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Learning from Warren Buffett's 7 Major Investment ErrorsWarren Buffett's name resonates with success, particularly through investments in renowned companies such as Coca-Cola, American Express, Apple, Bank of America, Moody’s, Kraft Heinz, and more. He stands as a global icon, amassing a wealth exceeding USD 100 billion. Beyond his investment prowess, Buffett generously imparts his wisdom to millions worldwide. Among his many famous quotes, one emphasizes the importance of learning from others' mistakes. Warren Buffett's 7 Major Investment Errors I) Dexter Shoe Company - In 1993, Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway acquired Dexter Shoe Company, a decision he later regretted as his worst deal. Buffet made multiple significant mistakes in this acquisition. - The first error was misjudging Dexter's potential. Berkshire bought Dexter due to its high return on capital employed but failed to consider the competitive threat posed by cheap shoes from countries like China. Buffet acknowledged this oversight in 1999, highlighting the increasing challenge for domestic producers in the face of a market flooded with 93% of 1.3 billion pairs of shoes purchased in the United States coming from abroad. - The primary lesson here is the necessity of assessing a company's durable competitive advantage before investing. Durable competitiveness has transitioned from a good-to-have factor to a must-have for any business. - Buffet's second mistake was financing the Dexter Shoe Company purchase with Berkshire Hathaway stock valued at 433 million dollars, rather than using cash. A single share of Berkshire's Class A stock was approximately USD 15,000 in 1993. Today, it is valued at USD 517,000. - This decision didn't just cost Berkshire shareholders USD 433 million for a company that eventually became worthless; it resulted in a staggering loss of 15 billion dollars for Berkshire's shareholders. - The crucial lesson derived from this experience is never to sacrifice successful investments to make risky bets. II) Tesco - Tesco, a British grocery chain, became a concern for Berkshire Hathaway when the company's ownership stake exceeded 5% by 2012. By 2013, signs of trouble at Tesco became evident, leading Berkshire to reduce its stake to 3.7%, amounting to an investment of nearly 1.7 billion dollars. - In the subsequent months, Tesco's stock plummeted by nearly 50% due to declining sales, heightened competition from discount retailers, and an accounting scandal that attracted scrutiny from the UK's financial regulators. - Buffett's mistake lay in hesitating to sell Tesco stocks despite recognizing these troubling signs. This delay resulted in a loss of approximately USD 444 million for Berkshire. - The crucial lesson from this situation is the importance of conviction when making selling decisions. Just as one should invest with conviction, it is equally vital not to hold onto a stock if confidence in its performance wavers . III) Energy Future Holdings - Warren Buffett, known for seeking advice from Charlie Munger in his investment decisions, openly admitted a significant mistake in his 2013 letter. He invested USD 2.1 billion in bonds of Energy Future Holdings Corporation, banking on rising natural gas prices to boost the competitiveness of the coal-based business and yield profits. - Unfortunately, natural gas prices plummeted from their 2007 levels, leading to substantial losses for Energy Future Holdings. The company declared bankruptcy in 2014, and Berkshire Hathaway sold the bonds at a loss of USD 873 million in 2013. - Buffett acknowledged his error in assessing the transaction's gain-loss probabilities, emphasizing the importance of seeking a second opinion from trusted advisors or partners when making significant decisions. - This incident highlights two essential lessons. Firstly, it underscores the risks associated with predicting market trends, whether in natural gas, oil, gold, or individual stocks. Secondly, it emphasizes the perilous nature of investing in high-yield "junk" bonds. While conglomerates like Berkshire Hathaway can absorb losses from such high-risk endeavors, retail investors face financial disaster in the event of a default. Hence, it is crucial to avoid instruments with questionable return on capital, especially in a retail investor's context. IV) Lubrizol & David Sokol In 2011, Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway faced severe scrutiny. - David Sokol, chairman of several Berkshire subsidiaries, recommended Lubrizol Corporation as a potential acquisition to Buffett while he himself owned stocks in the company. Sokol's failure to disclose his stock ownership violated Berkshire's insider trading rules. Despite this, Berkshire acquired Lubrizol for approximately USD 9 billion, and Sokol profited around USD 3 million from the transaction. - Upon investigation, it became clear that Sokol had been ambiguous about how he acquired Lubrizol stock, neglecting to mention that he purchased shares after meeting with the bankers proposing the acquisition. Buffett emphasized the issue as a matter of ethics, although he initially acknowledged that no one was at fault. - This situation highlighted the importance of not being excessively trusting in the business world. The lesson here is to maintain a checklist, follow a rigorous process, and be unafraid to ask numerous questions, especially when your reputation is at stake. Taking extra precautions becomes essential in preserving one's integrity and credibility. V) Amazon - Up until now, the mistakes we've discussed were all instances of active decisions leading to losses. However, there's a different kind of mistake made by Buffett that falls more under the category of missed opportunities. - In 2017, Buffett openly admitted that he had been observing Amazon.com for an extended period but never invested in it. In his own words, he confessed, “I was too dumb to realize. I did not think Jeff Bezos could succeed on the scale he has.” - Buffett had underestimated Amazon's brilliance in two key areas: its dominance in e-commerce and its success in cloud services through Amazon Web Services. - Buffett's traditional approach didn't align with investing in stocks with high price-earning ratios like Amazon's in 2019. Moreover, he tended to overlook technology companies, considering them beyond his expertise. - In this context, the significant cost of this missed opportunity becomes apparent. It underscores the necessity of having a well-defined area of expertise. However, it's even more crucial to continuously expand and evolve that expertise over time to seize valuable opportunities. VI) Google - The Berkshire Hathaway portfolio notably lacks any shares from Alphabet or Google, a fact that Warren Buffett deeply laments. - Google initially piqued Buffett's interest due to a Berkshire-owned subsidiary, GEICO, operating in the auto insurance sector. GEICO heavily depends on Google's advertising platform to attract customers. - Buffett acknowledges that he should have delved deeper into Google's business and long-term prospects. His limited technical understanding might have played a role in missing this opportunity, despite it being right within his immediate purview. VII) Berkshire Hathaway - It might surprise you, but Warren Buffett's most significant investment blunder occurred when he bought Berkshire Hathaway in 1962. Back then, Berkshire Hathaway was a struggling textile business, meeting the criteria of Benjamin Graham's cigar-butt investing model. - Buffett became intrigued by the favorable financial assessment and started purchasing the stock in installments. In 1964, the company's owner, Seabury Stanton, proposed buying Buffett's shares at $11.50 per share. However, the actual offer received was $11.32, which angered Buffett. In retaliation, he acquired a controlling stake in Berkshire Hathaway and ousted Stanton from the company. - Despite taking revenge, Buffett found himself stuck with a significant investment in a failing business. To this day, he considers it his most regrettable investment. He endured the burden of this failing textile business for an additional 20 years. Buffett admits that had he redirected the cashflows into other ventures like insurance companies, Berkshire would have been worth twice as much as it is now. - By his estimations, Buffett's decision to invest in Berkshire Hathaway amounted to a $200 billion mistake. The lesson here is clear: emotional decisions have no place in successful investing. Thank you @Money_Dictators
TVC:DJI
by Money_Dictators
32
TradingView Masterclass: How To Use Drawing ToolsWe continue with our Masterclass series, which we created to teach people how to get started with charting, research, and analysis. In this lesson, you’ll learn all about the Drawing Panel located on the left side of your chart. Let’s get started! Drawing tools 🎨 There are eight categories in the drawing tool section: Cursors, Trend line tools, Fibonacci tools, Patterns, Forecasting and measurement tools, Geometric shapes, Annotation tools, and Icons. In addition, just below these categories, there are handy features that augment and optimize your research in specific situations, such as zooming in/out, measuring, and a magnet tool for selecting specific price points. Let’s analyze each of these in detail: - Cursors: Located at the very top corner of the drawing tool section, Cursors gives you the capability to change your mouse as you move around the chart. For example, we have other variations such as the dot cursor or the simplest of all, the arrow cursor. Finally, we have an eraser tool to remove objects from the chart by clicking on them. - Trend lines: Trend lines can be used to identify and visualize the direction of a price trend, and are sometimes used for drawing support or resistance lines as well. In this section, you can also find trend channels and pitchforks. - Gann and Fibonacci tools: These advanced tools are often used by technical analysts and quants to locate retracements, pullbacks, measured moves, and advanced price sequences. The Fibonacci tools include retracement, extension, fans, arcs, and more. The Gann tools include box, square, and fan. - Patterns: In this section, you’ll find popular drawing tools for mapping our complex patterns that require several different points to be drawn such as Elliott waves, head and shoulders, and impulses. - Forecasting and measurement tools: These invaluable tools are used to make projections either long or short, study specific stats such as time or price ranges, and also give you the capability to analyze volume with VWAP and volume profiles. - Geometric shapes: These tools are where you can find the brush tool to freely draw on your chart, but it also goes deeper than that, as there are also important shapes whereby a trader can highlight important areas on the chart with a rectangle or arrow such as accumulation or historical rebound zones. - Annotation tools: These can be used to write notes, reminders, prices, and journal entries. These are key tools for traders who want to track their progress over time and always have specific notes attached to the chart. It also includes the ability to insert X links and images from your computer. - Icons: Need a little more color or character on your chart? This section gives you hundreds of emojis, icons, and stickers to add to your chart. Highlight an area, add more art to your chart or spice up your creativity. Tip: Keyboard shortcuts 🔠 Did you know that you can use keyboard shortcuts for the most popular drawing tools? To find out the command, you need to open the drop-down menu of one of the 8 drawing tool categories and you will see the command on the right side of some tools. For example: Alt + T = Trendline Alt + F = Fib retracement Alt + H = Horizontal line Alt + V = Vertical line Alt + I = Invert chart Alt + W = Add current symbol to watchlist If you're a Mac user, use ⌥ instead of Alt. Measure and zoom 📏🔎 When you use the Measure tool (the ruler icon just below the 8 drawing tool category icons), you can see at a glance how much an asset has fallen or risen in numbers, percentages, bars and days. Combined with the Zoom tool (the magnifying glass with +/- icons), you can also focus on the most important areas of the chart. For both measuring and zooming, the procedure is the same: select the tool, click on the point where you want to start measuring or from where you want to zoom, and end with another click where you want to end. You can also use the "Shift" hotkey instead of the icon. To remove a measurement, simply click on the chart. Magnet mode 🧲 Magnet mode is a wizard that helps you to bring the drawing tools closer to the nearest price bars that you hover over with the mouse. There are 2 modes: Weak magnet and Strong magnet. This tool allows traders to perfectly connect a drawing tool to a specific price point. The current values are OHLC, meaning when Magnet mode is turned on, all drawing tools will connect to the nearest open, high, low or close value. Want to draw support lines that always connect to a specific price? Use this tool. Stay in drawing mode 🎨 If you are going to make several drawings on the chart at the same time, you may find it useful to activate this option (pencil + padlock icon), as it will allow you to make as many drawings as you want without deactivating the selected drawing tool. Remember that you must deactivate this option to return to normal mode. Lock all drawing tools 🛑 Once the chart has been configured, if you do not want to make any further changes, you can lock everything that has been drawn with this option (padlock icon) so that you do not accidentally delete elements in the future. Hide/Show drawings/indicators/positions & orders 👁‍🗨 This option allows you to toggle the visibility of the drawings, indicators, positions & orders or even all three to make comparisons with a blank chart. The keyboard shortcut is "Ctrl + Alt + H". Drawing sync 🔄 This allows you to synchronize the drawings of the selected charts in the current layout or in all layouts (globally). You’ll surely want to test this feature as it’s perfect for those who perform multi-timeframe technical analysis and research across multiple charts or timeframes. For example, when this tool is turned on, if you draw on one chart, all of your drawings will appear on your other charts that have the same symbol. Delete objects 🗑 With a single click, you can delete all drawings or indicators, or even both at the same time. There are also a few other options to remove specific things on your chart. Use this tool wisely and don’t accidentally delete everything! Show favorite drawing tools toolbar ⭐ To set up the favorites toolbar, first, you must first go to one of the eight drawing categories and click on the gray star in one of the tools. When you click on it, it turns orange and the quick access toolbar for drawing tools is created. Once you have selected all your favorites, move the favorites toolbar around so that you can use it conveniently every time you want to draw something on the charts. That’s a wrap! We hope you found this guide valuable. We'd love to hear about your favorite drawing tool, so please share your thoughts in the comments below. Additionally, if you have any feedback or suggestions, drop us a line. - TradingView Team
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by TradingView
50
Explaining 15 Different Types of Financial Market ParticipantsIn this post, I'm about to unveil the 15 distinct financial market players who hold the keys to the kingdom. Picture this: you're stepping onto the trading battleground armed with nothing but a stick if you don't acquaint yourself with these formidable forces. As an investor or trader, knowledge is your best armor, and understanding the roles of these market entities can be your secret weapon as you embark on your investment journey, especially if you're just starting out. 1. Investment Banks: These financial powerhouses are the architects of the market. They don't just buy and sell stocks and bonds; they orchestrate mergers and acquisitions, wield market research as their compass, and provide asset management services. Investment banks are the bridges connecting those seeking to invest their capital and those in need of investments. Within this realm, two distinct titans emerge: Bulge Brackets: These giants, like Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, and Deutsche Bank, are the juggernauts of the investment banking world, handling a vast array of financial endeavors. Boutiques: Think of them as the specialized artisans of finance. Boutiques such as Lazard, Evercore, and Guggenheim excel in finely crafted financial solutions, catering to unique and intricate needs.
Education
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
5
📈 Charting Lesson: What do I even look for in a chart?!Full-time trader here. Sharing some knowledge for free . If this helps you, show some love: follow me for more and like this idea. 👍 Why do I need a chart anyway? First, we need to convince you of why you need a chart. No problem. Let's say you're a fundamental analysis investor. The stock has to make sense. The stock has to last forever. It needs to be a growth stock. Let's say... NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:TSLA is a good example over the last few years. Now that you found a good candidate, when are you going to buy? At an all-time high? At an all-time low? One share a day? One share a week? No. Buying a stock without looking at the chart is like driving with a blindfold. Don't do it. Pull up a chart. Observe past price action. Try to find a trend. Plan your entry. Do this even if you're going to hold for 20 years. When I pull up a chart, what do I look for? I just see a bunch of lines. Let's first make sure you are looking at the correct view. On the top left corner of your screen, you'll see your user icon. Next to it is the ticker. Next to it is the interval. Next to THAT is the chart type. Make sure you select "CANDLES". Not "hollow candles". Here's how it should look: Mine may look a bit different because I changed my theme. But the candles is what we care about. Now the juicy part. Support and Resistance are Key Reversal Levels. When you open a chart, the first thing you want to do is look for areas where the price has reached in the past and reversed or got rejected or bounced. For example, every time SPY reached 443.37 in the chart above, it reversed. Let's call this a, "key level". If the price is ABOVE that key level, the line is called SUPPORT. If the price is BELOW that key level, the line is called RESISTANCE. Using the horizontal line tool, make sure you have these key support and resistance levels on your chart. Try to ONLY buy near support and sell near resistance. If the stock is choppy, do your best. If you can't, skip it and go to another stock. There's thousands! Stocks, Currencies, and Cryptos Move in Trends. Up or Down. Next, try to find a "trend". A trend is something where if you connect the dots, the price jumps right from that straight line. Pull out your trendline tool and try to connect some dots. Don't go through any candle bodies. Going through wicks is okay. It's actually recommended. Three touches are required to make a valid trendline. If you see only TWO touches? Is the price going TOWARDS the trendline if you were to extend it? There's a good chance it's going to head towards that TL and bounce! Good job. You found a good trade potential. Identify Reversal or Continuation Patterns. Look for known patterns. In the example above, there is a "head and shoulders" pattern. This is a bearish reversal pattern. Know that not all patterns will come true. It's good to know the overall signal the market is giving. If every trader sees it, it's likely not going to happen. In the above example, a looming H/S pattern is scary given already bad economic conditions and recession/ inflation worries. In this case, the market may be trying to tell you something. Understand that these patterns are not just nice-looking drawings on a chart. They work because they display some sort of buyer/ seller psychology. I will post more examples of known patterns on my TradingView profile soon. Be sure to follow if you want to learn more. If you benefitted from this, you are welcome to follow me, comment any questions, or share this with your friends. Good knowledge should be free. I'll post more insight soon. Thank you for reading and for your continued support. 👍
AMEX:SPYEducation
by kingdips
3
US30 Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana 😂 This week I am a bit bias for sell because of the 'M' formation that price is forming. However, it has done a similar pattern in the past before and not sold. What verifies the sell for me is the break and retest of the 34300 level (highlighted orange) which would be the neckline of the 'M'. I see an opportunity at the 34600 level, if it breaks and retests the area. I'll then stick to my rules entering and reentering at each new level hopefully until the 34100 level. If price decides to buy then, stay consistent, waiting for the break and retest on the 1m timeframe and go to the next level.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by Masked_Gem
2
📝 ALWAYS review your trades and improve your trading strategy.ALL your trades should get a good in-depth review. Unless, of course, you're just gambling, then the market isn't for you, and you're likely not even using TradingView -- because why would you need a chart? 🙂 If you make a red trade, review it, do better next time. If you make a green trade, but you were like this the whole time: :sweating: ... chances are you were lucky. Review it, do better next time. If you make a green trade and it doesn't "continue", so to speak, either you knew exactly what you were doing (nice!), or you were lucky. Review it, do better next time. If you make a GREAT trade and it continues to RIP after (aka "left gains on the table"), NICE JOB.. Review it. Do it again. And again. Keep reviewing all your trades till you have a bullet proof strategy. There is no other way to advance as a trader. If you don't review your trades, you will not improve. Open your mind to learning from other traders. You may be better than them in some things, but they may be better than you in some things. Kobe, Lebron, Ronaldo, Messi, Brady, and every athlete you can name has went to practice every day throughout his/ her career. Pros don't stop practicing. Neither should you. In the referenced trade, I made a quick +10% in NASDAQ:QQQ calls. Although the intention was to scalp, I got lucky to not get burned. Here's how I normally review my trades: Remember to NOT force trades. There's no point. I warned against forcing any trades yesterday in my quad/ triple witching post. Volatility is no joke. More volatility coming next week. Remember that. Follow for more insight & share/ like this with others who can benefit. Welcome to join my community. Link below.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by kingdips
The VIX: A Measure of Market FearThe VIX, or Volatility Index, is a measure of the expected volatility of the S&P 500 index over the next 30 days. It is calculated using the prices of options on the S&P 500 index. A higher VIX indicates that market participants are expecting more volatility in the future, while a lower VIX indicates that they are expecting less volatility. The VIX is an important tool for investors because it can help them understand how risky the stock market is. A high VIX indicates that the market is expected to be volatile, which means that there is a greater chance of large price swings. This can make investing more risky, but it can also create opportunities for profit. The VIX is also correlated with the S&P 500 index. This means that the VIX tends to move in the opposite direction of the S&P 500. When the S&P 500 falls, the VIX tends to rise, and when the S&P 500 rises, the VIX tends to fall. This correlation is not perfect, but it is strong enough to be useful for investors. The VIX can be used in a variety of ways by investors. Some investors use the VIX to assess the risk of their portfolios. Others use the VIX to trade volatility, either by buying or selling VIX futures contracts. Still others use the VIX to hedge against risk in other assets. The VIX is a complex and volatile asset, but it can be a valuable tool for investors who understand how to use it. Here are some additional things to keep in mind about the VIX: The VIX is not a direct measure of the volatility of the stock market. It is a measure of the expected volatility, which means that it is based on the opinions of market participants. The VIX can be affected by a variety of factors, including economic news, political events, and natural disasters. The VIX is not always accurate. It can sometimes overshoot or undershoot the actual volatility of the stock market. Despite its limitations, the VIX is a valuable tool for investors. It can help investors understand the risk of the stock market and make informed investment decisions. I hope this post is helpful. This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted. This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
CAPITALCOM:VIXEducation
by YMagnify
2
Your ULTIMATE Guide For Time Frames in Trading If you just started trading, you are probably wondering what time frames to trade. In the today's post, I will reveal the difference between mainstream time frames like daily, 4h, 1h, 15m. Firstly, you should know that the selection of a time frame primarily depends on your goals in trading. If you are interested in swing trading strategies, of course, you should concentrate on higher time frames analysis while for scalping the main focus should be on lower time frames. Daily time frame shows a bigger picture. It can be applied for the analysis of a price action for the last weeks, months, and even years. It reveals the historical key levels that can be relevant for swing traders, day traders and scalpers. The patterns that are formed on a daily time frame may predict long-term movements. In the picture above, you can see how the daily time frame can show the price action for the last years, months and weeks. In contrast, hourly time frame reflects intraweek & intraday perspectives. The patterns and key levels that are spotted there, will be important for day traders and scalpers. The setups that are spotted on an hourly time frame, will be useful for predicting the intraday moves and occasionally the moves within a trading week. Take a look at the 2 charts above, the hourly time frame perfectly shows the market moves within a week and within a single day. 4H time frame is somewhere in between. For both swing trader and day trader, it may provide some useful confirmations. 4H t.f shows intraweek and week to week perspectives. Above, you can see how nicely 4H time frame shows the price action on EURUSD within a week and for the last several weeks. 15 minutes time frame is a scalping time frame. The setups and levels that are spotted there can be used to predict the market moves within hours or within a trading session. Check the charts above: 15 minutes time frame shows both the price action within a London session and the price action for the last couple of hours. It is also critical to mention, that lower is the time frame, lower is the accuracy of the patterns and lower is the strength of key levels that are identified there. It makes higher time frame analysis more simple and reliable. The thing is that higher is the time frame, more important it is for the market participants. While lower time frames can help to predict short term moves, higher time frames are aimed for predicting long-term trends.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
10
Fixed Range Volume Profile, How do I use it?I can say that Fixed Range Volume Profile is strong tool to determine targets and stop loss, POC point of control as per my research represent a central price and bar close price is turning around it, so when you assign take profit and stop loss as per it, you reduce the risk and have a plan B to manage your trade. as you see in above chart for BTCUSD, we have trend line on daily time frame, I cut the chart to 3 successive zones representing 3 cycle, 1 cycle is from the trend to trend and applied "Fixed Range Volume Profile" on all 3 ranges/cycles, last cycle has not finished yet, and I show POC1, POC2 and POC3 prices. I consider this line as central price for a range and we can see how price keep moving above and down POC1 & POC2 prices. for the last range/cycle (not completed yet because it has not reach the uptrend line yet, we see POC3 = $30,200 and the current price $29,590 so price is under POC3 and we can guess it is going to trend at approximately $27,750, this is 1st hint. 2nd hint is to take "Fixed Range Volume Profile" for the all uptrend, did you notice it? I think the price is going to POC(all range) = $28,300 (support) Now we came to the best part of our subject, the what if question and how to set up a plan?: what is stop loss? we need a 1H bar close above POC3= $30,200+100= $30,300 (resistant) and we buy target $31,380 (you should know why!) and for stop loss, we need close price 1H again down $30,200 what is take profit? we can set $28,300 for safe and $27,750 if you want to risk a little bit, this is first target, but what if bar 4h close down POC= $28,300? here we can set a 2nd take profit at $26,400 (you should know why!) this is what I wanted to share with you and I will be glad to answer your questions. I did go short for BTCUSD this morning, enter price $29,165 and I set a take profit at $29,322 because I am working on 15 min timeframe.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Eymen-GUVEN
2
Understanding the Learning CurveWelcome to @Vestinda new article about Learning Curve! We are delighted to share this insightful piece with our valued community on @TradingView ! At Vestinda, we believe in empowering traders with knowledge and tools to navigate the cryptocurrencies and futures trading. In this article, we will explore the concept of the learning curve and its relevance to the trading journey. Whether you are a novice trader or a seasoned professional, understanding the learning curve can be instrumental in your path to success. If you focus and invest time into a subject, you will eventually reach a level of mastery. The actual level clearly depends on the amount of invested time and to a significant extent on your inherent abilities to acquire the specific knowledge. I could probably spend a decade on quantum physics and not progress beyond the level of ‘enthusiastic beginner'. However, attaining mastery is seldom a smooth and linear journey. It is more like a curve in the mathematical sense, characterized by uneven ups and downs, reflecting the usual 'bumps in the road' that we all experience when dealing with challenging topics. There is a pattern in the process of learning something new (knowledge, skills, etc.), which was formulated by the American psychologist Albert Bandura. This pattern is depicted in the form of a graph known as the Bandura curve. The graph demonstrates the relationship between time (number of attempts), the level of human competence in what they are studying, and their expectations. If you have ever enthusiastically started a new training, holding high hopes for it, and then quietly gave up, blaming others or anything else, then you are not alone. To avoid repeating this in the future, it's important to understand how human psychology and the system work, and that each of us is part of this system. Below, we will provide recommendations on what to pay attention to. So, the Bandura curve shows the stages a person goes through when beginning to learn something new. 1. Clueless (You don't know what you don't know) When you first venture into trading cryptocurrencies and futures, you are essentially clueless about the intricacies of the market. The concepts, strategies, and tools may seem foreign and overwhelming. It's like staring at a vast landscape without a map, unsure of where to even begin. 2. Naively confident (You think you know, but still don't know what you don't know) As you begin your learning journey, you might gain some basic knowledge and techniques. This newfound understanding might lead to a sense of naively confident. You believe you have a handle on things, but in reality, there's a lot you're still unaware of, and the market can surprise you with unexpected turns. 3. Discouragingly realistic (You know what you don't know) With more experience, you come to a point of realization that there is much more to learn. The challenges and complexities of trading become evident, and you may face setbacks that test your resolve. It can be a discouraging phase as you grapple with the reality of how much you still need to learn. 4. Mastery achieved (You know it) Through persistence and a commitment to learning, you gradually achieve mastery in trading cryptocurrencies and futures. You've gained a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics, developed effective strategies, and learned how to manage risks. You can now navigate the market with confidence and consistently make informed decisions. Remember: The learning curve in trading is a natural part of the process, and each stage brings its own valuable lessons. Don't be disheartened by challenges or setbacks; they are opportunities to grow and improve your trading skills. WHAT TO DO? ✅ Embrace the journey of learning and growth, recognizing that mastery takes time. ✅ Stay humble and open-minded, acknowledging that there is always more to learn. ✅ Be patient with yourself during the challenging phases and use them as motivation to improve. ✅ Keep refining your strategies and adapting to the ever-changing market conditions. Can you identify which stage you are currently in your cryptocurrency and futures trading journey? Remember, each stage brings you closer to becoming a proficient trader. We hope you found this article on understanding the learning curve in trading cryptocurrencies and futures helpful! If you have any thoughts, questions, or personal experiences related to the topic, we'd love to hear from you. Please share your feedback in the comments below. Your input is valuable to us and can help us create more content that resonates with your interests and needs. Thank you for being part of our community!
INDEX:ETHUSDEducation
by Vestinda
3
Mastering Elliott Wave: The importance of channelingI wanted to share my thoughts on the significance of using channeling technique in Elliott Wave theory when analyzing charts. To begin, we draw what we call a "base channel," starting from the beginning of wave 1 and extending it to the end of wave 2. This initial channel provides us with a foundation for analysis. The following occurrence of an impulsive breakout beyond this channel signals the initiation of wave 3. At this point, we create a new "Acceleration Channel" to track the movement of wave 3. If this newly drawn channel is breached to the downside, it suggests the possibility of a correction for wave 3 underway. As seen in the picture, the original base channel we drew earlier now acts as a support level for wave 4, accompanied by consolidation around Fibonacci levels. This observation has been witnessed numerous times in the past. When the corrective channel experiences a breakout with above-average volume, it serves as a signal indicating the completion of wave 4. This event provides an opportunity for us to establish Fibonacci targets for profit-taking. In this particular example, I have chosen to draw the corrective channel only on the final leg of the ABC correction, enabling us to catch the breakout at an earlier stage. A more conservative approach, however, would involve waiting for the breakout to occur after wave B has been surpassed. Hope this was helpful for those wanting to learn more about channeling and Elliott Wave.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Ingvar77
1
📊The Ten Commandments of Forex Trading: A Beginner's Guide📊 1️⃣ Thou shalt have a trading plan: Having a trading plan is crucial to my success in forex trading. By setting clear entry and exit points, as well as defining my risk tolerance, I am able to trade with discipline and avoid impulsive decisions. 2️⃣Thou shalt not risk more than you can afford to lose: I understand the importance of capital preservation. I never risk more than 2% of my trading account on a single trade. This ensures that I can withstand potential losses without jeopardizing my overall financial stability. 3️⃣Thou shalt analyze before executing a trade: Before entering any trade, I conduct thorough technical and fundamental analysis. By examining price charts, economic indicators, and market sentiment, I can make informed decisions based on sound analysis rather than relying on instincts. 4️⃣Thou shalt not overtrade: I resist the temptation to overtrade and remain patient for favorable opportunities. I understand that trading excessively can lead to emotional decision-making and ultimately result in losses. 5️⃣Thou shalt not chase losses: When a trade goes against me, I avoid the temptation to chase losses. I accept the loss, learn from it, and move on. Chasing losses would only lead to irrational decisions and potentially larger losses. 6️⃣Thou shalt not rely solely on indicators: While technical indicators are helpful, I do not rely on them alone. I consider various factors such as geopolitical events, news releases, and market sentiment to get a holistic understanding of market dynamics. 7️⃣Thou shalt use appropriate leverage: I use leverage responsibly, understanding its potential benefits and risks. I never exceed a leverage ratio that could expose my account to excessive risk. I am aware of the importance of managing leverage effectively. 8️⃣Thou shalt continuously educate thyself: I understand the importance of ongoing education in forex trading. I regularly read books, attend webinars, and consult reliable sources to stay updated on new strategies, market trends, and economic factors. 9️⃣Thou shalt keep a trading journal: I diligently maintain a trading journal to track my trades, strategies, and emotions. By reviewing past trades, I gain insights into my strengths and weaknesses, enabling me to refine my approach. 🔟Thou shalt not let emotions drive trading decisions: I maintain emotional discipline when trading forex. Fear and greed can cloud judgment and lead to poor decisions. By staying rational and following my trading plan, I avoid emotional biases. ⏩Remember, forex trading requires patience, discipline, and a commitment to ongoing learning. By following these ten commandments, you can lay a strong foundation for a successful forex trading journey. 😸Thank you for reading buddy, hope you learned something new today😸 Do you like this post? Do you want more articles like that?
Education
by ProSignalsFx
4
🐼Mastering the Art of Forex Trading Strategies🐼 Key words: ,,,,, , ,, 🐼The world of forex trading is as fascinating as it is dynamic. To thrive in this fast-paced market, developing a robust trading strategy is paramount. In this article, we will explore the key points that can help you identify and refine your trading strategy, bringing you closer to success. 🐼Identifying Market Trends: Understanding market trends is crucial in making informed trading decisions. By analyzing moving averages, trend lines, and price patterns, you can identify the prevailing market direction and potential opportunities. 🐼Implementing Effective Risk Management Strategies: Mitigating risks is a vital aspect of any trading strategy. Set appropriate stop-loss orders, determine suitable position sizes, and manage leverage wisely to protect your capital and minimize exposure to potential losses. 🐼Incorporating Technical Analysis Tools: Technical analysis tools provide valuable insights into market behavior. Use oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought or oversold conditions, Fibonacci retracement levels to pinpoint support and resistance levels, and Bollinger Bands to gauge market volatility. 🐼Staying Informed about Market News and Economic Calendar Events: Keeping up with the latest news and economic events can provide valuable context for your trading strategy. Monitor economic indicators such as GDP releases, central bank meetings, and geopolitical events to understand potential impacts on currency movements. 🐼Conclusion: Crafting a successful forex trading strategy requires a comprehensive approach that covers market trend identification, risk management, technical analysis, and staying informed about market news. By incorporating these key points into your strategy, you can enhance your trading skills and increase your chances of long-term success in the forex market. Remember, forex trading is a continuous learning journey, so adapt and evolve your strategy as the market evolves. Please cheer me up with a like and a nice comment😸❤️ Please, support my work with like and comment! Love you, my dear followers!👩‍💻🌸
Education
by AnabelSignals
6
❌Trading Mystery: Why 95% Of You Will Fail❓ 🟥The world of forex trading holds immense allure - the promise of financial freedom and the opportunity to make money from the comfort of your own home. However, it is no secret that the path to success in forex trading is treacherous, with estimates suggesting that a staggering 95% of traders fail to achieve their desired outcomes. So, what exactly goes wrong for these aspiring traders? Let us unlock the creative narrative behind this apparent mystery and delve into the reasons that prevent them from cracking the code. ♦️Lack of Proper Education: Just as successful carpentry requires the right tools, so does forex trading. Many traders dive into the financial ocean without a true understanding of its currents, waves, and hidden dangers. They overlook the importance of acquiring comprehensive knowledge about markets, technical indicators, risk management, and strategies. Without a firm grasp of these essentials, traders unwittingly chart a course for disaster. ♦️Emotional Tempests: Imagine being a captain of a ship, navigating treacherous waters while being plagued by anxiety and fear. Forex trading is not for the faint of heart. As the markets fluctuate, traders battle their own emotions, succumbing to impulses that lead to impulsive trading decisions. Greed, fear, and overconfidence can cloud judgment, causing traders to buy or sell impulsively rather than relying on calculated analysis. Emotion-driven trading inevitably leaves traders shipwrecked amidst the unforgiving tides of the forex market. ♦️Unforeseen Volatility: The forex market is a living organism that reacts to an array of factors, from economic data to geopolitical events. These dynamics can send currency values into a frenzy, defying logic and leaving traders bewildered. Sudden fluctuations, unpredictable trends, or unexpected policy decisions can capsize even the most astute trading strategies. By underestimating volatility, traders find themselves drowning rather than riding the waves. ♦️Inadequate Risk Management: Imagine moving forward without a life jacket while navigating choppy waters. This risky endeavor can lead to dire consequences, just like trading without proper risk management. Successful traders understand the importance of setting stop-loss orders, managing trade sizes, and allocating a portion of their capital to each trade. Those who disregard risk management find themselves sinking beneath the weight of their poor decisions. ♦️Overreliance on Automation: In recent years, the rise of automated trading systems has piqued the interest of aspiring traders. While these algorithms can streamline processes and enhance efficiency, they are not a guarantee of success. Blindly relying on automation without understanding how it works or constantly monitoring its performance may result in unexpected losses. It is essential to strike a balance between human insight and technological support. 🟥The realm of forex trading is a captivating one, tantalizing traders with elusive riches. However, becoming part of the 5% who succeed requires diligence, perseverance, and a deep understanding of the whimsical nature of the market. One must embark on this journey by arming themselves with knowledge, taming their emotions, embracing volatility, implementing effective risk management, and balancing human intuition with automation. Only then can traders hope to navigate the tempestuous seas and emerge victorious in their pursuit of forex trading success. 😸Thank you for reading buddy, hope you learned something new today😸 Do you like this post? Do you want more articles like that?
Education
by ProSignalsFx
5
🛎Mastering Key Forex Fundamentals🛎 ♦️Navigating the world of forex trading can be both thrilling and challenging. While it may seem overwhelming to keep track of all the complex factors that affect currency movements, some key fundamentals can significantly impact forex markets. In this article, we will discuss three essential forex fundamentals: non-farm payrolls, interest rates, and central bank policies, offering you a straightforward understanding of their significance and effects. ♦️Non-farm Payrolls: One of the most influential economic indicators in forex trading is the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report. Published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the NFP report reveals the number of jobs added or lost (excluding the farming sector) in the United States during the previous month. ▪️Why it matters: The NFP report provides traders valuable insights into the strength of the U.S. economy. A higher-than-expected NFP figure indicates an expanding job market, economic growth, and potential currency strength. Conversely, if the NFP data disappoints, it suggests a weaker economy and can lead to currency depreciation. ♦️Interest Rates: Interest rates play a crucial role in forex trading. They reflect the cost of borrowing in a particular country and influence investor behavior and currency values. ▪️Why it matters: Changes in interest rates impact currency demand. When a central bank hikes interest rates, it attracts foreign investors seeking higher returns, leading to increased demand for the currency and potentially strengthening its value. Conversely, when rates are lowered, it may spur borrowing and economic growth, but can also result in currency devaluation due to decreased attractiveness for investors. ♦️Central Bank Policies: Central banks are instrumental in forex markets due to the control they exert over monetary policies. ▪️Why it matters: By adjusting interest rates, implementing quantitative easing measures, or intervening in currency markets, central banks can directly influence their nation's currency value. Statements and speeches made by central bank officials can provide insight into their future monetary policy decisions, guiding forex traders' expectations. ♦️To master forex trading, a solid understanding of key fundamentals is essential. Factors such as non-farm payrolls, interest rates, and central bank policies carry significant weight and can lead to substantial currency movements. Familiarize yourself with economic indicators, monitor central bank actions and announcements, and always exercise caution and risk management when trading forex. ♦️Remember, successful trading requires continuous education, practice, and experience. Stay informed, adapt your strategies accordingly, and remain patient as you navigate the dynamic and exciting world of forex trading. 😸Thank you for reading buddy, hope you learned something new today😸 Do you like this post? Do you want more articles like that?
Education
by ProSignalsFx
9
Educational: Quick Read: Trading Mentors. Do you need them?When I first started trading seven years ago, I had this idea that I didn't need a trading mentor. I felt that it was "cool" to be able to say "I learned trading on my own; I had no mentors", but is this necessarily a good thing? Should traders think like this? Are trading mentors any good? Let's talk about it.. Trading mentors are seasoned traders who provide new or struggling traders with advice, encouragement, and feedback. They can aid traders in honing their abilities, methods, and mindsets as well as avoiding traps and errors that are frequently made. Do traders need a mentor, though? And where do they look for a good one? The first question's response is based on the trader's objectives, character, and preferred method of learning. Some traders could like independent study, trial-and-error learning, books, classes, or online resources. Having a mentor who can offer individualized guidance, accountability, and motivation may be advantageous for others. Additionally, a mentor can assist traders in overcoming psychological obstacles like fear, greed, arrogance, or a lack of discipline. Having a mentor, however, does not ensure success. Trading needs ongoing learning, adaptability, and self-improvement because it is a dynamic and complex activity. The trader must follow the path; a mentor can only show them the way. Additionally, a mentor may have limits, biases, or conflicts of interest that could skew their assessment or suggestions. Because of this, traders should seek inspiration and criticism from their mentors rather than mindlessly copying them. How to locate a decent mentor is the second query. This can be difficult because there are many mentors out there who assert to know the keys to successful trading but may lack the credentials, expertise, or outcomes to support their claims. Some can even be con artists who demand exorbitant prices for inaccurate or damaging information. Trading professionals should exercise due diligence and investigate potential mentors' backgrounds, records, reputations, and testimonies to avoid falling for such mentors. They should seek for mentors who share their trading philosophy, style, and objectives and who can provide a concise, doable roadmap for their development. Traders who desire to quicken their learning curve and accomplish their trading objectives may find trading mentors to be an invaluable resource. However, traders should use caution when selecting a mentor and should not use them to replace their own diligence, investigation, and analysis. Note: 💠Do not mistake people selling trading courses for trading mentors. Very often, individuals selling courses are selling you a system and are not actually mentoring anyone. Due to the size of their following, it is not possible for them to really mentor anyone. A true mentor is someone who will be able to walk you through the process, and you'll have direct access to them for a personalized learning experience. 💠Verified track record: It is industry standard to provide at least six months of consistency, preferably at least a year. If you are going to spend months learning from someone, you need to first verify that they actually know what they are doing.
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by ChristopherDownie