LINKUSDT – Pullback Opportunity Before Next Leg Up?Chainlink (LINK) has rallied strongly but is now testing resistance, where price action could stall short-term. We're watching for a healthy pullback to reload for the next bullish wave.
🔹 Entry Zone: $12.50 – $13.50
🔹 Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: $15.50 – $16.50
• TP2: $19.00 – $21.00
• TP3: $25.00 – $28.00
🔹 Stop Loss: $11.90
Key Idea: A rejection at current resistance could offer a better long entry. If price dips into the $12.50–$13.50 zone and shows strength, it may kick off the next upward move.
📌 Watching for bullish confirmation in that range. Chart structure still favors upside as long as $11.90 holds.
LINK
LINKUSDT UPDATE#LINK
UPDATE
LINK Technical Setup
Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern
Current Price: $14.49
Target Price: $17.44
Target % Gain: 131.85%
Technical Analysis: LINK is breaking out of a falling wedge pattern on the 1D chart, signaling a bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend. Price has compressed within the wedge structure and is now pushing above the descending resistance trendline, indicating increasing buying pressure. The breakout structure suggests a potential continuation move toward the projected target zone, provided price maintains strength above the breakout area and holds key support levels.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
LINK Showing Strength at Long-Term Support ZoneBIST:LINK is bouncing cleanly from its long-term weekly trendline support, keeping the bullish structure intact.
Price is still moving inside a large wedge, and if this rebound continues, a retest of the upper resistance line is likely.
A breakout above that level could open the door for a stronger move.
DYOR, NFA
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ChainLink LINK price analysis#LINK is literally standing on the edge…
Right now the price is hanging by a thread:
⚠️ a daily close below $11.50 is highly undesirable — this could open the door to a much deeper drop.
🕒 On the 3D timeframe, the OKX:LINKUSDT chart looks extremely intriguing.
Where do you see #LINK six months from now?
➡️ A push toward $53
or
⬅️ A slide into the $5.50–7.00 zone?
📊 Current #Chainlink market cap: $8B.
Hypothetically, in six months it could be either:
🔻 $4–5B, if the market keeps pressing lower
or
🔺 $37B, if the trend flips and demand flows back in.
❓ What scenario are you leaning toward? A long-term rebound or a deeper liquidity sweep first?
______________
◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates!
🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves
🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
LINK - PRICE ANALYSIS CRYPTOCAP:LINK - price analysis:
I checked all TF: the current price is stuck between the 14.30 & 12.60$ on the daily basis.
Momentum remain bearish HTF but the short term price action & strutcture looks better.
Long term channel still valid & the price is likely consolidating on the main uptrend again. 📈
Weekly level to be maintained: 12.30$
No real price direction on the higher time frame as there are still many big resistances ahead.
#LINK/USDT LONG SIGNAL#LINK
The price is moving within an ascending channel on the 1-hour timeframe and is adhering to it well. It is poised to break out strongly and retest the channel.
We have a downtrend line on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the upward move.
There is a key support zone in green at 12.27, representing a strong support point.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100-period moving average.
Entry price: 12.48
First target: 12.73
Second target: 13.10
Third target: 13.48
Don't forget a simple money management rule:
Place your stop-loss order below the green support zone.
Once the first target is reached, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
LINKUSDT UPDATE#LINK
UPDATE
LINK Technical Setup
Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern
Current Price: $13.15
Target Price: $19.50
Target % Gain: 50.40%
Technical Analysis: LINK is breaking out of a falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, signaling a potential bullish reversal. Price has pushed above the descending resistance trendline and is holding above the breakout zone, indicating improving bullish structure. If momentum continues, price is likely to expand toward the upper resistance and measured move target zone shown on the chart.
Time Frame: 4H
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
Will LINK recover after the information about the ETF?📌 1. Main trend
• A clear downward trend, confirmed by a strong, long-term downward trend line (black).
• The price is testing this line from below for the first time in a long time → a key moment.
If the price breaks it and retests, the trend structure changes.
⸻
📌 2. Current situation
Price currently: ~13.02 USDT
Upcoming levels:
Support
• 12.71 – local support (yellow line).
• 11.75 – strong support, here a demand reaction appeared.
• 9.95 – the greatest support on the chart (red line).
Resistances
• 1:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. – trend line test; key resistance.
• 15.25 – the first significant resistance in the upward trend.
• 17.78
• 19.77
• 21.70
⸻
📌 3. Stoch RSI (at the bottom of the chart)
• The oscillator is high, approaching the overheating zone (80+).
• This signals a possible short-term correction, unless the downtrend breaks out - then it may stay high for a long time.
⸻
📌 4. Key setup
🔵 Bullish (upward scenario)
Confirmation of growth appears only if:
✔ The price will break the black downtrend line
✔ Will close the 12H candle above approximately 1:50 p.m
✔ Will retest and bounce up
Targets after breakout:
1. 15.25
2. 17.78
3. 19.77 - only here it will encounter stronger resistance
⸻
🔴 Bearish (downside scenario)
If the price does not break the trendline and is rejected ↓:
❗ Downside targets:
• 12.71 (local support – first test)
• If it breaks → 11.75
• And in case of market panic → 9.95
The latter is a powerful level - the level of accumulation from earlier months.
⸻
📌 5. What looks best?
Currently:
• The market rebounded from the support at 11.75 – healthy demand response.
• However, the price is below a strong trendline, so this is a place where it may be rejected.
➡ If I were to indicate the most likely short move:
Light correction → retest 12.71 → decision.
⸻
📌 6. Summary
• A key moment for LINK - it decides to break the downward trend.
• Only a close above 1:50 p.m. gives a real upward signal.
• Failure to break the trendline = possible return to 12.71 → 11.75.
Everyone Gave Up on ETH – Perfect, Disbelief Phase ActivatedThe sentiment in crypto right now is as bad as—if not worse than—during the COVID crash or the FTX collapse. Anyone who was around back then remembers the “this is the end of crypto” vibes. It always feels apocalyptic in these moments, and this time is no exception.
Yet the fear index is hitting lows we haven’t seen since COVID… while Bitcoin is sitting between 80k and 100k. That combination is almost comical. History shows that when despair peaks like this, what feels like the end is usually just the beginning.
The chart above is a bar-pattern fractal on ETH I’ve been tracking privately for nearly a year. The moment I finally published it, price deviated hard—classic lol
Zooming in, here’s my current road map assuming we’re headed into a proper bull market in 2026:
- We just finished Wave 2
- Wave 3 (the longest and strongest) is starting now
→ Top around May 2026 at ~$11,000
→ Wave 4 retraces ~50% of Wave 3, retesting the previous ATH zone
→ Wave 5 takes us to $18,000–$25,000 sometime in Q4 2026 or early 2027
Invalidation level?
In the last two cycles, the real bear market began when price repeatedly rejected and failed to reclaim the 0.5 Fibonacci level. A clean break and hold above that zone has always kept the bull alive.
I’ve also been watching the Russell 2000 as a macro confirmation .
No breakout yet, but notice the deep pullbacks it always has right before the eventual clean break higher. We’re following the exact same script.
Conclusion
Technicals are still noisy and not fully confirmatory, but sentiment is screaming. Capitulation is extreme—90%+ of people have thrown in the towel. My inbox and comment sections are filled with “you’re insane” and “what are you smoking” messages. That level of universal bearishness, combined with the price action we’re seeing, is one of the strongest contrarian buy signals you can get.
When everyone is this convinced it’s over, going against the herd is usually the right play.
CHAINLINK is turning around for a massive rally!🔗 CRYPTOCAP:LINK – Elliott Wave Breakdown (4H Chart)
Current structure still fits a W–X–Y corrective decline, but we’re now approaching a critical trigger level. A clean punch through the blue trendline = buy signal. 🎯
🟦 What the structure shows:
🔻 Wave W complete:
• Clear a–b–c zigzag
• Strong reaction into the X connector
🔷 Wave X at the mid-channel zone:
• Acts as the next major upside target if we break out
• Provides structural symmetry between W and Y
🔻 Wave Y in progress:
• Again forming a–b–c
• C-leg looks terminal, aligning with channel support
📉 Price is compressing under the descending blue trendline (b-wave resistance of Y)
🚀 Trade trigger:
A decisive breakout above the blue trendline = start of the next impulsive leg
Upside target: the region around the prior X high
That zone is both:
• 🔹 Structural retracement
• 🔹 Upper channel magnet
• 🔹 Ideal first take-profit region
📌 Summary:
Break the blue line ➜ bullish confirmation ➜ target = X-level.
Still corrective, but the next impulse is close. ⚡
LINK TECHNICAL ANALYSIS — 1D📊
1. MARKET STRUCTURE
Long-term trend
The price is currently approaching this line, but has not yet tested it directly.
This is a key support level for the entire LINK market.
2. SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONE
Demand Zone — $9.6 – $4.8
The large red area. This is
a historical accumulation zone,
an area where LINK has been repeatedly defended,
an area to which the price has returned with each major dump.
Supply Zone — $15 – $20
The green area from which:
the price has been rejected repeatedly,
this is the selling wall from 2021,
a key target for bulls after the rebound.
3. CRITICAL LEVELS
Very important support
Type Level Description
Trendline ~11.5–12.2 USD We are very close to a test.
Horizontal 9.63 USD First major historical support.
Horizontal 4.84 USD Final low (strongest demand).
If the trendline breaks, the → ** LINK will almost certainly fall to 9.63**, and if that breaks too, → 4.8 USD is very likely.
4. MOMENTUM – STOCH RSI
On the Stoch RSI chart:
is extremely oversold,
similar to previous lows (2023, 2024),
signaling the possibility of a rebound within a few days/weeks.
5. PRICE SCENARIOS
🟢 BULLISH (bounce)
Condition: Maintaining the trendline
Expected movements:
Bounce around 11.5–12.5
Target 1: USD 15
Target 2: USD 18–20
Possible breakout → USD 22–24
This scenario is realistic if Bitcoin doesn't make another strong dump.
🔴 BEARISH (falling)
Condition: Breakout of the trendline with a daily candle below ~11.5
Expected movements:
A quick drop to USD 9.63
This could result in:
a bounce to ~12
or a continuation of the decline
If 9.63 falls → a practically certain target of USD 4.8
This level represents a significant historical accumulation and will not fall without a fight.
➤ Price is currently hanging by a thread.
The trendline is one of the most important support levels on the LINK chart.
Momentum is oversold → signal for a short squeeze/bounce.
But the local structure remains bearish.
➤ If the trendline holds → a thick long swing.
➤ If it collapses → we fall to 9.63 and possibly 4.8.
CHAINLINK - LOADING A SUPER SWEEP UP! - Traders,
In my last $CHAINLINK analysis
I wrote out two scenario’s.
Scenario 1 did not play out. Scenario 2 was simple: a dump into the next 1.618 extension, and from there the hunt for a fresh long setup begins. That 1.618 was at 12.90$
And here we are.
Pixel perfect.
So are we wrong? This is why having your levels outlined and being patient matters more than anything. When one path closes, structure reveals another. The chart always speaks.
But only those who wait can hear it.
What we are looking at
$CHAINLINK dumped straight into the 12 to 13 dollar zone.
This zone is not random. It is technically one of the most important pockets on the chart.
Let’s break down why.
Mathematical Levels – The Spot Chart
To avoid distortion caused by the 10 October liquidation wick, we start with clean mathematical levels on the spot chart.
At 12.886 we have the high timeframe 0.886 Fibonacci retracement. This is the deep retrace zone where momentum often shifts. Price tends to exhaust here because 0.886 represents the final Fibonacci rotation before structural invalidation. It is where the last sellers usually throw in everything they have.
At the same time, this level lines up with the 1.618 extension of the first structure after the 10 October crash. The initial high to low is marked with a yellow arrow in your chart.
This means one thing:
The downside auction has mathematically completed.
Both the retracement leg and the extension leg have landed in the same pocket.
This is real confluence.
The HTF AVWAP Confluence
Chart:
On 06 August 2024, LINK printed a new significant low.
This low kicked off a bullish wave with strong volume behind it.
That wave marked the beginning of a long uptrend, which means the AVWAP anchored to this low carries real weight.
Now here is the fascinating part:
The lower band of the anchored AVWAP aligns perfectly with:
The HTF 0.886 retracement
The 1.618 extension
The current price zone
The mathematical exhaustion pocket
This is not normal.
This is precision level confluence.
What this means
When AVWAP, Fibonacci, and wave extensions align, it signals that institutional cost basis, market memory, and auction math are all pointing to the same zone as fair value.
This is where smart money steps in.
Falling Wedge – The Technical Cherry
The final ingredient:
LINK has printed a clean, textbook falling wedge.
A falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern where momentum compresses and the final sellers run out of strength. It represents exhaustion, not continuation.
Combine that with AVWAP, Fibonacci, and mathematical symmetry, and you have a powerful structural reversal setup.
Order Flow Confirmation
The order flow confirm the technical story:
Spot CVD has been trending down, but price is no longer following with the same intensity.
Stablecoin and coin margined CVDs are still pushing lower, but again, price is resisting the pressure.
Open Interest increased into the lows. New shorts opened into exhaustion.
Funding remains small and neutral.
Price is holding the key zone.
This is absorption. When shorts push and price refuses to break, the market is loading a spring.
Conclusion
The 12 to 13 dollar range is not random noise.
It is a high timeframe confluence zone made of:
The 0.886 Fibonacci retracement
The 1.618 extension completion
The lower AVWAP band from the August trend origin
A falling wedge structure
Order flow absorption
New shorts entering into weakness
LINK is setting up for a powerful sweep if this zone holds.
Targets.
$19.30
$20.50
$38.00 if we move higher.
Breaking out of the wedge pattern invalidates the idea.
--------
The chart is whispering again. Patience turns whispers into signals.
--------
If you like this kind of analysis, drop a like and leave a comment. Everything here is shared for free so more people can cut through the noise and finally see what is actually happening under the surface. No hopium. No fear. Just real data, real structure, and real order flow.
The goal is simple. To help traders stop guessing and start understanding what the market is actually saying.
Stay sharp.
Stay objective.
And remember… the chart whispers long before it speaks.
- ThetaNomad
LINKUSDT: Long Setup on Major Support Retest - Targeting $21!Chainlink (LINK) is entering a critical support zone between $13.00 and $14.00, a level that has previously acted as a strong base for bullish reversals. Price action is showing signs of slowing down its downtrend, and we're now closely watching for stabilization or reversal signals before entering a spot long position.
📌 Entry Zone: $13.00 – $14.00
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: $15.50 – $16.50
• TP2: $19.00 – $21.00
🛑 Stop Loss: $12.50
LINK/USDT - Ready to Explode? Uptrend Structure Tested?Chainlink (LINK) is now positioned at the most crucial zone in its mid-term technical structure — the 16.6–15.5 USDT area is not just a simple support, but a confluence zone between horizontal support and an ascending trendline that has been holding since April 2025.
Currently, price is reacting positively within this area, indicating that market participants are still defending the broader uptrend structure. However, if this zone fails to hold, the structure may collapse — paving the way for a deeper correction.
---
Pattern & Market Structure
Ascending Trendline Support: formed since April and still holding selling pressure.
Yellow Demand Zone (16.6–15.5): a strong accumulation area, tested multiple times this year.
Range-to-Trend Formation: price attempting to break out from sideways range into trend continuation.
Layered Resistances Above: 18.5 → 20.0 → 23.4 → 25.2 → 26.7 → 29.3 acting as step-by-step upside targets if the trend continues.
---
Bullish Scenario — Potential Reversal from a Strong Base
If price manages to hold and bounce strongly from the 16.6–15.5 zone, it opens the door for forming a new higher low that could become the foundation for the next rally.
Bullish confirmation: Daily close above 16.6 with reversal candle (hammer/bullish engulfing) and increasing volume.
Step-by-step upside targets:
18.5 → first psychological resistance.
20.0 → prior supply reaction area.
23.4–25.2 → potential breakout continuation zone.
Extended target: If momentum sustains, the ultimate target sits around 29.3–30.9, the yearly high.
Strategy:
Gradual buy within support zone with disciplined stop loss below 15.0. Additional confirmation entry if daily close >18.5.
---
Bearish Scenario — Breakdown as the Start of a Deeper Correction
However, if price breaks below 15.5 with strong volume, the bullish structure will be invalidated.
Bearish confirmation: Daily close below both trendline and 15.5.
Downside targets:
13.0 → previous horizontal support from May.
10.8 → macro base from 2024.
Additional signals: RSI breakdown, or failed retest below 16.6 after the break.
Strategy:
Wait for a failed retest around 15.5–16.0 for a short/hedge setup targeting 13.0.
---
Technical Perspective
The market is currently in a strategic neutral zone — between a potential major reversal and a confirmed breakdown. This is a decision phase, where volume and daily candle patterns will dictate the next dominant direction.
From a mid-term perspective, holding the ascending trendline means maintaining the macro uptrend structure, which could drive LINK back toward the 25–30 USD region. Conversely, losing this support may shift the structure into a new downtrend toward the long-term accumulation area below 13 USD.
---
Final Note
The 16.6–15.5 zone is more than just a number — it’s the psychological boundary between conviction and doubt.
Short-term traders look for a bounce, while long-term investors await directional confirmation.
Watch the daily close, volume, and trendline reaction closely. This is where the market decides: rebound toward 20+ or fall back to 13.
---
#Chainlink #LINKUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #Trendline #CryptoSetup #PriceAction #CryptoMarket
LINK is Waking Up—But Is This a Bull Trap or the Real Deal?Yello, Paradisers! Did you catch the breakout on LINKUSDT? It looks good at first glance, but there’s a critical detail that could make or break this move—don’t skip this analysis if you’re thinking about jumping in.
💎LINKUSDT has just broken out of a well-defined descending channel, a structure that often marks the end of a downtrend phase. What adds weight to this breakout is the presence of bullish divergence on both the MACD histogram and the Stochastic RSI, two reliable momentum indicators. This confluence significantly increases the probability of a bullish continuation, but that doesn’t mean it’s time to enter blindly.
💎For a higher-probability trade setup, what we want to see next is a small pullback. Ideally, the price should return to the breakout zone, allowing former resistance to flip into solid support. If this area holds, that’s where the opportunity lies—targeting the next major liquidity zones and resistance levels above.
💎However, caution remains essential here. If price breaks back down and closes a candle below the invalidation level, it would invalidate the bullish setup entirely. In that case, it’s far better to remain on the sidelines and wait for a cleaner structure to form, rather than forcing a position during uncertain conditions.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. This market rewards patience, discipline, and tactical execution. The next big opportunity is always around the corner—but only for those who stay focused and follow the strategy without emotional interference. Be a pro.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
CHAINLINK LINK - 1D - 1W TFAfter the end of the bear trend, price started forming a clean ascending channel.
The midline of the channel (dashed zone) marks a phase of uncertainty, often leading to shakeouts or temporary consolidations.
Area between the white dashed and green line can be viewed as a position-building zone, where smart money accumulates before a short-term or long-term upward move (ellipses).
Once the price breaks and confirms above this range, the probability of a move toward the upper boundary of the channel increases significantly.
#LINKUSDT Analysis — Testing Channel Breakout📈 #LINKUSDT Analysis — Testing Channel Breakout
🗓 Published: April 23, 2025
🕰 Timeframe: 1D | 📊 Exchange: Binance
🔍 Technical Overview
Chainlink has been trading inside a falling channel since December 2024, with lower highs and lower lows. Price is now attempting a breakout from the upper trendline, signaling a potential trend shift.
📌 Pattern: Falling Channel
📌 Attempting Breakout at $14.79
📌 Support base held well at ~$12 zone
📈 Break + Retest = Key Confirmation Setup
🟩 Potential Entry Zone
📍 $12.55 – A strong support and re-entry zone if price rejects the first breakout attempt and retests.
🔻 Panic Level (Invalidation Zone)
📉 $9.5 – Breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and may trigger a sharp sell-off.
🎯 Upside Targets (If Breakout Confirmed):
TP1: $15.67 – Local structure resistance
TP2: $18.85 – Range mid-point
TP3: $22.37 – Channel high
TP4: $27.07 – Full recovery zone
TP5: $30.76 – Last breakout top
Ultimate Target: $35.19 (Cycle top)
⚠️ Targets should be scaled into — not all at once
🧠 Strategy Insight
This is a classic breakout-retest setup from a falling channel.
🟢 Ideal strategy: enter small now, add on retest of breakout line (~$13–14 zone).
Use tight stops under $12.14, or wider structure-based stop under $9.42 for position trades.
📊 High reward if trend shift confirms. Patience is key.
🗣 What’s Next?
Watch for volume on breakout, and monitor if BTC remains strong — altcoins like LINK can quickly outperform if the setup holds.
📢 A key decision point. Don’t chase — plan your risk and let price prove the breakout.
Please keep in mind that this is not financial advice and the purpose of these charts is to provide an idea of coin movement, not buy or sell signals. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and not suitable for everyone, so be aware of the potential risks before making any investment decisions. The information presented here is a personal effort and is subject to success or failure, and we welcome constructive criticism.
Good luck to all.
🙏we ask Allah reconcile and repay🙏
LINK LONG — FROM MATH TO MARKET STRUCTURE: An Extensive AnalysisTraders,
In my latest BINANCE:LINKUSDT analysis I started my thesis with " I BELIEVE THE CRYPTO MARKET IS SETTING UP FOR A BIG, BIG, BIG DUMP! NOT JUST LINK! "
It wasn’t coincidence that I wrote those words in caps lock. The market was whispering louder than usual: not in price, but in data. Every metric pulsed in rhythm, like the heartbeat of a system about to release its tension. The numbers weren’t random; they were poetry in motion, quietly syncing toward one inevitable point. Sometimes, data doesn’t just inform — it sings. And when it does, your fingertips start typing before your mind even realizes what the melody means.
Now we’re back — same chart, same logic, but a different side of the market.
I’m going to analyze it the same way I did before — step by step, math-backed, structure-based, and logic-driven.
Only this time, it’s even more extensive.
For free. For nothing. So that you, the people who actually care to learn, can start to see how markets truly work. How they breathe, trap, rotate, rebalance — and how every candle hides intent.
I believe the BINANCE:LINKUSDT dump might be over — for now, at least — and that the market is slowly starting to build upward momentum. This post is not a quick “looks bullish” statement. It’s a structured walkthrough from mathematical foundation to market structure, liquidity, and order flow, showing why the $20–$21 region might become the next key target before a rotation lower.
Let’s go step by step.
Step 1 – Is There a Mathematical Reason to Say the Current Auction Might Be Finished?
By “auction,” I mean the move from a clear swing high to a clear swing low where sellers were in control. Markets move in auctions — from high to low, then pull back, then extend again. To determine whether a sell auction is finished, we measure how far it has retraced and extended.
After the 10 Oct liquidation event, price printed a clean new high — more valid than the liquidation spike. That’s point A (~20.15). From there, it sold off to point B (~15.70).
So our first auction is:
A → B | Direction: Down
Step 2 – Measuring the Retrace
Since the move was downward, I drew a Fibonacci retracement from A to B (high → low). nThat gives us retracement levels above price on TradingView.
Price retraced almost perfectly to the 0.786 level (~19.23) — not shallow (0.382 or 0.5), not extreme (0.886), but deep enough to classify as a “normal” yet decisive retrace.
That means sellers regained control after a 0.786 pullback, a key ratio in the Fibonacci family.
Step 3 – What Does a 0.786 Retrace Usually Lead To?
Here’s where the Fibonacci logic becomes meaningful. The 0.786 level is derived from the square root of the golden ratio inverse: √(1/φ). Its natural mirror on the other side of price is √(φ), or 1.272.
That’s why 0.786 retraces often project toward 1.272 extensions — the two are mathematically linked. Beyond that, the next probable extensions are 1.414 and 1.618.
So, for a 0.786 retrace, the Fibonacci extension ladder is:
Primary: 1.272
Intermediate: 1.414
Extended: 1.618
Step 4 – Did BINANCE:LINKUSDT Reach One of These Fibonacci Targets?
To check that, we reverse the Fibonacci — draw it from B to A (low → high). That prints the extension levels below the swing low.
Price hit the 1.414 extension almost perfectly before structure began shifting:
Lower lows stopped forming
Higher lows began to appear
Small higher highs emerged on lower timeframes
That’s a structural sign the sellers exhausted their leg — a textbook confirmation that the 1.414 zone completed the auction.
Step 5 – Confirming the Auction
The A → B auction retraced to 0.786, extended to 1.414, and then reversed in structure. This matches the Fibonacci expectation for a completed wave.
If the retrace had been 0.886 instead, we’d likely expect continuation to 1.618 — but since it was 0.786, the 1.414 tap followed by reversal fits perfectly.
✅ 0.786 retrace → 1.272 / 1.414 / 1.618 extension
✅ 1.414 tapped → structure reversed
We can reasonably call this auction finished.
Step 6 – Confluence from the Smaller ABC Swing
After the main leg, the market made a small rally and a lower high — point C. Using the Fibonacci Extension tool (A → B → C), we project this smaller swing.
Interestingly, the ABC projection lands exactly on the same 1.414 zone as the larger A → B measurement. That’s two independent Fibonacci constructions converging on the same price.
From a math perspective, this isn’t coincidence — both patterns use the same ratio family.
It’s proportion — the geometry folding back onto itself.
Nature’s Geometry on a Price Chart
This is where Fibonacci goes beyond numbers. The same proportions that define growth patterns in seashells, tree branches, sunflowers, hurricanes, and galaxies are present in the market’s structure.
Two distinct swings produce the same 1.414 target.That’s natural proportion — mathematical harmony showing up in price behaviour.
It’s not random. It’s geometry repeating itself.
Part 2 – The Structural Context: Liquidity and Value
We’ve identified our Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) using Fibonacci confluence. Now let’s look inside the structure and the market’s underlying “memory.”
We’ll answer three questions:
Where does liquidity sit — which levels might the market hunt next?
What is the order flow showing — is there absorption or continuation?
What do the next extensions project mathematically?
1. Liquidity via TPO (Market Profile)
TPO (Time Price Opportunity) shows how much time price spent at each level. Clusters = acceptance and value. Gaps = imbalance and rejection.
Around $19.00, during TPO periods G, H, N, and O, price built acceptance but didn’t explore higher. That created a weak high — a level that often acts as a magnet for future liquidity hunts.
Another, slightly weaker high sits near $20.00, which is still unfinished.
And as James Bond said, “I never leave loose ends.” Neither does the market.
2. Anchored VWAP Confluence
Anchoring VWAP from the major swing high shows the blue AVWAP aligning almost perfectly with that $20.00 region. That gives strong confluence between volume-weighted value, liquidity, and structure.
3. Low Volume Nodes (LVNs) and Imbalance
Using the Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) from A → B reveals clear low-volume zones — “air pockets” where price moved too fast to build volume.
Between $20.00 and $20.50, there’s a notable LVN, meaning price skipped over it during the selloff.Such zones often act as magnets — the market tends to revisit them to rebalance unfinished business.
Now we have three layers of confluence:
Weak high at $19.00–$20.00
Anchored VWAP aligning with $20.00
LVN pocket at $20.00–$20.50
That defines a clear liquidity and target zone.
Structure and Confluence Summary
PRZ established through Fibonacci symmetry
Structure showing higher lows and early accumulation
Confluence cluster between $20.00 and $20.50, combining:
Weak highs
Low-volume node
Anchored VWAP
Market Profile imbalance
The setup aligns across math, volume, and structure.
Part 4 – Order Flow: What Lies Beneath the Candles
From the outside, price action looks calm — clean candles, defined Fibonacci levels, and structure that seems perfectly balanced. But the real story is hidden underneath, inside the Order Flow.
Every candle represents a battle — between aggression and absorption, buyers and sellers, liquidity and imbalance. Understanding who is winning that battle tells us whether a move is genuine strength or a trap waiting to unwind.
Order Flow allows us to look beneath the surface and see where transactions are actually happening — where volume clusters, where buyers are absorbed, and where sellers are defending. It’s the market’s heartbeat.
The Current Picture
Here’s what we see right now on BINANCE:LINKUSDT :
CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) — across both spot and futures (stablecoin- and coin-margined contracts) — is making lower highs, showing persistent sell aggression.
Yet price itself is not breaking down. Instead, it’s holding steady and even forming higher lows.
Meanwhile, the A/D (Accumulation/Distribution) line is rising, indicating that despite heavy selling pressure, buyers continue to absorb and accumulate.
That means one thing:
aggressive sellers are being absorbed by large passive buyers quietly taking the other side.
Recognizing the Setup
Let’s break down the pattern:
CVD ↓ → sustained sell aggression
OI ↑ → new short positions entering the market
Price ↔ or ↑ slightly → absorption and accumulation taking place
When these three align:
It often signals a short trap forming.
Sellers feel in control because CVD shows selling dominance.
In reality, their aggression is being absorbed by larger passive buyers.
Once that liquidity runs out and buyers stop absorbing, shorts are trapped.
Those trapped shorts must cover — triggering a fast, aggressive short squeeze upward.
Also: CVD on Stablecoin Margined Contracts remains flat while Stablecoin Margined Open Interest rises — showing aggressive shorting being absorbed by larger buyers. Price stability suggests accumulation, not weakness. Since OI stays high, those shorts are still in the game, meaning their positions haven’t been closed yet. If price starts to move up, they’ll be forced to cover — setting up the conditions for a short squeeze.
Absorption in Context
Absorption isn’t random — it’s the footprint of strong hands quietly taking in sell pressure without letting price break down. While most see weakness, they’re actually witnessing controlled accumulation.
Here, price holds steady as CVD trends flat and OI stays high — meaning aggressive shorts are still in the game, being absorbed by larger buyers. Every new short adds fuel to the spring.
When that pressure releases, it doesn’t drift — it snaps. Shorts are forced to cover, triggering a sharp, emotional squeeze toward the next liquidity zone around $20–$20.50, where Fibonacci confluence and a weak high align.
This is where microstructure meets the macro picture — absorption building the base for a violent move higher.
Part 5 – Fibonacci Extension Confirmation
To justify the $20–$21 target mathematically, we apply one more Fibonacci extension —
from the last swing low to the recent high, projected forward.
The 1.618 extension aligns almost perfectly around $20.00, adding strong mathematical confluence to our previously defined liquidity and structure zone.
That makes $20.00–$20.50 a textbook target cluster — a Fibonacci, liquidity, and volume alignment.
Final Outlook – The Path Ahead
Based on all the combined data:
Fibonacci structure shows completion and new expansion potential
Market Profile and VWAP reveal unfinished business around $20–$20.50
Order Flow confirms absorption and hidden accumulation
The 1.618 Fibonacci projection reinforces this level as a natural mathematical destination
I believe the market will squeeze upward toward $20–$21, taking out the weak high and the LVN pocket — and once that liquidity is collected, rotate back down to restore balance.
The setup is mathematically justified, structurally valid, and order-flow supported — a complete picture of how Fibonacci geometry, structure, and liquidity align to reveal where the next phase of this auction may unfold.
If price slips lower instead, the key level to watch is $12.90 — the latest 1.618 extension from the initial wave we measured earlier. That remains the deep liquidity and structural boundary where balance could be restored.
Last words.
Everything we have mapped — Fibonacci structure, confluence, liquidity, and absorption — means nothing without the psychology behind it. The market is not just math and candles; it is a mirror of collective emotion. Every trapped short, every breakout chase, every hesitation is human behaviour written in numbers.
When confidence is at its peak, risk is usually greatest.
When fear dominates, opportunity hides in plain sight.
That is why sentiment often reaches its extreme just before reversals. Most traders only see what is already visible, not what is quietly building beneath the surface.
So next time you scroll through social media or read the news about what everyone expects, remind yourself of this:
When everyone sees the same breakout, the trade was over hours ago.
And the markets whisper long before they speak.
From the depths of the sands,
ThetaNomad
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If you enjoy this kind of analysis, leave a like and drop a comment. I don’t ask for anything — I just want to help more people learn to look behind the charts, to see the story that price and volume quietly write together.
LINK - Approaching Breakout From Descending TrendlineChainlink (LINK/USDT) is currently trading near a key support zone around $15.00–$15.20, where price has shown multiple bounces. The chart also shows a descending trendline acting as resistance. Price is beginning to push up from support and is approaching this trendline again.
A breakout above the descending trendline could signal a shift in momentum, potentially leading to a bullish move toward the next resistance levels around $15.60 and then the projected target zone near $16.20–$16.40.
Overall, the chart suggests a possible trend reversal scenario, but confirmation would come from a clean breakout and retest of the descending trendline.






















