toward yesterday’s low (3660).
Key Scenarios:
Bearish Case (favored): If we break and close below yesterday’s low (D-L 3660), sellers likely push toward the weekly low (WL ~3627). That move would clean up the liquidity pool and fill the H-TF imbalance.
Bullish Case: Only if buyers defend the daily low and reclaim the 1H FVG with strength could we see price revisit 3710 (daily high).
Momentum remains on the downside, with ADX > 25 confirming trend conditions. Watching closely for the daily low sweep and possible continuation.
Could we see a bullish reversal from here?USD/CHF is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7918
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.7855
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 0.7999
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1728
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1613
Why we like it:
There is a pullback. support.
Take profit: 1.1866
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bearish drop?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3584
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3669
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 1.3457
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/USD UpdateEUR/USD Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, EUR/USD is pulling back after rejecting the 1.1848 resistance zone.
Key levels:
1.1760 – 1.1762 → current support area. Holding above this keeps the short-term bullish structure intact.
1.1848 → major resistance and confirmation level for continuation of the main uptrend. A close above this would signal strength for higher targets.
If price breaks below 1.1760, downside pressure could increase, with 1.1665 as the next important support.
Cycle level: 1.1530 is the critical long-term support. EUR/USD must hold this level to remain in the green cycle.
📌 Summary
Above 1.1760 → bullish structure can continue.
Breakout above 1.1848 → confirms strong uptrend continuation.
Below 1.1760 → correction risk, targeting 1.1665 support.
1.1530 → cycle must-hold level for long-term trend.
Gold Sets New Record: Buy or Sell Amid the Market Frenzy?Hello traders,
Last week, gold ended with an unexpected twist. Prices continued to climb on Friday (19/09), marking the 5th straight week of gains, reaching $3,683.24/oz, while futures advanced to $3,718.50/oz. This came right after the Fed cut interest rates—a move that was expected to “cool” gold. So, is this rally sustainable or just a trap?
Fundamental Analysis: Rate Cuts Fuel Gold’s Rise
After the Fed cut rates by 0.25%, the market saw chaotic trading, with gold hitting historic highs before a quick pullback. Still, the Fed’s message reinforced investor confidence in gold:
Lower holding costs: Reduced interest rates lower the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
Dovish Fed stance: Despite warning about persistent inflation, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari suggested job risks could lead to further cuts, raising expectations for looser policy.
Strong demand: Physical gold demand remains high. In India, prices hit a 10-month peak, while in China, discounts widened to a 5-year high, signaling robust demand despite rising prices.
Technical Analysis: Structure Break, Uptrend Resumes
By the weekend, gold broke through its downtrend line, confirming a structural shift and highlighting strong buying pressure. This suggests the bullish trend may continue.
Outlook: This week, focus remains on buying opportunities with short-term targets at $372x and $373x. However, caution is needed with upcoming macroeconomic events, which could trigger large liquidity zones and potential traps.
Sample Trading Strategies (strict risk management):
BUY SCALP: $3671–$3669 | SL: $3666 | TP: $3674–$3694
BUY ZONE: $3657–$3659 | SL: $3647 | TP: $3669–$3709
SELL SCALP: $3713–$3715 | SL: $3719 | TP: $3705–$3785
SELL ZONE: $3731–$3733 | SL: $3741 | TP: $3723–$3683
The market is heating up. Can gold smash through barriers to set fresh records? Share your thoughts below! 👇
USD/CHF - Trade Setup 🕰 1H Structure
Price has shifted bullish after a BOS and liquidity sweep. We’ve tapped into discount levels near the 71% retracement and held demand.
📊 Technical Breakdown
MSS → BOS confirmed bullish intent.
Demand zone sits at 0.7880 – 0.7900.
Price cleared SSL liquidity and is now seeking upside inefficiency.
Next magnet = 0.8000 – 0.8030 swing range.
🎯 Entry / Exit Zones
Entry: Wait for a pullback into the 0.7880 – 0.7900 demand zone.
Target 1: 0.7950 (intra-range).
Target 2: 0.8000 – 0.8030 (swing range high).
Invalidation : Break below 0.7860.
⚖️ Outlook
Short-term pullback into demand → continuation bullish towards 0.8000+.
Bias : 📈 Bullish continuation after retrace.
NZDUSD H4 | Potential bearish dropThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) has reacted off the sell entry and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 0.5909, which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.5949, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5805, which is a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD H4 | Falling towards major supportThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this levl to the take profit.
Buy entr yis at 0.6567, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is sy 0.6511, which hs a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% FIbonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6636, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.