CADJPY Daily Pitchfork ShortFOREXCOM:CADJPY
I marked the pitchfork from the pivots on the weekly chart from June, September, and October.
Confirmed with the Daily RSI and the Daily chart.
It's very slight but there appears to be a bearish divergence on the RSI.
I've only started dabbling in RSI divergences so I wouldn't consider this a confirmation, but it's worth noting.
After looking at the 30M chart I am confident entering a short position.
The Daily RSI is not what I like to see so my stop loss will be tight, probably only risk 0.5-1% with the TP at the median line.
Learningtrading
AUDCAD ShortWatching for a confirmation on the H4 and H1 for a good entry.
After a few losses I started to solidify my system and the confirmations I'm looking for.
-Set the pitchfork on the Daily chart and Weekly RSI
-Does the trade coincide with the higher time frame trend? (If no then no trade)
-Is the trade returning to the median line (If no then no trade)
-Will the trade encounter a significant S/R in the direction of the trade? (If yes then no trade)
While I continue to research the use of Median Lines, I have begun looking into Fib retracements to find the best entry points.
USDCAD UpdateThis pitchfork is looking cleaner than it did last night. I think it will bounce off of resistance at 1.26733 and move to the bottom of the pitchfork. If the indicators, MACD and RSI line up I will take a long position back to the centerline. I'm going to keep looking at historical levels and might update this later. Watching a few other charts at the same time but none of them look mature enough to speculate.
USDJPY Broken PitchforkI may have just drawn the pitchfork incorrectly, but if not I'd say this is a clear example of a broken pitchfork. It failed the retrace to the centerline and on the retrace it blew through the upper bound. I'm not going to trade this. If it re-enters the pitchfork in a day or two I'll reevaluate.
GBPJPY Bullish PitchforkI've seen bullish and bearish calls for GBPJPY for the next week. I'm just going to watch my pitchfork. There are multiple confirmations on the lower bound but the MACD and RSI are not favorable on the 4H or D charts. I prefer a MACD flip and RSI oversold before entering a long. I will monitor GBPJPY to see if it maintains this pitchfork and if the indicators look favorable I would enter a long.
USDCAD WatchPut a pitchfork on USDCAD. It started retracing back up at the 0.5 deviation so it's not the strongest pitchfork right now. I would prefer to see at least two more confirmations on the upper bound before taking a short. I placed an alert above the centerline and will be watching USDCAD for the next week.
The 12 Tasks Of Trading12 tasks of trading which include:
1. Self-analysis to determine if you are in a state of mind to trade
Prior to starting your trading day, it is very important to make sure you are in the correct state of mind to trade. You need to analyse yourself and make sure you are at the best state of mind to avoid mistakes in the markets. You cannot finish fighting with a friend, spouse, or colleague and expect to make great analytical decisions. Therefore, the first and most important step, is always making sure your mind is clear and at its best.
2. Mental rehearsal to avoid mistakes
The second step includes you rehearsing your set of rules and making sure you are going to strictly stick by them. This will allow you to avoid many mistakes in the markets and in your day.
3. Daily focus to lead you towards your goal
It is very important to have goals, but specifically daily goals. You need to determine what your goals are for the day including the pairs you are looking at, the times you will be trading, your risk management, and what you aim at gaining from the markets that day. Once goals are met, it is important to step back and wait until the next day to trade.
4. Developing your own style of a low risk idea.
For students of Opes Trading Group, low risk ideas and strategies are all taught to them during the course. It is important for every trader to develop their own ideas and strategies that are low risk in order to always protect their capital. Capital preservation is the most important rule of forex trading.
5. Stalking the charts starting from high to low time frames
Looking at the charts from the higher to the lower time frames allows you to be able to see the bigger picture before looking right in. if you started looking from the lower time frames, you could have a wrong picture painted for you as to where the price could be heading. You cannot see the bigger picture if you are standing too close to something, it is the same concept on the charts.
6. Action requiring commitment and not thought
Once a trade and an idea has been analized, it is important not to second guess yourself and take the trade. Do not second guess yourself if you believe in yourself and your trades.
7. Monitoring the trade to keep the risk low
Always keep your eyes on your trades. Now that doesn’t necessarily mean you need to be glued to your charts, but check them every once in a while, and at important candle closure to make sure they are still playing out the way you expect them to.
8. Aborting is the trade is not going well
If a trade does not go as planned (and the reality is some won’t), it is important to cut your losses if the trade is clearly not going to recover. There is no reason to hold on to a losing trade if there is no reason for it to recover.
9. Taking profits when the reason for the trade has ended
A take profit is placed for a reason, however sometimes the reasons end before the take profit has been reached, meaning it is very important to close the trade even if it means closing it early. Never become attached to a trade that you chase the take profit only to find yourself back at 0 or even in negative.
10. A daily review to monitor and prevent future mistakes
At the end of every day, all the trades taken should be reviewed. This will allow you to see what you are doing right, and what you are doing wrong. This will give you a good indication for what is needed for future trades.
11. Being grateful for what went well
Something so many people pay no attention to and ignore is gratefulness. Any positive day in the markets, is a great day! Be grateful for all that goes right, no matter how small the profits might be, because 90% of traders lost that day.
12. A periodic review to make sure everything is still working well
Every quarter it is recommended that you review your whole trading system. As the markets change, we need to be able to change and adapt with them, therefore a periodic review will allow you to know if things that are working still are or aren’t.
NZDUSD Pitchfork UpdatedI initially thought my pitchfork had been invalidated but after staring at the chart I decided to add the 2nd deviation band to the pitchfork and found that it's still following my bearish prediction. I moved my SL down but was too conservative and got stopped out in the night. I re-entered this morning. Unfortunately I was a bit hasty and didn't have the best entry.
NZDUSDNZDUSD is lower than it's been since November. I entered a short position at 0.67177 and moved the stop loss down from it's original position. The next major level I marked on the zoomed out chart is at 0.65399. While it follows this pitchfork I'm watching for any opportunities to scale into a larger position.
EURUSD Support and ResistanceI zoomed way out and found the significant support and resistance lines EURUSD has respected over several years. Based on those S/R's I can see EURUSD either breaking up from here and testing the Weekly horizontal or continuing lower, testing the diagonal until retesting the lower zone.