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LONG

BTC Hits a Wall: Is a $90k Liquidity Grab Next?COINBASE:BTCUSD is currently testing the upper limits of its recent relief rally, which saw a ~17% recovery from its late-2025 local bottom of $80,600. After a strong five-day streak of gains to start January 2026, momentum is showing signs of exhaustion as price encounters a dense supply wall in the $93,600 – $94,500 range. The market structure on the H1 timeframe reveals a series of failed attempts to break the local high, suggesting a transition from an impulsive phase to a distribution or corrective phase. The technical alignment remains precarious. While the broader sentiment has improved due to slowing ETF outflows and new institutional positioning for the year, the short-term price action is struggling to maintain its footing above the psychological $93,000 level. The price is currently hovering near the EMA 50, which is the immediate dynamic support. A failure here would likely confirm the bearish projection indicated by the current rejection from resistance. Key Levels Resistance: 93,696 – 94,563 (Local High & Supply Zone) Support: 90,690 – 90,979 (Major Support Zone) Mid-Level Pivot: ~92,222 EMA 50 Support: ~92,737 Trading Scenarios ➡️ Primary: Rejection at the $93,339 resistance level → downward move to test the $92,222 pivot → eventual deeper correction into the $90,690 – $90,979 Support Zone to gather fresh liquidity. ⚠️ Risk: A decisive breakout and acceptance above $94,563 would invalidate the corrective outlook, potentially triggering a "short squeeze" toward the $97,000 – $100,000 targets.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Gold_Dominator
Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Falls on Japan PMI Price Pressure- The US fueled geopolitical tensions over the weekend, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, influencing demand for safe-haven assets, and USD/JPY trends. - Traders had the opportunity to react to the weekend events on Monday, January 5. US control of Venezuela is likely to have ramifications on supply-demand dynamics for crude oil and Bitcoin (BTC). The news sent USD/JPY higher in early trading. - While market reaction to President Maduro’s capture was key, finalized manufacturing sector -PMI data supported a tighter monetary policy environment, affirming the bearish medium-term outlook for USD/JPY. - Below, I’ll discuss the macro backdrop, the near-term price catalysts, and technical levels traders should closely watch. Technical Outlook: USD/JPY on a Downward Trajectory - For USD/JPY price trends, technicals, and fundamentals will continue to require close monitoring. - Looking at the daily chart, USD/JPY traded above its 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), signaling a bullish bias. While technicals remained bullish, bearish fundamentals are developing, outweighing the technical structure. - A break below the 155 support level and the 50-day EMA would indicate a bearish near-term trend reversal. A sustained fall through the 50-day EMA would expose the 200-day EMA. If breached, 150 would be the next key support level. - Crucially, a sustained fall through the 50-day and 200-day EMAs would reinforce the bearish price outlooks for USD/JPY. US ISM Manufacturing PMI and Fed Speakers in Focus - Later on Monday, US private sector PMI figures are likely to influence demand for the US dollar and the USD/JPY pair. Economists forecast the ISM Manufacturing PMI to increase from 48.2 in November to 48.3 in December. - Typically, a less pronounced contraction, rising employment, and higher prices support a less dovish Fed policy stance, which would lift demand for the US dollar. While the sector accounts for around 10% of the US GDP, the underlying PMI data provide insights into the effect of tariffs and the higher interest rate backdrop on prices. - Last week, the less influential S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI revealed that tariffs continued to drive prices higher, suggesting a more hawkish Fed policy stance. However, the ISM Services PMI, due out on January 7, will be key, given that the sector accounts for roughly 80% of US GDP and is the key inflation contributor. - While the PMI data will influence US dollar demand, Fed commentary remains key for USD/JPY trends. Increased calls to cut rates to bolster the labor market would dampen demand for the US dollar, pushing USD/JPY lower. - According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a March Fed rate cut increased from 51.1% on January 2 to 54.0% on January 3. - Looking ahead, expectations of further BoJ rate hikes, a new Fed Chair, potentially favoring lower rates, and a cooling US labor market remain key drivers. These scenarios continue to support a bearish short- to medium-term outlook for USD/JPY. Position and Upside Risk - In my view, expectations of narrower US-Japan rate differentials and threats of yen intervention signal a negative price outlook. However, the BoJ neutral interest rate and incoming US economic data will be key. - A higher neutral interest rate level would indicate multiple BoJ rate hikes and a narrower US-Japan interest rate differential. A narrower rate differential would reverse yen carry trades into US assets, pushing USD/JPY toward 140 over the longer term. However, upside risks to the bearish outlook include: - Dovish BoJ chatter and neutral interest rate in the range of 1% and 1.25%. - Strong US economic indicators. - Hawkish Fed rhetoric. - These scenarios would send USD/JPY higher. However, the ever-present threat of yen interventions is likely to cap the upside at around the 158 level, based on the latest communication. Conclusion: Focus on the BoJ Neutral Rate - In summary, the USD/JPY trends reflect expectations of narrowing rate differentials. Market focus will remain on the BoJ’s neutral rate, economic data, and the Fed’s forward guidance on rate cuts. - A neutral rate in the range of 1.5% to 2.5% would indicate a more aggressive BoJ rate path. Expectations of multiple BoJ rate hikes reaffirm the cautiously bearish short- and bearish medium-term bias for USD/JPY. Additionally, dovish Fed chatter and a potential unwinding of yen carry trades. A yen carry trade unwind would likely send USD/JPY toward 140 over the longer 6-12 month time horizon.
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
At Trendline Resistance — Pullback Before the Next Leg?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is pressing into the descending trendline resistance after a strong impulsive rally. Momentum remains constructive, but price is now at a reaction area, where profit-taking and pullbacks are likely. The broader structure still favors continuation as long as higher lows are maintained. The EMA cluster is rising and aligning with a strong demand zone, supporting a dip-buying framework rather than immediate reversal. Resistance: 93,200 – 93,800 (trendline) Support: 89,200 – 89,800 (strong demand) EMA support: ~90,600 ➡️ Primary: rejection at trendline → pullback into 89.2k–89.8k → higher low → continuation higher. ⚠️ Risk: clean breakout and acceptance above trendline opens extension toward new highs without a deep pullback.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
The Bearish Siege: Will the Descending Wall Hello everyone, On the 4H timeframe, the key focus right now is not the recent minor green candles, but how EURUSD is reacting after its latest rejection from a powerful descending resistance trendline. Structurally, the market remains firmly bearish, capped by a descending resistance line that has consistently produced lower highs throughout the current cycle. The most recent push toward this line stalled precisely at the trendline intersection and the EMA cluster, where sellers aggressively defended the zone. This rejection confirms that the prevailing bearish momentum is still the dominant force and that any upside attempts are being viewed as selling opportunities. Following that rejection, EURUSD is now rotating lower toward the major support zone clearly identified on the chart. This area is technically important: it has previously acted as a base for significant rallies and will be the ultimate test for the current bearish expansion. The move lower reflects a clear lack of buyer conviction at higher levels and a shift back toward the primary downward trend. From a price action perspective, we are seeing a continuation of the bearish structure. The failure to breach the descending resistance fits perfectly within a larger downward expansion. As long as price remains beneath the trendline and the EMA cluster, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, targeting the liquidity resting within the support zone. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic: - A potential secondary retest of the descending trendline to gather more sell-side liquidity. - A technical drop toward the gray Support Zone. - A test of demand within that zone to determine if a larger reversal or a deeper breakdown is next. Only a decisive break and acceptance above the descending trendline would invalidate this bearish outlook and signal a shift in market sentiment. Conversely, a reclaim of the EMAs would be the first sign that the bearish pressure is fading. Until then, EURUSD is undergoing a bearish rebalancing after its latest rejection, and patience around the primary resistance line remains critical. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
Short
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
BTCUSD WARNING: The Ultimate Bull Trap or a One-Way Ticket......Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Market Structure: Bitcoin is currently displaying a textbook bullish trend structure. Following a solid pivot low, the market has transitioned into a series of aggressive impulse moves, characterized by clear Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). The EMA 89 (yellow line) is sloping upward and trending below the price, providing strong dynamic support and confirming that the primary trend remains firmly bullish. Price Action and Continuation: After the most recent impulse leg, BTCUSD has entered a healthy corrective phase. This pullback is occurring on decreasing volatility, forming what looks like a Bull Flag or an ascending continuation pattern. Crucially, the current pullback is holding well above the previous Higher Low (HL), suggesting that this is a "buy the dip" opportunity for smart money rather than a trend reversal. Key Levels: The immediate Demand Zone is located around the 93,150 level, which aligns with the current corrective floor and the EMA 89 support. On the upside, the previous Higher High at 94,750 serves as the immediate resistance target. My Scenario: As long as BTCUSD maintains its structure above the current 93,150 Support Zone, the broader bullish expansion remains the dominant play. I expect a period of accumulation here before an explosive move higher to retest and break the 94,750 peak. However, a decisive close below the EMA 89 would signal a loss of momentum and could open the door for a deeper correction to flush out late longs. Manage your risk!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Decision Point — Bounce or Breakdown?EURUSD is trading at a key decision area after a sustained decline from the upper range. Price is now approaching the mid-range support, with momentum slowing, suggesting the market is preparing for either a reaction bounce or continuation lower. The broader structure remains range-bound, with price capped below the 1.1800–1.1810 resistance zone and buyers historically stepping in near the lower boundary. Resistance: 1.1800 – 1.1810 Support: 1.1700 – 1.1710 Decision zone: 1.1730 – 1.1740 ➡️ Primary: hold above 1.1700 → corrective bounce → rotation back toward 1.1760–1.1780. ⚠️ Risk: clean break below 1.1700 → continuation toward the lower support zone before stabilization.
by Mathew_TraderGold
The Stealthy Ascent: Decoding Bitcoin’s Strategic Pullback....Hello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the recent bearish candles, but how Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting after rejecting from the upper boundary of its ascending channel and pulling back into a well-defined support structure. Structurally, the market remains contained within a remarkably clean ascending channel, with price consistently forming higher highs and higher lows since the start of the year. The most recent push higher stalled precisely at the upper resistance line and the $95,000 psychological level, where sellers stepped in to lock in profits. This rejection confirms that the upper boundary is still a formidable barrier and that a period of cooling off was necessary after the recent impulsive move. Following that rejection, BTC is now rotating lower toward the $92,500–$93,000 support zone, which aligns perfectly with the lower trendline of the channel. This area is technically important: it has served as a consistent reaction base, as seen in the previous sessions highlighted on the chart. The current move lower appears orderly and corrective—a classic "retest" of the support—rather than a signs of an impulsive breakdown or a change in the primary trend. From a price action perspective, there is no confirmed trend reversal at this stage. The decline into the lower boundary fits well with a healthy pullback within the broader bullish structure. As long as price holds above this ascending support, the downside follow-through remains a temporary rebalancing act. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic: - A test or sweep of the $92,800–$93,000 support zone to check for fresh demand. - A technical rebound back toward the mid-range of the channel. - Potential continuation higher toward the $96,000+ level if buyers regain strength at the boundary. Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below the channel's support line would invalidate this bullish pullback scenario and open the door for a deeper correction toward the $90,000 handle. Conversely, a strong bounce here would be the first signal that the bearish pressure was merely transitory and that the market is ready to challenge new highs. Until confirmation appears, Bitcoin is not breaking its trend; it is simply rebalancing after a rejection at the highs, and patience around these key levels remains critical. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
EUR/USD Slides as Venezuela Tensions Fuel Dollar Strength EUR/USD Technical Forecast TICKMILL:EURUSD is trading at $1.1687 on the 4H chart, and after breaking below that rising channel support, it’s now testing the $1.1680-$1.1658 zone. That 200-EMA near $1.1660 is a big deal, because it’s where the next key downside support is – and it’s also where price is looking to head next. Recent candles have been showing some pretty strong bearish bodies, which is a sign that the bulls are losing control after price rejected near $1.1805 resistance. The prior trendline break is also looking at wearing on the near-term bias, and the next support is at $1.1615. The trade idea is to short the rally near $1.1720 and aim for $1.1620, but set a stop loss above $1.1780. Market Overview The dollar has been on a roll for the second day in a row, with the dollar index (DXY) trading around 98.60 during those early European hours. The dollar’s strength is largely due to the renewed safe-haven demand sparked by escalating tensions in Latin America. The US has reportedly launched a major operation in Venezuela and captured President Nicolás Maduro, sending regional instability into high gear. The situation was only made more uncertain when President Trump warned that possible action could be taken in Colombia, and he went after Mexico and Cuba. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Continue Despite the dollar’s strength, the market is still pricing in two or more rate cuts from the Fed by the end of 2026. The Fed did lower rates by a quarter point in December 2025, setting the target range at 3.50%–3.75%, following a total of 75 basis points in cuts during the year. Notes from the FOMC meeting suggest that more rate cuts could be on the way if inflation continues to decline. Adding to the uncertainty is the looming question of who will be the next Fed chair and what kind of policy that person will implement. All of this is keeping investors on high alert. Meanwhile, the dollar remains strong due to the safe haven demand, but traders are closely watching key US data, including inflation figures and Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls, which is expected to come in at 57K – a touch weaker than last month’s 64K. Weaker-than-expected job growth could weigh on the dollar and raise expectations for even more Fed rate cuts.
Short
by RexTraderGOLD
EURJPY My Opinion! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURJPY below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 183.29 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 183.61 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
CHFJPY Set To Grow! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for CHFJPY is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 197.03 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 197.37 My Stop Loss - 196.86 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
SHOCKING ETHUSD Update: The 3,200 Level is a Powder KegHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of ETHUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Market Structure: Ethereum has been in a sustained bullish trend, characterized by aggressive impulse moves followed by shallow consolidations. Price action is consistently making higher highs and higher lows, supported by a steep rising trendline. Price Action and Support: After the most recent vertical expansion, the market has entered a consolidation phase. Price is currently hovering just above a newly established Support Zone around the 3,200 level. This zone is critical as it aligns with the previous breakout structure and is being reinforced by the blue EMA, which is acting as dynamic support. Key Levels: The immediate floor is the Support Zone between 3,200 and 3,210. On the upside, the recent local high serves as the first resistance target, with the psychological level of 3,300 being the broader objective if the trend continues. My Scenario: As long as ETHUSD remains above the 3,200 Support Zone, the bullish bias is firmly intact. I expect a period of sideways accumulation here before another leg higher to test new local highs. However, a decisive break and close below this support would suggest a deeper correction toward the secondary trendline or the red EMA. Manage your risk!
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
BTCUSDT Long: Uptrend Continues Toward 94,500 ResistanceHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (4H) based on the current chart structure. BTCUSDT initially traded within a well-defined descending channel, reflecting sustained bearish pressure during that phase. This move ended with a clear pivot point, followed by a strong breakout from the descending channel, signaling a shift in market control from sellers to buyers. After this breakout, price transitioned into a broad range, where BTC consolidated for an extended period, showing balance between supply and demand with multiple internal reactions. Currently, BTC is approaching a key Supply Zone around the 94,500 level, where previous selling pressure is expected to re-emerge. This area aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel, increasing the likelihood of a reaction. Below current price, the Demand Zone near 86,800 remains a critical support level, marking the prior breakout area and the base of the bullish structure. My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT holds above the Demand Zone and stays within the ascending channel, the bullish bias remains intact. I expect price to test the 94,500 Supply Zone, where a reaction or short-term pullback may occur. A clean breakout and acceptance above supply would signal further upside continuation. However, a strong rejection from supply followed by a breakdown below channel support would suggest a deeper corrective move. For now, structure favors buyers while price remains within the ascending channel. Manage your risk!
Long
by heniitrading
35
Crude to $75 Profit TargetYou all know I'm a 100% Chart driven trader. But of course I also have my fundamental thoughts. Here is my layman’s fundamental thesis: I do not believe that Venezuelan oil will flood global markets, just because they grabed Maduro. On the contrary, the opposite is more likely. Venezuela’s production is dominated by heavy and extra-heavy crude, which is costly to extract and difficult to refine. As a result, an oversupplied market is unlikely from this point of view. But with a U.S. military invasion of Iran could be very likely to drive oil prices higher, potentially sharply so. The effect would stem from supply risk, transportation chokepoints, and market psychology I think. Even if physical supply disruptions were initially limited. My experience is, that short-term crazy price moves are often driven by psychological factors. So, in short: 1. Risk to the Strait of Hormuz (Primary Factor) 2. Potential loss or Threat of Iranian Oil Supply 3. Spillover Risk to Other Producers 4. Speculation and Financial Market Reaction 5. OPEC and Strategic Reserves Probably Very Limited Sure, the magnitude would depend on duration, scope, and whether shipping through Hormuz remains uninterrupted, but upward price pressure would be immediate. Timing is always the most difficult part. That’s why I would look at a trade with a horizon of at least three months, or longer (likely using ITM LEAP options). The chart needs to confirm my thesis. First, I want to see a break of the descending pressure line (red). Next, the CIB line must be broken. Finally, a sign of stabilization above the CIB line would serve as my entry signal. That’s it. My stalker hat is on.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by HowToChart
8
CAD/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG Hello, Friends! We are going long on the CAD/JPY with the target of 113.972 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Gold Bullish Outlook | Dollar Weakness & Geopolitical Risks!Hey Traders, In the coming week, we are closely monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,280 zone. Gold remains in a strong bullish trend and is currently undergoing a healthy corrective pullback, approaching a key trendline confluence and 4,280 support & resistance zone, which could act as a high-probability demand area. From a macro perspective, the recent weakness in the US Dollar continues to support upside momentum in Gold. Additionally, last night’s escalation of US tensions with Venezuela has increased geopolitical uncertainty, further boosting safe-haven demand for Gold, which strengthens the bullish bias. As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
42
Bitcoin Is Not Overextended — This Is a Structured Trend Hello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin remains in a clean, well-respected bullish trend, and the current price action continues to validate trend continuation rather than exhaustion. Market Structure Breakdown The chart shows a clear ascending structure, defined by: Higher highs and higher lows Price consistently respecting the ascending trendline Each pullback forming a rounded corrective base, followed by impulsive expansion Every highlighted orange circle marks a successful reaction at trend resistance, which was later converted into support. This is a textbook example of break → accept → continue, not rejection. Key Technical Observations The impulsive leg from ~91,000 to above 92,800 was followed by tight consolidation, not aggressive selling. Current candles are holding above the prior breakout level (~92,300), confirming acceptance, not a fake move. Pullbacks remain shallow and overlapping, indicating buyers are in control and sellers lack follow-through. Scenario Logic The projected path is structurally sound: Hold above 92,300 → continuation remains valid Minor consolidation / flagging → fuel for expansion Upside continuation toward 93,900, then 94,400+ Importantly, there is no distribution signature: No sharp rejection from highs No aggressive bearish displacement No loss of trendline structure Invalidation Conditions This bullish continuation thesis only weakens if: Price loses 92,300 with acceptance Followed by a breakdown below 91,800, which would indicate a deeper corrective phase Until then, any pullback is structural, not directional. Conclusion Bitcoin is not “too high” — it is doing exactly what a strong trend should do: Break levels Pause briefly Continue higher As long as price remains above the reclaimed supports and respects the rising structure, the path of least resistance remains upward. Trade safe and stay disciplined.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
05/01/26 Weekly OutlookHappy new year everyone! As 2026 begins BTC bulls will be looking to continue last weeks momentum continuing this LTF rally from mid $80,000's towards 2025's yearly open of $93,300. Liquidity in theory should support this continuation move as year end window dressing is over, the Fed have begun to inject cash into the markets again having ended QT. It is also important to note that BTC ETF's had a net inflow of $460m last week which does look positive for the bulls. This week I would be looking very closely at weekly high and any price acceptance above that level. That would mean $100,000 major resistance level is the next step for this rally but it is a huge hurdle to jump, with $108,000 being an even bigger one after that. Should the weekly high fail to hold once again a rangebound SFP play is the logical move, with midpoint ($89,300) and weekly low (86,800) the targets for the bears.
by ProR35
1
XAUUSD Buyers Step In at Key Level - Momentum StabilizesHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Gold is trading within a broader bullish structure after a strong impulsive rally from lower levels. Earlier, price moved inside a consolidation range, signaling accumulation before breaking out to the upside and confirming renewed buyer control. This breakout initiated a sharp bullish leg, forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Following the impulsive move, XAUUSD reached the Seller Zone around the 4,400 Resistance Level, where strong selling pressure appeared. Price dropped aggressively from this area, confirming supply dominance at higher levels. After the drop, gold broke below the resistance, then performed a test and retest of the same zone, which now acts as resistance. This behavior confirms a short-term structural shift while the broader bullish trend remains intact. Currently, price is reacting around the Buyer Zone near 4,310–4,320, which aligns with a key Support Level and a previous breakout area. This zone has already shown a clear reaction, with price turning around and forming a higher low above the rising Trend Line. The recent move into support appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting a pause within the larger bullish structure rather than a full reversal. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising Trend Line, the bullish structure remains valid. A strong reaction from this area could lead to a move back toward the 4,400 Resistance Level (TP1). A confirmed breakout and acceptance above resistance would signal bullish continuation. However, a decisive breakdown below the Buyer Zone would weaken the structure and signal a deeper corrective move. For now, price is at a key decision area, with buyers actively defending support while consolidation continues. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
31