Bullish continuation?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback suport and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 152.13
1st Support: 151.53
1st Resistance: 153.12
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
J-USD
what is happening wiyth xauusd?1. Fundamental Analysis (Macro Drivers)
🏦 Monetary Policy & Interest Rates
Federal Reserve stance: The Fed has paused rate hikes amid slowing US growth and moderating inflation. Real yields have begun to fall, which supports gold prices.
Market expectation: Traders now expect possible rate cuts in early 2026, lowering opportunity costs of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
Impact: Lower real yields → bullish for gold.
💵 US Dollar Trends
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has weakened over the last quarter due to rate-cut bets and growing fiscal deficits.
A weaker dollar directly lifts XAU/USD since gold is priced in USD.
📈 Inflation & Recession Fears
Despite softening inflation (US CPI ~3.2%), sticky services inflation and fiscal pressures maintain gold’s appeal as a hedge.
Global growth is fragile, and recession fears (notably in Europe and Japan) have increased safe-haven demand.
🌍 Geopolitical & Structural Factors
Escalating geopolitical tensions (Eastern Europe, South China Sea, Middle East) and US election uncertainty have driven institutional and central bank gold buying.
Central banks (notably China, India, and Turkey) are diversifying away from the USD — net gold purchases are at multi-year highs.
🏦 Central Bank Gold Demand
According to the World Gold Council, 2025 central bank purchases are on pace for another record year.
This provides a floor for gold prices even during corrective phases.
📊 Fundamental Outlook Summary
Factor Current Status Gold Impact
Fed Policy / Yields Dovish bias ✅ Bullish
US Dollar Weakening ✅ Bullish
Inflation Moderate but sticky ✅ Bullish
Geopolitical Risk Elevated ✅ Bullish
Central Bank Demand Strong ✅ Bullish
Global Growth Slowing ✅ Bullish
🔎 Overall Fundamental Bias: Strongly Bullish (Short-to-Medium Term)
📉 2. Technical Analysis (as of Oct 23 2025)
🔹 Current Price
XAU/USD ≈ $4,340/oz (TradingEconomics, Oct 20 2025)
🔹 Trend Overview
Long-term uptrend since early 2024 continues.
Gold broke out from a multi-decade ascending channel earlier this year and now trades well above 200-day moving average.
🔹 Moving Averages
Indicator Value Signal
20-day MA $4,215 ✅ Bullish
50-day MA $4,030 ✅ Bullish
100-day MA $3,740 ✅ Bullish
200-day MA $3,290 ✅ Bullish
→ All MAs are aligned in a bullish configuration (short-term > long-term).
🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI ≈ 78 → Indicates overbought conditions → risk of short-term correction or consolidation before further rally.
🔹 Key Levels
Type Level (USD/oz) Note
Resistance 1 $4,400 Recent high
Resistance 2 $4,500 Psychological round level
Support 1 $4,200 Short-term support
Support 2 $3,950 Strong support (previous breakout zone)
Support 3 $3,700 Long-term support / 100-DMA
🔹 Chart Pattern
Ascending channel with potential breakout continuation.
Some analysts note a rising wedge, signaling possible short-term exhaustion.
🔹 Volume & Momentum
Volume peaked on breakout above $4,000 — confirming strong institutional participation.
Momentum indicators show minor divergence → watch for short-term pullback.
📊 3. Combined Outlook
Horizon Technical Bias Fundamental Bias Combined View
Short-Term (1–3 weeks) ⚠️ Overbought – possible pullback to $4,150–4,200 ✅ Bullish Consolidation likely before next leg up
Medium-Term (1–3 months) ✅ Uptrend intact ✅ Bullish Buy on dips strategy favored
Long-Term (6–12 months) ✅ Strong uptrend ✅ Bullish Targets $4,500–$5,000 possible
🪙 4. Scenario Analysis
Scenario Trigger Likely Outcome
Bullish Continuation Fed confirms 2026 rate cuts, DXY weakens Gold → $4,500+
Short-Term Correction RSI reset, USD rebound Pullback to $4,100–$4,200
Bearish Reversal Sharp rise in yields or risk-on sentiment Gold retests $3,700–$3,900
🧩 5. Trading/Investment Insights
Short-term traders: Watch for retracement toward $4,150–$4,200 to consider buy setups.
Swing traders: Maintain partial longs; trail stops below $4,000.
Investors: Maintain core exposure; gold remains a hedge against macro and geopolitical volatility.
ETHUSD H1 | Possible Bearish Turn Ahead”ETH/USD is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this levle to the downside.
Sell entry is at 3,936.30, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 4,079.07, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,703.89, which is a multi-swing low support.
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SOLUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal from Pullback ResistanceSOL/USD is rising towards the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 190.50, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 198.02, which is an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 175.45, which is a swing low support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
DOGEUSD H1 | Bullish Momentum BuildingThe price could fall towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.1903, which is a pullbakc support.
Stop loss is at 0.2064, which is an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 0.2178, which is a swing high resistance.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
BNBUSD H1 | Signs of a Bullish ReversalBNB/USD could fall towards the buy entry, which is a pullbakc support and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 1,082.13, which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1,035.10, which is a swing low support.
Take profit is at 1,148.71, which is an overlap resistance.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
BCHUSD M30 | Potential Upside MoveBCHUSD has reacted off the buy entry, which is a pullback support and could rise from this levle to the upside.
Buy entry is at 475.84, whichis a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 463.77, which is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit is at 500.15, which is a pullback resistance.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.4005
1st Support: 1.3967
1st Resistance: 1.4029
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.7985
1st Support: 0.7943
1st Resistance: 0.8010
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY(20251023)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The shutdown continues, and the US Senate has rejected the temporary funding bill for the 12th time.
Technical Analysis:
Today's buy/sell levels:
151.83
Support and resistance levels:
152.38
152.17
152.04
151.61
151.48
151.27
Trading Strategy:
If the stock breaks above 152.04, consider buying, with the first target price being 152.17.
If the stock breaks below 151.83, consider selling, with the first target price being 151.61.
USD/JPY – Buy Entry (H1- Channel Breakout Pattern)
The USD/JPY Pair, Price has been trading within a Channel Breakout Pattern on the H1 chart, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price action is now testing the upper boundary of the Pattern, signalling a possible breakout. FX:USDJPY
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Strong Upward Structure Inside the Pattern.
2️⃣Buyers are showing strength near Resistance.
3️⃣Breakout above the Trendline indicates Momentum continuation toward higher zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Buy after Confirmed Breakout above the Resistance (H1 candle close above trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – a Major Resistance area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Below the Pattern Structure.
✅Psychological Discipline :
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as Part of the Strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
💬 Support the community: If you found this useful, drop a 👍 like and share your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
Bearish reversal?The kiwi (NZD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance, and could drop to the 1st support which is a multi-swing low support.
Pivot: 0.5742
1st Support: 0.5714
1st Resistance: 0.5758
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce for the Cable?The price is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.3344
1st Support: 1.3310
1st Resistance: 1.3393
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish reevrsal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1591
1st Support: 1.1543
1st Resistance: 1.1648
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD Hints At Swing LowA small doji formed on Wednesday, snapping a three-day losing streak for EUR/USD. The session low respected the 100-day EMA as support, while the brief dip below the monthly S1 pivot proved to be a false break.
The bias remains bullish while prices hold above the 1.1544 swing low. Bulls could look to buy dips towards the monthly S1 pivot in anticipation of a move up towards the 1.17 handle and monthly pivot point (1.1754).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Gold Consolidates After Biggest One-Day Drop Since 2013GOLD | Price Slips After Tuesday’s Massive Selloff
Gold remains under pressure after recording its largest one-day drop since 2013, falling more than 6% (≈ $250).
Despite the steep decline, long-term fundamentals such as central-bank demand and geopolitical uncertainty continue to provide underlying support.
For now, the metal is consolidating between $4,011 and $4,056, awaiting a decisive breakout.
A 15-minute close below $4,011 would confirm continuation toward $3,979 → $3,945 → $3,894.
A close above $4,057–$4,074 would trigger a bullish reversal, targeting $4,101 → $4,162.
Pivot Line: 4,011
Support: 3,979 · 3,945 · 3,894
Resistance: 4,056 · 4,075 · 4,101
previous idea:
EURUSD, technical analysis 1WHellou traders,
We bring you an important technical analysis of the EURUSD currency pair.
The value of this asset reached the key level of 1.19, where was a significant reaction. According to Elliott waves, we can see that the abc structure is complete, absolutely perfectly 1:1 = A:C. The RSI indicator also indicates a bearish divergence. The downtrend in the long term also persists. Liquidity was taken.
One unclear fact in the chart is still unfilled price GAP - we must be careful and cannot just ignore it, it is theoretically possible that the price will come through it.
The conclusion is that the chart shows all the parameters leading to a downtrend.
What do you think about it?
We will gradually bring you more current analyses from other charts and time frames.
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WavePulse
USDCAD H1 | Bullish Bounce Off SupportBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off the buy entry which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 1.3998, whichis a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.3983, whichis a pullback support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 1.4028, whichis a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NZDUSD H1 | Potential Bearish Reversal off Key Fibonacci LevelKIWI (NZD/USD) is rising towards the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 0.5767, whichis a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 0.5782, whichis a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5727, whichis a pullback support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
AUDUSD H1 | Sharp Bearish DropAussie (AUD/USD) has rejected off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 0.6508, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6542, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 0.6459, whichis a pullback support.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
USDJPY H1 | Bullish Bounce off Pullback SupportUSD/JPY is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 151.30, whichis a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 150.60, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 152.50, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Bearish reversal for Bitcoin?The price is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 108,846.88
1st Suport: 104,701.40
1st Resistance: 113,431.55
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.






















