Weak USD, EURUSD Ready to Push HigherIn the short term, the US dollar is lacking strong bullish momentum as markets move into a wait-and-see mode ahead of the Fed , while recent US economic data has failed to trigger fresh USD buying. As a result, USD weakness remains largely technical in nature, indirectly allowing EURUSD to maintain its upward momentum.
From a technical perspective, the market structure is clearly bullish , with higher highs and higher lows firmly in place. The ascending trendline continues to be respected, and each pullback is quickly met with strong buying interest, confirming that c apital is still flowing on the BUY side.
At the moment, the 1.1850 level is acting as a key short-term support. Price consolidating above this zone suggests the market is pausing to build strength rather than distributing. If bullish momentum holds, the next upside target for EURUSD lies around 1.1930, where a higher-timeframe H4 resistance is located.
Combining both fundamental and technical factors, EURUSD shows no clear signs of reversal at this stage. In this environment, the most logical approach remains trading in the direction of the uptrend, looking for buy-on-dip opportunities and avoiding counter-trend SELL positions as long as the bullish structure stays intact.
Longsetup
GBPUSD Swing Trade In ProgressHi Traders!
Three days ago I wrote a mind about swinging GU. As I do my top down analysis, here is my trade plan...
Based off of the weekly, GU looked to me that it is in a retracement phase giving a low at 1.30200 then progressing to the upside. With the 3 small candles printed from Monday Dec. 29th to January 12th, GU has then been in progress to make a new bullish engulfing candle (Closing in 1 day).
Moving down to the daily, within the 3 weekly candles, price seemed to be in another retracement dipping into the 50% zone at 1.33500 from the high of around 1.35700. If the 1.33500 higher low is true, then I am looking for price to continue to fill in the weekly wicks.
Furthermore, as I began to look for my entry moving down to the 2HR TF, price came down to a 2HR CHOCH zone bouncing off 1.34000. With no close below and continuation, this gave me the opportunity to fill my order around 1.34500.
My swing targets are 1.35500, and potentially into 1.36000. Based off of my TP targets, I'm looking for price to continue to fill in weekly wicks. Depending on how price reacts to 1.35500/Resistance and if price can stay above 1.35500 with signs of continuation, then I'd consider holding longer.
However, with everything said, I am still taking into consideration that price is in a failed swing, and anything below 1.34000 would invalidate my swing plan.
Entry: 1.34500
TP 1: 1.35500/1.35600
SL: 1.34000
~1:2 RR
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Gold prices consolidate above 5000.⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its upside to around $5,050 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal gains momentum amid growing concerns about financial and geopolitical uncertainty. The US ADP Employment Change and Consumer Confidence reports will be published later on Tuesday.
Traders rushed to the safe-haven asset as concern spread that US President Donald Trump is upending relations with key allies, from Europe to Canada. Trump on Saturday threatened to slap 100% tariffs on Canadian goods if the country strikes a trade deal with China, raising fears of a renewed trade war.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Safe-haven assets – gold and silver – continue to surge due to global instability, accumulating and sustaining price increases.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 5140 - 5142 SL 5147
TP1: $5125
TP2: $5110
TP3: $5085
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4992 - 4990 SL 4985
TP1: $5008
TP2: $5025
TP3: $5040
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Nat Gas: At The Moon - $6.. Now Next Stop $7?! NYMEX:NG1! NYMEX:NGG2026 Well it's been 4 days since my last post,
In my previous post I put forward a target of $6 for the prompt month NG contract . Now that we've blown through that target with a strong weekend open, the next question is where do we go from these historic Winter 2026 highs?? Many NG bears, would argue everything is already priced in, and there's no more gas left in the tank. However, if you look back a year from now, you'll realize we're finally at the bullish levels that were the BASE CASE for what we thought the supply & demand picture would like for 2026. This means we are finally at the expected value that markets had anticipated, 12 months ago, not that we are OVERVALUED.
Now BEARS are supposed be hibernating during the winter, but for some the recent historic rally has caused them to come out of hibernation. Well... there's a reason bears try to sleep through the winter.... it's because you don't chase penny's... when there's dollars to be made!! Right now you should only be taking tactical & quick shorts. This rally still has room to run, and you don't want to step in front of this Bull Train!!
From my charts & fundamental insights, I believe our next target for a session close will be $6.55 then $6.99, and that the February 2026 contract will expire above $6.
Looking at the charts for the front month, you can clearly see an upward directional channel that's now been established. The 30 minute ichi cloud has been providing upward support for NG. The 30min ichi wave targets are lower than the 1hour ichi cloud, and at first if you're looking at the lower time frame, it might seem that the near term movement is to the downside, below the lower upward channel support line & the next wave targets take us lower.
Howeverrrrrrr, if you look at the 1hour ichi, you can clearly see a support cloud above the upward channels bottom support. The next wave targets on the hourly seem to imply, that we can reach $6.55 to $6.65, and if those targets are smashed through next resistance is at $6.99 at the top of the upward channel.
The one hope for Bears, that may lead to consolidation & accumulation at or below the $6 level, before another move higher past $6.30 : "..analysts said potential reductions in LNG exports and pipeline deliveries to Mexico could help offset some of the tightening.
“Another potential wrinkle is how much LNG exports may decline as a result of Fern,” said Pat Rau, NGI’s senior vice president of research and analysis. “Back during Winter Storm Uri, LNG exports fell as well. That meant the overall supply/demand picture wasn’t just lost supply, there was some curtailed demand to help balance things a bit.””-NGI
Now, taking the above quote into consideration... I know you must be skeptical of a continuation of this breakout, but please refer to my previous post of why this rally had legs to begin with to take out the $6 level. But to reach the $7 level, I'll provide a few more quotes below, of why this historic Winter Freeze will keep the bull train going strong down the tracks.
A few fundamental insights on why the cold weather in the U.S. has been an ignition switch for NG prices for the weekend open, quotes provided from industry news source Natural Gas Intelligence:
“I think this storm has all the elements to make it a major risk on the level of Elliott and Uri,” said NGI’s Dan Spangler, senior director of analytics. “There’s going to be widespread cold in nearly all major producing areas, so there will definitely be a freeze-off impact.”
"Wood Mackenzie said Friday that average U.S. natural gas production month-to-date is down to 109.2 Bcf/d, “reflecting the impact of supply-related outages.” The consultancy’s freeze-off projections for the final two weeks of January jumped 9.5 Bcf on Thursday to 138.8 Bcf. That would be an all-time high if realized, breaking the 118.7 Bcf record set in February 2021 when Uri hit.”
"When Uri struck in mid-February 2021, LNG feed gas flows slowed to a trickle. Deliveries fell 87% to 1.3 Bcf/d from above 10 Bcf/d at the start of the month, Wood Mackenzie data show."
“Prices still took off back then, of course,” Rau said, “but the impact may have been even worse if LNG hadn’t served as a demand destruction vehicle to help counter some of the lost production.”
"Even so, Fern may not stress the Texas power grid to the same degree as Uri, according to RBN Energy LLC analyst John Abeln.
The expected zone of extreme cold during Fern “does not extend as far south across Texas” as it did during Uri, Abeln said, and the storm is forecast to move through the state much more quickly. Temperatures in Dallas are expected to rise above freezing by Tuesday, compared with a much longer stretch below freezing during Uri.
“The sustained deep freeze that exhausted storage and led to equipment failures is likely to be much less severe this time around,” Abeln said.
If deep snow materializes, frigid temperatures linger and production freeze-offs mount, February natural gas “could rally to the $7.500 area” in a highly bullish scenario, Yawger added.
Exceptional storage withdrawals are in the cards as well, with most analysts now looking for a pull far north of 300 Bcf for the last week of the month.
“The chatter around the natural gas space is a storage draw of over 350 Bcf or greater,” Yawger said. “There have only ever been four draws of 300 Bcf or greater in the history” of federal storage data.
BTC: Price Update and Likely Next MoveBitcoin managed to break above the 94K resistance level.
That breakout attracted a lot of new long positions, as traders expected a quick move toward higher prices.
Instead of continuing up, price dropped back below 94K.
This move back inside the range likely triggered many stop losses on those fresh longs, turning the breakout into a fake move above resistance.
What This Tells Us About the Market
This behavior suggests the market is not in a clean, one‑directional trend.
Instead, it is hunting liquidity at the edges of the range:
- First above 94K, where breakout traders got trapped.
- Next, potentially below support, where late buyers may be forced out.
In simple terms: the market is shaking out impatient traders at both ends before choosing the real direction.
The Next Likely Move: Under 84K
After the failed breakout above 94K, I now expect a similar pattern on the downside.
The idea is:
- Price may break below 84K and push into a lower zone.
- This would hit stop losses for longs placed just under support.
- It creates panic and forces weak hands out of the market.
Once that liquidity is taken, Bitcoin can quickly reclaim 84K and move back inside the range with more strength.
How This Fits the Bullish Scenario
If this move under 84K plays out, it actually builds up for the next major leg up.
From there, the path toward 100K opens as price pushes away from the range.
SDR | Golden Zone Reload — Bulls Aren’t Done Yet!After reacting beautifully to our prior call near $3.59, SDR has continued to deliver strong bullish structure.
Price has now retraced from recent highs, forming a clean re-entry opportunity within the golden zone, perfectly overlapping a daily/weekly fair value gap (FVG).
This confluence area could act as a high-probability demand zone, where price may form a higher low before targeting the next liquidity levels.
If the zone holds, the next major objectives remain $7.90 and $11.35, aligning with the broader bullish market structure.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR).
XAUUSD: When War-Driven Capital Meets the AI Arms RaceThe gold market is entering a highly unusual phase — a phase where price action is no longer driven solely by charts , but by global power flows and systemic risk.
Gold is benefiting directly from a wave of geopolitical-strategic buying . As global tensions escalate , nations are being forced to accelerate military spending, triggering massive demand for metals across the board. At the same time, the AI race is no longer just about technology — it has evolved into a geopolitical competition, where capital, infrastructure, and strategic resources are being injected at an unprecedented pace. In this environment, gold emerges as a “central asset” — serving both as a safe haven and as a real-time price of global instability.
On the chart, price behavior clearly reflects the nature of institutional capital flow . Gold is moving within a well-defined ascending channel , with pullbacks that are fast, shallow, and orderly . Each time price dips into support, buying pressure immediately steps in , confirming that buyers remain firmly in control. The 5,070 zone acts as a critical buffer, while the 5,200 level above is not only a technical objective but also a major psychological milestone for the market.
The most important takeaway right now is not how far price has already moved , but that the market has shown no real signs of distribution.
There has been no aggressive sell-off, no structural breakdown , and no panic from the buy side. That reality points to one clear conclusion: the bullish trend still has room to extend.
Prices continue to rise - significant growth⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to a fresh record high near $5,090 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid geopolitical risks and concerns over the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
The first three-way peace talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the US have concluded in Abu Dhabi with no apparent breakthrough, as fighting continues, according to the BBC. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky proposed a second meeting as early as next week, while a US official said that a fresh round will begin on February 1.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The buying pressure in the gold market is too strong - investors are focusing on safe-haven assets, causing gold prices to rise almost continuously.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 5135 - 5137 SL 5142
TP1: $5120
TP2: $5100
TP3: $5085
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4990 - 4988 SL 4983
TP1: $5008
TP2: $5025
TP3: $5040
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Fake Move at the European Open — A Familiar LessonIf you’ve traded Forex, Gold, or Crypto for any length of time, you’ve likely experienced this scenario:
The European session opens.
Price makes a clean break above a high or below a low.
You enter on the breakout.
Minutes later — your stop loss is taken.
Then the market moves in the exact direction you originally anticipated.
This isn’t bad luck.
This is the fake move at the European open — a recurring market behavior.
1. Why Do Fake Moves Often Appear at the European Open?
The European session is when:
- Liquidity starts to increase rapidly
- New capital enters the market
- Pending orders from the Asian session are still in place
This overlap creates ideal conditions for price to:
- Push slightly beyond the Asian session high or low
- Trigger stop losses and early breakout entries
- Attract impatient traders
But that initial push does not represent the true direction of the day.
2. A Breakout at the European Open ≠ A Real Breakout
A breakout that looks “clean” is not always a meaningful one.
Fake moves at the European open often show:
- A break in structure without follow-through
- Fast price expansion followed by immediate hesitation
- Weak or fading volume
- Candles with long wicks or poor closes
These are signs that:
The market is testing liquidity, not starting a trend.
3. Who Falls Into This Trap Most Often?
Fake moves at the European open usually trap:
- New traders
- Traders driven by FOMO
- Those who enter simply because price “broke a level”
The issue isn’t the strategy.
It’s timing and patience.
4. The Market Needs Liquidity Before a Real Move
Before a strong move begins, the market often needs to:
- Clear stop losses
- Remove early positions
- Create the illusion of a wrong direction
Fake moves at the European open are how the market:
Cleans the path before committing to the real direction.
5. The Lesson for Traders
- Not every breakout is worth trading
- Timing matters as much as the setup
- The European open is often a time to observe before committing
Instead of asking:
“Did price break the level?”
Ask:
“Can this breakout hold after 15–30 minutes?”
COIN | Golden Zone Holding — Is a Reversal Loading?Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) is showing promising signs of structure as price reacts within the golden zone + FVG confluence area.
If price holds this level, we could see a potential retracement setup forming. A close above the 263 region may confirm continuation toward the next key liquidity levels around 370–427, aligning with the broader bullish structure.
Watching closely this week to see if the zone continues to hold and momentum builds to the upside.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR).
ATH above 5000 - gold price increases✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 01/26/2026 - 01/30/2026
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) surges during the North American session on Friday, up by over 1% as the US Dollar (USD) gets smashed on intervention rumors to propel the Japanese Yen (JPY) in the FX markets, amid an improvement in risk appetite that pushed the yellow metal to fresh all-time highs at $4,988.
Bullion hits fresh record highs as sharp Dollar losses outweigh improving risk sentiment and steady yields
Market mood remains upbeat, yet Bullion prices continue to run up as the US Dollar tumbles to its lowest level since October 2025. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck’s performance against a basket of six currencies, drops close to 0.50% at 97.79, after reaching a daily low of 97.70.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Unstoppable buying pressure - maintaining the price increase next week, surpassing 5000 for the first time.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $5006, $5031, $5113
Support: $4903, $4768
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
[AUD/CAD] Market Analysis: Macro + Structure [MaB]1. The Macro Context (The "Why") 🌍 Hi traders! Before looking at the candles, let's look at the money. My fundamental scoring table speaks clearly: there is a significant differential here that we cannot ignore for the upcoming sessions.
Key Factor Analysis:
🏦 Rate Expectations: The RBA maintains a neutral but relatively high rate at 3.6%, offering a carry advantage. Conversely, the BOC is showing a dovish tilt following their October cut, despite the current pause. Score AUD: +1 Score CAD: -1
🎈 Inflation: Australian inflation remains sticky at 3.4% (above target), while Canadian inflation has cooled to 2.22%, approaching the Bank of Canada's comfort zone. Score AUD: +1 Score CAD: 0
📈 Growth/GDP: Australia is showing resilient growth at 2.3%, outpacing the Canadian GDP of 1.6%. Score AUD: 0 Score CAD: 0
🏭 PMI Data: Both regions show expansionary signals; Australia's weighted PMI is at 51.8, while Canada's Ivey PMI saw a strong jump to 51.9. Score AUD: +1 Score CAD: +1
⚖️ Risk Sentiment: The current market regime is neutral for both cyclical currencies. Score AUD: 0 Score CAD: 0
🗞️ News Catalyst: No major disruptive news for either pair, keeping the focus on structural data. Score AUD: 0 Score CAD: 0
Currency Score Summary: Total Score AUD: +3 (Strong) | Total Score CAD: 0 (Neutral)
Synthesis: With a net differential of +3 in favor of the Aussie, we are looking exclusively for LONG setups. The fundamental divergence suggests that any dip in AUD/CAD should be viewed as a buying opportunity.
2. The Technical Setup (The "Where") 📉 Timeframe: 4H Pair: AUD/CAD
The SMC Market Structure +Zones indicator has confirmed the bullish bias on the 4H chart. Looking at the dashboard, the statistical edge is clear:
🚀 Continuation Rate (67.7%): We are well above the 60% threshold. This indicates a high-probability trending environment where following the established structure is mathematically superior to picking tops.
🔥 Streak (1): We are currently on the first impulse of this sequence, meaning the move is fresh and likely has significant room to run.
🔄 Retest (41.1%): The indicator shows that price retraces into the previous zone only 41.1% of the time. This suggests we should look for entries at the top of the demand zone to avoid being left behind.
💥 BOS/Ret Rate (61.3%): Once price reaches our zone, there is a 61.3% probability of a successful reaction resulting in a new Break of Structure (BOS).
🎯 Extension Rate (1.85x): The algorithm projects an extension of 1.85 times the current pullback leg, giving us a very clear and ambitious target for our Take Profit.
3. Execution Plan on Chart Moving to the chart, the indicator supports us in pinpointing liquidity to define entry and stop loss:
Entry and Stop Loss: We are placing a limit entry at the top of the Demand Zone (Blue Band) . The stop loss is tucked safely below the structural low of the zone. Take Profit: We leverage the asset's statistical analysis offered by the Extension Rate and place the target at 1.85x relative to the pullback leg.
Trade Parameters: Entry Price: 0.93589 Stop Loss: 0.93350 Take Profit: 0.94903
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is based on a proprietary algorithm and is shared exclusively for educational and didactic purposes. It does not constitute financial advice or investment solicitation in any way. Trading involves significant risk.
Gold Is Pausing to Build Momentum Before the Next BreakoutXAUUSD is still firmly positioned within a very strong and well-defined uptrend, supported by both fundamental news and technical structure.
From a fundamental perspective, gold continues to benefit from strong safe-haven demand as geopolitical risks and policy uncertainties remain in the background. The U.S. dollar is relatively weaker due to expectations that the Fed will maintain a more dovish stance, while real yields have not risen enough to put meaningful pressure on gold. This creates a solid fundamental base, allowing gold to hold elevated levels without aggressive selling pressure.
On the H4 chart, the bullish structure is very clean. Price is moving within a rising channel, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. The Ichimoku system is providing clear dynamic support, with price trading well above the cloud, and every pullback finding support around the Kumo or the ascending trendline — confirming that buyers remain in control.
At the moment, the 4,900 area is acting as a key short-term support. As long as price holds above this zone, I favor a scenario where gold continues short-term consolidation to absorb profit-taking, followed by a move higher toward the 5,070 area, with potential for further extension if safe-haven flows remain strong.
Overall, XAUUSD is following the textbook rhythm of a strong uptrend: a sharp advance, shallow pullbacks, consolidation, and continuation.
EURUSD Is Not Weak – Is the Uptrend Still Ahead?The U.S. dollar is relatively weakening as the market gradually returns to expectations of a more dovish Fed in the medium term, while the euro is supported by a risk-on environment and the view that Eurozone economic data is not as bad as previously feared. As a result, EURUSD has been able to hold elevated price levels without showing strong selling pressure, despite continuous news flow.
EURUSD has clearly formed a sequence of Higher Lows and Higher Highs, rebounding strongly from the lows and maintaining price action above the rising trendline. More importantly, the pair is receiving solid support from the Ichimoku system, with price trading above the cloud and each pullback finding support within the Kumo — a clear sign that buyers remain in control of the trend.
The 1.1730 area now serves as a key short-term support. As long as price holds above this zone, I favor a scenario where EURUSD continues a mild consolidation, followed by a move higher toward the 1.1790–1.1800 area, which represents the overhead supply zone and a logical target for the current bullish leg.
Rose - a short-term recovery🐂 LONG – ROSE
On the 15m timeframe, price is consolidating above a strong resistance, signaling accumulation and preparation for a potential breakout. This move is likely a short-term recovery phase within the broader structure. The prevailing downtrend remains the key filter—entry is planned only after a confirmed break above the descending trendline, reducing false-breakout risk.
Momentum and structure align with typical pre-breakout behavior: compression near resistance, reduced volatility, and stabilizing price action. This setup supports a controlled long once confirmation is in place.
🎯 TP: 0.01929
🛡️ SL: 0.01640
📊 RR: 1 : 3.38
Trade thesis: confirmed trend break + resistance hold → short-term recovery with favorable risk–reward.
ASTERUSDT — Descending Trendline Breakout | Long SetupPrice has successfully broken above the descending trendline and is now holding above a key horizontal support, which has flipped into support. This breakout confirms a bullish structure shift.
The marked zone acts as a valid entry area, while the setup remains invalid below 0.6051, which is the clear risk level. As long as price stays above this level, bullish continuation is expected.
The projected move shows a step-by-step bullish push, targeting the 0.6550 liquidity zone, where previous highs are located.
Bias: Bullish
Invalidation: Below 0.6051
Target: 0.6550
BTC/USDT Analysis. Local Long Scenario Remains Valid
Hello everyone! This is the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst team with our daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin swept liquidity below local lows, tested the $88,600–$88,000 (sell-side absorption) zone, and posted a modest bounce.
At the moment, market activity has declined and buyers are not showing strong initiative. This keeps the probability of a repeated false breakdown of the recently formed low near $88,500 on the table. If this scenario plays out, we remain aligned with the previously outlined local long plan and continue to target a move toward the key resistance zone at $92,600–$93,500 (volume anomalies) over the coming days.
If there is no clear buyer reaction near the local low, opening long positions would be unjustified — in that case, downside pressure may extend toward the next support areas.
Buy Zones
$88,600–$88,000 (sell-side absorption)
$86,000–$84,800 (anomalous activity)
$84,000–$82,000 (strong volume anomalies)
Sell Zones
$91,000–$91,700 (untested seller volume)
$92,600–$93,500 (volume anomalies)
$96,000–$97,500 (selling pressure)
$101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volume)
This publication is not financial advice.
MACRO Bullish Case for GBCI on 1 MonthGlacier Bancorp (GBCI) has some Macro develops that have caught my eye on the 1 Month timeframe.
With the right lower timeframe signals, there may be a trade at some point.
Ill be looking at price action, chart patterns, indicators, candle configurations and more to continue my assessment on this.
NOTE: Being that this initial assessment is on 1 Month, keep in mind we still have 8 days for this month's candle close.
Also being that this is on 1 Month, price movements can showcase strong macro level trends, with potential long duration.
WHY this stock has caught my fancy?
Note price action, we are in a clear uptrend, maintaining the support trendline.
We are also currently breaking out of a Resistance trendline that was responsible for the declines from its top at roughly $58.00.
Though breakout seen, we are still in need of confirmation. Which we maybe able to gauge at in the 1 week.
The candle responsible for breakout is a massive Engulfing Bullish Candle.
We are also getting close to the Resistance Zone depicted by the red rectangle placed. WHich is an extreme Supply zone. It won't be easy to get past this so keep in mind potential push back.
Areas to consider Support test on the Resistance trendline and the Uptrend Support trendline.
Also we may be in a Ascending Triangle Pattern created by Support trendline + Horizontal Resistance.
Other Signs:
VOLUME: Positive Volume Uptrend, will need to see Volume Continue upward especially during breakout through resistance.
MOMENTUM Indicators:
If we maintain current trajectory of indicators at the close of this Months candle, Momentum will be on our side.
With Stoch RSI showcasing Bullish Cross above 20 lvl and MACD attempting to Cross ABOVE 0 lvl with Green histobar print.
All positive signs.
Such developments supports attention and observation on GBCI.
Look to more updates on this.
EURUSD: When the Market Is No Longer Willing to Pay Higher PriceFrom a fundamental perspective, recent headlines have failed to provide meaningful support for the euro. The temporary easing of U.S.–Europe tariff tensions has weakened the “risk-off” environment, removing the need for capital to seek refuge in EUR. In contrast, the U.S. dollar has benefited as market focus shifts back toward U.S. yields and Fed expectations, especially ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting. This backdrop creates a fundamentally bearish bias for EURUSD.
On the technical side, the picture is quite clear. After a strong upside impulse, price was firmly rejected at the major resistance zone around 1.1740–1.1760 — precisely the area marked as “Strong Resistance”. At this level, buying pressure failed to sustain the rally, and the market began transitioning into a distribution phase.
At present, price is trading inside the Ichimoku cloud, signaling that bullish momentum has clearly weakened. The 1.1700 area is acting as short-term support, but it is a fragile level. Should this zone be broken, EURUSD is highly likely to slide toward the lower support region around 1.1610–1.1550.
Notably, any current upside move is more likely a technical rebound aimed at liquidity creation, rather than the start of a new bullish trend. As long as price remains below the 1.1740 resistance, every rally should be viewed as an opportunity for sellers, not a reason to chase long positions.
Continued growth - gold rises sharply⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends the rally to around $4,950 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal gains momentum as geopolitical risk and threats to the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence boost the safe-haven demand.
The yellow metal is set to reach a fresh all-time high and is on track for a weekly gain of more than 7%. Traders flock to traditional safe-haven assets such as Gold after tensions in Venezuela, Iran and Greenland.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Political tensions and tariffs have led to gold's breakthrough, approaching $5000. Strong buying pressure is expected.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 5000 - 5002 SL 5007
TP1: $4980
TP2: $4965
TP3: $4950
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4890 - 4888 SL 4883
TP1: $4902
TP2: $4920
TP3: $4935
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
TURTLE - Price has broken above a key resistance🐂 LONG – TURTLE
On the 15m timeframe, price has broken above a key resistance, confirming a valid breakout. Strong buying pressure is aligned across 5m, 15m, and 1h, indicating broad participation and momentum continuation. The structure supports further upside, with positioning remaining technically clean.
🎯 TP: 0.06109
🛡️ SL: 0.05381
📊 RR: 1 : 3.68
A solid breakout long: resistance break + multi-timeframe buying → favorable continuation with controlled risk.
Selling pressure - gold corrects to 4713⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) is seen extending the previous day's modest pullback from the vicinity of the $4,900 mark, or a fresh all-time peak, and drifting lower through the Asian session on Thursday. This marks the first day of a negative move in the previous four and is sponsored by a combination of negative factors. US President Donald Trump pulled back from his threat to slap additional tariffs on eight European nations and ruled out seizing Greenland by force, triggering a fresh wave of the global risk-on trade and undermining the safe-haven precious metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices correct downwards - accumulating liquidity around 4713 to continue the upward trend.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4852 - 4854 SL 4859
TP1: $4840
TP2: $4825
TP3: $4810
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4714 - 4712 SL 4707
TP1: $4732
TP2: $4745
TP3: $4760
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BTCUSD at a Crossroad: Bounce or Trap?Bitcoin is entering a rather uncomfortable phase for buyers. After the previous bullish cycle, recent macro developments no longer support risk assets. Trade tensions, geopolitical uncertainty, and a renewed defensive mindset are pushing capital away from crypto and toward safer assets. In the absence of any strong catalyst to trigger fresh FOMO, BTCUSD is clearly facing short-term downside pressure.
On the chart, price action tells the story of capital flow quite clearly. Bitcoin continues to form lower highs, signaling a noticeable weakening in buying strength. Price has broken below the Ichimoku cloud, while the forward cloud is starting to slope downward — a classic technical sign that a bearish trend is taking shape. Current rebounds appear more like technical pullbacks than a genuine return of buyers.
The 92,800–93,300 zone is acting as a key resistance area, where the descending trendline converges with the Ichimoku cloud. If price rallies into this region but fails to hold, it would confirm the continuation of the bearish scenario. On the downside, 89,300 stands as the nearest support, but repeated tests have weakened it significantly. The next reasonable downside target lies around 87,650 — a liquidity magnet and a technically important low.






















