Bullish continuation for the Bitcoin?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 127.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 111,783.38
1st Support: 98,421.14
1st Resistance: 126,406.21
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
J-USD
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a multi-swing high resistance.
Pivot: 145.96
1st Support: 142.37
1st Resistance: 150.98
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3613
1st Support: 1.3366
1st Resistance: 1.3789
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1850
1st Support: 1.1578
1st Resistance: 1.2127
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish reversal?NZD/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% FIboacci retracement and could potentially rise to from thius level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5927
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5865
Why we like it:
There is a swing l;ow support.
Take profit: 0.5999
Why we like it:
There is pullback resistance.
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Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection from this level could lead the price to drop towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 148.95
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% FIbonacci retracemet.
Stop loss: 150.80
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 146.00
Why we like it:
There is a swin low support.
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Falling towards major support?USD/CAD is falling toward he support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8018
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.7972
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.8111
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonaccci retracement and could drop from this levl to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3815
Why we like:
There is a pullback resistanc that lines up with the 61.87% Fbonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3876
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 1.3729
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/CAD - Ascending Triangle (18.08.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Ascending Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3774
2nd Support – 1.3755
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# GBPUSD Technical Analysis & Forecast# GBPUSD Technical Analysis & Forecast
**Asset**: GBP/USD
**Reference Price**: 1.35557 (August 16th, 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
**Analysis Date**: August 17, 2025
## Executive Summary
GBPUSD is positioned at a critical juncture with multiple technical confluences suggesting potential bullish continuation. The pair has shown resilience above key support levels and appears to be forming a corrective structure that may lead to higher targets.
---
## 1. ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS
### Primary Count (Daily/Weekly)
- **Current Position**: Gray Wave 3 (Impulsive phase)
- **Sub-wave**: Orange Wave 5 active
- **Structure**: Bullish trend in impulsive mode
- **Completion Status**: Gray Wave 2 likely complete
### Intraday Perspective (1H-4H)
- **Pattern**: Double Three (WXY) corrective structure
- **Key Level**: Equal Legs zone providing support
- **Blue Box Area**: Critical support confluence around 1.3480-1.3520
- **Invalidation**: Break below red X connector invalidates bullish count
### Wave Targets
- **Immediate**: 1.3650-1.3700 (completion of current sub-wave)
- **Extended**: 1.3850-1.4000 (major resistance confluence)
---
## 2. HARMONIC ANALYSIS
### Active Patterns
**ABCD Pattern**
- **Status**: Potential completion near current levels
- **D Point**: Expected around 1.3480-1.3520
- **Target**: 1.3680-1.3750 (127.2% extension)
**Gartley Pattern (4H)**
- **Completion**: 78.6% retracement area
- **Support Zone**: 1.3500-1.3550
- **Targets**: 1.3650 (38.2%), 1.3720 (61.8%)
**Butterfly Formation (Daily)**
- **Status**: Monitoring for completion
- **Critical Zone**: 1.3480-1.3520
- **Upside Potential**: 1.3780-1.3850
---
## 3. WYCKOFF ANALYSIS
### Current Phase Assessment
**Phase**: Accumulation (Phase C - Spring Test)
- **Characteristics**: Testing of support with reduced volume
- **Smart Money Activity**: Accumulation at lower levels
- **Market Maker Position**: Building long positions
### Key Wyckoff Levels
- **Support**: 1.3480 (Last Point of Support - LPS)
- **Resistance**: 1.3650 (Automatic Rally - AR)
- **Breakout Target**: 1.3750+ (Sign of Strength - SOS)
---
## 4. W.D. GANN ANALYSIS
### Square of 9 Analysis
**Current Position**: 1.35557
- **Next Resistance**: 1.3650 (144° angle)
- **Major Resistance**: 1.3780 (180° angle)
- **Support**: 1.3480 (90° angle from previous high)
### Time Cycles
**Active Cycles**:
- 30-day cycle: Peak expected around August 25-28, 2025
- 90-day cycle: Major turn window September 15-20, 2025
### Gann Angles (Daily Chart)
- **1x1 Angle**: Rising from 1.3200 low
- **2x1 Angle**: Critical support at 1.3450
- **1x2 Angle**: Resistance at 1.3720
### Price Forecasting
**Natural Resistance Levels** (Square of 9):
- 1.3610 (Minor)
- 1.3680 (Moderate)
- 1.3750 (Strong)
- 1.3850 (Major)
---
## 5. ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO
### Cloud Analysis (Daily)
- **Cloud Status**: Bullish (green cloud)
- **Price Position**: Above cloud indicating uptrend
- **Tenkan-sen**: 1.3520 (dynamic support)
- **Kijun-sen**: 1.3480 (key support)
### Key Levels
- **Cloud Top**: 1.3450
- **Cloud Bottom**: 1.3380
- **Senkou Span B**: 1.3420 (26-period ahead)
### Signals
- **Bullish Crossover**: Tenkan above Kijun
- **Future Cloud**: Remains bullish through September
---
## 6. JAPANESE CANDLESTICK ANALYSIS
### Recent Patterns (4H/Daily)
**Doji Star Formation**:
- **Location**: Near 1.3550 resistance
- **Implication**: Indecision, potential reversal higher
- **Confirmation**: Needed above 1.3580
**Hammer Pattern (Daily)**:
- **Formation**: August 15th low
- **Support**: 1.3480 area
- **Bullish Bias**: If sustained above 1.3520
### Pattern Projections
- **Engulfing Pattern**: Target 1.3650-1.3680
- **Three White Soldiers**: Potential if break above 1.3580
---
## 7. TECHNICAL INDICATORS ANALYSIS
### RSI (Relative Strength Index)
**Multi-Timeframe RSI Status**:
- **Daily**: 52.3 (Neutral with upward bias)
- **4H**: 48.7 (Slightly oversold, bullish divergence forming)
- **1H**: 45.2 (Oversold, bounce expected)
### Bollinger Bands
- **Daily**: Price at lower band, squeeze formation
- **4H**: Expansion phase beginning
- **Target**: Upper band at 1.3720-1.3750
### VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
- **Daily VWAP**: 1.3530 (current resistance)
- **Weekly VWAP**: 1.3480 (key support)
- **Deviation Bands**: +1σ at 1.3620, +2σ at 1.3680
---
## 8. MOVING AVERAGES CONFLUENCE
### Simple Moving Averages (SMA)
- **20 SMA**: 1.3540 (immediate resistance)
- **50 SMA**: 1.3520 (dynamic support)
- **200 SMA**: 1.3450 (major support)
### Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
- **12 EMA**: 1.3565 (short-term resistance)
- **26 EMA**: 1.3535 (key pivot)
- **100 EMA**: 1.3480 (confluence support)
### Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
- **21 WMA**: 1.3550 (resistance to break)
- **Golden Cross**: Potential if 50 WMA crosses above 200 WMA
---
## 9. MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
### 5-Minute Chart
- **Trend**: Sideways consolidation
- **Support**: 1.3540
- **Resistance**: 1.3570
- **Breakout Direction**: Awaiting catalyst
### 15-Minute Chart
- **Pattern**: Ascending triangle
- **Breakout Target**: 1.3590-1.3610
- **Volume**: Decreasing on pullbacks (bullish)
### 30-Minute Chart
- **Trend**: Bullish flag formation
- **Measured Move**: 1.3650 target
- **Key Level**: 1.3555 support
### 1-Hour Chart
- **Elliott Wave**: Corrective Wave 4 completion
- **Harmonic**: ABCD pattern near D point
- **Target**: 1.3620-1.3650
### 4-Hour Chart
- **Primary Trend**: Bullish
- **Correction**: Complex WXY structure
- **Upside Target**: 1.3750-1.3800
### Daily Chart
- **Major Trend**: Upward
- **Pattern**: Bull flag continuation
- **Long-term Target**: 1.3850-1.4000
### Weekly Chart
- **Structure**: Impulsive Wave 3
- **Support**: 1.3400-1.3450
- **Resistance**: 1.3800-1.3850
### Monthly Chart
- **Trend**: Long-term bullish
- **Key Resistance**: 1.4000-1.4200
- **Major Support**: 1.3200-1.3300
---
## 10. TRADING STRATEGY & OUTLOOK
### Intraday Strategy (5M-1H)
**Setup**: Buy dips approach
- **Entry Zone**: 1.3540-1.3560
- **Stop Loss**: 1.3520
- **Target 1**: 1.3590
- **Target 2**: 1.3620
### Swing Trading Strategy (4H-Daily)
**Setup**: Breakout continuation
- **Entry**: Above 1.3580 (confirmed breakout)
- **Stop Loss**: 1.3510
- **Target 1**: 1.3680
- **Target 2**: 1.3750
- **Target 3**: 1.3850
### Position Trading (Weekly-Monthly)
**Setup**: Long-term bullish bias
- **Accumulation Zone**: 1.3480-1.3550
- **Major Target**: 1.3850-1.4000
- **Risk Management**: Trail stops below key moving averages
---
## 11. KEY LEVELS SUMMARY
### Critical Support Levels
1. **1.3520** - Immediate support (Tenkan-sen, 50 SMA)
2. **1.3480** - Major support (Blue Box, Kijun-sen, 100 EMA)
3. **1.3450** - Cloud top, 200 SMA confluence
4. **1.3400** - Weekly support level
### Critical Resistance Levels
1. **1.3580** - Immediate resistance (breakout level)
2. **1.3620** - VWAP +1σ, harmonic target
3. **1.3680** - Bollinger upper band, Gann resistance
4. **1.3750** - Major confluence resistance
5. **1.3850** - Elliott Wave target, monthly resistance
---
## 12. RISK ASSESSMENT
### Bullish Scenario (Probability: 65%)
- **Catalyst**: Break above 1.3580
- **Target**: 1.3750-1.3850
- **Timeline**: 2-3 weeks
### Bearish Scenario (Probability: 35%)
- **Invalidation**: Break below 1.3480
- **Target**: 1.3400-1.3350
- **Timeline**: 1-2 weeks
### Key Events to Watch
1. Central bank communications
2. Economic data releases
3. Risk sentiment shifts
4. Technical breakout confirmations
---
## CONCLUSION
GBPUSD is positioned for potential upside continuation based on multiple technical confluence factors. The Elliott Wave analysis suggests we're in an impulsive upward structure, while harmonic patterns indicate completion of corrective phases. Gann analysis supports higher targets with favorable time cycles approaching.
**Recommended Bias**: Cautiously Bullish
**Primary Strategy**: Buy dips near support, target higher levels
**Risk Management**: Strict stops below key support confluences
The technical picture favors patient bulls who can capitalize on the current consolidation phase for potential moves toward 1.3750-1.3850 in the coming weeks.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade)
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
# USDCHF Technical Analysis & Forecast# USDCHF Technical Analysis & Forecast
**Base Price:** 0.80676 (August 15, 2025)
## Executive Summary
The USDCHF pair at 0.80676 presents a critical juncture with multiple technical confluences suggesting potential directional moves across various timeframes.
## Japanese Candlestick Analysis
### Intraday Patterns (5M-1H)
- **Key Reversal Patterns:** Look for Doji, Hammer, or Shooting Star formations around psychological levels
- **Continuation Patterns:** Marubozu candles indicating strong momentum
- **Support/Resistance:** 0.8050, 0.8080, 0.8100 as key levels
### Swing Patterns (4H-Monthly)
- **Engulfing Patterns:** Critical at weekly open/close levels
- **Evening/Morning Star:** Watch for three-candle reversals at major S/R
- **Harami Patterns:** Indicating potential consolidation phases
## Harmonic Pattern Analysis
### M & W Patterns
- **M-Top Formation:** Potential resistance around 0.8120-0.8150 zone
- **W-Bottom:** Support confluence near 0.7980-0.8020 region
- **Neckline:** Critical break levels at 0.8065 and 0.8085
### ABCD Patterns
- **Bullish ABCD:** Target projection to 0.8180-0.8220
- **Bearish ABCD:** Downside target 0.7920-0.7950
- **Extension Ratios:** 127.2%, 161.8%, 200% Fibonacci extensions
## Elliott Wave Analysis
### Wave Structure
- **Current Position:** Likely in Wave 4 correction of larger impulse
- **Wave 5 Target:** 0.8250-0.8300 for bullish completion
- **Alternative Count:** ABC correction with C-wave target 0.7850
### Time Projections
- **Intraday:** 2-4 hour wave cycles
- **Swing:** 5-8 day wave completions
- **Primary:** 3-5 week major wave cycles
## Wyckoff Analysis
### Market Phases
- **Accumulation Zone:** 0.7980-0.8050
- **Distribution Zone:** 0.8150-0.8250
- **Spring Test:** Watch for false breaks below 0.8000
- **Upthrust:** Potential fake breaks above 0.8200
### Volume Analysis
- **Climactic Volume:** Key reversal indicator
- **No Demand:** Weakness on rallies
- **Stopping Volume:** Support zone confirmation
## W.D. Gann Theory Analysis
### Time Theory
- **Natural Time Cycles:** 30, 45, 60, 90-day cycles
- **Anniversary Dates:** Previous significant highs/lows
- **Seasonal Tendency:** CHF strength in Q4 historically
### Square of 9
- **Current Level:** 0.80676 sits at 291° on the square
- **Key Angles:** 45°, 90°, 180°, 270° projections
- **Price Targets:** 0.8125 (315°), 0.7975 (270°)
### Angle Theory
- **1x1 Angle:** Primary trend line support/resistance
- **2x1 & 1x2 Angles:** Acceleration/deceleration zones
- **Fan Lines:** Multiple support/resistance confluence
### Price and Time Squaring
- **Price Squares:** 0.8100 (major square), 0.7900 (support square)
- **Time Squares:** 144 hours, 233 hours for next major moves
- **Geometric Relationships:** 50% retracement levels critical
## Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Analysis
### Cloud Analysis
- **Kumo Position:** Price above/below cloud significance
- **Cloud Twist:** Future support/resistance at 0.8090
- **Cloud Thickness:** Strength of support/resistance
### Line Analysis
- **Tenkan-sen:** Short-term momentum (9-period)
- **Kijun-sen:** Medium-term trend (26-period)
- **Chikou Span:** Confirmation signal positioning
## Technical Indicators
### RSI Analysis
- **Overbought:** >70 on 4H+ timeframes
- **Oversold:** <30 indicating reversal potential
- **Divergence:** Hidden/regular divergence patterns
### Bollinger Bands
- **Band Width:** Volatility expansion/contraction
- **Band Squeeze:** Breakout preparation
- **Price Action:** Outside band reversions
### VWAP
- **Daily VWAP:** 0.8055 as key pivot
- **Weekly VWAP:** 0.8020 major support
- **Volume Profile:** High volume nodes at 0.8040, 0.8100
### Moving Averages
- **SMA 20/50/200:** Trend direction confirmation
- **EMA 8/21:** Short-term momentum
- **WMA:** Weighted recent price action emphasis
## Multi-Timeframe Analysis
### Intraday (5M-1H)
- **5M:** Scalping range 0.8055-0.8085
- **15M:** Micro-trend changes, 15-pip ranges
- **30M:** Key breakout timeframe
- **1H:** Primary intraday trend confirmation
### Swing (4H-Monthly)
- **4H:** Major trend shifts, 100-150 pip moves
- **Daily:** Primary trend direction
- **Weekly:** Long-term support/resistance
- **Monthly:** Major trend cycle analysis
## Key Levels & Targets
### Support Levels
1. **0.8050** - Immediate support
2. **0.8020** - Weekly VWAP support
3. **0.7980** - Major support zone
4. **0.7950** - Monthly support
### Resistance Levels
1. **0.8085** - Immediate resistance
2. **0.8100** - Psychological resistance
3. **0.8150** - Major resistance zone
4. **0.8200** - Monthly resistance
## Trading Scenarios
### Bullish Scenario (Probability: 45%)
- **Entry:** Above 0.8090
- **Target 1:** 0.8150
- **Target 2:** 0.8220
- **Stop Loss:** Below 0.8040
### Bearish Scenario (Probability: 40%)
- **Entry:** Below 0.8050
- **Target 1:** 0.7980
- **Target 2:** 0.7920
- **Stop Loss:** Above 0.8100
### Neutral/Range Scenario (Probability: 15%)
- **Range:** 0.8040-0.8120
- **Strategy:** Buy support, sell resistance
- **Breakout:** Wait for clear direction
## Risk Management
- **Position Size:** 1-2% risk per trade
- **Volatility:** Adjust for CHF news events
- **Correlation:** Monitor EUR/USD, GBP/CHF impact
- **Time Decay:** Close positions before major news
## Forecast Summary
The USDCHF pair shows mixed signals with slight bearish bias in the short term due to technical confluence around resistance zones. Key levels to watch are the 0.8050 support and 0.8100 resistance. A break of either level should provide clear directional bias for the next major move.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade)
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya.Trade
world wide web shunya dot trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
EURUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | Y25📊 EURUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST
Q3 | W34 | Y25
Weekly Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
FX:EURUSD
GBPUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | Y25📊 GBPUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST
Q3 | W32 | Y25
Weekly Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
FX:GBPUSD
Recession's here? Don't fear, Gold signifies the new frontier.Gold monthly setting up for an explosive upward move in relation to forex bulletins and potential global bifurcation.
USDJPY Sell Setup – Watching 147.600 Key Zone Next WeekHey Traders,
In the coming week, I’m monitoring USDJPY for a potential sell opportunity near 147.600.
Trend: Still in a clear downtrend.
Current move: Price is correcting upward into resistance.
Key level: 147.600 – a major support-turned-resistance area.
If price rejects this zone with confirmation, it could resume the bearish move. I’ll be looking for signs of weakness (candlestick rejection, momentum shift) before entering.
What do you think? Will USDJPY hold below 147.600 or push higher first?
Trade safe,
Joe
US OIL SELL...Hello friends🙌
🔊As you can see, this chart works well in forming a channel, and now that
we have witnessed a price drop, the price has reached the bottom of the channel, and given the previous heavy drop, the channel shows that the power is currently in the hands of sellers and it is likely that the specified targets will move.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
Trade safely with us
Gold | Bearish Below 3343 – Key Break Levels AheadGold Futures Set to End Week Lower on Dented Haven Demand
Gold prices appear to be stabilizing below 3343, indicating that as long as the price trades under this level, it may drop to 3332 and 3320. A break below 3320 could extend losses toward 3285.
However, a 1H close above 3344 would be a key signal for a potential bullish move toward 3365.
Pivot: 3343
Support: 3332, 3320, 3285
Resistance: 3355, 3365, 3382
USDCAD H4 | Potential bearish dropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.3806, which is a pullback reistance.
Stop loss is at 1.3875, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is 1.3751, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish bounce offXAU/USD is reacting off the buy entry of 3,332.63, which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,306.53, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 3,368.69, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USOIL H4 | Bearish reversal off pullback resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is pullback resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 63.82, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 66.33, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 60.05, which is a multi swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
BTCUSD H4 | Bullish bounce offBitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the buy entry of 117.387.77, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 113,331.94, which is a swing low support.
Take profit is at 122,526.14, which is a multi swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
LITECOIN H4 | Bearish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 126.19, which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 133.27, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 111.07, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DOTUSD H4 | Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistanceDOT/USD is rising towards the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 3.982, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 4.165, which is an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 3.600, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.