Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3910
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3861
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3982
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
J-USD
Bearish continuation?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3308
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3344
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3260
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into pullback resistance?EEUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1686
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.1723
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1638
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
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GOLD | Bearish Bias Holds Below $3,944 Amid Trade OptimismGOLD – MARKET OVERVIEW | Trades Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Rises
Gold continues to slide, as optimism over a potential U.S.–China trade deal and improving global outlook weakens demand for safe-haven assets.
The metal is now down nearly 10% from its all-time high of $4,377 (Oct 20), with the recent rally losing steam as traders take profits amid signs of progress in trade negotiations between the world’s two largest economies.
Technical Overview
Gold dropped nearly $150, exactly as projected in our previous outlook.
The price remains under bearish pressure while below 3,944, targeting 3,893, and a break below that could extend the decline toward 3,855 → 3,818.
However, a 1H close above 3,944 would indicate a potential reversal, opening the way for a retest of 3,970 → 4,011.
Key Technical Levels
Pivot Zone: 3,932 – 3,944
Support: 3,893 · 3,855 · 3,819
Resistance: 3,970 · 4,011 · 4,053
Outlook:
Gold stays bearish below 3,944, with downside potential toward 3,855 if trade optimism persists.
Only a confirmed 1H close above 3,944 would shift bias back to short-term bullish toward 4,011.
USDCAD Faces Pressure as DXY Correction Nears Key Resistance!!Hey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a potential selling opportunity around the 1.40200 zone.
The pair remains in a broader downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the trendline and resistance area at 1.40200.
From a macro perspective, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is testing its 98.900 channel resistance, where upside momentum may fade amid a weakening U.S. labour market and rising expectations for a dovish shift from the Fed.
A potential DXY rejection from that level could amplify downside pressure on USDCAD, especially if oil continues to find demand and supports the Canadian Dollar.
Next move: Watching for bearish confirmation near 1.40200 for potential continuation of the broader downtrend.
💬 What’s your view on USDCAD and the Dollar outlook this week? Share your thoughts below!
EURUSD Huge Bearish Divergence and Cross targets 1.12000.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up since the September 28 2022 market bottom. On September 17 2025 it hit its top (Higher Highs trend-line) for the first time since the July 18 2023 High.
The current Bullish Leg has almost been the same as the previous one (around +18%) and is about to form a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1D MA100 (green trend-line) Bearish Cross. That will be the first such pattern since September 25 2023. Along with the already established 1D RSI Bearish Divergence, it is more likely to see the pattern start the new Bearish Leg now (max extension +18.28% at 1.20450).
The first Target of the previous Higher High rejection was the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Our Target is again slightly above it at 1.12000.
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BTC USD (T)🟢 Main scenario (healthy correction and continuation of growth)
The price is pulling back to the EMA50 / EMA100 (around 113.4k–112.8k).
In this zone — especially near 112.8k — you can look for long confirmations such as a pattern, volume spike, or false breakout downward.
After a rebound, the next targets are: 115.5k → 116.3k (Weekly High),
If this level breaks — a possible move toward 117k–118k.
🔴 Less likely, but possible scenario (deep correction)
If the price consolidates below EMA100 (≈112.8k),
the move may deepen toward the Equilibrium zone (111.0–110.5k).
There will again be a chance for a strong long entry, but only after confirmation.
XAUUSD H4 | Potential Bearish Drop Off?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 4,053.43, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 4,149.54, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,690.65, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
XAGUSD H4 | Bearish Continuation setupBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has reacted off the sell entry, which is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially drop from this levle to the downside.
Sell entry is at 47.66, which is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss is at 49.28, whic is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 44.36, which is a pullback that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Potential bearish reversal?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5776
1st Support: 0.5726
1st Resistance: 0.5803
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.4012
1st Support: 1.3969
1st Resistance: 1.4073
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish reversal off pullback support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.7931
1st support: 0.7892
1st Resistance: 0.7996
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into pullback resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot and oculd reverse to the 1st support whic acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3385
1st Support: 1.3295
1st Resistance: 1.3431
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the swing high resistance.
Pivot: 1.1668
1st Support: 1.1618
1st Resistance: 1.1710
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop off?Ethereum (ETH/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 4,263.96
1st Support: 3,938.73
1st Resistance: 4,455.38
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off major resistance?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 109,139.03
1st Support: 109,172.55
1st Resistance: 119,893.62
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD – Triangle Breakout (CPI Data ahead)EUR/USD – Buy Entry (M30- Channel Breakout Pattern)
The EUR/USD Pair, Price has been trading within a Triangle Breakout Pattern on the M30 chart, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price action is now testing the upper boundary of the Pattern, signalling a possible breakout.
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Strong Upward Structure Inside the Pattern.
2️⃣Buyers are showing strength near Resistance.
3️⃣Breakout above the Trendline indicates Momentum continuation toward higher zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Buy after Confirmed Breakout above the Resistance (m30 candle close above trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – a Major Resistance area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Below the Pattern Structure.
✅Psychological Discipline :
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as Part of the Strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
💬 Support the community: If you found this useful, drop a 👍 like and share your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
NZDUSD forming a bottom?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5775 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5850.
We look to Buy at 0.5750 (stop at 0.5720)
Our profit targets will be 0.5825 and 0.5850
Resistance: 0.5775 / 0.5800 / 0.5825
Support: 0.5750 / 0.5725 / 0.5700
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
J.D. Vance and the market consequences of successionJ.D. Vance’s sudden rise to the Presidency could mark a dramatic shift for financial markets if he breaks from his current boss’s stance on how to govern an economy.
Before being picked as Trump’s VP, Vance was known for his opposition to corporate monopolies. In the past, he criticised the power of firms like Google, Apple, and Amazon, calling for antitrust enforcement. A sudden shift to a Vance-led administration could crash markets that have priced in continued support for the “Magnificent Seven,” who have driven much of the S&P 500’s recent performance. Ultimately, In the long run, however, breaking up dominant players can spark greater innovation (and potential stock gains), as the incumbents lose their ability to acquire and bury emerging competition.
Meanwhile, one of the defining trends of Trump’s second term has been the significant decline of the U.S. dollar. A change in leadership, especially one less inclined toward isolationist policies and piling on national debt, could potentially strengthen the dollar in the short term. Gold might also take a hit and find a medium-term price level below $4000.
XAUUSD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP🧭 Market Context
Pair: Gold / USD (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 15-minute
Current price: ≈ $3,981.72
The chart shows a clear bearish structure, with consecutive lower highs and lower lows.
A Break of Structure (BOS) has confirmed bearish control after liquidity was taken from the previous high.
🧱 Key Zones
Supply Zone (Sell area):
Highlighted in red: around $3,985 – $3,990
This zone aligns with a prior imbalance and structure break, where sellers stepped in.
Demand Zone (Target area):
Highlighted in green: around $3,957 – $3,950
This is where previous buying occurred and where liquidity likely rests below.
📉 Sell Setup Details
Entry (Sell limit): ~$3,985.00
Inside the lower half of the red supply zone for best risk-to-reward.
Stop Loss (SL): ~$3,990.00
Above the supply zone and last minor high to protect against false breakouts.
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: $3,970.00 — midpoint between current price and main target (≈1:2 R:R)
TP2: $3,957.00 — lower demand zone (≈1:4 R:R)
⚙️ Trade Logic
Liquidity Grab: The previous high near $3,990 was taken out — a classic liquidity sweep before the drop.
Break of Structure: A clean BOS confirms sellers now dominate.
Retracement: Price is currently pulling back toward the supply zone, ideal for short re-entry.
Imbalance fill: The retracement aligns with a fair value gap (FVG) that may get mitigated before continuation down.
💡 Trade Management Tips
If price rejects strongly before entering the full zone, consider a market entry after a bearish engulfing or M1 BOS confirmation.
Move SL to breakeven once price passes $3,972.
Partial close at TP1, let remainder run to TP2.
AUDUSD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP🧭 Market Structure Overview
Current price: around 0.6547
The chart shows a bearish structure shift — after price reached a high near 0.6560–0.6565, it created:
A Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
A Change of Character (CHoCH) confirming a transition from bullish to bearish momentum.
🧱 Key Supply and Demand Zones
Supply zone (short entry area):
Marked in red around 0.6550–0.6560
This is where sellers previously entered and broke structure — potential retest zone for short entry.
Demand zones (targets):
Minor demand: around 0.6530–0.6535
Major demand / final target: near 0.6515–0.6510
📉 Trade Plan (Sell Setup)
Bias: Bearish
Entry zone (sell):
Wait for a retracement into 0.6550–0.6555 (supply zone retest)
Confirmation:
Look for lower time frame rejection (e.g. bearish engulfing, BOS down on 1–5m chart) at that zone.
Stop loss:
Above 0.6565 (just beyond the BOS high / supply zone)
Take profit targets:
TP1: 0.6535 (first demand / liquidity pocket)
TP2: 0.6515 (main target, strong demand zone)
Risk-to-reward (approx):
1:3 to 1:4, depending on entry precision
🔍 Market Logic
Price made a lower high and broke structure to the downside.
The CHoCH confirms momentum has shifted.
The liquidity above 0.6560 has been swept — institutions likely distributed there.
Expect a retracement into supply before the next impulsive leg down.
⚠️ Trade Management Tips
If price fails to reach 0.6550 and instead breaks below 0.6535 decisively, consider waiting for a pullback to 0.6540 for re-entry.
Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is hit.
BTCUSD SELL IDEACurrent price: around $114,976
Recent structure: The price made a CHoCH after forming a lower high around $115,600, signaling a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
BOS confirmation: A break of structure downward confirms sellers taking control.
Supply zone: A red zone above ~$115,400–$116,000 shows a bearish supply area, where price could retrace to before continuing lower.
Expected move: A short-term pullback (retracement) toward ~$115,200–$115,400 before a continuation down toward the demand zone near $113,200–$112,800.
📉 Sell idea summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry zone: ~$115,200–$115,400 (after retracement)
Target: ~$113,200
Stop loss: Above ~$115,600
USDCHF Huge Bullish Divergence like 2020.The USDCHF pair has recently broken above its 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since March 2025, following a long-term sharp decline. The multi-year pattern is a Channel Down and the current price action is taking place right on its bottom.
At the same time, while the price is on Lower Lows, the 1W RSI has been rising on Higher Lows, showcasing a huge Bullish Divergence. The last time we saw this happening at the bottom of this Channel Down, was between August - December 2020. That was the pattern's previous Lower Low bottom formation and after the 1D MA100 break-out took place, the pair started its new Bullish Leg that exceeded the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, while smashing through its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
As a result, we have turned bullish long-term on USDCHF, targeting the 0.618 Fib at 0.86750, expecting a contact with its 1W MA200 there.
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